2023 Mid-Season Projections: Clarkston Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 8 SUMMER PREVIEW

Thanks to some feedback, you get a format change. This may better elucidate the improvement from last year or how inaccurate the summer predictions were!

Place	Girls Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Oxford	52	10
2	Rochester	89	24
3	Utica	90	22
4	Lake Orion	91	23
5	Clarkston	99
6	Rochester Adams	138
7	Troy	152
8	Bloomfield Hills	177
9	Utica Ford	326
10	Sterling Heights Stevenson	330
11	Troy Athens	334
12	Waterford Mott	367
13	Warren Cousino	396
14	Waterford Kettering	414
15	Warren Mott	423

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	11	Lucy Cook	Rochester
2	11	Mallory Bigelow	Oxford
3	12	Hannah DeRoeck	Lake Orion
4	10	Addison Herr	Bloomfield Hills
5	12	Braydee Elling	Oxford
6	10	Audrey Hamilton	Troy
7	9	Emma Brown	Utica
8	9	Linda Lopez	Lake Orion
9	10	Siene Muraszewski	Utica
10	11	Taylor Brodeur	Oxford
11	12	Anna Reineck	Clarkston
12	9	Avery DeGrendel	Clarkston
13	9	Addison Brigham	Clarkston
14	9	El McMahan	Rochester Adams
15	12	Aubrey Mery	Oxford

Place	Boys Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Oxford	58	5
2	Clarkston	65	7
3	Troy	65	8
4	Utica	101	17
5	Rochester	140
6	Lake Orion	141
7	Rochester Adams	156
8	Troy Athens	262
9	Warren Cousino	263
10	Bloomfield Hills	279
11	Utica Ford	284
12	Sterling Heights Stevenson	368
13	Waterford Kettering	376
14	Waterford Mott	390
15	Auburn Hills Avondale	481
16	Warren Mott	515

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	12	Vishvaa Ravishankar	Troy
2	11	Taye Levenson	Bloomfield Hills
3	11	Kian Schneeweis	Troy
4	11	Alexander McArthur	Oxford
5	10	Harper Wesley	Utica
6	12	Bryce Nowik	Clarkston
7	11	James Cusick	Oxford
8	11	Max Myrand	Oxford
9	11	Jaxson Nowik	Clarkston
10	12	Louis D’Souza	Troy
11	11	Raymond Lucero II	Lake Orion
12	12	Ethan Muraszewski	Utica
13	11	Akshat Arora	Troy
14	10	Ryan Barnes	Clarkston
15	12	Aiden Janes	Rochester Adams