Blog

We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
  • Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Any Surprises?

Fenton

I always love it when an influential, fast kid comes along (Gavin Katic) comes along and the fortunes of a program change. I’m not saying Katic is the reason, but it’s sort of a coincidence, right? Anyhow, in the past year, we’ve seen the development of Gerard Gilmour (barreling toward the 15’s), Abram Larsen (getting into the 16’s for the first time ever), and Benjamin Panter (dropping a significant PB at Jackson), amongst many others.

Troy

New coach, no problem. The Colts have embraced the change and ran with it. The Witt boys, Henry and Jack, have been at the front of it, each running in the 16’s on a tough day at Holly, then Henry grabbing his first All-County medal this past weekend. Troy has also been helped by the addition of mid-distance star Andrew Svoboda, who is adjusting the longer distances quite nicely with his mid-17 efforts. I’m sure Clarkston, Lakeland, and Milford will be gunning for a qualifying spot, but the Colts have put themselves in a great position for success.

Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
1	1	Jenison	43	3	200.2
1	2	Rockford	74	11	192.0
1	3	East Kentwood	79	15	194.6
1	4	Hudsonville	111		183.4
1	5	Grand Haven	133		183.6
1	6	Grandville	139		179.4
1	7	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	208		165.8
1	8	Grand Rapids Northview	262		155.9
1	9	Forest Hills Northern	273		152.8
1	10	Grand Rapids Union	291		151.4
1	11	Greenville	307		148.1
1	12	Muskegon Mona Shores	347		140.5
1	13	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	402		130.1
1	14	Wyoming	423		121.0
1	15	Muskegon	435		111.7
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
2	1	Traverse City West	42	4	201.0
2	2	Midland	83	6	193.8
2	3	Fenton	114	17	191.0
2	4	Traverse City Central	135	21	187.3
2	5	Saginaw Heritage	138	23	187.1
2	6	Davison	151	26	185.6
2	7	Grand Blanc	191		181.8
2	8	Midland Dow	203		180.5
2	9	Alpena	213		178.3
2	10	Mount Pleasant	261		173.7
2	11	Oxford	290		168.2
2	12	Bay City Western	342		159.0
2	13	Flushing	377		152.7
2	14	Lapeer	417		144.2
2	15	Swartz Creek	451		133.9
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
3	1	Caledonia	85	12	191.4
3	2	Lowell	88	10	195.1
3	3	Kalamazoo Central	92	14	193.6
3	4	Holland West Ottawa	121	24	186.3
3	5	Zeeland West	151		185.3
3	6	Battle Creek Lakeview	168		183.4
3	7	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	198		179.4
3	8	Richland Gull Lake	205		178.8
3	9	Portage Central	231		177.0
3	10	Portage Northern	232		175.1
3	11	Forest Hills Central	238		174.8
3	12	Byron Center	282		171.0
3	13	Zeeland East	294		169.4
3	14	Mattawan	325		165.3
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
4	1	Brighton	42	2	201.0
4	2	Grand Ledge	58	5	195.6
4	3	Dexter	78	16	191.8
4	4	East Lansing	121		183.6
4	5	Howell	122		186.9
4	6	Okemos	196		171.7
4	7	Holt	201		173.2
4	8	South Lyon	235		167.7
4	9	South Lyon East	235		168.5
4	10	Mason	251		164.2
4	11	Lansing Waverly	324		145.8
4	12	Lansing Everett	387		122.6
4	13	Lansing Eastern	405		99.7
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
5	1	Saline	52	8	194.4
5	2	Ann Arbor Pioneer	66	19	192.0
5	3	Brownstown Woodhaven	110		179.2
5	4	Gibraltar Carlson	158		171.7
5	5	Wyandotte Roosevelt	160		171.8
5	6	Allen Park	162		171.3
5	7	Dearborn Fordson	162		171.5
5	8	Monroe	174		167.5
5	9	Temperance Bedford	179		167.3
5	10	Ypsilanti Lincoln	324		132.3
5	11	Southgate Anderson	343		117.3
5	12	Belleville	356		120.4
5	13	Detroit Cass Tech	361		116.8
5	14	Lincoln Park	433		79.5
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
6	1	Ann Arbor Skyline	22	1	201.5
6	2	Salem	51	7	195.1
6	3	Plymouth	111		181.0
6	4	Detroit U-D Jesuit	120		179.9
6	5	Livonia Churchill	131		178.3
6	6	Ann Arbor Huron	191		166.8
6	7	Canton	208		165.7
6	8	Dearborn	242		161.8
6	9	Grosse Pointe South	259		158.7
6	10	Livonia Franklin	282		154.5
6	11	Detroit Renaissance	286		150.4
6	12	Westland John Glenn	342		138.8
6	13	Wayne Memorial	404		110.6
6	14	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	426		96.6
6	15	Harper Woods	448		95.2
6	16	Detroit Mumford	536		-33.0
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
7	1	Northville	56	13	193.0
7	2	Detroit Catholic Central	57	18	190.2
7	3	Novi	90		184.3
7	4	Livonia Stevenson	129		178.2
7	5	Royal Oak	165		172.5
7	6	Berkley	200		167.6
7	7	West Bloomfield	247		159.2
7	8	Birmingham Seaholm	251		158.3
7	9	North Farmington	257		158.4
7	10	Bloomfield Hills	261		156.4
7	11	Farmington	280		154.0
7	12	Oak Park	313		148.0
7	13	Walled Lake Western	345		144.3
7	14	Beverly Hills Groves	367		139.7
7	15	Ferndale	392		127.6
7	16	Brother Rice	417		133.7
7	17	Walled Lake Central	524		98.4
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
8	1	Highland-Milford	55	20	189.8
8	2	Troy	60	25	186.9
8	3	White Lake Lakeland	75	27	185.4
8	4	Clarkston	99		182.3
8	5	Hartland	141		172.6
8	6	Utica	159		169.5
8	7	Troy Athens	163		170.3
8	8	Walled Lake Northern	213		164.0
8	9	Warren DeLaSalle	285		145.6
8	10	Waterford Kettering	306		144.5
8	11	Sterling Heights Stevenson	318		138.5
8	12	Utica Ford	342		136.8
8	13	Warren Woods Tower	397		116.2
8	14	Waterford Mott	430		81.5
8	15	Warren Mott	449		88.3
8	16	Sterling Heights	517		-68.8
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
9	1	Lake Orion	42	9	191.9
9	2	Romeo	76	22	186.8
9	3	Rochester	91		184.0
9	4	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	120		179.8
9	5	Rochester Adams	145		174.5
9	6	Macomb Dakota	168		171.7
9	7	Fraser	227		161.2
9	8	Anchor Bay	237		158.5
9	9	L’Anse Creuse North	241		159.3
9	10	Utica Eisenhower	242		158.0
9	11	Port Huron Northern	242		157.1
9	12	Chippewa Valley	309		145.2
9	13	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	375		128.2
9	14	Roseville	461		71.8
9	15	Port Huron	486		44.8

Battles to Watch

Region 6

Halfway through the fall, it seems that the site selection committee performed a bang-up job on the D1 Boys’ regions. Of course, Region 2 is kinda loaded, but it appears that 2-3 teams have somewhat separated. Much can change, but a good many of these appear definite as to who will be the three qualifiers. With the exception of this one! Salem and Skyline are favorites to advance, top-10 teams that finished 1^st and 4^th respectively at Jackson.

Who comes next? Maybe Plymouth or Livonia Churchill, two common qualifiers here out of Region 6? Perhaps U-D Jesuit, a 2026 surprise? The Cubs are coming off a Marauder Invite victory, led by Emmet Gardella, who has dropped significant time from his junior season. Churchill and Plymouth are neck in neck, evidenced by their most recent run at Jackson. The two teams were separated by 13 points and a single spot in the standings. The difference came at the 3^rd-5^th spots, where the Wildcats gained 71 points, enough to clear the Chargers.

Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
1	1	12	Caden Livermore	221.6	Grandville
1	2	12	Luka Hammond	220.2	Grand Haven
1	3	12	Matii Tarekegn	219.1	East Kentwood
1	4	10	Archer VerHage	211.2	Grand Haven
1	5	11	Caleb Conner	203.0	Jenison
1	6	12	Josiah Derksen	202.9	Rockford
1	7	12	Ethan Burks	202.1	Jenison
1	8	11	Carter Cooke	201.7	Jenison
1	9	11	Chase Sherman	200.8	Jenison
1	10	12	Justin Johnson	200.8	East Kentwood
1	11	11	Luke Bultman	198.5	Rockford
1	12	12	Noah Watson	195.0	Rockford
1	13	12	Bradley Smies	194.8	Hudsonville
1	14	9	Hans Templeton	193.4	Jenison
1	15	12	Aduet (Jimma) Atem	192.9	East Kentwood
1	16	10	Lucas Mueller	189.1	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
1	17	10	Sullivan Oberg	188.3	Jenison
1	18	11	Declan Duch	187.1	Jenison
1	19	11	Graham Kusmierski	185.5	Grandville
1	20	12	Charles Gavan	183.5	Rockford
1	21	12	Blaiz Shyaka	182.2	East Kentwood
1	22	12	Calvin Kasprowicz	181.8	Hudsonville
1	23	10	Alec Bolles	181.2	Hudsonville
1	24	10	Elijah Ouwinga	180.8	Hudsonville
1	25	9	Gabe Miller	180.2	Rockford
1	26	12	Liam Eaton	180.2	Grand Rapids Northview
1	27	10	James Hollebeek	179.7	Rockford
1	28	12	Arie Prins	178.7	Grand Rapids Union
1	29	12	Luke McCarty	178.4	Hudsonville
1	30	12	Braylon Morris	177.8	East Kentwood
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
2	1	12	Liam Wierzba	211.7	Traverse City West
2	2	11	Gavin Katic	211.2	Fenton
2	3	11	Johnathan Elsea	205.9	Mount Pleasant
2	4	11	Alexander Allen	205.7	Alpena
2	5	11	Finn Frost-Grayson	205.1	Traverse City West
2	6	12	Logan Gessford	204.7	Midland
2	7	10	Tommy McCormick	201.1	Grand Blanc
2	8	12	Connor O’Reilly	198.4	Davison
2	9	10	Emmett Duggar	197.6	Traverse City West
2	10	12	Austin Taft	197.4	Traverse City West
2	11	10	Jake Roberts	196.0	Midland Dow
2	12	11	Elliot King	194.8	Midland
2	13	12	Evan Fox	194.7	Traverse City Central
2	14	10	Alex Pelliccia	194.2	Midland
2	15	11	Pascal Rasmussen	193.8	Saginaw Heritage
2	16	11	Abe Blaskowski	193.1	Saginaw Heritage
2	17	10	Austin Hughes	193.0	Traverse City West
2	18	10	Jack Crongeyer	192.7	Grand Blanc
2	19	11	Gerard Gilmour	191.9	Fenton
2	20	10	Leland Barnett	190.5	Traverse City West
2	21	11	Joseph DuGuay	190.3	Traverse City Central
2	22	11	Bradley Chesney	190.2	Midland
2	23	10	Matthew Lauderbaugh	190.1	Davison
2	24	11	Brendan Werth	189.8	Alpena
2	25	11	Alec Brown	189.6	Saginaw Heritage
2	26	11	Jackson Shev	189.2	Traverse City Central
2	27	11	Abram Larsen	187.0	Fenton
2	28	11	Zach Vollbrecht	186.5	Traverse City West
2	29	12	Dustin Wright	185.1	Midland
2	30	12	Levi Mayer	183.7	Davison
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
3	1	12	Samuel Baker	218.6	Kalamazoo Central
3	2	12	Marshall Huhn	216.6	Lowell
3	3	10	Tanner Smith	203.4	Zeeland West
3	4	11	Marcus Essling	200.8	Portage Central
3	5	11	Sean Thompson	200.2	Caledonia
3	6	12	Cody Bromley	199.8	Lowell
3	7	11	Bennett Snapper	199.8	Caledonia
3	8	12	Colin Stawasz	199.1	Lowell
3	9	9	Cody Lam	197.8	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
3	10	10	Jackson Pant	197.0	Richland Gull Lake
3	11	11	Karson Lewis	196.6	Battle Creek Lakeview
3	12	11	Elijah Demlow	195.9	Battle Creek Lakeview
3	13	10	Bryson Hassevoort	195.6	Zeeland West
3	14	10	Maxwell Post	195.2	Holland West Ottawa
3	15	12	Brady Winther-MacInnis	193.3	Kalamazoo Central
3	16	11	Bentley Nichols	190.1	Caledonia
3	17	11	Adam Shorb	189.8	Portage Northern
3	18	11	Colby Bartells	189.7	Kalamazoo Central
3	19	12	Nate Davis	189.6	Zeeland East
3	20	12	Sebastian Ruiz	187.9	Holland West Ottawa
3	21	11	Cole Mckenna	187.7	Caledonia
3	22	12	Tristan Zhang	187.3	Portage Central
3	23	11	Jackson Duval	186.7	Battle Creek Lakeview
3	24	12	Boston Wilkinson	186.3	Holland West Ottawa
3	25	9	Lucan Walker	186.1	Portage Northern
3	26	11	Henry Yoder	184.4	Forest Hills Central
3	27	12	Jontee Willhite	184.1	Kalamazoo Central
3	28	10	Tyler Bromley	183.8	Lowell
3	29	11	Zachary Newman	183.2	Byron Center
3	30	9	Silas Pinney	182.6	Holland West Ottawa
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
4	1	12	Jack MacGregor	219.2	Howell
4	2	11	Rylen Richey	209.1	Grand Ledge
4	3	12	Coen Hill	208.6	Dexter
4	4	10	Josh Keillor-Beale	205.2	Brighton
4	5	12	Caelan Marsh	204.0	Grand Ledge
4	6	10	Tucker Asman	203.4	Brighton
4	7	10	Grant Kulesza	201.8	Brighton
4	8	11	Kilian Boulware-Lopez	201.0	East Lansing
4	9	12	Nick Martens	200.8	Dexter
4	10	11	Nikhil Ball	200.6	South Lyon East
4	11	11	Roarke MacArthur	198.8	Brighton
4	12	11	Rem Piper	198.2	Holt
4	13	12	Nolan Lounds	196.3	Grand Ledge
4	14	11	Brendan Williams	195.9	Brighton
4	15	12	Simon Shutt	187.5	Okemos
4	16	11	Alex Weller	186.6	Howell
4	17	12	Hudson McCleskey	186.3	Dexter
4	18	12	Dayton VanderMoere	184.5	Grand Ledge
4	19	12	Owen Collin	183.9	Brighton
4	20	12	Noah Thelen	183.9	Grand Ledge
4	21	11	Toby Regulinski	183.6	East Lansing
4	22	9	Brayden Kasmar	183.6	Mason
4	23	11	Easton Howell	183.5	Dexter
4	24	11	Grayson Diadiun	182.6	Howell
4	25	11	Shane Cory	179.8	Brighton
4	26	11	Nicholas Reiser	179.8	Dexter
4	27	11	Alejandro Nagy	179.8	East Lansing
4	28	9	Colin Bigelow	178.7	Dexter
4	29	12	Micah Couser	178.6	Grand Ledge
4	30	12	Triston Thompson	177.8	Dexter
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
5	1	12	Kamari Ronfeldt	220.6	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	2	12	Jacob Szalay	214.0	Saline
5	3	11	Mourad Algahmi	202.0	Dearborn Fordson
5	4	11	Jack Dunwoody	197.3	Gibraltar Carlson
5	5	11	Wes Rogan	196.8	Saline
5	6	10	Wyatt DelValle	195.7	Gibraltar Carlson
5	7	12	Vincent Jones	193.5	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	8	10	Jaden Hill	191.8	Allen Park
5	9	12	Cameron Varner	191.8	Temperance Bedford
5	10	12	Max Carne	191.0	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	11	11	Zachary Greene	190.3	Wyandotte Roosevelt
5	12	12	John (Jack) Klein	190.1	Saline
5	13	11	Asher Sikma	187.8	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	14	12	Noah Amori	187.7	Wyandotte Roosevelt
5	15	10	Zawadi Mwathi	187.5	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	16	10	Will Sollenberger	186.7	Saline
5	17	9	Reed Nadig	184.3	Saline
5	18	12	Carlos Basulto	184.3	Saline
5	19	12	Walker Ledbetter	184.3	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	20	11	Gavin Rohr	183.6	Monroe
5	21	12	Ryan Rummel	181.3	Saline
5	22	12	Mohamed Aljahmi	180.2	Dearborn Fordson
5	23	12	Blake Lancaster	176.6	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	24	12	Cooper Ankeney	175.7	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	25	12	Calen Alexander	174.8	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	26	10	Parker Wisniewski	173.7	Southgate Anderson
5	27	9	Gavin Herrera-Hammerle	173.0	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	28	11	Victor LeBrun	172.5	Monroe
5	29	11	Anthony Boggess	172.0	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	30	11	Jacob Goachee	171.6	Monroe
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
6	1	12	Austin Mercado	213.0	Salem
6	2	10	Hudson Doll	207.3	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	3	11	Roman Stilwell	202.2	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	4	11	Martin Gehrke	201.3	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	5	12	Jack Hanner	199.8	Salem
6	6	11	Oskar MacArthur	198.5	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	7	12	Matthew Guikema	198.1	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	8	12	Samuel Batt	197.3	Salem
6	9	12	Emmet Gardella	194.3	Detroit U-D Jesuit
6	10	10	Davin MacDonald	192.5	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	11	12	Garrett Comer	191.8	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	12	9	Dane Jadallah	190.6	Plymouth
6	13	10	Troy Verhelle	190.6	Livonia Churchill
6	14	12	Tyler Bjorklund	187.9	Livonia Churchill
6	15	11	Aarav Kalantry	185.6	Ann Arbor Huron
6	16	12	Rami Bazzi	185.5	Dearborn
6	17	9	Josh Lehn	184.4	Salem
6	18	11	Landen Martell	182.8	Plymouth
6	19	12	Justin Mkrtumian	181.3	Detroit U-D Jesuit
6	20	12	Owen Dalebout	181.0	Salem
6	21	12	Adam Burns	180.9	Salem
6	22	10	Jack Caveney	180.8	Plymouth
6	23	11	Andrew Slosar	180.8	Detroit U-D Jesuit
6	24	11	Conrad Marra	180.1	Ann Arbor Huron
6	25	12	Kamden O’Donnell	180.0	Canton
6	26	12	Dylan Kosik	179.7	Plymouth
6	27	12	Will Fust	178.2	Livonia Churchill
6	28	10	Theo Kim	177.8	Salem
6	29	10	Callan Fleming	177.1	Detroit U-D Jesuit
6	30	11	Jake Wallace	176.9	Dearborn
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
7	1	12	Brandon Cloud	215.0	Northville
7	2	11	Brady Glon	199.0	Detroit Catholic Central
7	3	10	Luke Kramer	197.8	Detroit Catholic Central
7	4	12	Devin Lau	197.7	Farmington
7	5	11	Lucas Brumo	196.4	Livonia Stevenson
7	6	12	Noah Verdejo	195.6	Novi
7	7	9	Ari Kyritses	193.4	Northville
7	8	12	Trevor Baptist	193.3	Novi
7	9	9	Will Buckley	192.5	Detroit Catholic Central
7	10	12	Keats Rosenbrock	189.3	Royal Oak
7	11	9	Ryan Porenta	189.1	Detroit Catholic Central
7	12	10	George Mockeridge	188.7	Birmingham Seaholm
7	13	12	Beckett Sipes	187.6	Royal Oak
7	14	9	Mateo Lindenmeyer	186.8	Northville
7	15	12	Tyler Hennessey	186.5	Berkley
7	16	9	Braden Millar	185.8	Northville
7	17	10	Colt Ludlam	184.0	Livonia Stevenson
7	18	11	Manny Coates	183.8	Northville
7	19	11	Owen Lawrence	182.2	Bloomfield Hills
7	20	11	John McCann	182.2	Novi
7	21	10	Ashton Kashat	181.2	Northville
7	22	12	Jack Lewis	181.1	Northville
7	23	10	Kaden Boura	178.4	Ferndale
7	24	11	Shree Patel	177.2	Livonia Stevenson
7	25	12	Zachary Brown	176.0	Novi
7	26	12	Musa Kay	175.6	West Bloomfield
7	27	9	Gates Emmett	175.4	Birmingham Seaholm
7	28	9	Langston Bickerdt	175.0	Oak Park
7	29	12	Colin Stokes	174.8	North Farmington
7	30	12	Reuben Swafford	174.7	North Farmington
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
8	1	11	Cooper McNaughton	207.9	Clarkston
8	2	11	Todd Tobin Jr	204.6	Highland-Milford
8	3	10	Lucas Naspinsky	198.9	White Lake Lakeland
8	4	10	Aiden Doggett	197.3	Highland-Milford
8	5	12	Jack Witt	195.2	Troy
8	6	12	Colin Blachford	193.7	Troy Athens
8	7	9	Jack Klein	193.4	White Lake Lakeland
8	8	11	Asa Konwinski	191.9	Troy
8	9	12	Henry Witt	191.3	Troy
8	10	11	Owen Nelms	188.0	White Lake Lakeland
8	11	12	Rowan DeHority	187.5	Highland-Milford
8	12	11	Asher Lawson	186.6	Walled Lake Northern
8	13	12	Vern Clyne	186.2	Clarkston
8	14	11	Joe Coleman	184.5	Hartland
8	15	9	Austin Zielinski	183.2	Highland-Milford
8	16	9	Owen Lince	182.4	White Lake Lakeland
8	17	12	Andrew Svoboda	179.2	Troy
8	18	11	Jacob Solomon	178.4	Utica
8	19	12	Lucas Keilen	178.0	Hartland
8	20	12	Miles Foster	177.7	Clarkston
8	21	11	Charles Zhang	176.8	Troy
8	22	10	Aarush Arora	176.7	Troy
8	23	12	Jacob Blakemore	176.3	Highland-Milford
8	24	12	Tanner Wertz	175.4	Highland-Milford
8	25	9	Gabriel Kalinowski	175.3	Highland-Milford
8	26	11	Lincoln Gray	173.7	Hartland
8	27	12	Jaron Osanaiye	172.3	Sterling Heights Stevenson
8	28	11	Eddie Nolan	171.1	Troy Athens
8	29	12	Sebastian Morrison	171.1	Warren DeLaSalle
8	30	11	Terry Tankersley	170.9	Utica
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
9	1	11	Xavier Solgot	207.4	L’Anse Creuse North
9	2	11	Aidan Schwalbach	201.2	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9	3	11	Lucas Campbell	200.7	Rochester
9	4	11	Ricardo Guajardo	198.8	Lake Orion
9	5	11	Wesley LaFever	198.7	Macomb Dakota
9	6	10	Luis Nava	193.2	Lake Orion
9	7	12	Jesse Reed	192.5	Rochester Adams
9	8	10	Joseph Leigh	191.4	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9	9	9	Logan Meerschaert	190.1	Lake Orion
9	10	10	Avery Clinton-Barnett	189.8	Lake Orion
9	11	10	Ripley Clor	189.3	Romeo
9	12	12	Grant Davis	189.0	Port Huron Northern
9	13	12	Zach McGee	187.8	Lake Orion
9	14	10	Finley Clor	187.0	Romeo
9	15	11	Federico Moreno-Padilla	186.8	Utica Eisenhower
9	16	10	Brayden Goodsell	186.8	Romeo
9	17	10	Dax Purdy	186.2	Romeo
9	18	12	Carson Hlavin	184.7	Romeo
9	19	9	Jerryd Cromer	181.9	Rochester
9	20	12	Conner McLaughlin	180.5	Rochester
9	21	12	Luke Nagy	180.3	Rochester Adams
9	22	9	Elijah Campbell	179.8	Rochester
9	23	10	Gavin Soviar	179.3	Fraser
9	24	12	Chase Mallory	178.6	Macomb Dakota
9	25	11	Sebastian Azar	178.0	Anchor Bay
9	26	10	Logan Cichoracki	177.8	Romeo
9	27	12	Alonso San Vicente Lugo	177.3	Rochester
9	28	10	Matthew Zora	176.6	Rochester
9	29	9	Clayton House	175.9	Lake Orion
9	30	12	Brandon Ziehmer	175.6	Anchor Bay

Any Surprises?

