The above infographs are from last season. I’ll make some new ones with updated stats for 2023.
With the early season ratings, a couple of notes:
Elite, more experienced runners will always be a bit overrated early. They tend to come into the season in better shape relative to the rest of the field, and thus are closer to their championship season fitness compared to someone newer to the sport.
With smaller meets, they’re not as accurate as they may be later in the year. Smaller samples and less ability to compare makes it hard to come up with an adjustment. Which explains why I’ll concentrate on the larger ones early, then work my way back toward the smaller ones.
Adversity tends to have a greater impact early. Whether that’s heat, hills, humidity, or even all three, those less fit will tend to struggle a bit more early, possibly overcooking the course adjustment.
The girls adjustment will typically be a bit more, as they’re spending more time on the course.
These will get weighed less and less as the season rolls on, meaning virtually nothing come October. As a coach, I’d stress not losing sleep over early season times. On here, I’m stressing the same thing.
Meet Girls Adj. Boys Adj. Average Early Burg -13 -16 -15 Oakdale Classic -37 -32 -35
GIRLS TEAM RATINGS
Girls Team Top 5 Avg. Division Holt 80.2 1 Greenville 60.8 1 Lapeer 60.6 1 Holly 34.2 1 Girls Team Top 5 Avg. Division Belding 59.2 2 Fowlerville 47.4 2 Imlay City 1.3 2 Girls Team Top 5 Avg. Division Laingsburg 62.5 3 Richmond 40.6 3 Cass City 18.7 3 Almont 12.9 3 Girls Team Top 5 Avg. Division Dryden 12.4 4 Girls Team Top 5 Avg. Division Capital Homeschool 67.7 HS
BOYS TEAM RATINGS
Boys Team Top 5 Avg. Division Holly 150.1 1 Greenville 139.2 1 Lapeer 138.5 1 Holt 127.7 1 Boys Team Top 5 Avg. Division Fowlerville 136.0 2 Imlay City 110.6 2 North Branch 109.5 2 Belding 99.6 2 Boys Team Top 5 Avg. Division Bath 165.4 3 Laingsburg 120.9 3 Richmond 101.9 3 Almont 85.3 3 Cass City 77.8 3 Boys Team Top 5 Avg. Division Dryden 121.3 4 Boys Team Top 5 Avg. Division Capital Homeschool 179.7 HS
GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS
Grade Name Time Team Rating Meet 11 Lauren Walker 19:44.6 Holt 129.5 Early Burg 11 Emily Rathka 21:04.8 Laingsburg 102.7 Early Burg 11 Ella Reaves 21:05.7 Holt 102.4 Early Burg 10 Gracelin Martin 21:24.2 Greenville 96.3 Early Burg 10 Samantha Hundt 21:27.5 Capital Homeschool 95.2 Early Burg 10 Anna Poppema 21:34.1 Bath 93.0 Early Burg 12 Emmalee Springer 21:42.3 Belding 90.2 Early Burg 11 Mackenzie Zahm 22:01.9 Belding 83.7 Early Burg 12 Jessica Bossenbroek 22:01.9 Holt 83.7 Early Burg 12 Macy Tackabury 22:34.3 Lapeer 80.9 Oakdale Classic 10 Delaney Richardson 22:33.4 Fowlerville 73.2 Early Burg 12 Brianna Albers 22:59.8 Richmond 72.4 Oakdale Classic 11 Rowan Conley 23:05.1 North Branch 70.