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2023 Ratings: Macomb County

this is cross country weather

Girls Adjustment: +2
Boys Adjustment: +1

PROJECTIONS VS. REALITY

Now I know my projections aren’t the end all, be all, but they’re what I use to look back and see who came up huge.

Grabbing trophies when not expected to were Dakota’s Girls and Anchor Bay’s Boys. Two girls who came through for the Cougars were Julia Timpa (projected 37th, placed 26th) and Lidia Clancy (projected 23rd, placed 16th), along with their other three scorers that did their duties. Anchor Bay had a clutch contribution from Gabe Rusch (projected 37th, placed 29th) and a little help from Zach Rubicz (projected 18th, placed 14th). Of course there were many other teammates that played a role, but those are a few that stood out.

The All-County projections hit on 36 of the top 42. Those underdogs who get to go on stage at the Macomb County Banquet are:

Luke Morehouse – projected 22nd, placed 16th, came into the day with a 54% chance of a top-21
Jonathan Mitchell – projected 27th, placed 19th, came into the day with a 6% chance of a top-21
Lidia Clancy – projected 23rd, placed 16th, came into the day with a 51% chance of top-21
Charlotte Long – projected 22nd, placed 18th, came into the day with a 54% chance of a top-21
Luciana Rodriguez – projected 39th, placed 19th, came into the day with less than 1%(!!!) chance of a top-21
Norah Lesner – projected 24th, placed 20th, came into the day with a 29% chance of a top-21

*** = Team State Title type of performance
** = Top-10 Team type of performance
* = Team Qualifier type of performance

GIRLS TEAM RATINGS

Girls TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Romeo***151.61
Macomb Dakota**127.81
Fraser**125.21
Utica*119.71
Utica Eisenhower87.81
Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley82.51
Utica Ford72.01
Macomb L’Anse Creuse North52.71
New Baltimore Anchor Bay48.21
Lakeview St. Clair Shores41.51
Warren Mott25.71
Sterling Heights Stevenson17.61
Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse7.81
Warren Cousino6.51
Girls TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Armada*105.52
Warren Regina98.82
Macomb Lutheran North89.52
Richmond65.22
Girls TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers48.5HS

BOYS TEAM RATINGS

Boys TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Macomb Dakota**191.81
Romeo**191.21
New Baltimore Anchor Bay**188.61
Utica**187.71
Utica Eisenhower*179.91
Utica Ford172.31
Warren Cousino166.01
Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley165.41
Fraser165.11
Macomb L’Anse Creuse North163.51
Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse153.91
Sterling Heights Stevenson150.71
Lakeview St. Clair Shores148.61
Warren DeLaSalle141.21
Warren Woods Tower109.51
Warren Mott83.91
Roseville65.21
Boys TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Macomb Lutheran North164.92
Armada134.42
Richmond131.92
Center Line55.22
Boys TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
New Haven65.33
Boys TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Austin Catholic79.54
Boys TeamTop 5 Avg.Division
Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers144.7HS

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
9Annie Hrabovsky17:54.8Romeo161.1
10Natalia Guaresimo18:05.3Romeo157.6
10Emmerson Clor18:06.4Romeo157.2
12Jayden Harberts18:22.3Macomb Dakota151.9
11Lillian Deskins18:49.0Romeo143.0
12Mariah Belmont18:52.2Macomb Dakota141.9
11Violet Hrabovsky19:01.2Romeo138.9
11Olivia Purdy19:15.7Romeo134.1
10Katelyn Frazier19:20.4Fraser132.5
11Grace Grupido19:23.4Fraser131.5
12Ava Baltierra19:25.9Armada130.7
9Emma Brown19:26.9Utica130.4
10Siene Muraszewski19:37.1Utica127.0
12Remi Flanz19:41.6Fraser125.5
12Gracie Youngblood19:44.0Romeo124.7
10Lidia Clancy19:45.1Macomb Dakota124.3
10Brooke McFarland19:50.5Utica122.5
11Charlotte Long19:58.2Utica Eisenhower119.9
11Luciana Rodriguez20:00.4Fraser119.2
10Olivia Cereska20:06.8Fraser117.1
11Norah Lesner20:10.9Utica115.7
12Brianna Albers20:18.2Richmond113.3
11Brooklyn Khon20:21.0Armada112.3
11Elizabeth Ambroggio20:24.7Warren Regina111.1
9Samantha Whitlam20:25.6Macomb Lutheran North110.8
11Julia Timpa20:25.8Macomb Dakota110.7
9Aubrey Rizzo20:27.1Macomb Dakota110.3
12Samantha Kook20:29.1Armada109.6
9Maggie Baginski20:30.9Utica Eisenhower109.0
12Lauren Thomas20:35.2New Baltimore Anchor Bay107.6
12Grace Gutmann20:35.7Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley107.4
11Shelby Stabile20:36.3Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse107.2
10Kate Molloy20:36.9Fraser107.0
12Kennedy Roskopp20:39.4Warren Regina106.2
11Sophia Aquino20:49.4Utica102.9
11Natalie Lentine20:58.5Warren Regina99.8
10Abigail Denoyer20:59.4Armada99.5
10Jacalyn Yakel20:59.9Utica Eisenhower99.4
12Eleanor Kroetsch21:02.7Utica98.4
9Lilianna Peace21:03.1Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley98.3
10Peyton Knight21:06.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North97.1
10Ryann Smitka21:11.5Macomb Dakota95.5
10Gianna D’Angelo21:15.9Utica Ford94.0
9Kaitlyn Rizzo21:22.5Macomb Dakota91.8
10Maya Muskan21:30.0Romeo89.3
11Lorelei Mahon21:30.1Warren Regina89.3
10Ella Goodsell21:30.6Romeo89.1
12Gianna Cuppari21:30.8Macomb Lutheran North89.1
9Evelyn Buckley21:31.8Macomb Lutheran North88.7
10Eden Fante21:34.0Lakeview St. Clair Shores88.0
12Gabby Fernandez21:34.6Warren Regina87.8
10Jolene Thompson21:36.9Romeo87.0
9Lilly McNair21:45.8Utica84.1
11Kasie Kalist21:50.3Romeo82.6
12Rachel Phillips21:50.4Utica Ford82.5
11Isabella LaPerriere21:53.3Macomb Lutheran North81.6
11Mylene Pham21:54.4Macomb Dakota81.2
12Marley McMahon21:56.4Warren Cousino80.5
10Pauline Chapman21:56.9Richmond80.4
9Faith Wessel21:57.0Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers80.3
10Mercy Brown21:57.1Warren Cousino80.3
10Morgan Scally21:59.9Romeo79.4
12Lydia Martoni22:01.1Fraser79.0
9Avery Stallmann22:05.4Macomb Lutheran North77.5
11Ava Duncan22:09.1Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley76.3
12Kelsey Ettel22:11.4Armada75.5
11Allison Tuttle22:13.3Utica74.9
9Ella Thibodeau22:15.3Romeo74.2
9Helena Reiff22:15.7Armada74.1
10Ava Johnson22:18.1Macomb L’Anse Creuse North73.3
12Erin Rowan22:19.1Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers73.0
10Emma Miller22:19.2Utica Ford72.9
9Reese Rosbolt22:26.3Romeo70.6
12Kelsey Pendry22:27.4Richmond70.2
9Alice Foley22:27.8Fraser70.1
11Ava Nightingale22:31.2Utica Eisenhower68.9
12Lauren Koski22:38.6Macomb Lutheran North66.5
12Sofya Tomala22:41.0Utica Ford65.7
9Emileigh Bissonnette22:41.5Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley65.5
11Sadie Siemen22:42.6Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley65.1
9Caleigh Friedmann22:45.2Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley64.3
12Jillian Probst22:45.2Macomb Lutheran North64.3
11Sydney Brickel22:50.9Romeo62.4
9Katya Anderson22:51.8Macomb Lutheran North62.1
9Jenna Billings22:52.1Macomb Dakota62.0
12Breanna Feys22:53.1Armada61.6
11Isabella MacDonald22:55.4Romeo60.9
12Megan Luke22:56.1Sterling Heights Stevenson60.6
10Emma Christensen22:56.6Romeo60.5
11Emily Dreffs22:58.8Lakeview St. Clair Shores59.7
9Madelyn Yezback22:59.2Warren Regina59.6
11Samantha Faustich23:00.1Macomb Dakota59.3
11Catherine Sam23:00.8Warren Woods Tower59.1
9Addison Noteboom23:10.7Armada55.8
11Emma Hullinger23:10.8Romeo55.7
10Jewel Zschernig23:11.6Fraser55.5
12Marah Erkkinen23:12.0Sterling Heights Stevenson55.3
9Hannah Upchurch23:12.6Utica55.1
10Elaina Friedmann23:12.6Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley55.1
11Makayla Perdue-Daniels23:14.9Warren Mott54.4
11Erin Leverenz23:22.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North51.8
9Madison Leslie23:23.5New Baltimore Anchor Bay51.5
9Juilanne Drobek23:26.8New Baltimore Anchor Bay50.4
11Katie Cairney23:28.2Fraser49.9
11Sydney Higley23:32.1Macomb Lutheran North48.6
11Sidney James23:34.0Richmond48.0
11Sofia Switalski23:37.1Warren Regina47.0
10Carolanne Hammer23:39.1Fraser46.3
12Tori Trumper23:42.2Macomb Dakota45.3
10Mya Sebastian23:43.8Utica Ford44.7
11Brennan Lowman23:45.4Utica Ford44.2
12Chloe Szymanski23:52.1Utica Eisenhower42.0
11Isabella Farah23:53.0Warren Regina41.7
9Lauren Robinson23:54.0Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers41.3
9Viviana Tafelski23:54.0Utica Eisenhower41.3
12Grace Havern23:54.7Warren Mott41.1
10Chelsea Becker23:56.2Fraser40.6
11Peyton French23:56.3Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley40.6
11Brooke Hall23:57.2Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley40.3
12Gianna Switalski23:58.8Warren Regina39.7
9Corinne Lamb24:00.1Romeo39.3
9Jessica Probst24:01.3Macomb Lutheran North38.9
12Sydney Upton24:06.5Armada37.2
11Chloe Vanopdenbosch24:07.3Macomb Lutheran North36.9
11Amber Watta24:09.3Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers36.2
10Addison Horvath24:14.9Macomb Lutheran North34.4
11Laila Capps24:15.7Warren Woods Tower34.1
9Mary Wright24:19.7New Baltimore Anchor Bay32.8
11Adison Cooke24:20.0Sterling Heights Stevenson32.7
9Ashlyn O’Neill24:22.5Romeo31.8
11Ashlyn Upton24:23.6Armada31.5
10Maddy Daoust24:23.8Lakeview St. Clair Shores31.4
12Aria Sayajon24:25.1Warren Mott31.0
11Faith Kopp24:27.5Utica30.2
9Ali Schoenherr24:29.0Warren Regina29.7
12Bianca Cicchetti24:29.5Macomb Lutheran North29.5
12Abigail Finazzo24:29.7Lake Shore St. Clair Shores29.4
9Olive Scitney24:30.4Lakeview St. Clair Shores29.2
11Katherine Farmer24:31.1Utica Eisenhower29.0
9Allison Mansfield24:31.1Armada29.0
9Elle Shimmell24:31.3Utica28.9
11Meredith Winn24:31.7Utica Ford28.8
10Mya Willick24:36.4Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse27.2
9Alexis Bosma24:37.2Utica Eisenhower26.9
9Elaine Lary24:37.2Romeo26.9
9Greer Nimmo24:43.9Utica Eisenhower24.7
9Alexis Toutant24:45.9Macomb L’Anse Creuse North24.0
12Mercedes Nawrocki25:06.5Macomb L’Anse Creuse North17.2
12Olivia Lathrop25:06.5New Haven17.2
10Abigail DiStefano25:12.5Romeo15.2
12Loriana Mannino25:14.7Utica14.4
11Sara Leverenz25:14.8Macomb L’Anse Creuse North14.4
10Jadyn Kozlowski25:15.5Richmond14.2
9Alyssa Fudge25:15.9Macomb Dakota14.0
10Elle Bamford25:20.3Warren Regina12.6
9Cecilia Grice25:23.4Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers11.5
9Annaliese Shagena25:24.0Richmond11.3
10Evelyn DeClercq25:24.6Macomb L’Anse Creuse North11.1
12Allison Polk25:24.7Utica11.1
10Quinn Hoell25:27.5Armada10.2
9Annie Kwiatkoski25:28.2Romeo9.9
12Brianna Steffen25:34.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North7.8
11Cassie Bill25:36.7Warren Mott7.1
11Stacie Ruzzin25:40.8Utica Ford5.7
9Sophie Sabaugh25:47.5Fraser3.5
11Keira Schall25:48.3Warren Cousino3.2
11Julia Ferro25:56.5Warren Cousino0.5
11Vanessa Skorski25:57.0Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley0.3
9Kylie Smith25:57.1Macomb Dakota0.3

