Author: mixcspeedratings

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Race	Boys Adj.	Girls Adj.
Region 1	+15	+16
Region 11	+12	+12
Region 21	+17	+19
Region 31	+19	+16
Average	+16	+16

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MIXC vs. REALITY

The projections definitely had their fair share of misses here on the west side. Among them:

Holland Girls
Gobles Boys
Montague Boys
Coopersville Boys
Hudsonville Boys

Each of the above teams had multiple kids step up, but a few that stood out were:

Tessa Nienhuis – her Dutch were definitely in the running, entering Saturday with a 33% chance of sneaking into the top-3. Most of that was based on their conference championship, where Holland matched Unity Christian late in the race. Tessa hit a PR there and nearly found another one yesterday, her 20:20 right up there with the competition’s 4.

David Sager – another team listed as an underdog, but still with a legitimate chance of qualifying – 40%. But when you have a senior, potentially in his last race ever, rip a 40 sec. PR, you end up advancing.

Brock Hunter – his Wildcats weren’t even listed with a percentage, I leave out anything below 5%. Montague placed 3^rd, 5 points ahead of 4^th place. Hunter had been in the 18’s all year, including an 18:35 here a month ago. If he’d run an 18:35 again, Montague would be sitting in 5^th place, with no road trip planned for this week. Instead, his first sub-18 ever and he gets to run at MIS for the first time ever.

Brandon Peterson – Coopersville had been consistent all year, but maybe didn’t have the breakout performance letting you know that the State Finals were a possibility. Well it came yesterday, Peterson a huge factor. He dropped a nearly 30 sec. PR (and is nearly 2 min. faster than in 2024), aiding the Broncos in their 3^rd place finish and first ever trip to MIS as a team.

Lucas Dykhouse – I was wrong, this was the chaos region. At one point in the live results viewing, four teams were tied for 3^rd with 100 points with 3-4 teams incomplete. As I said in the preview, Hudsonville would need to take momentum from their OK Red race and Dykhouse did just that. He set a slight PR, coming in as the Eagle 3^rd runner and making sure BOTH Hudsonville squads will have a place on the infield on Saturday.

In the races where all three projected teams qualified, a few individuals had a day:

Melanie Jones, Vermontville Maple Valley – projected 19^th, finished 13^th. The freshman has established some consistency late, hitting in the 22’s in her last four races, including a 22:04 PR here.

Esther Cahill, Saranac – projected 18^th, finished 7^th. Quite the dichotomy between her early season and October. Whereas she was always over 21:00 early, she’s been in the 20’s for 4/5 October races. Including a 20:25 PR here.

Willa Prinsen, Forest Hills Northern – projected 14^th, finished 11^th. The Huskie senior qualified for State last year, but hadn’t *quite* reached that level yet in 2025. Until last week when she had a breakout race at Riverside, her first sub-19 ever. I guess she decided she likes the 18’s, as she found another one on Saturday, 18:58 with one last race to close out her FHN career.

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GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Cassie Karasinski	18:04.6	Hudsonville	153.1
11	Daisy Cox	18:12.2	Rockford	150.6
11	Paige McMeans	18:12.8	Jenison	150.4
9	Grace Snyder	18:14.7	Hudsonville	149.8
9	Lexie Snyder	18:45.9	Hudsonville	139.4
10	Morgan Sanders	18:49.1	Rockford	138.3
12	Gracelin Martin	18:53.1	Greenville	137.0
12	Macy Guikema	18:54.4	Jenison	136.5
10	Jillian Lewakowski	18:55.4	Rockford	136.2
10	Jaclyn Charbauski	18:56.3	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	135.9
12	Willa Prinsen	18:58.4	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	135.2
11	Chloe Purwin	19:01.8	Hudsonville	134.1
12	Cianah Budnik-Ramos	19:04.0	Grand Haven	133.3
12	Andrea Schwartz	19:07.9	Jenison	132.0
10	Madeline Aleisa	19:09.8	Jenison	131.4
11	Madeleine Hengeveld	19:13.7	GR Ottawa Hills	130.1
12	Mackenzie Conner	19:18.4	Jenison	128.5
10	Mackenzie VanStensel	19:20.7	GR Northview	127.8
12	Jersi Bilek	19:20.8	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	127.7
9	Gwyn Faber	19:21.0	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	127.7
11	Rae Defrang	19:28.4	Rockford	125.2
10	Cecelia Wojciakowski	19:30.7	GR Ottawa Hills	124.4
12	Ella Grimm	19:35.1	Muskegon Mona Shores	123.0
9	Camryn Gervais	19:35.7	Grand Haven	122.8
9	Emma Storey	19:36.6	Jenison	122.5
11	Adeline Bagnall	19:46.5	Grand Haven	119.2
11	Abigail Simpson	19:52.3	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	117.2
9	Ariana Elzinga	20:00.5	Grandville	114.5
11	Amira Khadija	20:06.8	Grand Haven	112.4
10	Amelia Danian	20:07.4	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	112.2
12	Alyssa Mertes	20:08.3	Rockford	111.9
11	Reese Defrang	20:10.1	Rockford	111.3
11	Ashley Wayne	20:17.4	Hudsonville	108.9
10	Ashlyn Horness	20:18.2	Muskegon Mona Shores	108.6
10	Gwen Aupperlee	20:21.1	GR Ottawa Hills	107.6
12	Audrey Biebel	20:22.8	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	107.1
9	Michaela Pries	20:27.5	Hudsonville	105.5
9	Sidney Eaton	20:29.2	Hudsonville	104.9
11	Chloe Gray	20:29.7	Grandville	104.8
9	Kinsley Newman	20:31.2	Grand Haven	104.3
12	Jana Kalumbula	20:47.0	GR Ottawa Hills	99.0
12	Enna Wainer	20:53.4	GR Ottawa Hills	96.9
10	Abby Stiltner	20:54.1	GR Ottawa Hills	96.6
12	Kenna Charbauski	20:58.8	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	95.1
11	Simone McDargh	21:08.4	Grandville	91.9
12	Macallie Retan	21:26.1	Grandville	86.0
10	Genevieve DeKraker	21:31.1	Greenville	84.3
9	Elin Beeck	21:31.6	Grand Haven	84.1
11	Maggie Wagner	21:32.3	Jenison	83.9
11	Darcy Keefe	21:33.0	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	83.7
10	Claire Watson	21:33.5	Rockford	83.5
12	Kenzie Low	21:35.1	GR Ottawa Hills	83.0
11	Kaitlyn Durow	21:41.5	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	80.8
10	Lauryn Wilkie	21:44.1	Grand Haven	80.0
11	Hailey Parker	21:47.9	Muskegon Mona Shores	78.7
9	Lilly Cardon	22:04.1	Muskegon Mona Shores	73.3
9	Emilie Greene	22:05.3	Muskegon Mona Shores	72.9
11	Addison Kemp	22:05.6	Greenville	72.8
11	Tatum Hemmerly	22:13.4	Muskegon Mona Shores	70.2
11	Andie Buursma	22:34.6	Grandville	63.1
9	Raelynn Rewa	22:42.3	Greenville	60.6
12	Alix Court	22:44.4	Greenville	59.9
9	Bella Skinner	22:45.2	Grandville	59.6
11	McKenna Landers	23:01.9	Muskegon Mona Shores	54.0
10	Sydney Pflug	23:07.3	GR Northview	52.3
12	Charli Belinger	23:08.1	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	52.0
10	Jadyn Rodgers	23:31.8	GR Northview	44.1
10	Isabella Lopez	23:46.3	GR Northview	39.2
12	Cecelia Gill	23:53.8	GR Northview	36.7
11	Haley Delf	24:04.4	Greenville	33.2
10	Addison Aittama	24:22.5	Greenville	27.2
9	Brooke Livermore	24:33.2	Grandville	23.6
11	Alyssa Moens	24:43.9	GR Northview	20.0
12	Isabelle Neely	24:49.9	GR Northview	18.0

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
10	Avery Engbers	18:04.8	Holland Christian	154.4
11	Mia May	18:17.7	Sparta	150.1
11	Johanna Mulder	18:36.6	Holland	143.8
11	Olivia Weiss	18:37.2	Holland	143.6
12	Marie Gates	18:39.0	Hudsonville Unity Christian	143.0
11	Eliana Stob	18:59.7	Holland Christian	136.1
12	Layla Geurink	19:09.7	Holland Christian	132.8
10	Oakley Osterhart	19:15.5	Coopersville	130.8
10	Annika Stob	19:18.7	Holland Christian	129.8
9	Breslyn Klein	19:19.6	Coopersville	129.5
11	Ellery Lampen	19:26.9	Holland Christian	127.0
10	Addison Bixler	19:27.8	Coopersville	126.7
11	Mackenzie Huizenga	19:52.3	Holland Christian	118.6
10	Sophie Jones	19:59.7	Holland Christian	116.1
10	Quinn McWilliams	20:03.5	Coopersville	114.8
11	Sawyer Reagan	20:05.2	Allendale	114.3
10	Lexi Gibson	20:11.5	Holland	112.2
11	Noelle Wielhouwer	20:11.7	Hudsonville Unity Christian	112.1
9	Tessa Nienhuis	20:20.6	Holland	109.1
12	Katelynn Boyd	20:27.2	Hudsonville Unity Christian	106.9
12	Sadie Schout	20:27.7	Hudsonville Unity Christian	106.8
12	Lauryn Byker	20:35.1	Hudsonville Unity Christian	104.3
10	Ashlyn DePoy	20:48.6	Holland	99.8
11	Carly Bruxvoort	20:53.0	Hudsonville Unity Christian	98.3
12	Olivia Droski	20:57.9	Coopersville	96.7
12	Molly Melvin	21:03.1	GR Catholic Central	95.0
9	Mia Hill	21:04.4	Allendale	94.5
9	Hadley Silveira	21:04.8	Allendale	94.4
9	Megyn Allers	21:12.8	Coopersville	91.7
9	Addisyn Wood	21:12.9	Sparta	91.7
12	Ana Beimers	21:16.6	Hudsonville Unity Christian	90.5
11	Lillian Dewey	21:20.2	Hopkins	89.3
11	Anna Schulz	21:29.9	GR West Catholic	86.0
11	Kylee Brose	21:30.3	Allendale	85.9
9	Katelyn Ashworth	21:32.7	Allendale	85.1
11	Eisele Prutch	21:35.5	Holland	84.2
11	Raina Glanzman	21:36.5	GR Kenowa Hills	83.8
12	Elizabeth Smoes	21:46.4	Coopersville	80.5
11	Lydia Nelson	21:51.2	Hamilton	79.0
12	Allison Breining	21:51.7	Hopkins	78.8
10	Riley McKeiver	21:54.5	GR West Catholic	77.8
9	Ayla Meiste	21:55.9	Hamilton	77.4
9	Izabella Jordan	22:12.2	Hopkins	71.9
9	Lachlan Merren	22:13.1	Hopkins	71.6
9	Gianna Richmond	22:13.6	GR West Catholic	71.5
11	Elle Buhlman	22:20.6	Allendale	69.1
11	Sophia Morrell	22:22.1	Sparta	68.6
12	Katherine Klooster	22:24.7	GR West Catholic	67.8
11	McKenzie Whalen	22:30.3	Allendale	65.9
12	Grace Schumacher	22:33.5	Hopkins	64.8
10	Finley Koutz	22:40.7	Sparta	62.4
10	Sara Stoel	22:43.1	Hamilton	61.6
12	Jenna Dozeman	22:54.5	Hamilton	57.8
12	Lillian Engstrom	23:07.6	GR Catholic Central	53.5
11	Harper Schoon-Tanis	23:10.4	Holland	52.5
11	Lauren Bradford	23:16.3	Sparta	50.6
11	Kaylee Katje	23:22.2	Hopkins	48.6
10	Laney Walsh	23:27.8	GR Catholic Central	46.7
10	Leah Aagesen	23:31.9	GR Catholic Central	45.4
11	Audrey Van’t Hof	23:35.2	GR Kenowa Hills	44.3
9	Charlotte Knibloe	23:39.8	GR Kenowa Hills	42.7
9	Erin Gordon	23:42.5	South Haven	41.8
10	Shyanna Buskirk	23:44.2	Hopkins	41.3
11	Avery Parmeteer	23:46.5	Wyoming Lee	40.5
11	Anna Ziedins	23:51.0	GR Catholic Central	39.0
12	Haley Council	23:58.2	Hamilton	36.6
12	Cassie Helder	24:02.0	Hamilton	35.3
12	Kaylee Ochoa	24:03.2	Wyoming Lee	34.9
11	Makenzie Ringelberg	24:07.9	Sparta	33.4
12	Isabella Giovannucci	24:13.6	Allegan	31.5
9	Evynn VanBrussel	24:17.1	South Haven	30.3
10	Anna Billman	24:27.3	Allegan	26.9
10	Stella Canfield	24:29.7	GR Catholic Central	26.1
12	Kathryn Kober	24:31.3	Sparta	25.6
12	Aneliz Salvador-Rivera	24:39.7	Comstock Park	22.8
9	Caroline Berkemeier	24:42.7	GR Catholic Central	21.8
10	Anna Hart	25:28.3	Hamilton	6.6
10	Alyson Crete	25:28.9	Comstock Park	6.4
12	Elizabeth Richmond	25:29.1	GR West Catholic	6.3
11	Melissa Ramirez-Lazo	25:35.2	Wyoming Lee	4.3

