2023 Ratings: Early Season Warrior

The above infographs are from last season. I’ll make some new ones with updated stats for 2023.

With the early season ratings, a couple of notes:

1. Elite, more experienced runners will always be a bit overrated early. They tend to come into the season in better shape relative to the rest of the field, and thus are closer to their championship season fitness compared to someone newer to the sport.
2. With smaller meets, they’re not as accurate as they may be later in the year. Smaller samples and less ability to compare makes it hard to come up with an adjustment. Which explains why I’ll concentrate on the larger ones early, then work my way back toward the smaller ones.
3. Adversity tends to have a greater impact early. Whether that’s heat, hills, humidity, or even all three, those less fit will tend to struggle a bit more early, possibly overcooking the course adjustment.
4. The girls adjustment will typically be a bit more, as they’re spending more time on the course.
5. These will get weighed less and less as the season rolls on, meaning virtually nothing come October. As a coach, I’d stress not losing sleep over early season times. On here, I’m stressing the same thing.

Girls Adjustment: -32
Boys Adjustment: -32

GIRLS TEAM RATINGS

Girls Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Greenville	60.9	1
Girls Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Shepherd	78.4	2
Girls Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Clare	75.2	3
Remus Chippewa Hills	75.2	3
Manistee	61.6	3
Reed City	32.6	3
Kingsley	32.2	3
Manton	18.6	3
Girls Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Vestaburg	32.2	4
Beal City	13.5	4

BOYS TEAM RATINGS

Boys Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Greenville	136.7	1
Boys Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Shepherd	164.0	2
Boys Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Reed City	175.6	3
Clare	169.2	3
Manistee	140.4	3
LeRoy Pine River	133.9	3
Kingsley	122.2	3
Grant	93.6	3
Manton	84.9	3
Remus Chippewa Hills	56.2	3
Boys Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Carson City-Crystal	104.4	4
Montabella	58.6	4
Boys Team	Top 5 Avg.	Division
Butternut Homeschool	129.3	HS

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Miranda McNeil	19:12.9	Morley-Stanwood	146.4
12	Kinsie Jacques	20:14.6	Pinconning	125.8
12	Cecilia Postma	20:31.1	Manistee	120.3
12	Avelina Hollandsworth	20:31.4	Remus Chippewa Hills	120.2
9	Sophia Buzzelli	20:46.3	Clare	115.2
10	Quinn Hatfield	20:56.8	Remus Chippewa Hills	111.7
11	Abigail Davis	21:18.3	Vestaburg	104.6
10	Gracelin Martin	21:35.8	Greenville	98.7
9	Elizabeth Letherer	22:04.1	Clare	89.3
9	Nolee Leppert	22:04.7	Beal City	89.1
12	Amelia Thompson	22:10.6	Big Rapids Crossroads Academy	87.1
10	Megan Gimmey	22:12.0	Shepherd	86.7
12	Madison Gimmey	22:26.5	Shepherd	81.8
11	Gracie Warner	22:26.9	Shepherd	81.7
9	Lauren Leis	22:27.2	Clare	81.6
12	Reece Clark	22:36.8	Remus Chippewa Hills	78.4
10	Emilee Young	22:49.5	Shepherd	74.2
12	Nicole Gale	23:02.7	Greenville	69.8
12	Mylie Redes	23:08.9	Shepherd	67.7
11	Sayla Bender	23:15.9	Kingsley	65.4
11	Brianna Locke	23:23.2	Beal City	62.9
9	Madison Moeggenborg	23:27.0	Shepherd	61.7
9	Betsey Gooden	23:32.9	Manton	59.7
12	Ariel Holstine	23:40.4	Pinconning	57.2
9	Kaylie McCracken	23:41.3	Carson City-Crystal	56.9
10	Emma Means	23:44.0	Shepherd	56.0
11	Emily Rice	23:57.1	Greenville	51.6
11	Clara Smoes	23:59.2	Reed City	50.9
11	Lilly Leppert	23:59.8	Beal City	50.7
10	Alayna Edmondson	24:01.9	Manistee	50.0
11	Mickiah Allbee	24:08.6	Vestaburg	47.8
11	Falicitie Babcock	24:11.8	Shepherd	46.7
10	Georgia Haag	24:13.7	Manistee	46.1
11	Kate Somsel	24:14.1	Manistee	46.0
11	Audrey Huizinga	24:14.6	Manistee	45.8
11	Carly Carlson	24:15.2	Reed City	45.6
12	Bailey Seibt	24:16.0	Clare	45.3
11	Taylor Seibt	24:18.0	Clare	44.7
9	Jenna Babbitt	24:18.9	Greenville	44.4
10	Caelynn London	24:21.2	Reed City	43.6
10	Leah Storey	24:30.3	Remus Chippewa Hills	40.6
9	Addison Kemp	24:31.5	Greenville	40.2
11	Tessa Ward	24:37.9	Manton	38.0
10	Ava LaMar	24:40.6	Greenville	37.1
11	Jessica Penrod	24:45.3	Vestaburg	35.6
9	Brynn Robinson	24:55.4	Shepherd	32.2
11	Mara VanWagner	24:57.6	Kingsley	31.5
11	Natalie Sterk	25:01.8	Kingsley	30.1
11	Catherine Taft	25:05.6	Clare	28.8
12	Elizabeth Bailey	25:10.2	Shepherd	27.3
11	Augusta Bowman	25:16.9	Remus Chippewa Hills	25.0
9	Makayla Birgy	25:29.5	Kingsley	20.8
11	Reganne Stahl	25:37.5	Manton	18.2
12	Kadence Wurm	25:42.1	Manton	16.6
9	Desarae Travis	25:44.3	Shepherd	15.9
9	Marlowe Walcott	25:48.2	Reed City	14.6
12	Kaylee Weber	25:51.8	Kingsley	13.4
12	Avary Losee	25:53.0	Grant	13.0
9	Brooklinn Barcia	26:01.5	Clare	10.2
12	Ava Hammar	26:07.5	Reed City	8.2
9	Alix Court	26:11.9	Greenville	6.7
10	Taytum Sanford	26:24.9	Reed City	2.4