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Thomas Westphal15:22.0New Baltimore Anchor Bay212.3
12Vincent Guaresimo15:37.9Romeo207.0
12Carter Fox15:39.8Macomb Dakota206.4
10Harper Wesley15:44.3Utica204.9
12Tyler Brothers15:56.2Utica Eisenhower200.9
12Luke Oyster16:12.3Utica Eisenhower195.6
12Simon Davis16:12.5Macomb Dakota195.5
12Brewer Snay16:16.1Macomb Lutheran North194.3
12Jack DeWaele16:17.9Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley193.7
12Connor Clor16:21.6Romeo192.5
12Brandon Penberthy16:22.1Macomb L’Anse Creuse North192.3
12Bryce Goodsell16:23.4Romeo191.9
11Lucas LaMilza16:23.8Macomb Dakota191.7
12Zachary Rubicz16:26.1New Baltimore Anchor Bay191.0
12Ethan Muraszewski16:29.0Utica190.0
11Luke Morehouse16:30.8Utica189.4
12Dylan Penberthy16:32.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North188.8
11Colton Howell16:33.1Macomb Dakota188.6
12Johnathan Mitchell16:38.3Utica Ford186.9
12Tyler Donovan16:44.8Fraser184.7
10Luke Allen16:50.4Romeo182.9
12Michael Magnoli16:54.4Romeo181.5
11Aidan Daly16:55.0Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse181.3
11Greg Vogt16:55.1New Baltimore Anchor Bay181.3
12Aidan Leslie16:56.6New Baltimore Anchor Bay180.8
10Eric DeWaele16:57.4Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley180.5
11Colden Gray16:58.6Utica Eisenhower180.1
11Owen Gould17:00.4Romeo179.5
12Gabe Rusch17:06.0New Baltimore Anchor Bay177.7
10James Brickel17:06.8Romeo177.4
11John Lonsway17:06.9Sterling Heights Stevenson177.4
12Silas Smith17:07.4Utica177.2
10Charlie Curtis17:07.8Utica177.1
10Lance Edghill17:07.8Fraser177.1
11Noah Redman17:08.2Macomb Dakota176.9
11Braden Cinato17:11.4Warren Cousino175.9
12Rhenier Weeks17:11.8Utica Ford175.7
12Jamison Snay17:13.6Macomb Lutheran North175.1
11Gavin Frandle17:17.5Utica173.8
12Drake Demaris17:21.2Warren Cousino172.6
11Alex Habarth17:21.5Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse172.5
10Dean Gallucci17:23.6Utica Ford171.8
10Aaron Hemstreet17:23.7Warren Cousino171.8
12Lucas Shemansky17:33.9Fraser168.4
12Paul Gopez17:37.7Warren Cousino167.1
12Ethan Wilkie17:39.2Romeo166.6
10Joseph Kaleto17:39.5Macomb Dakota166.5
11Joshua Felstow17:40.3Romeo166.2
11Jensen McCutcheon17:44.5Lakeview St. Clair Shores164.8
9Brandon Ziehmer17:45.4New Baltimore Anchor Bay164.5
11Levi Clair17:46.1Utica164.3
12Matt Jenkins17:46.2Utica164.3
10Andrew Scheloske17:46.4Macomb Dakota164.2
9Zach Shaffer17:47.0Utica Ford164.0
10Aaron Osterman17:48.2New Baltimore Anchor Bay163.6
12Robert Ogilvy17:49.2Utica Ford163.3
11Evan Lamb17:49.3Romeo163.2
10Oliver Davis17:49.8Macomb Dakota163.1
10Ben Dotter17:52.4Utica Eisenhower162.2
12Godae Nwineewii17:55.2Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley161.3
12Blake Jahn17:57.2Utica160.6
10Drew Pietraszkiewicz17:57.4Utica Eisenhower160.5
10Ian Potts17:57.5Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers160.5
10Xavier Roman18:00.0Macomb Lutheran North159.7
11Marek Unger18:02.2Romeo158.9
9Brody Empson18:03.0Romeo158.7
10Jacob Giovannini18:04.6Macomb Dakota158.1
12Aaron Franz18:08.3Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley156.9
10Kyle Massimilla18:11.6Utica Ford155.8
12Luke Nawrocki18:12.7Armada155.4
10Nicholas Milosavlevski18:13.5Macomb Dakota155.2
9William Robinson18:17.9Warren DeLaSalle153.7
12Danny Boyd18:19.6Utica153.1
10David Mann18:20.3Sterling Heights Stevenson152.9
12Gunnar Wessel18:21.9Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers152.4
9Chase Mallory18:22.3Macomb Dakota152.2
12Thomas Perez18:22.7Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers152.1
12Peter Schoenherr18:23.5Utica151.8
12Nolan Rybarczyk18:26.3Macomb L’Anse Creuse North150.9
12Jackson Wesley18:26.5Utica150.8
9Aaron Flanz18:27.8Fraser150.4
10Luke Mulka18:30.0Utica Ford149.7
12Justin Pinks18:31.8Warren Woods Tower149.1
11Griffin Simone18:33.8Lakeview St. Clair Shores148.4
11Grayson Sutherland18:34.6Macomb Lutheran North148.1
12Benjamin Ashley18:35.4Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse147.9
12Andrew Mossington18:36.8Macomb Dakota147.4
11Nico DiPonio18:36.9Austin Catholic147.4
9Joshua Macri18:37.4Macomb Lutheran North147.2
10Nathan Kafoury18:37.5Warren DeLaSalle147.2
11Andre Buford18:38.7Sterling Heights Stevenson146.8
12Collin Pigloski18:41.5Lakeview St. Clair Shores145.8
10Andrew Bucher18:43.8Fraser145.1
10Brady Slone18:43.9Fraser145.0
11Kobe Coverdill18:44.6Macomb L’Anse Creuse North144.8
12Tyler Buckland18:46.0Armada144.3
12Mateo Mele18:50.3Warren Cousino142.9
10Lucas Gizoni18:50.5Romeo142.8
12Devin O’Connor18:51.5Lakeview St. Clair Shores142.5
11Christian Frederick18:52.3Sterling Heights Stevenson142.2
10Jacob Anderson18:52.8Warren DeLaSalle142.1
11Sawyer Rosberg18:52.9Richmond142.0
9Kai Fisher18:53.6Memphis141.8
11Enrique Allor18:54.6Warren Cousino141.5
12Jonathan Ricker18:55.1Romeo141.3
10Nicholas Shinkonis18:55.4Lakeview St. Clair Shores141.2
10Brady Cichowlas18:56.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North140.8
9Tyler Williams18:58.1Fraser140.3
11Matthew Ayotte18:59.3Utica139.9
11Aiden Barnett19:00.9Roseville139.4
11Owen Kliebert19:02.7Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse138.8
11Kaleb Manska19:02.9Richmond138.7
11Dylan Bazyollo19:05.8Lakeview St. Clair Shores137.7
10Wyatt Gould19:07.2Romeo137.3
9James Morrison19:12.8Macomb L’Anse Creuse North135.4
10Oliver Alef19:13.2Macomb Lutheran North135.3
12Preston Corneillie19:13.7Richmond135.1
12Evan VanHollebeke19:15.9Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley134.4
9Caleb Erkkinen19:16.7Sterling Heights Stevenson134.1
9Joseph Nowicki19:17.4Utica Eisenhower133.9
11Jacob Bentley19:18.3Sterling Heights Stevenson133.6
10Easton Smerek19:18.9Warren DeLaSalle133.4
12Mathieu Fortier19:20.5Lakeview St. Clair Shores132.8
12Tylan King19:21.2Center Line132.6
11Trenton Clapp19:22.5Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley132.2
12Thomas Rhodenizer19:23.0Fraser132.0
12Brandon Korte19:24.7Lakeview St. Clair Shores131.4
9Carson Hlavin19:26.0Romeo131.0
9Colin Mondoux19:26.1Utica131.0
11Brandon Cummings19:27.1Utica Ford130.6
11Alexander Richards19:28.1Utica130.3
10Anthony Alvarez19:29.1Armada130.0
9Joshua Snyder19:29.1Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers130.0
9Sebastian Morrison19:29.4Warren DeLaSalle129.9
