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2022 Ratings – Shepherd Regional

Boys Adjustment: +20
Girls Adjustment: +24

PROJECTIONS

How Right/Wrong Was I? 14/18 of the top 3 teams (31/36 overall). Alma and Bay City Western Boys, Freeland and Traverse City Central Girls – I owe you one!

SHEPHERD SUPERSTARS

I will highlight one kid from each race for a little writeup. With Regionals and their survive and advance attitude, I’ll try to shout out someone who extended their season another week when they weren’t expected to, or contributed to a team that came in with a clutch performance. Of course, that leaves out many athletes who gave a great effort, and all of the athletes that were winners for toeing the line this weekend. Congrats to all.

Logan Grills, Bay City Western: His sophomore year whole career has been full of time drops. From 21:57 in early September 2020 to 17:14 yesterday, Logan’s been spittin’ out PB after PB. He’s done it in early season meets, tough courses, and now the biggest race of his life.

Regan Feeley, Traverse City Central: The old guard is still strong. The Trojans are a traditional power and this was appearing to be a bit of a down year – well, until Regan transformed into something special this October. Three of her five races this month have been of the sub-20 variety.

Elijah Baltierra, Alma: Was projected 35th coming in and placed 28th. If those seven points go the other way, suddenly it’s a much tighter battle with Frankenmuth. But anyhow, Elijah came through with a 15+ second personal best. I thought these young Panthers were perhaps a year away from breaking through to the state stage, well they’ve sure expedited that process.

Karie Keefer, Freeland: Karie didn’t run cross as a freshman, though she did run track, excelling across the board in the distance events (2:31/5:28/12:10). In her first cross campaign, she’s slowly been able to equal that track form. Sub-20 in three of her past four races, with a 20+ second personal best yesterday.

Matthew Johnston, Hemlock: I didn’t release these prior, but just as I did for the teams, I was able to create odds for the individuals too. Matthew came in with a 14% chance of cracking the top-15. With his 12th place finish, he more than cracked the door, he waltzed right in.

Jenna Sweeney, Reese: It’s been a short, abbreviated season for Jenna. She started in late September with a rustbuster at Marlette. She had a rough race at Heritage, interspersed with two efforts near 20:00. But on this regional stage, she knows how to turn it up a notch, this being her third consecutive top-5 placing.