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
10	Elliana Max	18:53.9	Kent City	135.7
11	Kamryn Salladay	19:25.2	Lakeview	125.3
12	Aletta Scholten	19:51.9	Grandville Calvin Christian	116.4
11	Shelby Kuiper	20:02.1	GR Covenant Christian	113.0
9	Kylie Zwiep	20:10.7	GR NorthPointe Christian	110.1
10	Shelby Zimmer	20:17.0	Kent City	108.0
10	Esther Cahill	20:25.4	Saranac	105.2
10	Ellason Foster	20:32.3	Newaygo	102.9
11	Laura Castrejon	20:37.8	Newaygo	101.1
9	Jenny Woznick	20:38.8	GR NorthPointe Christian	100.7
9	Kate DeVries	20:39.2	GR Covenant Christian	100.6
11	Lydia Minderhoud	20:39.8	GR Covenant Christian	100.4
9	Joselyn Vogel	20:42.7	Kent City	99.4
12	Dylan Bosma	20:49.6	GR NorthPointe Christian	97.1
11	Faith Jenkins	20:51.5	Grandville Calvin Christian	96.5
12	Maria Campbell	20:52.9	Grandville Calvin Christian	96.0
10	Lynnae Meengs	20:55.5	Grandville Calvin Christian	95.2
10	Joellah Bouwman	21:10.9	Grandville Calvin Christian	90.0
9	Leah Elzinga	21:17.0	GR Covenant Christian	88.0
10	Abbie Koole	21:19.1	GR Covenant Christian	87.3
12	Sarah Bleyenberg	21:21.2	GR Covenant Christian	86.6
9	Kyla Zuidema	21:23.7	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	85.8
12	Jennifer Popp	21:28.4	GR NorthPointe Christian	84.2
9	Annika Kauffman	21:33.9	Grandville Calvin Christian	82.4
10	Danika Lopez	21:34.7	GR NorthPointe Christian	82.1
11	Kora Kok	21:36.1	GR NorthPointe Christian	81.6
10	Naomi Telman	21:41.0	Holland Black River	80.0
9	Emily Eubank	21:41.7	Belding	79.8
9	Eliana Zwiep	21:45.0	GR NorthPointe Christian	78.7
10	Esther Edgington	21:45.9	Holland Black River	78.4
11	Leah Sneller	21:46.7	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	78.1
11	Rochelle Liu	21:47.8	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	77.7
11	Anna DeVries	21:57.5	GR Covenant Christian	74.5
10	Kaytlyn Day	22:04.8	Saranac	72.1
9	Bayla Curtis	22:06.5	Kent City	71.5
9	Brooke Scheidel	22:07.2	Kent City	71.3
9	Mary Zinck	22:25.1	Holland Black River	65.3
10	Halli VanDyken	22:33.4	Belding	62.5
11	Analeigh Weaver	22:40.0	North Muskegon	60.4
11	Emma Boire	22:42.2	Belding	59.6
10	Claira Slezak	22:50.3	Lakeview	56.9
12	Gabby Vroman	22:57.8	Saranac	54.4
11	Adele Jewett	23:04.2	Grandville Calvin Christian	52.3
10	Dakotah Laisure	23:10.3	Belding	50.2
9	Tazo Fegel	23:12.6	Holland Black River	49.5
12	Elli Timmerman	23:17.6	Delton-Kellogg	47.8
10	Addison White	23:18.0	Belding	47.7
12	Sylvia Skujins	23:24.9	North Muskegon	45.4
9	Caroline Ballard	23:25.4	Holland Black River	45.2
11	Naomi Allen	23:32.5	Lakeview	42.8
12	Finja Herold	23:39.5	Newaygo	40.5
12	Grace Osterink	23:42.1	Wyoming Potter’s House	39.6
12	Kylie Bobo	23:46.1	Wyoming Potter’s House	38.3
11	Riley Perley	24:03.5	Delton-Kellogg	32.5
11	Erica Hansen	24:04.0	Montague	32.3
12	Sydney Moore	24:09.1	Lakeview	30.6
10	Elaina Rohloff	24:29.2	Lakeview	23.9
11	Makayla Smith	24:30.1	Saranac	23.6
9	Mya Hopkins	24:33.3	Saranac	22.6
12	Elise Doezema	24:34.1	Belding	22.3
9	Neveah Pineda	24:34.4	Newaygo	22.2
10	Evie Folkema	24:45.7	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	18.4
9	Josephine Baker	24:48.4	Wyoming Potter’s House	17.5
12	Carmen Howard	24:51.4	Montague	16.5
9	Lilia Waalkes	24:53.5	Wyoming Potter’s House	15.8
11	Makayla Lutz	25:05.9	Delton-Kellogg	11.7
11	Evelynn Courneya	25:06.6	Delton-Kellogg	11.5
10	Matilda Marks	25:07.4	Holland Black River	11.2
12	Amara German	25:21.7	Belding	6.4
12	Ximena Yanez	25:29.3	Ravenna	3.9
11	Carlee Gillis	25:37.7	Montague	1.1
10	Meredith Bonnema	25:40.4	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	0.2

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Libby Smith	18:11.1	Gobles	151.0
11	Veyda Conley	19:05.6	Martin	132.8
8	Faith Schipper	19:26.5	Holland Calvary Christian	125.8
9	Ryleigh Alderink	19:38.3	Holton	121.9
11	Lauren Shaffer	20:08.9	Gobles	111.7
10	Zoe Fabing	20:27.6	Fowler	105.5
11	Lindsey Nordyke	20:57.9	Byron Center Zion Christian	95.4
10	Allison Rodgers	21:06.4	Martin	92.5
11	Ava DeYoung	21:10.3	Gobles	91.2
11	Sara Schipper	21:41.8	Martin	80.7
10	Madison Deutschmann	21:50.8	Byron Center Zion Christian	77.7
10	DuRae Sage	21:51.0	Martin	77.7
9	Melanie Jones	22:04.6	Vermontville Maple Valley	73.1
12	Alison Rotman	22:16.5	Holland Calvary Christian	69.2
12	Madison Cooley	22:17.7	Gobles	68.8
9	Riley Bender	22:18.9	Martin	68.4
10	Addison Tomsic	22:33.2	Gobles	63.6
11	Marian Davlin	22:35.2	Portland St. Patrick	62.9
9	Nora Schultz	22:39.1	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	61.6
11	Rokhaya Ruhstorfer	22:49.1	Hesperia	58.3
10	Laura Rotman	23:01.1	Holland Calvary Christian	54.3
9	Taylor Cooley	23:04.5	Gobles	53.2
8	Ella Blumberg	23:08.6	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	51.8
9	Emma Dettmann	23:12.7	Martin	50.4
12	Olivia Thelen	23:24.5	Fowler	46.5
12	Izabelle Soper	23:39.0	Vermontville Maple Valley	41.7
11	Kerigan Pung	23:47.2	Fowler	38.9
9	Zooey Tinker	23:55.2	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	36.3
10	Marianna Simon	24:01.3	Fowler	34.2
11	Maggie Botsko	24:36.5	Byron Center Zion Christian	22.5
10	Alyssa Sparks	25:01.8	Gobles	14.1
12	Alice Kadlecova	25:15.0	Martin	9.7
12	Athena Morehouse	25:17.1	Vermontville Maple Valley	9.0

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Caden Livermore	15:13.2	Grandville	210.6
11	Luka Hammond	15:25.2	Grand Haven	206.6
12	Aron Gal	15:56.5	Grand Haven	196.2
10	Carter Cooke	16:02.1	Jenison	194.3
12	Nolan Wenglikowski	16:03.0	Jenison	194.0
12	Jacob McDaniel	16:06.3	Grandville	192.9
10	Chase Sherman	16:09.4	Jenison	191.9
11	Josiah Derksen	16:11.2	Rockford	191.3
12	Philip Chamberlain	16:17.0	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	189.3
12	Preston VanOeffelen	16:18.6	Greenville	188.8
9	Archer Verhage	16:19.1	Grand Haven	188.6
11	Bradley Smies	16:19.2	Hudsonville	188.6
12	Hayden Lafferty	16:22.1	Rockford	187.7
12	Austin Van Ek	16:24.8	Hudsonville	186.7
10	Caleb Conner	16:28.5	Jenison	185.5
11	Ethan Burks	16:29.0	Jenison	185.3
11	Noah Watson	16:30.7	Rockford	184.8
12	Simon Faber	16:31.0	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	184.7
12	John Truong	16:32.3	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	184.2
12	Liam Bingman	16:34.0	GR Ottawa Hills	183.7
12	Gabriel Williams	16:34.5	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	183.5
9	Sullivan Oberg	16:47.1	Jenison	179.3
12	Lucas Dykhouse	16:48.9	Hudsonville	178.7
11	Calvin Kasprowicz	16:52.0	Hudsonville	177.7
12	Hayden Fox	16:56.0	Muskegon Mona Shores	176.3
10	Luke Bultman	16:57.4	Rockford	175.9
11	Aaron Ebels	16:58.8	Grandville	175.4
12	Caleb TeBrake	17:00.4	GR Northview	174.9
12	Myles Hendel	17:01.3	Jenison	174.6
12	Aidan Vermeulen	17:03.4	Hudsonville	173.9
12	Rhys Holmes	17:06.0	GR Northview	173.0
12	Kasen Todtz	17:12.5	Grand Haven	170.8
10	Graham Kusmierski	17:15.7	Grandville	169.8
12	Nathan Kunzi	17:18.4	Hudsonville	168.9
12	James Boersma	17:18.9	Wyoming	168.7
12	Kian Sprik	17:23.7	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	167.1
12	Jack Paulsen	17:23.7	Grandville	167.1
10	Mason Szyniszewski	17:30.3	Grandville	164.9
12	Kelton Hoover	17:31.0	GR Ottawa Hills	164.7
9	Dylan McKinney	17:31.2	Rockford	164.6
12	Owen Cross	17:34.5	Grand Haven	163.5
11	Charles Gavan	17:34.8	Rockford	163.4
11	Addison Dufendach	17:35.2	Rockford	163.3
10	Kassian McKenzie Thompson	17:40.2	Muskegon Mona Shores	161.6
11	Liam Eaton	17:41.3	GR Northview	161.2
11	Zachary Lassanske	17:42.6	Muskegon Mona Shores	160.8
10	Ben Jackson	17:44.0	GR Northview	160.3
12	Ty Baum	17:45.0	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	160.0
11	Jackson Bunda	17:45.9	FHN GR Forest Hills Northern	159.7
11	Luke McCarty	17:47.1	Hudsonville	159.3
11	Tanner Lehman	17:48.0	Greenville	159.0
12	Lucas Kranzusch	17:51.4	Grandville	157.9
12	Beau Holmes	18:07.7	GR Northview	152.4
9	Anthony Lambers	18:08.5	Muskegon	152.2
12	Dylan Sturr	18:08.6	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	152.1
12	Kaiden Shinew	18:10.1	Grand Haven	151.6
11	Arie Prins	18:14.0	GR Union	150.3
11	Jude Klooster	18:15.0	GR Union	150.0
11	Kemo Ahmicasaube	18:19.6	GR Union	148.5
10	Blake Gale	18:20.3	Greenville	148.2
9	Lucas Crozier	18:20.5	Muskegon Mona Shores	148.2
11	Dominik Ladomato-Fisher	18:25.6	GR Ottawa Hills	146.5
12	Sam Decker	18:26.1	GR Northview	146.3
10	Patrick Amidon	18:29.9	Greenville	145.0
10	Ryan Khatir	18:34.6	Muskegon Mona Shores	143.5
12	Will Dawson	18:38.2	GR Northview	142.3
11	Van Roach	18:40.6	Muskegon Mona Shores	141.5
12	Liam Schamper	18:43.0	Grand Haven	140.7
12	Kristian Coon	18:51.6	Greenville	137.8
12	Max Yoder	18:54.7	GR Ottawa Hills	136.8
9	Aiden Watson	18:55.7	Greenville	136.4
11	Tyree Henderson	18:55.8	Muskegon	136.4
12	Daxton MacDonald	19:02.7	Muskegon Mona Shores	134.1
11	Grahm Gibbs	19:05.1	Greenville	133.3
9	Landon Learn	19:06.3	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	132.9
10	Connor Geary	19:06.7	GR Ottawa Hills	132.8
12	Lucas Bruno	19:12.1	GR Ottawa Hills	131.0
9	Judah McCarthy	19:20.0	GR Union	128.3
11	Acxel Leon-avila	19:20.9	GR Union	128.0
11	Isaiah Meyer	19:41.4	GR Union	121.2
12	Henry Robinette	19:47.9	GR Union	119.0
11	Aiden Ocampo	19:51.4	Wyoming	117.9
9	Kasyn Novak	20:00.5	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	114.8
10	Kyron Novak	20:29.7	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	105.1
9	Bo Blair	20:43.4	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	100.5
12	Tyler Davis	20:51.1	Wyoming	98.0
11	Alcides Lopez-Feliciano	20:53.5	Wyoming	97.2
9	Maxim Bellinger	20:54.1	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	97.0
11	Arthur Duren	21:37.3	Muskegon	82.6
9	Jonathan Steenhagen	21:46.2	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	79.6
10	Chauncey Oliver	21:52.3	Wyoming	77.6
10	William Whyms	22:51.9	Muskegon	57.7
11	Keamari Johnson	24:43.4	Muskegon	20.5

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Mason Hill	15:31.8	Allendale	205.4
11	Mitchell Dunlap	15:42.7	GR Catholic Central	201.8
12	Ronnie Silveira	15:50.3	Allendale	199.2
12	Aden Ashworth	15:58.5	Allendale	196.5
12	Owen Metzger	16:15.7	Sparta	190.8
10	Aiden Lambers	16:17.9	Holland	190.0
12	Jack Estelle	16:22.5	Hopkins	188.5
12	Landon Gerritsma	16:29.0	Holland Christian	186.3
9	Grant Lampen	16:33.5	Holland Christian	184.8
12	Carson Wood	16:38.4	Sparta	183.2
10	Kash Moored	16:39.9	Hopkins	182.7
10	Macen White	16:50.1	Holland Christian	179.3
9	Reuben Riemersma	16:50.9	Hudsonville Unity Christian	179.0
9	Zach Diller	16:53.4	Holland Christian	178.2
12	Will Johnson	16:58.2	Holland Christian	176.6
10	Cole Raymond	17:05.8	Coopersville	174.1
11	Cole Coffman	17:08.1	Holland Christian	173.3
11	Brandon Peterson	17:09.6	Coopersville	172.8
12	Grant Hillary	17:14.5	GR Catholic Central	171.2
9	Zander Stewart	17:17.6	Holland Christian	170.1
11	Rian Powers	17:25.4	Holland	167.5
12	Evan Keller	17:25.7	Coopersville	167.4
11	Kellen Chalupa	17:28.5	Allegan	166.5
10	Braylon Bigorowski	17:32.0	Coopersville	165.3
10	Grady Johnston	17:35.7	Hopkins	164.1
11	Owen VanDyke	17:42.2	Allendale	161.9
9	Gavin Aguilar	17:44.6	GR Catholic Central	161.1
12	Dane Sprague	17:48.7	Allendale	159.8
10	Caelen Gray	17:49.0	Holland	159.7
10	Anthony Rushmore	17:50.0	GR Catholic Central	159.3
9	Brycen Stewart	17:51.0	Allendale	159.0
10	Hagan Biehl	17:51.8	Sparta	158.7
9	Thomas Sigler	17:53.7	Allegan	158.1
12	Griffin Mis	17:55.2	Sparta	157.6
10	Zane Molewyk	17:58.5	Coopersville	156.5
12	Alessandro Castillo	18:02.1	Holland	155.3
10	Ethan Dertien	18:02.6	Hudsonville Unity Christian	155.1
9	Eli Schout	18:03.8	Hudsonville Unity Christian	154.7
9	Leo Alivia	18:04.2	GR Catholic Central	154.6
12	Aaron Stevens	18:04.9	GR Kenowa Hills	154.4
11	Greyson Hartwick	18:06.0	Sparta	154.0
11	Nolan Wiens	18:09.9	South Haven	152.7
11	Mason England	18:12.2	GR Catholic Central	152.0
10	Nicholas Jablonski	18:15.0	Hopkins	151.0
11	Joe Janesak	18:17.8	Sparta	150.1
9	Owen Vanderhyde	18:19.6	Sparta	149.5
11	Jacob Mead	18:24.5	GR Catholic Central	147.8
9	Cameron Howe	18:26.5	GR Kenowa Hills	147.2
11	Alden Lucas	18:29.7	Hudsonville Unity Christian	146.1
9	Jakin Prong	18:32.5	South Haven	145.2
11	Alex Ten Haken	18:32.8	Hudsonville Unity Christian	145.1
12	Brady Kurlenda	18:35.3	GR West Catholic	144.2
10	Loghan Murphy	18:35.6	Allegan	144.1
11	Ben Brower	18:36.7	Hudsonville Unity Christian	143.8
11	Gavin Schans	18:43.9	Hopkins	141.4
10	Trent Scarlavai	18:47.7	GR West Catholic	140.1
12	Caden Leatherman	18:54.2	Hudsonville Unity Christian	137.9
11	Luke Arendshorst	18:54.4	Holland	137.9
9	Javier JJ Garcia	18:57.9	South Haven	136.7
12	Nazario Estrada	18:58.8	Holland	136.4
11	Nicolas Eisen	19:10.2	Allendale	132.6
9	Jackson Launiere	19:19.8	GR Kenowa Hills	129.4
9	Carson Beerthuis	19:20.0	Hamilton	129.3
9	Carsen Modderman	19:21.7	Coopersville	128.8
10	Josh Cusack	19:23.8	GR West Catholic	128.1
12	Daniel Grabinski	19:27.2	Hamilton	126.9
11	Ryan Geerts	19:31.7	Holland	125.4
11	Armando Cuervo Elias	19:32.8	Wyoming Lee	125.1
10	Justin Klap	19:39.9	GR Kenowa Hills	122.7
12	Christian Prong	19:40.2	South Haven	122.6
12	Cole Ver Strate	19:43.3	Hopkins	121.6
9	Ethan Brown	19:48.6	Hamilton	119.8
11	Zander Duncan	19:55.1	South Haven	117.6
11	Cooper Prentice	19:55.5	Allegan	117.5
9	Logan Kipen	19:57.6	Hopkins	116.8
11	Ryan Potts	19:59.8	Coopersville	116.1
10	Colton Rogalski	20:03.3	GR Kenowa Hills	114.9
9	Asher Meyer	20:08.7	GR West Catholic	113.1
10	Owen Griffith	20:16.0	GR Kenowa Hills	110.7
12	Angel Cervante	20:19.5	Wyoming Lee	109.5
10	Zachary Bain	20:22.8	Hamilton	108.4
11	Ayden Shortsle	20:26.0	GR Kenowa Hills	107.3
9	Jabez Cruz-Terres	20:54.1	Wyoming Lee	98.0
12	Luke Hernandez	21:22.6	Hamilton	88.5
9	Bryce Wood	21:24.0	Comstock Park	88.0
11	Greyson DeWys	21:43.4	Hamilton	81.5
12	Colten LaBelle	22:26.7	GR West Catholic	67.1
9	Braxten Vis	22:34.6	Hamilton	64.5
9	Adon Terry	23:31.3	Wyoming Lee	45.6
10	Dan Romero	23:46.8	Wyoming Lee	40.4

