2025 Division 2 Finals Projections

Just as regionals and other championship meets throughout the year, these projections are done based on thousands of simulated races. How do the simulations work?

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

Through the simulated races, you can equate all types of scenarios and groupings. Here are the ones listed:

Projected Place – sorted from lowest average score to highest average score
Average Score – the average score across all the simulated races
Place Range – 95% of the placings fall within this range
Win % – the chance that team has of winning the meet
Podium % – the chance that team has of placing top-2
Top-Ten % – the chance that team finishes within the top-10

GIRLS TEAM

Every few years, a new generation of girls comes to the forefront in Otsego, bringing forth the possibility of taking hardware home. In the mid-2010’s, the Bulldogs took home a pair of state titles. A few years later, their 2019 squad had a day at the Finals, placing 3^rd. Their frontrunner, Emma Hoffman, surely remembers her runner-up finish from her freshman year, one that led Otsego to another state title. Emma has now gone through the gauntlet and improved mightily, leading once again, this time with a pack of freshmen tailing.

The Bulldogs entered the season as the #1 projected team and they’ve not disappointed. The Bulldogs once again won in the Wolverine Conference, their streak now lasting from 2013-2025. Portage, Regionals, their home invite, and a trek to Minnesota – all wins.

Otsego is one of a strong west side tradition. Of the past 25 team champions, 21 hail from the west coast, Grand Rapids area and below. Present in contention for the podium and the win are a host of other area schools: Holland Christian, Grand Rapids Christian, and Grand Rapids South Christian.

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Otsego	108	1st-3rd
2	Holland Christian	136	1st-4th
3	Grand Rapids Christian	158	1st-5th
4	Grand Rapids South Christian	190	2nd-6th
5	Cadillac	268	4th-12th
6	Goodrich	285	4th-13th
7	Coopersville	293	5th-13th
8	East Grand Rapids	298	5th-13th
9	Pinckney	299	5th-13th
10	Linden	340	5th-17th
11	Spring Lake	340	5th-16th
12	Holland	358	5th-19th
13	DeWitt	363	6th-18th
14	Frankenmuth	374	7th-19th
15	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	386	9th-19th
16	St. Joseph	390	10th-19th
17	Freeland	431	11th-24th
18	Shepherd	469	13th-26th
19	Fremont	474	14th-26th
20	Macomb Lutheran North	493	17th-27th
21	Bloomfield Hills Marian	495	16th-26th
22	Sturgis	506	16th-26th
23	Adrian	510	17th-25th
24	Charlotte	517	18th-27th
25	Marysville	547	26th-28th
26	New Boston Huron	553	17th-26th
27	Williamston	635	19th-27th
28	Yale	708	25th-28th

These squads in close proximity, you get many instances of common competitions. A few are fairly recent – Bulldog, Portage, and Region 12. The order of the first two meetups was the same – Otsego in front, Holland Christian, Grand Rapids Christian, then Grand Rapids South Christian. Gaps were found between the former two and the latter two. At Portage, Otsego had it all covered, bringing in the lowest stick and the best 5^th. Holland Christian trailed at nearly every spot, though the margins were as small as you could get. South Christian hung right behind GRC and then at Region 12, moved ahead.

The projections follow this pattern, although they take into account the rest of the season, especially what has occurred throughout the rest of October.

Projected	Team	Win %	Podium %	Top-Ten %
1	Otsego	73	93	95+
2	Holland Christian	18	68	95+
3	Grand Rapids Christian	8	33	95+
4	Grand Rapids South Christian		6	95+
5	Cadillac			92
6	Goodrich			82
7	Coopersville			79
8	East Grand Rapids			77
9	Pinckney			76
10	Linden			43
11	Spring Lake			39
12	Holland			32
13	DeWitt			26
14	Frankenmuth			19
15	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard			14
16	St. Joseph			10
17	Freeland			7
18	Shepherd
19	Fremont
20	Macomb Lutheran North
21	Bloomfield Hills Marian
22	Sturgis
23	Adrian
24	Charlotte
25	Marysville
26	New Boston Huron
27	Williamston
28	Yale

The three posed questions:

Who has the best fifth?

Most likely Otsego, with upperclasswomen leadership potentially owning those spots. From Portage, it was Rebekah Stachura owning the final scoring spot. Or it could be Skylar Mejeur. Each of the two girls has been in the mid-19’s a bunch this fall.

Who has the best depth?

Holland Christian, followed by Otsego and Grand Rapids Christian. Both the Maroons and Eagles have had seven girls find their way under 19:30. The Bulldogs trail closely behind, with a Taylee Fox firing off PR after PR of late.