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Jonah Hochstetler15:25.7TC West (Traverse City)204.8
12Joe Muha15:41.8Traverse City Central199.4
11Noah Selvaraj15:49.5Bay City Western196.8
12Micah Bauer15:54.2Traverse City Central195.3
11Kenny Lewis16:01.6Saginaw Heritage192.8
12Gabriel Trevino16:05.1Saginaw Heritage191.6
12Jett Reimers16:09.1Traverse City Central190.3
11Willem DeGood16:17.3TC West (Traverse City)187.6
12Elijah Allen16:27.8Alpena184.1
11Zack Truszkowski16:30.2Traverse City Central183.3
12Theodore Lange16:33.5Saginaw Heritage182.2
11Colin MacGregor16:36.0H.H. Dow181.3
11Alex Durocher16:41.7Traverse City Central179.4
12Raine Webley16:45.5Saginaw Heritage178.2
10Nathan Wilkinson16:48.4Okemos177.2
9Ian Morgan16:48.9Okemos177.0
11Eden Lampi16:52.2East Lansing175.9
12Daniel Ebel16:52.5Bay City Western175.8
11Sam King16:55.4TC West (Traverse City)174.9
12Hunter Hitzelberger16:58.6Alpena173.8
12Tanner Kennedy16:59.9Grand Ledge173.4
12Sam Elder17:00.7Grand Ledge173.1
9John Blaskowski17:01.6Saginaw Heritage172.8
11Kaiden Morey17:05.4Traverse City Central171.5
11Michael Cyrul17:07.3East Lansing170.9
11Miles Killips17:07.9Bay City Western170.7
12Gabe Benavides17:08.1East Lansing170.6
10Lawrence Cubitt17:08.9Traverse City Central170.4
10Nathan Beemer17:12.5Okemos169.2
12Ben Bucci17:13.1Midland169.0
12Sawyer Hosford17:13.6Holt168.8
12Julian Edwards17:13.7Holt168.8
11Sebastian Maldonado17:13.9H.H. Dow168.7
10Logan Grills17:14.7Bay City Western168.4
11Ian Hinkle17:21.2Grand Ledge166.3
11Sam Donnellan17:21.5East Lansing166.2
11Gurshaan Sidhu17:22.3Okemos165.9
10Andrew Fugazzi17:22.3Okemos165.9
11Logan Northrop17:22.7Mt. Pleasant165.8
12Ian Brown17:23.2Okemos165.6
10Andrew Kaczmarczyk17:28.2Bay City Western163.9
11Jack Laurain17:28.2Saginaw Heritage163.9
10Andy Castro17:28.5H.H. Dow163.8
10Elijah Hutchinson17:30.5Grand Ledge163.2
12Evan Newcombe17:32.4East Lansing162.5
12Hoyt Smith17:32.7Bay City Western162.4
10Ben Haakenson17:34.8Grand Ledge161.7
12Ben Scott17:38.1H.H. Dow160.6
9Ben Rottier17:43.0Grand Ledge159.0
10Kenan Knight17:43.8Alpena158.7
10Jack Sequin17:46.7Bay City Western157.8
9Andrew Worsley17:47.6Midland157.5
10Arun Venkatesan17:48.8H.H. Dow157.1
11Gurmaan Sidhu17:49.6Okemos156.8
12Hunter Seifferly17:51.3Bay City Central156.2
9Logan Bellinger17:54.8Midland155.1
11Lucas Berg17:56.8Midland154.4
12Aiden Porritt17:57.5Midland154.2
12Elijah Klee18:04.8TC West (Traverse City)151.7
11Mateo Reyes18:05.1Midland151.6
11Amar Hamdan18:06.9East Lansing151.0
12Jacob Leff18:08.2Midland150.6
12Adam Hafner18:10.0Grand Ledge150.0
9Joseph Sturtevant18:13.9TC West (Traverse City)148.7
12Stephon Edwards18:20.1Holt146.6
12Joshua Stuber18:21.6Saginaw Heritage146.1
12Drew Alexander18:22.6TC West (Traverse City)145.8
10Cavin Mills18:24.1Mt. Pleasant145.3
10Sam Scott18:30.1H.H. Dow143.3
9Hayden Murray18:30.3TC West (Traverse City)143.2
10Thurston Imhoff18:33.5Alpena142.2
12Steven Hodges18:35.2Holt141.6
10Landon Jayaraman18:38.7Holt140.4
11Nathaniel Kilgore18:42.9Holt139.0
9Damian Marcinek18:48.0Mt. Pleasant137.3
9Amos Miller18:48.3Saginaw Arthur Hill137.2
9Eric Popa18:54.7Mt. Pleasant135.1
10Hayden Bacchus19:06.8Alpena131.1
10Kaleos Reid19:10.0Mt. Pleasant130.0
10Austin Reinhardt19:14.4Alpena128.5
9Braeden Mathis19:14.4Alpena128.5
11Ryan Castaneda19:18.2Bay City Central127.3
11Jackson Sinicropi19:19.0Lansing Everett127.0
9Caleb Luellen19:25.6Mt. Pleasant124.8
11Jaxon Zavala19:49.8Bay City Central116.7
9Ethan Kilgore19:52.3Holt115.9
9Orion Moya19:53.0Saginaw Arthur Hill115.7
