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Regional Previews: Division One Boys

Finally done with typing out these regional previews. As with the 50 Tickets, these are a bit condensed compared to past years. I found the writing was getting excessive, repetitive, and more work than the actual season. But still, regional projections are in order. I thought I’d highlight a few of the battles, tough regions, and outstanding individuals.

Compared to Divisions 2-4, these are pretty set in terms of full teams and feeder middle schools. Of course, there are cities that don’t really use athletic.net (Ann Arbor) or their middle schools randomly feed into their high schools (Plymouth-Canton). Then are those whose students go to one high school or the other based on where an athlete lives. There’s even some districts that let families decide and don’t care about geography. Long story short, if you’re feeling underrated because I didn’t include an incoming freshman, the season starts soon enough anyway and it won’t matter.

Similar to the 50 Tickets, these are based on last year’s XC season and track seasons, projected improvements, and a few bits of subjective shuffling. I wanted to get these all done before meets begin. The 50 Tickets will likely conclude over the weekend, the Top Tens will be done throughout the week. On a similar timeline to previous summers with a much more time to enjoy my other interests!

Anyhow, here are your D1 Boys predictions.

Toughest Regions

Region 2 – three teams in the top-10, two other top-22 teams on the outside looking in. Already a pretty tough region with powers such as Traverse City Central and West, Saginaw Heritage, etc. Add in what could be the best Midland team we’ve seen in years, plus a traditionally strong Milford team making the unusual trek up north. A very deserving team could be sitting at home in early November.

Region 3 – six teams in the top-20. Probably the most absurd set of ranked teams I’ve ever seen in my seven years of intensely following the sport. Not the most star-powered ever, but five teams ranked between #11 and #20: Lowell, Portage Central, East Kentwood, Forest Hills Central, and Kalamazoo Loy Norrix. On the west coast, the percentage of high-performing D1 schools has to be at an all-time high.

Intriguing Battles

Region 1 – the third spot, likely between Forest Hills Northern and Jenison. Forest Hills Northern brings forth a senior-laden team, Jenison will be picking up the pieces left behind from their 2024 senior-laden squad. The Huskies look to have a little better depth, but on the other hand, many of the Wildcats are untested in big-time varsity races.

Region 2 – Midland vs. Milford for the win. It appears that that the Mavericks and Chemics are a bit ahead of the rest of the quality teams in this field. I can affirmatively say that this may be the first time ever that these two schools will face off for a regional distance running championship. Both advanced to State last year, Midland will hope to return to prove it was not a fluke and to improve on their 27th place finish. Milford will hope to prove their greatness ain’t just on hilly courses.

Region 4 – Brighton vs. Ann Arbor Skyline for the win. Both were qualifiers last year, Brighton winning by a massive margin, 50+ points over the rest of the field. Ann Arbor Skyline was spurred by Zeke Lafferty, who ran a massive PR (then broke 4:30 in track – more in store?) to a surprise qualifier. The Bulldogs lose their top-3 finishers while the Eagles bring back all but one. The projections believe that the Skyline depth, especially through five, will be the deciding factor, although that decision is one point, basically a coin flip.

Region 5 – Pioneer vs. Saline for the win. The age-old battle. There have always been tales told, hearts broken, friendships shattered over competitions between teams at Stadium & Main and to the south. Just like football, the winner of these matches is likely to make serious noise on the bigger stage. The 2024 season saw a sweep by Saline, a team that then went onto finish 2nd in Division 1. But as rivalries go, when one team experiences breakthroughs, the other responds, Ann Arbor Pioneer placing 4th in the D1 4×8 and Beckett Crooks winning the 3200m. The projections find this competition very field-dependent – races with more mid-16 types might favor Saline’s depth, races with a higher proportion of high-15 kids might favor Pioneer’s extreme strength. At the State level, who knows what could happen.

Region 6 – Churchill vs. Canton for the third spot. It’ll be a rebuilding season for the two teams, both losing a considerable chunk of their scorers from their top squads last fall. Canton appears to be a bit stronger up front, bringing back Pengelly and Dusseau, while Livonia Churchill returns Wojtkowicz from their top-five. The unknown is how the rest of the spots respond to varsity pressure. Most runners rise to occasion, but some more than others. As with Pioneer and Saline, the gap grown by Canton’s top-two is just slightly ahead of Charger depth, and this is essentially a coin flip.

