2025 Regional Projections: Division 3

My favorite and most controversial posts of the year!

The rankings and ratings from each race and each week are one aspect of the work that I do, this is another. These take those ratings and the variability from a runner’s resume, then apply that to a projection.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

At the regional level, the projections were pretty darn accurate. I gave qualifying odds for the top-3 spots and ended up thinking I’d be accurate on 198 of the teams, the final total ended up being 197. The State level was a different story, where a few wholly unexpected teams hit the podium.

With that in mind, these simulations are a bit different than last year. Last year’s sample filtered out a runner’s lesser performances, which was fine in the regional setting, but didn’t account for the otherworldly MIS efforts that the Saline/Saugatuck boys had. In an attempt to capture more of the variant State Final performances, the samples for 2025 contain all of the invites and championship meets, hopefully giving more of an idea of how one performs when going to the well.

I should also mention that in order to be included, a runner had to take part in a rated race over the past 4 weeks. This will attempt to account for injuries.

Hopefully these can give an accurate portrayal of what’s to come, help with a little added motivation, or give a calming confidence. As accurate as they potentially could be, I live for the tales of the underdogs and look forward to hearing about (respectfully, of course) those unseen triumphs.

Your D3 Regional Projections…

GIRLS MID-SEASON PROJECTIONS
BOYS MID-SEASON PROJECTIONS
GIRLS SUMMER PROJECTIONS
BOYS SUMMER PROJECTIONS

REGION 19

Any Big Battles?

Both of the individual races and most of the potential qualifying look to be set in stone. Traditional winner Traverse City St. Francis is in there in both genders, Charlevoix and their devious Hunter Eaton are elite within D3, Harbor Springs hasn’t blinked when moving down a division, Coach King has been a shot in the arm for the Elk Rapids frontrunners. But there’s one spot with a bit of intrigue. Who may be the other girls team to advance?

When there’s a team with 65%+ chance of qualifying, then many with lower odds, that can often mean that the favorite is consistent, then the others either have a single great team effort, or athletes individually finding great efforts on separate occasions. Boyne City has been the most consistent team of the bunch, beating Kalkaska in their home invite, the Northern Shores Championship, and in a regional preview here (also beating Grayling). Although you see three wins over Kalkaska, that one here on the regional course came down to the sixth runner. Two of the Blazers trailed the nearest competitor by less than two seconds, so it’s not as if Kalkaska can’t pull ahead of BC.

Roscommon has shown that they have the goods, evidenced by races at Northern Michigan and Bluejay. In my mind, it’s an added bonus and assurance when a team displays its best efforts in meets with great significance. The Bucks were able to place 6^th at Northern Michigan, although they did score below Elk Rapids.

Maybe it’s Standish Sterling, a team that’s had personal bests from all five of their girls at each of their last two meets, Freeland and the JPC Final. Or Grayling, whose depth has shown rapid growth in the past few weeks.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Traverse City St. Francis	55	1.1	94	95+
2	Harbor Springs	87	2.0	6	95+
3	Boyne City	130	3.6		66
4	Standish-Sterling	146	5.5		13
5	Roscommon	148	5.7		8
6	Kalkaska	152	6.3		5
7	Elk Rapids	153	6.5
8	Charlevoix	157	7.1
9	Grayling	165	7.5		5
10	Cheboygan	187	9.7
11	Tawas	326	11.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Charlevoix	27	1.0	95+	95+
2	Traverse City St. Francis	97	2.2		95+
3	Harbor Springs	114	2.9		95+
4	Roscommon	148	4.5
5	Grayling	157	5.1
6	Boyne City	174	6.6
7	Kalkaska	185	7.7
8	Fairview	188	7.9
9	Standish-Sterling	195	8.6
10	Mancelona	196	8.6
11	Cheboygan	233	11.0
12	Oscoda	314	12.0
13	Tawas	393	13.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Brynne Schulte	Elk Rapids	1.3
2	12	Anna Pray	Elk Rapids	2.4
3	11	Nico Triebold	Grayling	5.4
4	11	Molly Kate Hollandsworth	Traverse City St. Francis	5.8
5	10	Emma Kerr	Traverse City St. Francis	6.0
6	10	Aaliyah Hillier	Kalkaska	6.5
7	9	Alaina Civinskas	Roscommon	7.0
8	12	Maryrose Halberg	Charlevoix	9.3
9	11	Stefi Reskevics	Harbor Springs	10.9
10	10	Gabi Rempe	Harbor Springs	12.0
11	11	Emily Dunphy	Traverse City St. Francis	14.0
12	10	Hailee Bertels	Boyne City	14.9
13	9	Ruby Rhein	Traverse City St. Francis	17.4
14	12	Delaney Little	Boyne City	18.1
15	12	Fran Warren	Harbor Springs	18.1
16	11	Laura Janisse	Roscommon	18.2
17	11	Addy Wiers	Charlevoix	19.3
18	9	Isabella Wegener	Kalkaska	20.3
19	11	Stella Houdek	Traverse City St. Francis	20.4
20	12	Christina Pake	Standish-Sterling	21.0
21	11	Briahna Campbell	Cheboygan	22.4
22	11	Cloee Rupp	Cheboygan	22.9
23	10	Sophia Balistreri	Harbor Springs	23.3
24	11	Davylynn Christie	Standish-Sterling	24.1
25	12	Laura Spyker	Standish-Sterling	24.6
26	10	Betty Cordner	Traverse City St. Francis	24.7
27	12	Rachel Dhaseleer	Charlevoix	25.8
28	12	Lizzie Bassett	Harbor Springs	26.5
29	9	Elin Jager	Traverse City St. Francis	27.3
30	9	Allison Kujawski	Boyne City	29.4