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Edward Mugisha	16:11.7	Wyoming Potter’s House	190.4
11	Jonas Ballard	16:11.8	Holland Black River	190.4
11	Levi Schimmel	16:31.4	GR Covenant Christian	183.9
12	Jeryn Frisbie	16:38.1	Belding	181.6
10	Nolan Kessler	16:38.5	Montague	181.5
11	Cooper Tiffany	16:51.8	Lakeview	177.1
11	Gibson Smith	16:52.2	Montague	176.9
11	Landon Madden	16:53.7	Delton-Kellogg	176.4
11	David Castrejon	16:54.7	Newaygo	176.1
11	Easton McCloy	16:56.7	GR NorthPointe Christian	175.4
11	Owen Sytsema	17:06.0	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	172.3
12	Isaac Norcross	17:07.0	GR NorthPointe Christian	172.0
11	Sebastian Zylstra	17:08.5	Holland Black River	171.5
12	Isaac Struck-VanderHaak	17:08.9	Wyoming Potter’s House	171.4
11	Evan Buteyn	17:08.9	Grandville Calvin Christian	171.4
12	Isaac Johnson	17:09.9	Holland Black River	171.0
10	Brady Oosterhouse	17:14.2	Saranac	169.6
10	Avery Carlson	17:14.4	Holland Black River	169.5
9	Luke Worley	17:16.0	GR NorthPointe Christian	169.0
11	Josiah Scholma	17:18.1	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	168.3
11	Landon Kuperus	17:25.0	GR Covenant Christian	166.0
12	Isaac Westra	17:31.3	GR Covenant Christian	163.9
11	Mattias Tuls	17:31.8	Wyoming Potter’s House	163.7
11	Nick Leonhard	17:32.2	Wyoming Potter’s House	163.6
12	Reuben Anderson	17:32.7	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	163.4
12	Nick Muday	17:32.9	Delton-Kellogg	163.4
12	Christopher Delaney	17:43.4	Wyoming Potter’s House	159.9
9	Aiden Willett	17:43.5	Lakeview	159.8
11	Brock Hunter	17:45.3	Montague	159.2
10	Joseph McCoy	17:47.2	Delton-Kellogg	158.6
9	Wesley Mair	17:48.1	Montague	158.3
10	Logan Ingraham	17:52.2	Belding	156.9
10	Logan Gregory	17:52.5	Saranac	156.8
10	Ryan Sorrell	17:53.2	GR NorthPointe Christian	156.6
12	Matthew Leatherman	17:56.3	Montague	155.6
11	Eli Morse	17:57.6	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	155.1
10	Joseph Segard	17:59.7	GR NorthPointe Christian	154.4
10	Luis Hirt	18:00.5	GR NorthPointe Christian	154.2
10	Logan Sicilia	18:02.5	Wyoming Potter’s House	153.5
11	Isaiah Wilson	18:04.9	GR NorthPointe Christian	152.7
11	Liam Heyboer	18:05.5	GR Covenant Christian	152.5
12	Kaden Mingerink	18:09.4	GR Covenant Christian	151.2
10	Liam Imhoff	18:11.7	Kent City	150.4
10	Levi Kass	18:11.9	Ravenna	150.4
9	Joel Oosterhouse	18:12.6	Saranac	150.1
12	Sam Kik	18:13.1	Kent City	150.0
10	Mason Lincoln	18:18.3	Lakeview	148.2
10	Andrew Duthler	18:26.8	GR Covenant Christian	145.4
12	Brandon McCullough	18:28.4	Kent City	144.9
10	Jake Levering	18:36.2	Holland Black River	142.3
10	Jace Hilton	18:46.9	Delton-Kellogg	138.7
9	Emmett Elsner	18:53.3	Kent City	136.6
10	Ayden Jones	18:54.3	Delton-Kellogg	136.2
12	Caleb Looyenga	18:54.9	GR Covenant Christian	136.0
9	Malachi Allersma	18:55.3	Delton-Kellogg	135.9
9	Jonathan Mueller	19:02.4	Montague	133.5
12	Jaxon Max	19:03.1	Kent City	133.3
11	Gage Scott	19:08.1	Newaygo	131.6
12	Bryan Gregory	19:17.2	Saranac	128.6
10	Asher Ornee	19:18.5	Holland Black River	128.2
9	Kyle Eubank	19:19.9	Belding	127.7
10	Jack Walter	19:23.6	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	126.5
11	Miles Divozzo	19:30.4	Holland Black River	124.2
12	Kaden Borgman	19:36.8	Ravenna	122.1
9	Micah Scholma	19:39.5	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	121.2
11	Ameere Layton	19:40.3	North Muskegon	120.9
10	Caleb Glass	19:41.6	Grandville Calvin Christian	120.5
9	Dakoda Worley	19:47.0	Kent City	118.7
12	Logan Bok	19:59.7	Saranac	114.4
11	Sawyer VanKuiken	20:02.4	Saranac	113.5
12	Andrew Newenhouse	20:02.8	Grandville Calvin Christian	113.4
9	Zach Schaub	20:16.4	Grandville Calvin Christian	108.9
9	Kaden Figert	20:18.5	Lakeview	108.2
11	Theodore VanKuiken	20:27.0	Saranac	105.3
11	Shawn Warmuskerken	20:32.2	Grant	103.6
11	Jack Favreau	20:43.5	Delton-Kellogg	99.8
9	Brayden Bloom	20:47.6	Kent City	98.5
11	Sebastien Navis	20:48.4	Muskegon Western Mich. Christian	98.2
10	Joe Gould	20:49.4	Belding	97.9
9	Steven Dietz	20:54.9	Newaygo	96.0
10	River Borkowski	21:04.3	Newaygo	92.9
11	Andrew Schout	21:15.3	Belding	89.2
10	Carson Jasick	21:18.5	Montague	88.2
10	Levi Scott	21:18.6	Ravenna	88.2
11	Brodie Sharrard	21:38.6	Lakeview	81.5
9	Deacon Anderson	21:50.2	North Muskegon	77.6
12	Andan Skuse	22:06.3	Ravenna	72.2
12	Benjamin Carpenter	22:17.6	North Muskegon	68.5
11	James Korson	22:41.6	Ravenna	60.5
9	Gabe Ghearing	23:06.3	Lakeview	52.2
11	Zackery Yearsovich	23:22.3	Newaygo	46.9
9	Micah Butters	23:34.8	Grandville Calvin Christian	42.7
9	Granderson Miller	24:28.4	North Muskegon	24.9

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Christian Getz	16:25.0	Holland Calvary Christian	185.4
11	Noah Schipper	16:32.0	Holland Calvary Christian	183.0
10	Lincoln Laansma	16:54.3	Tri-unity Christian	175.6
11	Gibson White	16:57.6	Holland Calvary Christian	174.5
12	Timothy Chamberlain	17:10.2	Portland St. Patrick	170.3
11	Brody VanTuinen	17:13.1	Holland Calvary Christian	169.3
12	Quentin Smith	17:16.9	Fowler	168.0
12	Freddie Bierling	17:29.7	Byron Center Zion Christian	163.8
11	Francis Austen	17:31.5	Portland St. Patrick	163.2
12	Lukas Rennells	17:33.8	Muskegon Catholic Central	162.4
11	Caleb Adkins	17:35.9	Holland Calvary Christian	161.7
11	Nate Ruhstorfer	17:38.9	Hesperia	160.7
12	Liam Kamp	17:39.3	Libertas Christian	160.6
10	Keannan Marr	17:39.5	Holton	160.5
12	Isaac FoxElster	17:39.5	Portland St. Patrick	160.5
10	Reagan Downing	17:44.8	Holland Calvary Christian	158.7
12	David Sager	17:50.4	Gobles	156.9
9	Fletcher Amos	17:50.7	Gobles	156.8
11	Owen Ledebuhr	17:55.4	Holland Calvary Christian	155.2
11	Landon Miller	18:02.5	Fowler	152.8
10	Cole Ringel	18:14.0	Gobles	149.0
10	Jackson Anderson	18:17.0	Muskegon Catholic Central	148.0
11	Jadon Dettmann	18:22.6	Martin	146.1
9	Levi Oudbier	18:23.1	Tri-unity Christian	146.0
9	Dexton Feldpausch	18:24.3	Fowler	145.6
11	Tyler Curtis	18:28.4	Vermontville Maple Valley	144.2
12	Xavier Simon	18:36.0	Fowler	141.7
10	Jack Feenstra	18:36.4	Byron Center Zion Christian	141.5
10	Levi Knoop	18:38.7	Portland St. Patrick	140.8
9	Mason Shanafelt	18:41.6	Holton	139.8
10	Jeremiah VanHouten	18:44.5	Martin	138.8
11	Jaxon Bunce	18:46.0	Gobles	138.3
12	Cole Cannon	18:46.2	Gobles	138.3
10	Levi Collins	18:59.3	Gobles	133.9
11	Hunter Hayes	19:14.1	Martin	129.0
9	Evan Broyles	19:32.8	Lawrence	122.7
11	Gari Salvador-Garcia	19:33.6	Martin	122.5
8	Owen Banyon	19:33.8	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	122.4
10	Andy Lopez-Garcia	19:37.8	Hesperia	121.1
11	Logan Howe	19:39.4	Portland St. Patrick	120.5
10	Gideon Stumph	19:40.9	Byron Center Zion Christian	120.0
11	Connor Banyon	19:45.3	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	118.6
9	Maxwell Wieber	19:48.5	Fowler	117.5
11	Ian DeRuiter	19:49.8	Byron Center Zion Christian	117.1
11	Cameron Murray	19:51.6	Vermontville Maple Valley	116.5
12	Caleb Stumph	19:56.6	Byron Center Zion Christian	114.8
12	Chase Lanning	19:58.3	Byron Center Zion Christian	114.2
11	Ben Keebaugh	19:59.4	Fowler	113.9
12	Connor Siglow	20:00.1	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	113.6
9	Kaedyn Smith	20:01.2	Fowler	113.3
11	Anthony Jasheway	20:23.8	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	105.7
9	Titus Sager	20:26.8	Gobles	104.7
9	Tony Lopez-Garcia	20:27.8	Hesperia	104.4
8	Eli Kaighen	20:31.9	Tri-unity Christian	103.0
10	Sam Jollay	20:35.0	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	102.0
10	Chase Austin	20:59.0	Muskegon Catholic Central	94.0
12	Hunter Tinkham	21:07.4	Hesperia	91.2
10	Jacob Hop	21:09.0	Libertas Christian	90.7
10	A.J. Cullen	21:11.1	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	90.0
10	Evan Wehrman	21:28.3	Byron Center Zion Christian	84.2
9	Xander Ruiter	21:39.3	Martin	80.6
10	Grady Wilkes	21:39.4	Vermontville Maple Valley	80.5
10	Paul Winchel	22:02.0	Hesperia	73.0
9	Hayden Klintworth	22:09.5	Martin	70.5
11	Andon Offord	22:13.9	Lawrence	69.0
12	Eli VerBeek	22:21.8	Libertas Christian	66.4
9	Gavin Keeler	22:22.4	Martin	66.2
8	Jimmi Houseman	22:24.1	Tri-unity Christian	65.7
12	Kolt Milner	22:35.7	Hesperia	61.8
12	Dain Kraus	22:49.0	Hesperia	57.3
10	Aaron Gaiser	22:52.5	Muskegon Catholic Central	56.2
11	Adrian Valario	23:14.9	Lawrence	48.7
10	Angel Villanueva-Delgado	23:21.0	Covert	46.7
11	Quincy Page	23:24.3	Vermontville Maple Valley	45.6
9	Easton Downs	23:27.0	St Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic	44.7
11	Colton Anders	23:35.9	Lawrence	41.7
12	Kaiden Tallarico	23:56.9	Holton	34.7
11	Leo Basurto Olguin	23:57.4	Covert	34.5
10	Seth Mcmillan	24:07.7	Holton	31.1
10	Ariez Mcmillan	24:18.7	Holton	27.4
9	Patrick Austen	24:22.1	Portland St. Patrick	26.3
12	Alexis Sanchez-Lopez	24:43.2	Muskegon Catholic Central	19.3

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Race	Boys Adj.	Girls Adj.	Average
Region 4	+15	+20	+18
Region 14	+18	+19	+19

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MIXC vs. REALITY

11/12 on the team projections with one exception – the Williamston girls. The pre-race projections had the Hornets in 5^th place, 13 points out of 3^rd, and with a 17% chance of qualifying. Projected two spots out, but still having a chance, the margins were expected to be tight. Williamston had season bests from six of their seven girls and a personal best from Reggie Cooke, Kate Duffy, and Madison Thomas. Sophia Schafer did not obtain a personal best, but her performance may have been the most crucial. The junior went sub-20 for the second time this season, a much faster performance than the 20:30+’s that defined her early season.