Region 7 – Walled Lake Northern vs. White Lake Lakeland for the third spot. Is it me or does this region just feel empty without Milford? Usually, there’s some sort of exploits where a one team wins the LVC, another won a league dual, the forgotten team was out of mind by the regional, but that team won the regional on their sixth runner. Anyhow, the Knights and Eagles are faced with a new challenge: Northville at the front. White Lake Lakeland, the defending champion, always outperforms the projections and has a Gavin Johns capable of breaking up the Mustang pack. Walled Lake Northern returns four of their top-five. The projections see the Knight depth at 2-4 being a significant factor, though once again this will likely be a close battle.

Region 1

Top-27 Teams

#13 Grand Haven
#26 Rockford

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Grand Haven63
2Rockford78
3Forest Hills Northern92
4Jenison93
5Grandville127
6Hudsonville128
7Grand Rapids Northview170
8Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills226
9Greenville246
10Muskegon Mona Shores310
11Grand Rapids Union314
12Muskegon Reeths-Puffer320
13Wyoming403
14Muskegon450

Top Athletes

Luka Hammond – writeup on the horizon.

Caden Livermore – locked horns with Hammond in an epic D1 1600m.

Aron Gal – an under the radar Buc contributor over the years.

Preston VanOeffelen – those fast 800’s gotta have some residual effect toward cross. Grew from the potential he showed as a sophomore, hitting 1:55 twice, the final one earning a 6th place in D1.

Hayden Lafferty – just truckin’ along, getting better from race to race. 2024 seemed to be a season of gradual improvements, finally ending with a PR of 16:10.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Luka HammondGrand Haven
211Caden LivermoreGrandville
312Aron GalGrand Haven
412Preston VanOeffelenGreenville
512Hayden LaffertyRockford
611Josiah DerksenRockford
712Caleb TeBrakeGrand Rapids Northview
811Bradley SmiesHudsonville
912Nolan WenglikowskiJenison
1010Chase ShermanJenison
1110Luke BultmanRockford
1212Gabriel WilliamsForest Hills Northern
1312Philip ChamberlainForest Hills Northern
1412Kelton HooverGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills
1512Rhys HolmesGrand Rapids Northview
1612Jacob McDanielGrandville
1712John TruongForest Hills Northern
1812Kasen TodtzGrand Haven
199Benjamin RatkeGrand Haven
2010Carter CookeJenison

Region 2

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Milford
Top-10 Midland
Top-10 Traverse City West
#14 Traverse City Central
#22 Saginaw Heritage

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Milford60
2Midland65
3Traverse City West83
4Traverse City Central120
5Saginaw Heritage129
6Holly188
7Grand Blanc196
8Davison209
9Alpena235
10Hartland243
11Mt. Pleasant292
12H.H. Dow333
13Flushing387
14Swartz Creek395
15Lapeer440
16Bay City Western480

Top Athletes

Kyle O’Rourke – writeup also on the horizon

Caleb Keller – TCC kid who by now is used to long regional treks.

Liam Wierzba – coming off the heels of a fiery track season.

Cameron Cochran – embraced his final few weeks of the season, dropping personal bests at State and at MITCA.

Todd Tobin – 17:37 opener at Possum Hollow left many intrigued what was to come, finished the season as one of the better freshmen in D1.

Alexander Allen – been awhile since the days of the Smiths and Mitchell Day. Allen appears determined to join them in Alpena lore, blasting a 15:39, finishing in the top-5 here and in the Big North.

John Blaskowski – a Heritage standout for a few years, looking to make a return trip to MIS. Big gains in the 3200m this spring are a sign that it’s possible

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Kyle O’RourkeMilford
212Caleb KellerTraverse City Central
311Liam WierzbaTraverse City West
411Cameron CochranMidland
510Todd TobinMilford
610Alexander AllenAlpena
712John BlaskowskiSaginaw Heritage
812Jack SteenTraverse City Central
912Hayden MurrayTraverse City West
1012Andrew WorsleyMidland
1111Broden LaddHolly
1212Bastien BeaubienMilford
1312Logan BellingerMidland
1410Johnathan ElseaMt. Pleasant
1512Aidan SimrauTraverse City West
1610Finn-Frost GraysonTraverse City West
1711Matthew WortleySaginaw Heritage
1812Luke JamesMidland
1912Dylan DoggettMilford
2011Logan GessfordMidland

Region 3

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Kalamazoo Central
#11 Portage Central
#12 Lowell
#17 East Kentwood
#18 Forest Hills Central
#19 Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
#27 Holland West Ottawa

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Kalamazoo Central59
2Portage Central117
3Lowell123
4East Kentwood149
5Kalamazoo Loy Norrix153
6Forest Hills Central158
7Holland West Ottawa166
8Caledonia179
9Zeeland West189
10Battle Creek Lakeview230
11Byron Center250
12Mattawan264
13Portage Northern360
14Zeeland East396

Top Athletes

Jackson Lam – was just featured!

