The above link contains the best explanation of the year.
Week 4
Mid-Season Projections – Boys
Mid-Season Projections – Girls
These rankings contain meets through Saturday (9/28). If a runner has had a rated race since September 1st, they’re included (sadly, I have to account for injured athletes). These are for fun and done for free. Enjoy!

Recap
Skip ahead two weeks and it’s still the triumvirate of Traverse City St. Francis, Jackson Lumen Christi, and Ithaca. Neither of three faced off against one another over these past few weeks, but we did see the Glads and Yellowjackets both at Shepherd. The GladPack was still in form, placing five boys under 17:00 in the elite field, placing 10th of 36, still ahead of many ranked teams in D1/D2. Placed in the Gold Division, Ithaca faced many ranked D3 teams (Covenant, Hart, Charlevoix, Bath), and escaped with a 9-point victory. Landen Styka and Miingen Bertrand were enough up front, quietly improving freshman Christopher Shemes pulling up in the fifth spot to secure the victory.
Lumen Christi came out ahead of ranked foes at both DeWitt and Jackson. This past weekend, a surging Lansing Catholic gave the Titans a test in the middle of the pack, but the front runnin’ of Ziggy Dinverno and Leo Swager gave enough of a gap to secure a win. Over the rolling Sharp Park hills, a similar match took place against D4’s Hillsdale Academy, the Green n’ Gold having the requisite strength through five to earn another win.
Looking Forward
There’s very little distinction between teams ranked 4th and beyond. Luckily, there is a solution, the great separator: Portage
#1 Traverse City St. Francis
#2 Jackson Lumen Christi
#4 Saugatuck
#5 Pewamo-Westphalia
#7 Hanover-Horton
#8 Covenant Christian
#9 Central Montcalm
#10 Buchanan
Separation will occur.
Top 27
| Rank | Team | Score | Region | Top 5 Avg. | Last Week |
| 1 | Traverse City St. Francis | 96 | 19 | 191.2 | 1 |
| 2 | Jackson Lumen Christi | 212 | 23 | 184.1 | 2 |
| 3 | Ithaca | 245 | 25 | 182.8 | 3 |
| 4 | Saugatuck | 326 | 22 | 173.7 | 4 |
| 5 | Pewamo-Westphalia | 347 | 24 | 173.6 | 7 |
| 6 | Lansing Catholic | 360 | 26 | 172.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Hanover-Horton | 363 | 23 | 175.3 | 6 |
| 8 | Grand Rapids Covenant Christian | 383 | 21 | 173.9 | 5 |
| 9 | Stanton Central Montcalm | 412 | 24 | 175.2 | 9 |
| 10 | Buchanan | 458 | 22 | 168.6 | 10 |
| 11 | Charlevoix | 474 | 19 | 173.3 | 11 |
| 12 | Flat Rock | 530 | 27 | 172.2 | 14 |
| 13 | Muskegon Western Michigan Christian | 550 | 21 | 166.9 | 12 |
| 14 | Reed City | 556 | 20 | 169.7 | 15 |
| 15 | Jonesville | 563 | 23 | 168.0 | 13 |
| 16 | Hart | 619 | 20 | 162.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Benzie Central | 674 | 20 | 162.6 | 17 |
| 18 | Bath | 700 | 24 | 162.7 | 19 |
| 19 | Leslie | 716 | 26 | 159.5 | 20 |
| 20 | Holland Black River | 723 | 21 | 161.0 | 18 |
| 21 | Union City | 735 | 22 | 160.9 | 21 |
| 22 | The Potter’s House | 836 | 21 | 156.9 | NR |
| 23 | Montague | 842 | 21 | 156.5 | 22 |
| 24 | Sanford-Meridian | 904 | 25 | 156.8 | 24 |
| 25 | Erie Mason | 907 | 27 | 154.8 | 25 |
| 26 | Lake City | 909 | 20 | 155.2 | 23 |
| 27 | Ann Arbor Greenhills | 920 | 26 | 153.6 | NR |

Recap
The Pirates are making headways. Ranked #1 in the preseason, Pewamo-Westphalia had bided their time before a big performance at Bluejay. Running against all the big schools and elite teams, the Pirates proved they belong. Up front, with Whitney Werner and Alyssa Kramer. Packed up in the middle, all seven under 21:35. The kind of performance that gets on podiums in November.
The greatest divergence between the coaches poll and the speed ratings concerns the top spot here. Coaches have ranked Lansing Catholic fifth, trending towards second. I’ve had them first the entire time. Each could be valid. There’s a certainty to their running, putting six girls under 21 at both Cougar Falcon and DeWitt is enough to result in wins.