Beyond Williamston, a few others had great races on Friday:

Anna Halliday, Howell – came in projected 26^th, placed 16^th. Coming into Friday’s race, Halliday’s personal best had been 19:35. Before this fall, it was over 20:00! By improving nearly a minute from her sophomore best, Halliday gets to extend her season by another week.

Ariston Dallas, Owosso – what a journey for the Owosso junior. This was his first race at the regional level since his freshman year, a season that concluded with a 20:48 and 73^rd place on this DeWitt course. Fast forward two years later, past the incomplete sophomore season, past the many 17-min. efforts of this fall, and you land on a masterful regional performance. 16:40, 20+ personal best, first sub-17 ever, and the last spot heading to MIS.

For the Division 1 Boys, all the teams and individuals qualified as projected. So I guess I gotta give it to the Brighton boys, who were a bit of an underdog at 37%. Two names jump out immediately as impactful: Roarke MacArthur and Evan Cummings. Both were within 10 sec. of their PR (both set at Gabriel Richard) and both finished about 10 spots ahead of where they were thought to be. Enough to make up the 18-point margin that they had in victory as the Bulldogs roll into State.

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
10	Rachel Smith	16:59.1	Okemos	173.6
12	Lydia LaMarra	17:47.3	Brighton	157.6
12	October Harns	17:59.6	Okemos	153.5
11	Becca Van Lent	18:07.6	Ann Arbor Skyline	150.8
12	Juliet Lewis	18:21.5	Brighton	146.2
12	Aviana Skinner	18:35.3	Grand Ledge	141.6
10	Lucia Llanes	18:41.7	Ann Arbor Skyline	139.4
12	Courtney Lince	18:49.7	Brighton	136.8
12	Selena White	18:55.2	Brighton	134.9
10	Lila Edison	18:56.8	Ann Arbor Skyline	134.4
12	Elizabeth Schafer	19:00.3	Okemos	133.2
11	Isla Tharp	19:02.0	Ann Arbor Skyline	132.7
9	Brooke Wallace	19:02.5	Howell	132.5
10	Ella Lorenz	19:04.0	Brighton	132.0
10	Ruby Petee	19:06.5	Mason	131.2
11	Anna Halliday	19:06.7	Howell	131.1
12	Amelia Cribbins	19:07.0	Dexter	131.0
11	Kodie Snyder	19:09.3	Dexter	130.2
10	Jorga Wooledge	19:09.5	Mason	130.2
12	Lydia Jagger	19:11.8	Grand Ledge	129.4
11	Ashley Lubowicki	19:18.1	Brighton	127.3
9	Ava Montero	19:23.0	Grand Ledge	125.7
12	Annie Hamilton	19:24.3	Brighton	125.2
12	Adrienne Stewart	19:27.1	Ann Arbor Skyline	124.3
9	Olive DiMassa	19:29.0	Howell	123.7
11	Gwen Stotts-Walshe	19:35.7	Ann Arbor Skyline	121.4
10	Layla Blumberg	19:35.7	Dexter	121.4
9	Kylie Karfonta	19:56.0	South Lyon	114.7
10	Emily Barrie	20:03.0	East Lansing	112.3
11	Morgan Allen	20:04.3	Mason	111.9
11	Irie Scrase	20:06.8	Ann Arbor Skyline	111.1
12	Fiona Whitmyer	20:08.5	Okemos	110.5
9	Reagan Mason	20:08.9	Howell	110.4
9	Scarlett Popielarski	20:15.4	East Lansing	108.2
10	Mya Bower	20:19.5	Okemos	106.8
10	Claire Collins	20:19.6	Dexter	106.8
9	Elaine Bentley	20:22.4	Jackson	105.9
9	Sofia Kang	20:24.9	South Lyon East	105.0
12	Nora Rioux	20:29.0	Howell	103.7
10	Kaila Cravotta	20:30.8	East Lansing	103.1
10	Dalia Fermaglich	20:33.3	East Lansing	102.2
11	Abigail Dobry	20:36.4	Dexter	101.2
12	Meghan Mullen	20:37.0	South Lyon East	101.0
11	Gabriella Fugazzi	20:39.0	Okemos	100.3
9	Chelsea Hembree	20:46.2	Howell	97.9
9	Natalie Coulter	20:51.8	South Lyon East	96.1
9	Ellie Groen	20:53.4	East Lansing	95.5
11	Claire Porinsky	20:53.7	South Lyon East	95.4
10	Alyssa McFall	20:55.2	Okemos	94.9
12	Grace Brown	20:56.3	Jackson	94.6
12	Avery Hoeft	20:59.2	Dexter	93.6
12	Gwendolynn Carter	21:02.7	Holt	92.4
11	Claire Gibson	21:05.5	Dexter	91.5
12	Isabelle Downs	21:07.6	South Lyon East	90.8
9	Kinsley Lounds	21:20.6	Grand Ledge	86.5
12	Elsa Gomez	21:21.5	Grand Ledge	86.2
11	Ava Buckley	21:22.9	Mason	85.7
12	Aubrey Metzger	21:23.2	Mason	85.6
9	Paige Thelen	21:23.6	Grand Ledge	85.5
11	Morgan Clark	21:24.5	Mason	85.2
11	Violet Scheels	21:28.0	South Lyon	84.0
11	Jocelyn Wilson	21:32.7	Holt	82.4
11	Lyza Ruster	21:39.8	Mason	80.1
12	Madison Aten	21:40.6	Grand Ledge	79.8
9	Isabelle Carignan	21:41.2	South Lyon East	79.6
9	Vivien Marr	21:47.3	East Lansing	77.6
10	Kennady Giancotti	21:48.3	Holt	77.2
10	Caitlin Walenciak	21:52.7	South Lyon East	75.8
9	Emma Lownsbery	21:55.9	Holt	74.7
9	McKenna Kann	22:07.3	South Lyon	70.9
10	Grace Nunn	22:10.0	Holt	70.0
11	Anabelle Mangan	22:18.2	South Lyon	67.3
12	Julia Moore	22:28.6	East Lansing	63.8
9	Amelia Mangan	22:36.5	South Lyon	61.2
12	Lucineia Harvey	22:39.3	South Lyon	60.2
9	Katalin Hernadi	22:41.5	South Lyon	59.5
11	Annabel Reaves	23:04.8	Holt	51.7
11	Alexis Graham	23:10.6	Howell	49.8
11	Emma Bossenbroek	23:31.1	Holt	43.0
11	Makayla Damico	23:52.8	Lansing Waverly	35.7
11	Jeniya Graham	23:53.9	Jackson	35.4
9	Aleena Moralas	24:36.2	Flint Carman-Ainsworth	21.3

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Ava Schafer	18:17.3	St. Johns	147.9
10	Aurora (Rory) Doepker	19:02.5	DeWitt	132.8
10	Remie Ellis	19:19.1	Eaton Rapids	127.3
12	Miriam Kloha	19:26.5	St. Johns	124.8
10	Bridget Fullerton	19:29.9	Parma Western	123.7
9	Brooklyn Takagishi	19:33.6	DeWitt	122.5
10	Abby Crandell	19:37.1	Owosso	121.3
11	Colette Charchut	19:38.5	Haslett	120.8
12	Isabella Taber	19:40.4	DeWitt	120.2
11	Avery Silvas	19:40.5	Charlotte	120.2
11	Natalie Kuhl	19:41.6	Parma Western	119.8
11	Sophia Schafer	19:57.4	Williamston	114.5
12	Maddy Takagishi	20:02.0	DeWitt	113.0
12	Chloe Khon	20:03.2	Jackson Northwest	112.6
12	Avari Montgomery	20:11.0	Charlotte	110.0
10	Natalie Hayes	20:14.9	DeWitt	108.7
9	Dakota Budd	20:23.7	Haslett	105.8
9	Cecilia Kelly	20:26.2	Williamston	104.9
10	Grace Mingerink	20:27.6	DeWitt	104.5
10	Clara Marschall	20:34.3	Fowlerville	102.2
12	Emily Agnew	20:43.2	DeWitt	99.3
11	Jaidyn Nickels	20:45.1	Corunna	98.6
12	Andie Wildern	20:46.7	Charlotte	98.1
10	Reggie Cooke	20:47.2	Williamston	97.9
12	Abby Russell	20:54.5	Haslett	95.5
9	Madisyn Blair	20:59.0	Parma Western	94.0
12	Natalie Kramer	20:59.3	St. Johns	93.9
11	Helena Goodrich	21:02.8	Charlotte	92.7
12	Reese Supianoski	21:04.8	Williamston	92.1
12	Maria Beach	21:10.0	Fowlerville	90.3
9	Kate Duffy	21:22.8	Williamston	86.1
12	Anna Johnson	21:28.0	Alma	84.3
12	Maria Kilpela	21:33.7	Fowlerville	82.4
10	Kenadi Simon	21:35.7	St. Johns	81.8
9	Sevarah Markham	21:37.0	Alma	81.3
9	Kendall Dorey	21:44.3	Charlotte	78.9
9	Madison Thomas	21:47.2	Williamston	77.9
10	Izzy Brown	21:48.2	Haslett	77.6
9	Brynn Rudnicki	21:50.5	Fowlerville	76.8
9	Abby Taylor	21:58.0	Fowlerville	74.3
12	Kate Church	21:58.8	Haslett	74.1
12	Sarah Munger	22:11.7	Alma	69.8
9	Olivia Khon	22:13.4	Jackson Northwest	69.2
9	Grace Hancock	22:14.1	Alma	69.0
12	Djemillah Hassan	22:18.3	Lansing Eastern	67.6
10	Djimye Hassan	22:30.4	Lansing Eastern	63.5
11	Eliza Milarch	22:34.5	Charlotte	62.2
11	Chehek Bharatiya	22:39.4	Parma Western	60.5
9	Ava Bankson-Ereg	22:40.2	Haslett	60.3
10	Laurel ClevengerGrimsley	22:40.3	Parma Western	60.2
10	Reese Wright	22:43.8	Michigan Center	59.1
12	Jackson Harlan	22:45.5	Williamston	58.5
11	Lillian Coppernoll	22:46.2	Parma Western	58.3
12	Savana Watson	22:50.5	St. Johns	56.8
11	Alyssa Seiter	22:52.0	Fowlerville	56.3
9	Emma Campbell	22:59.9	Michigan Center	53.7
12	Isla Sule	23:00.7	Corunna	53.4
9	Ella Hammond	23:03.4	Parma Western	52.5
11	Makenna Rudnicki	23:05.2	Fowlerville	51.9
10	Kaleigh Slingerland	23:17.9	Owosso	47.7
10	Miriam Skarich	23:21.9	Owosso	46.4
11	Katherine Green	23:24.8	St. Johns	45.4
12	Baylee Moore	23:25.7	Charlotte	45.1
11	Alexa Palmer	23:28.5	Alma	44.2
10	Summer Walker	23:31.6	Owosso	43.1
9	Ava Spencer	23:40.7	Owosso	40.1
10	Evelyn Lindberg	23:45.0	Corunna	38.7
10	Emma Tramontin	23:54.9	Corunna	35.4
9	Leia Thomas	24:00.1	Alma	33.6
12	Onaleigh McVay	24:11.2	Owosso	29.9
12	Audrey McManus	24:11.8	Eaton Rapids	29.7
11	Sydney Johnson	24:17.1	St. Johns	28.0
12	Elizabeth (Lizzie) Dettman	24:21.4	Corunna	26.5
12	Lexandria Albarez	24:22.8	Lansing Eastern	26.1
12	Lilly Allen	24:39.1	Eaton Rapids	20.6
11	Deborah Beral	24:39.8	Lansing Sexton	20.4
10	Gracie Ockerman	25:06.1	Owosso	11.6
9	Lydia Gilbert	25:09.2	Alma	10.6
12	Kennedie Crow	25:32.6	Eaton Rapids	2.8
11	Rain Hinkley	25:37.5	Haslett	1.2