Richland Gull Lake

Okay, it’s mainly Annie Isom doing some work. After placing 6^th in the Division 1 400m and ending the spring as Michigan’s fastest 800m girl, she’s decided to try her hand at XC before she heads off to run for the Gators. Three 5k’s into the season and she’s already whittled her time down into the mid-18’s. That’s impactful. However, she’s not the only contributor, as Lacy Smith and Caroline Reynolds have already hit PR’s and Kalynn Young just dropped 30 sec. from her time a year ago at Bulldog.

Berkley

When your top dawg embraces change and improves, it’s gotta leak over to the rest of the team, right? Paige Rohda had been running at a high level for her first two years, breaking into the low-18’s last fall, qualifying for the 3200m as a freshman. She’s been on a higher plane in 2026, an example coming from this past weekend’s Oakland County Championship, where she dropped nearly 1.5 minutes in a year. She’s brought Bears along with her, such as Isabella Glibota (21:08 > 20:11) and Ana Lucia Reynoso (breaking 21:00 earlier in the season than ever before). It’a total team effort.

Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
1	1	Hudsonville	50	6	138.9
1	2	Rockford	54	7	135.2
1	3	Grand Haven	78	20	121.0
1	4	Jenison	115		117.7
1	5	East Kentwood	142		109.0
1	6	Forest Hills Northern	162		104.9
1	7	Grandville	171		100.4
1	8	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	237		84.2
1	9	Muskegon Mona Shores	248		79.9
1	10	Greenville	267		75.2
1	11	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	307		53.1
1	12	Grand Rapids Northview	374		40.2
1	13	Grand Rapids Union	410		16.2
1	14	Wyoming	469		-152.6
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
2	1	Traverse City Central	55	16	124.4
2	2	Traverse City West	79	24	122.6
2	3	Midland Dow	83	22	122.5
2	4	Mount Pleasant	139		104.7
2	5	Grand Blanc	162		99.5
2	6	Oxford	178		96.2
2	7	Fenton	220		88.4
2	8	Bay City Western	225		87.5
2	9	Davison	245		81.3
2	10	Flushing	257		79.7
2	11	Midland	275		73.8
2	12	Lapeer	289		71.0
2	13	Saginaw Heritage	339		43.6
2	14	Alpena	340		62.3
2	15	Swartz Creek	489		-47.2
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
3	1	Portage Central	52	4	136.9
3	2	Holland West Ottawa	89	14	125.5
3	3	Richland Gull Lake	114	27	118.3
3	4	Zeeland West	126		115.4
3	5	Zeeland East	126	26	123.8
3	6	Caledonia	133		112.8
3	7	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	179		104.8
3	8	Portage Northern	227		98.5
3	9	Byron Center	239		93.0
3	10	Battle Creek Lakeview	270		86.9
3	11	Forest Hills Central	290		82.5
3	12	Lowell	291		83.2
3	13	Mattawan	354		65.2
3	14	Kalamazoo Central	428		29.0
3	15	Battle Creek Central	504		-184.5
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
4	1	Brighton	64	9	127.2
4	2	Howell	73	11	124.7
4	3	Dexter	86	12	127.6
4	4	Mason	98	21	120.1
4	5	Grand Ledge	124		116.5
4	6	South Lyon East	140		111.5
4	7	Okemos	161		112.2
4	8	East Lansing	169		108.5
4	9	Holt	248		87.4
4	10	South Lyon	261		85.9
4	11	Lansing Waverly	371		2.9
4	12	Lansing Eastern	392		-43.7
4	13	Lansing Everett	411		-119.2
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
5	1	Ann Arbor Pioneer	22	1	165.4
5	2	Brownstown Woodhaven	60	10	128.2
5	3	Saline	65	17	129.5
5	4	Temperance Bedford	118		102.4
5	5	Gibraltar Carlson	123		96.4
5	6	Wyandotte Roosevelt	228		64.0
5	7	Dearborn Fordson	240		62.1
5	8	Allen Park	243		60.8
5	9	Ypsilanti Lincoln	251		47.9
5	10	Southgate Anderson	253		50.4
5	11	Monroe	274		45.7
5	12	Belleville	364		1.8
5	13	Detroit Cass Tech	396		-24.4
5	14	Detroit Martin Luther King	434		-100.4
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
6	1	Ann Arbor Skyline	17	2	142.5
6	2	Salem	80		106.6
6	3	Grosse Pointe South	92		107.1
6	4	Ann Arbor Huron	109		98.7
6	5	Plymouth	148		86.0
6	6	Livonia Churchill	151		83.2
6	7	Canton	169		80.9
6	8	Livonia Franklin	220		61.7
6	9	Dearborn	260		43.5
6	10	Detroit Renaissance	310		21.2
6	11	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	344		6.0
6	12	Westland John Glenn	388		-33.2
6	13	Harper Woods	403		-43.5
6	14	Wayne Memorial	469		-257.1
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
7	1	Northville	33	3	147.2
7	2	Novi	78	19	123.1
7	3	Berkley	129		108.3
7	4	Farmington	138		103.2
7	5	Bloomfield Hills	171		95.7
7	6	Royal Oak	183		91.5
7	7	Birmingham Seaholm	189		90.2
7	8	Oak Park	203		88.2
7	9	Beverly Hills Groves	213		85.3
7	10	Livonia Stevenson	243		73.0
7	11	Walled Lake Central	253		60.6
7	12	Walled Lake Western	309		52.8
7	13	North Farmington	380		-10.2
7	14	West Bloomfield	413		15.1
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
8	1	White Lake Lakeland	55	8	128.5
8	2	Utica	58	18	125.7
8	3	Hartland	59	13	124.6
8	4	Clarkston	107		111.3
8	5	Walled Lake Northern	149		100.4
8	6	Highland-Milford	172		94.1
8	7	Troy	186		89.7
8	8	Troy Athens	246		73.7
8	9	Waterford Kettering	247		72.8
8	10	Sterling Heights Stevenson	262		69.1
8	11	Utica Ford	308		56.4
8	12	Warren Mott	317		52.3
8	13	Warren Woods Tower	401		24.6
8	14	Warren Cousino	450		-37.0
8	15	Waterford Mott	459		-47.1
8	16	Sterling Heights	514		-220.3
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
9	1	Rochester Adams	46	5	135.3
9	2	Romeo	75	15	130.8
9	3	Macomb Dakota	96	23	123.0
9	4	Rochester	97	25	120.2
9	5	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	155		103.4
9	6	Lake Orion	163		104.0
9	7	Utica Eisenhower	207		87.6
9	8	Fraser	214		88.1
9	9	Anchor Bay	242		82.6
9	10	Port Huron Northern	245		79.9
9	11	L’Anse Creuse North	279		67.4
9	12	Chippewa Valley	293		64.1
9	13	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	418		-3.0
9	14	Port Huron	446		-23.9
9	15	Roseville	459		-115.7

Battles to Watch

Region 7

The top-two spots are probably as set in stone as you’ll get, Northville and Novi being clear favorites to advance. Two squads have emerged in competition for the 3^rd qualifier – Farmington and Berkley. Berkley is mentioned above, an inner-ring suburb squad that’s greatly improved from last fall. Farmington is coming off a conference win in the LVC Lakes Division. Both squads are looking to get runners back, with a few contributors missing from their Oakland County lineups, where Farmington prevailed.

Region 9

This realignment, gerrymandering of northern suburb D1 regions has led to an interesting matchup. Rochester had typically been in Region 8, an Oakland County-centric spot. Macomb Dakota had hung out in Region 9, heavily centered on Macomb County teams. Now they could face off as two contenders for the third spot out of Region 9. Both the Falcons and Cougars go about things fairly similarly. Each have a low-stick that’s rapidly rising. Each have a culture that’s been cultivated over years. Each have solid depth. Whomever makes it out will have earned it.

Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
1	1	10	Grace Snyder	159.8	Hudsonville
1	2	12	Daisy Cox	158.1	Rockford
1	3	12	Chloe Purwin	153.5	Hudsonville
1	4	10	Lexie Snyder	147.9	Hudsonville
1	5	9	Brooklyn Thomasma	147.3	East Kentwood
1	6	12	Paige McMeans	147.1	Jenison
1	7	11	Jillian Lewakowski	143.2	Rockford
1	8	10	Gwyn Faber	143.0	Forest Hills Northern
1	9	9	Harper Henderson	140.3	Jenison
1	10	11	Keagan Mulka	135.3	Rockford
1	11	11	Jaclyn Charbauski	133.6	Forest Hills Northern
1	12	9	Lillien Hitsman	126.8	Grand Haven
1	13	10	Camryn Gervais	122.8	Grand Haven
1	14	10	Kinsley Newman	121.8	Grand Haven
1	15	12	Adeline Bagnall	120.5	Grand Haven
1	16	10	Michaela Pries	120.2	Hudsonville
1	17	11	Morgan Sanders	120.2	Rockford
1	18	12	Rae DeFrang	119.0	Rockford
1	19	10	Emma Storey	118.5	Jenison
1	20	10	Ariana Elzinga	118.4	Grandville
1	21	11	Cecelia Wojciakowski	118.1	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
1	22	12	Reese DeFrang	115.4	Rockford
1	23	11	Amelia Danian	113.5	Forest Hills Northern
1	24	9	Konlee Gundy	113.3	Grand Haven
1	25	12	Sarah MacIntosh	113.2	Rockford
1	26	12	Cassie Karasinski	113.0	Hudsonville
1	27	9	Jillian LaSorsa	110.5	Hudsonville
1	28	11	Eleanor Mathews	110.0	Grand Haven
1	29	12	Ashley Wayne	109.1	Hudsonville
1	30	12	Laila Burress	107.5	East Kentwood
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
2	1	12	Tessa Mascari	158.9	Traverse City West
2	2	11	Emilia Garces	158.5	Midland Dow
2	3	10	Kaitlyn Berg	149.1	Midland
2	4	10	Grace Meyers	143.1	Bay City Western
2	5	12	Bridget Raven	135.5	Traverse City West
2	6	11	Kelly Comfort	132.6	Traverse City Central
2	7	10	Cecelia Jacobson	128.9	Traverse City Central
2	8	11	Emily Truszkowski	128.1	Traverse City Central
2	9	9	Claire Gross	126.6	Traverse City Central
2	10	11	Sienna Chapin	120.8	Oxford
2	11	11	Jessa Skonieczny	120.5	Mount Pleasant
2	12	11	Kate Macfarlane	120.4	Midland Dow
2	13	11	Livia Willing	120.1	Grand Blanc
2	14	12	Micali Teeple	120.0	Grand Blanc
2	15	10	Lilly Pierce	118.7	Mount Pleasant
2	16	12	Anna Sheppard	118.1	Mount Pleasant
2	17	11	Sawyer Lynn	117.3	Saginaw Heritage
2	18	10	Hannah Vogel	116.8	Midland Dow
2	19	10	Autumn Luick	115.9	Midland Dow
2	20	9	Isabelle Kopczyk	115.4	Fenton
2	21	9	Thia Reid	113.8	Oxford
2	22	12	Brooklyn Wiltse	108.6	Davison
2	23	10	Jadelyn Arnold	106.9	Traverse City West
2	24	11	Lindsay Smith	106.2	Traverse City West
2	25	10	Gretchen Oyer	105.8	Traverse City Central
2	26	9	Ayla Ruch	105.6	Traverse City West
2	27	12	Jaclyn Suderman	104.9	Bay City Western
2	28	11	Leah Humphrey	103.7	Grand Blanc
2	29	12	Olivia Reding	102.7	Traverse City West
2	30	11	Ariana Rajah	102.5	Traverse City Central
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
3	1	11	Adalyn Raab	170.4	Zeeland East
3	2	11	Ainsley Kelm	156.6	Portage Northern
3	3	11	Avery Scott	151.2	Portage Central
3	4	12	Collette Wierks	141.8	Holland West Ottawa
3	5	12	Lane Isom	141.7	Richland Gull Lake
3	6	12	Akaela Daman	138.8	Caledonia
3	7	11	Gracie Carlisle	138.6	Portage Central
3	8	12	Annie Isom	138.4	Richland Gull Lake
3	9	11	Gianna Burgos	138.2	Battle Creek Lakeview
3	10	10	Tessa Albrecht	136.2	Zeeland West
3	11	10	Emma Putnam	135.6	Lowell
3	12	12	Ella Wierks	133.5	Holland West Ottawa
3	13	9	Valentina Lopez-Bringas	132.5	Portage Central
3	14	11	Claire Mouw	131.6	Portage Central
3	15	11	Julia Welc	130.8	Portage Central
3	16	9	Charlie Vonk	130.4	Zeeland East
3	17	11	Alivia Schnakenberg	127.9	Zeeland East
3	18	9	Ava Hoffer	126.3	Zeeland West
3	19	12	Lyla Dowling	125.9	Holland West Ottawa
3	20	10	Londyn Schmidt	124.9	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
3	21	10	Maddie Guy	123.7	Portage Central
3	22	11	Mary Dolbow	121.3	Holland West Ottawa
3	23	10	Tatum Richardson	116.4	Portage Central
3	24	10	Kendall Van Ryn	113.9	Caledonia
3	25	11	Lilly Harthorn	110.2	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
3	26	10	Kalynn Young	110.2	Richland Gull Lake
3	27	11	Quinn Middleton	110.2	Byron Center
3	28	11	Lacy Smith	108.5	Richland Gull Lake
3	29	11	Caralyn Elkins	107.8	Zeeland West
3	30	11	Charlie Bont	106.6	Caledonia
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
4	1	11	Rachel Smith	166.4	Okemos
4	2	12	Kodie Snyder	150.6	Dexter
4	3	11	Ella Lorenz	145.6	Brighton
4	4	12	Abigail Dobry	141.5	Dexter
4	5	10	Ava Montero	135.4	Grand Ledge
4	6	10	Brooke Wallace	133.2	Howell
4	7	10	Reagan Mason	132.4	Howell
4	8	9	Madelyn Newman	129.8	South Lyon East
4	9	9	Maddie Newman	126.8	South Lyon East
4	10	10	Reese Cournoyer	126.6	Brighton
4	11	12	Anna Halliday	125.7	Howell
4	12	12	Ashley Lubowicki	125.3	Brighton
4	13	9	Addison Farero	124.9	Mason
4	14	11	Ruby Petee	124.8	Mason
4	15	12	Morgan Allen	124.2	Mason
4	16	11	Mya Bower	122.8	Okemos
4	17	10	Olive DiMassa	121.6	Howell
4	18	9	Reilly Klas	121.5	Brighton
4	19	9	Alaina Ernst	120.2	Holt
4	20	12	Vivian Hoffman	119.7	Dexter
4	21	9	Mary Peterson	117.1	Brighton
4	22	11	Jorga Wooledge	116.7	Mason
4	23	11	Kaila Cravotta	116.7	East Lansing
4	24	11	Maddie Stouffer	116.6	Brighton
4	25	10	Kinsley Lounds	115.4	Grand Ledge
4	26	9	Maddie Flynn	115.2	Grand Ledge
4	27	9	Marissa LaMarra	115.2	Brighton
4	28	10	Paige Thelen	114.6	Grand Ledge
4	29	12	Bailey Konuszewski	114.1	Dexter
4	30	11	Emily Barrie	114.0	East Lansing
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
5	1	11	Natasza Dudek	188.2	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	2	10	Keira Von Blon	180.6	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	3	11	Sienna Klemmer	177.9	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	4	11	Charley McKay	154.1	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	5	11	Savannah Staton	152.8	Saline
5	6	12	Katarina Munson	151.1	Saline
5	7	12	Lizzie Wernimont	141.6	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	8	10	Audrey Grosteffon	138.8	Temperance Bedford
5	9	12	Nina Moore	138.7	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	10	11	Adelynn Turck	134.2	Saline
5	11	11	Annabelle Chan	130.1	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	12	10	Eliza Selcer	126.5	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	13	12	Mia Lopez	122.4	Ann Arbor Pioneer
5	14	11	Alexis Kmiecik	122.0	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	15	11	Jaelynn Greene	119.2	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	16	12	Hope Noal	115.7	Brownstown Woodhaven
5	17	11	Giada Fioritto	109.3	Gibraltar Carlson
5	18	12	Sophia Johnson	107.5	Temperance Bedford
5	19	10	Emma Puscas	107.4	Wyandotte Roosevelt
5	20	10	Madison Slade	107.3	Gibraltar Carlson
5	21	10	Lauren Tomaszewski	106.7	Saline
5	22	10	Maliah McKibben	102.6	Temperance Bedford
5	23	12	Sophie Roth	102.6	Saline
5	24	11	Joy Schuck	99.0	Southgate Anderson
5	25	10	Caroline Cotner	94.7	Saline
5	26	10	Ada Cain	94.0	Gibraltar Carlson
5	27	12	Iva Ravindra	93.3	Temperance Bedford
5	28	9	Alexa Swetz	89.4	Gibraltar Carlson
5	29	9	Ava Brancheau	88.9	Southgate Anderson
5	30	12	Lauren Olma	86.2	Ypsilanti Lincoln
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
6	1	12	Isla Tharp	145.5	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	2	12	Becca Van Lent	144.9	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	3	11	Lucia Llanes	144.1	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	4	10	Eleanor Pilsner	139.1	Grosse Pointe South
6	5	11	Lila Edison	139.1	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	6	12	Irie Scrase	138.8	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	7	10	Blix Finn	129.4	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	8	9	Emma Gritter	120.0	Ann Arbor Skyline
6	9	9	Madeline MacLellan	117.7	Salem
6	10	11	Mira Shelgikar	116.2	Ann Arbor Huron
6	11	11	Madelene (Maddie) Vargo	114.1	Livonia Churchill
6	12	11	Samantha Michalski	113.6	Salem
6	13	12	Khloe Lee	110.7	Plymouth
6	14	11	Clare Davidson	110.0	Canton
6	15	11	Chloe Cratsenburg	109.8	Plymouth
6	16	12	Samantha Bartell	106.1	Salem
6	17	12	Morgan Costello	104.9	Grosse Pointe South
6	18	9	Emma Ford	103.8	Grosse Pointe South
6	19	11	Sadie Bohnsack	103.1	Ann Arbor Huron
6	20	10	Maribelle Kofahl	102.3	Ann Arbor Huron
6	21	10	Ella Hanner	98.4	Salem
6	22	12	Annabeth Hazlewood	97.4	Salem
6	23	10	Abigail Avram	97.1	Ann Arbor Huron
6	24	11	Joelle Saad	96.4	Dearborn
6	25	9	Hannah Thomassen	95.9	Canton
6	26	9	Ivy Surma	95.9	Grosse Pointe South
6	27	12	Olivia Colt	91.7	Grosse Pointe South
6	28	12	Addie Jones	90.0	Salem
6	29	11	Paige Garbo	85.4	Grosse Pointe South
6	30	10	Lydia Thomason-Redus	82.7	Grosse Pointe South
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
7	1	10	Alexandra Scappaticci	173.9	Northville
7	2	12	Lucia Lachapelle	159.2	Northville
7	3	11	Paige Rohda	159.2	Berkley
7	4	10	Brynn Somers	151.0	Northville
7	5	11	Alexandra Green	149.0	Birmingham Seaholm
7	6	12	Anyla Robinson	148.9	Oak Park
7	7	10	Giada Mills	148.8	Beverly Hills Groves
7	8	10	Claire Lawrence	146.3	Bloomfield Hills
7	9	12	Katelynn Egli	136.3	Novi
7	10	12	Anna Macdonald	132.7	Royal Oak
7	11	10	Ella German	129.5	Novi
7	12	9	Lily Szukaitis	127.9	Northville
7	13	11	Claire Galas	125.9	Novi
7	14	10	Ella Corby	124.0	Northville
7	15	12	Colette Lozo	124.0	Northville
7	16	12	Katelyn Parrish	123.4	Farmington
7	17	12	Emma Engalan	120.7	Northville
7	18	12	Olivia Jenney	119.2	Bloomfield Hills
7	19	10	Sora Saito	118.4	Novi
7	20	10	Lydia DelPiero Clayton	114.8	Farmington
7	21	9	Hanna Drouillard	110.9	Walled Lake Central
7	22	11	Isabella Glibota	110.3	Berkley
7	23	11	Grace Thomas	109.2	Farmington
7	24	11	Mia Maccani	107.7	Royal Oak
7	25	11	Ana Lucia Reynoso	106.3	Berkley
7	26	10	Jessica Philip	105.3	Novi
7	27	9	Aubrey Burt	102.3	Oak Park
7	28	10	Khaya Pierson	100.8	Livonia Stevenson
7	29	12	Renata Arreola-Olvera	96.0	Novi
7	30	12	Olivia Dixon	95.1	Birmingham Seaholm
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
8	1	9	Claire Cubitt	145.2	Utica
8	2	12	Morgan Scally	140.3	White Lake Lakeland
8	3	12	Avery DeGrendel	137.0	Clarkston
8	4	12	Ava Goodman	133.7	Hartland
8	5	11	Kylie Brown	133.7	Utica
8	6	10	Ruby Hoffmann	130.1	Hartland
8	7	12	Emma Brown	130.0	Utica
8	8	10	Lila Miller	129.6	Hartland
8	9	12	Maya Pletzer	129.2	White Lake Lakeland
8	10	12	Jillian Broyles	129.1	Highland-Milford
8	11	10	Clare O’Reilly	126.8	Troy Athens
8	12	11	Codianne Palczewski	125.6	Utica
8	13	12	Genevieve Connolly	125.5	White Lake Lakeland
8	14	12	Isabelle Verellen	125.5	White Lake Lakeland
8	15	11	Hailey Lan	124.2	Troy
8	16	12	Allie Gallagher	124.1	Walled Lake Northern
8	17	12	Gabby Marino	121.9	White Lake Lakeland
8	18	10	Kylie Rennie	119.7	White Lake Lakeland
8	19	12	Addison Brigham	115.8	Clarkston
8	20	10	Layla Foguth	115.5	Hartland
8	21	10	Gabrielle Desgrange	114.1	Hartland
8	22	11	Gracie Grzymkowski	111.2	White Lake Lakeland
8	23	12	Claire Pikal	107.3	Waterford Kettering
8	24	11	Amelia Garvin	106.9	Clarkston
8	25	10	Annabelle Shaw	105.2	Clarkston
8	26	10	Elizabeth Mann	103.3	Sterling Heights Stevenson
8	27	12	Lauren Giroux	100.7	Troy
8	28	9	Ava Montante	99.7	Walled Lake Northern
8	29	10	Allyson McClure	97.6	Walled Lake Northern
8	30	9	Jordan Middleton	96.5	Highland-Milford
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
9	1	11	Alannah Wessel	157.6	Romeo
9	2	11	Gabriella Mercier	156.7	Macomb Dakota
9	3	11	Charlotte Jones	154.4	Rochester
9	4	12	Reese Rosbolt	150.7	Romeo
9	5	10	Jessica Soldan	146.8	Rochester Adams
9	6	12	El McMahan	139.9	Rochester Adams
9	7	9	Molly Sarrach	138.9	Romeo
9	8	9	Anna Mansilla	138.1	Rochester Adams
9	9	10	Grace Mathers	136.6	Macomb Dakota
9	10	10	Abby Deering	134.9	Rochester Adams
9	11	10	Clare McCloskey	130.1	Utica Eisenhower
9	12	9	Sophia Baier	129.0	Lake Orion
9	13	11	Maren Greve	122.9	Rochester
9	14	12	Alexis Schwartz	120.9	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9	15	12	Haley Sharp	120.3	Port Huron Northern
9	16	12	Alice Foley	118.1	Fraser
9	17	10	Eva Wordell	117.0	Rochester Adams
9	18	10	Evelyn Clancy	116.0	Macomb Dakota
9	19	9	Addison Mauck	114.1	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9	20	12	Natalie Meldrum	112.7	Lake Orion
9	21	11	Ava Thomas	112.0	Rochester Adams
9	22	12	Annie Roraff	111.3	Rochester
9	23	12	Faith Wessel	111.0	Romeo
9	24	9	Aubrie Schutt	110.8	L’Anse Creuse North
9	25	12	Kaitlyn Rizzo	110.4	Macomb Dakota
9	26	10	Aryana Givans	108.9	Rochester
9	27	10	Jelena Olechowski	108.7	Utica Eisenhower
9	28	9	Elena Wasilevich	108.0	Utica Eisenhower
9	29	9	Faith Hammer	104.9	Fraser
9	30	11	Claire Milne	104.6	Rochester Adams

We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
  • Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Any Surprises?