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Owen Patton	16:11.7	Vestaburg	206.8
12	Brad White	16:16.4	Clare	205.2
11	August Rohde	16:44.4	Reed City	195.9
11	Nolan Longuski	16:51.6	Shepherd	193.5
9	Bryce Cahoon	16:58.0	Shepherd	191.3
10	Robert Dykhouse	17:16.1	Manton	185.3
12	Brodie Delamater	17:19.1	Grant	184.3
12	Ryan Allen	17:27.8	Reed City	181.4
12	Anthony Kiaunis	17:32.2	Reed City	179.9
10	Preston VanOeffelen	17:36.9	Greenville	178.4
12	Andrew Klaus	17:47.9	Clare	174.7
12	Isaac Clementshaw	18:05.9	Reed City	168.7
12	Branden Stock	18:20.6	Kingsley	163.8
9	Connor Schmidt	18:22.4	Clare	163.2
11	Christian Schramski	18:25.0	Manistee	162.3
10	Carter Clark	18:25.6	Carson City-Crystal	162.1
12	Luke Senters	18:30.4	Manistee	160.5
12	Jack O’Donnell	18:32.6	Manistee	159.8
11	Jacob Simon	18:34.4	Remus Chippewa Hills	159.2
12	Lucas Hines	18:35.2	Ogemaw Heights	158.9
12	Nic Porter	18:36.1	Clare	158.6
12	Ryan Hardy	18:38.8	Butternut Homeschool	157.7
10	Kristian Coon	18:45.0	Carson City-Crystal	155.7
10	Jack Helsel	18:51.8	Manton	153.4
12	Matthew Brownell	18:54.7	Remus Chippewa Hills	152.4
10	Paul Saladin	18:55.1	Reed City	152.3
10	Ian McNeel	18:59.9	Shepherd	150.7
12	Tyler Vining	19:03.2	Morley-Stanwood	149.6
12	Gavin Kelso	19:16.7	LeRoy Pine River	145.1
10	Kona Crump	19:18.7	Clare	144.4
9	Drew Davis	19:20.4	Shepherd	143.9
12	Scott Slocum	19:23.8	LeRoy Pine River	142.7
11	Ayden May	19:24.6	Greenville	142.5
12	Carter Follett	19:27.4	Merrill	141.5
9	Jakin Whitney	19:30.6	Shepherd	140.5
10	Brody Swanson	19:31.5	LeRoy Pine River	140.2
10	Kaden Worch	19:34.9	Manistee	139.0
12	Keegan Shafer	19:36.9	Vestaburg	138.4
10	Aaron Allen	19:39.9	Reed City	137.4
12	Braxton Zenner	19:40.4	Kingsley	137.2
9	Trevor Thompson	19:51.6	Butternut Homeschool	133.5
10	Neiko Ketchum	19:53.0	Clare	133.0
12	Tayler Morand	19:54.2	Pinconning	132.6
11	Isaiah Mulheron	19:56.0	Clare	132.0
9	Benjamin Nestle	19:57.6	Shepherd	131.5
9	Sutton Klaus	19:58.8	Clare	131.1
9	Brady Dozier	20:01.9	Reed City	130.0
12	Izaiah Lentz	20:05.3	Reed City	128.9
10	Tyson Crouse	20:05.6	Butternut Homeschool	128.8
10	Isaac Gola	20:06.3	Shepherd	128.6
11	William Delf	20:09.1	Greenville	127.6
11	Brayden Schmidt	20:12.1	Clare	126.6
11	Grant Smith	20:14.3	Shepherd	125.9
11	Owen Brickner	20:20.0	Shepherd	124.0
10	Ethan Baker	20:26.7	LeRoy Pine River	121.8
12	Alden Tait	20:27.9	Clare	121.4
12	Anthony Castillo	20:32.2	Grant	119.9
11	Logan Means	20:32.6	Shepherd	119.8
9	Nathan Lenington	20:33.0	LeRoy Pine River	119.7
11	Carter Peacock	20:37.3	Clare	118.2
11	Bradly Gould	20:38.0	Shepherd	118.0
9	Grahm Gibbs	20:38.7	Greenville	117.8
12	George Amidon	20:39.6	Greenville	117.5
11	Nathan Peters	20:40.7	Kingsley	117.1
