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2022 Mid-Season Regional Projections – Kensington

SUMMER PREVIEW

Race to Watch

Half the reason I do these previews is to give a midseason update. The other half is to figure out how much content I can bring for Regional Week. Writing about teams that have improved, individuals who have stood out is enlightening and I’m sure feels good for those listed, but it sure as heck takes time. Perhaps concentrating on one race is better for me? We’ll find out.

That third qualifier for the girls looks to be it. You have three teams with a range of identities, the tightly-knit pack of White Lake Lakeland, the strong top three of Walled Lake Western, and Novi as a mix of the two.

One thing Western did last fall was improve throughout the year, exponentially with each championship race. Two examples are Alisia Olteanu and Genavieve Kushner-Lopez. Olteanu began her season at Coaching Legends, running 21:40 and progressed all the way down to the low-19’s. Yesterday, she ran her season best of 19:34, now what if the rest of the Western girls follow suit? Oh by the way, at that City Meet yesterday, the Warriors were sneakily close to the projected regional champ.

In a field comprised of many girls running in that 20:30 to 22:00 range, Lakeland’s girls find a crucial role. We saw evidence of their potential impact at Jackson, where Alena Tiernan ran 20:54 personal best (two minutes faster than her 2021 PB). That race also saw season/personal bests from Natalie Joiner, Mia McDonald, and Trinity Mann. If three of those four girls can find their way before the main troop of females, Lakeland may punch their ticket.

The one common matchup between the three teams was early on at Lamplighter, where Western placed a few spots ahead of Novi. But one must realize, Novi ran without Joanna Phillip. Joanna’s been their 3rd-5th girl throughout the season. As the KLAA (I almost called it KVC) runs duals, the only invitationals we’ve seen her compete at have been Spartan and Averill. That Averill experience will pay dividends in a month, but I’m curious to see how she can perform with these ideal conditions of the past week. Perhaps Novi moves up?

PlaceTeamScore1st Boy2nd Boy3rd Boy4th Boy5th Boy6th Boy7th Boy
1Detroit Catholic Central759131618192022
2White Lake Lakeland84172425273860
3Walled Lake Northern892121529314963
4Farmington1148112135395365

PlaceTeamScore1st Girl2nd Girl3rd Girl4th Girl5th Girl6th Girl7th Girl
1Walled Lake Northern46
2Farmington93
3White Lake Lakeland11214152329313544
4Walled Lake Western121351640576270
5Novi1299132537454754

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Jared PlattWhite Lake Lakeland201.9
211Ty ParkerWalled Lake Northern199.8
312Griffin ConwayNovi198.2
412Nathan RidderingNovi194.3
510Logan MullanDetroit U-D Jesuit194.2
612Matthew ShortBerkley193.5
711Pierce GrzymkowskiWhite Lake Lakeland191.9
812Eddie KingFarmington191.7
912Matthew AtkinsonDetroit Catholic Central189.5
109Kyle O’RourkeHighland-Milford189.4
1112Gavin SteeleFarmington186.1
1211Evan RiceWalled Lake Northern185.9
1312Jack KellyDetroit Catholic Central184.9
1412Sebastian CervelliWest Bloomfield184.4
1511Lucas KarbelWalled Lake Northern182.7
1612Michael EhresmanDetroit Catholic Central182.6
1712Quaid SchimetzHighland-Milford181.9
1812Miles BuckleyDetroit Catholic Central180.2
1912Josh LassalineDetroit Catholic Central180.0
2011Ryan IllikmanDetroit Catholic Central179.7

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
110Molly BaraccoFarmington135.1
212Grace HarkenriderHighland-Milford129.4
312Genavieve Kushner-LopezWalled Lake Western129.3
411Ava KurczewskiWalled Lake Northern126.8
511Alisia OlteanuWalled Lake Western125.9
611Madelyn GordonWalled Lake Northern125.8
712Jacie RemtemaHighland-Milford125.3
812Taylor RegesterWalled Lake Northern122.1
912Abigail GermanNovi121.4
1010Isabelle KrauseWalled Lake Northern119.2
1111Faylinn WongFarmington118.5
1212Emily WadeWalled Lake Central115.9
1312Anjali KidambiNovi115.5
1412Ava WalshWhite Lake Lakeland115.1
1510Ava AlicandroWhite Lake Lakeland115.0
1611Emma HoffmeyerWalled Lake Western114.9
1710Catherine SteeleFarmington108.9
1811Mia CzarnowskiWalled Lake Northern108.1
1911Talia SachsBirmingham Seaholm106.4
2012Ava PorterWalled Lake Northern105.5
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2022 Mid-Season Regional Projections – Happy Acres

