2023 Mid-Season Projections: Kensington Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 26 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 7 SUMMER PREVIEW

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

Kaitlin Ludwig, Lansing Catholic
Avery Miller, Lansing Catholic
Jalynn Schmelter, Leslie
Frances Melinn, Lansing Catholic
Kyan Isham, Leslie
William Gancer, Stockbridge
Matthew Killeen, Leslie
Cooper Schmelter, Leslie

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Lutheran Northwest Girls
Bishop Foley Girls
Dansville Boys
Charyl Stockwell Boys
Abby Rice, Lutheran Northwest
Grace Wonch, Lansing Catholic
Blaise Demko, Lansing Catholic
Finn Korte, Lansing Catholic
Everett Beach, Lansing Catholic
Téo Krumm, Lansing Catholic
Kenneth Mangles, Leslie
Anthony Urbaniak, Charyl Stockwell

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

Tessa Roe, Lansing Catholic
Theodore Davis, Dansville
Lansing Catholic Girls
Leslie Girls
Leslie Boys
Lansing Catholic Boys

Place	Girls Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Lansing Catholic	29	9
2	Leslie	34	10
3	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	101
4	Wixom St. Catherine	131
5	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	139
6	Stockbridge	147
7	Algonac	163
8	Charyl Stockwell Academy	218
9	Clawson	222

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	12	Tessa Roe	Lansing Catholic
2	10	Frances Melinn	Lansing Catholic
3	9	Grace Wonch	Lansing Catholic
4	10	Hailey Creisher	Leslie
5	11	Erin Lubahn	Leslie
6	9	Reagan Lees	Wixom St. Catherine
7	11	Jaidyn Smith	Leslie
8	12	Jalynn Schmelter	Leslie
9	12	Abby Rice	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW
10	11	Kerith Short	University Liggett
11	9	Mia Papendick	Leslie
12	9	Avery Miller	Lansing Catholic
13	10	Kaitlin Ludwig	Lansing Catholic
14	9	Makya Isham	Leslie
15	10	Jasmine Walker	Algonac

Place	Boys Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Leslie	43	22
2	Lansing Catholic	46	23
3	Dansville	90
4	Algonac	107
5	Charyl Stockwell Academy	139
6	Stockbridge	142
7	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	159
8	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	213

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	11	Theodore Davis	Dansville
2	12	Anthony Urbaniak	Charyl Stockwell Academy
3	10	Julian Walker	Algonac
4	11	Michael Darlington	University Liggett
5	10	Lucas Gates	Lansing Catholic
6	9	Kenneth Mangles	Leslie
7	9	Cooper Schmelter	Leslie
8	9	Téo Krumm	Lansing Catholic
9	9	Matthew Killeen	Leslie
10	9	Everett Beach	Lansing Catholic
11	9	William Gancer	Stockbridge
12	10	Grason Weber	Leslie
13	9	Finn Korte	Lansing Catholic
14	11	Kyan Isham	Leslie
15	10	Blaise Demko	Lansing Catholic

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

White Lake Lakeland Girls
Novi Girls
Katherine Wischmann, Royal Oak
Maya Pletzer, White Lake Lakeland
Natalie Joiner, White Lake Lakeland
Alena Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Ava Alicandro, White Lake Lakeland
Drew Abbott, Detroit Catholic Central
Nolan Till, Royal Oak
Noah Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Gavin Johns, White Lake Lakeland
Matthew Verellen, White Lake Lakeland
Braxton Sipes, Royal Oak

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Royal Oak Boys
Novi Boys
Macy Czelada, South Lyon
Emily Alt, Walled Lake Northern
Emma Hoffmeyer, Walled Lake Western
Kayla Ward, South Lyon
Ryan Ward, White Lake Lakeland
Evan Rice, Walled Lake Northern

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

White Lake Lakeland Boys
Walled Lake Northern Boys
Highland-Milford Boys
Walled Lake Northern Girls
Sebastian Ramirez, Royal Oak

Place	Girls Team	Score	Division Rank
1	White Lake Lakeland	50	15
2	Walled Lake Northern	66	27
3	Novi	121
4	Royal Oak	136
5	Highland-Milford	152
6	South Lyon	169
7	Birmingham Seaholm	173
8	Walled Lake Western	201
9	South Lyon East	227
10	Walled Lake Central	272
11	West Bloomfield	277
12	Berkley	316
13	North Farmington	324
14	Beverly Hills Groves	403

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	11	Ava Alicandro	White Lake Lakeland
2	12	Alisia Olteanu	Walled Lake Western
3	10	Kayla Ward	South Lyon
4	12	Madelyn Gordon	Walled Lake Northern
5	12	Emma Hoffmeyer	Walled Lake Western
6	11	Alena Tiernan	White Lake Lakeland
7	11	Natalie Joiner	White Lake Lakeland
8	9	Jillian Broyles	Highland-Milford
9	12	Ava Kurczewski	Walled Lake Northern
10	9	Maya Pletzer	White Lake Lakeland
11	9	Emily Alt	Walled Lake Northern
12	10	Macy Czelada	South Lyon
13	9	Claire Porinsky	South Lyon East
14	12	Katherine Wischman	Royal Oak
15	10	Lauren Bradley	Highland-Milford

Place	Boys Team	Score	Division Rank
1	White Lake Lakeland	42	11
2	Walled Lake Northern	65	19
3	Highland-Milford	99
4	Royal Oak	121
5	Detroit Catholic Central	123
6	Novi	147
7	South Lyon	181
8	Berkley	259
9	Birmingham Seaholm	277
10	Brother Rice	313
11	South Lyon East	342
12	Beverly Hills Groves	354
13	North Farmington	364
14	Walled Lake Central	364
15	West Bloomfield	366
16	Walled Lake Western	442

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	12	Sebastian Ramirez	Royal Oak
2	12	Ty Parker	Walled Lake Northern
3	10	Kyle O’Rourke	Highland-Milford
4	12	Pierce Grzymkowski	White Lake Lakeland
5	12	Oliver Moss	Berkley
6	12	Evan Rice	Walled Lake Northern
7	12	Braxton Sipes	Royal Oak
8	11	Matthew Verellen	White Lake Lakeland
9	12	Ryan Ward	White Lake Lakeland
10	10	Gavin Johns	White Lake Lakeland
11	12	Noah Tiernan	White Lake Lakeland
12	11	Nolan Till	Royal Oak
13	11	Ryan Carrannanto	Highland-Milford
14	12	Brayden Mullins	Highland-Milford
15	11	Drew Abbott	Detroit Catholic Central