10Malcolm Richardson19:30.1Warren DeLaSalle129.6
10Henry Goebel19:31.6Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse129.1
9Carter Pigloski19:32.0Lakeview St. Clair Shores129.0
11Peyton Suchland19:33.1Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers128.6
12Elijah Mann19:33.4Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers128.5
11Donovan Germain19:35.8Richmond127.7
12Lleyton Byrnes19:36.5Warren Woods Tower127.5
12Kevin Lenz19:36.9Warren Cousino127.4
10Andrew Rosso19:40.0Austin Catholic126.3
9Carter Kirkbride19:41.4Romeo125.9
10Alex Kardasz19:43.0Warren DeLaSalle125.3
10Robert Carrigan19:43.1Armada125.3
11Cameron Berna19:43.5Sterling Heights Stevenson125.2
10Ezekiel Allor19:46.1Warren Cousino124.3
12Logan Fowler19:52.8New Haven122.1
12Ryan Delarosa19:55.3Macomb Lutheran North121.2
11Seth Walker19:56.4Sterling Heights Stevenson120.9
10Nathan Perez19:57.0Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers120.7
11Alexander Elliot19:59.1Utica Eisenhower120.0
10Sam Johnson20:00.3Macomb L’Anse Creuse North119.6
10Seamus Murphy20:02.3Romeo118.9
11Dylan Oltersdorf20:02.5Macomb Dakota118.8
12Finnian Myers20:02.7Macomb Dakota118.8
12John Thompson20:03.2New Baltimore Anchor Bay118.6
10Noah Nasceif20:03.9Sterling Heights Stevenson118.4
11Marek Lipinski20:04.2Utica Ford118.3
10Thomas Schoenherr20:04.4Utica118.2
11Carter Woolm20:05.3New Baltimore Anchor Bay117.9
11Joshua Castillo20:07.5Armada117.2
12Charlie Seip20:08.2Warren DeLaSalle116.9
9Jackson Lies20:08.4Romeo116.9
9Tyler Penberthy20:08.7Macomb L’Anse Creuse North116.8
10Gavin Murphy20:09.1Lakeview St. Clair Shores116.6
12Nicholas Burch20:10.6Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley116.1
9Mason Brickel20:11.6Richmond115.8
11Austin Malburg20:11.7Armada115.8
10Noah Reggio20:13.9Romeo115.0
12Lawson Willis20:16.1New Baltimore Anchor Bay114.3
12Jacob Dolezel20:17.2Fraser113.9
12Dylan Werner20:22.1Memphis112.3
11Alexander Henderson20:22.2Macomb Dakota112.3
10Sam Nielsen20:22.4Fraser112.2
10Dylan Halsey20:28.2Macomb L’Anse Creuse North110.3
10Dominic Lonsway20:29.0Sterling Heights Stevenson110.0
12Aiden Champagne20:29.5New Baltimore Anchor Bay109.8
10Joshua Schang20:31.7Warren Cousino109.1
10Caleb Boucher20:35.9Utica107.7
11Vance Ratliff20:36.8Macomb Dakota107.4
9Jack Taylor20:37.7Warren DeLaSalle107.1
10Parker Mowl20:40.6Utica Ford106.1
11Anthony Almeranti20:41.3New Baltimore Anchor Bay105.9
11Sam Criner20:43.3Warren Mott105.2
11Mason Kirsch20:45.5Utica Eisenhower104.5
10Jacob Adamowicz20:45.7Macomb Dakota104.4
10Anthony Czarnecki20:46.8Utica104.1
11Cayden Haupt20:47.7Warren Cousino103.8
10Brent Monterosso20:50.5Romeo102.8
10Nico Mangino20:53.6Utica Ford101.8
10Michael Boes20:54.8Utica Eisenhower101.4
12Giovanni Paoletti20:55.9Fraser101.0
10Adam Shimmell20:57.2Utica100.6
10Matthew Simino20:57.5New Baltimore Anchor Bay100.5
10Danny Storrs21:00.8Warren DeLaSalle99.4
12Tyler Milosavlevski21:01.4Macomb Dakota99.2
11Ian Flechsig21:04.1Macomb Dakota98.3
12Arber Isai21:20.1Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley93.0
10Dillon Pham21:20.7Utica Ford92.8
11Richard Bedra21:21.2Sterling Heights92.6
12Corey Cashman21:21.8Warren Woods Tower92.4
10Foley Kedzior21:22.3Warren Woods Tower92.2
10Charles Gilbert21:23.0Romeo92.0
9Grayson Luz21:24.1Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley91.6
9Benjamin Cass21:26.4Romeo90.9
11Luke Klochack21:27.6Macomb Dakota90.5
11Jabbar Jabbar21:31.9Warren Mott89.0
12Sean McDonald21:36.0Macomb L’Anse Creuse North87.7
12Connor Allen21:36.8Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley87.4
10James Zweng21:37.1Armada87.3
10Jayden Romanow21:37.1Macomb L’Anse Creuse North87.3
11Justin St Pierre21:37.3Macomb Dakota87.2
10Benjamin Nunnold21:37.4Warren DeLaSalle87.2
12Ryan Montgomery21:39.7Warren Woods Tower86.4
12Jackson Hermes21:41.9Lake Shore St. Clair Shores85.7
11Mason Stansberry21:43.6Warren Woods Tower85.1
10Max Durham21:45.2New Haven84.6
9David Alsip21:45.5Warren Mott84.5
9Benjamin Norman21:50.7Warren DeLaSalle82.8
9James Ohngren21:53.3Center Line81.9
11Jensen DuVal22:04.3Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse78.2
12Casey Savoie22:14.8Fraser74.7
10Calvin Slewa22:15.8Center Line74.4
12Jordan Pyonk22:16.0New Haven74.3
12Greyson Arkwright22:17.8Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers73.7
12Bailey Mousseau22:19.1Warren Mott73.3
10Andrei Liliac22:24.5Sterling Heights71.5
11Tristan Crooks22:28.0Warren Fitzgerald70.3
10Brandon Smith22:33.6Macomb L’Anse Creuse North68.5
12Anthony Le22:36.6Warren Mott67.5
11Anthony Badia22:41.7Warren Cousino65.8
10Andrew Goclik22:48.2Austin Catholic63.6
10Brian Hopkins23:00.2Roseville59.6
10Matthew Bowman23:00.4Roseville59.5
11Gabriel Carlson23:03.4Utica Eisenhower58.5
10Dominic Coraci23:06.9Macomb L’Anse Creuse North57.4
10William Evans23:11.4Roseville55.9
10Keyshawn Burks23:16.3Eastpointe54.2
12Lorenzo Recalcati23:20.6New Haven52.8
9Garet Gertsch23:24.9Utica51.4
12Alex Anderson23:33.4Macomb L’Anse Creuse North48.5
9Aidan Telega23:37.2Fraser47.3
9Jayce Zalenko23:37.4Warren Woods Tower47.2
9Aidian Prout23:41.0Fraser46.0
10John Murphy23:43.3Utica Eisenhower45.2
9Dante Cummings23:53.0Warren Woods Tower42.0
10Ethan Bjerke23:55.0Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers41.3
12Griffin Cherry23:56.8Macomb L’Anse Creuse North40.7
12Jacob Jones23:57.1Sterling Heights40.6
11Preston Mowl24:06.6Utica Ford37.5
10Brice Hood24:08.5Eastpointe36.8
11Joshua Stamm24:13.6Austin Catholic35.1
11Jeremiah Wheeler24:15.2Eastpointe34.6
12Owen Fromius24:21.5Lake Shore St. Clair Shores32.5
11Owen Lewis24:41.2Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse25.9
10Owen Hadala24:42.0Lakeview St. Clair Shores25.7
9Kegan Stewart24:42.3Warren DeLaSalle25.6
12Charles Howell24:43.7Austin Catholic25.1
12Jason Bachi24:43.9Warren Fitzgerald25.0
12Rouhan Ahmed24:53.9Warren Fitzgerald21.7
11Sebastian Strutz24:59.4Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse19.9
9Malachi Dibler25:14.4Utica14.9
11George Teal25:18.2Center Line13.6
9Kyler Bowman25:23.5Roseville11.8
10Thomas Rowe25:38.6Macomb L’Anse Creuse North6.8
11Michael LaPrise25:40.0Austin Catholic6.3
9Kenny Turchi25:45.8Armada4.4
10James Parrinello25:46.1Warren DeLaSalle4.3
10Josiah Sodini25:56.8Roseville0.7
Uncategorized