SUMMER PREVIEW

Race to Watch

Half the reason I do these previews is to give a midseason update. The other half is to figure out how much content I can bring for Regional Week. Writing about teams that have improved, individuals who have stood out is enlightening and I’m sure feels good for those listed, but it sure as heck takes time. Perhaps concentrating on one race is better for me? We’ll find out.

Both the Boys and Girls races for the victory, for 3rd place seem set in stone, Carina Burchi has been dominantly improving, let’s think about the top Boys. Three contenders: Landen Livingston, Caleb Howard, and Logan Cooper.

The only head to head race between the three was this past weekend here at Happy Acres, where Logan Cooper finished 2nd in the Josh Lott Memorial Invite.

Caleb was 8th, but was by far his best time of the year. Caleb had shown he’s in this type of shape, running 18:18 at Saranac on a brutally hot day, he’s also shown he can perform under pressure, placing top-50 at State the previous two seasons.

We saw it first on the track, where Logan dropped his 800m best from 2:41 to 2:08. We’re seeing it now on the grass, Logan was north of 19:00 for much of the 2021 season. His magical year isn’t just evident in times, the medals are racking up as well, top-10 finishes at his last 5 invites.

Livingston is the wild card. Just a freshman, he’s had his ups and downs. Three sub-18’s, most recently in a competitive field at New Balance. Holly didn’t go his way, but I’m sure it was a great learning experience. Let’s watch to see if he can establish a bit of consistency in this next month.

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Logan CooperPotterville170.1
29Landen LivingstonWhitmore Lake165.2
312Caleb HowardWebberville162.2
412Braylan MajeskyWhitmore Lake159.4
512Deegan BodellCarson City-Crystal158.7
611Cameron GriffinWhitmore Lake155.7
712Jacob SkidmoreNovi Christian Academy153.0
811Reily HendersonWhitmore Lake146.1
911Jobe SkaffNovi Christian Academy144.8
109Emmanuel MehariPlymouth Christian Academy144.6
119Quentin SmithFowler141.7
1212Drew PeckensWebberville140.2
1312Dennis WilsonNovi Christian Academy136.6
1412Vincenzo LewanPlymouth Christian Academy136.1
1511Trevor FeldpauschFowler135.9
1612Adam MoorePlymouth Christian Academy132.8
179Timothy ChamberlainPortland St. Patrick131.2
1812Brayden ClarkCarson City-Crystal131.0
199Kristian CoonCarson City-Crystal130.6
2012Oisin O’GradyCarson City-Crystal128.9

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
19Carina BurchiWhitmore Lake127.7
212Ashlyn KephartLansing Christian100.5
311Ellayna MeredithPortland St. Patrick100.3
411Natalie MeadowsWhitmore Lake95.2
59Elodie WeaverWhitmore Lake94.2
610Kelcie PungFowler85.2
711Josie DubucNovi Christian Academy84.5
812Brooke CravenWhitmore Lake83.4
99Madi HarePlymouth Christian Academy82.4
1010Erica WalkerClarkston Everest Collegiate79.5
119Sofia RobertsonWhitmore Lake70.6
129Taylor WiegandLivingston Christian70.1
1312Cozette BrownPortland St. Patrick68.5
1411Mya GuillermoNovi Christian Academy66.0
1510Landry GomezSt. Charles57.8
160Grace BellNovi Christian Academy52.8
1711Eve HerrgottClarkston Everest Collegiate51.9
1812Grace PiggottFowler51.6
1911Ciara ParsonsWhitmore Lake44.7
209Alaina DriverPotterville43.5
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2022 Mid-Season Regional Projections – Shrine