Samuel Baker – expect big things in November

Andrew Wright – from both Sam and his Andrew

Justin Johnson – developing rapidly

Ben Romero – let’s see that potential blossom

Marshall Huhn – blossomed during sophomore year

Cooper Byrne – has transformed over the past few years, moving from a freshman that was always over 18:00 to a senior looking to break through into the 15’s.

Ty Billings – has contributed mightily to Giant exploits of the past few years, clutch running recently during their regional 4×8 win and last fall, where they won the SMAC and this very Region.

Owen Fisher – Mattawan senior has moved from 67th to 38th to 14th here in his three years

Noah Johnston – took the disappointment of not qualifying in cross and turned it into a track campaign where he dropped nearly 20 sec. in the 3200m. Darkhorse All-State candidate.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Jackson LamKalamazoo Loy Norrix
211Samuel BakerKalamazoo Central
312Andrew WrightKalamazoo Central
411Justin JohnsonEast Kentwood
511Ben RomeroForest Hills Central
611Marshall HuhnLowell
712Cooper ByrneLowell
812Ty BillingsKalamazoo Central
912Owen FisherMattawan
1012Noah JohnstonCaledonia
1111Matii TarekegnEast Kentwood
1210Karson LewisBattle Creek Lakeview
1312Keagan SmithZeeland West
1412Nicolas Morale -SanchezKalamazoo Loy Norrix
1511Tristan ZhangPortage Central
1612Elijah ThompsonKalamazoo Central
1710Marcus EsslingPortage Central
1812Owen GiffordPortage Central
1912Gavin O’MearaForest Hills Central
2011Memphis ConnorByron Center

Region 4

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Ann Arbor Skyline
Top-10 Brighton
#21 Grand Ledge

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Ann Arbor Skyline59
2Brighton60
3Grand Ledge99
4Okemos132
5Dexter143
6Howell150
7East Lansing179
8South Lyon233
9Holt246
10South Lyon East261
11Jackson291
12Mason361
13Lansing Waverly384
14Lansing Everett415

Top Athletes

Jack MacGregor – last fall’s winner, coming back for more

Ian Morgan – this year’s region a little closer to home

Zach Wyderko – another tough runner from a program known for them

Benjamin Rottier – track saw further ascendancy in the 3200m. Tons of sub-10’s, including a CAAC Blue victory.

Coen Hill – timeline rapidly progressed as a sophomore. 18:05 opener became a 16:05 closer, a top-10 finish here along the ride.

Blake Kulesza – while the cross State Finals may not have gone the way he’d hoped, the track ones did – contributor to a Brighton 4×8 squad that shocked the MIXC predictions, finishing 3rd.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Jack MacGregorHowell
212Ian MorganOkemos
312Zach WyderkoBrighton
412Benjamin RottierGrand Ledge
511Coen HillDexter
611Blake KuleszaBrighton
712Liam PreisserEast Lansing
810Oskar MacArthurAnn Arbor Skyline
910Rylen RicheyGrand Ledge
1012Zeke LaffertyAnn Arbor Skyline
1112Mitchell CoryBrighton
1212Bruno CifaldiAnn Arbor Skyline
1311Matthew GuikemaAnn Arbor Skyline
1412Malcolm CesarioOkemos
1510Rem PiperHolt
1610Martin GehrkeAnn Arbor Skyline
1710Brendan WilliamsBrighton
1811Nolan LoundsGrand Ledge
1911Simon ShuttOkemos
2010Nikhil BallSouth Lyon East

Region 5

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Ann Arbor Pioneer
Top-10 Saline

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Ann Arbor Pioneer38
2Saline39
3Brownstown Woodhaven92
4Temperance Bedford106
5Monroe196
6Allen Park210
7Wyandotte Roosevelt236
8Gibraltar Carlson268
9Dearborn Fordson271
10Dearborn Edsel Ford284
11Dearborn292
12Ypsilanti Community308
13Southgate Anderson322
14Ypsilanti Lincoln354
15Detroit Cass Tech391
16Belleville392
17Lincoln Park586
18Taylor594
19Detroit Martin Luther King595
20Melvindale617