11Kroy Wilson19:55.6Mt. Pleasant114.8
12Sam Booth20:07.0East Lansing111.0
12Ethan Zinkweg20:14.4H.H. Dow108.5
11Andrew Bernelis20:31.9Bay City Central102.7
10Nicholas Luna20:32.6Bay City Central102.5
11Help Djuma20:50.7Lansing Everett96.4
10Elijah Swift21:00.0Lansing Everett93.3
10Jibrael Al-Sinnawi21:01.0Lansing Everett93.0
11Anthony Daoud21:04.9Saginaw Arthur Hill91.7
12Jacob Sturgeon21:23.2Lansing Everett85.6
9Deacon Hayward21:32.9Bay City Central82.4
11Gavin Gutierrez21:51.2Saginaw Arthur Hill76.3
12Chalmer Young23:01.1Bay City Central53.0
10Nolan Prevo23:13.2Lansing Everett48.9
12Rainier Caleb23:46.8Lansing Everett37.7
10Antwone Humes23:59.9Saginaw Arthur Hill33.4
12Jonathan Colon24:09.3Saginaw Arthur Hill30.2
11Gavin Gwizwala25:06.3Saginaw Arthur Hill11.2
10TJ Hansen15:50.3Freeland196.6
12Braydon Honsinger16:10.6Freeland189.8
12Tyler Heath16:14.9Clio188.4
10Landen Wise16:19.5Frankenmuth186.8
10Seth Mead16:20.0Gladwin186.7
9Thomas Larson16:23.2Alma185.6
12Bryce Husen16:23.8Birch Run185.4
11Andrew Yax16:33.3Clio182.2
11Caleb Palmreuter16:38.3Gladwin180.6
11Elliott Sirianni16:41.2Clio179.6
11David Murphy16:46.8Flint Powers Catholic177.7
12Braden Klein16:49.3Freeland176.9
10Nolan Longuski16:49.5Shepherd176.8
10Elijah Christensen16:55.5Gladwin174.8
9Brett Magnus17:01.1Frankenmuth173.0
11Ali Kudmani17:05.2Alma171.6
12Aidan Lobsinger17:06.9Flint Powers Catholic171.0
9Luca Lebron17:10.5Alma169.8
10Camden McLeod17:12.2Freeland169.3
12Grant Conger17:14.0Frankenmuth168.7
10Bodie Heiss17:15.8Alma168.1
9Bryce Gross17:21.5Flint Powers Catholic166.2
11Jack Rumptz17:21.5Birch Run166.2
10Jack Lillywhite17:22.0Flint Kearsley166.0
12Braden Amthor17:28.9Bay City John Glenn163.7
10Sam Nemeth17:31.8Freeland162.7
11Bailey Wiggins17:35.6Midland Bullock Creek161.5
9Elijah Baltierra17:37.1Alma161.0
9Murphy Wagner17:37.9Saginaw Swan Valley160.7
9Anthony Plana17:38.4Frankenmuth160.5
10Cougar Clark17:41.4Frankenmuth159.5
12Ryder Payne17:41.9Bay City John Glenn159.4
12Anthony Condron17:45.6Clio158.1
11Connor Mausolf17:46.2Birch Run157.9
11Alex Lillywhite17:46.5Flint Kearsley157.8
11John Whitman17:54.6Gladwin155.1
11Evan Yax17:57.3Clio154.2
10Brayden Sweeney18:01.9Midland Bullock Creek152.7
9Ian McNeel18:03.4Shepherd152.2
11Mason Brewer18:03.4Clio152.2
9Caleb Carignan18:04.9Flint Powers Catholic151.7
10Logan Means18:07.5Shepherd150.8
11Peter Huey18:08.0Flint Powers Catholic150.7
12Dakota Leddy18:09.2Gladwin150.3
11Keiran Murphy18:09.6Flint Powers Catholic150.1
12Ethan Edgar18:11.7Gladwin149.4
9Ben Verellen18:14.6Gladwin148.5
9Chase Somers18:15.6Freeland148.1
9Gannon Sova18:16.3Saginaw Swan Valley147.9
12Nico Lopez18:17.5Shepherd147.5
12Anthony Kulhanek18:19.9Bay City John Glenn146.7
11Lucas Hines18:21.5Ogemaw Heights146.2
12Owen Quinnan18:22.0Birch Run146.0
10Evan Brown18:22.3Freeland145.9
11Thomas Gustafson18:22.9Flint Kearsley145.7
9Cole Fernandez18:24.3Flint Kearsley145.2
10Ethan Sellers18:25.2Flint Kearsley144.9
9Noah Chouinard18:25.5Alma144.8
12Jaxson Stephen18:37.8Flint Powers Catholic140.7
9Colton Whittaker18:38.2Frankenmuth140.6
9Duane Davis18:39.1Midland Bullock Creek140.3
12Aidan Lupisella18:39.3Bay City John Glenn140.2
11Marc Woods18:44.3Midland Bullock Creek138.6
12Carson Parlberg18:49.5Birch Run136.8
12Landon Geiling18:50.0Saginaw Swan Valley136.7
9Jagger Clark18:51.8Frankenmuth136.1
11Lance Helfer19:01.0Shepherd133.0
12Carter Wells19:11.7Midland Bullock Creek129.4
10Jacob Olszewski19:17.1Clio127.6
9Roman Franciosi19:23.7Ogemaw Heights125.4
11Evan Worden19:26.3Birch Run124.6
