Uncategorized

2023 Rankings: Championship Week, Division 1

We’ve finally arrived in the prime part of the year. Meets such as Holly, Spartan, Jackson, Cougar Falcon, Otsego Bulldog, Bluejay have been excellent bellwethers, showcasing how different teams from different areas compare against one another. We have one final example of those this week at Portage (which isn’t technically a championship, but I’m gonna label it as our mid-season championship) before embarking on our stretch of county, area, league, and finally – Regionals and State Finals.

If you’ve followed these over the past few years, you may know the gist of these, but let’s break it down once again:

The individual ratings take into account all the meets listed here. There are a few meets missing that I’ll link to, but pretty much any meet with a significant number of athletes will have been calculated. An individual’s rating takes their best 75% of rated races (rounding up, so 4 of 5, 5 of 6, etc.), weighs them with more recent races having a higher weight, then spits out a final rating. The team rankings score those individuals as if they were in a meet against their entire division.

There are a few changes from previous years:

  • No more ratings of weekday, conference meets
    • Why? One, often these aren’t raced all out and end up underrating a runner. Two, to lessen my workload. I’d rather concentrate on these rankings and use the weekend invites that are more likely to be raced hard to determine the rankings.
  • Using the top 75% of races instead of 67%
    • Why? If I’m gonna use fewer overall races from a runner’s resume, I have to make up for it in some way.
  • No more individual rankings posted to social media
    • Why? I hate instances where a runner stagnates or falls back over the course of the season and it’s posted for the world to see. I recognize people want to know where they’re ranked, so just having it on the website is a happy medium.
  • More writeups focused on the top teams and individuals, rather than just handpicking one each week
    • I’ve found that when it comes toward state time, I know all the numbers and what a kid might run, but have a tough time pointing toward a narrative. Hopefully writing a little recap and what to look forward to will help in that regard. I started with three for the first rankings, then five this week, and so on.
  • Posting these one division at a time
    • If you’ve noticed, I always go Division 4 first, trending towards Division 1. This is done intentionally! Traditional media always focuses on the larger schools. By focusing on the smaller divisions first, they get the love that they might not normally receive. With a bit of free-r time this week, I should get to the Upper Peninsula.

Unfortunately, the injury rule is in place, where if I don’t have a rating from the past month, that runner is taken out. If you’re willing to share (and I can understand why not – someone’s medical situation doesn’t have to be the public’s business) that your athlete or you yourself are healthy/injured, feel free. There are some exceptions based on situations that make sense. Hopefully these don’t rub salt in the wound of someone who’s already hurting.

Now I need to be serious for a minute. These are for fun. If you don’t like these fun rankings, you don’t need to participate, you don’t need to call me names, talk trash to your fellow competitors, or send rude emails. We good here? Enjoy.

Speaking of name calling mentioned at the above, when someone refers to us (you, me, and our fellow obsessive XC fans) as nerds, we gotta embrace it. So this week’s ranking was written for all of us nerds, know-it-all’s, and mathematicians out there in the Michigan XC World. For real though, I really appreciate the work done in these newsletters (here is Saline’s), they always do a great job of highlighting kids that would never get showcased in any newspaper or the work that I do. Thanks for putting these together, Saline and other schools.

GIRLS TEAM RANKINGS

Romeo

Week Three: “Missing a few pieces of what they hope to bring forth in the late season but that hasn’t stopped the Bulldogs from racking up wins at Lamplighter, Averill and in the MAC Red.”

Week Four: Sickness ravaging through northern Macomb County, the Bulldogs were missing three of their top seven at Holly. They still pulled through, thanks to Olivia Purdy holding it down in the 4 spot and Maya Muskan stepping in as their 5.

Jackson was pure domination, but their true strength and grit was shown at Shepherd. The Bulldogs were missing two of their top three girls and STILL won the Elite section. Nailing down the all-important 5th spot was Gracie Youngblood, running her best race since Lamplighter to grab a personal best and clinch the team title.