County Week Projections – Greater Lansing, Macomb County, and more

Five major championship meets on Saturday and since it’s the season for championship meets, I’m gonna throw down some projections.

The goal of this week was to figure how the heck I did simulations last year. There are a ton of steps and since I have no idea how to write a program, nor any desire to learn how to write a program, this is all in ol’ Excel. I didn’t want to get to regional week and forget how to do these, so this was a good round of practice before my big weeks.

I’ll copy the explanation from last year, but if you don’t wish to read all that, here’s the cliff notes of how the simulations are different than early projections (last week) or a.net simulation:

These simulations/projections use a runner’s consistency and ratings over the course of the season and spit out a random number based on those two factors.

Past weeks and rankings use a weighted average, but don’t take into account a runner’s consistency.

Athleticnet uses a runner’s best time, with no consideration for course, date, or a runner’s consistency.

From last year (with a few edits):

“These are a bit different than they’ve been in the past. I’m trying to project as always, but changing it up a bit in terms of the methodology. In the past, I’ve just sorted out by the ratings, then scored as if they’re a cross country meet. Here, I’m doing the same thing, but running simulations. Essentially, given a runner’s ratings and the variance in their ratings throughout the season, I’m able to generate a large sample of “races” and not just one scenario. The thought is that this will give a better depiction of what may occur. If an athlete is consistent, that will be represented. If an athlete is polarizing, but has a chance at greatness, that will be represented. Both aren’t possible when just throwing out one race. TullyRunners explains it here.

By simulating many races, I can hand out odds and percentages as well. The team projections have odds of winning and odds of placing in the top three. The individual ones have an athlete’s average place. I do have odds on an athlete winning and getting top-30 or All-County or whatever, but I’m not gonna post that ahead of time. Maybe after and we can see who came through in a huge way on the huge stage.

