Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.
Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.
These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.
REGION 34 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 23 SUMMER PREVIEW
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
East Jackson Boys
Jackson Preparatory Boys
Aubrey Appleman, Britton-Deerfield
Leah Rorick, Morenci
Riley McCumber, Morenci
Ryan Miller, Hillsdale Academy
William Kennedy, East Jackson
Landon Wilkins, Morenci
James Rahe, Hillsdale Academy
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
Priya Mericle, East Jackson
Caroline Roberts, Hillsdale Academy
Zachary Martinez, Morenci
Beau Shaffer, Morenci
Henry Lindley, Hillsdale Academy
Joel Lange, Adrian Lenawee Christian
Reece Poole, Hillsdale Academy
Michael Allen, East Jackson
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
Hillsdale Academy Girls
Pittsford Girls
Addison Girls
Hillsdale Academy Boys
Izzy Brooks, Adrian Lenawee Christian
Thomas Holm, Hillsdale Academy
| Place | Girls Team | Reg. Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Hillsdale Academy | 34 | 4 |
| 2 | Pittsford | 52 | 17 |
| 3 | Addison | 84 | |
| 4 | Adrian Lenawee Christian | 87 | |
| 5 | Camden-Frontier | 104 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 11 | Izzy Brooks | Adrian Lenawee Christian |
| 2 | 12 | Brooke Smith | Pittsford |
| 3 | 10 | Ruth Brownlee | Hillsdale Academy |
| 4 | 11 | Ava Mallar | Pittsford |
| 5 | 11 | Ella Walton | Hillsdale Academy |
| 6 | 11 | Riley McCumber | Pittsford |
| 7 | 10 | Abby Brownlee | Hillsdale Academy |
| 8 | 11 | Stephanie Hernandez | Addison |
| 9 | 11 | Caroline Roberts | Hillsdale Academy |
| 10 | 12 | Leah Rorick | Morenci |
| 11 | 10 | Emersyn Bachelder | Morenci |
| 12 | 11 | Aubrey Appleman | Britton Deerfield |
| 13 | 9 | Allie Miller | Hillsdale Academy |
| 14 | 11 | Priya Mericle | East Jackson |
| 15 | 9 | Grace Brownlee | Hillsdale Academy |
| Place | Boys Team | Reg Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Hillsdale Academy | 21 | 1 |
| 2 | East Jackson | 61 | 16 |
| 3 | Morenci | 84 | |
| 4 | Jackson Preparatory | 96 | |
| 5 | Reading | 139 | |
| 6 | Britton Deerfield | 145 | |
| 7 | Addison | 196 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Thomas Holm | Hillsdale Academy |
| 2 | 12 | Michael Allen | East Jackson |
| 3 | 10 | Grayson Rorick | Hillsdale Academy |
| 4 | 11 | Reece Poole | Hillsdale Academy |
| 5 | 12 | Javin Mericle | East Jackson |
| 6 | 11 | Joel Lange | Adrian Lenawee Christian |
| 7 | 10 | Henry Lindley | Hillsdale Academy |
| 8 | 10 | James Rahe | Hillsdale Academy |
| 9 | 9 | Landon Wilkins | Morenci |
| 10 | 12 | William Kennedy | East Jackson |
| 11 | 9 | Ryan Miller | Hillsdale Academy |
| 12 | 11 | Beau Shaffer | Morenci |
| 13 | 11 | Zachary Martinez | Morenci |
| 14 | 12 | Karol Schlueter | Hillsdale Academy |
| 15 | 11 | Jameson Watson | Britton Deerfield |
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
Kendyl Musielewicz, Quincy
Julianna Debozy-Crawford, Hanover-Horton
Thia Tello, Lumen Christi
Sophia Reynolds, Hanover-Horton
Olivia Perrine, Hanover-Horton
Owen Brown, Hanover-Horton
Gibson Shore, Lumen Christi
John Edler, Homer
Evan Shepherd, Hanover-Horton
Landen Boulis, Hanover-Horton
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
Hanover-Horton Girls
Quincy Girls
Jonesville Girls
Hanover-Horton Boys
Lumen Christi Boys
Brooklyn Columbia Central Boys
Onsted Boys
Layla Lopez, Lumen Christi
Madison Osterberg, Lumen Christi
Gavin VanKampen, Jonesville
Mitchell Hiatt, Onsted
Isaiah Dinverno, Lumen Christi
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
Lumen Christi Girls
| Place | Team | Reg Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Jackson Lumen Christi | 25 | 1 |
| 2 | Hanover-Horton | 62 | 12 |
| 3 | Onsted | 91 | 22 |
| 4 | Quincy | 114 | 27 |
| 5 | Hudson | 152 | |
| 6 | Napoleon | 161 | |
| 7 | Jonesville | 226 | |
| 8 | Hillsdale | 232 | |
| 9 | Homer | 242 | |
| 10 | Sand Creek | 252 | |
| 11 | Bronson | 258 | |
| 12 | Michigan Center | 300 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Madison Osterberg | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 2 | 11 | Emmry Ross | Onsted |
| 3 | 9 | Samantha Schroeder | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 4 | 12 | Olivia Perrine | Hanover-Horton |
| 5 | 10 | Macy Fazekas | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 6 | 11 | Layla Lopez | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 7 | 12 | Sophia Reynolds | Hanover-Horton |
| 8 | 10 | Ashlynn Harris | Bronson |
| 9 | 11 | Chloe Stalhood | Hillsdale |
| 10 | 12 | Sydney Fazekas | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 11 | 11 | Thia Tello | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 12 | 12 | Julianna Debozy-Crawford | Hanover-Horton |
| 13 | 11 | Jayla Bright | Hudson |
| 14 | 9 | Kendyl Musielewiez | Quincy |
| 15 | 11 | Allie England | Onsted |
| Place | Boys Team | Reg Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Hanover-Horton | 52 | 4 |
| 2 | Jackson Lumen Christi | 60 | 8 |
| 3 | Jonesville | 81 | 14 |
| 4 | Hillsdale | 134 | 27 |
| 5 | Brooklyn Columbia Central | 150 | |
| 6 | Onsted | 181 | |
| 8 | Bronson | 204 | |
| 7 | Homer | 204 | |
| 9 | Adrian Madison | 206 | |
| 10 | Napoleon | 229 | |
| 11 | Sand Creek | 235 | |
| 12 | Hudson | 306 | |
| 13 | Michigan Center | 341 | |
| 14 | Springport | 416 | |
| 15 | Quincy | 438 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 11 | Isaiah Dinverno | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 2 | 11 | Mitchell Hiatt | Onsted |
| 3 | 11 | Landen Boulis | Hanover-Horton |
| 4 | 12 | Evan Shepherd | Hanover-Horton |
| 5 | 12 | Gavin VanKampen | Jonesville |
| 6 | 12 | Nolan Grant | Hillsdale |
| 7 | 12 | Gannon Shore | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 8 | 9 | Caleb Blonde | Jonesville |
| 9 | 9 | Logan Youngman | Hillsdale |
| 10 | 10 | Zach Hassenzahl | Hanover-Horton |
| 11 | 10 | John Edler | Homer |
| 12 | 12 | Alex Czeiszperger | Hudson |
| 13 | 10 | Gibson Shore | Jackson Lumen Christi |
| 14 | 12 | Owen Brown | Hanover-Horton |
| 15 | 12 | Kyler Pequet | Napoleon |
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2 thoughts on “2023 Mid-Season Projections: Sharp Park Regional”