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Jack MacGregor	15:17.9	Howell	209.0
12	Ian Morgan	15:35.0	Okemos	203.3
11	Coen Hill	15:36.7	Dexter	202.8
12	Zach Wyderko	15:50.7	Brighton	198.1
10	Rylen Richey	15:59.4	Grand Ledge	195.2
11	Blake Kulesza	16:02.0	Brighton	194.3
12	Adrian Abbott-Wallace	16:02.9	Holt	194.0
12	Liam Preisser	16:05.5	East Lansing	193.2
10	Nikhil Ball	16:08.3	South Lyon East	192.2
10	Roarke MacArthur	16:08.4	Brighton	192.2
12	Evan Cummings	16:08.5	Brighton	192.2
10	Rem Piper	16:09.2	Holt	191.9
11	Nolan Lounds	16:10.7	Grand Ledge	191.4
12	Benjamin Rottier	16:11.6	Grand Ledge	191.1
12	Bruno Cifaldi	16:12.1	Ann Arbor Skyline	191.0
11	Matthew Guikema	16:13.6	Ann Arbor Skyline	190.5
11	Nick Martens	16:15.3	Dexter	189.9
12	Alex McKennon	16:20.0	Grand Ledge	188.3
10	Oskar MacArthur	16:20.4	Ann Arbor Skyline	188.2
11	David DeLand	16:22.0	Howell	187.7
10	Kilian Boulware-Lopez	16:26.9	East Lansing	186.0
11	Caelan Marsh	16:28.1	Grand Ledge	185.6
9	Josh Keillor-Beale	16:32.3	Brighton	184.2
10	Alex Weller	16:33.8	Howell	183.7
10	Martin Gehrke	16:35.1	Ann Arbor Skyline	183.3
12	Malcolm Cesario	16:35.3	Okemos	183.2
11	Simon Shutt	16:36.1	Okemos	183.0
9	Grant Kulesza	16:36.4	Brighton	182.9
11	Enshu Kuan	16:39.1	Ann Arbor Skyline	182.0
12	Ronan MacArthur	16:41.3	Brighton	181.2
11	Garrett Comer	16:43.8	Ann Arbor Skyline	180.4
11	Hudson McCleskey	16:53.4	Dexter	177.2
11	Ian Bozung	17:01.9	Okemos	174.4
12	Jackson Gast	17:02.2	East Lansing	174.3
11	Dayton VanderMoere	17:04.4	Grand Ledge	173.5
10	Grayson Diadiun	17:05.0	Howell	173.3
11	Lincoln Morden	17:07.5	Grand Ledge	172.5
11	Trevon Johnson	17:09.4	Holt	171.9
11	Brady Klementowski	17:11.2	South Lyon	171.3
11	Caleb DeLand	17:11.4	Howell	171.2
10	Nicholas Reiser	17:12.1	Dexter	171.0
12	Nicholas Hoffman	17:12.3	Dexter	170.9
9	Hayden Volz	17:12.7	Okemos	170.8
10	Ben Myers	17:13.4	East Lansing	170.5
10	Ryan Cooper	17:14.1	South Lyon	170.3
11	Quentin McRae	17:15.5	Dexter	169.8
11	Jake Volz	17:15.7	Okemos	169.8
10	Easton Howell	17:16.1	Dexter	169.6
11	Boston Conn	17:26.2	Howell	166.3
10	Landon Seiloff	17:27.4	Lansing Waverly	165.9
9	Quentin White	17:29.8	Holt	165.1
12	Gavin Esper	17:30.0	Howell	165.0
10	Langston Waite	17:32.2	East Lansing	164.3
10	Bryce Schuh	17:36.3	Holt	162.9
9	Ryan Muston	17:40.2	South Lyon East	161.6
10	Jonah Gray	17:41.9	East Lansing	161.0
9	Hudson Doll	17:42.1	Ann Arbor Skyline	161.0
9	Jack Maher	17:42.1	South Lyon East	161.0
10	Alejandro Nagy	17:50.1	East Lansing	158.3
10	Reece Grafius	17:51.7	Mason	157.8
11	Soren Nicoloff	17:52.2	South Lyon	157.6
11	Aiden Giancotti	18:04.7	Holt	153.4
10	Gage Ervin	18:04.7	Mason	153.4
9	Gavin Gause	18:08.9	Holt	152.0
12	Grant Lange	18:11.2	Mason	151.3
12	Bryson White	18:11.5	Jackson	151.2
11	Jeremiah Delagarza	18:13.8	Lansing Everett	150.4
11	Adryan Estrada	18:16.1	Mason	149.6
11	Nathan Mann	18:21.1	South Lyon	148.0
11	Isaac Kim	18:22.3	South Lyon East	147.6
10	Easton Mascaro	18:27.4	South Lyon East	145.9
10	Alex Graham	18:31.7	South Lyon East	144.4
12	Henry Epler	18:42.7	South Lyon	140.8
12	Mason Becker	18:46.3	Jackson	139.6
10	Brody Pulling	18:53.1	Mason	137.3
11	Thaddeus Overley	18:56.8	Lansing Waverly	136.1
11	Hayden Brown	18:57.0	South Lyon East	136.0
12	Adam Foster	18:57.1	Mason	136.0
12	Connor Fochtman	18:59.1	Okemos	135.3
10	Colin Scott	19:12.5	Mason	130.8
10	Cruz Torrez	19:21.9	Lansing Waverly	127.7
9	Kyle Gallinat	19:23.6	South Lyon	127.1
10	Devion Dillard	19:27.2	Lansing Everett	125.9
11	Kort’e McKenzie	19:27.9	Lansing Everett	125.7
10	Peyton Deyo	19:28.9	Lansing Waverly	125.4
12	Dawson Dixon	19:38.3	Jackson	122.2
11	Connor Deyo	19:42.1	Lansing Waverly	121.0
10	Gabe Walter	19:46.4	South Lyon	119.5
12	Matt Moilanen	20:27.7	Jackson	105.8
10	Paul Tran	20:34.6	Lansing Waverly	103.5
9	Brentton Johnson	20:48.3	Lansing Waverly	98.9
11	Jalen Ross	21:28.6	Flint Carman-Ainsworth	85.5
10	Hunter Crosthwaite	21:36.9	Lansing Everett	82.7
12	Isaac Armbruster	21:46.8	Lansing Everett	79.4
11	Jeron Maclin	22:11.1	Flint Carman-Ainsworth	71.3
12	Vincent Arnold	22:12.4	Lansing Everett	70.9
9	Tayvell Graham	24:11.2	Jackson	31.3

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Thomas Larson	15:25.5	Alma	205.5
12	Edison Lopeman	15:33.2	Parma Western	202.9
11	Ezekiel Baltierra	15:37.8	Alma	201.4
10	Duncan Palmer	15:52.1	Williamston	196.6
11	Ryan Good	15:55.4	Parma Western	195.5
12	Aiden Marple	16:10.0	DeWitt	190.7
9	Logan Cristian	16:15.5	Parma Western	188.8
12	Raymond Herek	16:21.9	Williamston	186.7
10	Teddy Weber	16:24.8	Williamston	185.7
12	Reagan Ward	16:24.9	St. Johns	185.7
10	Liam Dewitt	16:30.1	Haslett	184.0
9	Nico Lebron	16:39.5	Alma	180.8
11	Ariston Dallas	16:40.3	Owosso	180.6
11	Kevin Terpstra	16:41.3	Alma	180.2
9	Livio Muzzin	16:42.5	DeWitt	179.8
12	Luca Lebron	16:44.7	Alma	179.1
9	Leonidas Erfourth	16:46.0	Owosso	178.7
10	Roan VanSumeren	16:46.0	Parma Western	178.7
12	Braylon Lenneman	16:52.2	DeWitt	176.6
11	Will Chelotti	16:52.3	DeWitt	176.6
11	Caleb Lynd	16:57.8	Parma Western	174.7
12	Elijah Baltierra	16:58.7	Alma	174.4
10	Samuel Johnson	17:00.9	Alma	173.7
9	Leland Sowle	17:00.9	Parma Western	173.7
9	Micah Good	17:01.1	Parma Western	173.6
11	Sawyer Zeman	17:03.5	Haslett	172.8
11	Silas Shepherd	17:06.5	Jackson Northwest	171.8
12	Levi Dutton	17:10.3	Fowlerville	170.6
9	Connor Ford	17:12.8	Corunna	169.7
11	Kai Miller	17:13.4	Owosso	169.5
10	Isaiah Cates	17:13.7	Haslett	169.4
10	Christian LeConte	17:22.2	Owosso	166.6
10	Ty Inglis	17:24.8	DeWitt	165.7
10	Brady Rappuhn	17:24.8	Owosso	165.7
9	Max Bobeda	17:32.4	DeWitt	163.2
11	Colin Booms	17:35.1	Haslett	162.3
11	McKinley Springer	17:35.9	Corunna	162.0
12	Carter Banfield	17:45.2	Fowlerville	158.9
10	Alec Hoy	17:48.5	St. Johns	157.8
12	Payton Chandler	17:53.2	Corunna	156.3
10	Samuel Baade	17:55.1	Owosso	155.6
10	Elliott Cook	17:56.9	St. Johns	155.0
11	Kodi Rose	18:09.7	Haslett	150.8
12	Jesse Dodge	18:21.7	Corunna	146.8
11	Chase Lawrence	18:22.0	Jackson Northwest	146.7
11	Matthew Austin	18:23.2	DeWitt	146.3
9	Jesse Thomas	18:25.2	St. Johns	145.6
11	Ezekiel Beach	18:26.0	Fowlerville	145.3
9	Adam Whitney	18:26.8	Jackson Northwest	145.1
11	Adam Weston	18:31.8	Williamston	143.4
12	Hayden Rogers	18:38.5	Williamston	141.2
11	Caeden Gwinn	18:39.6	Corunna	140.8
10	Alex Florian	18:48.2	Eaton Rapids	137.9
12	Landon Pershell	18:51.3	Williamston	136.9
11	Alex Loomis	18:51.6	Fowlerville	136.8
12	Liam Weir	18:52.1	Owosso	136.6
11	Andrew Russell	18:54.6	Haslett	135.8
10	Momodou Ndiaye	18:54.7	Lansing Eastern	135.8
11	Jake Acker	18:56.2	Haslett	135.3
9	Jack Duffy	18:56.8	Williamston	135.1
11	Evan Billings	18:59.1	St. Johns	134.3
12	Brennan Parker	19:00.0	Corunna	134.0
12	Lucas St Martin	19:02.2	Fowlerville	133.3
11	Kevin Sebrell	19:05.3	Eaton Rapids	132.2
11	Connell Hardenbrook	19:05.9	Fowlerville	132.0
10	London Coreart	19:08.2	Charlotte	131.3
12	Arthur Nystrom	19:11.8	Fowlerville	130.1
11	Tanner Dingman	19:31.8	Eaton Rapids	123.4
9	Andrew Miller	19:35.6	St. Johns	122.1
9	Lucas Heid	19:53.6	Corunna	116.1
10	Elliott Worsley	19:54.7	St. Johns	115.8
9	Gibson Goodrich	20:10.8	Jackson Northwest	110.4
11	Brayden Pepper	20:20.5	Michigan Center	107.2
9	Kolbe Uphaus	20:22.6	Jackson Northwest	106.5
12	Ricky Popp	20:26.1	Charlotte	105.3
12	Braden Koos	20:45.3	Charlotte	98.9
12	Grant Conley	20:55.7	Charlotte	95.4
11	Alex Holmes	20:57.6	Lansing Eastern	94.8
9	Mattox Keathley	21:03.0	Jackson Northwest	93.0
12	Griffin Mathews	21:09.3	Jackson Northwest	90.9
10	Charles Gronberg	21:09.8	Charlotte	90.7
9	Torin McNabb	21:28.8	Eaton Rapids	84.4
11	Landon Lonn	21:43.3	Eaton Rapids	79.6
11	Josh Chamberlin	21:51.7	Charlotte	76.8
9	Jahreim Phillip	22:01.9	Charlotte	73.4
9	Anthony Stewart	23:07.3	Michigan Center	51.6
12	Owen Hunt	23:13.8	Michigan Center	49.4
12	Robert Hill	23:20.0	Michigan Center	47.3
10	Caleb Roehm	23:39.6	Lansing Sexton	40.8
11	Asher Froebe	23:41.3	Lansing Eastern	40.2
12	Lebron Stitt	24:26.0	Lansing Sexton	25.3
11	Colm Kinne	25:02.4	Lansing Eastern	13.2
12	Evan Feldpausch	25:17.1	Lansing Eastern	8.3

My favorite and most controversial posts of the year!

The rankings and ratings from each race and each week are one aspect of the work that I do, this is another. These take those ratings and the variability from a runner’s resume, then apply that to a projection.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

At the regional level, the projections were pretty darn accurate. I gave qualifying odds for the top-3 spots and ended up thinking I’d be accurate on 198 of the teams, the final total ended up being 197. The State level was a different story, where a few wholly unexpected teams hit the podium.

With that in mind, these simulations are a bit different than last year. Last year’s sample filtered out a runner’s lesser performances, which was fine in the regional setting, but didn’t account for the otherworldly MIS efforts that the Saline/Saugatuck boys had. In an attempt to capture more of the variant State Final performances, the samples for 2025 contain all of the invites and championship meets, hopefully giving more of an idea of how one performs when going to the well.

I should also mention that in order to be included, a runner had to take part in a rated race over the past 4 weeks. This will attempt to account for injuries.

Hopefully these can give an accurate portrayal of what’s to come, help with a little added motivation, or give a calming confidence. As accurate as they potentially could be, I live for the tales of the underdogs and look forward to hearing about (respectfully, of course) those unseen triumphs.

Your D1 Regional Projections…

GIRLS MID-SEASON PROJECTIONS
BOYS MID-SEASON PROJECTIONS
GIRLS SUMMER PROJECTIONS
BOYS SUMMER PROJECTIONS

I have to warn you. All of the writeups below concern the boys’ races. It’s not as if I don’t care about the girls, I think my volume of work over the years more than speaks for itself. But in many cases, the places appear to be set in stone. In others, the guys projections are more chaotic.

What this also means is that when an unexpected win or qualifier occurs, it’ll be the story of that region or even the division. Check back on Sunday to see who defied the math.

REGION 1

Any Big Battles?

Can a Hudsonville or a Forest Hills Northern pull the upset?

All year, both Grand Haven and Rockford have been a bit of a step above. Their team averages per meet are among the highest of the four teams. At Portage, the two squads finished ahead of Hudsonville and FHN.

But the gap is closing with Hudsonville, who in the OK Red Championship, were 15 points back of Rockford and a mere 6 away from Grand Haven. All of the Eagle scorers found a PR on the Riverside Park course, a definite boost heading into regional action.

Forest Hills Northern will hope for the same breakthrough, having all of their OK White Championship scorers at 17-flat or below.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Hudsonville	49	1.3	77	95+
2	Jenison	64	2.2	18	95+
3	Rockford	69	2.6	5	95+
4	Forest Hills Northern	96	3.9		7
5	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	138	5.3
6	Grand Haven	154	5.8
7	Grandville	205	7.1
8	Greenville	234	8.4
9	Muskegon Mona Shores	235	8.5
10	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	273	10.4
11	Grand Rapids Northview	276	10.5
12	Grand Rapids Union	393	12.0
13	Wyoming	424	13.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Jenison	60	1.0	95+	95+
2	Rockford	94	2.6		88
3	Grand Haven	98	3.0		75
4	Hudsonville	114	4.2		28
5	Grandville	123	5.0
6	Forest Hills Northern	128	5.3		6
7	Grand Rapids Northview	160	7.0
8	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	205	8.4
9	Greenville	211	8.6
10	Muskegon Mona Shores	259	10.0
11	Grand Rapids Union	326	11.0
12	Wyoming	371	12.2
13	Muskegon	402	13.4
14	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	406	13.5

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Cassie Karasinski	Hudsonville	1.5
2	9	Grace Snyder	Hudsonville	2.9
3	11	Paige McMeans	Jenison	3.1
4	11	Daisy Cox	Rockford	5.4
5	10	Morgan Sanders	Rockford	7.4
6	12	Gracelin Martin	Greenville	7.5
7	11	Chloe Purwin	Hudsonville	8.0
8	10	Madeline Aleisa	Jenison	8.9
9	9	Lexie Snyder	Hudsonville	11.2
10	11	Madeleine Hengeveld	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	11.6
11	10	Jillian Lewakowski	Rockford	12.1
12	10	Jaclyn Charbauski	Forest Hills Northern	13.9
13	12	Cianah Budnik-Ramos	Grand Haven	14.0
14	12	Willa Prinsen	Forest Hills Northern	14.2
15	9	Emma Storey	Jenison	16.7
16	11	Rae Defrang	Rockford	17.2
17	10	Cecelia Wojciakowski	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	17.3
18	12	Mackenzie Conner	Jenison	18.3
19	12	Jersi Bilek	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	19.9
20	10	Mackenzie VanStensel	Grand Rapids Northview	20.4
21	9	Gwyn Faber	Forest Hills Northern	21.1
22	12	Andrea Schwartz	Jenison	23.1
23	12	Macy Guikema	Jenison	23.5
24	10	Amelia Danian	Forest Hills Northern	24.8
25	9	Ariana Elzinga	Grandville	25.3
26	11	Abigail Simpson	Forest Hills Northern	25.7
27	9	Sidney Eaton	Hudsonville	27.0
28	10	Claire Watson	Rockford	27.8
29	9	Camryn Gervais	Grand Haven	29.6
30	11	Reese Defrang	Rockford	30.7

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Caden Livermore	Grandville	1.3
2	11	Luka Hammond	Grand Haven	1.8
3	12	Aron Gal	Grand Haven	5.3
4	12	Kelton Hoover	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	6.5
5	11	Josiah Derksen	Rockford	7.2
6	11	Bradley Smies	Hudsonville	7.9
7	10	Chase Sherman	Jenison	9.6
8	12	Liam Bingman	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	10.1
9	12	Jacob McDaniel	Grandville	10.2
10	12	Nolan Wenglikowski	Jenison	11.0
11	10	Carter Cooke	Jenison	11.2
12	11	Ethan Burks	Jenison	12.1
13	12	Rhys Holmes	Grand Rapids Northview	16.3
14	10	Luke Bultman	Rockford	16.4
15	12	Hayden Lafferty	Rockford	16.6
16	12	Preston VanOeffelen	Greenville	16.6
17	12	Caleb TeBrake	Grand Rapids Northview	17.9
18	12	Austin Van Ek	Hudsonville	18.0
19	10	Caleb Conner	Jenison	18.3
20	12	Philip Chamberlain	Forest Hills Northern	19.2
21	9	Archer Verhage	Grand Haven	19.6
22	11	Noah Watson	Rockford	20.0
23	9	Sullivan Oberg	Jenison	21.3
24	12	Gabriel Williams	Forest Hills Northern	21.6
25	12	Myles Hendel	Jenison	25.1
26	12	John Truong	Forest Hills Northern	26.2
27	12	Simon Faber	Forest Hills Northern	26.8
28	12	Lucas Dykhouse	Hudsonville	29.4
29	12	Aidan Vermeulen	Hudsonville	30.8
30	11	Aaron Ebels	Grandville	30.9

REGION 2

Any Big Battles?