Looking Forward
Sadly, no matchup between the Cougars and Pirates, that’ll have to wait until Greater Lansing. However, at Portage, there’s ample opportunity for P-W to move up. The Blue n’ Yellow swashbucklers will go against:
#3 Traverse City St. Francis
#4 Central Montcalm
#5 Lumen Christi
#7 Benzie Central
#9 Hart
#10 McBain
Top 27
| Rank | Team | Score | Region | Top 5 Avg. | Last Week |
| 1 | Lansing Catholic | 182 | 26 | 117.8 | 1 |
| 2 | Pewamo-Westphalia | 205 | 24 | 121.3 | 3 |
| 3 | Traverse City St. Francis | 222 | 19 | 117.4 | 2 |
| 4 | Stanton Central Montcalm | 277 | 24 | 119.1 | 4 |
| 5 | Jackson Lumen Christi | 288 | 23 | 109.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Ithaca | 355 | 25 | 101.9 | 6 |
| 7 | Benzie Central | 370 | 20 | 103.1 | 7 |
| 8 | Leslie | 434 | 26 | 100.4 | 8 |
| 9 | GR Covenant Christian | 492 | 21 | 93.3 | 10 |
| 10 | Hart | 497 | 20 | 91.5 | 9 |
| 11 | McBain | 608 | 20 | 87.4 | 11 |
| 12 | Clare | 621 | 19 | 86.6 | 12 |
| 13 | Muskegon Western Michigan Christian | 629 | 21 | 92.1 | 16 |
| 14 | Saugatuck | 637 | 22 | 86.9 | 14 |
| 15 | Blissfield | 675 | 27 | 89.7 | 15 |
| 16 | Grass Lake | 678 | 27 | 80.0 | 18 |
| 17 | Midland Bullock Creek | 686 | 25 | 84.1 | 13 |
| 18 | Remus Chippewa Hills | 734 | 20 | 79.0 | 17 |
| 19 | Grandville Calvin Christian | 738 | 21 | 79.7 | 21 |
| 20 | Onsted | 749 | 23 | 85.6 | 19 |
| 21 | Ann Arbor Greenhills | 776 | 26 | 79.3 | 20 |
| 22 | Laingsburg | 821 | 24 | 74.5 | 26 |
| 23 | Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian | 894 | 21 | 70.3 | 22 |
| 24 | Union City | 937 | 22 | 73.2 | 25 |
| 25 | Schoolcraft | 946 | 22 | 68.0 | 27 |
| 26 | Bronson | 951 | 23 | 77.5 | NR |
| 27 | Lake City | 975 | 20 | 70.1 | 23 |
Individual Rankings
Recap
On the right day, he potentially has the best ability. We’ve seen it at last year’s State Finals. In June and a month earlier at Bluejay, too.That potential doesn’t mean much until it comes to fruition, showing it can be proved. Gus Rohde proved he’s entering the prime time of the year in a good enough condition to be in contention. His 15:40 at Bluejay matched his time from last year, in a setting that seemed a bit tougher than twelve months ago.
As the day wore on at Sharp Park, the temps heated up and so did the racing. Two winning candidates, Mitchell Hiatt and Ziggy Dinverno raced head-to-head, Hiatt claiming a 10-sec. victory while Dinverno sped to a PR. The following week at Stockbridge, the momentum gained from that win was able to pay off to the tune of a 15:22, 15 sec. faster than 2023 and now the #2 time in Division 3.
Looking Forward
Who will be at Portage? Five of the top-10 guys:
#2 Josh Slocum
#3 Gage Hoffman
#5 Ziggy Dinverno
#8 William Ready
#9 Levi Kamps
Gus Rohde will be testing his mettle on the tough Pine River course. Jacob Stanislawski has been on the move and will face another opportunity for growth in a competitive field at Wayne County.