9	Logan Young	20:42.0	Harrison	116.7
11	Ryan Travis	20:45.6	Shepherd	115.5
12	Brendan Bills	20:47.7	Butternut Homeschool	114.8
9	William McDonald	20:49.1	Shepherd	114.3
11	Caidan Gaskill	20:50.3	Clare	113.9
9	Ethan Lombard	20:51.6	Shepherd	113.5
10	Grady Oberlin	20:57.2	Butternut Homeschool	111.6
11	Ayden Barcia	20:59.4	Clare	110.9
10	Zachary Burt	21:02.7	Shepherd	109.8
9	Liam VanScoyoc	21:07.1	Reed City	108.3
11	Luke Platte	21:10.4	Greenville	107.2
11	Logan Face	21:13.0	Kingsley	106.3
10	Stewart Houghton	21:14.2	Montabella	105.9
12	Elijah Lentz	21:15.3	Reed City	105.6
12	Cole Zimmer	21:16.3	Ogemaw Heights	105.2
10	Caleb Hardy	21:17.0	Butternut Homeschool	105.0
12	Nikolas Calabrese	21:19.0	Reed City	104.3
10	Jordan Weber	21:25.8	Beal City	102.1
9	Connor Sienkiewicz	21:35.0	Beal City	99.0
10	Clayton Peacock	21:37.3	Clare	98.2
11	Xavier Hoppe	21:37.9	Shepherd	98.0
11	Jacob Nelson	21:38.7	Greenville	97.8
9	Zayden Buskirk	21:39.1	Carson City-Crystal	97.6
12	James Tice	21:39.4	Clare	97.5
12	Noah Gola	21:39.8	Shepherd	97.4
11	Josh Ockert	21:41.8	Greenville	96.7
9	Shawn Warmuskerken	21:42.4	Grant	96.5
12	Lance Helfer	21:58.8	Shepherd	91.1
9	Christian Villa-Bilton	22:02.6	Clare	89.8
10	Levi Sterk	22:12.5	Kingsley	86.5
9	Greg Steele	22:18.5	Clare	84.5
9	Brody Wolf	22:22.7	Kingsley	83.1
9	Tanner Lehman	22:23.9	Greenville	82.7
9	John Nielson	22:27.1	Morley-Stanwood	81.6
12	Ajae Gouker	22:31.5	Manistee	80.2
9	Bryce Willis	22:36.2	Montabella	78.6
12	Dylan Oberlin	22:38.8	Butternut Homeschool	77.7
10	Owen Wemple	22:45.9	LeRoy Pine River	75.4
9	Reed Scott	23:03.7	Greenville	69.4
10	Malachi Houghton	23:07.0	Montabella	68.3
12	Ty Stockton	23:12.1	Butternut Homeschool	66.6
12	Drew Mendians	23:19.4	Manistee	64.2
11	Hogan Walter	23:24.8	Clare	62.4
11	Danny Scott	23:38.1	Greenville	58.0
10	Lucas Thompson	23:38.4	Butternut Homeschool	57.9
9	Isiah Morrow	23:45.0	Manton	55.7
10	Simeon Montney	23:48.2	Shepherd	54.6
10	Corbin Bender	23:49.3	Kingsley	54.2
9	Brendyn Patch	23:51.8	Carson City-Crystal	53.4
9	Nathan Ward	23:52.4	Manton	53.2
12	Cameron Miller	23:53.0	Carson City-Crystal	53.0
11	Cameron Beckett	24:12.4	Greenville	46.5
9	Eli Wing	24:23.2	Harrison	42.9
10	Conner Fenton	24:27.4	Beal City	41.5
12	Mason Heilman	24:31.5	LeRoy Pine River	40.2
10	Logan Kilbreath	24:45.7	Grant	35.4
9	Chason Biller	24:46.0	Remus Chippewa Hills	35.3
11	Hayden Jason	24:53.9	Carson City-Crystal	32.7
11	Blake Wirts	24:56.5	Grant	31.8
9	Jase Brockway	24:57.9	Clare	31.4
9	Cole Paten	25:21.7	Ogemaw Heights	23.5
10	Mason White	25:22.5	Montabella	23.2
10	Kody Hazen	25:39.3	Remus Chippewa Hills	17.6
10	Bryce White	25:41.7	Montabella	16.8
11	Jesse Anderson	26:05.4	Greenville	8.9
9	Ben Clementshaw	26:09.9	Reed City	7.4