Ann Arbor Pioneer

Week Three: “I should know better. Each year, it’s a question along the lines of “who will replace Emily/Cookie/Sarah/Dudek/Anne” and each year, it’s an answer with someone new. Lydia Bowman is a girl that’s stepped into a prominent role, running in the mid-18’s and grabbing top-5 finishes at Benzie and John Bruder. Lydia, along with her Pioneer teammates will be racing Friday in Spartan Elite, going against a strong field with the likes of Brighton, Northville, and Holland West Ottawa.”

Week Four: The Pioneer traveling roadshow took its talents to East Lansing last week, rocking another dominating victory. Natalie Mello continued her silent, solid, and consistent start to the year, notching her third consecutive sub-19 with a 18:56, 10th place finish.

Traveled down I-75 for three hours to show some Ohio teams what’s up. Any time you can go to that godforsaken state, enter a championship race, and beat 20 other schools – you’re amazing in my book.

Brighton

Week Three: “The KLAA can be a brutal conference. Coming off a highly competitive Averill Invite then rolling right into a tri containing a top-5 Northville team. The Bulldogs survived with a victory and now head to Spartan on Friday.”

Week Four: The Bulldogs took the momentum from the weekday win and used it to dispel many top-10 squads at Spartan. They’ve been very steady this year, with hardly any girls blowing up in big races. There will be plenty of big races to come and I think they’ve solidified that they have an excellent shot of contending for a podium spot.

The Bulldogs have been laying a bit low these past few weeks. We saw a glimpse of them at Jackson, where they placed 3rd behind Romeo and Pioneer. And we also caught a glimpse of someone who can be a massive boon to their podium chances. Elle Bissett flashed a significant personal best, placing 10th in 18:26, more than a minute faster than her previous best.

Grand Haven

Week Four: Addy Smith has begun to show the promise she held during track (2:19/5:22), running a personal best of 19:08 at the latest OK Red Jamboree. That low-19 effort was almost a minute faster than her OK Red opener from her sophomore year.

Allendale Falcon was the home of two breakout races – where both Cianah Budnik-Ramos and Addy Smith slipped under 19:00 for the first time in their careers. Those two great showings led to a Buc victory in the Big School division.

Holland West Ottawa

The largest jump of any team in this top echelon. My rankings are a bit more conservative than most, as I feel the entire season speaks more volumes than just one race. So when a team jumps up 4 spots in one week because of one race, you know they absolutely brought it. West Ottawa’s slogan is Shared Suffering, but for Otsego Bulldog, it may as well have been Shared PB’s. 10 of the 13 girls that competed on Saturday ran a personal best.

Saline

Although the ratings this year don’t pay much attention to jamborees, I love comparing them against one another. The competition is usually the same, so one can easily discern how much a competitor has improved over the course of the season. In the first SEC Jamboree, the top 3 went: Pioneer 21, Saline 57, Dexter 99. In the second: Pioneer 27, Saline 48, Dexter 98. Even if the Hornets remained in second place, they clearly improved relative to other teams.

Northville

Week Four: You may have noticed these Mustangs punching high above their preseason rankings. There may be a number of factors, but one small one could be the frontrunning of Cassie Garcia. At Lamplighter, she assisted Molly Kate Coates before blasting the final mile. At Spartan, she took that patience and unleashed a lifetime best.

Clearly Molly Kate Coates has benefitted from her thoughtful coaches and teammates, as her 19:35 at Jackson was a lifetime best and clutch enough to give the Mustangs a 4th place finish over Saline.

Traverse City West

This past weekend, the Titans packed up and took the road down to Bluejay. Then they packed up on the course, all varsity runners within a minute of one another, ranging from 18:56 to 19:52.

RankTeamRegionScoreWeek 5Week 4Week 3Summer
1Romeo9871221
2Ann Arbor Pioneer51522113
3Brighton43013334
4Grand Haven13417559
5Holland West Ottawa13439865
6Saline53745972
7Northville639744410
8Traverse City West241787106
9Forest Hills Central342166815
10Okemos24411111118
11Rockford157412121412
12Oxford8618101097
13White Lake Lakeland762515312845
14Davison465018151733
15Utica866222161820
16Traverse City Central268413141616
17Dexter471116212213
18Jenison175914131218
19Clarkston876730413919
20Fraser978419192034
21Zeeland West180129253042
22Walled Lake Northern781227221314
23Portage Central382226261528
24Macomb Dakota982417172327
25Lake Orion884523281917
26Ann Arbor Skyline485720293661
27Rochester889324202637

BOYS TEAM RANKINGS

Northville

Week Three: “Have met the challenges of all competitors thus far, taking home titles at Lamplighter and Bath. But the toughest test might’ve been yesterday’s tri against Brighton and Canton, where the Mustangs eked out wins against two top-10 squads.”