Who steers clear of the bubble?

The projections think there will be a high concentration of girls with ratings between 110-120, which I believe will be 19:45-20:15. The projected top-three should have most of their girls ahead of this, with Grand Rapids South Christian perhaps having a few in the mix. Which leads to a bit more certainty from the top-three, but also a Sailor upset if their depth continues what they did at Region 12.

BOYS TEAM

At various points in the past three years, we’ve seen the main contenders make their rise. From East Grand Rapids and Alma, the signs were present a few years back. Continuing in the Pioneer tradition, yet starting off with a stunner, the ’22 East Grand Rapids squad winning the title as an underdog. That team featured a young Jonah Workman, new to the high school scene, but racing as if he’d been here for years. Alma was a bit less known and wasn’t even thought to bring a team to those State Finals. But a few impactful freshmen ensured a spot from a tough Region 15, allowing those 9^th grade Panthers to gain valuable experience that they’ve used over the past few seasons.

 Flint Powers Catholic has been a late comer, the Chargers only qualifying a full team once from 2022-2024. The 2023 squad did and the current contenders feature three of those boys. From last fall to now, the Chargers have improved the most out of any team in D2, perhaps any team in the state. Four boys were sub-4:40 and sub-10:05 in track. Their 4×8 threw down a 7:53, good for 5^th in D2. That spring was a major factor in their #4 pre-season ranking.

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Flint Powers Catholic	128	1st-4th
2	East Grand Rapids	138	1st-4th
3	Alma	184	1st-7th
4	Parma Western	244	2nd-11th
5	Grand Rapids Christian	250	2nd-11th
6	Holland Christian	268	3rd-12th
7	Forest Hills Eastern	299	3rd-16th
8	Shepherd	309	4th-16th
9	Allendale	319	5th-15th
10	Fenton	331	5th-18th
11	Otsego	343	5th-19th
12	Pinckney	347	6th-20th
13	DeWitt	375	7th-21st
14	Chelsea	384	8th-21st
15	Adrian	391	8th-22nd
16	Cedar Springs	400	7th-24th
17	Three Rivers	405	7th-25th
18	Richland Gull Lake	412	9th-24th
19	Frankenmuth	413	8th-23rd
20	Petoskey	422	10th-24th
21	Spring Lake	435	10th-25th
22	Detroit Country Day	458	10th-26th
23	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	477	15th-26th
24	Macomb Lutheran North	490	16th-26th
25	Yale	584	21st-27th
26	St. Clair	586	22nd-27th
27	Coopersville	629	23rd-27th

The three squads occupied a great chunk of the pre-season rankings. Powers continued on their path upward, Alma and East Grand Rapids each ran at a high level before a mid-season meeting at Portage Bluejay (not Portage, that’s rare!). Michigan’s favorite course hosted all three squads in a mini state preview. The Pioneers were missing Workman, although as a D2 contender, he’s easy to slot into the standings. Even in his absence, Flint Powers would’ve won the battle of the trio. The Charger depth was key, 16:15 and 16:24 from the final two scoring spots, around a 20 sec. gap on comparable spots from EGR and 35 sec. before the Panthers.

But one thing a performance like that does is set a mark and make you the hunted. In the past month, East Grand Rapids has won at Portage, the OK White, and Region 12. Alma has won the TVC, placed 2^nd at Greater Lansing, and overwhelmed the Region 14 competition.

Projected	Team	Win %	Podium %	Top-Ten %
1	Flint Powers Catholic	50	85	95+
2	East Grand Rapids	37	74	95+
3	Alma	9	27	95+
4	Parma Western		6	94
5	Grand Rapids Christian		5	89
6	Holland Christian			89
7	Forest Hills Eastern			66
8	Shepherd			62
9	Allendale			58
10	Fenton			48
11	Otsego			37
12	Pinckney			36
13	DeWitt			18
14	Chelsea			13
15	Adrian			13
16	Cedar Springs			19
17	Three Rivers			19
18	Richland Gull Lake			11
19	Frankenmuth			9
20	Petoskey			5
21	Spring Lake			7
22	Detroit Country Day			6
23	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
24	Macomb Lutheran North
25	Yale
26	St. Clair
27	Coopersville

The three posed questions:

Who has the best 5^th man?

At this point, I think it has to be Flint Powers, with Bluejay as the main piece of evidence.

Who has the best depth?

I’m going with East Grand Rapids. Both Sam Hillary and Thomas Fisher have capabilities of pushing toward the mid-16’s, hitting 16:22 and 16:42 at the OK White Championship.

Who steers clear of the bubble?