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Eleri Raleigh 22:47.9 Capital Homeschool 68.4 Early Burg 12 Nicole Gale 22:48.4 Greenville 68.2 Early Burg 10 Maria Beach 22:51.9 Fowlerville 67.0 Early Burg 11 Brenna Raleigh 22:52.7 Capital Homeschool 66.8 Early Burg 11 Charlotte O’Brien 23:24.1 Imlay City 64.3 Oakdale Classic 11 Addalyn Warren 23:29.6 Lapeer 62.5 Oakdale Classic 11 Evelyn Logghe 23:06.7 Laingsburg 62.1 Early Burg 9 Maddie Lindley 23:32.3 Holly 61.6 Oakdale Classic 10 Paulina Chapman 23:34.3 Richmond 60.9 Oakdale Classic 12 Audrey Napolitano 23:37.1 Dryden 60.0 Oakdale Classic 12 Rylee Brasseur 23:37.9 Lapeer 59.7 Oakdale Classic 10 Maizy Minnaar 23:18.3 Capital Homeschool 58.2 Early Burg 11 Riley Ingraham 23:20.2 Belding 57.6 Early Burg 10 Carla Cortes 23:45.3 Cass City 57.2 Oakdale Classic 10 Cara Prusakiewicz 23:45.6 Dryden 57.1 Oakdale Classic 9 Jenna Babbitt 23:22.4 Greenville 56.9 Early Burg 12 Ayla DeLaurier 23:46.7 Almont 56.8 Oakdale Classic 10 Hazel Burley 23:30.6 Laingsburg 54.1 Early Burg 10 Ryann Tackabury 23:58.4 Lapeer 52.9 Oakdale Classic 11 Emily Rice 23:37.9 Greenville 51.7 Early Burg 10 Laila Evola 24:02.6 Almont 51.5 Oakdale Classic 12 Diana Cortes 24:03.8 Cass City 51.1 Oakdale Classic 10 Elizabeth Marschall 23:41.6 Fowlerville 50.5 Early Burg 9 Taylor Basch 23:43.2 Capital Homeschool 49.9 Early Burg 11 Addison Rusz 23:43.3 Laingsburg 49.9 Early Burg 10 Morgan Wilcox 24:15.8 Lapeer 47.1 Oakdale Classic 11 Lily McCreedy 24:19.6 Lapeer 45.8 Oakdale Classic 12 Kelsey Pendry 24:23.0 Richmond 44.7 Oakdale Classic 9 Samantha Gutzman 24:01.4 Laingsburg 43.9 Early Burg 10 Gwendolynn Carter 24:03.9 Holt 43.0 Early Burg 9 Jocelyn Wilson 24:05.8 Holt 42.4 Early Burg 11 Ayla Lowe 24:06.4 Capital Homeschool 42.2 Early Burg 9 Emma Bossenbroek 24:12.0 Holt 40.3 Early Burg 10 Hannah Muench 24:13.0 Holt 40.0 Early Burg 12 Carman Jones 24:20.5 Belding 37.5 Early Burg 11 Isabelle Hunt 24:57.1 North Branch 33.3 Oakdale Classic 10 Aletheia Thomas 24:57.2 Holly 33.3 Oakdale Classic 10 Madison Phillips 24:36.7 Laingsburg 32.1 Early Burg 9 Addison Kemp 24:40.7 Greenville 30.8 Early Burg 9 Devon Byrne 25:05.3 Holly 30.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Taylor Byrne 25:06.3 Holly 30.2 Oakdale Classic 10 Nadia Cordes 25:06.6 Lapeer 30.1 Oakdale Classic 11 Jordyn Lira 24:51.8 Bath 27.1 Early Burg 9 Emma Boire 24:52.1 Belding 27.0 Early Burg 11 Anna Boyle 25:17.4 Lapeer 26.5 Oakdale Classic 9 Makenna Rudnicki 25:02.5 Fowlerville 23.5 Early Burg 11 Marieta Valla Gil 25:04.8 Fowlerville 22.7 Early Burg 10 Reagan Wilkins 25:13.1 Fowlerville 20.0 Early Burg 12 Lilly Faurot 25:14.9 Vermontville Maple Valley 19.4 Early Burg 10 Natalia Pace 25:41.2 Richmond 18.6 Oakdale Classic 10 Maria Kilpela 25:21.8 Fowlerville 17.1 Early Burg 11 Amelia Flahie 25:26.4 Holt 15.5 Early Burg 9 Anna Austin 25:27.3 Capital Homeschool 15.2 Early Burg 12 Alison Rockafellow 25:51.6 Holly 15.1 Oakdale Classic 12 Paige McPherson 25:32.7 Durand 13.4 Early Burg 11 Tracy Ludescher 25:58.1 North Branch 13.0 Oakdale Classic 9 Alix Court 25:37.5 Greenville 11.8 Early Burg 11 Savanna Siewert 26:03.9 Almont 11.0 Oakdale Classic 10 Juliana Stepp 25:41.3 Holt 10.6 Early Burg 11 Samantha Schaap 25:42.4 Belding 10.2 Early Burg 12 Lilian Osborne 26:11.3 North Branch 8.6 Oakdale Classic 12 Lily Finnigan 26:14.5 Dryden 7.5 Oakdale Classic 12 Laela Bhatti 26:17.1 Imlay City 6.6 Oakdale Classic 11 Sidney James 26:17.8 Richmond 6.4 Oakdale Classic 9 Karlee Herr 26:19.0 Lapeer 6.0 Oakdale Classic 11 Chelsea Roach 26:24.4 Cass City 4.2 Oakdale Classic 10 Ava LaMar 26:10.7 Greenville 0.8 Early Burg
BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS
Grade Name Time Team Rating Meet 12 Logan Zahn 16:21.4 Capital Homeschool 198.2 Early Burg 12 Jesse Carson 16:45.6 Capital Homeschool 190.1 Early Burg 10 Noah Devereaux 16:59.7 Laingsburg 185.4 Early Burg 12 Carter Holmes 17:10.0 Bath 182.0 Early Burg 11 Trevor Basch 17:24.6 Capital Homeschool 177.1 Early Burg 10 Preston VanOeffelen 17:32.6 Greenville 174.5 Early Burg 10 Jeryn Frisbie 17:33.4 Belding 174.2 Early Burg 12 Andrew Koenigsknecht 17:44.1 Bath 170.6 Early Burg 11 Luke Skidmore 17:47.0 Bath 169.7 Early Burg 12 Elliot Whitney 18:04.0 Imlay City 169.3 Oakdale Classic 9 Trevor Murphy 18:07.9 Holly 168.0 Oakdale Classic 10 Isaac MacAlvey 17:55.2 Capital Homeschool 166.9 Early Burg 10 Carter Grimmet 17:57.8 Capital Homeschool 166.1 Early Burg 12 Aiden Fitchett 18:14.5 Dryden 165.8 Oakdale Classic 9 River Fox 18:00.9 Bath 165.0 Early Burg 11 Lucas Moore 18:07.0 Fowlerville 163.0 Early Burg 11 Jacob Essenmacher 18:27.9 Lapeer 161.4 Oakdale Classic 10 Zac Brown 18:40.2 Holly 157.3 Oakdale Classic 12 Isaac Boire 18:26.5 Belding 156.5 Early Burg 9 Broden Ladd 18:43.2 Holly 156.3 Oakdale Classic 11 Landon Jayaraman 18:32.3 Holt 154.6 Early Burg 12 Owen Vanderwey 18:40.6 Capital Homeschool 151.8 Early Burg 11 Edward Fountain 18:45.1 Capital Homeschool 150.3 Early Burg 11 Ayden May 18:45.5 Greenville 150.2 Early Burg 11 Jack Ryan 18:47.8 Capital Homeschool 149.4 Early Burg 10 Ethan Hull 18:49.0 Capital Homeschool 149.0 Early Burg 12 Joseph Voss 19:07.1 Lapeer 148.3 Oakdale Classic 11 Nathan Szilagyi 19:07.6 Fowlerville 142.8 Early Burg 10 Landon Heikka 19:29.5 Holly 140.8 Oakdale Classic 12 Hayden Josef 19:32.4 Lapeer 139.9 Oakdale Classic 10 Madden Starkweather 19:16.7 Bath 139.8 Early Burg 9 Trevon Johnson 19:21.3 Holt 138.2 Early Burg 11 Noah Hall 19:51.9 Dryden 133.4 Oakdale Classic 11 Ian Smith 20:07.1 Holly 128.3 Oakdale Classic 11 William Delf 19:55.4 Greenville 126.9 Early Burg 10 Logan Romain 20:11.5 Dryden 126.8 Oakdale Classic 10 Carter Banfield 19:55.7 Fowlerville 126.8 Early Burg 12 George Amidon 19:57.2 Greenville 126.3 Early Burg 10 Sean Brock 19:57.2 Capital Homeschool 126.3 Early Burg 10 Henry Vanderwey 19:58.3 Capital Homeschool 125.9 Early Burg 10 Lucas St Martin 19:58.5 Fowlerville 125.8 Early Burg 11 Kenny Gould 19:58.9 Belding 125.7 Early Burg 11 Wyatt Opperman 20:15.3 North Branch 125.6 Oakdale Classic 11 Daniel Ridley 20:21.8 Lapeer 123.4 Oakdale Classic 11 Collin McMillian 20:23.3 Holly 122.9 Oakdale Classic 11 Gage Dilsaver 20:26.6 Cass City 121.8 Oakdale Classic 10 Zachary Rinehart 20:11.8 Fowlerville 121.4 Early Burg 