Week Four: I lied. The toughest test was at Spartan, where a tie with Brighton invoked their 6th runners, to which the Bulldogs prevailed. But it’s early and you have a kid such as Ishaan Kundapur evolving from his 18-flat openers to mid-16’s at Forest Akers.

Thanks to the MHSAA’s updated rules, teams are allowed to travel in-season to adjacent states (hopefully in future years we can see Renaissance and Oak Park go to Penn/Texas Relays, but that’s another topic). The Mustangs took advantage of this rule by traveling to Roy Griak. Griak appears to run about 20-25 seconds slower than Spartan, so to average 16:35 across their top-5, even after being on the road for 11 hours, is mighty impressive.

Brighton

Week Three: “That tri against Northville was intriguing in the sense that the path toward a state title becomes perfectly clear. Can the Bulldogs establish enough of a gap between their 3rd-5th runners and Northville’s to counteract the margin between each of their top two’s. Speaking of those top two’s, Luke Campbell is in the middle of a breakout senior year. Has hovered around 16-flat at Cass Benton when he was typically in the 17’s there last year.”

Week Four: Through two runners, Northville scored 14 to Brighton’s 30. For their 3rd through 5th, Brighton scored 63 to Northville’s 79. There are many paths to victory in cross country and one of the more common ones is through quality depth, especially in larger fields. This is where the race could be won in weeks to come.

After that Spartan win, the Bulldogs traveled up the road to run Hess Hathaway’s Beautiful Lady. Not much will top the Spartan win, but there was a bit of beauty in Brighton’s victory at the Mott Fall Classic. All seven of their boys were under 17:10 on that tough track.

Grand Haven

Week Three: “At a Bredeweg Invite chock full of the West Coast’s best D1/D2 teams, the Bucs attained a fairly clear victory. Of course, Seth Norder did what he had to do in order to win, but it’s the improvement and addition of a few parts that gives the GH team their strength. Plenty of experience and a new addition, Luka Hammond, navigating the mid-16 waters as a true freshman.”

Week Four: Competing against the West Side’s best in the first OK Red Jamboree, the Bucs placed 4 in the top-8, 5 in the top-10, and cruised to a 17 point victory.

Roman Smith has been steadily improving all throughout his career and all throughout this year. His 16:10 at Allendale Falcon was his best time of his career, 2.5 minutes faster than his freshman best.

Canton

Week Four: The Green division may not be Spartan Elite, but you have a field full of D1 teams that love cross country – willing to travel from all over to compete on a Friday. The Chiefs scored 31 points in that field, smashing the top-20 and sub-17 with all 7 of their varsity runners.

Came up to the East Side over the weekend, flexing their muscles against a few top-10 teams. The Chiefs may have been missing Steven Dusseau, but Brandon Blandino stepped up in his absence, nabbing his fourth consecutive sub-17, coming in as Canton’s 5th man ahead of boy Troy and Oxford’s 4th.

Troy

It had been building for a bit – Jackson was the Colts’ coming out party. Personal bests from 6 of their top 7 en route to a second place finish against a bevy of the teams they could see at State. One of those bests was Kian Schneeweis, who has undergone a massive improvement, dropping from the high-16’s to mid-15’s this fall.

Oxford

Week Four: Proved their worth at the weekend invites. After finishing third in the first OAA Red Jamboree, the Wildcats turned around and vanquished Metro Detroit’s best D1 teams at Holly. Lucas Ames had one of the more clutch races, coming in as their 4th boy in his first sub-17 ever.

The Wildcats have sure shifted expectations this year. Before the season, if you had asked me what would be a superb race for them at County, I’d have said top-3. Now they’re in contention for the top spot. What a difference a few months makes.