One main pack seems like it’ll exist between 16:45-17:10ish and another could be ahead of it between 16:20-16:35ish. These are two spots where athletes may coagulate. Seemingly most entrenched in either are Alma and Flint Powers. East Grand Rapids has athletes either ahead or between the two. Thus, you could see a little more variability with the Panthers and Chargers, a few seconds equaling many points. Every point matters.

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL

First, I must mention Ava Schafer. The St. Johns Redwing is the defending champ. I’ve always praised her racing savvy and it appears that her junior has featured many of her same positive characteristics. She’s won five of her seven races, and again slipped into the 17’s with a 17:50 at John Bruder. Last year proved that her best material comes during championship season, PRs coming here and at MITCA. I wouldn’t be shocked if another late-season time descent occurs.

By the numbers and with the results, Emma Hoffman and Katie Berkshire have surged to the front of the D2 standings. Berkshire hasn’t even been ABOVE 18:00 this fall, racing and winning with her typical vigor. She’s unbeaten on the year, with wins coming at Holly (17:37), Bluejay (16:58), and at Region 10 (16:32).

That 16:32 ranks 2^nd in Division 2. In any year other 2023, that would’ve been the best time in Michigan. I know XC isn’t all about time, because with Emma Hoffman occupying the 2^nd fastest slot, winning is of importance too. The Bulldog senior has won a ton over the past two years. Back-to-back victories at home, conference, and regional action. A dominant Portage performance. An impressive D2 gold track double. When given the opportunity to rip it this fall, she has, lowering her Otsego record even further, all the way down to 16:20.

Watching these two compete will be a worthy post-Halloween treat.

Projected	Grade	Name	Team
1	12	Emma Hoffman	Otsego
2	12	Katie Berkshire	Gaylord
3	11	Jaelyn Ray	Pinckney
4	10	Avery Engbers	Holland Christian
5	11	Ava Schafer	St. Johns
6	12	Natalie Foltz	Frankenmuth
7	11	Mia May	Sparta
8	11	Johanna Mulder	Holland
9	11	Lane Isom	Richland Gull Lake
10	9	Eliza Schwass	Ludington
11	11	Caroline Randall	Hastings
12	11	Ayda Skeels	Adrian
13	12	Marie Gates	Hudsonville Unity Christian
14	12	Chloe Rinzema	Grand Rapids South Christian
15	11	Clara Kaczor	Freeland
16	10	Oakley Osterhart	Coopersville
17	11	Annabelle Lowman	Ludington
18	10	Kayla Shellenbarger	Goodrich
19	10	Tiffany DeMaagd	Grand Rapids South Christian
20	12	Lilah Poel	Grand Rapids Christian
21	12	Julia Garcia	Pinckney
22	11	Olivia Weiss	Holland
23	10	Anneliese Passchier	East Grand Rapids
24	9	Alayna Verhage	Otsego
25	10	Mai Nguyen	Plainwell
26	11	Alivia Ottinger	Goodrich
27	12	Elise Barden	Frankenmuth
28	11	Addison Josephson	Linden
29	10	Ana Lovell	Lake Fenton
30	10	Remie Ellis	Eaton Rapids
31	11	Eliana Stob	Holland Christian
32	12	Brooklynn Brown	Cadillac
33	9	Addelyn Sabatke	Otsego
34	12	Alexis Kotkowicz	Spring Lake
35	11	Ella McInerney	Cadillac
36	9	Adelyn Verhage	Otsego
37	11	Zoe Hoekstra	Grand Rapids Christian
38	10	Madison Petty	Adrian
39	12	Ellie Scholma	Grand Rapids Christian
40	11	Adeline Armstrong	East Grand Rapids
41	12	Miriam Kloha	St. Johns
42	10	Annika Stob	Holland Christian
43	11	Ellery Lampen	Holland Christian
44	12	Linnea Paige	Fremont
45	10	Addison Bixler	Coopersville
46	9	Vittoria Perucchetti	St. Joseph
47	12	Layla Geurink	Holland Christian
48	12	Beatrice Perucchetti	St. Joseph
49	11	Skylar Mejeur	Otsego
50	9	Hailey Kuhn	Cadillac
51	11	Monica Lynn	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
52	12	Jillian Clason	Forest Hills Eastern
53	11	Ahna Woltjer	Grand Rapids West Mich. Aviation
54	10	Audrey Kline	St. Joseph
55	9	Lily VanEyk	Grand Rapids South Christian
56	11	Samantha Whitlam	Macomb Lutheran North
57	10	Eva Lindstrom	Grand Rapids Christian
58	11	Lucy Waalkes	Grand Rapids Christian
59	9	Breslyn Klein	Coopersville
60	12	Annika TerBeek	Grand Rapids Christian
61	11	Mackenzie Huizenga	Holland Christian
62	11	Bridget Fidkowski	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
63	12	Rebekah Stachura	Otsego
64	10	Abree VanDenBrink	Wayland Union
65	10	Danica Redes	Shepherd
66	12	Georgia Babcock	Edwardsburg
67	9	Lulu Park	Sturgis
68	10	Grace Leman	Edwardsburg
69	10	Abby Crandell	Owosso
70	10	Bridget Fullerton	Parma Western
71	11	Cora Parker	Spring Lake
72	11	Colette Charchut	Haslett
73	12	Avery Turk	New Boston Huron
74	11	Melody Meckstroth	Linden
75	11	Avery Silvas	Charlotte
76	10	Sophie Jones	Holland Christian
77	12	Samantha Brown	Clio
78	12	Tessa Hatt	Sturgis
79	10	Peyhton Beardsley	Fruitport
80	12	Nora Gerzema	Farmington Hills Mercy
81	9	Noelle Hulst	Grand Rapids South Christian
82	10	Chloe Mazza	Cadillac
83	10	Kaleigh Clark	Spring Lake
84	9	Taylee Fox	Otsego
85	9	Brooklyn Takagishi	DeWitt
86	11	Kylie Mausolf	Birch Run
87	10	Claire Miller	Monroe Jefferson
88	10	Aurora (Rory) Doepker	DeWitt
89	9	Jordane Falvey	Dearborn Divine Child
90	11	Sawyer Reagan	Allendale
91	10	Maggie Scholma	Grand Rapids Christian
92	10	Vivienne Conflitti	Forest Hills Eastern
93	10	Eastynn Charder	Pinckney
94	10	Lily Phillips	Forest Hills Eastern
95	12	Ava Pawlick	Petoskey
96	10	Addy Nesbitt	Cedar Springs
97	9	Isabelle Oostema	Grand Rapids South Christian
98	11	Lucy Conzelmann	Frankenmuth
99	10	Courtney Floeter	Linden
100	9	Claire Albrecht	Armada