11Noah Gola19:38.9Shepherd120.4
10Masen Koskinen19:39.3Birch Run120.2
11Cole Zimmer19:45.5Ogemaw Heights118.2
10Maison Mannor20:00.4Flint Kearsley113.2
10Xavier Hoppe20:06.5Shepherd111.2
11Paolo Poquiz20:21.5Alma106.2
9Ethan McDonald20:57.8Carrollton94.1
9Logan Peavey20:59.7Carrollton93.4
11Jake Beaver21:00.9Bay City John Glenn93.0
10Noah Charbonneau21:16.8Essexville Garber87.7
9Trenton Terrian21:25.5Saginaw Swan Valley84.8
12Chaz Cole21:45.6Ogemaw Heights78.1
9Wyatt Vaughn22:17.4Ogemaw Heights67.5
11Preston Radomski22:28.6Bay City John Glenn63.8
10Jonathan Noel22:38.0Bay City John Glenn60.7
10Drew Fruk23:00.1Saginaw Swan Valley53.3
12Andrew Mielke23:28.5Saginaw Swan Valley43.8
11Hunter Mabe23:30.7Ogemaw Heights43.1
11Ben March16:24.9St. Louis185.0
12Connor Stefanovsky16:31.5Caro182.8
11Matthew Pattullo16:37.8Caro180.7
10Landon Pestrue16:51.1St. Louis176.3
12Jonah Shephard17:01.4Sanford-Meridian172.9
10Cade Truemner17:13.0EPBP Laker169.0
12Dylan Marr17:19.2St. Louis166.9
10Tyler Heal17:26.4Sanford-Meridian164.5
10Colin Kuhn17:39.1St. Louis160.3
9Alex Rodriguez17:43.5St. Louis158.8
10Jacob Moore17:55.4Caro154.9
11Matthew Johnston18:05.2Hemlock151.6
11Caleb Geiger18:05.5Bad Axe151.5
11Ty Johnson18:06.2Otisville LakeVille151.3
9Hayden Shattuck18:07.1St. Louis151.0
10Connor Kennedy18:07.9Otisville LakeVille150.7
11Elliot Noyes18:19.2Sanford-Meridian146.9
11Kyle Baldwin18:23.1Mt Morris145.6
11Konnor Olson18:23.2EPBP Laker145.6
9Jayden Fox18:25.3Saginaw Valley Lutheran144.9
11Nicholas Tallman18:33.6Vassar142.1
11Ayden Laurin18:38.0Millington140.7
10Bryce Reinke18:38.0Sandusky140.7
11Ethan Wetzel18:41.7Sanford-Meridian139.4
10Nathaniel Seney18:44.2Reese138.6
9Wesley Haines18:48.5Reese137.2
11Jack Turner18:53.5EPBP Laker135.5
9Joey Glinski18:59.6Montrose133.5
12Dominic Gilman19:03.5St. Louis132.2
12Wyatt Wojdula19:04.9Reese131.7
11Donythyn Deitrick19:08.4Sanford-Meridian130.5
10Phineas Houghtaling19:11.7Reese129.4
9Tyler Leach19:12.9Otisville LakeVille129.0
10Gage Dilsaver19:13.6Cass City128.8
10Brady Peterson19:14.2Otisville LakeVille128.6
10Evan Langmaid19:17.0Caro127.7
11Landen Muska19:21.7Vassar126.1
9Ayden Hipps19:33.3Montrose122.2
10Ian Weldon19:34.5Reese121.8
12Colton Gibson19:34.8Otisville LakeVille121.7
10Owen Rathbun19:34.8Hemlock121.7
9Logan Brawt19:46.2Sanford-Meridian117.9
11Brody Davis19:47.8Hemlock117.4
12Gavin Girard19:48.4Saginaw Valley Lutheran117.2
10David Simons19:50.0Sanford-Meridian116.7
11David Hensler19:56.1Hemlock114.6
9Jackson Fulton19:58.0Caro114.0
11Trace Slezsak19:59.1Caro113.6
9Jaycob Hipps20:00.0Montrose113.3
10Tyler Rude20:01.2Millington112.9
10Nick Himmel20:06.7Bad Axe111.1
12Ethan Schmidt20:10.3Saginaw Valley Lutheran109.9
10Cadden Smith20:13.6Reese108.8
11Evan Bills20:22.0Vassar106.0
12Colin Kelsey20:25.6Montrose104.8
11Alec Briggs20:26.9Hemlock104.4
10Jake Rodammer20:28.7Millington103.8
10Joshua Smith20:43.1Sandusky99.0
10Ayden Champane20:45.6Bad Axe98.1
9Maddox Fabbro20:52.1Millington96.0
12Cooper Shores20:54.9Reese95.0
12Dennis Schaffer20:56.2Hemlock94.6
9Sawyer Ross20:57.7Cass City94.1
10Caiden Geiger21:03.2Bad Axe92.3
12Bryan Schwarz21:18.7Saginaw Valley Lutheran87.1
12Hayden Rondy21:22.1Hemlock86.0
9Gregor Waite21:30.5Otisville LakeVille83.2
9Colton Moore21:31.7Saginaw Valley Lutheran82.8
12Robert Poore’sanchez22:05.9Mt Morris71.4
11Tyler Raible22:09.1Otisville LakeVille70.3
9William Arms-Whitman22:18.2Montrose67.3
10RJ Dickie22:34.7Vassar61.8
10Connor Hoard23:25.7Millington44.8
11Ethan Hall23:27.6Cass City44.1
9Colin Pratt24:19.0Montrose27.0