Kalamazoo Central

Otsego is a quick course, but not egregiously so. When the Giants place six boys under 16:30, you know they’re for real. Among those six was freshman Sam Baker, hitting his first 15:xx in a career sure to be full of them.

RankTeamRegionScoreWeek 5Week 4Week 3Summer
1Northville61771111
2Brighton42152222
3Grand Haven13113334
4Canton635265620
5Ann Arbor Pioneer535546511
6Troy8387817226
7Oxford841654419
8Kalamazoo Central347097103
9Romeo947910985
10White Lake Lakeland74871181112
11Forest Hills Central35281210178
12Livonia Churchill654714121326
13Walled Lake Northern7584191477
14Macomb Dakota96061313933
15Jenison162215151516
16Portage Central363623212610
17Traverse City Central266418221414
18Utica868717191613
19Plymouth669116163115
20Zeeland West172124231921
21Saline574722181818
22Clarkston8775711129
23Bay City Western280120202437
24East Kentwood381321242145
25Howell490625252531
26Traverse City West291132363428
27Byron Center392526282834

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RANKINGS

Rachel Forsyth

Week Three: “For the ratings, I really don’t pay attention to jamborees. Purely as a fan of the sport, check out her 16:44 at Bedford. Judging by the times, the course ran fair and even in one of the tougher leagues in the state, she gapped the field by two minutes.”

Week Four: The dominance continued. Another considerable gap, this time by 45 seconds. Sub-17 on a Spartan course that for its lack of hills, never seems to run fast.

Lo and behold, that sub-17 at Spartan was a harbinger for things to come. Three straight mid-16 performances, highlighted by a 16:27 win over those Ohio girls.

Selma Anderson

Week Three: “At MITCA last year, popped into the 17’s for the first time ever and this fall, she’s back for more. 17:52 in her debut at Under the Lights was more than 1.5 minutes faster than her 2022 debut.”

Week Four: At a quick glance (and by my count – probably wrong), Selma had run at Riverside seven times prior to Saturday. None of those seven were sub-18, so girl had to make up for lost time and leave her mark on the course. 17:32 in the Session 2 race was good for a victory and massive personal best.

Ottawa Hills and their light schedules make it easy for these writeups, tough to know a runner’s progress. One thing for sure, Selma has registered two consecutive OK Gold wins and is committed to run for Syracuse next fall.

Jayden Harberts

Week Four: Getting back into the swing of things during her senior year. An 18:15 win at Willow was a season best.

And that season best was short-lived, as the Dakota girls traveled west on 94 to Jackson, where Jayden ran a 17:47. Her time there marked four straight years of sub-18’s.

Annie Hrabovsky

Inching to get out there and prove she belonged, Annie finally convinced the Romeo coaches that it was time to let her loose. Jackson was the place, and in the race, it was the final 2500m, where she moved up through almost the entire field to place 3rd in 17:53.

Clara James-Heer

Can’t speak enough about the patience of Clara. After tons of performances in the very low-18’s as a freshman, she didn’t reach that level too often in her sophomore and junior years. But she’s still out there, still showing up, and now showing up in 18:07 at Cougar Falcon and 17:44 at Shepherd.

Natalia Guaresimo

Had to sit out at Shepherd, but I think her Sharp Park success was enough to count for two meets. 100+ seconds faster than her freshman year, her 17:59.8 was good enough for 4th in a field comprised of many potential podium finishers.

Lucy Cook

Week Four: Her Spartan Invite went much better than last year. An 18:10 was nearly a minute faster than the previous year. Rochester is taking the weekend off; we’ll see her return to action next week with an OAA White Jamboree and the Hansons Invitational.

Just patiently doing her thing, winning and tuning up for championship season. An 18:15 at Freedom Hill was her third consecutive Hansons title and good prep for what could be a third consecutive Oakland County title.

Morgan Brown

Jackson and Bluejay were perfect opportunities to run fast and take stock of the competition you’ll see down the line. Two top-10 finishes for Morgan, including her first sub-18 ever at Shepherd. That 17:57 made even more remarkable given the fact that she was running by herself for much of the race.