One of the more chaotic and top-heavy regions you’ll see.

Midland is probably safe. They’ve got seven guys that could score on any of the other teams. Milford is Milford, racing on occasion and being a constant bane of my existence with regard to ratings. Toeing the line on such few instances means that the LVC and Oakland County Championships weigh heavily. The Mavericks won the latter in a rout, beating the closest competition by nearly 40 points. Yet, there’s a world where they don’t advance out of this banger.

Why? Because Traverse City West, Grand Blanc, and Traverse City Central all have teams with top-fives under 17-flat. Central may be a bit underrated, as the most recent major meet for the Trojans involved an upset win over West. The Titans might need to capture a bit of their early-season magic, such as a Pete Moss race where their 4^th and 5^th runners hit PRs. And Grand Blanc KNOWS they can find their best when traveling to mid-Michigan, as the Bobcats can point to a Bluejay race where they cleared TC Central by 45 points.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Traverse City West	68	1.2	86	95+
2	Hartland	90	2.0	12	95+
3	Traverse City Central	119	3.4		60
4	H.H. Dow	128	3.8		36
5	Bay City Western	155	5.1		6
6	Grand Blanc	177	6.4
7	Mt. Pleasant	198	7.4
8	Lapeer	199	7.6
9	Highland-Milford	225	8.8
10	Holly	245	9.9
11	Midland	267	11.0
12	Davison	276	11.4
13	Alpena	366	13.5
14	Flushing	371	13.6
15	Saginaw Heritage	420	15.0
16	Swartz Creek	500	16.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Midland	67	1.2	81	95+
2	Highland-Milford	95	2.9	9	69
3	Traverse City West	106	3.5	6	43
4	Grand Blanc	106	3.5		49
5	Traverse City Central	117	4.0		39
6	Saginaw Heritage	173	6.6
7	Davison	177	6.8
8	Holly	190	7.5
9	Alpena	260	9.9
10	Hartland	261	9.9
11	Midland Dow	271	10.3
12	Mt. Pleasant	345	12.6
13	Flushing	347	12.6
14	Lapeer	382	13.8
15	Swartz Creek	436	15.1
16	Bay City Western	479	15.9

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Emilia Garces	H.H. Dow	1.4
2	11	Maddie Lindley	Holly	2.3
3	11	Tessa Mascari	Traverse City West	2.9
4	12	Elliana Neuer	Hartland	5.1
5	9	Kaitlyn Berg	Midland	5.5
6	11	Ava Goodman	Hartland	9.4
7	12	Abby Veit	Traverse City West	10.5
8	9	Cecelia Jacobson	Traverse City Central	12.5
9	11	Lydia Powers	Lapeer	13.2
10	12	Lilah Weber	Lapeer	13.3
11	12	Payton Lamb	Traverse City West	13.7
12	10	Julia Bambach	Holly	14.2
13	9	Grace Meyers	Bay City Western	14.9
14	11	Micali Teeple	Grand Blanc	19.0
15	12	Sophia Nunnery	Hartland	19.4
16	9	Lilly Pierce	Mt. Pleasant	20.0
17	12	Sienna Cobb	Traverse City Central	21.3
18	10	Emily Truszkowski	Traverse City Central	22.5
19	12	Peyton Tucker	Traverse City West	23.3
20	10	Jessa Skonieczny	Mt. Pleasant	23.5
21	9	Autumn Luick	H.H. Dow	23.6
22	12	Nevaeh Polovina	Davison	24.2
23	12	Reese Smith	Traverse City West	24.6
24	10	Leighton Basile	Traverse City West	25.1
25	9	Brielle Bastionell	Hartland	26.3
26	10	Kelly Comfort	Traverse City Central	27.0
27	11	Taylor Vogel	Highland-Milford	28.6
28	11	Jaclyn Suderman	Bay City Western	28.6
29	12	Mallory Wilcox	Bay City Western	29.9
30	10	Leah Humphrey	Grand Blanc	31.4

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Kyle O’Rourke	Highland-Milford	1.7
2	10	Todd Tobin	Highland-Milford	4.5
3	9	Tommy McCormick	Grand Blanc	5.2
4	12	Caleb Keller	Traverse City Central	5.9
5	10	Alexander Allen	Alpena	6.6
6	11	Broden Ladd	Holly	7.1
7	11	Cameron Cochran	Midland	9.4
8	11	Evan Fox	Traverse City Central	9.7
9	12	Hayden Murray	Traverse City West	12.0
10	11	Logan Gessford	Midland	12.0
11	12	Jack Steen	Traverse City Central	13.3
12	11	Liam Wierzba	Traverse City West	14.9
13	12	Andrew Worsley	Midland	15.2
14	12	Luke James	Midland	16.3
15	12	Logan Bellinger	Midland	16.6
16	10	Elliot King	Midland	20.2
17	12	William Dean	Grand Blanc	21.2
18	12	Gannon Wheeler	Highland-Milford	21.3
19	12	John Blaskowski	Saginaw Heritage	22.6
20	12	Noah Linstrom	Davison	22.7
21	10	Finn-Frost Grayson	Traverse City West	22.9
22	10	Cole Heikka	Holly	23.2
23	12	Griffin Good	Flushing	26.1
24	11	Levi Mayer	Davison	28.2
25	12	Maximillian Bladzik	Grand Blanc	29.2
26	11	Connor O’Reilly	Davison	30.5
27	9	Austin Hughes	Traverse City West	30.7
28	9	Aiden Doggett	Highland-Milford	30.8
29	11	Matthew Wortley	Saginaw Heritage	30.9
30	12	Charlie Smith	Grand Blanc	31.0

REGION 3

Any Big Battles?

This is the chaos region.

From the League Week Rankings, you have:

#3 Lowell – RCA Champions
#4 Kalamazoo Central – SMAC Champions
#10 Portage Central – home course advantage
#14 Caledonia – OK Green Champions
#15 Zeeland West – OK Black Champions
#18 East Kentwood – OK Red Champions
#21 Holland West Ottawa – winner of the first OK Red Jamboree

All championship squads or those who’ve shown they can race at a championship level.

There are always scenarios where the 4^th team has 4 boys in the top-20, but when a field is so elite, that percentage is quite low. As a result, at least four deserving teams will have their season end.

At leeeeeast most of these squads were at Portage, which can give you a picture of how this chaos might play out:

Or it can point to a scenario where Portage Central, Caledonia, and East Kentwood use revenge as a factor in advancing through this utter gauntlet.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Holland West Ottawa	44	1.0	95+	95+
2	Portage Central	78	2.0		95+
3	Zeeland East	103	3.0		95+
4	Zeeland West	133	4.0
5	Byron Center	186	6.2
6	Portage Northern	190	6.2
7	Caledonia	192	6.4
8	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	217	8.3
9	Forest Hills Central	220	8.8
10	Battle Creek Lakeview	241	9.9
11	East Kentwood	250	10.6
12	Lowell	306	12.1
13	Mattawan	331	12.7
14	Kalamazoo Central	402	14.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Kalamazoo Central	74	1.5	57	95+
2	Lowell	77	1.7	42	95+
3	Zeeland West	129	4.2		34
4	Caledonia	133	4.6		39
5	East Kentwood	136	4.7		12
6	Portage Central	141	5.2		16
7	Holland West Ottawa	156	6.4
8	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	194	8.4
9	Battle Creek Lakeview	201	8.6
10	Mattawan	232	10.0
11	Forest Hills Central	273	11.0
12	Byron Center	320	12.2
13	Portage Northern	352	13.1
14	Zeeland East	375	13.6

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Ainsley Kelm	Portage Northern	1.7
2	10	Adalyn Raab	Zeeland East	3.1
3	12	Lilah Yoder	Forest Hills Central	3.2
4	12	Ava Porras	Holland West Ottawa	3.7
5	11	Collette Wierks	Holland West Ottawa	5.0
6	10	Mary Dolbow	Holland West Ottawa	8.0
7	12	Olivia Stacy	Portage Northern	8.3
8	12	Ava Lawrence	East Kentwood	8.4
9	10	Avery Scott	Portage Central	9.4
10	10	Gracie Carlisle	Portage Central	10.2
11	11	Lyla Dowling	Holland West Ottawa	10.8
12	9	Hailey Sieler	Forest Hills Central	10.8
13	10	Caralyn Elkins	Zeeland West	12.0
14	10	Julia Welc	Portage Central	16.0
15	11	Ella Wierks	Holland West Ottawa	16.6
16	12	Kailey Mann	Byron Center	18.3
17	12	Taryn DiLaura	Zeeland East	18.4
18	11	Akaela Daman	Caledonia	18.5
19	12	Rhea Mouw	Portage Central	21.5
20	12	Megan Kuzma	Zeeland East	21.6
21	10	Claire Mouw	Portage Central	22.7
22	9	Tessa Albrecht	Zeeland West	23.5
23	10	Chloe Powers	Holland West Ottawa	24.2
24	11	Kaila Keeler	Zeeland West	25.7
25	11	Delilah Marquez	Holland West Ottawa	26.3
26	9	Londyn Schmidt	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	27.6
27	9	Maddison Guy	Portage Central	28.9
28	12	Evie Kleinheksel	Zeeland West	29.7
29	12	Meredith Cook	Zeeland East	30.9
30	11	Olivia Storteboom	Portage Central	30.9

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Marshall Huhn	Lowell	3.0
2	11	Justin Johnson	East Kentwood	3.8
3	12	Jackson Lam	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	4.5
4	11	Matii Tarekegn	East Kentwood	5.4
5	12	Andrew Wright	Kalamazoo Central	5.8
6	11	Samuel Baker	Kalamazoo Central	6.8
7	9	Avi Elabed	Lowell	8.6
8	12	Owen Fisher	Mattawan	9.1
9	12	Noah Johnston	Caledonia	10.1
10	12	Cooper Byrne	Lowell	11.7
11	12	Ty Billings	Kalamazoo Central	12.6
12	12	Keagan Smith	Zeeland West	14.3
13	10	Bennett Snapper	Caledonia	14.8
14	12	Marcel Stork	Mattawan	16.9
15	11	Tristan Zhang	Portage Central	18.1
16	10	Karson Lewis	Battle Creek Lakeview	18.7
17	12	Owen Gifford	Portage Central	19.1
18	9	Tanner Smith	Zeeland West	20.5
19	12	Elijah Thompson	Kalamazoo Central	20.8
20	12	Rob Dodd	Zeeland West	21.4
21	10	Marcus Essling	Portage Central	25.4
22	12	Gavin O’Meara	Forest Hills Central	25.7
23	12	Logan Westgate	Portage Central	26.1
24	12	Nicolas Morales – Sanchez	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	26.3
25	12	Jake Follett	Holland West Ottawa	26.9
26	11	Cody Bromley	Lowell	27.5
27	10	Elijah Demlow	Battle Creek Lakeview	27.7
28	9	Tyler Bromley	Lowell	29.4
29	11	Boston Wilkinson	Holland West Ottawa	31.6
30	10	Sean Thompson	Caledonia	32.6

REGION 4

Any Big Battles?

Brighton is the traditional power throughout time. Team Champs in 2019 and 2021, typically always a top-ten team in D1. Ann Arbor Skyline is a program finding its footing. The ups and downs of the new school are generally trending up and you can see where the vision will lead in the near future. Grand Ledge is having the year, a band of upperclassmen making memories and winning championships.

Centering around Brighton, there are a few common competitions. One major one was in early September on the Averill hills, the Bulldogs having the upper hand over the Comets. The difference there was most evident at the fifth spot, Brighton holding a 10 sec. advantage over their GL counterparts.

Even though I think the Averill ratings are a bit undervalued, that wasn’t the best effort of the year from either team. For Grand Ledge, that might be from Bluejay, where all five scorers were sub-16:35 and for Brighton, that could be Gabriel Richard, where it was all orange under 16:15.