Always remember, races aren’t run on paper or on a computer. These are meant to better our sport, give more attention where little is given. Although I take pride in their accuracy, this endeavor would be quite boring if it were always perfect. I look forward to these being proven wrong and I expect to hear about it as well.“

GREATER LANSING

Trophies to Top-5 Teams
Medals to Top-30 Individuals

Girls

Proj. PlaceGirls TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 5 %
1Okemos531.0095+95+
2St. Johns1082.1495+
3DeWitt1403.0295+
4Pewamo-Westphalia1704.3793
5Owosso1754.6395+
6Alma2076.278
7Lansing Catholic2166.78
8Grand Ledge2548.58
9Leslie2749.50
10Mason28910.38
11Haslett30211.03
12Holt30311.12
13Williamston33912.47
14Howell40114.45
15St. Louis41214.94
16Corunna43616.07
17East Lansing45816.73
18Laingsburg48117.60
19Fowlerville55019.41
20Saranac57120.21

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
19Ava SchaferSt. Johns1.16
212Tessa RoeLansing Catholic2.44
312Meghan FordMason2.92
412Shannon GillahanOkemos3.99
511Ezgi KurtAlma6.71
611Whitney WernerPewamo-Westphalia7.26
711Lauren WalkerHolt7.35
812Abby YoungSt. Johns8.63
99Gabriella FugazziOkemos8.80
1012Clara FletcherSt. Johns10.82
1111Kayla WilliamsDeWitt12.81
1212Lily SalazarOkemos13.71
1311Joy EvansAlma14.95
1412Nicole MaysOkemos14.99
1510October HarnsOkemos15.29
1610Elizabeth SchaferOkemos16.92
1710Aviana SkinnerGrand Ledge17.95
1812Jaiden DickmanSt. Louis22.81
1910Lydia JaggerGrand Ledge23.17
2012Libby SummerlandOwosso24.12
2111Abby MinnickEast Lansing24.39
2211Autumn ThompsonDeWitt25.69
2311Josie JenkinsonOwosso25.91
2411Nicole SchaferWilliamston26.03
2510Emma CrandellOwosso27.19
2611Ayla HolbenDeWitt27.35
2712Bryna Mead-O’BrienOkemos27.89
2810Miriam KlohaSt. Johns28.98
2912Dora HenryHaslett30.65
3011Ella ReavesHolt31.00
3111Mia WilliamsDeWitt32.04
3210Frances MelinnLansing Catholic32.68
339Sophia SchaferWilliamston32.87
349Alyssa KramerPewamo-Westphalia34.23
3512Melanie WernerPewamo-Westphalia37.32
3611Emily RathkaLaingsburg38.74
379Jaidyn NickelsCorunna39.75
389Grace WonchLansing Catholic40.36
3910Abbie SchneiderPewamo-Westphalia41.21
4010Madison AtenGrand Ledge41.50
4110Hailey CreisherLeslie41.71
4211Hayven ThielCorunna41.83
4310Anna PoppemaBath41.97
4410Abby RusselHaslett42.05
4512Maura LichielloHowell42.11
4611Julionna WestOwosso43.45
4711Erin LubahnLeslie44.21
4812Analise ChelottiDeWitt51.31
4910Reese SupianoskiWilliamston53.12
5011Natalie SummerlandOwosso55.84

Boys

Proj. PlaceBoys TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 5 %
1Alma1061.516395+
2Okemos1142.033095+
3Howell1192.46795+
4Pewamo-Westphalia1824.3989
5Grand Ledge2115.6450
6East Lansing2306.7331
7DeWitt2357.0317
8St. Johns2437.439
9Bath2719.03
10Corunna30010.34
11St. Louis30910.74
12Mason33511.98
13Haslett34111.97
14Leslie41914.71
15Ionia44815.84
16Eaton Rapids45115.68
17Lansing Catholic45816.29
18Saranac48117.44
19Williamston53619.29
20Fowlerville54819.73

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Nate CarmodyHaslett1.57
29Jack MacGregorHowell2.80
312Collin FarmerPewamo-Westphalia4.18
411Alex DonethMason5.54
511Dylan LydicHaslett5.59
610Thomas LarsonAlma6.91
712Ben MarchSt. Louis7.26
89Ezekiel BaltierraAlma7.76
911Nolan InglisDeWitt9.17
1010Ian MorganOkemos10.76
1112Isaac StaibSt. Johns11.20
1211Landon PestrueSt. Louis12.38
1312Michael CyrulEast Lansing13.79
1412Jacob MontgomeryIonia14.40
1510Benjamin RottierGrand Ledge14.74
1612Ali KudmaniAlma15.16
1712Matthew SchraubenSt. Johns18.77
1812Eden LampiEast Lansing19.61
1911Lucas WoodHowell20.73
2011Nathan BeemerOkemos20.84
2112Brennan McKoneDeWitt25.53
2212Carter HolmesBath26.67
2311Drake WallaceHowell26.87
249Simon ShuttOkemos27.22
2512Nathan DaySaranac27.26
2610Noah DevereauxLaingsburg27.49
2711Nathan WilkinsonOkemos28.58
2811Conner McCormickMason32.55
2911Simon ErfourthOwosso33.72
3012Noah DeLandHowell33.75
319Nolan LoundsGrand Ledge34.93
3210Elijah BaltierraAlma35.03
3312Liam HooverHowell35.14
3412Hunter HelminskiSaranac37.96
3512Gurshaan SidhuOkemos38.65
3611Allan GeorgePewamo-Westphalia39.02
379Wyatt WernerPewamo-Westphalia39.28
3811Luke SkidmoreBath40.68
399River FoxBath41.35
4010Malcolm CesarioOkemos41.80
4110Payton ChandlerCorunna42.47
4211Elijah HutchinsonGrand Ledge42.66
4311Bodie HeissAlma42.78
4412Andrew KoenigsknechtBath43.81
4510Aidan RokaCorunna45.44
4611Andrew FugazziOkemos46.98
4711Jack HuntingtonEaton Rapids48.12
4811Lucas MooreFowlerville49.15
499John KowatchPewamo-Westphalia50.76
5012Sam DonnellanEast Lansing52.52

MACOMB COUNTY

Trophies to Top-3 Teams
All-County for Top-21 Individuals

Girls

Proj. PlaceTeamAvg. PlaceAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Romeo1.002195+95+
2Utica2.438689
3Fraser3.289658
4Macomb Dakota3.299753
5Warren Regina5.05145
6Armada5.95175
7Macomb Lutheran North7.42256
8Utica Eisenhower7.61258
9Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley9.01294
10Richmond10.47329
11Lakeview St. Clair Shores11.54344
12Utica Ford12.47354
13Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers12.79359
14Macomb L’Anse Creuse North13.55367
15Sterling Heights Stevenson14.47377

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Jayden HarbertsMacomb Dakota2.3
29Annie HrabovskyRomeo2.5
310Natalia GuaresimoRomeo2.7
410Emmerson ClorRomeo3.2
511Violet HrabovskyRomeo5.1
612Mariah BelmontMacomb Dakota7.6
711Olivia PurdyRomeo8.1
811Grace GrupidoFraser8.9
911Lillian DeskinsRomeo9.2
1010Siene MuraszewskiUtica10.4
119Emma BrownUtica10.9
1212Lauren ThomasNew Baltimore Anchor Bay13.1
1310Katelyn FrazierFraser13.8
1412Ava BaltierraArmada14.8
1512Gracie YoungbloodRomeo17.0
1612Remi FlanzFraser17.9
1711Brooklyn KhonArmada18.4
1810Brooke McFarlandUtica19.4
1912Kennedy RoskoppWarren Regina19.5
2011Elizabeth AmbroggioWarren Regina19.7
2110Olivia CereskaFraser20.0
2211Charlotte LongUtica Eisenhower20.9
2310Lidia ClancyMacomb Dakota21.9
2411Norah LesnerUtica22.5
2511Sophia AquinoUtica23.2
269Maggie BaginskiUtica Eisenhower24.7
2711Natalie LentineWarren Regina28.0
2812Samantha KookArmada29.3
299Aubrey RizzoMacomb Dakota32.0
3011Lorelei MahonWarren Regina32.4
3112Eleanor KroetschUtica34.4
3210Ryann SmitkaMacomb Dakota34.7
339Samantha WhitlamMacomb Lutheran North35.0
3410Eden FanteLakeview St. Clair Shores35.4
3512Grace GutmannClinton Twp. Chippewa Valley35.8
3611Shelby StabileHarrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse36.0
3711Julia TimpaMacomb Dakota36.8
3812Brianna AlbersRichmond38.0
3911Luciana RodriguezFraser38.4
409Lilly McNairUtica38.9
419Faith WesselMichigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers39.7
4210Jacalyn YakelUtica Eisenhower40.9
4310Kate MolloyFraser41.0
4412Emma DellLakeview St. Clair Shores44.5
4512Gabby FernandezWarren Regina45.0
469Lilianna PeaceClinton Twp. Chippewa Valley49.0
4710Paulina ChapmanRichmond49.7
489Kaitlyn RizzoMacomb Dakota49.8
4912Lydia MartoniFraser50.1
5010Abigail DenoyerArmada50.9