11 Timothy Halleaux 20:14.5 Durand 120.5 Early Burg 12 Eli Weber 20:33.5 Lapeer 119.5 Oakdale Classic 11 Donovan Germain 20:36.5 Richmond 118.5 Oakdale Classic 11 Luke Platte 20:21.3 Greenville 118.2 Early Burg 10 Logan Robinson 20:21.3 Laingsburg 118.2 Early Burg 11 Zachary Nunn 20:21.4 Holt 118.2 Early Burg 11 Kaleb Manska 20:37.8 Richmond 118.1 Oakdale Classic 12 Conner Wildie 20:38.8 Imlay City 117.7 Oakdale Classic 12 Nathaniel Kilgore 20:23.1 Holt 117.6 Early Burg 11 Bryce Barkowska 20:41.2 North Branch 116.9 Oakdale Classic 12 Dwight Van’tzelfde 20:45.6 Holly 115.5 Oakdale Classic 11 Felix Ramirez 20:34.2 Laingsburg 113.9 Early Burg 12 Brent Castle 20:51.2 North Branch 113.6 Oakdale Classic 12 Travis St Martin 20:35.2 Fowlerville 113.6 Early Burg 12 Carter Baese 20:52.6 Lapeer 113.1 Oakdale Classic 10 Jack Koenigsknecht 20:38.8 Bath 112.4 Early Burg 10 Caleb Stern 20:55.0 Lapeer 112.3 Oakdale Classic 11 Carter Poniatowski 20:56.2 Lapeer 111.9 Oakdale Classic 10 Ethan Preston 20:59.9 Holly 110.7 Oakdale Classic 9 Ezekiel Beach 20:45.2 Fowlerville 110.3 Early Burg 9 Roanan OKeefe 20:45.9 Capital Homeschool 110.0 Early Burg 9 Aiden Giancotti 20:46.0 Holt 110.0 Early Burg 9 Gabe Vanderwey 20:46.0 Capital Homeschool 110.0 Early Burg 9 Brady Krueger 21:04.3 Cass City 109.2 Oakdale Classic 12 Cooper Lynch 21:05.5 Lapeer 108.8 Oakdale Classic 9 Colton Grzyb 21:05.7 Almont 108.8 Oakdale Classic 12 Christopher Poshadlo 21:11.4 Holly 106.9 Oakdale Classic 12 Cade Fuller 21:01.3 Laingsburg 104.9 Early Burg 9 Branson Hardy 21:02.5 Capital Homeschool 104.5 Early Burg 9 Michael Austin 21:11.5 Capital Homeschool 101.5 Early Burg 9 Grahm Gibbs 21:15.5 Greenville 100.2 Early Burg 12 Noah Sobek 21:32.1 Lapeer 100.0 Oakdale Classic 12 Connor Wolff 21:35.7 Dryden 98.8 Oakdale Classic 11 Bram Derksen 21:20.0 Bath 98.7 Early Burg 9 Alex Loomis 21:25.8 Fowlerville 96.7 Early Burg 12 Jaden Giles 21:42.2 Imlay City 96.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Ben Card 21:44.6 North Branch 95.8 Oakdale Classic 12 Dakota Kardell 21:45.6 North Branch 95.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Evan Hagerman 21:32.5 Bath 94.5 Early Burg 12 Hunter Lounds 21:32.5 Holt 94.5 Early Burg 9 Mason Brickel 21:49.8 Richmond 94.1 Oakdale Classic 10 Isaac Fulton 21:33.9 Capital Homeschool 94.0 Early Burg 11 Josh Howard 21:35.1 Holt 93.6 Early Burg 10 Jacob-D Johnson 21:55.0 Holly 92.3 Oakdale Classic 11 Ezekiel Kustowski 21:59.7 Imlay City 90.8 Oakdale Classic 11 Sawyer Rosberg 22:01.6 Richmond 90.1 Oakdale Classic 12 Tristan Burgess 21:49.1 Holt 89.0 Early Burg 12 Preston Corneillie 22:05.8 Richmond 88.7 Oakdale Classic 9 Ethan Speirs 22:06.0 Cass City 88.7 Oakdale Classic 12 Caleb Cook 22:06.1 Lapeer 88.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Hunter Hall 22:06.9 Lapeer 88.4 Oakdale Classic 12 Brendan Yera 22:09.2 Richmond 87.6 Oakdale Classic 10 Jacob Biolchini 22:10.1 Almont 87.3 Oakdale Classic 12 Henry DeLeon 21:56.4 Bath 86.5 Early Burg 11 Jacob Nelson 21:58.0 Greenville 86.0 Early Burg 10 Brady Herrguth 21:58.4 Bath 85.9 Early Burg 9 Tanner Lehman 22:01.1 Greenville 85.0 Early Burg 9 Benjamin Kline 22:18.6 Almont 84.5 Oakdale Classic 10 James Foltz 22:10.2 Laingsburg 81.9 Early Burg 11 Sean Finnigan 22:27.6 Dryden 81.