Neither of the squads have had the absolute high of Skyline, who at Holly were able to defeat a crowd of ranked teams. Climbing the Holly hills were a pack of Eagles, their first four ripping 16:30’s and below. It’s been awhile since they’ve reached that level, but it exists.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Brighton	38	1.0	95+	95+
2	Ann Arbor Skyline	65	2.3		95+
3	Okemos	74	2.7		95+
4	Grand Ledge	134	4.4
5	Howell	149	5.5
6	Mason	156	6.0
7	Dexter	169	6.9
8	East Lansing	175	7.3
9	South Lyon	246	9.3
10	South Lyon East	265	9.7
11	Holt	327	11.1
12	Jackson	346	11.9
13	Lansing Waverly	432	13.0
14	Lansing Everett	443	14.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Grand Ledge	67	1.7	49	95+
2	Brighton	67	1.8	37	95+
3	Ann Arbor Skyline	80	2.6	14	95+
4	Dexter	138	4.7
5	East Lansing	150	5.8
6	Howell	150	5.9
7	Okemos	151	5.9
8	Holt	176	7.8
9	South Lyon East	256	9.1
10	South Lyon	286	10.1
11	Mason	302	10.8
12	Lansing Waverly	364	12.1
13	Lansing Everett	400	13.3
14	Jackson	405	13.6

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Rachel Smith	Okemos	1.1
2	12	Lydia LaMarra	Brighton	2.9
3	10	Ella Lorenz	Brighton	3.5
4	12	October Harns	Okemos	4.1
5	12	Aviana Skinner	Grand Ledge	6.8
6	10	Lucia Llanes	Ann Arbor Skyline	8.1
7	12	Juliet Lewis	Brighton	10.1
8	12	Courtney Lince	Brighton	10.6
9	11	Isla Tharp	Ann Arbor Skyline	10.6
10	12	Selena White	Brighton	12.9
11	10	Ruby Petee	Mason	13.0
12	11	Becca Van Lent	Ann Arbor Skyline	14.7
13	10	Lila Edison	Ann Arbor Skyline	15.2
14	10	Jorga Wooledge	Mason	15.6
15	12	Fiona Whitmyer	Okemos	18.0
16	12	Elizabeth Schafer	Okemos	18.1
17	11	Kodie Snyder	Dexter	19.0
18	9	Brooke Wallace	Howell	19.2
19	12	Lydia Jagger	Grand Ledge	19.7
20	11	Ashley Lubowicki	Brighton	19.8
21	12	Adrienne Stewart	Ann Arbor Skyline	20.2
22	9	Olive DiMassa	Howell	20.3
23	12	Annie Hamilton	Brighton	23.4
24	10	Emily Barrie	East Lansing	25.3
25	9	Ava Montero	Grand Ledge	25.7
26	11	Anna Halliday	Howell	26.6
27	11	Morgan Allen	Mason	26.7
28	10	Violet Olley	Ann Arbor Skyline	27.3
29	11	Gwen Stotts-Walshe	Ann Arbor Skyline	28.2
30	12	Amelia Cribbins	Dexter	30.6

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Jack MacGregor	Howell	1.4
2	12	Ian Morgan	Okemos	1.7
3	11	Coen Hill	Dexter	3.6
4	12	Zach Wyderko	Brighton	5.4
5	10	Rylen Richey	Grand Ledge	6.7
6	11	Blake Kulesza	Brighton	7.5
7	10	Nikhil Ball	South Lyon East	10.3
8	12	Liam Preisser	East Lansing	11.3
9	12	Benjamin Rottier	Grand Ledge	12.0
10	11	Caelan Marsh	Grand Ledge	12.6
11	10	Rem Piper	Holt	12.9
12	12	Adrian Abbott-Wallace	Holt	13.6
13	10	Martin Gehrke	Ann Arbor Skyline	14.1
14	9	Hudson Doll	Ann Arbor Skyline	14.6
15	11	Matthew Guikema	Ann Arbor Skyline	16.1
16	11	Nolan Lounds	Grand Ledge	17.5
17	12	Alex McKennon	Grand Ledge	18.0
18	10	Oskar MacArthur	Ann Arbor Skyline	19.7
19	12	Bruno Cifaldi	Ann Arbor Skyline	19.7
20	10	Brendan Williams	Brighton	19.7
21	12	Evan Cummings	Brighton	20.1
22	10	Roarke MacArthur	Brighton	21.1
23	11	Nick Martens	Dexter	22.0
24	9	Josh Keillor-Beale	Brighton	22.7
25	12	Malcolm Cesario	Okemos	24.5
26	11	Garrett Comer	Ann Arbor Skyline	25.0
27	10	Alex Weller	Howell	26.4
28	10	Kilian Boulware-Lopez	East Lansing	26.6
29	9	Grant Kulesza	Brighton	29.3
30	11	David DeLand	Howell	30.1

REGION 5

Any Big Battles?

Woodhaven vs. history. If it comes to fruition, it would be the first ever state qualifier for the Warrior Boys. Individual runner-ups, many News-Herald champs, plenty of All-Staters, and those who went onto run in college. But no team. There’ve been a few occasions throughout the year where the purple crew has solidified their standing. Otsego is the most prominent, when the Warriors placed 3^rd in the D1 field, six boys crossing the line in a sub-17.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Ann Arbor Pioneer	17	1.0	95+	95+
2	Saline	64	2.3		95+
3	Brownstown Woodhaven	70	2.7		95+
4	Gibraltar Carlson	131	4.1
5	Temperance Bedford	153	5.0
6	Wyandotte Roosevelt	190	6.1
7	Dearborn Fordson	213	6.9
8	Dearborn	266	8.3
9	Monroe	293	9.8
10	Allen Park	293	9.8
11	Belleville	307	10.9
12	Ypsilanti Lincoln	318	11.8
13	Ypsilanti Community	336	13.0
14	Southgate Anderson	344	13.3
15	Detroit Martin Luther King	469	15.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Ann Arbor Pioneer	32	1.0	95+	95+
2	Brownstown Woodhaven	63	2.4		95+
3	Saline	68	2.6		95+
4	Temperance Bedford	146	4.1
5	Wyandotte Roosevelt	172	5.1
6	Monroe	200	6.6
7	Dearborn Fordson	214	7.7
8	Allen Park	218	7.7
9	Dearborn	232	8.9
10	Gibraltar Carlson	235	9.1
11	Ypsilanti Community	299	11.0
12	Southgate Anderson	342	12.2
13	Dearborn Edsel Ford	374	13.4
14	Belleville	378	13.4
15	Ypsilanti Lincoln	447	15.2
16	Lincoln Park	466	15.8
17	Detroit Cass Tech	513	17.0

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Natasza Dudek	Ann Arbor Pioneer	1.0
2	10	Sienna Klemmer	Ann Arbor Pioneer	2.2
3	9	Keira Von Blon	Ann Arbor Pioneer	3.4
4	12	Hana Boggess	Ann Arbor Pioneer	3.9
5	10	Savannah Staton	Saline	4.9
6	11	Lizzie Wernimont	Ann Arbor Pioneer	7.7
7	12	Lilli Schlack	Saline	8.2
8	11	Nina Moore	Ann Arbor Pioneer	9.0
9	9	Audrey Grosteffon	Temperance Bedford	10.2
10	10	Adelynn Turck	Saline	11.1
11	10	Charley McKay	Brownstown Woodhaven	11.2
12	9	Laura Forsyth	Ann Arbor Pioneer	11.4
13	11	Hope Noal	Brownstown Woodhaven	12.2
14	10	Annabelle Chan	Brownstown Woodhaven	13.4
15	12	Eleanor Grant	Wyandotte Roosevelt	13.5
16	10	Alexis Kmiecik	Brownstown Woodhaven	17.3
17	10	Jaelynn Greene	Brownstown Woodhaven	18.2
18	10	Giada Fioritto	Gibraltar Carlson	19.0
19	9	Caroline Cotner	Saline	19.4
20	9	Madison Slade	Gibraltar Carlson	20.4
21	12	Elliana Perugi	Brownstown Woodhaven	21.6
22	9	Lauren Tomaszewski	Saline	22.1
23	11	Sophie Roth	Saline	23.5
24	11	Sophia Johnson	Temperance Bedford	24.2
25	9	Serenity Clancy	Brownstown Woodhaven	25.0
26	12	Mahalia Staton	Saline	26.7
27	9	Ada Cain	Gibraltar Carlson	29.2
28	11	Maya Elachkar	Dearborn Fordson	29.6
29	10	Livia Boucher	Gibraltar Carlson	30.5
30	9	Emma Puscas	Wyandotte Roosevelt	30.9

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Kamari Ronfeldt	Ann Arbor Pioneer	1.3
2	12	Beckett Crooks	Ann Arbor Pioneer	1.9
3	10	Mourad Algahmi	Dearborn Fordson	3.7
4	11	Jacob Szalay	Saline	5.3
5	12	Thomas DeJesus	Ann Arbor Pioneer	6.4
6	12	Pierce Scheffler	Brownstown Woodhaven	7.2
7	12	Brennan Larusso	Saline	9.3
8	12	Theo Sacks Thomas	Ann Arbor Pioneer	9.3
9	12	Alex Vazquez	Brownstown Woodhaven	11.8
10	11	Noah Amori	Wyandotte Roosevelt	11.9
11	JR	Noah Amori	Brownstown Woodhaven	12.8
12	11	Cameron Varner	Temperance Bedford	13.0
13	11	Vincent Jones	Brownstown Woodhaven	13.5
14	11	Colin Courage	Ann Arbor Pioneer	13.7
15	12	Dane Hieronimus	Temperance Bedford	14.5
16	11	Jacob Cole	Saline	16.5
17	11	Rami Bazzi	Dearborn	18.0
18	11	Walker Ledbetter	Ann Arbor Pioneer	18.0
19	11	Calen Alexander	Brownstown Woodhaven	19.2
20	10	Asher Sikma	Ann Arbor Pioneer	19.3
21	10	Wes Rogan	Saline	20.3
22	11	Ryan Rummel	Saline	24.7
23	9	Gavin Bast	Saline	24.8
24	10	Zachary Greene	Wyandotte Roosevelt	25.5
25	11	Carter Mitton	Saline	27.0
26	12	Owen Putz	Brownstown Woodhaven	27.6
27	12	Abdu Eljahmi	Dearborn Edsel Ford	28.0
28	11	Maddi Duke	Temperance Bedford	28.4
29	9	Jaden Hill	Allen Park	28.6
30	11	Mohamed Aljahmi	Dearborn Fordson	29.0

REGION 6

Any Big Battles?

Don’t worry, all the schools are included. Aiden Pengelly, quietly on the comeback trail from track, will look to claim another individual championship for Canton. I wouldn’t sleep on Austin Mercado, the Salem junior who is progressing quite quickly.

It’s likely gonna be between Plymouth and Salem for the team title. Plymouth is on its traditional late season rise, hoping to spoil the Rocks, who’ve been at the forefront of Wayne County all season.

Back here in early October, Salem placed six boys under the 17 min. barrier, the white singlets packed up and displacing many fools. A 35+ point win over Churchill and Plymouth. But in a more competitive KLAA field, Plymouth was able to close that gap. 12 points separated the two teams, the lessened difference impacted greatly by Adrian Clarke and Dylan Kosik, running the rare PR on the Bennett Park course.

Whomever wins, it’ll be earned.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Livonia Churchill	43	1.1	92	95+
2	Ann Arbor Huron	62	2.2	7	95+
3	Salem	71	2.8		95+
4	Canton	109	4.5
5	Plymouth	110	4.6
6	Livonia Franklin	138	6.2
7	Livonia Stevenson	147	6.7
8	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	221	8.0
9	Wayne Memorial	304	9.5
10	Westland John Glenn	304	9.5

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Salem	42	1.2	84	95+
2	Plymouth	58	2.0	16	95+
3	Livonia Churchill	74	2.8		95+
4	Canton	115	4.2
5	Ann Arbor Huron	132	4.9
6	Detroit U-D Jesuit	164	6.1
7	Livonia Stevenson	194	7.1
8	Westland John Glenn	215	7.8
9	Livonia Franklin	275	9.1
10	Wayne Memorial	308	10.3
11	Detroit Renaissance	322	10.9
12	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	346	12.3
13	Ferndale	348	12.5
14	Detroit Mumford	447	14.0

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Leena Shelgikar	Ann Arbor Huron	1.0
2	9	Maribelle Kofahl	Ann Arbor Huron	2.1
3	12	Mackenzie Dicken	Plymouth	3.5
4	12	Rianna Radulescu	Livonia Churchill	4.8
5	12	Becca Jud	Salem	5.7
6	12	Rachael Halkey	Livonia Churchill	6.2
7	9	Ella Hanner	Salem	8.2
8	11	Julie Schuessler	Livonia Churchill	9.4
9	12	Natalie Workman	Livonia Churchill	10.0
10	11	Samantha Bartell	Salem	10.2
11	10	Maddie Vargo	Livonia Churchill	12.9
12	11	Addie Jones	Salem	13.0
13	10	Sadie Bohnsack	Ann Arbor Huron	13.5
14	So	Clare Davidson	Canton	13.8
15	12	Sarah Wazne	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	17.4
16	11	Kerrington Fields-McCurdy	Livonia Stevenson	18.3
17	10	Lucy Morrow	Livonia Franklin	18.4
18	12	Kinsey Nordbeck	Livonia Franklin	19.2
19	12	Mia Fernandez	Canton	20.1
20	11	Liv Brody	Canton	20.3
21	10	Mira Shelgikar	Ann Arbor Huron	20.7
22	11	Isabella Rushlow	Plymouth	21.5
23	9	Khaya Pierson	Livonia Stevenson	23.4
24	9	McKenzie Stearns	Canton	25.5
25	9	Olivia Kelly	Livonia Stevenson	25.7
26	11	Emma Slater	Livonia Franklin	26.9
27	11	Chelsea Lai	Plymouth	27.3
28	11	Jordan Pope	Livonia Franklin	30.3
29	12	Caroline LaPointe	Plymouth	30.6
30	11	Harper Pinto	Ann Arbor Huron	30.7

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Aiden Pengelly	Canton	1.3
2	11	Austin Mercado	Salem	2.7
3	12	Lucas LaPointe	Plymouth	2.7
4	12	Hudson Wojtkowicz	Livonia Churchill	5.2
5	11	Jack Hanner	Salem	6.4
6	11	Samuel Batt	Salem	7.0
7	10	Lucas Brumo	Livonia Stevenson	7.1
8	11	Tyler Bjorklund	Livonia Churchill	10.2
9	12	Adrian Clarke	Plymouth	11.0
10	12	Daniel Niehaus	Plymouth	12.3
11	12	Jaden Ding	Salem	14.5
12	11	Justin Mkrtumian	Detroit U-D Jesuit	16.2
13	11	Owen Dalebout	Salem	16.2
14	11	Kamden O’Donnell	Canton	16.4
15	10	Conrad Marra	Ann Arbor Huron	16.8
16	11	Dylan Kosik	Plymouth	18.0
17	12	Tony D’Orazio	Livonia Churchill	18.7
18	10	Landen Martell	Plymouth	20.0
19	12	Tommy Buckalew	Westland John Glenn	20.5
20	12	Parker Szymczak	Salem	20.6
21	12	Joey Brake	Livonia Churchill	21.8
22	11	Adam Burns	Salem	21.9
23	9	Jack Caveney	Plymouth	22.1
24	12	TJ Conley	Ann Arbor Huron	22.6
25	9	Troy Verhelle	Livonia Churchill	22.8
26	9	Matthew Keefer	Livonia Churchill	24.3
27	10	Aarav Kalantry	Ann Arbor Huron	24.7
28	11	William Balasia	Detroit U-D Jesuit	27.9
29	11	Leonardo Reyes	Plymouth	28.0
30	11	Elliot Condevaux	Livonia Churchill	29.7

REGION 7

Any Big Battles?