SUMMER PREVIEW

  • I received a bit of pushback over the summer for ranking the Royal Oak Shrine boys so high, well look who’s still here in first
    • Okay, they didn’t add the great number of 8th graders as projected, but unless anyone finds a better method than assuming 8th graders running cross will run 9th grade cross, let me know
    • The 9th graders that have competed for the Knights, Michael Bowker and Abenezer Cerone, have made a noticeable impact on their fortunes
      • Bowker has run in the 18’s on a variety of courses – Holly, Goodells, Algonac
      • Cerone has followed the same pattern, albeit a tad faster, high-17’s at those venues
  • Although the top three remain the same for the boys, Lutheran Westland has moved down significantly in terms of points
    • Year to year, the Warriors have raced at the same places, and in those races (OCS Small School, Holly, Ramblin Rock, Whitmore Lake), Nathan Betke has finished almost 100 seconds faster on average in 2022 compared to 2021
    • Nathan clocks in as Westland’s 5th runner on the chart below, and as you can see, he’s the best 5th runner in the field
  • The Girls section remains a similar order and range of scores compared to earlier
    • Rochester Hills Lutheran NW has absorbed the absence of one of their key contributors, who I believe will be back soon, and heck, they’re still in first
      • Kendall Zaliwski has stepped up for the Crusaders, at Holly she ran 64 seconds faster than in 2021, and a 2022 season best
    • Auburn Hills Oakland Christian doesn’t have a few of the girls that I had anticipated joining the team, but that’s been offset by Leah Zarilli, who just placed 8th in the first MIAC Jamboree, 4 spots better than any placing last year

PlaceTeamScore1st Boy2nd Boy3rd Boy4th Boy5th Boy6th Boy7th Boy
1Royal Oak Shrine78481026303543
2Lutheran Westland8011121321233138
3Marine City Cardinal Mooney80291822293237

PlaceTeamScore1st Girl2nd Girl3rd Girl4th Girl5th Girl6th Girl7th Girl
1Rochester Hills Lutheran NW464689192426
2Auburn Hills Oakland Christian54251217182528
3Royal Oak Shrine587101114162023

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Christopher RusselburgAllen Park Cabrini191.2
211Tyler LennMarine City Cardinal Mooney177.3
312Alex MeszarosRiverview Gabriel Richard171.9
49Abenezer CeroneRoyal Oak Shrine162.9
512Merrick MichaelsonWest Bloomfield Frankel Jewish Academy161.1
612Johnny BenkoRiverview Gabriel Richard156.9
711TJ DonnanSouthfield Christian153.1
89Michael BowkerRoyal Oak Shrine150.5
911Isaac ZammitMarine City Cardinal Mooney150.2
1012Arline LileRoyal Oak Shrine148.1
119Max BrannanLutheran Westland146.2
1211Jeffrey McGuireLutheran Westland146.2
1310Tom ShaferLutheran Westland139.2
1411AJ OwenBirmingham Roeper138.7
1511Luke DouglasAuburn Hills Oakland Christian137.9
1611Tommy AbaziSouthfield Christian133.6
1712Brayden McKayAllen Park Cabrini128.7
1812Matthew Zammit Jr.Marine City Cardinal Mooney127.1
1912Dean MoshierAuburn Hills Oakland Christian124.3
2012Samuel WenzelAustin Catholic123.5

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
111Ava TeedAllen Park Cabrini130.0
212Erika Van LotonHuron Valley Lutheran120.5
310Eliza KeithAuburn Hills Oakland Christian119.8
412Helana NapiorkowskiAustin Catholic101.2
512Madeleine BargeRochester Hills Lutheran NW98.1
611Leah ZarrilliAuburn Hills Oakland Christian91.9
711Abby RiceRochester Hills Lutheran NW85.6
810Natalie GibbsBirmingham Roeper83.5
99Eleanor ColeLutheran Westland75.1
1012Michaela KurthLutheran Westland75.0
1112Natalie MalczykHuron Valley Lutheran71.9
1210Tess TillmanRoyal Oak Shrine71.6
139Ellee ColeLutheran Westland70.4
1412Julia TroxelRochester Hills Lutheran NW66.4
1511Morgan McNallyAcademy of the Sacred Heart66.3
1611Kendall ZaliwskiRochester Hills Lutheran NW63.5
1712Maura GumRoyal Oak Shrine63.1
1810Rose LoseyRoyal Oak Shrine62.8
1911Karis KeithAuburn Hills Oakland Christian59.0
2011Nicole TeedAllen Park Cabrini57.4