The projections show a little less variability toward potential All-Staters, around 45 girls (not in the above order) with a fighter’s change.

BOYS INDIVIDUAL

A season on the sidelines, the fire must have burned deep. Although he raced unattached on many occasions, Robert Jazwinski never got the chance to make a return trip to MIS, never got a chance to prove his training during his sophomore season. During the 2025 fall, he’s more than verified his work. Undefeated on the year, yet he’s picked his spots for the supreme efforts. A 15:15 at Under the Lights announced his return. A 15:28 at Spartan was the fastest time of the day. And a 14:56 at Benzie was the fastest time of his life. The margin on Saturday will undoubtedly be smaller than previous meets, but there’s been nothing to prove that he’s not up for the challenge.

As stated prior, throughout his career, Jonah Workman has shown he’s up for the challenge. His freshman effort here was integral to the Pioneer title. Two years later, his 15:17 was a personal best and 5^th place finish. This spring, he was 3^rd in the D2 3200m. He’s demonstrated the wheels via a 14:58 at Sparta. A mid-season sickness prevented a true showdown at Portage, but gives motivation for revenge.

I should also mention a few seniors who have given much to the sport and will be present here:

Thomas Larson – hitting the mid-15’s in his past three races, including a Region 14 win.

Moises Salazar Jr. – 3x All-State and Lenawee County Champion.

Edison Lopeman – 8^th here a year ago. Has been battling this year, showing hope with his effort these past few weeks.

Bryce Gross – in tandem with Lennox Naswell, but nonetheless impactful. 20^th here last year with a personal best, one that he’s nearing towards in his past two races.

Ronnie Silveira – twice All-State here and holder of four consecutive sub-16’s.

And if you’re looking forward to 2027, a Gavin Katic/Lennox Naswell showdown. The two sophomores are closely-knit in residence, time, and age. Half a second separated the two at Greater Flint, one of many future battles from these exciting 10^th graders.