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
10Victoria Garces18:22.9H.H. Dow144.4
12Taylor Pangburn18:23.7Grand Ledge144.1
10Lauren Walker18:29.7Holt142.1
12Emma Netzel18:42.0Holt138.0
11Shannon Gillahan18:43.0Okemos137.7
10Isabelle Becker18:48.6Bay City Western135.8
11Lily Salazar18:51.8Okemos134.7
9Abby Veit18:53.1TC West (Traverse City)134.3
11Alexis Ball18:54.1Traverse City Central134.0
12Ambria Nagel18:54.5Bay City Western133.8
11Emma Dickins18:56.0Alpena133.3
9Bailey Wenzlick18:58.5TC West (Traverse City)132.5
11Katie Watkins19:02.3H.H. Dow131.2
9Peyton Tucker19:12.0TC West (Traverse City)128.0
11Nicole Mays19:13.1Okemos127.6
9Aviana Skinner19:13.9Grand Ledge127.4
9Regan Feeley19:25.2Traverse City Central123.6
11Ella Kirkwood19:26.2Traverse City Central123.3
10Sydney Roberts19:28.9H.H. Dow122.4
11Bryna Mead-O’Brien19:39.3Okemos118.9
9Fiona Whitmyer19:45.9Okemos116.7
10Abby Minnick19:46.7East Lansing116.4
12Erica Slocum19:48.1Bay City Western116.0
10Alyssa Fouchey19:49.4TC West (Traverse City)115.5
9Reese Smith19:49.7TC West (Traverse City)115.4
11Grace Riddle19:50.7Midland115.1
12Kathleen Venhuizen19:52.8Traverse City Central114.4
11Ava King19:55.4TC West (Traverse City)113.5
9Payton Lamb19:58.9TC West (Traverse City)112.4
10Ellie Schenkelberger20:02.8Traverse City Central111.1
10Chloe Greer20:04.5Midland110.5
12Emma Rajewski20:05.1Bay City Western110.3
9Sophie Markel20:05.7Bay City Western110.1
9October Harns20:06.0Okemos110.0
12Abby Buchalski20:07.8Saginaw Heritage109.4
11Gabriella Mezei20:13.6Mt. Pleasant107.5
9Madison Aten20:14.7Grand Ledge107.1
11Jessica Bossenbroek20:20.2Holt105.3
12Kaitlyn Snook20:23.9Grand Ledge104.0
12Jaana Glasmacher20:26.5Okemos103.2
12Lola Reimers20:30.8Traverse City Central101.7
12Lauren Hamilton20:33.2Grand Ledge100.9
12Norah Allington20:36.6H.H. Dow99.8
9Ava Kontranowski20:41.6Midland98.1
10Kaelyn Heath20:43.2Alpena97.6
9Keira Kalbfleisch20:45.6Saginaw Heritage96.8
11Ava Mullen20:47.6Holt96.1
9Lydia Jagger20:48.4Grand Ledge95.9
12Rachel Mecca20:50.1Midland95.3
10Primalia Cubitt20:52.9Traverse City Central94.4
12Madison Lira20:54.0Grand Ledge94.0
12Sydney Thompson20:55.3H.H. Dow93.6
11Mckenzie Richards20:59.8Bay City Western92.1
10Allison Nussear21:02.5H.H. Dow91.2
10Ivy Beall21:04.4H.H. Dow90.5
9Mallory Wilcox21:06.1Bay City Western90.0
9Zoe Brown21:09.7Mt. Pleasant88.8
11McKinley Berry21:10.3Saginaw Heritage88.6
10Emily Honeman21:12.6Saginaw Heritage87.8
10Avery Shepard21:15.4Midland86.9
12Edith Pendell21:17.9East Lansing86.0
11Summer Terpstra21:21.7Mt. Pleasant84.8
10Amelia Roznowski21:24.2Alpena83.9
9Kate Chenault21:25.2East Lansing83.6
12Olivia Kain21:28.9Bay City Central82.4
12Grace Rose21:31.1East Lansing81.6
12Molly Basil21:35.3Saginaw Heritage80.2
12Madison Matonican21:39.5Midland78.8
11Katy Zimmer21:42.9Mt. Pleasant77.7
11Liv Rohr21:58.9Midland72.4
11Keira Schiebner22:02.6Saginaw Heritage71.1
10Hailey Hausbeck22:03.4Mt. Pleasant70.9
12Kayla Fogarty22:19.8Holt65.4
12Jillian Maloney22:31.6Saginaw Heritage61.5
12Frankie Calabrese-Barton22:36.9East Lansing59.7
11Jerzie Brakenberry22:37.2Mt. Pleasant59.6
9Beth Lehr22:41.7Mt. Pleasant58.1
11Cailyn Burrone23:02.4Alpena51.2
12Barbara Stout23:05.0East Lansing50.3
11Selma Ruiz23:06.5Bay City Central49.8
10Natalia Costilla23:08.4Bay City Central49.2
10Amelia Flahie23:17.3Holt46.2
11Lena Smith23:17.9Holt46.0
9Azalea Macias23:29.0East Lansing42.3
11Addison Mayfield23:53.2Bay City Central34.3
12Katrina White24:01.4Bay City Central31.5
12Kristanelly Olvera24:07.1Bay City Central29.6
11Abbie Wong25:09.0Saginaw Arthur Hill9.0
10Sarah Rabbideau25:29.8Alpena2.1
11Mary Richmond18:12.6Frankenmuth147.8
10Ezgi Kurt18:59.1Alma132.3
10Joy Evans19:15.5Alma126.8
12Ariel Warner19:17.4Shepherd126.2
10Karie Keefer19:18.1Freeland126.0
9Jada Prescott19:18.6Freeland125.8
11Hannah Raglin19:46.3Alma116.6
9Natalie Foltz19:46.4Frankenmuth116.5
9Samantha Brown19:56.3Clio113.2
12Elle Himebaugh19:57.0Shepherd113.0
10Abby Robinson19:59.0Gladwin112.3
11Paige Kloha19:59.6Freeland112.1
9Gabby Cleveland19:59.9Frankenmuth112.0
9Mattie Gagne20:02.2Midland Bullock Creek111.3
11Ava Boggs20:04.3Flint Kearsley110.6
10Jenna Overla20:09.4Alma108.9
9Elise Barden20:18.3Frankenmuth105.9
9Cessaly Fichtner20:19.4Freeland105.5
12Jolie Fisher20:25.0Shepherd103.7
12Alexcis Parker20:31.4Flint Powers Catholic101.5