Boys

Proj. PlaceBoys TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 3 %
1Romeo621.248195+
2Macomb Dakota761.951695+
3Utica862.8495+
4New Baltimore Anchor Bay1113.97
5Utica Eisenhower2005.29
6Macomb L’Anse Creuse North2256.94
7Warren Cousino2327.64
8Macomb Lutheran North2348.05
9Fraser2357.98
10Utica Ford2539.57
11Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley27810.69
12Lakeview St. Clair Shores31912.14
13Harrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse34212.86
14Sterling Heights Stevenson38114.36
15Michigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers38614.54

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Thomas WestphalNew Baltimore Anchor Bay1.3
212Vincent GuaresimoRomeo2.5
312Connor ClorRomeo3.8
410Harper WesleyUtica5.2
512Dylan PenberthyMacomb L’Anse Creuse North6.5
612Carter FoxMacomb Dakota6.6
712Tyler DonovanFraser7.8
812Tyler BrothersUtica Eisenhower7.9
912Brewer SnayMacomb Lutheran North10.2
1012Simon DavisMacomb Dakota11.2
1112Brandon PenberthyMacomb L’Anse Creuse North12.4
1211Colton HowellMacomb Dakota13.5
1311Lucas LaMilzaMacomb Dakota13.9
1412Ethan MuraszewskiUtica14.0
1512Luke OysterUtica Eisenhower16.3
1612Jack DeWaeleClinton Twp. Chippewa Valley17.9
1712Bryce GoodsellRomeo17.9
1812Zachary RubiczNew Baltimore Anchor Bay18.1
1911Aidan DalyHarrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse19.9
2010Luke AllenRomeo20.7
2112Silas SmithUtica20.9
2211Luke MorehouseUtica21.2
2312Michael MagnoliRomeo21.2
2410Charlie CurtisUtica26.5
2512Aidan LeslieNew Baltimore Anchor Bay27.3
2611Greg VogtNew Baltimore Anchor Bay28.1
2712Johnathan MitchellUtica Ford28.6
2812Paul GopezWarren Cousino28.6
2911Gavin FrandleUtica30.9
3010James BrickelRomeo31.9
3110Lance EdghillFraser32.6
3211Braden CinatoWarren Cousino34.6
3310Andrew ScheloskeMacomb Dakota34.7
3411John LonswaySterling Heights Stevenson34.9
3512Lucas ShemanskyFraser35.9
3612Jamison SnayMacomb Lutheran North36.3
3712Gabe RuschNew Baltimore Anchor Bay36.4
3811Alex HabarthHarrison Twp. L’Anse Creuse36.6
3911Owen GouldRomeo36.8
4011Noah RedmanMacomb Dakota40.8
4110Aaron HemstreetWarren Cousino40.9
4212Rhenier WeeksUtica Ford41.1
4310Ian PottsMichigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers43.6
4412Aaron FranzClinton Twp. Chippewa Valley43.8
4510Joseph KaletoMacomb Dakota44.4
4612Thomas PerezMichigan Athletic Club for Homeschoolers45.2
4710Aaron OstermanNew Baltimore Anchor Bay46.6
4811Levi ClairUtica48.8
4911Jensen McCutcheonLakeview St. Clair Shores51.0
5011Colden GrayUtica Eisenhower51.1

LENAWEE COUNTY

Trophies to Top-3 Teams
Medals to Top-20 Individuals

Girls

Proj. PlaceGirls TeamAvg. PlaceAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Adrian1.76705195+
2Tecumseh2.07752895+
3Clinton2.26762195+
4Onsted4.1092
5Blissfield4.82103
6Hudson5.99135
7Addison7.11191
8Adrian Lenawee Christian7.97205
9Sand Creek8.92220

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Emmry RossOnsted1.0
211Sophy SkeelsAdrian2.3
312Anastee DavisAdrian3.6
411Izzy BrooksAdrian Lenawee Christian4.0
59Ayda SkeelsAdrian4.8
611Madison MorrisTecumseh6.4
710Hope MillerBlissfield6.5
812Cylee ElkinsClinton7.6
912Allison BowlesClinton9.1
1010Hailey SillsBlissfield10.4
1111Stephanie HernandezAddison12.5
1212Samantha CootsClinton13.4
1311Jayla BrightHudson13.6
1410Claire CousineauTecumseh14.8
1511Allie EnglandOnsted16.7
1610Raegan BrosamerOnsted17.6
179Leila MorrisTecumseh18.0
1812Leah RorickMorenci19.3
1911Jessica WarrenTecumseh20.1
209Maya WhelanTecumseh20.4
2112June MillerBlissfield20.5
2211Aubrey ApplemanBritton Deerfield21.1
2310Aurelia BennettClinton21.2
2410Emersyn BachelderMorenci24.3
2510Annabelle CzeiszpergerHudson24.5
269London LandiniTecumseh24.7
279Camryn NowakTecumseh28.3
2812Yoselin Fermin-CamposAdrian29.3
299Izabel RaglowOnsted30.0
3011Sarah KingClinton30.3

Boys

Proj. PlaceBoys TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 3 %
1Adrian211.0095+95+
2Clinton982.0095+
3Onsted1423.7741
4Hudson1443.8543
5Adrian Madison1555.1615
6Tecumseh1656.27
7Sand Creek1717.20
8Adrian Lenawee Christian1808.25
9Morenci1838.66
10Blissfield1888.84

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Braylon PettyAdrian1.0
210Moises SalazarAdrian2.5
311Mitchell HiattOnsted2.5
412Matthew CanalesAdrian4.6
59Carter FennerAdrian6.2
69Cole HillegondsClinton7.4
712Alex CzeiszpergerHudson7.7
812Chase NyackAdrian9.5
912Jackson NyackAdrian9.9
109Silas SkeelsAdrian11.0
1112Grant FahleTecumseh11.4
1211Ian WaddellBlissfield11.9
1312Lucas GoodmanClinton11.9
1411Gabe ManchesterClinton13.1
1511Joel LangeAdrian Lenawee Christian16.3
1610Trenton FetterAdrian Madison18.4
1712William MarksBlissfield19.8
1810Paul McClureAdrian Madison20.0
1911Isaac St. JohnHudson20.9
209Landon WilkinsMorenci21.8
2111Owen Strieter-ByronTecumseh22.0
2212Nathan DanielsAdrian Lenawee Christian22.1
2311Max MartenTecumseh22.3
2411James BayesOnsted22.4
259Silas DanielsSand Creek22.4
2611Zachary MartinezMorenci24.9
2711Beau ShafferMorenci25.1
2811Eric RamseyClinton27.1
2911Jameson WatsonBritton Deerfield28.1
3010Nicholas SorrowHudson29.6

GMAA

No mention of trophies/medals on the info doc (or I missed it, very likely), so I went 30 deep on individuals

Girls

Proj. PlaceGirls TeamAvg. PlaceAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Muskegon Western Michigan Christian1.003995+95+
2Fruitport2.046695+
3Muskegon Reeths-Puffer3.619347
4Muskegon Mona Shores3.619447
5Whitehall4.761136
6Montague6.01142
7Muskegon Oakridge6.97174
8Muskegon Orchard View8.05242