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Hunter Eaton	Charlevoix	1.2
2	11	Ryder Hopkins	Charlevoix	2.5
3	12	Matthew Solomon	Charlevoix	3.1
4	12	Qwynn Darnell	Elk Rapids	4.0
5	11	Isaac Dionne	Boyne City	5.3
6	11	Evan Civinskas	Roscommon	6.8
7	10	Grant Corlew	Harbor Springs	7.2
8	11	Carter Toensfeldt	Fairview	9.5
9	11	Thomas Janisse	Roscommon	11.9
10	11	Maxwell Drenth	Charlevoix	12.0
11	10	Aurie Selph	Charlevoix	13.2
12	10	Liam Mahaffy	Grayling	14.4
13	11	William Ready	Traverse City St. Francis	15.7
14	9	Louis Ready	Traverse City St. Francis	16.6
15	12	Coltrane Paryani	Kalkaska	17.1
16	11	Eli Williamson	Standish-Sterling	17.9
17	10	Jacob Muladore	Charlevoix	18.4
18	9	Landon Baas	Harbor Springs	19.0
19	11	Finn Parish	Boyne City	19.4
20	12	Nicholas Trader	Fairview	19.6
21	12	Henry Kruzel	Harbor Springs	20.9
22	10	Harper Mullet	Traverse City St. Francis	21.2
23	11	Nate Gorman	Traverse City St. Francis	21.6
24	9	Liam Piotrowski	Oscoda	22.2
25	10	Owen McGlone	Kalkaska	23.9
26	9	Mathieu Moore	Grayling	29.5
27	10	Charlie Denherder	Elk Rapids	29.5
28	12	Andrew Kiefer	Cheboygan	31.0
29	10	Hayden Mohrhardt	Traverse City St. Francis	31.6
30	10	Elliot Smith	Mancelona	31.8

REGION 20

Any Big Battles?

The preseason projections thought there’d be a struggle between the two squads, but they misfired on the gender. Twice, Benzie Central and Hart have raced in the same division, once in the same meet. When placed on the line together, the Pirates have come out ahead, their biggest gaps often coming later in the scoring. At Bluejay, the Huskies competed earlier in the day and the Pirates late, Benzie Central averaging much faster times in the cooler morning air. But I’m not sure that the heat completely made up for the gap in the two performances. Of course, common invites aren’t the only factor here. Benzie has the home course advantage and recent evidence that they can roll there, winning the final NWC Jamboree with four of their varsity pack racing to personal bests.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Benzie Central	68	1.5	59	95+
2	Hart	72	1.8	36	95+
3	McBain	91	2.9	5	93
4	Reed City	116	4.0		6
5	Manistee	141	5.1
6	Leroy Pine River	154	6.1
7	Mason County Central	164	6.9
8	Lake City	182	7.8
9	Manton	225	9.2
10	Shelby	239	9.9
11	Morley-Stanwood	304	11.0
12	White Cloud	364	12.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Benzie Central	50	1.0	95+	95+
2	Hart	76	2.3		95+
3	Lake City	82	2.7		95+
4	Reed City	110	4.1		5
5	Manton	133	4.9
6	McBain	195	6.4
7	Leroy Pine River	202	6.8
8	Harrison	230	8.5
9	Manistee	235	9.0
10	Kingsley	243	9.5
11	Mason County Central	273	11.0
12	Shelby	293	11.9

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Avery Kelly	Benzie Central	1.9
2	10	Caelyn Torry	McBain	2.7
3	10	Madisyn Wanstead	Leroy Pine River	4.6
4	11	Natalie Rosema	Hart	5.1
5	11	Betsy Gooden	Manton	5.5
6	11	Marlowe Walcott	Reed City	5.6
7	10	Avalynne Allee	Leroy Pine River	8.3
8	11	Hallee Hervey	Reed City	10.7
9	10	Maggie McClellan	Benzie Central	11.0
10	10	Faith Helsel	Lake City	12.1
11	9	Emma Miller	Hart	12.2
12	10	Alaina Schaner	Hart	12.2
13	10	Ingrid Molins Rallo	Benzie Central	12.5
14	10	Hattie Driver	Manistee	15.6
15	9	Kristina Bott	Benzie Central	15.6
16	9	Lily Sisson	Leroy Pine River	16.4
17	11	Maylan Sanders	Mason County Central	17.4
18	9	Mya Bronkema	McBain	18.1
19	12	Georgia Haag	Manistee	18.2
20	10	Bryn Riley	Hart	19.2
21	10	Harlow Hughes	Lake City	20.2
22	11	Madelyn Reinink	McBain	21.3
23	12	Nevaeh Battice	Mason County Central	22.3
24	10	Luisa Vander Zwaag	Hart	23.1
25	11	Kayden Hinton	McBain	26.3
26	11	Noel Parker	Shelby	26.7
27	9	Grace Wilson	McBain	27.3
28	10	Madilynn Fancett	McBain	29.5
29	12	Makayla Watkins	Reed City	30.4
30	12	Sahara Davis	Reed City	30.4

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Eli VanPoortfliet	Benzie Central	1.7
2	12	Caiden Helsel	Lake City	3.6
3	12	Jackson Schaub	Benzie Central	5.1
4	10	Tristan Hernandez	Kingsley	6.2
5	12	Connor Helsel	Lake City	6.6
6	10	Edison Huizinga	Manistee	6.6
7	12	Paul Saladin	Reed City	7.5
8	11	Logan Young	Harrison	7.6
9	10	Timothy Wolff	Hart	13.3
10	12	Kyle Vincent	Benzie Central	13.5
11	11	Aiden Schaner	Hart	14.0
12	10	Azrael Horvath	Manton	14.7
13	11	Brayden Spears	Lake City	16.1
14	11	Cage Edingfield	Benzie Central	16.2
15	9	Liam Plainte	Houghton Lake	16.3
16	12	Robert Dykhouse	Manton	16.7
17	12	Wyatt Vanpoortfliet	Benzie Central	17.0
18	10	Silas Ackley	Hart	18.4
19	11	Mason Opalewski	Hart	19.5
20	11	Braydn Winkel	McBain	20.4
21	12	Ethan Baker	Leroy Pine River	20.7
22	10	Trevor VanderKodde	Hart	20.7
23	10	Grant Ackley	Hart	21.3
24	10	Abraham Kiaunis	Reed City	21.5
25	10	Walter Armstrong	Benzie Central	24.7
26	10	Tanner Dozier	Reed City	24.8
27	11	Owen VanderVlucht	Hart	26.2
28	11	Carter Root	Lake City	28.2
29	12	Aaron Allen	Reed City	28.7
30	11	Jackson Poll	Mason County Central	30.4

REGION 21

Any Big Battles?