RankGradeNameTeamRegion
112Rachel ForsythAnn Arbor Pioneer5
212Selma AndersonGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills3
312Jayden HarbertsMacomb Dakota9
49Annie HrabovskyRomeo9
512Clara James-HeerForest Hills Central3
610Natalia GuaresimoRomeo9
711Lucy CookRochester8
812Morgan BrownLivonia Churchill6
910Emmerson ClorRomeo9
1011Cassie GarciaNorthville6
1112Katie WatkinsH.H. Dow2
1212Ella ChristensenNorthville6
1311Valerie BeeckGrand Haven1
1412Lydia BowmanAnn Arbor Pioneer5
1511Violet HrabovskyRomeo9
1610Ava PorrasHolland West Ottawa1
1711Mallory BigelowOxford8
1812Payton SchefflerBrownstown Woodhaven5
1912Carrigan EberlyBrighton4
2012Layla KrayemLivonia Stevenson6
2111Isabelle BeckerBay City Western2
2211Ava AlicandroWhite Lake Lakeland7
2310Addie BirkholzHolland West Ottawa1
2412Natalie MelloAnn Arbor Pioneer5
2512Hannah DeRoeckLake Orion8
2612Elaina (Laney) AligSaline5
2710Leah CorbyRochester Hills Stoney Creek9
2812Shannon GillahanOkemos2
2911Grace TykockiGrand Blanc4
3012Braydee EllingOxford8
3112Ella KirkwoodTraverse City Central2
3210Lydia LaMarraBrighton4
3311Ava PetersLivonia Franklin6
3412Paige McArdleDavison4
3512Alisia OlteanuWalled Lake Western7
3611Chloe DeRidderGrandville1
3712Allison MayerAnn Arbor Skyline4
3810Ava LawrenceEast Kentwood3
3911Alena BlumbergDexter4
4011Lauren WalkerHolt2
4112Izzy FazioForest Hills Northern3
4210Addison HerrBloomfield Hills8
4311Annie AlkemaKalamazoo Central3
4410Cianah Budnik-RamosGrand Haven1
4512Sylvia Sanok DufalloAnn Arbor Pioneer5
4611Elle BissettBrighton4
4712Alexis BallTraverse City Central2
4811Addy SmithGrand Haven1
4911Jordyn KlaasenZeeland West1
5010Audrey HamiltonTroy8

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RANKINGS

Seth Norder

Week Four: Pulling an audible here. The ratings and numbers say one thing, logic and reason says other. The rules and methods I use to determine these are meant to work for the vast majority of competitors, but not those who exert just enough effort to win. Seth has won when necessary and not gone to the well when unnecessary. His 15:24 in the Spartan Elite race was enough to outlast all the other Division 1 runners.

The Bucs and Seth are heading to Portage this week, the location of his 14:45 last year. Just 9 seconds separate him from the top time ever at this historic meet, can he add to his legacy this weekend?

Brendan Herger

Week Three: “Just chillin’ in this early season. He’s been in the 15’s in each of his three races thus far, one of those at the perennially tough Cass Benton and the other a win at Bath.”

Week Four: Brendan took a much more patient approach to Spartan, covering the final 1782 meters (1.1) in 5:21, making up 16-17 seconds on Westphal and Norder. In the end, it was damn close, but not enough. Regardless, he’s right there with those two, probably possessing the best pure speed as well.

21st to 18th to 9th, Brendan applied his patient strategy to the Minnesota hills, coming away with a sub-16 (probably in the range of a 15:1x on many of our fair courses) at Roy Griak.

Thomas Westphal

Week Four: Came in right behind Norder in 15:26. His attitude and racing style has been consistent throughout, whether it’s been leading at Shepherd in 4:40, hanging with Benne through 1200, or as it was on Friday, mixing it up with the lead pack and holding on with whatever he had left.

Along with TJ Hansen, set a blistering pace over the first 2 miles at Shepherd. It didn’t happen for him late, but even with a somewhat disappointing race, he nearly matched his time from 2022. By the way, that 15:14 from 2022 led to a MAC Division and Regional Championship, along with a top-5 finish at State.