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Grace VanderKooiMuskegon Western Michigan Christian1.1
212Tatum DykstraFruitport2.6
310Jersi BilekMuskegon Reeths-Puffer3.4
411Cami KraaiWhitehall4.1
512Eleanor KingshottMuskegon Western Michigan Christian8.0
69Leah SnellerMuskegon Western Michigan Christian8.7
712Lauren LeeFruitport9.1
811Valerie PollockFruitport10.2
912Abbie WiegersNorth Muskegon10.3
1012Grace FolkemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian11.7
1110Ellery HornessMuskegon Mona Shores12.2
1212Merceydez PattonMuskegon Oakridge12.8
1312Cammie EricksonMontague12.9
149Kaylie RiksenMuskegon Western Michigan Christian13.8
1511Adalyn BrittonWhitehall13.9
1611Adrienne FluetteMuskegon Reeths-Puffer14.9
179Gabrielle ChevezMuskegon Reeths-Puffer17.9
1810Sylvia SkujinsNorth Muskegon18.7
1911Morgan LawrenceMuskegon Western Michigan Christian20.5
2011Diamond MadisonMuskegon Mona Shores20.5
2111Logan ClausenMuskegon Mona Shores20.9
2212Raegan RuelMuskegon Oakridge22.0
2310Ella GrimmMuskegon Mona Shores22.8
2411Grace TorschMontague26.1
2510Kaylynn PavligeFruitport26.3
2612Tresa DykstraFruitport26.4
2710Kendall BragintonMuskegon Mona Shores26.5
289Darcy KeefeMuskegon Reeths-Puffer26.6
299Treasure FleeseFruitport27.2
3010Kaylynn PavlichFruitport27.9

Boys

Proj. PlaceBoys TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 3 %
1Muskegon Reeths-Puffer601.257695+
2Fruitport721.902295+
3Muskegon Western Michigan Christian983.3262
4Whitehall1053.6537
5Montague1315.07
6Muskegon Mona Shores1456.02
7Muskegon Catholic Central1647.10
8North Muskegon1747.69
9Muskegon Oakridge2179.17
10Ravenna2409.83

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Jaxon AllenMuskegon Reeths-Puffer2.5
211Stewart WatersWhitehall2.6
311Matthias MorseMuskegon Western Michigan Christian3.2
411Kye GrantMuskegon Reeths-Puffer3.4
511Vincent PollockFruitport6.1
611Peyton RuelMuskegon Oakridge6.8
712Tate BradleyMuskegon Reeths-Puffer7.2
810Noah RaethMontague9.2
910Hunter ParsonsWhitehall9.7
1012Willem ParsekianMuskegon Mona Shores10.7
1112Clay JohnsonMontague15.3
1212Levi GlynnFruitport15.5
1312Evan Atkinson-MillerNorth Muskegon15.5
1412Ethan HoranFruitport16.2
1512Levi BolFruitport17.1
1612Graeson LawrenceMuskegon Western Michigan Christian18.7
1712Jacob LyonnaisMuskegon Catholic Central19.5
1812Alex WilberFruitport20.9
1911Alix DravesMontague21.4
2010Landon JohnsonFruitport21.4
2111Andrew BoeringaWhitehall23.2
2210Jack YonkmanMuskegon Reeths-Puffer24.0
239Barrett NanceNorth Muskegon24.5
2412Owen LyonnaisMuskegon Catholic Central24.8
2510Hayden FoxMuskegon Mona Shores25.1
2611Jamie NeelMuskegon Reeths-Puffer26.1
279Owen SytsemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian26.4
2810Reuben AndersonMuskegon Western Michigan Christian26.4
2911Daniel MaresRavenna27.2
3012Jack WalkenhorstMuskegon Catholic Central30.0

DOWNRIVER GABRIEL RICHARD

(But really NEWS HERALD to us OGs)

Trophies to Top-3 Teams
All-Area to Top-25 Individuals

Girls

Proj. PlaceGirls TeamAvg. PlaceAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Brownstown Woodhaven1.003295+95+
2Allen Park2.518189
3Wyandotte Roosevelt3.128771
4Riverview4.039227
5Grosse Ile4.399513

Boys

Proj. PlaceBoys TeamAvg. ScoreAvg. PlaceWin %Top 3 %
1Brownstown Woodhaven421.386295+
2Allen Park441.623895+
3Riverview863.0095+
4Wyandotte Roosevelt1094.00
5Riverview Gabriel Richard1295.08

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Logan RuffnerRiverview1.0
210Pierce SchefflerBrownstown Woodhaven2.2
312Caleb WynnAllen Park3.3
411Brady BoroniecAllen Park4.2
510Alex VazquezBrownstown Woodhaven4.3
612Evan SmithBrownstown Woodhaven6.5
712Hayden HolmesRiverview6.9
812Matthew MizziAllen Park8.6
910Rich FantiRiverview Gabriel Richard9.3
1012Ethan JohnsonWyandotte Roosevelt10.5
119Vincent JonesBrownstown Woodhaven12.3
1210Isaiah ClarkAllen Park12.6
139Jacob FerdubinskiRiverview Gabriel Richard15.7
1412Israel GarciaRiverview16.7
1511Jaime SaucedoMelvindale16.7
1612Gabriel NatividadTrenton17.0
1710Jackson RabyAllen Park17.9
1810Matthew CarbajoGrosse Ile19.0
1910Mateo ReyesBrownstown Woodhaven19.0
2012Alessandro FeliciBrownstown Woodhaven20.0
2111Landon HoffmanAllen Park20.1
229Calen AlexanderBrownstown Woodhaven20.8
239Connor BallWyandotte Roosevelt21.3
2411Jack FoxGrosse Ile23.7
259Noah AmoriWyandotte Roosevelt24.1
2612Ian KrampTrenton25.5
2711Aidan KubitzAllen Park25.7
2810Dominic BarrettoRiverview Gabriel Richard28.9
2911Matthew CaudillWyandotte Roosevelt29.6
3011Owen HassettTrenton29.9

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Payton SchefflerBrownstown Woodhaven1.3
212Ava TeedAllen Park Cabrini1.7
312Sparrow CentenoSouthgate Anderson3.5
49Hope NoalBrownstown Woodhaven4.0
510Eleanor GrantWyandotte Roosevelt5.4
612Claire BiretaAllen Park5.9
710Alyssa KorteGrosse Ile9.2
810Elliana PerugiBrownstown Woodhaven9.3
912Daniela HinojosRiverview9.5
1011Raelyn McLaughlinBrownstown Woodhaven9.7
1111Marisa ChueyTrenton12.2
1212Lauren MorenoWyandotte Roosevelt13.3
1310Avery BoggsRiverview13.4
1410Joslyn BechtolBrownstown Woodhaven15.1
159Julianne NadolskiSouthgate Anderson15.7
1611Anahi ChapaAllen Park15.7
179Chiamara OgbonnaBrownstown Woodhaven15.7
1811Mercedes DziendzielWyandotte Roosevelt17.3
1912Keira WoodRiverview18.6
2011Maya JusticeBrownstown Woodhaven20.4
2110Alicia SheltonGrosse Ile21.4
2212Abbie SawickiAllen Park22.5
2311Devyn DoreyTrenton23.1
249Adrianna ZubAllen Park25.5
259Whitney LauraGrosse Ile25.7
2612Nevaeh HarrisAllen Park25.8
2711Taylor KarasinskiGrosse Ile26.7
2811Grace KendziukAllen Park Cabrini27.4
2910Sophia MihalkoGrosse Ile29.5
3012Nicole TeedAllen Park Cabrini30.3
Uncategorized

2023 Rankings: County Week, Division 1

Portage, our great bellwether for the season’s progress, has come and passed. There were many affirmations and a few surprises. You’ll see a bit more movement in these rankings this week, as more recent meets are weighed more, early season meets mean less and less.

If you’ve followed these over the past few years, you may know the gist of these, but let’s break it down once again:

The individual ratings take into account all the meets listed here. There are a few meets missing that I’ll link to, but pretty much any meet with a significant number of athletes will have been calculated. An individual’s rating takes their best 75% of rated races (rounding up, so 4 of 5, 5 of 6, etc.), weighs them with more recent races having a higher weight, then spits out a final rating. The team rankings score those individuals as if they were in a meet against their entire division.

As a result of taking into the entire season into account, the rankings will be more conservative and less reactionary than most. Putting together a great performance once will bring about a tiny bit of movement, doing so repeatedly will elicit much greater change.