Top Athletes

Kamari Ronfeldt – elite even when battling sickness

Beckett Crooks – fresh off his immaculate final lap at East Kentwood

Jacob Szalay – a young Hornet featured already

Brennan Larusso – and an experienced Hornet

Mourad Algahmi – definitely has moved past being a darkhorse All-State candidate. His 15:14 summer 5k on the fast Allen Park streets leaves many in wonder what he’ll throw down in the fall

Theo Sacks-Thomas – was part of that Pioneer track renaissance, hitting a 4:20 at MITCA and placing in the highly-competitive SEC Red

Pierce Scheffler – Downriver League champ hopes to lead his Warriors back to MIS, a place where he busted through into the 15’s.

Dane Hieronimus – twice top-10 here, has spent a good part of the past two years right on the 16 min. mark

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Kamari RonfeldtAnn Arbor Pioneer
212Beckett CrooksAnn Arbor Pioneer
311Jacob SzalaySaline
412Brennan LarussoSaline
510Mourad AlgahmiDearborn Fordson
612Theo Sacks-ThomasAnn Arbor Pioneer
712Pierce SchefflerBrownstown Woodhaven
812Dane HieronimusTemperance Bedford
910Wesley RoganSaline
1011Cameron VarnerTemperance Bedford
1111Carlos BasultoSaline
1211Jack KleinSaline
1312Quinn DavisAnn Arbor Pioneer
1412Alex VazquezBrownstown Woodhaven
1511Noah AmoriWyandotte Roosevelt
1612Thomas DeJesusAnn Arbor Pioneer
1711Vincent JonesBrownstown Woodhaven
1811Walker LedbetterAnn Arbor Pioneer
1911Jacob ColeSaline
2010James GageSaline

Region 6

Top-27 Teams

#15 Salem
#20 Plymouth

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Salem42
2Plymouth63
3Canton92
4Livonia Churchill93
5Ann Arbor Huron122
6Detroit U-D Jesuit169
7Livonia Stevenson211
8Detroit Renaissance246
9Livonia Franklin286
10Wayne Memorial301
11Westland John Glenn304
12Ferndale338
13Dearborn Heights Crestwood384
14Detroit Mumford442

Top Athletes

Aiden Pengelly – writeup soon!

Lucas LaPointe – fulfilling the yearly tradition of a Plymouth kid being getting a ticket

Steven Dusseau – stupendously reliable, almost all of his 2024 efforts in the mid-16’s, until a final few moving toward 16-flat.

Adrian Clarke – initial season saw rapid progress, starting north of 17 and finishing south of 16.

Jack Hanner – based on his improvement over four laps this spring (4:43 to 4:31), we can expect further gains in the fall.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Aiden PengellyCanton
212Lucas LaPointePlymouth
312Steven DusseauCanton
412Adrian ClarkePlymouth
511Jack HannerSalem
612Hudson WojtkowiczLivonia Churchill
711Austin MercadoSalem
812Daniel NiehausPlymouth
912Jaden DingSalem
1012Max FrentnerSalem
1112John NiemenskiSalem
1212Tommy BuckalewWestland John Glenn
1311Tyler BjorklundLivonia Churchill
1411Justin MkrtumianDetroit U-D Jesuit
1512Parker SzymczakSalem
1611Owen DaleboutSalem
1712TJ ConleyAnn Arbor Huron
1810Lucas BrumoLivonia Stevenson
1912Tobin CollinsCanton
2012Joey BrakeLivonia Churchill

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Northville
#23 Novi

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Northville16
2Novi86
3Walled Lake Northern123
4White Lake Lakeland129
5Royal Oak156
6Detroit Catholic Central163
7Farmington218
8Bloomfield Hills223
9Beverly Hills Groves253
10West Bloomfield264
11Walled Lake Central296
12North Farmington332
13Brother Rice351
14Berkley355
15Birmingham Seaholm362
16Walled Lake Western461

Top Athletes

Ben Hartigan – clutch anchor legging and clutch State performances for two straight years

Brandon Cloud – silently one of the better runners from the Michigan junior class

Ryan Stojov – probably underrated on here, no way to project just how much his track improvement will carry over to cross

Lucas Mullan – had one of the better springs of any track freshman. 5th in the New Balance freshman mile, 3rd in the freshman 800m. He’ll have some great seniors to learn from in his initial foray into cross.

Gavin Johns – championship season was his time, with a runner-up in the LVC, top-5 regional finish, and top-50 spot at State.