11Aubrey Keeler20:37.0Clio99.7
10Grace Murphy20:41.4Flint Powers Catholic98.2
10Lillian Binger20:44.2Gladwin97.3
12Carley Lynch20:44.5Shepherd97.2
9Alanis Povey20:45.6Gladwin96.8
12Kiersten Schiebner20:52.6Saginaw Swan Valley94.5
12Jordan Cleveland20:57.6Alma92.8
10Evie Culver21:00.0Frankenmuth92.0
12McKenzie Betts21:04.1Alma90.6
10Heather Brownlee21:13.2Essexville Garber87.6
9Megan Gimmey21:15.1Shepherd87.0
10Clare Conzelmann21:16.8Frankenmuth86.4
11Jessa Davis21:20.5Birch Run85.2
10Gracie Warner21:23.1Shepherd84.3
10Vivian Wickes21:31.2Alma81.6
12Haven Vasold21:32.9Freeland81.0
10Grace Evanoff21:35.2Flint Powers Catholic80.3
9Sophia Ciesla21:37.6Essexville Garber79.5
11Maggie Gilin21:42.6Flint Powers Catholic77.8
11Destiny Wasoski21:43.0Bay City John Glenn77.7
10Ava D’Archangel21:43.5Bay City John Glenn77.5
11Aerika Pertler21:46.6Flint Powers Catholic76.5
12Ella Rabideau22:11.7Birch Run68.1
11Madison Gimmey22:16.7Shepherd66.4
11Brianna Krampe22:22.2Flint Powers Catholic64.6
11Kate Fulton22:22.6Flint Powers Catholic64.5
12Kaylin Reed22:24.3Birch Run63.9
10Jenna Kowalski22:31.3Freeland61.6
12Ainsley Miller22:31.6Freeland61.5
10Reese Beery22:44.4Saginaw Swan Valley57.2
10Liliana Garza22:47.6Flint Kearsley56.1
11Tessa Cameron22:53.8Gladwin54.1
11Mari Cessina22:58.2Saginaw Swan Valley52.6
11Kaitlyn Miller23:05.9Frankenmuth50.0
10Brenna Burger23:06.2Clio49.9
11Avery Lupisella23:07.9Bay City John Glenn49.4
10Ella Bryce23:08.8Birch Run49.1
11Katie Seebeck23:12.0Gladwin48.0
12Katrina Wells23:13.2Birch Run47.6
9Alexis Mendoza23:24.9Saginaw Swan Valley43.7
10Madison Shorkey23:37.2Bay City John Glenn39.6
10Brianna Smaltz23:38.1Midland Bullock Creek39.3
10Carmen Bragg23:41.8Gladwin38.1
11Emma Fessler23:41.9Flint Kearsley38.0
11Milagro Perez23:42.1Saginaw Swan Valley38.0
12Katelyn Chirstensen23:47.6Essexville Garber36.1
9Waas Davis-Hernandez23:54.1Flint Kearsley34.0
10Annabelle Pardo23:55.5Saginaw Swan Valley33.5
12Becca Kaul24:01.3Birch Run31.6
11Sara Bowman24:04.0Gladwin30.7
10Autumn Fransen24:09.2Midland Bullock Creek28.9
11Faith Hittle24:13.3Flint Kearsley27.6
9Emily Solinski24:13.9Essexville Garber27.4
10Amelia Sporman24:15.7Flint Kearsley26.8
11Abryana Bledsoe24:29.5Saginaw Swan Valley22.2
12Madison Polzin24:49.2Birch Run15.6
11Taylor Allen25:02.6Midland Bullock Creek11.1
10Cassidy Kline25:07.9Midland Bullock Creek9.4
10Bella Town25:29.9Bay City John Glenn2.0
12Ellymae McCoy19:09.5Reese128.8
10Kaya Vrable19:19.1Caro125.6
11Jenna Sweeney19:33.5Reese120.8
11Paige Herron19:40.0Caro118.7
11Jaiden Dickman19:44.3St. Louis117.2
11Claire Neumann19:50.3Saginaw Valley Lutheran115.2
12Ashley Shindorf20:14.5Vassar107.2
12Allysen Jansen20:24.2Sandusky103.9
10Makenzie Kreger20:26.1Sandusky103.3
10Abby Dice20:29.8St. Louis102.1
12Lauren Brawt20:30.3Sanford-Meridian101.9
12Brookelynn Jansen20:32.0Sandusky101.3
10Maddie Huysentruyt20:32.8Sandusky101.1
11Rachael Walch20:38.6Caro99.1
11Emma Lang20:40.4Bad Axe98.5
12Elizabeth Smith20:47.1Sanford-Meridian96.3
11Alexa Long20:57.1Caro93.0
9Alexis Fabbro21:07.9Vassar89.4
11Faith Swenor21:12.9Caro87.7
12Laney Pestrue21:42.9St. Louis77.7
9Aeralyn Leonard21:43.4St. Louis77.5
11Faith Hooper21:44.8EPBP Laker77.1
11Emma Haynes21:45.0Saginaw Valley Lutheran77.0
11Diana Cortes21:45.7Cass City76.8
12Payton Kuhn21:46.2St. Louis76.6
9Braylee Rice22:00.2Reese71.9
11Natalie Lemert22:01.2St. Louis71.6
9Carla Cortes22:01.7Cass City71.4
11Olivia Urban22:12.9Otisville LakeVille67.7
9Emma Fisher22:29.9Reese62.0
11Erin Ertman22:43.6Millington57.5
9Aubrey Zarnke22:44.9EPBP Laker57.0
10Josyln Long22:48.4Mt Morris55.9
11Stephanie Erwin22:49.9Otisville LakeVille55.4
12Ashlyn Wolschleger23:00.8Reese51.7
9Maryn Hyatt23:09.6Saginaw Valley Lutheran48.8
10Hope Fitzgibbon23:12.7Sanford-Meridian47.8
9Zoe Swank23:18.4Otisville LakeVille45.9
9Lexi Wegner23:23.9Caro44.0
12Maddee Ball23:27.5Caro42.8
9Eva Long23:37.3Sandusky39.6
9Ali Learman23:39.7Cass City38.8
11Kyrie Rames23:52.0Hemlock34.7
12Jenna Abell23:55.7St. Louis33.4
11Grace Weller23:57.2Montrose32.9
9Isabella Nalewyko24:05.2Montrose30.3
11Mariah Ellis24:28.9Millington22.4
10Taylor Margrif24:38.3Otisville LakeVille19.2
11Rebekah Helmuth25:00.2EPBP Laker11.9
9Rylie Bliss25:01.8Cass City11.4
11Sophia Hauffe25:09.3Hemlock8.9
11Mayson Kelley25:36.1Otisville LakeVille0.0
Uncategorized