Top 30
| Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Rating |
| 1 | 12 | Gus Rohde | Reed City | 205.7 |
| 2 | 12 | Josh Slocum | Traverse City St. Francis | 205.4 |
| 3 | 11 | Gage Hoffman | Stanton Central Montcalm | 204.0 |
| 4 | 12 | Mitchell Hiatt | Onsted | 203.8 |
| 5 | 12 | Isaiah Dinverno | Jackson Lumen Christi | 203.0 |
| 6 | 11 | Landen Styka | Ithaca | 202.8 |
| 7 | 11 | Jacob Stanislawski | Flat Rock | 197.9 |
| 8 | 10 | William Ready | Traverse City St. Francis | 196.5 |
| 9 | 12 | Levi Kamps | Grand Rapids Covenant Christian | 196.2 |
| 10 | 12 | Miingen Bertrand | Ithaca | 196.2 |
| 11 | 12 | Landon Pestrue | St. Louis | 195.8 |
| 12 | 12 | Leo Swager | Jackson Lumen Christi | 194.9 |
| 13 | 12 | Landen Boulis | Hanover-Horton | 194.5 |
| 14 | 10 | Hunter Eaton | Charlevoix | 194.0 |
| 15 | 12 | Matthias Morse | Muskegon Western Michigan Christian | 192.3 |
| 16 | 11 | Noah Devereaux | Laingsburg | 191.3 |
| 17 | 10 | Caleb Blonde | Jonesville | 191.2 |
| 18 | 10 | Luke Herron | Caro | 190.3 |
| 19 | 11 | Tyler Leach | Otisville LakeVille | 190.2 |
| 20 | 9 | Nole Lorenzen | Rochester Hills Lutheran NW | 189.6 |
| 21 | 12 | Tyler Heal | Sanford-Meridian | 189.3 |
| 22 | 12 | Nathan Vargo | Flat Rock | 188.1 |
| 23 | 11 | Robert Dykhouse | Manton | 187.9 |
| 24 | 9 | Owen Poppema | Bath | 187.9 |
| 25 | 12 | Owen Read | Traverse City St. Francis | 187.0 |
| 26 | 12 | Robby Myler | Traverse City St. Francis | 185.8 |
| 27 | 12 | Daniel Mandujano | Watervliet | 185.6 |
| 28 | 11 | Jayden Fox | Saginaw Valley Lutheran | 185.0 |
| 29 | 10 | Ryder Hopkins | Charlevoix | 184.8 |
| 30 | 9 | Christian Craanen | Monroe St. Mary CC | 184.6 |
Recap
The Bluejay Boost was in full effect at Shepherd, three D3 girls using the elite field as a great opportunity to move up in these rankings. Kyah Hoffman added another anecdote that proves her love of this course. She’s set personal bests there as a sophomore, junior, and now senior. Whitney Werner dropped 35+ seconds from her previous Shepherd performance. Alyssa Kramer dropped 150+ seconds. Golly, she’s a totally different runner.
Looking Forward
A rare scenario of two separate top-10 matchups!
At Portage:
#1 Kyah Hoffman
#3 Whitney Werner
#4 Betsy Skendzel
#6 Lila Volkers
#8 Alyssa Kramer
Over the fast track at Hudson:
#2 Emmry Ross
#9 Hailey Creisher
#10 Hope Miller
I’ll likely make an exception to do the math on this one, as Kamryn Salladay will attempt to conquer the State’s Toughest CourseTM, Baker Woods. Typical early season speed ratings show a 2-3 min. adjustment, though those are always volatile. I’m curious to see how the course runs on Friday.
Top 30
| Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Rating |
| 1 | 12 | Kyah Hoffman | Stanton Central Montcalm | 163.6 |
| 2 | 12 | Emmry Ross | Onsted | 157.5 |
| 3 | 12 | Whitney Werner | Pewamo-Westphalia | 153.0 |
| 4 | 12 | Betsy Skendzel | Traverse City St. Francis | 150.9 |
| 5 | 12 | Eliza Bush | Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory | 148.6 |
| 6 | 12 | Lila Volkers | Kent City | 146.6 |
| 7 | 10 | Kamryn Salladay | Lakeview | 146.2 |
| 8 | 10 | Alyssa Kramer | Pewamo-Westphalia | 145.5 |
| 9 | 11 | Hailey Creisher | Leslie | 143.2 |
| 10 | 11 | Hope Miller | Blissfield | 142.5 |
| 11 | 11 | Bella LaFountain | Monroe St. Mary CC | 141.0 |
| 12 | 12 | Grace VanderKooi | Muskegon Western Michigan Christian | 138.9 |
| 13 | 10 | Samantha Schroeder | Jackson Lumen Christi | 137.9 |
| 14 | 12 | Ashley Choponis | Stanton Central Montcalm | 137.0 |
| 15 | 10 | Isabelle Sliter | Fennville | 135.8 |
| 16 | 9 | Elliana Max | Kent City | 133.3 |
| 17 | 10 | Shelby Kuiper | GR Covenant Christian | 130.1 |
| 18 | 12 | Ava Hathaway | Bronson | 129.8 |
| 19 | 9 | Josie Bishop | Lansing Catholic | 129.4 |
| 20 | 11 | Grace Coston | Stanton Central Montcalm | 128.6 |
| 21 | 9 | Caelyn Torry | McBain | 127.6 |
| 22 | 11 | Mattie Gagne | Midland Bullock Creek | 127.2 |
| 23 | 12 | Chloe Stalhood | Hillsdale | 126.6 |
| 24 | 10 | Grace Wonch | Lansing Catholic | 126.2 |
| 25 | 12 | Nora Grossnickle | Benzie Central | 125.9 |
| 26 | 12 | Kaya Vrable | Caro | 125.7 |
| 27 | 10 | Sophia Buzzelli | Clare | 123.5 |
| 28 | 9 | Avery Kelly | Benzie Central | 123.0 |
| 29 | 11 | Ashlynn Harris | Bronson | 121.8 |
| 30 | 12 | Mary Masserant | Traverse City St. Francis | 121.5 |
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