Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.
Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.
These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.
REGION 24 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 14 SUMMER PREVIEW
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
Lilly Rooks, Pewamo-Westphalia
Jenna Keilen, Pewamo-Westphalia
Isabell Helman, Pewamo-Westphalia
Andrea Rolston, Stanton Central Montcalm
Abbie Schneider, Pewamo-Westphalia
Kyler Fertig, Stanton Central Montcalm
Clay Powell, Ovid-Elsie
River Fox, Bath
Sylus Wilson, Stanton Central Montcalm
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
New Lothrop Boys
Melanie Werner, Pewamo-Westphalia
Anna Poppema, Bath
Emily Rathka, Laingsburg
Kyah Hoffman, Stanton Central Montcalm
Nolan Mitchell, Pewamo-Westphalia
Andrew Koenigsknecht, Bath
Carter Holmes, Bath
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
Stanton Central Montcalm Girls & Boys
Pewamo-Westphalia Girls & Boys
Laingsburg Girls
Bath Boys
Collin Farmer, Pewamo-Westphalia
| Place | Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Stanton Central Montcalm | 35 | 6 |
| 2 | Pewamo-Westphalia | 37 | 7 |
| 3 | Laingsburg | 92 | 26 |
| 4 | Ovid-Elsie | 132 | |
| 5 | New Lothrop | 156 | |
| 6 | Almont | 163 | |
| 7 | Bath | 181 | |
| 8 | Chesaning | 192 | |
| 9 | Montrose | 217 | |
| 10 | Perry | 231 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 11 | Kyah Hoffman | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 2 | 11 | Whitney Werner | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 3 | 11 | Ashley Choponis | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 4 | 10 | Grace Coston | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 5 | 11 | Emily Rathka | Laingsburg |
| 6 | 9 | Alyssa Kramer | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 7 | 10 | Anna Poppema | Bath |
| 8 | 12 | Melanie Werner | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 9 | 10 | Abbie Schneider | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 10 | 10 | Clarissa Baese | Ovid-Elsie |
| 11 | 9 | Andrea Rolston | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 12 | 12 | Isabell Helman | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 13 | 11 | Piper White | Ovid-Elsie |
| 14 | 9 | Jenna Keilen | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 15 | 10 | Lilly Rooks | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| Place | Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Stanton Central Montcalm | 43 | 5 |
| 2 | Pewamo-Westphalia | 50 | 6 |
| 3 | Bath | 52 | 11 |
| 4 | Laingsburg | 147 | |
| 5 | Ovid-Elsie | 170 | |
| 6 | New Lothrop | 186 | |
| 7 | Almont | 209 | |
| 8 | Montrose | 210 | |
| 9 | Memphis | 228 | |
| 10 | Perry | 230 | |
| 11 | Chesaning | 253 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Collin Farmer | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 2 | 10 | Gage Hoffman | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 3 | 12 | Graham Coston | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 4 | 12 | Carter Holmes | Bath |
| 5 | 10 | Noah Devereaux | Laingsburg |
| 6 | 10 | Sylus Wilson | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 7 | 9 | River Fox | Bath |
| 8 | 11 | Clay Powell | Ovid-Elsie |
| 9 | 11 | Allan George | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 10 | 11 | Luke Skidmore | Bath |
| 11 | 12 | Andrew Koenigsknecht | Bath |
| 12 | 9 | Wyatt Werner | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 13 | 9 | John Kowatch | Pewamo-Westphalia |
| 14 | 10 | Kyler Fertig | Stanton Central Montcalm |
| 15 | 9 | Nolan Mitchell | Pewamo-Westphalia |
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
Parma Western Girls
Sophia Schafer, Williamston
Mia Williams, DeWitt
Dora Henry, Haslett
Ayla Holben, DeWitt
Jackson Walthorn, DeWitt
Lucas Moore, Fowlerville
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
Haslett Girls
Mason Girls & Boys
St. Johns Boys
Haslett Boys
Emma Crandell, Owosso
Josie Jenkinson, Owosso
Chloe Khon, Jackson Northwest
Abby Young, St. Johns
Meghan Ford, Mason
Braylen Eaton, Charlotte
Conner McCormick, Mason
Edison Lopeman, Parma Western
Nolan Inglis, DeWitt
Dylan Lydic, Haslett
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
St. Johns Girls
DeWitt Girls & Boys
Haslett Girls
Parma Western Boys
Ava Schafer, St. Johns
| Place | Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | St. Johns | 52 | 7 |
| 2 | DeWitt | 53 | 13 |
| 3 | Owosso | 83 | 21 |
| 4 | Haslett | 119 | |
| 5 | Mason | 147 | |
| 6 | Parma Western | 178 | |
| 7 | Charlotte | 183 | |
| 8 | Williamston | 200 | |
| 9 | Corunna | 215 | |
| 10 | Fowlerville | 250 | |
| 11 | Eaton Rapids | 274 | |
| 12 | Jackson Northwest | 332 | |
| 13 | Lansing Eastern | 384 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 9 | Ava Schafer | St. Johns |
| 2 | 12 | Meghan Ford | Mason |
| 3 | 12 | Abby Young | St. Johns |
| 4 | 12 | Clara Fletcher | St. Johns |
| 5 | 11 | Kayla Williams | DeWitt |
| 6 | 11 | Ayla Holben | DeWitt |
| 7 | 10 | Chloe Khon | Jackson Northwest |
| 8 | 12 | Dora Henry | Haslett |
| 9 | 11 | Mia Williams | DeWitt |
| 10 | 11 | Josie Jenkinson | Owosso |
| 11 | 11 | Nicole Schafer | Williamston |
| 12 | 10 | Emma Crandell | Owosso |
| 13 | 11 | Autumn Thompson | DeWitt |
| 14 | 10 | Miriam Kloha | St. Johns |
| 15 | 9 | Sophia Schafer | Williamston |
| Place | Team | Reg Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | DeWitt | 71 | 25 |
| 2 | Parma Western | 80 | 24 |
| 3 | St. Johns | 86 | |
| 4 | Mason | 123 | |
| 5 | Corunna | 130 | |
| 6 | Haslett | 152 | |
| 7 | Eaton Rapids | 157 | |
| 8 | Fowlerville | 220 | |
| 9 | Charlotte | 237 | |
| 10 | Williamston | 290 | |
| 11 | Lansing Eastern | 297 | |
| 12 | Lansing Waverly | 305 | |
| 13 | Jackson Northwest | 339 | |
| 14 | Owosso | 400 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Nate Carmody | Haslett |
| 2 | 11 | Alex Doneth | Mason |
| 3 | 11 | Dylan Lydic | Haslett |
| 4 | 11 | Nolan Inglis | DeWitt |
| 5 | 12 | Cooper Singleton | Parma Western |
| 6 | 12 | Isaac Staib | St. Johns |
| 7 | 10 | Edison Lopeman | Parma Western |
| 8 | 9 | Ryan Good | Parma Western |
| 9 | 12 | Matthew Schrauben | St. Johns |
| 10 | 12 | Brennan McKone | DeWitt |
| 11 | 11 | Conner McCormick | Mason |
| 12 | 11 | Jack Huntington | Eaton Rapids |
| 13 | 11 | Lucas Moore | Fowlerville |
| 14 | 11 | Braylen Eaton | Charlotte |
| 15 | 11 | Jackson Walthorn | DeWitt |
Michigan XC Speed Ratings 
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