There are a few changes from previous years:

  • No more ratings of weekday, conference meets
    • Why? One, often these aren’t raced all out and end up underrating a runner. Two, to lessen my workload. I’d rather concentrate on these rankings and use the weekend invites that are more likely to be raced hard to determine the rankings.
  • Using the top 75% of races instead of 67%
    • Why? If I’m gonna use fewer overall races from a runner’s resume, I have to make up for it in some way.
  • No more individual rankings posted to social media
    • Why? I hate instances where a runner stagnates or falls back over the course of the season and it’s posted for the world to see. I recognize people want to know where they’re ranked, so just having it on the website is a happy medium.
  • More writeups focused on the top teams and individuals, rather than just handpicking one each week
    • I’ve found that when it comes toward state time, I know all the numbers and what a kid might run, but have a tough time pointing toward a narrative. Hopefully writing a little recap and what to look forward to will help in that regard. I started with three for the first rankings, then five this week, and so on.
    • But sadly not D1 this week. But as my own boss, I’m giving myself leeway as I’ve already written thousands of pages of material this year.
  • Posting these one division at a time
    • If you’ve noticed, I always go Division 4 first, trending towards Division 1. This is done intentionally! Traditional media always focuses on the larger schools. By focusing on the smaller divisions first, they get the love that they might not normally receive.

Unfortunately, the injury rule is in place, where if I don’t have a rating from the past month, that runner is taken out. If you’re willing to share (and I can understand why not – someone’s medical situation doesn’t have to be the public’s business) that your athlete or you yourself are healthy/injured, feel free. There are some exceptions based on situations that make sense. Hopefully these don’t rub salt in the wound of someone who’s already hurting.

Now I need to be serious for a minute. These are for fun. If you don’t like these fun rankings, you don’t need to participate, you don’t need to call me names, talk trash to your fellow competitors, or send rude emails. We good here? Enjoy.

WEEK THREE RANKINGS
WEEK FOUR RANKINGS
CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK RANKINGS

Just wanted to get these out before work, so sadly, no writeups 😦

RankTeamRegionScoreChamp WkWeek 4Week 3Summer
1Romeo9881221
2Ann Arbor Pioneer51522113
3Brighton42833334
4Holland West Ottawa13199865
5Okemos23231111118
6Grand Haven13577559
7Northville638144410
8Saline53935972
9Traverse City West243387106
10Forest Hills Central346866815
11Rockford153012121412
12Oxford8577101097
13Davison462318151733
14Utica867622161820
15White Lake Lakeland770115312845
16Traverse City Central272413141616
17Clarkston874430413919
18Jenison175014131218
19Dexter476516212213
20Fraser980019192034
21Walled Lake Northern783227221314
22Rochester883824202637
23Macomb Dakota984217172327
24Ann Arbor Skyline485220293661
25Lake Orion886423281917
26Portage Central386926261528
27Zeeland West189029253042

Just wanted to get these out before work, so sadly, no writeups 😦

RankTeamRegionScoreChamp WkWeek 4Week 3Summer
1Brighton42052222
2Northville62371111
3Grand Haven12983334
4Ann Arbor Pioneer534456511
5Canton635745620
6Kalamazoo Central337887103
7Oxford838674419
8Troy8473617226
9White Lake Lakeland74981081112
10Romeo95099985
11Forest Hills Central35131110178
12Walled Lake Northern7544131477
13Jenison154715151516
14Livonia Churchill657912121326
15Clarkston86132211129
16Macomb Dakota96151413933
17Traverse City Central265317221414
18Plymouth666419163115
19Portage Central369616212610
20Utica870918191613
21Saline572321181818
22Zeeland West173020231921
23Bay City Western273023202437
24Lake Orion884428262023
25East Kentwood386624242145
26Traverse City West289626363428
27Dexter491129322322

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RANKINGS

Just wanted to get these out before work, so sadly, no writeups 😦

RankGradeNameTeamRegion
112Rachel ForsythAnn Arbor Pioneer5
212Selma AndersonGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills3
311Lucy CookRochester8
412Jayden HarbertsMacomb Dakota9
59Annie HrabovskyRomeo9
610Natalia GuaresimoRomeo9
712Clara James-HeerForest Hills Central3
812Katie WatkinsH.H. Dow2
910Emmerson ClorRomeo9
1012Morgan BrownLivonia Churchill6
1111Cassie GarciaNorthville6
1212Ella ChristensenNorthville6
1310Ava PorrasHolland West Ottawa1
1411Valerie BeeckGrand Haven1
1512Lydia BowmanAnn Arbor Pioneer5
1611Violet HrabovskyRomeo9
179Anyla RobinsonDetroit Cass Tech5
1811Mallory BigelowOxford8
1910Addie BirkholzHolland West Ottawa1
2012Payton SchefflerBrownstown Woodhaven5
2112Layla KrayemLivonia Stevenson6
2211Ava AlicandroWhite Lake Lakeland7
2312Shannon GillahanOkemos2
2412Elaina (Laney) AligSaline5
2512Carrigan EberlyBrighton4
2611Chloe DeRidderGrandville1
2712Hannah DeRoeckLake Orion8
2812Natalie MelloAnn Arbor Pioneer5
2910Lydia LaMarraBrighton4
3011Isabelle BeckerBay City Western2
3111Grace TykockiGrand Blanc4
3211Ava PetersLivonia Franklin6
3311Elle BissettBrighton4
3412Braydee EllingOxford8
3512Ella KirkwoodTraverse City Central2
3612Allison MayerAnn Arbor Skyline4
3710Leah CorbyRochester Hills Stoney Creek9
3811Lauren WalkerHolt2
3912Izzy FazioForest Hills Northern3
4010Ava LawrenceEast Kentwood3
4111Alena BlumbergDexter4
4212Alisia OlteanuWalled Lake Western7
4310Addison HerrBloomfield Hills8
4412Sylvia Sanok DufalloAnn Arbor Pioneer5
459Gabriella FugazziOkemos2
4611Annie AlkemaKalamazoo Central3
4712Paige McArdleDavison4
4811Jordyn KlaasenZeeland West1
4910Cianah Budnik-RamosGrand Haven1
5010Abby VeitTraverse City West2

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RANKINGS

Just wanted to get these out before work, so sadly, no writeups 😦

RankGradeNameTeamRegion
112Seth NorderGrand Haven1
212Brendan HergerNorthville6
312Thomas WestphalAnchor Bay9
412Vishvaa RavishankarTroy8
512Vincent GuaresimoRomeo9
612Aiden MooreBattle Creek Lakeview3
711Ethan PowellNorthville6
89Kamari RonfeldtAnn Arbor Pioneer5
911Taye LevensonBloomfield Hills8
1010Kyle O’RourkeHighland-Milford7
1112Luke SulimanAnn Arbor Skyline4
1212Brandon AndersonDexter4
1312Ty ParkerWalled Lake Northern7
1412Noah SelvarajBay City Western2
1512Sebastian RamirezRoyal Oak7
1611Seth ConnerJenison1
1712Iain ForrestDavison4
1811Kian SchneeweisTroy8
1912Jasper CaneKalamazoo Central3
2012Tyler LangleyBrighton4
2111Alexander McArthurOxford8
229Jack MacGregorHowell4
2312Vincent Peterson SandAnn Arbor Pioneer5
2412Pierce GrzymkowskiWhite Lake Lakeland7
2512Connor ClorRomeo9
2612Luke CampbellBrighton4
2712Truman JohnsonSaline5
2810Aiden PengellyCanton6
2912Mitchell ClarkCanton6
3012Liam WaltersGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills3
3110Harper WesleyUtica8
3212Anirudh KrishnanPlymouth6
3311Evan NickolesEast Kentwood3
3411Mason LucasJenison1
3512Ian LewisLivonia Churchill6
3612Dylan PenberthyL’Anse Creuse North9
3712Carter FoxMacomb Dakota9
3812Evan RiceWalled Lake Northern7
3912Oliver MossBerkley7
4012Zack TruszkowskiTraverse City Central2
4112Logan BegemanPortage Central3
4211Malcolm SpiegleLivonia Churchill6
4312Willem DeGoodTraverse City West2
4411Ben EisnorGrand Haven1
4511Tyler BrockBrighton4
4611James CusickOxford8
4712Tyler BrothersUtica Eisenhower9
489Luka HammondGrand Haven1
4910John BlaskowskiSaginaw Heritage2
5011Jonah BillsBattle Creek Lakeview3