Whitehall

Well, Bobby Jazwinski’s early times have been a bit of a surprise. But he’s gone from #1 in D2 from the summer to #1 in D2 in early October. Rex Pumford, his understudy is performing as expected, in the conversation for a medal in a month’s time. Solid depth pieces in Ian Dennis and Scout Freiheit are improving as sophomores typically do. Who has brought the Vikings up the standings? Alex Winczewski, finding the sport again after a 6-year hiatus. The senior’s first XC fall at the HS level has led him into the mid-18’s on a few occasions, most recently at Allendale.

Vicksburg

We could kinda glimpse the inklings of this during track, where the Bulldogs had three boys at/under 4:45 and 10:30, not to mention Carson Summerfield tearing it up over two laps. Even considering the springtime speed, Vicksburg had a bit of room they’d need to maneuver across, coming off a cross season where they placed 5^th in Region 13 and 4^th in the Wolverine Conference. Thus far, they’ve faced five teams in conference action and haven’t yet lost. Can that extend to the regional level? There’s many of the same teams.

Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
10	1	Petoskey	43	6	187.8
10	2	Spring Lake	97	21	175.8
10	3	Whitehall	146		178.3
10	4	Fremont	151		168.1
10	5	Reed City	156		167.6
10	6	Ludington	167		164.4
10	7	Gaylord	200		159.5
10	8	Cadillac	206		160.8
10	9	Howard City Tri-County	232		154.6
10	10	Big Rapids	236		153.4
10	11	Muskegon Oakridge	239		149.8
10	12	Fruitport	240		149.7
10	13	Clare	267		147.6
10	14	Remus Chippewa Hills	425		79.6
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
11	1	Holland Christian	21	1	197.7
11	2	Cedar Springs	100	23	174.8
11	3	Hudsonville Unity Christian	113		172.0
11	4	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	122		174.2
11	5	Holland	127		171.3
11	6	Coopersville	134		169.2
11	7	Allendale	153		165.9
11	8	Sparta	239		149.3
11	9	South Haven	249		142.4
11	10	Grand Rapids West Catholic	292		134.0
11	11	Allegan	301		130.5
11	12	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills	332		118.3
11	13	Hamilton	366		111.0
11	14	Wyoming Lee	430		80.8
11	15	Comstock Park	449		61.6
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
12	1	East Grand Rapids	38	2	193.7
12	2	Grand Rapids Christian	67	8	186.6
12	3	Forest Hills Eastern	95	16	180.1
12	4	Grand Rapids South Christian	118		173.8
12	5	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	149		168.0
12	6	GR West Michigan Aviation	208		155.9
12	7	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	226		152.5
12	8	Hopkins	267		140.8
12	9	Lake Odessa Lakewood	275		140.4
12	10	Portland	291		129.1
12	11	Grand River Preparatory	299		133.4
12	12	Hastings	313		132.0
12	13	Wayland Union	319		128.0
12	14	Ionia	326		121.3
12	15	Battle Creek Pennfield	377		104.2
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
13	1	Vicksburg	77	13	184.1
13	2	Otsego	83	12	182.7
13	3	St. Joseph	83	15	182.0
13	4	Paw Paw	105	19	179.4
13	5	Edwardsburg	151		171.8
13	6	Battle Creek Harper Creek	160		168.6
13	7	Three Rivers	196		164.9
13	8	Sturgis	246		155.0
13	9	Plainwell	246		155.6
13	10	Coldwater	254		151.8
13	11	Niles	257		152.2
13	12	Marshall	267		148.9
13	13	Berrien Springs	311		139.1
13	14	Stevensville Lakeshore	386		120.0
13	15	Dowagiac Union	473		89.9
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
14	1	Parma Western	39	5	189.7
14	2	DeWitt	69	14	181.5
14	3	Owosso	80	18	179.0
14	4	Haslett	93	22	177.1
14	5	Williamston	101	25	175.6
14	6	St. Johns	186		155.1
14	7	Linden	213		149.2
14	8	Corunna	219		146.9
14	9	Lake Fenton	242		139.6
14	10	Jackson Northwest	337		115.6
14	11	Eaton Rapids	353		106.2
14	12	Charlotte	356		107.2
14	13	Fowlerville	358		102.4
14	14	Lansing Sexton	452		-171.2
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
15	1	Flint Powers Catholic	49	4	192.0
15	2	Alma	61	7	188.6
15	3	Shepherd	70	9	184.3
15	4	Freeland	124	27	174.2
15	5	Saginaw Swan Valley	182		158.3
15	6	Frankenmuth	201		155.9
15	7	Clio	233		146.1
15	8	Essexville-Garber	257		141.9
15	9	Birch Run	268		139.6
15	10	North Branch	268		136.9
15	11	Bay City John Glenn	271		136.6
15	12	Goodrich	279		134.8
15	13	Flint Kearsley	369		108.3
15	14	Saginaw United	376		103.1
15	15	Bay City Central	381		108.7
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
16	1	Pinckney	22	3	193.4
16	2	Chelsea	72	17	179.7
16	3	Detroit Country Day	81	24	176.3
16	4	Dearborn Divine Child	89	26	174.0
16	5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	91	20	175.7
16	6	Grosse Pointe North	191		129.9
16	7	Detroit Voyageur	230		105.5
16	8	Warren Lincoln	273		65.8
16	9	Garden City	277		60.0
16	10	Eastpointe	283		56.0
16	11	Detroit Southeastern Tech	341		-33.8
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
17	1	Holly	34	10	186.3
17	2	Yale	99		159.5
17	3	Marysville	102		160.8
17	4	Macomb Lutheran North	149		152.9
17	5	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	154		150.1
17	6	Croswell-Lexington	157		148.8
17	7	St. Clair	167		146.3
17	8	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	179		140.3
17	9	Imlay City	246		124.1
17	10	Armada	254		124.4
17	11	Madison Heights Lamphere	256		117.5
17	12	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	340		101.3
17	13	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	356		98.0
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
18	1	Adrian	32	11	183.6
18	2	Tecumseh	74		170.1
18	3	New Boston Huron	97		165.2
18	4	Carleton Airport	114		159.0
18	5	Monroe Jefferson	140		154.9
18	6	Grosse Ile	180		145.7
18	7	Ypsilanti Community	184		145.1
18	8	Dundee	231		136.7
18	9	Riverview	233		135.9
18	10	Trenton	249		131.8
18	11	Ida	305		120.2
18	12	Flat Rock	330		116.6
18	13	Milan	339		107.2
18	14	Melvindale	356		105.4

Battles to Watch

Region 11

Where Holland Christian will surely occupy the top spot, and as many as six teams could vie for the other two. Cedar Springs, Unity Christian, GR Catholic Central, Holland, Coopersville, and Allendale are all in contention. Cedar Springs is probably the favorite of the bunch, almost all of their boys hitting a PR over the past two weeks of competition. They were also victorious over Allendale and Coopersville at the most recent RCA Jamboree. We also had a recent matchup between Holland and GRCC at Allendale, where the Dutch cleared the Cougars by a 26-point margin, buttttt Mitchell Dunlap did not run.

Region 16

These teams are coming from all over. Far into Washtenaw County, you’ve got Chelsea and Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard. Reaching up over 8 Mile, Detroit Country Day. A few miles from the MIXC headquarters, Divine Child. Far from one another in geography, close in proximity in projections and rankings. These four squads are ranked within 9 spots of one another and projected within 20 points too. They’ve all got different routes to success. Country Day has the best low-stick in Jack Hincks. Chelsea extends into a solid top-two of Wyeth Angus and Samuel Clifton. Gabriel Richard has the lowest 1-5 spread of the four, 45 seconds by the ratings. And Divine Child has the best 4-5 combo, an always crucial area.

Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
10	1	12	Robert Jazwinski III	230.4	Whitehall
10	2	12	Lukas Albright	204.7	Big Rapids
10	3	12	Bryce Falbe	198.7	Muskegon Oakridge
10	4	12	Jack Frentz	194.7	Petoskey
10	5	11	Christian Pavlige	193.9	Fruitport
10	6	12	Reeve Oberman	193.7	Petoskey
10	7	11	Rex Pumford	193.0	Whitehall
10	8	12	Garrett Lansing	187.9	Petoskey
10	9	9	Conrad Schwass	185.1	Ludington
10	10	10	Colton Mulder	185.0	Cadillac
10	11	12	Owen Adams	184.5	Spring Lake
10	12	12	Carson Brey	181.4	Petoskey
10	13	10	Owen Young	181.3	Petoskey
10	14	12	Griffin Frentz	180.1	Petoskey
10	15	11	Abraham Kiaunis	179.2	Reed City
10	16	11	Tanner Dozier	178.4	Reed City
10	17	12	Ryder Woodwyk	176.6	Spring Lake
10	18	10	Dane Trask	175.7	Spring Lake
10	19	11	Isaac Vandlen	175.1	Spring Lake
10	20	12	Jayden Mueller	174.8	Muskegon Oakridge
10	21	11	Tate Smith	174.1	Fremont
10	22	12	Gabe Grierson	173.9	Ludington
10	23	10	Noah Strother	173.7	Gaylord
10	24	12	Alex Flores	173.7	Ludington
10	25	12	Mossen Green	172.4	Fremont
10	26	11	Max Taylor	170.2	Fremont
10	27	10	David Strother	169.8	Gaylord
10	28	11	Dylan Winskas	169.7	Fruitport
10	29	11	Keagon Kostecki	169.6	Big Rapids
10	30	10	Ethan Strother	169.4	Gaylord
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
11	1	12	Mitchell Dunlap	206.6	Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11	2	10	Grant Lampen	201.0	Holland Christian
11	3	9	Drew Franken	200.0	Holland Christian
11	4	10	Zander Stewart	199.1	Holland Christian
11	5	12	Cole Coffman	195.7	Holland Christian
11	6	11	Aiden Lambers	195.4	Holland
11	7	10	Zach Diller	192.9	Holland Christian
11	8	12	Mason Hill	192.1	Allendale
11	9	12	Peyton Farrell	186.8	Cedar Springs
11	10	12	Alex Ten Haken	183.8	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	11	10	Reuben Riemersma	183.0	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	12	11	Cole Raymond	182.6	Coopersville
11	13	10	James Elliott	180.1	Cedar Springs
11	14	12	Samuel Organ	180.0	Cedar Springs
11	15	11	Derek Bostrom	179.6	Holland Christian
11	16	12	Rylan VanDenBeldt	179.4	Holland Christian
11	17	10	Brycen Stewart	178.4	Allendale
11	18	12	Kellen Chalupa	177.9	Allegan
11	19	12	Brandon Peterson	177.5	Coopersville
11	20	11	Caelen Gray	175.9	Holland
11	21	9	Jack Schulte	174.4	Holland
11	22	11	Zane Molewyk	173.5	Coopersville
11	23	11	Hagan Biehl	170.9	Sparta
11	24	12	Nolan Wiens	170.0	South Haven
11	25	10	Cameron Howe	169.0	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
11	26	9	Hayden Woodwyk	168.2	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	27	10	Eli Schout	168.1	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	28	10	Leo Alivia	167.8	Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11	29	9	Nolan Richardson	167.5	Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11	30	12	Tristan See	165.6	Cedar Springs
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
12	1	11	Micah Becker	209.1	East Grand Rapids
12	2	11	Ashton Fink	204.1	Grand Rapids Christian
12	3	12	Thomas Fisher	201.2	East Grand Rapids
12	4	11	James Scholten-Holcomb	198.1	Grand Rapids Christian
12	5	11	Grayson Michels	194.4	Forest Hills Eastern
12	6	11	Beckett Kneisel	191.1	East Grand Rapids
12	7	12	Ben Verlin	190.7	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	8	11	Jacob Kornoely	190.7	GR West Michigan Aviation
12	9	12	Steven Zawacki	188.4	Forest Hills Eastern
12	10	12	Josiah Rozema	187.5	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	11	10	Hudson Kemper	187.5	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	12	11	Donnie Richmond	187.3	Portland
12	13	12	Lucas Aardema	186.2	East Grand Rapids
12	14	12	Mason Fein	181.1	Wayland Union
12	15		Henry Straveler	180.9	East Grand Rapids
12	16	9	Bennett Piippo	179.9	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12	17	12	Chase Woller-Skar	179.4	East Grand Rapids
12	18	12	Elias DeJong	178.6	Grand Rapids Christian
12	19	12	Kaden Rohrbacher	177.7	Lake Odessa Lakewood
12	20	10	Seth Sytsma	176.9	Grand Rapids Christian
12	21	11	Kash Moored	176.1	Hopkins
12	22	12	Easton McCloy	175.8	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12	23	9	Bennett Teitsma	175.4	Grand Rapids Christian
12	24	11	Tate VanDaele	175.4	Forest Hills Eastern
12	25	10	Aaron Martinson	174.0	Portland
12	26	9	Evan Occhipinti	173.7	Forest Hills Eastern
12	27	9	Cooper Cal	173.3	East Grand Rapids
12	28	9	Wesley Scholten-Holcomb	173.1	Grand Rapids Christian
12	29	10	Luke Worley	172.6	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12	30	10	Owen Bremer	172.3	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
13	1	11	Ethan Ferguson	200.6	Edwardsburg
13	2	12	Caiden Caswell	200.5	Vicksburg
13	3	12	Abraham McHugh	198.9	Marshall
13	4	11	David Kore	197.7	Three Rivers
13	5	12	Hunter Smith	196.1	Vicksburg
13	6	12	Christopher Vogt	193.8	Paw Paw
13	7	12	Seth Randall	193.8	St. Joseph
13	8	11	Landon Lindsay	190.6	Paw Paw
13	9	11	Carson Wiersbe	189.5	St. Joseph
13	10	10	John Brickley	189.4	Niles
13	11	10	George Whitaker	189.4	Otsego
13	12	11	Grant Krause	188.4	Paw Paw
13	13	12	Christian Ayres	187.3	Battle Creek Harper Creek
13	14	12	Grayson Campbell	186.0	Vicksburg
13	15	10	Ryan Long	185.7	Otsego
13	16	11	Kaleb Koestner	183.8	Otsego
13	17	11	Reed Gates	182.3	Edwardsburg
13	18	11	Matthew LaPorte	181.3	St. Joseph
13	19	12	Connor Beebe	181.1	Berrien Springs
13	20	9	Ethan VanHouten	178.7	Otsego
13	21	12	Gunnar Djerf	176.2	Otsego
13	22	12	Luke Aerts	176.0	Coldwater
13	23	10	Cooper Monroe	175.3	Battle Creek Harper Creek
13	24	10	Anthony Durocher	174.7	St. Joseph
13	25	9	Easton Netzley	170.8	St. Joseph
13	26	12	Carson Summerfield	170.0	Vicksburg
13	27	9	Milo Barry	169.5	Sturgis
13	28	11	Braiden Schuh	168.6	Edwardsburg
13	29	12	Sebastian Hernandez	168.0	Coldwater
13	30	9	Dexter Parsons	168.0	Vicksburg
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
14	1	10	Logan Cristian	202.9	Parma Western
14	2	11	Duncan Palmer	199.4	Williamston
14	3	11	Liam Dewitt	196.2	Haslett
14	4	10	Leland Sowle	191.4	Parma Western
14	5	12	Ryan Good	190.8	Parma Western
14	6	10	Leonidas Erfourth	190.4	Owosso
14	7	11	Isaiah Cates	188.3	Haslett
14	8	9	Braysen Kramer	187.0	DeWitt
14	9	11	Jackson Butts	186.2	Lake Fenton
14	10	11	Brady Rappuhn	185.0	Owosso
14	11	9	Spencer Sobak	184.9	Owosso
14	12	11	Roan VanSumeren	183.6	Parma Western
14	13	12	Will Chelotti	182.3	DeWitt
14	14	10	Livio Muzzin	182.1	DeWitt
14	15	11	Teddy Weber	181.4	Williamston
14	16	9	Colin Branch	180.1	DeWitt
14	17	12	Caleb Lynd	179.8	Parma Western
14	18	9	Sterling Burnie	175.9	DeWitt
14	19	10	Micah Good	175.3	Parma Western
14	20	11	Alec Hoy	174.3	St. Johns
14	21	12	Kodi Rose	173.9	Haslett
14	22	10	Gracin Zelski	173.4	DeWitt
14	23	12	Sawyer Zeman	172.9	Haslett
14	24	10	Max Bobeda	170.9	DeWitt
14	25	9	Luke Weber	170.4	Williamston
14	26	12	Ariston Dallas	168.1	Owosso
14	27	11	Christian LeConte	166.6	Owosso
14	28	9	Peyton Raymer	164.7	Williamston
14	29	12	Kai Miller	163.9	Owosso
14	30	10	Lucas Heid	162.7	Corunna
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
15	1	11	Lennox Naswell	213.7	Flint Powers Catholic
15	2	12	Ezekiel Baltierra	207.5	Alma
15	3	12	Bryce Cahoon	201.6	Shepherd
15	4	12	Nick Parker	199.7	Frankenmuth
15	5	12	Seth Betzold	197.8	Essexville-Garber
15	6	12	Ben Bouchey	194.9	Flint Powers Catholic
15	7	9	Camden Clevenger	192.6	Goodrich
15	8	9	Connor Charboneau	191.2	Saginaw Swan Valley
15	9	11	Ryan Rathsburg	190.4	Flint Powers Catholic
15	10	10	Nico Lebron	189.0	Alma
15	11	10	Ryan Brown	188.4	Freeland
15	12	12	Kevin Terpstra	186.3	Alma
15	13	11	Samuel Johnson	185.9	Alma
15	14	12	Jakin Whitney	184.0	Shepherd
15	15	12	Drew Davis	180.7	Shepherd
15	16	11	Griffin Solano	180.6	Flint Powers Catholic
15	17	11	Alex Iordanou	180.6	Flint Powers Catholic
15	18	9	Caleb Cahoon	178.2	Shepherd
15	19	11	Charlie Penneau	178.0	Flint Powers Catholic
15	20	12	William McDonald	177.0	Shepherd
15	21	12	Jackson Horn	176.9	Freeland
15	22	12	Braeden Conger	176.1	Frankenmuth
15	23	11	Eddie Radtke	175.5	Shepherd
15	24	9	Carter Minnis	175.4	Freeland
15	25	10	Connor Miller	174.2	Alma
15	26	9	Reece Lorencz	172.7	Goodrich
15	27	10	Charlie Fields	171.6	North Branch
15	28	12	Spencer Dammann	169.4	Saginaw Swan Valley
15	29	11	Charles Murray	167.2	Bay City John Glenn
15	30	12	Jackson Briley	167.1	Clio
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
16	1	12	Cole McCraw	208.9	Pinckney
16	2	11	Jack Hincks	201.7	Detroit Country Day
16	3	12	Lincoln Reed	197.6	Pinckney
16	4	12	Wyeth Angus	196.0	Chelsea
16	5	10	John Rochowiak	188.3	Pinckney
16	6	10	Matt McFall	186.2	Pinckney
16	7	10	Cash Wilds	185.9	Pinckney
16	8	12	Samuel Clifton	185.5	Chelsea
16	9	11	Ben Kuhn	185.2	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	10	10	Wyatt Jespersen	180.4	Pinckney
16	11	11	Daniel Reifenberg	180.4	Dearborn Divine Child
16	12	10	Hari Varma	179.9	Detroit Country Day
16	13	12	Leo Alafita	179.7	Chelsea
16	14	12	Jonathan Rapoza	178.0	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	15	11	Landen Bermudez	177.7	Dearborn Divine Child
16	16	12	Omar Elbashir	176.8	Detroit Country Day
16	17	12	Joseph Arriola	176.4	Dearborn Divine Child
16	18	11	Ethan Bray	176.4	Detroit Country Day
16	19	12	Caleb Maciag	176.4	Pinckney
16	20	12	Grant Goodwin	175.5	Dearborn Divine Child
16	21	9	Dominic Cai	175.2	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	22	12	Owen Thorburn	170.7	Chelsea
16	23	12	Conley Poole	170.6	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	24	10	John Fedewa	169.7	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	25	10	Jonathan Love	166.6	Chelsea
16	26	12	Jacob Salinas	160.0	Dearborn Divine Child
16	27	12	Preston Vasas	157.2	Chelsea
16	28	11	Zachary Barszczowski	155.8	Dearborn Divine Child
16	29	10	Ellis Carmichael	155.6	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	30	11	George Fredenberg	153.5	Chelsea
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
17	1	12	Broden Ladd	204.2	Holly
17	2	11	Cole Heikka	197.5	Holly
17	3	12	Joshua Macri	194.2	Macomb Lutheran North
17	4	11	Andrew Nunning	193.4	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	5	12	Connor Pepin	191.3	Croswell-Lexington
17	6	12	Trevor Murphy	187.2	Holly
17	7	12	Ethan Kreger	183.9	St. Clair
17	8	10	Caleb McBride	182.8	Marysville
17	9	11	Elliot Alef	182.7	Macomb Lutheran North
17	10	11	Brady VanConant	178.4	Yale
17	11	11	Joshua Byrtus	175.5	Holly
17	12	11	Mason Pietrykowski	174.9	Richmond
17	13	12	Wyatt Bovensiep	171.3	Auburn Hills Avondale
17	14	11	Griffin Kreger	168.1	St. Clair
17	15	12	Brendan Koza	167.3	Marysville
17	16	11	Joshua Behrend	167.1	Holly
17	17	9	Noah Miller	165.4	Yale
17	18	10	Travis Murphy	163.8	Holly
17	19	9	Weston Rutallie	163.7	Marysville
17	20	11	Logan Carrier	160.0	Yale
17	21	11	Karsten Martin	155.7	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	22	10	Ryland Giannini	154.9	Madison Heights Lamphere
17	23	10	Aaron Byrne	153.6	Holly
17	24	11	Thomas Schweihofer	151.0	Yale
17	25	10	Andrew Yousif	150.7	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
17	26	12	Mason Russell	149.6	Imlay City
17	27	10	Jack Abdelnour	149.4	Macomb Lutheran North
17	28	11	Liam Bhatti	149.4	Imlay City
17	29	12	Jeremy Johnson	148.0	Marysville
17	30	11	Alexander Repp	146.5	Croswell-Lexington
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
18	1	12	Cameron Crane	194.9	New Boston Huron
18	2	10	Parker Smith	190.7	Adrian
18	3	11	Eli Morris	189.8	Tecumseh
18	4	12	Carter Fenner	188.8	Adrian
18	5	11	Easton Coscarelli	186.3	Adrian
18	6	12	Landin Fisher	183.8	Adrian
18	7	10	Mason Tulik	177.8	Monroe Jefferson
18	8	11	Dempsey Barrett	174.3	Tecumseh
18	9	10	Mason Martin	174.1	Milan
18	10	11	Harrison Stamper	174.0	Tecumseh
18	11	11	Nicholas Ranka	170.5	Grosse Ile
18	12	10	Andrew Bell	170.5	Carleton Airport
18	13	11	Carson Scholz	169.9	Tecumseh
18	14	11	Carter Lee	169.7	Monroe Jefferson
18	15	11	Lucas Zeckner	168.8	Adrian
18	16	12	Hunter Rodak	168.1	Carleton Airport
18	17	9	Jackson Satterfield	166.6	Trenton
18	18	12	Tanner Kuhn	165.6	New Boston Huron
18	19	12	Kadan Crist	161.9	Adrian
18	20	10	Adam Ibrahim	161.0	Riverview
18	21	11	Ben Kline	159.6	Ypsilanti Community
18	22	10	Gabe Busen	158.9	Monroe Jefferson
18	23	12	Hayden Bovair	157.4	Carleton Airport
18	24	10	Daelin Ring	156.1	New Boston Huron
18	25	11	Isaac Kraftson	155.0	Ypsilanti Community
18	26	11	Brenton Musallam	155.0	New Boston Huron
18	27	11	Carson Dennis	154.4	Riverview
18	28	12	Garrett Patrick	154.2	New Boston Huron
18	29	11	Gavin Diroff	151.3	Trenton
18	30	9	Grady Marino	150.9	Carleton Airport

Any Surprises?