2022 Ratings – Chippewa Hills Regional

Boys Adjustment: +5
Girls Adjustment: +5

(These will probably be a bit fast all weekend. Everyone running with their season on the line tends to do that.)

PROJECTIONS

How Right/Wrong Was I? 17 of 18 on the top 3 teams. Cadillac Girls – you got me.

KINGS AND QUEENS OF THE REMUS HILLS

I will highlight one kid from each race for a little writeup. With Regionals and their survive and advance attitude, I’ll try to shout out someone who extended their season another week when they weren’t expected to, or contributed to a team that came in with a clutch performance. Of course, that leaves out many athletes who gave a great effort, and all of the athletes that were winners for toeing the line this weekend. Congrats to all.

Adam Ogg, Sparta: In a narrow, congested top 3, you can point to pretty much anyone as a deciding factor. Adam was perhaps the biggest one in Sparta’s victory, shaving 13 seconds off his previous best. If he had run a 5 second personal best, that wouldn’t have been enough, but every place counts when you win by 2 points.

Avery Mickelson, Cadillac: Coming out of the woods at ~4k, the Vikings looked done for. But Avery, Ellie Cool, and Marisa Mazza just kept picking off girls, nabbing enough bodies to get that 3rd spot. Avery’s effort here on this difficult track was a 14 second season best.

Logan Patrick, Manton: Matched what he threw down last week at the NW Michigan Meet of Champions. The confidence gained from his 17:13 personal best resulted in another equally impressive effort, 17:19, finishing 9th (and was projected 16th).

Elizabeth Rigling, LeRoy Pine River: She had been in the 21’s all three years during her HS career, but other than one race at Roscommon, her senior year wasn’t trending that way. Well, until last week. And then this week. 21:02 yesterday, the best time of her entire career.

Matthew Bannick, Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary: Lutheran Seminary as a whole ran incredible, each kid greatly outperforming expectation. Matthew especially so, breaking 20:00 for the first time in his first year of cross country.

Avery Westall, Breckenridge: As a freshman last year, Avery was primarily a low-22 girl and also had a breakout race of 20:44. For the first 1.5 months of the year, she hadn’t reached that form. As October rolled on, she began to find that stride, beginning with a 21:54 at Portage and culminating with a 4th place finish yesterday.