Gonna be a fun one for the boys in all facets. For the win, two teams that have hovered around the top-ten rankings – Holland Black River and The Potter’s House. Potentially moving on for another week of bonding and racing as a team – NorthPointe Christian, Western Michigan Christian, and Covenant Christian.

There have been plenty of matchups between the prior two and latter three. Four times have HBR and TPH toed the line together, the Pumas holding a 3-1 edge. Throughout the first three races, the Pumas held the edge in a multitude of ways, but especially on depth late in the scoring. At Portage, Black River was able to pull ahead, although Potter’s House was missing one of their prime scorers.

Of the latter three, Covenant Christian has been the most consistent. The Charger top-five has been able to average the equivalent of a sub-18 in five meets. Western Michigan Christian has occasionally shown the juice, four of the Warrior boys gravitating under 18:00 at Portage, a meet where they were ahead of all but Black River. A week earlier at Allendale, NorthPointe had flipped the above, besting WMC and trailing HBR by only 8 points. Many arguments for state inclusion, but only three spots.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	66	1.9	45	95+
2	Grandville Calvin Christian	68	2.0	30	95+
3	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	72	2.4	23	85
4	Kent City	91	3.7		20
5	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	197	6.0
6	Belding	203	6.5
7	Holland Black River	212	7.4
8	Lakeview	215	7.7
9	Newaygo	225	8.7
10	Saranac	227	8.7
11	The Potter’s House	293	11.3
12	North Muskegon	311	12.3
13	Delton-Kellogg	317	12.6
14	Montague	355	14.1
15	Ravenna	371	14.8

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	The Potter’s House	75	1.4	68	95+
2	Holland Black River	85	2.0	25	95+
3	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	111	3.9		45
4	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	114	4.0		28
5	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	114	4.1		27
6	Montague	139	5.6
7	Delton-Kellogg	215	7.6
8	Saranac	223	8.1
9	Kent City	239	8.8
10	Lakeview	261	10.0
11	Belding	279	10.7
12	Newaygo	304	11.8
13	Grandville Calvin Christian	332	13.0
14	Ravenna	365	14.0
15	North Muskegon	438	15.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Elliana Max	Kent City	1.0
2	11	Kamryn Salladay	Lakeview	2.5
3	12	Aletta Scholten	Grandville Calvin Christian	4.7
4	9	Kylie Zwiep	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	5.0
5	11	Shelby Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	5.3
6	10	Shelby Zimmer	Kent City	5.5
7	11	Leah Sneller	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	9.5
8	11	Faith Jenkins	Grandville Calvin Christian	10.0
9	11	Lydia Minderhoud	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	10.2
10	11	Laura Castrejon	Newaygo	11.4
11	10	Lynnae Meengs	Grandville Calvin Christian	11.4
12	10	Ellason Foster	Newaygo	13.8
13	10	Danika Lopez	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	15.5
14	9	Leah Elzinga	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	16.3
15	9	Kate DeVries	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	16.5
16	9	Joselyn Vogel	Kent City	16.7
17	9	Jenny Woznick	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	16.9
18	10	Esther Cahill	Saranac	18.0
19	12	Maria Campbell	Grandville Calvin Christian	20.1
20	12	Dylan Bosma	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	21.0
21	10	Abbie Koole	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	21.0
22	10	Joellah Bouwman	Grandville Calvin Christian	21.5
23	9	Eliana Zwiep	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	22.6
24	12	Jennifer Popp	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	22.7
25	11	Anna DeVries	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	24.0
26	9	Sonya Minderhoud	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	24.6
27	11	Rochelle Liu	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	26.4
28	9	Kyla Zuidema	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	27.7
29	11	Jenna Terpstra	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	29.4
30	10	Naomi Telman	Holland Black River	29.8

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Jonas Ballard	Holland Black River	1.7
2	12	Edward Mugisha	The Potter’s House	1.8
3	12	Jeryn Frisbie	Belding	3.8
4	11	Levi Schimmel	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	8.4
5	11	David Castrejon	Newaygo	9.7
6	11	Cooper Tiffany	Lakeview	9.8
7	11	Owen Sytsema	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	10.4
8	10	Nolan Kessler	Montague	10.6
9	12	Isaac Johnson	Holland Black River	11.2
10	11	Easton McCloy	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	11.4
11	11	Sebastian Zylstra	Holland Black River	12.5
12	11	Gibson Smith	Montague	14.6
13	11	Josiah Scholma	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	14.9
14	12	Isaac Norcross	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	15.4
15	11	Micah Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	15.5
16	12	Isaac Struck-VanderHaak	The Potter’s House	15.5
17	11	Caleb Swiney	The Potter’s House	16.0
18	10	Avery Carlson	Holland Black River	17.8
19	9	Luke Worley	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	19.4
20	12	Reuben Anderson	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	19.5
21	11	Eli Morse	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	19.7
22	11	Mattias Tuls	The Potter’s House	21.5
23	11	Landon Madden	Delton-Kellogg	23.1
24	11	Evan Buteyn	Grandville Calvin Christian	23.8
25	12	Isaac Westra	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	26.0
26	10	Logan Sicilia	The Potter’s House	27.1
27	11	Nick Leonhard	The Potter’s House	27.4
28	11	Landon Kuperus	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	29.9
29	12	Christopher Delaney	The Potter’s House	32.2
30	12	Kaden Mingerink	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	33.3

REGION 22

Any Big Battles?