Chippewa Hills

Their girls have been on a roll as of late. Their schedule helps give a glimpse into the Warrior improvement. In early September, they traveled east to Shepherd for the John Bruder Classic. Then they attacked conference action before returning to XC heaven this past weekend. In that month gap, CH saw notable improvement from Addison Dekker (22:19 > 20:44), Conley Howard (22:03 > 20:47), Quinn Killian (21:30 > 20:39), Dory Simon (20:26 > 19:36), and Morgan Voorhees (23:41 > 21:37). I really could be up typing all night about all the growth these Chip Hills girls have seen, as nearly everyone on the squad saw a SB or PB this past weekend.

Holland

The Dutch have vaulted into the discussion to make it out of the unfathomably tough Region 11 (four teams from the top-10). They’ve done so on the improvement of two youngsters – Molly Murphy and Tessa Nienhuis. Nienhuis spent last fall getting better all year, her season culminating in a bevy of mid-20 efforts. She’s already moved into the 19’s and is finishing considerably higher in the OK Black standings. Murphy just had two consecutive breakout races in a row, finding a 19:41 at Autumn Sunrise and a 19:27 at Allendale. A year ago, she couldn’t even run that pace for 2 miles, now she’s extending into further distances at a quicker speed, bringing her newfound teammates into state qualifying contention.

Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
10	1	Spring Lake	77	14	112.2
10	2	Remus Chippewa Hills	98	19	102.5
10	3	Clare	109	26	99.8
10	4	Cadillac	113	23	106.3
10	5	Ludington	127		106.0
10	6	Fruitport	157		93.1
10	7	Gaylord	159		86.9
10	8	Whitehall	175		82.5
10	9	Reed City	203		73.2
10	10	Petoskey	238		67.8
10	11	Fremont	257		25.8
10	12	Big Rapids	340		33.6
10	13	Howard City Tri-County	386		18.7
10	14	Muskegon Oakridge	415		-2.3
10	15	Ogemaw Heights	454		-54.0
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
11	1	Holland Christian	33	1	142.1
11	2	Holland	84	8	121.3
11	3	Coopersville	85	9	123.6
11	4	Allendale	100	10	115.0
11	5	Cedar Springs	144	25	100.5
11	6	Sparta	167		98.4
11	7	Hudsonville Unity Christian	175		90.9
11	8	South Haven	238		73.2
11	9	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	239		79.3
11	10	Grand Rapids West Catholic	258		74.4
11	11	Hamilton	292		58.7
11	12	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills	373		8.3
11	13	Comstock Park	381		-8.7
11	14	Wyoming Lee	412		-57.6
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
12	1	Grand Rapids South Christian	69	5	124.9
12	2	East Grand Rapids	73	6	123.3
12	3	Grand Rapids Christian	80	4	122.8
12	4	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	116	13	111.8
12	5	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	151	21	102.7
12	6	Wayland Union	204		88.8
12	7	GR West Michigan Aviation	210		86.0
12	8	Hastings	220		86.8
12	9	Forest Hills Eastern	224		82.6
12	10	Hopkins	236		77.3
12	11	Ionia	281		54.3
12	12	Portland	335		42.4
12	13	Grand River Preparatory	364		19.1
12	14	Battle Creek Pennfield	405		-6.9
12	15	Lake Odessa Lakewood	425		-6.4
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
13	1	Otsego	33	2	133.8
13	2	Sturgis	123	24	102.2
13	3	Plainwell	123	18	111.7
13	4	St. Joseph	128	20	101.8
13	5	Edwardsburg	148		101.4
13	6	Stevensville Lakeshore	154		100.1
13	7	Battle Creek Harper Creek	166		89.7
13	8	Paw Paw	184		90.5
13	9	Three Rivers	219		81.8
13	10	Marshall	267		71.1
13	11	Vicksburg	285		63.5
13	12	Coldwater	323		56.6
13	13	Niles	336		54.7
13	14	Berrien Springs	375		41.4
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
14	1	Linden	49	3	126.9
14	2	DeWitt	55	7	124.7
14	3	Williamston	114	27	102.4
14	4	Haslett	135		93.2
14	5	Charlotte	144		90.4
14	6	Parma Western	157		85.3
14	7	Owosso	195		70.2
14	8	Lake Fenton	209		67.9
14	9	Fowlerville	219		63.4
14	10	St. Johns	220		60.2
14	11	Corunna	300		14.7
14	12	Jackson Northwest	323		-9.9
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
15	1	Goodrich	47	12	117.1
15	2	Freeland	81		94.6
15	3	Flint Powers Catholic	82		94.0
15	4	Shepherd	95		92.1
15	5	Frankenmuth	105		86.2
15	6	Alma	165		64.8
15	7	Birch Run	195		58.5
15	8	Saginaw Swan Valley	195		57.8
15	9	Essexville-Garber	231		42.5
15	10	Clio	245		40.3
15	11	Bay City John Glenn	343		-24.6
15	12	North Branch	348		-16.3
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
16	1	Pinckney	45	17	113.3
16	2	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	57		99.5
16	3	Farmington Hills Mercy	68		94.7
16	4	Dearborn Divine Child	105		72.3
16	5	Chelsea	121		62.5
16	6	Grosse Pointe North	128		58.2
16	7	Detroit Country Day	156		46.0
16	8	Detroit Southeastern Tech	258		-119.3
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
17	1	Bloomfield Hills Marian	56	11	114.2
17	2	Holly	79	15	115.9
17	3	Macomb Lutheran North	89	22	102.9
17	4	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	136		88.0
17	5	Armada	146		88.8
17	6	Yale	151		87.3
17	7	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	153		88.8
17	8	St. Clair	158		82.3
17	9	Croswell-Lexington	203		74.6
17	10	Marysville	264		62.6
17	11	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	313		52.0
17	12	Warren Regina	315		52.3
17	13	Richmond	446		-6.9
17	14	Imlay City	449		-12.2
17	15	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	457		-37.4
Region	Proj. Place	Team	Reg. Score	Rank	Top-5 Avg.
18	1	Adrian	40	16	113.6
18	2	New Boston Huron	60		93.4
18	3	Tecumseh	85		80.1
18	4	Carleton Airport	131		67.8
18	5	Trenton	152		59.9
18	6	Grosse Ile	162		58.3
18	7	Monroe Jefferson	197		47.4
18	8	Ida	218		37.3
18	9	Dundee	223		36.9
18	10	Ypsilanti Community	265		-56.5
18	11	Milan	283		7.5
18	12	Flat Rock	298		-8.2

Battles to Watch

Region 10

Yeah, Chippewa Hills has surprised thus far and moved into 2^nd in the projections. But the Warriors still have work to do, as many contenders are in close proximity. Clare is right there, Cadillac too, with Ludington not far behind. The Vikings and Orioles have the low-sticks, Chloe Mazza and Ella McInerney, Eliza Schwass and Annabelle Lowman. Clare is more depth-based, an example of that coming at VSV, where the Pioneers placed all of their scorers before Cadillac’s 4^th came in, earning Clare a 2-point edge in the final standings.

Region 13

Three teams, two spots, and a projected 5 points between them all. That’s a doozy. Plainwell, Sturgis, and St. Joseph. Two Wolverine Conference foes are the former two, and we’ve seen them face-off in league play. Plainwell won there, placing three girls in the top-four, a tough proposition to come back from. That said, Sturgis was missing Leilani Machuca, whose 19:45 at Otsego helped close the gap toward the Vikings. St. Joseph has largely steered clear of these two squads, with one decently recent exception, Ottawa Hills. There, the Bears played a role similar to Sturgis, battling back in the later spots to finish just behind Plainwell. By the transitive property of cross country, it might just be between Sturgis and St. Joe.

Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
10	1	10	Eliza Schwass	156.3	Ludington
10	2	12	Ella McInerney	145.4	Cadillac
10	3	9	Evelyn Goosen	144.6	Spring Lake
10	4	12	Zoe German	132.2	Fruitport
10	5	12	Annabelle Lowman	132.0	Ludington
10	6	11	Chloe Mazza	125.0	Cadillac
10	7	11	Dory Simon	123.7	Remus Chippewa Hills
10	8	12	Sophia Buzzelli	117.5	Clare
10	9	12	Cora Parker	117.1	Spring Lake
10	10	12	Hallee Hervey	115.6	Reed City
10	11	9	Cecelia Merrick	114.3	Gaylord
10	12	9	Abigail Cooper	114.1	Spring Lake
10	13	10	Hailey Kuhn	109.6	Cadillac
10	14	12	Marlowe Walcott	107.2	Reed City
10	15	12	Gabrielle Chevez	106.0	Whitehall
10	16	11	Peyhton Beardsley	105.0	Fruitport
10	17	12	Lauren Leis	104.8	Clare
10	18	9	Quinn Killian	104.5	Remus Chippewa Hills
10	19	9	Quinn Drake	101.3	Clare
10	20	10	Charly Braidwood	98.6	Spring Lake
10	21	11	Peyton Nellis	98.3	Remus Chippewa Hills
10	22	9	Brooklyn Kramer	96.7	Gaylord
10	23	10	Evelayna Szajner	96.1	Gaylord
10	24	11	Emma Stotzel	95.9	Clare
10	25	10	Conley Howard	94.0	Remus Chippewa Hills
10	26	10	Stella Irving	92.2	Fremont
10	27	9	Addison Dekker	92.0	Remus Chippewa Hills
10	28	12	Addison Torrez	89.8	Ludington
10	29	9	Madison Heuschele	87.9	Whitehall
10	30	10	Aya Pateman	87.6	Petoskey
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
11	1	11	Avery Engbers	159.8	Holland Christian
11	2	11	Oakley Osterhart	153.8	Coopersville
11	3	10	Breslyn Klein	149.1	Coopersville
11	4	12	Mia May	148.3	Sparta
11	5	12	Eliana Stob	144.5	Holland Christian
11	6	12	Olivia Weiss	143.3	Holland
11	7	12	Ellery Lampen	142.9	Holland Christian
11	8	9	Molly White	134.6	Holland Christian
11	9	12	Sawyer Reagan	134.0	Allendale
11	10	10	Addisyn Wood	130.4	Sparta
11	11	11	Addison Bixler	130.3	Coopersville
11	12	9	Anna Zietlow	128.7	Holland Christian
11	13	12	Mackenzie Huizenga	125.1	Holland Christian
11	14	9	Molly Murphy	124.7	Holland
11	15	12	Johanna Mulder	122.5	Holland
11	16	10	Mia Hill	120.9	Allendale
11	17	11	Annika Stob	120.5	Holland Christian
11	18	10	Tessa Nienhuis	118.8	Holland
11	19	10	Lauren Meyer	118.2	Allendale
11	20	11	Quinn McWilliams	112.5	Coopersville
11	21	12	Carly Bruxvoort	112.5	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	22	12	Abby Noorman	112.5	Cedar Springs
11	23	12	Kylee Brose	107.6	Allendale
11	24	9	Halle Valliere	106.5	Cedar Springs
11	25	12	Noelle Wielhouwer	105.6	Hudsonville Unity Christian
11	26	10	Caroline Berkemeier	104.6	Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11	27	9	Keira Garza	102.4	Grand Rapids West Catholic
11	28	9	Ella Cook	100.6	South Haven
11	29	12	Miriam Hess	100.2	Cedar Springs
11	30	11	Addy Nesbitt	97.8	Cedar Springs
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
12	1	12	Caroline Randall	162.0	Hastings
12	2	11	Tiffany DeMaagd	143.6	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	3	10	Lily VanEyk	137.4	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	4	11	Anneliese Passchier	136.3	East Grand Rapids
12	5	9	Emi Crews	132.1	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
12	6	12	Adeline Armstrong	129.8	East Grand Rapids
12	7	12	Lillian Dewey	129.0	Hopkins
12	8	12	Zoe Hoekstra	127.8	Grand Rapids Christian
12	9	12	Ahna Woltjer	127.7	GR West Michigan Aviation
12	10	10	Noelle Hulst	126.8	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	11	9	Carleigh Gearhart	126.1	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
12	12	11	Joy Van Wyk	125.9	Grand Rapids Christian
12	13	9	Charlotte Schellhammer	124.7	East Grand Rapids
12	14	10	Eliana Zwiep	123.7	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12	15	10	Kylie Zwiep	123.6	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12	16	11	Abree VanDenBrink	121.8	Wayland Union
12	17	11	Lily Phillips	121.5	Forest Hills Eastern
12	18	12	Meghan-Jane Skidmore	121.3	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
12	19	11	Eva Lindstrom	121.2	Grand Rapids Christian
12	20	11	Alena Sportel	120.8	Grand Rapids Christian
12	21	12	Lucy Waalkes	118.5	Grand Rapids Christian
12	22	11	Maggie Scholma	117.9	Grand Rapids Christian
12	23	11	Caroline Schellhammer	117.0	East Grand Rapids
12	24	11	Vivienne Conflitti	114.0	Forest Hills Eastern
12	25	9	Claire Setsma	113.3	Grand Rapids Christian
12	26	10	Hailey Moorman	110.2	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	27	10	Lucy Straveler	108.5	East Grand Rapids
12	28	10	Isabelle Oostema	106.7	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	29	11	Ava Oostema	104.2	Grand Rapids South Christian
12	30	11	Ava Benedict	103.2	Ionia
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
13	1	9	Natalya Hoffman	157.0	Plainwell
13	2	11	Mai Nguyen	144.9	Plainwell
13	3	10	Alayna Verhage	141.1	Otsego
13	4	11	Grace Leman	139.1	Edwardsburg
13	5	10	Lydia Dwyer	138.5	Stevensville Lakeshore
13	6	10	Addelyn Sabatke	136.9	Otsego
13	7	10	Adelyn Verhage	132.8	Otsego
13	8	12	Skylar Mejeur	130.1	Otsego
13	9	9	Addison Andress	128.0	Otsego
13	10	10	Taylee Fox	124.2	Otsego
13	11	11	Gracelyn Leman	122.6	Edwardsburg
13	12	11	Layla Gableman	118.5	Edwardsburg
13	13	9	Alice Starkey	115.6	Sturgis
13	14	12	Marley Momany	114.9	Stevensville Lakeshore
13	15	12	Madeline Goodwin	114.0	Otsego
13	16	10	Kenna Koole	112.8	Vicksburg
13	17	9	Leilani Machuca	112.4	Sturgis
13	18	12	Abigail Luckman	112.1	Stevensville Lakeshore
13	19	11	Alaina Dillon	110.7	Marshall
13	20	10	Lulu Park	110.5	Sturgis
13	21	10	Vittoria Perrucchetti	109.9	St. Joseph
13	22	9	Taylor Schulte	109.4	St. Joseph
13	23	11	Avery Huff	106.6	Paw Paw
13	24	11	Molly Bruggink	101.7	Plainwell
13	25	11	Audrey Kline	101.0	St. Joseph
13	26	12	Hayden Lemieux	100.1	Paw Paw
13	27	9	Adelyn Richardson	98.9	St. Joseph
13	28	9	Kloey Osborn	94.4	Three Rivers
13	29	10	Alaina Kirkpatrick	93.5	Battle Creek Harper Creek
13	30	11	Ronja Schuett	92.9	Vicksburg
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
14	1	12	Ava Schafer	158.0	St. Johns
14	2	9	Clara Cook	156.5	DeWitt
14	3	12	Addison Josephson	144.8	Linden
14	4	11	Courtney Floeter	143.9	Linden
14	5	11	Remie Ellis	141.2	Eaton Rapids
14	6	9	Annabel Buggia	138.7	Williamston
14	7	11	Natalie Hayes	130.8	DeWitt
14	8	12	Elliana Hufton	125.8	Lake Fenton
14	9	12	Colette Charchut	118.6	Haslett
14	10	12	Avery Silvas	118.6	Charlotte
14	11	12	Sidney Shepard	117.8	Linden
14	12	11	Abby Crandell	117.3	Owosso
14	13	10	Brooklyn Takagishi	117.0	DeWitt
14	14	11	Bridget Fullerton	116.4	Parma Western
14	15	12	Anna Soltis	115.5	DeWitt
14	16	9	Kennedy Kolodica	114.7	Linden
14	17	9	Ella Bahle	114.0	Williamston
14	18	11	Molly Roberts	113.3	Linden
14	19	10	Emma Durling	111.2	Linden
14	20	12	Melody Meckstroth	109.0	Linden
14	21	9	Violette Goodrich	106.6	Charlotte
14	22	11	Emma Cook	103.6	DeWitt
14	23	10	Dakota Budd	99.1	Haslett
14	24	9	Penny Ewald	97.1	Owosso
14	25	10	Madisyn Blair	97.1	Parma Western
14	26	11	Clara Marschall	95.2	Fowlerville
14	27	10	Cecilia Kelly	91.8	Williamston
14	28	12	Natalie Kuhl	91.0	Parma Western
14	29	11	Paige Kanan	89.6	DeWitt
14	30	10	Chloe Wilber	89.3	DeWitt
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
15	1	11	Kayla Shellenbarger	151.5	Goodrich
15	2	12	Alivia Ottinger	140.2	Goodrich
15	3	12	Clara Kaczor	139.8	Freeland
15	4	12	Lucy Conzelmann	131.8	Frankenmuth
15	5	11	Mila Villarreal	126.0	Flint Powers Catholic
15	6	11	Cailyn Baker	123.5	Shepherd
15	7	12	Baylor Lauinger	120.9	Goodrich
15	8	11	Danica Redes	119.4	Shepherd
15	9	12	Kylie Mausolf	113.2	Birch Run
15	10	11	Victoria Bouchey	106.2	Flint Powers Catholic
15	11	12	Aubrey Hare	105.4	Saginaw Swan Valley
15	12	12	Claire Arnold	98.3	Essexville-Garber
15	13	9	Jade McCormick	96.2	Flint Powers Catholic
15	14	10	Grace Kloha	93.7	Freeland
15	15	11	Sarah Warner	92.8	Shepherd
15	16	9	Emma Parker	90.0	Frankenmuth
15	17	10	Katie Niederquell	87.1	Freeland
15	18	10	Addyson Campbell	86.6	Goodrich
15	19	9	Molly Scott	86.4	Goodrich
15	20	10	Grace Hancock	85.6	Alma
15	21	10	Maria Haj	79.2	Flint Powers Catholic
15	22	10	Sarah Diffin	78.6	Freeland
15	23	11	Kinsley Compau	78.4	Frankenmuth
15	24	10	Addison King	74.9	Frankenmuth
15	25	12	Olivia Mielke	74.0	Freeland
15	26	9	Tatum McGill	73.4	Alma
15	27	10	Sevarah Markham	73.0	Alma
15	28	11	Gabriella Dallas	69.1	Freeland
15	29	12	Annalee Takalo	68.6	Shepherd
15	30	11	Sofia Sporman	66.8	Flint Kearsley
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
16	1	12	Jaelyn Ray	166.0	Pinckney
16	2	11	Eastynn Charder	128.9	Pinckney
16	3	11	Maya Hammoud	128.6	Detroit Country Day
16	4	9	Mary Hickey	127.5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	5	11	Elizabeth Gerzema	126.0	Farmington Hills Mercy
16	6	11	Grace Bedner	116.8	Farmington Hills Mercy
16	7	9	Hailey Baltzell	114.4	Pinckney
16	8	12	Bridget Fidkowski	111.7	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	9	11	Ainslie Carter	108.1	Farmington Hills Mercy
16	10	9	Gabriella Diaz	107.8	Dearborn Divine Child
16	11	12	Zora Ziolkowski	95.9	Chelsea
16	12	12	Ava Pfaffenbach	93.7	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	13	10	Jordane Falvey	92.8	Dearborn Divine Child
16	14	12	Rose Buonerba	88.5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	15	11	Kaylynne Baltzell	85.1	Pinckney
16	16	9	Wilhelmina VanderWerp	79.9	Grosse Pointe North
16	17	9	Noelle Lyon	76.6	Grosse Pointe North
16	18	11	Ella Trueman	76.4	Dearborn Divine Child
16	19	12	Alexis Adelman	76.2	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	20	11	Abigail Adams	72.1	Pinckney
16	21	12	Sofia Dussan	71.9	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	22	10	JJ Lukas	70.1	Farmington Hills Mercy
16	23	12	Megan Welch	69.5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16	24	10	Kathryn Dunn	61.6	Chelsea
16	25	12	Persephone Berg	57.5	Chelsea
16	26	10	Dahmiyah McDaniel	54.9	Detroit Voyageur
16	27	12	Sofia Razny	52.4	Farmington Hills Mercy
16	28	11	Ryan Huhn	52.0	Dearborn Divine Child
16	29	11	Erin Doolittle	51.6	Grosse Pointe North
16	30	10	Addison Leschuk	50.7	Chelsea
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
17	1	12	Maddie Lindley	153.2	Holly
17	2	11	Julia Bambach	152.9	Holly
17	3	12	Lucille Clark	126.7	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	4	11	Saige Cole	126.5	Yale
17	5	12	Samantha Whitlam	125.1	Macomb Lutheran North
17	6	11	Chloe Boright	123.3	Macomb Lutheran North
17	7	10	Katherine Estes	121.9	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
17	8	9	Marian Byrd	121.6	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	9	9	Josephine Humphrey	118.7	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	10	10	Claire Albrecht	115.6	Armada
17	11	11	Zahiya Khan	110.1	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
17	12	11	Gabby Schuff	110.1	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	13	12	Flora Ramos	103.9	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	14	10	Katelyn Schweihofer	100.4	Yale
17	15	11	Madelyn Barkley	100.3	Croswell-Lexington
17	16	9	Izzy Runevitch	98.6	Holly
17	17	11	Lucy Gump	98.4	Macomb Lutheran North
17	18	9	Layla Tedder	98.3	Armada
17	19	10	Leah Murchie	97.8	Holly
17	20	10	Lyla Eidson	97.1	Auburn Hills Avondale
17	21	9	Lily Galayda	96.5	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	22	12	Eliza Thompson	96.1	Croswell-Lexington
17	23	9	Abigail (Abby) Dietzel	95.2	Marysville
17	24	10	Kamille Fitzpatrick	94.0	Armada
17	25	10	Melanie Clark	93.9	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	26	11	Emily Anderson	88.5	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	27	10	Rose Hill	87.4	St. Clair
17	28	11	Alayna Smith	87.1	Bloomfield Hills Marian
17	29	10	Zeta Adamski	87.0	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17	30	11	Rachel McDonell	84.7	St. Clair
Region	Proj. Place	Grade	Name	O4 Rating	Team
18	1	12	Ayda Skeels	147.2	Adrian
18	2	11	Madison Petty	139.8	Adrian
18	3	11	Ella Baker	115.3	Carleton Airport
18	4	11	Ella McCleery	114.8	Ypsilanti Community
18	5	11	Claire Miller	114.4	Monroe Jefferson
18	6	11	Grace Pacheco	112.5	New Boston Huron
18	7	11	Karina Mihai-Grammes	109.2	Adrian
18	8	11	Jamie Glatfelter	101.3	Trenton
18	9	9	Marina Warner	100.2	Grosse Ile
18	10	9	Alexis Richards	99.6	Adrian
18	11	11	Virginia Barrett	96.3	Tecumseh
18	12	12	Ella McFarlane	93.9	Riverview
18	13	10	Zoey Cheney	89.5	New Boston Huron
18	14	11	Isa Vargo	89.3	New Boston Huron
18	15	12	Kayla Christesen	88.5	New Boston Huron
18	16	11	Alexis White	87.2	New Boston Huron
18	17	10	Opal English	82.8	Tecumseh
18	18	12	Maya Whelan	76.8	Tecumseh
18	19	11	Avalina Williamson	75.6	Trenton
18	20	12	Haley Rucinski	75.1	Tecumseh
18	21	11	Klair Baker	72.0	Adrian
18	22	10	Abbey Ward	71.3	Carleton Airport
18	23	11	Morgan McMichael	69.5	Tecumseh
18	24	10	Madison Agocs	68.8	Carleton Airport
18	25	12	Camryn Nowak	66.7	Tecumseh
18	26	10	Lana Benware	65.7	Ida
18	27	11	Lila Somerset	64.4	Grosse Ile
18	28	11	Lea Rode	64.3	Ypsilanti Community
18	29	12	London Landini	64.2	Tecumseh
18	30	9	Samarah Huffman	63.6	Adrian