Ethan Hertza – an under the radar Mustang who’s moved from a freshman barely breaking 20:00 in his opener to one that’s on the cusp of breaking into the 15’s

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Ben HartiganNorthville
211Brandon CloudNorthville
312Ryan StojovNorthville
410Lucas MullanNorthville
512Gavin JohnsWhite Lake Lakeland
612Ethan HertzaNorthville
712Nolan CollinsBrother Rice
811Trevor BaptistNovi
911Musa KayWest Bloomfield
1011Briggs WarrenNovi
1112Finn GammerathWalled Lake Northern
1212Soma SatoNovi
1312Gavin TischDetroit Catholic Central
1411Devin LauFarmington
1512Alex HamiltonNorth Farmington
169Ben SimsFarmington
1711Jack LewisNorthville
1811Nathan BrussWalled Lake Northern
1910Brady GlonDetroit Catholic Central
2012Brenden HumitzWhite Lake Lakeland

Region 8

Top-27 Teams

#16 Clarkston
#24 Rochester

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Clarkston67
2Rochester76
3Oxford101
4Troy110
5Lake Orion140
6Rochester Adams154
7Troy Athens169
8Rochester Hills Stoney Creek180
9Utica Ford193
10Sterling Heights Stevenson240
11Warren Cousino349
12Auburn Hills Avondale353
13Waterford Kettering414
14Warren Mott439
15Waterford Mott450
16Sterling Heights497

Top Athletes

Nate Linden – the last of this Athens resurgence

Ryan Barnes – talented as they come

Evan Owczarek – by the numbers, may have had the most dramatic time drops of anyone that entered the 15’s in 2024. Evan’s PR as a sophomore was a 18:24.

Max Houvener – moved up nearly 20 spots here at Region 8 to help his Dragons earn a State qualifier. Was in the at/near/under 16 in his final four races.

David Dubeck – another one with dramatic drops. Largely unable to compete as a sophomore, but transformed into a reliable 16-flat (or 15:59.8) kid when needed.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Nate LindenTroy Athens
212Ryan BarnesClarkston
312Evan OwczarekRochester
412Max HouvenerLake Orion
512David DubeckClarkston
612Dylan PascoeRochester
710Cooper McNaughtonClarkston
89Avery Clinton-BarnettOxford
912Cayden CanhamOxford
1011Jesse ReedRochester Adams
1110Ricardo GuajardoLake Orion
1212David MannSterling Heights Stevenson
1312Aaron HemstreetWarren Cousino
1410Aidan SchwalbachRochester Hills Stoney Creek
1510Lucas CampbellRochester
169Joseph LeighRochester Hills Stoney Creek
1710Asa KonwinskiTroy
1812Isaac ClarkTroy
1911Zach ShafferUtica Ford
2012Dean GallucciUtica Ford

Region 9

Top-27 Teams

Top-10 Romeo
#25 Macomb Dakota

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Romeo29
2Fraser82
3Macomb Dakota89
4Utica108
5Utica Eisenhower161
6Warren DeLaSalle170
7Chippewa Valley199
8L’Anse Creuse North217
9Anchor Bay246
10Port Huron Northern260
11Grosse Pointe South277
12St. Clair Shores Lakeview302
13Roseville435
14Warren Woods Tower464
15St. Clair Shores Lake Shore473
16Port Huron504

Top Athletes

Harper Wesley – your defending champ

Gavin Soviar – possible future champ, but we don’t want to get too far ahead of ourselves. MS Regional Zone 3 champ who was sub-11 for a majority of his 8th grade races.

Owen Perry – first cross season as a junior saw him rapidly learn the sport all the way to a 3rd place Macomb County finish.

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Harper WesleyUtica
29Gavin SoviarFraser
312Owen PerryRomeo
412Luke AllenRomeo
59Rio HrabovskyRomeo
612Charlie CurtisUtica
710Xavier SolgotL’Anse Creuse North
812James BrickelRomeo
99Ripley ClorRomeo
1012Lance EdghillFraser
119Finley ClorRomeo
1212Anthony FreiUtica Eisenhower
1312Andrew ScheloskeMacomb Dakota
1412Aaron OstermanAnchor Bay
1512Joseph KaletoMacomb Dakota
1611Carson HlavinRomeo
1712Jacob GiovanniniMacomb Dakota
1812Oliver DavisMacomb Dakota
1910Cameron MartinFraser
2012Malcolm RichardsonWarren DeLaSalle

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