His junior year has almost identically matched the same pattern as his sophomore season, just a minute faster. John Keser hung out in the 18’s for much of the ’24 season, then made a dramatic shift late. He hit a 17:09 at Portage, nearly matched the time with his regional effort, then broke into the 16’s at State. This fall, he began in the mid-17’s, made a breakthrough at Berrien County, then has extended into the very low-16’s. He’s got the top time (and rating), but is closely followed by two Saugatuck boys – Marcus Silva and Grant Rehkopf. Speaking of trends and looking to the past, both of the Trailblazers ran their best to close the previous season and are trending that way again. Regardless of what goes down individually, I know these three will have another gear for MIS.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Saugatuck	28	1.0	95+	95+
2	Bridgman	79	2.1		95+
3	Watervliet	99	3.0		91
4	Fennville	136	4.8		5
5	Buchanan	144	5.2
6	Constantine	146	5.3
7	Niles Brandywine	180	7.2
8	Hartford	189	7.6
9	Schoolcraft	234	9.2
10	Bloomingdale	264	10.2
11	Kalamazoo Christian	274	10.5
12	Bangor	344	12.3
13	Coloma	363	13.1
14	Comstock	384	13.7

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Saugatuck	32	1.0	95+	95+
2	Buchanan	57	2.1		95+
3	Schoolcraft	78	2.9		95+
4	Bangor	153	4.5
5	Hartford	155	4.6
6	Watervliet	190	6.6
7	Constantine	200	7.2
8	Fennville	203	7.3
9	Bridgman	235	9.1
10	Parchment	253	10.1
11	Coloma	272	11.3
12	Bloomingdale	276	11.3
13	Kalamazoo Christian	338	13.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Isabelle Sliter	Fennville	1.5
2	12	Alina Martinson	Saugatuck	2.6
3	9	Tala Carlin	Buchanan	3.6
4	11	Kamryn Sixberry	Saugatuck	3.8
5	11	Lyvia Curtis	Saugatuck	4.5
6	9	Ellyse Heyser	Saugatuck	7.7
7	12	Kandin Shuler	Bridgman	8.1
8	9	Allison Burns	Constantine	8.6
9	12	Savannah VanDenBerg	Saugatuck	9.2
10	10	Alison Murray	Niles Brandywine	10.6
11	9	Daniella Romero	Watervliet	11.8
12	10	Anna Howell	Bridgman	12.1
13	9	Anna Davidhizar	Constantine	12.9
14	10	Kaylin Pinkowski	Bridgman	15.1
15	11	Juliana Morseau	Hartford	16.4
16	10	Miranda Lowell	Watervliet	16.8
17	9	Ryann Monroe	Saugatuck	17.6
18	10	Evangeline Brown	Bridgman	23.3
19	11	Stella Ullig	Bridgman	23.3
20	10	Payton Yeske	Watervliet	23.7
21	10	Katelyn Brown	Watervliet	24.8
22	12	Brianna Zwar	Watervliet	26.3
23	12	Alaina Nagel	Buchanan	26.3
24	11	Paytin Featherstone	Constantine	27.0
25	11	Abigail Mulder	Schoolcraft	27.8
26	12	Samantha Giles	Fennville	28.3
27	11	Anika Weurding	Lawton	28.5
28	10	Abigail Douglass	Bridgman	28.8
29	9	Laila Wogatzke	Niles Brandywine	34.3
30	10	MaKenzie McClintock	Kalamazoo Christian	35.1

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	John Keser	Buchanan	2.6
2	11	Grant Rehkopf	Saugatuck	2.8
3	11	Marcus Silva	Saugatuck	2.9
4	10	Jackson Bowman	Saugatuck	5.5
5	11	Sawyer Monroe	Saugatuck	6.0
6	9	Reese Devisser	Schoolcraft	7.7
7	12	Alessandro Avila	Constantine	8.0
8	12	Liam McBeth	Buchanan	8.3
9	9	Sam Casiano	Watervliet	8.7
10	12	Jack Sherwood	Buchanan	8.8
11	11	Xavier Pompey	Coloma	10.6
12	11	Aiden Mcdonald	Hartford	12.4
13	11	Colin Bauer	Schoolcraft	12.6
14	12	Sammy Gamboa	Saugatuck	15.9
15	12	Ace Drewyor	Schoolcraft	18.8
16	11	Collin Bauer	Schoolcraft	19.3
17	12	Jacob Kuntz	Buchanan	19.4
18	12	Eli Martin	Schoolcraft	19.8
19	10	Carter Brouwer	Bangor	21.2
20	11	Carson Pullins	Bangor	21.6
21	9	Carson Ernsberger	Bridgman	21.8
22	9	Tony Perez	Watervliet	21.9
23	12	Isaac Cruz	Saugatuck	22.3
24	10	Ashton Skinner	Saugatuck	22.8
25	10	Josiah Passig	Buchanan	25.5
26	9	Bentley Molitor	Buchanan	25.8
27	11	Alex Diaz	Hartford	26.6
28	11	Josaias Robles	Hartford	31.4
29	12	Aiden Woods	Comstock	31.7
30	12	Trap Abbott	Bangor	33.0

REGION 23

Any Big Battles?

Will Hulin vs. Caleb Blonde, or whomever wants to slide in there and steal a title. That could be Clint Couchman, who has shown he can handle tough conditions, such as his 16:28 at Spartan. Perhaps Chad Tyson, who has put together solid efforts in two of Michigan’s bigger invites (Bluejay and Portage). Maybe a Logan Youngman, who was ahead of Hulin at Sturgis and the others at Jackson.

Hulin has consistently pushed out the best races of the region. A year ago, the Centreville athlete crept his way into the 16’s by the end of the year. The improvement hasn’t stopped, as he’s been a steady figure in the low-16’s, just on the cusp of breaking into a new time zone. Blonde is the fastest returner from 2024’s region and the 2^nd fastest returner in the entire division. He hasn’t quite matched the 15:44 from last fall’s State Finals, but the trend is pointing toward a new PR by season’s end, Caleb racing to three sub-16’s in a row.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	47	1.2	85	95+
2	Olivet	57	1.9	15	95+
3	Bronson	93	3.0		95+
4	Hanover-Horton	143	4.5
5	Jonesville	155	5.0
6	Napoleon	179	6.3
7	Onsted	188	6.9
8	Union City	203	7.8
9	Centreville	229	9.2
10	Sand Creek	232	9.4
11	Homer	268	10.9
12	Hillsdale	307	12.0
13	Quincy	359	13.1
14	Springport	392	13.9

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	47	1.0	95+	95+
2	Hanover-Horton	83	2.4		95+
3	Jonesville	88	2.6		95+
4	Centreville	211	6.0
5	Quincy	213	6.3
6	Sand Creek	223	7.2
7	Onsted	225	7.7
8	Bronson	228	8.2
9	Napoleon	229	8.3
10	Union City	237	9.3
11	Hillsdale	240	9.8
12	Brooklyn Columbia Central	241	9.9
13	Homer	281	12.8
14	Olivet	293	13.6
15	Springport	404	15.1
16	Galesburg-Augusta	434	15.9