Vishvaa Ravishankar

Week Four: A 15:41 at Holly may have not been a personal best, though it was easily his best performance of this young season.

Masterfully made the final, deciding move at Jackson. From 3k to 4k, opened up a considerable gap on the competition that he rode to the finish and rode to a 15 second personal best.

Vincent Guaresimo

Week Three: “Two 2nd’s and a 3rd, but think of his early season in terms of comparison. 16:26 to 15:52 at Lamplighter and 16:44 to 16:13 at Averill.”

Week Four: Might not be winning, but man he’s consistent. Three big efforts, all the equivalent of a ~15:30.

Others may have more flashy times and wins, but this guy is steady and consistent. Top-10 efforts at Lamplighter, Averill, Holly, and Jackson. His Sharp Park race gave him a minor personal best, 4 seconds faster than his MITCA race.

Aiden Moore

Championship season started early in the Battle Creek area with Aiden capturing his second consecutive City Championship. The King of BC then took the journey north to Otsego, lowering his already impressive Lakeview school record to 15:10.

Ethan Powell

Week Four: Definitely taking The Leap in his junior year. He’s already been in the 15’s on five occasions, getting there even in weekday tri meets. His 15:36 on the soft Forest Akers turf was a good 40 seconds faster than last year.

Embarked on the same strategy as Herger, but a bit earlier in the race. 41st at the mile, to 21st at 2, to 18th at the finish. Some call it confidence to go out with the lead group and hang on for dear life. I think you’re more sure of yourself when you know you can close gaps late. Ethan and his Northville teammates appear to be mastering that skill and trusting their training.

Taye Levenson

Holly was a shocker, taking it to Vishvaa early and not relenting, traversing the tight turns and short hills to a 15:35 victory. Although he’s finished 2nd in a few races since, take a look at the competition, all runners that will be favorites to step on the podium in a month.

RankGradeNameTeamRegion
112Seth NorderGrand Haven1
212Brendan HergerNorthville6
312Thomas WestphalAnchor Bay9
412Vishvaa RavishankarTroy8
512Vincent GuaresimoRomeo9
612Aiden MooreBattle Creek Lakeview3
711Ethan PowellNorthville6
811Taye LevensonBloomfield Hills8
99Kamari RonfeldtAnn Arbor Pioneer5
1012Luke SulimanAnn Arbor Skyline4
1112Sebastian RamirezRoyal Oak7
1212Ty ParkerWalled Lake Northern7
1312Noah SelvarajBay City Western2
1412Brandon AndersonDexter4
1510Kyle O’RourkeHighland-Milford7
1611Seth ConnerJenison1
1712Iain ForrestDavison4
1811Kian SchneeweisTroy8
1912Jasper CaneKalamazoo Central3
2011Alexander McArthurOxford8
219Jack MacGregorHowell4
2212Tyler LangleyBrighton4
2312Pierce GrzymkowskiWhite Lake Lakeland7
2412Connor ClorRomeo9
2512Logan BegemanPortage Central3
2612Luke CampbellBrighton4
2712Vincent Peterson SandAnn Arbor Pioneer5
2812Mitchell ClarkCanton6
2910Aiden PengellyCanton6
3011Malcolm SpeigleLivonia Churchill6
3112Liam WaltersGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills3
3211Evan NickolesEast Kentwood3
3310Harper WesleyUtica8
3412Truman JohnsonSaline5
3512Evan RiceWalled Lake Northern7
3612Ian LewisLivonia Churchill6
3711Mason LucasJenison1
3812Oliver MossBerkley7
3912Dylan PenberthyL’Anse Creuse North9
4012Carter FoxMacomb Dakota9
4110Benjamin HartiganNorthville6
4212Mason JettAnn Arbor Skyline4
4312Zack TruszkowskiTraverse City Central2
4411James CusickOxford8
4512Willem DeGoodTraverse City West2
4610John BlaskowskiSaginaw Heritage2
4711Tyler BrockBrighton4
4812Tyler BrothersUtica Eisenhower9
4911Jonah BillsBattle Creek Lakeview3
5011Ben EisnorGrand Haven1

3 thoughts on “2023 Rankings: Championship Week, Division 1”

Leave a comment