Um, really nothing? Of course I say that and a team that always defies the ranks might advance. That’s usually White Lake Lakeland. The Eagles will need their full lineup in action. One of the occasions that occurred was in a tri against Walled Lake Northern and Milford. Given the results there, one can extrapolate a world where Lakeland challenges for a top-three spot.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Northville	41	1.0	95+	95+
2	Novi	80	2.0		95+
3	White Lake Lakeland	111	3.0		95+
4	Royal Oak	151	4.6
5	Bloomfield Hills	156	5.1
6	Walled Lake Northern	175	6.2
7	Farmington	185	7.1
8	Berkley	198	8.0
9	Birmingham Seaholm	203	8.3
10	Beverly Hills Groves	233	9.7
11	Walled Lake Central	279	10.9
12	North Farmington	353	12.2
13	West Bloomfield	391	13.4
14	Walled Lake Western	397	13.4

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Northville	25	1.0	95+	95+
2	Detroit Catholic Central	99	2.3		95+
3	Novi	109	2.8		95+
4	Walled Lake Northern	142	4.5
5	White Lake Lakeland	145	4.7
6	Royal Oak	167	5.7
7	Beverly Hills Groves	232	7.8
8	West Bloomfield	242	8.6
9	Berkley	259	9.6
10	North Farmington	260	9.8
11	Farmington	277	11.0
12	Bloomfield Hills	277	10.9
13	Walled Lake Western	308	13.0
14	Brother Rice	341	13.5
15	Birmingham Seaholm	388	14.8
16	Walled Lake Central	510	16.0

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	9	Alexandra Scappaticci	Northville	1.2
2	11	Katelynn Egli	Novi	3.5
3	11	Lucia Lachapelle	Northville	4.0
4	9	Giada Mills	Beverly Hills Groves	7.5
5	11	Anna Macdonald	Royal Oak	9.5
6	11	Maya Pletzer	White Lake Lakeland	9.6
7	10	Paige Rohda	Berkley	9.8
8	10	Alexandra Green	Birmingham Seaholm	10.0
9	12	Kierra Magner	Farmington	11.2
10	11	Allie Gallagher	Walled Lake Northern	12.0
11	12	Annabelle Beloiu	Northville	12.0
12	10	Claire Galas	Novi	13.5
13	11	Katelyn Parrish	Farmington	14.0
14	9	Brynn Somers	Northville	14.4
15	12	Mya Tass	Novi	17.5
16	11	Colette Lozo	Northville	18.0
17	10	Maya Zakrzewski	Walled Lake Northern	18.1
18	9	Claire Lawrence	Bloomfield Hills	19.9
19	11	Morgan Scally	White Lake Lakeland	20.7
20	10	Tatum Mooradian	Northville	21.0
21	12	Addison Herr	Bloomfield Hills	22.5
22	9	Ella Corby	Northville	23.8
23	9	Ella German	Novi	23.8
24	11	Gabby Marino	White Lake Lakeland	26.1
25	9	Jessica Philip	Novi	27.0
26	11	Olivia Dixon	Birmingham Seaholm	27.9
27	12	Sarah Stein	North Farmington	28.4
28	11	Olivia Jenney	Bloomfield Hills	28.5
29	12	Laura Jonas	Novi	28.8
30	12	Lucy VanHaerents	Royal Oak	28.9

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Brandon Cloud	Northville	1.6
2	12	Benjamin Hartigan	Northville	2.1
3	12	Ethan Hertza	Northville	4.9
4	11	Trevor Baptist	Novi	5.1
5	10	Brady Glon	Detroit Catholic Central	6.1
6	12	Ryan Stojov	Northville	10.5
7	11	Devin Lau	Farmington	11.4
8	12	Colton Blackburn	Northville	11.5
9	12	Gavin Tisch	Detroit Catholic Central	11.7
10	12	Nikola Dahlgren	Walled Lake Northern	11.8
11	12	Finn Gammerath	Walled Lake Northern	11.8
12	10	Emmanuel Coates	Northville	12.7
13	9	Lucas Naspinsky	White Lake Lakeland	12.8
14	12	Alex Hamilton	North Farmington	13.0
15	12	Brenden Humitz	White Lake Lakeland	15.2
16	11	Musa Kay	West Bloomfield	15.5
17	11	Beckett Sipes	Royal Oak	17.6
18	9	Luke Kramer	Detroit Catholic Central	18.6
19	11	Keats Rosenbrock	Royal Oak	19.8
20	11	Jack Lewis	Northville	20.3
21	10	Aarush Vijay	Novi	21.7
22	10	John McCann	Novi	23.8
23	12	Liam Aiuto	Royal Oak	24.0
24	10	Owen Nelms	White Lake Lakeland	24.1
25	11	Tyler Hennessey	Berkley	27.7
26	10	Asher Lawson	Walled Lake Northern	28.3
27	10	Oliver Borek	Detroit Catholic Central	33.0
28	12	Isaac German	Novi	33.3
29	11	Coplin Serota	Brother Rice	33.7
30	10	Josh Hilliard	Berkley	33.9

REGION 8

Any Big Battles?

What do you base it on?

Is it the OAA Red Championship, where Rochester and Oxford were 2^nd and 3^rd, operating at a 10+ point gap over 4^th through 6^th.

Do you look back to the Oakland County Championship, where Troy and Rochester Adams split the spots between Oxford and Rochester.

One aspect you can seemingly count on is the Wildcat ability to pack up. At both the county and league level, Oxford was able to have, at the most, a 22 sec. difference between their 1^st and 5^th. Also, Oxford’s 5^th runner was the best of both competitions.

By the numbers, neitherTroy or Rochester ran their best at either meet. For the Falcons, one of their better efforts on the year was at Jackson, with four boys sub-16:50, finishing just ahead of Troy. The Colts may have been behind there, but excel on the tougher courses such as Holly, where they actually beat Oxford, all scorers under 17:30 through those tight turns and steep hills.

Clintonwood is fast and it’ll be burning for those seeking another week of action.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Rochester	42	1.1	86	95+
2	Rochester Adams	53	1.9	14	95+
3	Clarkston	78	3.0		95+
4	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	106	4.0
5	Troy	158	6.0
6	Lake Orion	159	6.0
7	Oxford	174	7.1
8	Utica Ford	175	7.0
9	Troy Athens	256	9.0
10	Warren Mott	337	10.8
11	Sterling Heights Stevenson	345	11.2
12	Waterford Kettering	349	11.6
13	Warren Cousino	359	12.4
14	Waterford Mott	420	14.0

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Clarkston	53	1.0	95+	95+
2	Troy	98	3.0		66
3	Oxford	99	3.1		61
4	Rochester	99	3.1		68
5	Rochester Adams	120	4.9		5
6	Lake Orion	138	6.0
7	Troy Athens	166	7.0
8	Utica Ford	205	8.5
9	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	210	8.7
10	Sterling Heights Stevenson	243	9.8
11	Waterford Kettering	381	11.2
12	Warren Mott	399	13.1
13	Waterford Mott	405	12.8
14	Warren Cousino	407	13.0
15	Sterling Heights	425	14.9

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	El McMahan	Rochester Adams	1.1
2	12	Ella Abraham	Rochester	2.5
3	9	Jessica Soldan	Rochester Adams	3.5
4	12	Leah Corby	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	3.9
5	9	Abigail Deering	Rochester Adams	5.4
6	10	Charlotte Jones	Rochester	6.0
7	12	Audrey Hamilton	Troy	7.2
8	11	Avery DeGrendel	Clarkston	8.8
9	12	Taylor Parsons	Rochester	9.8
10	11	Adrienne Jones	Rochester	12.5
11	11	Linda Lopez	Lake Orion	13.0
12	12	Sydney Fischer	Clarkston	13.2
13	10	Sienna Chapin	Oxford	14.4
14	10	Maren Greve	Rochester	16.2
15	12	Cecilia Kreiter	Rochester Adams	16.9
16	10	Amelia Garvin	Clarkston	17.1
17	9	Annabelle Shaw	Clarkston	18.8
18	11	Tessa Kozlowski	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	20.3
19	11	Addison Brigham	Clarkston	21.2
20	10	Riah Guoin	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	22.1
21	11	Natalie Meldrum	Lake Orion	23.7
22	10	Hailey Lan	Troy	24.8
23	12	Gianna D’Angelo	Utica Ford	26.7
24	9	Clare O’Reilly	Troy Athens	27.1
25	11	Lexi Schwartz	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	27.6
26	12	Emma Miller	Utica Ford	27.9
27	11	Kendal Russette	Clarkston	28.4
28	9	Aryana Givans	Rochester	28.9
29	9	Maddie Deering	Rochester Adams	29.2
30	11	Annie Roraff	Rochester	30.6

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	David Dubeck	Clarkston	1.9
2	12	Max Houvener	Lake Orion	3.1
3	12	Nathaniel Linden	Troy Athens	3.8
4	12	Ryan Barnes	Clarkston	4.3
5	12	Dylan Pascoe	Rochester	5.1
6	12	Evan Owczarek	Rochester	6.0
7	12	Gavin Wilkins	Rochester Adams	9.8
8	10	Asa Konwinski	Troy	10.4
9	10	Oscar Wordell	Rochester Adams	10.4
10	9	Avery Clinton-Barnett	Oxford	13.6
11	11	Vern Clyne	Clarkston	13.7
12	10	Lucas Campbell	Rochester	13.8
13	12	Anthony Dubeck	Clarkston	16.3
14	10	Aidan Schwalbach	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	17.0
15	12	Isaac Clark	Troy	17.9
16	10	Ricardo Guajardo	Lake Orion	19.4
17	12	Cayden Canham	Oxford	19.6
18	11	Ethan Christoff	Oxford	20.1
19	10	Cooper McNaughton	Clarkston	20.1
20	12	Matthew Buchanan	Oxford	20.3
21	11	Colin Blachford	Troy Athens	20.6
22	11	Jack Witt	Troy	21.0
23	11	Henry Witt	Troy	21.6
24	11	Jesse Reed	Rochester Adams	23.9
25	9	Luis Nava	Lake Orion	24.7
26	10	Brady Bigelow	Oxford	25.9
27	12	Joey Light	Troy	27.2
28	11	Luke Nagy	Rochester Adams	27.6
29	11	Miles Foster	Clarkston	28.1
30	11	Conner McLaughlin	Rochester	30.3

REGION 9

Any Big Battles?

The numbers show a single point separating the UCS schools. I wouldn’t count out Fraser, who in 2024 was a constant thorn in the projections’ side. The Ramblers have had the occasional meet where they’ve shown the ability to qualify. Otsego is an example, all five Fraser boys at 17:15 or below.

But in this Macomb County centric region (side note: is it weird that Utica Ford is over at Region 8?), we look to the Macomb County Championship. Five points separated Utica Eisenhower and Utica. The Chieftains gained an advantage early and held on through their 4^th and 5^th guys. Eisenhower gained 6 points from their final two scorers, not enough to overcome the 11 point difference between each top-three. But it’s so dang close, as the average gap between the two at each spot was 7 seconds. It might not even be the two above schools that determine their place, another random runner could slide in or out of those gaps and send a team into frenzy when the results come in.

Team

Girls

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Romeo	21	1.0	95+	95+
2	Utica	69	2.1		95+
3	Macomb Dakota	92	3.2		77
4	Fraser	109	3.9		23
5	Utica Eisenhower	139	5.3
6	Port Huron Northern	150	6.1
7	Grosse Pointe South	158	6.4
8	Anchor Bay	220	8.5
9	L’Anse Creuse North	224	8.6
10	Chippewa Valley	266	9.9
11	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	369	11.1
12	L’Anse Creuse	390	12.0
13	Port Huron	407	13.0
14	Roseville	433	14.3
15	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	441	14.6

Boys

Projected	Team	Avg. Score	Avg. Place	Win %	Qualify %
1	Romeo	34	1.0	95+	95+
2	Macomb Dakota	75	2.0		95+
3	Utica Eisenhower	126	3.8		38
4	Utica	127	3.8		46
5	Fraser	143	5.0		12
6	Warren DeLaSalle	153	5.6
7	Anchor Bay	186	7.1
8	L’Anse Creuse North	205	7.8
9	Chippewa Valley	241	9.3
10	Grosse Pointe South	252	9.9
11	Port Huron Northern	267	10.8
12	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	327	12.1
13	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	414	13.5
14	Roseville	426	13.7
15	Warren Woods Tower	452	15.0
16	L’Anse Creuse	473	15.9

Individual

Girls

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Annie Hrabovsky	Romeo	1.1
2	12	Ella Goodsell	Romeo	2.6
3	12	Natalia Guaresimo	Romeo	2.8
4	12	Siene Muraszewski	Utica	4.1
5	12	Emmie Clor	Romeo	6.2
6	11	Reese Rosbolt	Romeo	8.7
7	11	Alice Foley	Fraser	9.2
8	12	Samantha Langolf	Port Huron Northern	9.7
9	11	Emma Brown	Utica	10.3
10	12	Lidia Clancy	Macomb Dakota	11.0
11	10	Gabriella Mercier	Macomb Dakota	11.0
12	11	Maggie Baginski	Utica Eisenhower	11.5
13	12	Jacalyn Yakel	Utica Eisenhower	12.0
14	10	Kylie Brown	Utica	15.8
15	9	Grace Mathers	Macomb Dakota	16.2
16	12	Brooke McFarland	Utica	19.6
17	12	Kate Molloy	Fraser	20.1
18	9	Eleanor Pilsner	Grosse Pointe South	20.8
19	11	Haley Sharp	Port Huron Northern	22.1
20	12	Olivia Cereska	Fraser	22.1
21	10	Ava Knight	L’Anse Creuse North	22.8
22	10	Codianne Palczewski	Utica	23.7
23	12	Ava Tow	Utica	23.8
24	9	Audra Krause	Anchor Bay	27.2
25	12	Jewel Zschernig	Fraser	28.0
26	10	Riley Owen	Port Huron Northern	28.0
27	11	Kaitlyn Rizzo	Macomb Dakota	29.8
28	10	Layla Gendernelle	Macomb Dakota	30.6
29	11	Morgan Costello	Grosse Pointe South	31.3
30	12	Katelyn Frazier	Fraser	31.6

Boys

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Xavier Solgot	L’Anse Creuse North	3.0
2	12	Owen Perry	Romeo	3.3
3	12	Harper Wesley	Utica	5.3
4	12	Luke Allen	Romeo	5.4
5	9	Rio Hrabovsky	Romeo	5.5
6	12	Joseph Kaleto	Macomb Dakota	7.6
7	12	James Brickel	Romeo	9.9
8	12	Malcolm Richardson	Warren DeLaSalle	10.0
9	12	Andrew Scheloske	Macomb Dakota	10.2
10	11	Carson Hlavin	Romeo	11.3
11	12	Anthony Frei	Utica Eisenhower	11.3
12	12	Drew Pietraszkiewicz	Utica Eisenhower	12.7
13	12	Aaron Osterman	Anchor Bay	13.6
14	12	Nathan Kafoury	Warren DeLaSalle	15.7
15	10	Logan LaMilza	Macomb Dakota	15.9
16	11	Tyler Williams	Fraser	17.5
17	10	Wesley LaFever	Macomb Dakota	18.8
18	10	Federico Moreno-Padilla	Utica Eisenhower	19.0
19	12	Lucas Gizoni	Romeo	19.8
20	12	Charlie Curtis	Utica	20.9
21	10	Jacob Solomon	Utica	22.2
22	11	Grant Davis	Port Huron Northern	22.3
23	11	Brody Empson	Romeo	22.8
24	10	Cameron Martin	Fraser	23.2
25	11	Brandon Ziehmer	Anchor Bay	24.5
26	12	Jacob Giovannini	Macomb Dakota	25.9
27	12	Oliver Davis	Macomb Dakota	25.9
28	12	Mario Carducci	Chippewa Valley	26.3
29	10	Sebastian Azar	Anchor Bay	31.6
30	11	Lucien Lamothe	Warren DeLaSalle	33.2