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Samantha Schroeder	Jackson Lumen Christi	1.2
2	10	Tiya Feldpausch	Olivet	2.0
3	9	Lily Britton	Olivet	3.7
4	12	Ashlynn Harris	Bronson	4.2
5	12	Macy Fazekas	Jackson Lumen Christi	5.4
6	10	Maisey Toteff	Hanover-Horton	6.7
7	9	Avery Haynes	Brooklyn Columbia Central	7.5
8	12	Emily Peters	Olivet	9.3
9	11	Brynlee Swihart	Hanover-Horton	11.2
10	9	Madelynn Patterson	Olivet	11.6
11	9	Mila Scheele	Jackson Lumen Christi	13.3
12	11	Miriam Sanchez	Bronson	14.9
13	9	Ella Worthing	Jackson Lumen Christi	15.1
14	11	Alonna Goodsell	Bronson	15.9
15	11	Allison Gautsche	Union City	16.8
16	11	Helen Lefere	Jackson Lumen Christi	19.8
17	12	Sophie Patrick	Homer	19.9
18	10	Brynleigh Griffiths	Jonesville	20.4
19	12	Lillian Ambler	Homer	20.9
20	10	Sophia Trachsel	Jackson Lumen Christi	21.1
21	12	Raegan Brosamer	Onsted	21.3
22	10	Madisyn Lindemann	Napoleon	23.8
23	11	Keira Knight	Jonesville	23.9
24	11	Joleane Gulledge	Jonesville	24.2
25	11	Rachel Devrie	Jackson Lumen Christi	25.3
26	12	Bryn Biela	Hanover-Horton	27.7
27	9	Piper Grigsby	Bronson	29.6
28	9	Emme Naylor	Napoleon	29.8
29	12	Emma Grulke	Onsted	30.0
30	10	Gabby Gaydosh	Brooklyn Columbia Central	33.6

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Will Hulin	Centreville	2.3
2	11	Caleb Blonde	Jonesville	3.2
3	11	Logan Youngman	Hillsdale	3.5
4	11	Chad Tyson	Hanover-Horton	4.0
5	10	Clint Couchman	Brooklyn Columbia Central	4.9
6	12	Gibson Shore	Jackson Lumen Christi	6.1
7	11	Rocky Bolton	Jackson Lumen Christi	6.2
8	10	Soren Crosthwaite	Jackson Lumen Christi	8.8
9	12	John Edler	Homer	11.6
10	12	Ben Gautsche	Union City	12.1
11	12	Peter Soltis	Jackson Lumen Christi	12.7
12	11	Collin Fucile	Jonesville	12.8
13	11	Cooper Flick	Hanover-Horton	13.3
14	11	Avery Morrow	Jackson Lumen Christi	13.7
15	10	Ashton Potwin	Jonesville	14.6
16	12	Nicholas Fowler	Jonesville	16.5
17	11	Ethan Huff	Homer	16.6
18	10	Tyler Harris	Hanover-Horton	18.0
19	9	Bryce Youngman	Hillsdale	21.3
20	10	Chris Durfey	Onsted	21.3
21	11	Nicklas Holmes	Onsted	24.1
22	10	Jude Wentzloff	Jackson Lumen Christi	24.6
23	10	Hunter Walker	Quincy	25.9
24	11	Cullen Decker	Union City	26.3
25	10	Wyatt Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	27.2
26	10	Anderson Cook	Hanover-Horton	27.6
27	12	Andrew Norman	Napoleon	27.8
28	11	Silas Daniels	Sand Creek	28.2
29	11	Brayton Cosby	Bronson	31.2
30	12	Chayse Jensen	Quincy	33.2

REGION 24

Any Big Battles?

Not really! Region 24 appears to be very undramatic. If there are any heroics, I’ll be present to watch.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Pewamo-Westphalia	28	1.0	95+	95+
2	Stanton Central Montcalm	90	2.4		95+
3	Bath	93	2.6		95+
4	Chesaning	131	4.3
5	Millington	139	4.8
6	Perry	167	6.6
7	Laingsburg	175	7.2
8	New Lothrop	175	7.2
9	Ovid-Elsie	196	8.8
10	Montrose	215	9.9

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Stanton Central Montcalm	44	1.0	95+	95+
2	Pewamo-Westphalia	73	2.1		95+
3	Montrose	91	3.0		95+
4	Chesaning	130	4.5
5	Otisville LakeVille	139	5.1
6	Laingsburg	153	6.1
7	Ovid-Elsie	157	6.5
8	Bath	186	7.9
9	Millington	225	9.3
10	New Lothrop	231	9.6

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Alyssa Kramer	Pewamo-Westphalia	1.2
2	9	Calista George	Pewamo-Westphalia	2.2
3	12	Abigail Reis	Millington	3.2
4	12	Grace Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	4.5
5	11	Jenna Keilen	Pewamo-Westphalia	5.7
6	12	Anna Poppema	Bath	6.2
7	12	Braelyn Bunting	Stanton Central Montcalm	9.0
8	11	Charlotte Simon	Pewamo-Westphalia	11.1
9	11	Delaney Smith	Pewamo-Westphalia	11.3
10	9	Sydney Knieper	New Lothrop	11.4
11	10	Ruby Gross	Chesaning	11.9
12	9	Katherine Schafer	Pewamo-Westphalia	12.0
13	11	Andrea Rolston	Stanton Central Montcalm	13.3
14	10	Courtney Lawhorne	Bath	14.9
15	12	Lilly Rooks	Pewamo-Westphalia	17.4
16	12	Clarissa Baese	Ovid-Elsie	17.9
17	9	Teagan Kuykendall	Bath	18.2
18	9	Claire Burrows	Millington	19.5
19	9	Olivia Roseberry	Perry	19.8
20	10	Takoda Holicki	Montrose	20.7
21	9	Brynn Burrows	Millington	21.2
22	12	Africa Beltran	Bath	21.5
23	10	Leah Theile	Chesaning	21.6
24	10	Ali Hunt	New Lothrop	25.5
25	10	KiKi Rusz	Laingsburg	25.6
26	10	Alonna Neumann	Chesaning	26.1
27	12	Isabella Nalewyko	Montrose	28.4
28	10	Alonna Schack	Chesaning	29.0
29	11	Claire Schmidtfranz	Perry	29.7
30	12	Hazel Burley	Laingsburg	30.0