Projected	Grade	Name	Team
1	11	Robert Jazwinski III	Whitehall
2	12	Jonah Workman	East Grand Rapids
3	10	Lennox Naswell	Flint Powers Catholic
4	10	Gavin Katic	Fenton
5	12	Thomas Larson	Alma
6	11	Ezekiel Baltierra	Alma
7	11	Mason Hill	Allendale
8	11	Mitchell Dunlap	Grand Rapids Catholic Central
9	12	Edison Lopeman	Parma Western
10	10	Micah Becker	East Grand Rapids
11	12	Ronnie Silveira	Allendale
12	12	Moises Salazar Jr.	Adrian
13	12	Bryce Gross	Flint Powers Catholic
14	12	Shephard Bower	Forest Hills Eastern
15	11	Caiden Caswell	Vicksburg
16	11	Bryce Cahoon	Shepherd
17	12	Aden Ashworth	Allendale
18	11	Cole McCraw	Pinckney
19	12	Vincent Pattison	Goodrich
20	11	Abraham McHugh	Marshall
21	12	Sean Ryan	Grand Rapids Christian
22	12	Asher Jager	Grand Rapids West Mich. Aviation
23	12	Jack Edison	East Grand Rapids
24	12	Jacob Stanislawski	Flat Rock
25	10	Ashton Fink	Grand Rapids Christian
26	10	Duncan Palmer	Williamston
27	12	Brett Magnus	Frankenmuth
28	12	Aiden Marple	DeWitt
29	12	Ben Verellen	Gladwin
30	11	Seth Randall	St. Joseph
31	9	Logan Cristian	Parma Western
32	12	Kenny Sheffer	Otsego
33	11	Owen Adams	Spring Lake
34	10	Ryan Rathsburg	Flint Powers Catholic
35	12	Charlie Brauer	Three Rivers
36	11	Seth Betzold	Essexville Garber
37	12	Henry Fredenberg	Chelsea
38	12	Caleb Carignan	Flint Powers Catholic
39	12	Cole Wisniewski	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
40	12	Tommy Beiter	Flint Powers Catholic
41	10	Jack Hincks	Detroit Country Day
42	10	Aiden Lambers	Holland
43	12	George Scupham	Edwardsburg
44	12	Owen Metzger	Sparta
45	11	Joshua Macri	Macomb Lutheran North
46	11	Omar Elbashir	Detroit Country Day
47	9	Jackson Pant	Richland Gull Lake
48	11	Christian Ayres	Battle Creek Harper Creek
49	12	Brodie Licata	Lake Fenton
50	11	Gabe Grierson	Ludington
51	9	Grant Lampen	Holland Christian
52	11	Christopher Vogt	Paw Paw
53	11	Nick Parker	Frankenmuth
54	12	Landon Gerritsma	Holland Christian
55	11	Ryan Good	Parma Western
56	11	Steven Zawacki	Forest Hills Eastern
57	10	Liam Dewitt	Haslett
58	11	Lucas Aardema	East Grand Rapids
59	12	Luke Dulecki	New Boston Huron
60	11	Wyeth Angus	Chelsea
61	10	Gerard Gilmour	Fenton
62	12	Thad VanderLaan	Grand Rapids South Christian
63	12	Aiden Weller	Cedar Springs
64	11	Gunnar Djerf	Otsego
65	12	Jacob Hylton	Ortonville Brandon
66	12	Matthew Carbajo	Grosse Ile
67	12	Zahar Rush	Petoskey
68	11	Reeve Oberman	Petoskey
69	12	Murphy Wagner	Saginaw Swan Valley
70	10	Rex Pumford	Whitehall
71	10	Teddy Weber	Williamston
72	12	Tyler VanKuiken	East Grand Rapids
73	12	Carson Wood	Sparta
74	12	Braylon Lenneman	DeWitt
75	10	Carson Wiersbe	St. Joseph
76	12	Sam Hillary	East Grand Rapids
77	11	Hunter Smith	Vicksburg
78	12	Raymond Herek	Williamston
79	12	Benjamin Morales	Sturgis
80	12	Hiro Nguyen	Plainwell
81	12	Luca Lebron	Alma
82	12	Reagan Ward	St. Johns
83	9	Parker Smith	Adrian
84	9	John Rochowiak	Pinckney
85	12	Andrew Feldpausch	Portland
86	10	Kash Moored	Hopkins
87	10	Samuel Johnson	Alma
88	10	Macen White	Holland Christian
89	12	Hunter Parsons	Whitehall
90	10	Grayson Michels	Forest Hills Eastern
91	11	Ben Verlin	Grand Rapids South Christian
92	11	Cole Coffman	Holland Christian
93	12	Micah Small	Grand Rapids Christian
94	12	Jonah Zietlow	Three Rivers
95	12	Cooper Gardner	Battle Creek Harper Creek
96	12	Jack Estelle	Hopkins
97	10	Andrew Nunning	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
98	10	Eli Morris	Tecumseh
99	10	Christian Pavlige	Fruitport
100	11	Jakin Whitney	Shepherd

This looks to be a wild one, with upwards of 75 boys (not in the above order – some boys are more consistent, others have had occasional bouts of greatness) in contention for the All-State spots.