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Ethan Kilgore 22:13.6 Holt 80.8 Early Burg 9 Mason Russell 22:36.2 Imlay City 78.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Jamin Siewert 22:46.2 Almont 75.3 Oakdale Classic 9 Reed Scott 22:34.1 Greenville 74.0 Early Burg 12 Landan Pung 22:57.5 North Branch 71.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Adam SaintOnge 23:00.1 Almont 70.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Simon Whitwam 22:45.9 Holt 70.0 Early Burg 11 Lucas Lamborne 22:50.2 Belding 68.6 Early Burg 11 Broderick LaBar 23:09.6 Lapeer 67.5 Oakdale Classic 12 Payton Zimmerlee 22:57.5 Bath 66.2 Early Burg 12 Aiden Florshinger 23:16.8 Lapeer 65.1 Oakdale Classic 10 Wyatt Kohler 23:13.2 Bath 60.9 Early Burg 11 James Pratt 23:18.5 Laingsburg 59.2 Early Burg 10 Brenden Peter 23:41.5 Dryden 56.8 Oakdale Classic 11 Josh Ockert 23:29.5 Greenville 55.5 Early Burg 9 Quincy Page 23:38.2 Vermontville Maple Valley 52.6 Early Burg 10 Derek Wetzel 23:54.5 Almont 52.5 Oakdale Classic 12 Tucker Netheway 23:40.0 Laingsburg 52.0 Early Burg 11 Pascal Shoemaker 23:44.1 Capital Homeschool 50.6 Early Burg 9 Carson Barker 24:03.5 North Branch 49.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Sawyer Ross 24:12.7 Cass City 46.4 Oakdale Classic 12 Jacob Cromley 24:09.9 Laingsburg 42.0 Early Burg 9 Will Rathka 24:14.5 Laingsburg 40.5 Early Burg 11 Cameron Beckett 24:21.2 Greenville 38.3 Early Burg 9 David Lepley 24:26.0 Holt 36.7 Early Burg 12 Matthew Hickmott 24:45.2 Dryden 35.6 Oakdale Classic 9 Johnny Roland 24:45.5 Almont 35.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Billy Fountain 24:33.4 Capital Homeschool 34.2 Early Burg 10 Gabe Strickert 24:57.7 Holly 31.4 Oakdale Classic 12 Konner Welch 24:59.0 Holly 31.0 Oakdale Classic 12 Christian Kennedy 24:59.4 Lapeer 30.9 Oakdale Classic 12 Chase Jones 25:00.5 Almont 30.5 Oakdale Classic 10 Wade Murray 25:01.5 Imlay City 30.2 Oakdale Classic 10 Paul Ruggerio 24:48.4 Bath 29.2 Early Burg 9 Cameron Betts 24:53.1 Laingsburg 27.6 Early Burg 10 Aaryn Smith 25:10.0 Holly 27.3 Oakdale Classic 9 Samuel Gennara 24:58.8 Capital Homeschool 25.7 Early Burg 9 Derek Busch 25:23.6 Cass City 22.8 Oakdale Classic 11 Matthew Livingston 25:27.4 Dryden 21.5 Oakdale Classic 12 Caiden Sherrieb 25:31.4 North Branch 20.2 Oakdale Classic 9 Tyler Roberts 25:41.5 Dryden 16.8 Oakdale Classic 10 Cody Cataline 25:27.4 Laingsburg 16.2 Early Burg 12 Jack Danbrook 25:30.9 Laingsburg 15.0 Early Burg 10 Benjamin Voss 25:55.7 Lapeer 12.1 Oakdale Classic 9 Allen Sumego 25:59.2 Capital Homeschool 5.6 Early Burg 10 James Johnson 26:18.1 Imlay City 4.6 Oakdale Classic 10 Logan Russell 26:25.1 Imlay City 2.3 Oakdale Classic 9 Christopher Herr 26:25.8 Lapeer 2.1 Oakdale Classic
Michigan XC Speed Ratings 