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Gage Hoffman	Stanton Central Montcalm	1.0
2	12	Tyler Leach	Otisville LakeVille	2.7
3	10	Owen Poppema	Bath	3.1
4	11	John Kowatch	Pewamo-Westphalia	5.2
5	12	Noah Devereaux	Laingsburg	5.3
6	10	Wyatt Roberts	Otisville LakeVille	6.4
7	12	Kyler Fertig	Stanton Central Montcalm	6.9
8	12	Sylus Wilson	Stanton Central Montcalm	7.2
9	11	Charlie George	Pewamo-Westphalia	9.6
10	10	Eli Hobson	Montrose	10.0
11	11	Wyatt Werner	Pewamo-Westphalia	11.4
12	10	Johnny Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	13.4
13	11	Jaxon Hemgesberg	Chesaning	14.5
14	12	Jaycob Hipps	Montrose	15.2
15	12	Ayden Hipps	Montrose	15.5
16	9	Mason Bollinger	Stanton Central Montcalm	17.4
17	11	Jobriel Octubre	Chesaning	19.1
18	12	Evan Rolston	Stanton Central Montcalm	19.7
19	10	Austin Hodges	Laingsburg	22.6
20	9	Will Baese	Ovid-Elsie	22.9
21	11	Nolan Mitchell	Pewamo-Westphalia	23.3
22	11	Tyler Rockafellow	Perry	24.0
23	10	Masen O’Neil	Millington	25.4
24	11	Wyatt Linson	Otisville LakeVille	25.5
25	10	Michael Allen	Montrose	26.3
26	12	Reed Schroeder	Pewamo-Westphalia	26.3
27	12	Cole Maier	Chesaning	26.5
28	11	Tyne Evans	Stanton Central Montcalm	27.8
29	9	Jeffery Delong	Montrose	29.8
30	11	Travis Wright	Ovid-Elsie	30.2

REGION 25

Any Big Battles?

This is one of those wild regions, both in geography and a wide range of teams that could advance. Latitudinally, Region 25 is unmatched, 56 miles tall x 140 miles wide. Competitively, it hangs right with the best as well. In the mix for a qualifier are a whopping five boys teams and six(!) girls teams. Within the six girls teams are:

The long trekking Remus Chippewa Hills. They’re the favorite, largely because of their upper three (Dory Simon, Quinn Hatfield, and Peyton Nellis) who should be quick enough to stay out of the fray in the middle.

Ithaca, who’s seemingly always missing a girl. But when combined, their top-six have season bests of 22-flat and faster.

Saginaw Valley Lutheran, who holds TVC wins over the team above and the best team performance of any team sans Chippewa Hills. At Saginaw County, the Chargers placed 3^rd behind D2 standouts Freeland and Frankenmuth.

Midland Bullock Creek and Sanford-Meridian, who both had their best conference performance in the final JPC Jamboree. The Lancers outdueled the Mustangs by three points over at Shepherd.

Caro, coming off one of their better efforts of the year at Thumb Area. The Tigers are the queens of the Thumb, winning with three girls reaching under 21:00.

Both Bullock Creek and Caro have Wagener Park experience, with Bullock Creek taking a narrow win over the Tigers at last month’s Wagener Park Invite.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Remus Chippewa Hills	78	1.3	75	95+
2	Midland Bullock Creek	94	2.5	13	87
3	Ithaca	111	4.2	5	40
4	Caro	112	4.3		29
5	Sanford-Meridian	118	4.8		19
6	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	122	5.1		22
7	Pigeon-Laker	135	6.0
8	St. Louis	194	8.2
9	Hemlock	229	9.5
10	Sandusky	238	10.1
11	Reese	242	10.3

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Ithaca	37	1.0	95+	95+
2	Midland Bullock Creek	93	2.7		83
3	Caro	96	2.9		76
4	Sanford-Meridian	112	4.3		13
5	Pigeon-Laker	112	4.1		28
6	Reese	151	6.0
7	Beaverton	201	6.9
8	Carrollton	274	8.9
9	Farwell	284	9.6
10	Remus Chippewa Hills	291	9.9
11	Cass City	299	10.6
12	St. Louis	318	11.9
13	Sandusky	339	13.5
14	Pinconning	349	14.2
15	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	354	14.5
16	Hemlock	362	15.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Violet Tetil	Caro	1.1
2	10	Dory Simon	Remus Chippewa Hills	2.7
3	11	Makinna Foglesong	Ithaca	4.4
4	12	Mattie Gagne	Midland Bullock Creek	4.9
5	10	Khloe Lehnst	Ithaca	7.5
6	9	Jocelyn Tetil	Caro	8.0
7	12	Quinn Hatfield	Remus Chippewa Hills	8.5
8	10	Lindsey Cmeyla	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	8.9
9	10	Peyton Nellis	Remus Chippewa Hills	11.1
10	11	Emily Beethe	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	11.9
11	9	Sage Palmer	Sandusky	12.7
12	11	Mikenna Nagel	Sanford-Meridian	13.1
13	11	Ellie Beach	Sanford-Meridian	14.3
14	10	Sarah Nothstine	Midland Bullock Creek	14.4
15	11	Pyper Braun	Pigeon-Laker	14.6
16	10	Olivia Brown	Bad Axe	15.4
17	10	Averie Stefanovsky	Caro	15.7
18	12	Makenna Gwisdalla	Bad Axe	17.4
19	9	Lexi Kinder	St. Louis	18.5
20	12	Maria Campo-Cossio Calderon	Bad Axe	21.6
21	9	Rebekah Huber	Midland Bullock Creek	26.1
22	11	Lydia Faubert	Hemlock	26.6
23	12	Aubrey Zarnke	Pigeon-Laker	26.7
24	10	Amelia Dawe	Ithaca	27.0
25	10	Bethany Cmeyla	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	27.7
26	11	Adeline Ludwig	Midland Bullock Creek	29.3
27	9	Sara Guest	Midland Bullock Creek	30.3
28	9	Sophi Beach	Sanford-Meridian	30.8
29	11	Olivia Hooper	Pigeon-Laker	32.2
30	10	Charlee MacLaren	Ithaca	32.3

