2021 Way Too Early Rankings: Division 1

I’m still here. The photoshops are going well, learning very gradually, but I wanted to take a break from those to look forward to next year. Here’s how I want to go about the previews and pre-season rankings this time around:

  • December
    • Just the returners, using the 2020 season
  • Before Track
    • Projected improvement + 8th graders added in
  • After Track
    • Track added in
  • Summer
    • Regional Previews, 50 Tickets, etc.

This batch uses 2020’s ratings and takes the outgoing seniors out of the equation. There are some teams (Clarkston girls and Davison boys, for example) that I believe were underrated throughout the season by my methods. As a consequence, they’ll probably be a bit undervalued here. But hopefully this gives a better picture than your hypothetical.


(girls run first in 2021)



Final Ratings 2020 – Girls

In past years, I’ve used two methods to give out a final rating. Overall, using all the meets in a season and championship, meets from October on. Both of these are weighted towards meets at the end of the year. Between those two, I’d take the higher one.

Based on the Hobbs Kessler Rule (understanding that in 2020, top athletes won’t run all out each and every meet), I changed things up a bit. For the entirety of the season, I used the top half of a runner’s races to determine their overall rating. With a bit more time on my hands, I calculated the overall and championship (actually used this to draft those winning teams in the MITCA race) ones as well. For the final rating, I’m choosing the highest of the three.

All Meets

Top Half