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2026 Rankings: Way Too Early Boys

There is much to get to this off-season. State Final ratings, MITCA as well. Writeups of the championship teams. Perhaps some ideas of how teams and individuals could fare at NXN or Brooks. A look back at the speed and adjustments of courses. Finding who improved most in 2025. But first, I can’t help but look to 2026. The foundation of the following fall will be built now, the winter miles key toward a strong track season that could lead to a stronger cross season.

So what better than some early, way too early rankings? These are formed from the same rankings that were fairly predictive at the Regional and State levels (or led to mid-pack finishes at MITCA *shrug*), filtering out seniors, adding in projected improvements, then scoring it as a whole division XC meet. The projected improvements are based on the past five years of data, the formulas attempting to portray how much a runner at a certain grade and speed progresses in the next season. I do realize that there will be division changes, typically released in March. By then, I should have incoming freshmen added into the equation, and will edit the divisions as needed.

For now, a simple show of the returners. Use it as motivation.

DIVISION FOUR

RankTeamScoreTop-5 Avg.
1Holland Calvary Christian73183.6
2Maple City Glen Lake124180.5
3Hillsdale Academy208168.3
4Breckenridge210170.0
5Leland225166.5
6Whitmore Lake260164.3
7Mesick322169.4
8Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart335163.6
9Petoskey St. Michael362159.1
10Mason County Eastern461154.2
11Grand Traverse Academy487152.4
12Buckley512151.0
13Gobles519149.4
14Kalamazoo Hackett539148.5
15Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary545148.9
16Royal Oak Shrine610145.9
17Fowler631144.2
18East Jordan689140.2
19Genesee Christian Academy692137.1
20Novi Christian Academy732138.5
21Cardinal Mooney Catholic745133.0
22Unionville-Sebewaing751137.5
23Martin754137.3
24Central Michigan Homeschool Athletics778135.0
25Hudson824132.5
26Three Oaks River Valley861134.7
27Tri-Unity Christian866131.6

Holland Calvary Christian returns everyone from their state title squad. Evidenced by their MIS performance, this is an experienced outfit that’s shown it has the tools to race well when necessary.

Maple City Glen Lake maybe didn’t have the day at MIS that they wanted, but that doesn’t undo the years of progress before. The Lakers only lose one from their MIS lineup, but return three freshmen.

Hillsdale Academy will have to replace the highly accomplished Grayson Rorick along with a few of his senior classmates. But the Colts are deep beneath, with 8 underclassmen getting under 19:00.

I’d watch for Breckenridge to move up once I add incoming freshmen.

But to make a short story long, the battle at the top looks to be between the two that vied for the trophy a few weeks back. The Crusaders with their long road on the podium and the Lakers who’ve quickly ascended to get there.

DIVISION THREE

RankTeamScoreTop-5 Avg.
1Saugatuck169186.9
2Charlevoix236188.2
3Lansing Catholic250182.1
4Hanover-Horton335180.1
5Hart392176.1
6Jackson Lumen Christi424177.3
7Jonesville466176.5
8Holland Black River470176.0
9Caro541174.7
10Traverse City St. Francis561171.1
11The Potter’s House601169.7
12Pewamo-Westphalia613170.0
13Erie Mason627168.6
14Pigeon-Laker650169.4
15Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian688166.5
16Blissfield718167.0
17Buchanan721167.3
18Midland Bullock Creek743166.3
19Grand Rapids Covenant Christian753165.6
20Montague775164.4
21Rochester Hills Lutheran NW794167.0
22Reed City884160.9
23Plymouth Christian Academy884162.4
24Muskegon Western Michigan Christian898160.9
25Ann Arbor Greenhills937159.6
26Leslie951159.2
27Grayling996157.0

Many of the teams from November 1st’s top ten have five, if not more returning from their varsity lineup.

A few teams listed above have seven coming back from their state lineup, including Caro, Hart, and Traverse City St. Francis. The latter two had surprises at season’s end – Hart earning an upset win in Region 20 and St. Francis defying the percentages enroute to a 15th place finish here.

2025’s contenders for a state title likely will be present once again. Charlevoix had four underclassmen accrue points, including their state champ, Hunter Eaton. Lansing Catholic pulled off the immaculate feat of hoisting a trophy but having zero boys grab All-State. That’s quality depth, which will return. Saugatuck didn’t have their best day, but will have a chance at redemption, same too with Hanover-Horton.

DIVISION TWO

RankTeamScoreTop-5 Avg.
1Holland Christian241189.0
2Parma Western296188.2
3Pinckney322188.5
4Alma333189.1
5East Grand Rapids372188.3
6Grand Rapids Christian373185.9
7Shepherd391185.7
8Flint Powers Catholic395188.2
9Fenton424186.9
10Otsego492182.2
11Cedar Springs513181.1
12Detroit Country Day581181.1
13Owosso640178.0
14Forest Hills Eastern644179.6
15Chelsea646178.9
16Spring Lake654179.0
17Grand Rapids South Christian687177.2
18Adrian697177.3
19St. Joseph712178.1
20DeWitt718176.7
21Tecumseh747175.8
22Haslett790174.9
23Williamston802176.5
24Petoskey838174.1
25Freeland840173.7
26Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard860173.6
27Vicksburg911175.2

2025’s Final contenders were senior dominant, with half of the Flint Powers Catholic and East Grand Rapids boys being 12th graders. The Chargers and Pioneers both have enough depth that they could find their way back to the podium. It’s from the youth-heavy teams that we find what may be 2026’s contenders. Holland Christian contained seven underclassmen under 17:00 and ran five of those at MIS in their 6th place finish. Parma Western loses Edison Lopeman from their 4th place finish, though the Panthers bring home three sub-17 freshmen and an All-State Ryan Good.

DIVISION ONE

RankTeamScoreTop-5 Avg.
1Northville252198.6
2Ann Arbor Skyline283194.1
3Brighton294194.0
4Lowell301197.1
5Jenison370191.8
6Midland381192.3
7Saline470191.8
8Salem473191.3
9Ann Arbor Pioneer492193.5
10Traverse City West505189.8
11Caledonia521189.7
12Kalamazoo Central529190.7
13Grand Blanc541189.5
14Highland-Milford555189.6
15Grand Ledge572189.1
16Saginaw Heritage732184.7
17Portage Central739185.7
18Romeo786184.3
19Howell809187.1
20Rockford812184.1
21Holland West Ottawa820183.8
22Brownstown Woodhaven848183.3
23Holly848184.5
24Traverse City Central853183.2
25Detroit Catholic Central864183.4
26Dexter876184.7
27Novi951182.0

We’ll have to wait until summer (after track and incoming freshmen are added), however it appears that Northville will again be the #1 team entering the season. The Mustangs Ben Hartigan, Ethan Hertza, Colton Blackburn, and Ryan Stojov, much loss. On the other hand, they return frontrunner Brandon Cloud and kids with much potential such as Lucas Mullan and Ashton Kashat.

The gap is much smaller than in previous years, with three teams standing out as early contenders – Ann Arbor Skyline, Brighton, and Lowell. The Red Arrows produced one of the better freshman combos in Tyler Bromley and Avi Elabed, the latter hitting All-State along with upcoming senior Marshall Huhn. Skyline showed its potential early in the year, winning at Holly against many state-qualifying teams. The Bulldogs had numbers this past year, over 50 boys donning the black n’ orange. From that half a hundred, five underclassmen were able to slip under 16:30 on the Brighton squad that was able to nab a regional crown.