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Luke Herron	Caro	1.5
2	12	Landen Styka	Ithaca	3.0
3	12	Jayden Fox	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	4.6
4	11	Evan Olson	Pigeon-Laker	4.9
5	12	Jacob Mankey	Ithaca	4.9
6	11	Evan MacLaren	Ithaca	5.8
7	9	Asher Putman	Reese	7.4
8	11	Marshall Brandt	Midland Bullock Creek	7.9
9	10	Christopher Shemes	Ithaca	9.6
10	10	Remyngton Clish	Sanford-Meridian	10.7
11	12	Duane Davis	Midland Bullock Creek	12.9
12	12	Thad Whitmore	Ithaca	13.5
13	10	Brendan Plante	Midland Bullock Creek	16.8
14	12	Wesley Haines	Reese	17.4
15	12	James Schroder	Sanford-Meridian	17.6
16	11	Henry Haag	Pigeon-Laker	18.1
17	12	Gage Spencer	Beaverton	18.4
18	11	Mayson McIntosh	Caro	19.0
19	11	Dillon Spilker	Sanford-Meridian	19.1
20	9	Jacob Daisy	Caro	20.8
21	10	Luke Mulder	Midland Bullock Creek	20.9
22	9	Zeke Rickwalt	Caro	22.0
23	11	Sebastian Seifferlein	Sandusky	23.1
24	11	Xander Huckins	Reese	23.2
25	12	Logan Brawt	Sanford-Meridian	24.4
26	10	Kale Miklovic	Pigeon-Laker	26.0
27	9	Walter Haag	Pigeon-Laker	27.3
28	10	Xavier Teneyuque	Carrollton	28.0
29	9	Silas Finney	Beaverton	28.4
30	11	Grady Galbraith	Hemlock	29.4

REGION 26

Any Big Battles?

Listed here in the summer, fallen a bit by mid-season, now back in the picture are the Ann Arbor Greenhills girls. The Gryphons are coming off an excellent performance at Gabriel Richard, with the majority of their varsity girls attaining a PR. They’re in competition with Leslie, a typical qualifier out of this region. The Blackhawks feature Hailey Creisher, one of the better (if not the best) girls in D3. The benefit of a girl such as Creisher is that Leslie will only need to score four.  

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Lansing Catholic	21	1.0	95+	95+
2	Plymouth Christian Academy	79	2.2		95+
3	Leslie	100	3.1		75
4	Ann Arbor Greenhills	114	3.7		26
5	Algonac	168	5.4
6	Almont	178	6.1
7	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	190	6.6
8	Stockbridge	239	8.5
9	University Liggett	245	9.1
10	Clawson	257	10.0
11	Wixom St. Catherine	272	11.2
12	Marine City	272	11.1
13	New Haven	318	13.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Lansing Catholic	49	1.0	95+	95+
2	Ann Arbor Greenhills	94	2.5		95+
3	Plymouth Christian Academy	96	2.6		95+
4	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	138	4.7
5	Leslie	142	4.9
6	Algonac	147	5.5
7	Almont	178	7.1
8	Charyl Stockwell Academy	193	7.9
9	New Haven	235	9.2
10	Clawson	260	10.3
11	Stockbridge	272	10.9
12	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	286	11.5
13	St. Clair Shores South Lake	347	13.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Hailey Creisher	Leslie	1.2
2	11	Grace Wonch	Lansing Catholic	2.6
3	10	Josie Bishop	Lansing Catholic	2.8
4	9	Anna Drauer	Lansing Catholic	4.4
5	10	Isabelle Currie	Lansing Catholic	4.6
6	10	Lindsey Ludwig	Lansing Catholic	6.8
7	9	Anamaria Brazdau	Plymouth Christian Academy	8.0
8	12	Ella Heffner	Charyl Stockwell Academy	8.3
9	12	Madi Hare	Plymouth Christian Academy	8.5
10	12	Frances Melinn	Lansing Catholic	9.6
11	11	Avery Miller	Lansing Catholic	10.1
12	11	Libby Schuster	Ann Arbor Greenhills	13.7
13	10	Taylor Stanczak	Almont	14.4
14	10	Margaret Guerra-Harrison	Leslie	16.8
15	10	Rachel Meek	Plymouth Christian Academy	17.4
16	11	Reagan Lees	Wixom St. Catherine	17.9
17	12	Laila Evola	Almont	18.8
18	9	Lucy Chapman	Stockbridge	20.0
19	11	Nina Malani	Ann Arbor Greenhills	21.6
20	10	Piper Lyon	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	21.9
21	12	Janaan Rehman	Ann Arbor Greenhills	23.3
22	11	Emily Satkowiak	Stockbridge	23.9
23	10	Katie Vick	Plymouth Christian Academy	25.0
24	9	Kadence Ager	Algonac	25.2
25	10	Madisyn Hunter	Leslie	25.3
26	10	Leah Flannery	Leslie	25.3
27	12	Zipporah Tran	Plymouth Christian Academy	26.0
28	10	Sophia Carson	University Liggett	26.9
29	12	Harper Cash	Ann Arbor Greenhills	27.5
30	11	Emma Reimer	New Haven	30.8

