2023 Mid-Season Projections: Happy Acres Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 33 SUMMER PREVIEW

Thanks to some feedback, you get a format change. This may better elucidate the improvement from last year or how inaccurate the summer predictions were!

Place	Girls Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Whitmore Lake	17	1
2	Novi Christian Academy	76	18
3	Fowler	89	22
4	Livingston Christian	98	25
5	Lansing Christian	100
6	Portland St. Patrick	122
7	Byron	188

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	9	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake
2	10	Carina Burchi	Whitmore Lake
3	12	Natalie Meadows	Whitmore Lake
4	10	Taylor Wiegand	Livingston Christian
5	10	Sofia Robertson	Whitmore Lake
6	12	Isabella Yeoman	Genesee
7	10	Elodie Weaver	Whitmore Lake
8	11	Kelcie Pung	Fowler
9	9	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian
10	12	Ellayna Meredith	Portland St. Patrick
11	12	Mya Guillermo	Novi Christian Academy
12	9	Ezrielle Martin	Livingston Christian
13	8	Madison Markowicz	Novi Christian Academy
14	10	Abigail Yatooma	Novi Christian Academy
15	11	Brooke Sonnenberg	Genesee Christian Academy

Place	Boys Team	Score	Division Rank
1	Whitmore Lake	56	23
2	Novi Christian Academy	95
3	Fowler	107
4	Lansing Christian	141
5	Livingston Christian	146
6	Byron	153
7	Genesee	165
8	Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes	177
9	Webberville	183
10	Potterville	206
11	Genesee Christian Academy	233
12	Morrice	309

Place	Grade	Name	Team
1	10	Landen Livingston	Whitmore Lake
2	12	Connor Rouse	Genesee
3	10	Timothy Chamberlain	Portland St. Patrick
4	11	Samuel Hubbard	Livingston Christian
5	12	Trevor Feldpausch	Fowler
6	10	Josiah Johncox	Byron
7	10	Quentin Smith	Fowler
8	10	Isaac FoxElster	Portland St. Patrick
9	10	Nathan Camilleri	Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes
10	10	Tyler Langfeldt	Potterville
11	10	Ben Young	Lansing Christian
12	10	Dan Birmingham	Whitmore Lake
13	10	Reuben Jiran	Novi Christian Academy
14	9	Benjamin Fox	Whitmore Lake
15	12	Ryan Williams	Novi Christian Academy