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Nole Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	1.0
2	12	Lucas Gates	Lansing Catholic	5.2
3	11	James Tennes	Lansing Catholic	6.0
4	11	William Gancer	Stockbridge	6.2
5	12	Emmanuel Mehari	Plymouth Christian Academy	6.6
6	11	Naveen Kulkarni	Ann Arbor Greenhills	7.0
7	9	Isaac Cox	Plymouth Christian Academy	7.3
8	12	Maxwell Durham	New Haven	8.7
9	12	Julian Walker	Algonac	10.1
10	11	Everett Beach	Lansing Catholic	10.4
11	10	Jack Songer	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	10.9
12	12	Owen Beindit	Algonac	11.6
13	11	Téo Krumm	Lansing Catholic	13.2
14	10	Simon Reed	Plymouth Christian Academy	14.0
15	12	Nico Aagesen	Ann Arbor Greenhills	14.6
16	11	Kenneth Mangles	Leslie	14.6
17	10	Grady Richey	Lansing Catholic	16.0
18	12	Henry Beck	Ann Arbor Greenhills	18.0
19	10	Landon Shimkus	Charyl Stockwell Academy	18.7
20	11	Finn Korte	Lansing Catholic	21.9
21	11	Matthew Killeen	Leslie	22.2
22	12	Blaise Demko	Lansing Catholic	22.9
23	9	Henry Cooper	Ann Arbor Greenhills	24.6
24	10	Jarel Adams	Plymouth Christian Academy	25.2
25	11	Cooper Schmelter	Leslie	25.7
26	11	Owen Windgaston	Clawson	26.2
27	11	Colton Grzyb	Almont	26.7
28	12	Brody Urbaniak	Charyl Stockwell Academy	27.7
29	12	Adam SaintOnge	Almont	29.5
30	11	Roger Mariani	Ann Arbor Greenhills	30.6

REGION 27

Any Big Battles?

Five boys teams vying for three spots. Two, Blissfield and Erie Mason, seem to be a step above the rest of the field. The Hudson Booster Invite is typically a place where the best D3 teams in the area compete, the Eagles and Royals claiming the top-two spots. There was a 5-point difference, with Erie Mason taking the win, largely thanks to their depth through the back end of their scorers.

Anyhow, Grass Lake, Monroe St. Mary CC, and Adrian Madison are in contention for the other spot. SMCC has run the best of late, with four boys in the mid-18’s or under in their 4^th place Huron League finish. Two common competitions exist between SMCC and the other two, the Falcons winning over Grass Lake at Portage and Madison at Huron. But much time has transpired since either of the two races. Madison was able to place in the upper half of the field at Lenawee County on the tough Gerber Hill course. Unable to compete for Grass Lake at Portage was Emmet Van Cleave, who busted out a sub-18 PR in his return at Hudson Mills.

Teams

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Blissfield	23	1.0	95+	95+
2	Grass Lake	66	2.0		95+
3	Monroe St. Mary CC	91	3.0		95+
4	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	112	4.0
5	Clinton	131	5.3
6	Erie Mason	140	5.9
7	Ida	152	6.8

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Erie Mason	53	1.2	84	95+
2	Blissfield	66	2.1	13	95+
3	Monroe St. Mary CC	88	3.6		48
4	Grass Lake	93	3.9		34
5	Adrian Madison	97	4.3		18
6	Clinton	147	6.0
7	Ida	189	7.0
8	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	223	8.1
9	Detroit Cristo Rey	238	8.9
10	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	300	10.0

Individuals

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Hope Miller	Blissfield	1.0
2	12	Bella LaFountain	Monroe St. Mary CC	2.0
3	12	Hailey Sills	Blissfield	3.2
4	11	Anna Hallett	Blissfield	4.5
5	10	Adalyn Jarchow	Grass Lake	5.3
6	11	Kaleea Braun	Blissfield	6.3
7	12	Natalie Benitez	Blissfield	7.8
8	11	Braelynn Chiotti	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	8.5
9	9	Josslyn Handy	Clinton	10.4
10	11	Elise Bullock	Grass Lake	11.4
11	9	Mollie Yeager	Blissfield	11.5
12	11	Adeline Stormont	Grass Lake	13.7
13	12	Briar Wing	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	14.7
14	10	Ella Claus	Clinton	16.2
15	10	Grace Farrell	Clinton	16.7
16	10	Revan Ricker	Blissfield	17.5
17	11	Juleigh Husby	Monroe St. Mary CC	17.5
18	9	Brynn Lusky	Ida	17.9
19	12	Taylor Hoppe	Grass Lake	18.1
20	12	Leona Knudsen	Monroe St. Mary CC	19.1
21	11	Makenzie Hilberer	Grass Lake	21.3
22	10	Ava Kruise	Grass Lake	21.9
23	12	Lauren Peppers	Monroe St. Mary CC	22.9
24	12	Riley England	Erie Mason	25.5
25	11	Alexis Colburn	Erie Mason	26.5
26	10	Jaelynn Horton	Erie Mason	27.5
27	11	Aspyn Browning	Grass Lake	28.0
28	11	Sierra DeBarr	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	28.1
29	9	Lana Benware	Ida	28.2
30	9	Haleigh Summers	Adrian Madison	28.9

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Christian Craanen	Monroe St. Mary CC	1.1
2	10	Michael Weidmayer	Blissfield	2.9
3	12	Trenton Fetter	Adrian Madison	3.2
4	10	Noah Sills	Blissfield	4.3
5	11	Joseph Colaluca	Erie Mason	5.3
6	10	Caleb Healey	Erie Mason	8.9
7	11	Connor Boteler	Grass Lake	9.0
8	11	David Mills	Erie Mason	9.9
9	12	Paul McClure	Adrian Madison	10.8
10	9	Haiden Bennett	Clinton	10.9
11	Sr	Connor Sherwood	Grass Lake	11.8
12	10	Phineas Totten	Monroe St. Mary CC	12.0
13	11	Porter Ravary	Erie Mason	13.3
14	12	Emmet Van Cleave	Grass Lake	14.8
15	9	Grant Rasor	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	14.8
16	12	Luke Stanley	Ida	17.5
17	10	Brady Bills	Blissfield	18.8
18	12	Brayden Hincher	Erie Mason	19.9
19	10	Beckett Klump	Blissfield	20.4
20	12	Bryson Ballantyne	Adrian Madison	21.9
21	10	Weston Albright	Erie Mason	22.2
22	11	Austin Strand	Clinton	22.7
23	10	Thomas Wickenheiser	Monroe St. Mary CC	23.1
24	12	Nathanial Cole	Blissfield	23.2
25	12	Max Foldvary	Monroe St. Mary CC	25.1
26	12	Braedyn Tennant	Blissfield	25.4
27	9	Bryson Pooley	Blissfield	25.9
28	12	Jackson Carner	Erie Mason	26.1
29	9	Luke Balaze	Grass Lake	27.4
30	10	John Verlinde	Adrian Madison	27.6