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Nolan Nixon16:09.4Cadillac195.2
11Gregory Janesak16:19.5Sparta191.8
12Andre Richmond16:26.8Whitehall189.4
12Carter McIlroy16:27.2Whitehall189.3
11Sean Pettis16:30.3Fremont188.2
12Owen Westerkamp16:40.3Big Rapids184.9
11Shane Izzard16:52.2Petoskey180.9
10Carter Sherman16:55.6Fremont179.8
9Owen Metzger16:58.0Sparta179.0
12Ramon Hernandez16:58.4Howard City-Tri-County178.9
10Peyton Ruel16:59.4Muskegon Oakridge178.6
12Ben Knuth17:01.8Big Rapids177.7
11John Christensen17:03.0Fremont177.3
11Gabe Outman17:06.0Cadillac176.3
11Jose Flores17:06.5Ludington176.2
11Brodie Delamater17:16.3Grant172.9
11Tommy Farley17:17.5Petoskey172.5
11Jack Lindwall17:18.6Petoskey172.1
12Noah Momber17:19.9Sparta171.7
11Trey Keson17:22.5Ludington170.8
10Stewart Waters17:26.7Whitehall169.4
11Dylan Odenbach17:33.4Petoskey167.2
10Parker Fettig17:35.3Petoskey166.6
12Gavin Towner17:39.2Petoskey165.3
9Carson Wood17:39.9Sparta165.0
9Chase Lowery17:44.7Fremont163.4
12Adam Ogg17:46.4Sparta162.9
9Simon Licata17:47.9Petoskey162.4
11JJ Mahan17:49.9Cadillac161.7
12Logan Ames17:53.0Gaylord160.7
9Issac Romero17:54.1Fremont160.3
10Kyan Deam17:54.6Big Rapids160.1
11Gavin Rykse17:59.0Howard City-Tri-County158.7
10David Reisterer18:10.6Ludington154.8
10Andrew Boeringa18:11.2Whitehall154.6
12Kaden Kolarik18:14.0Kingsley153.7
10Hayden Gould18:15.3Big Rapids153.2
10Austin Dalman18:19.5Big Rapids151.8
11Nevin Slater18:26.1Ludington149.6
10Jaxon Lumbert18:27.2Howard City-Tri-County149.3
9Hunter Parsons18:27.7Whitehall149.1
11Matthew Stilson18:29.8Cadillac148.4
10Cole Lowery18:34.8Fremont146.7
11Branden Stock18:37.5Kingsley145.8
12Avery Jura18:39.8Whitehall145.1
9Griffin Mis18:40.7Sparta144.8
10Isaac Meyers18:44.8Sparta143.4
9Alex Culver18:49.9Howard City-Tri-County141.7
12Henrik Quist18:52.2Fremont140.9
12Winston Pelloski18:54.7Kingsley140.1
9Henry Kauffman18:58.0Howard City-Tri-County139.0
11Freddie Santangelo18:58.3Cadillac138.9
10Landon Moore18:58.6Howard City-Tri-County138.8
12Matthew Cross19:11.5Kingsley136.2
9Brayden VanOs19:18.7Big Rapids133.8
11Braxton Zenner19:19.4Kingsley133.5
10Matt Spedoske19:24.7Big Rapids131.8
11Mathew Miedema19:25.7Newaygo131.4
12David Utzinger19:28.1Muskegon Oakridge130.6
11Jack Jubar19:29.4Ludington130.2
9Jacob Lewis19:36.8Whitehall127.7
10Sam Tolkinen19:42.9Cadillac125.7
11Garrison Klinge19:43.9Muskegon Oakridge125.4
9Isaiah Boerema19:50.8Ludington123.1
9Carter Slezak19:58.3Gaylord120.6
9Caleb Bays20:03.1Newaygo119.0
9Carson Kiefer20:18.4Cheboygan113.9
11Curtis Fuller20:19.7Ludington113.4
9Andrew Kiefer20:32.3Cheboygan109.3
10Peyton Thomasma20:39.8Gaylord106.7
11Blake Armstrong20:47.4Muskegon Oakridge104.2
9Logan Kilbreath20:49.6Grant103.5
12Jason Peterson20:51.1Gaylord103.0
12Zach Keiser20:51.8Gaylord102.7
12Andrei Derental20:53.8Gaylord102.1
10Logan Face21:01.9Kingsley99.4
11Trace Laskey21:08.1Howard City-Tri-County97.3
9Christopher Peterson21:12.0Gaylord96.0
11Jadon Ryman21:14.1Newaygo95.3
11Anthony Castillo21:30.5Grant89.8
9Alex Hudson21:33.7Cheboygan88.8
12Bryce Grugett21:38.1Newaygo87.3
12Leon Ventura Neumann21:42.1Newaygo86.0
9Braxton Esper21:44.1Cheboygan85.3
10Andrew Elmore21:46.9Cadillac84.4
9Levi Sterk21:57.2Kingsley80.9
11Luke Acton22:32.1Newaygo69.3
9Zachary Spaulding24:34.5Newaygo28.5
12Hunter Jones15:12.3Benzie Central214.2
12Clayton Ackley16:17.2Hart192.6
12Jake O’Neil16:24.9Remus Chippewa Hills190.0
12Wyatt Dean16:25.5Hart189.9
10Pol Molins16:36.1Benzie Central186.3
10August Rohde16:39.5Reed City185.2
12Seth Ackley16:57.7Hart179.1
11Ryan Allen17:14.9Reed City173.4
12Logan Patrick17:19.3Manton171.9
10Max Stitt17:23.2Hart170.6
11Paxton Hall17:26.5Lake City169.5
12Caleb Bitely17:27.9Hart169.0
12Enzo Gagliardi Ramalho17:30.6Lake City168.1
12Ty Kailing17:31.8Reed City167.7
11Jack O’Donnell17:33.9Manistee167.0
11Tyler Vining17:34.4Morley-Stanwood166.9
12Dade Allen17:35.9Benzie Central166.4
10Coleson Cruzan17:37.9White Cloud165.7
11Claydon Ingleright17:40.9McBain164.7
12Nathan Ciolk17:47.7White Cloud162.4
11Anthony Kiaunis17:53.7Reed City160.4
11Matthew Brownell17:55.2Remus Chippewa Hills159.9
12Josef Bromley18:06.2Hart156.3
12Gavin Shirey18:06.9Mason County Central156.0
12Shelby Hopkins18:08.4Morley-Stanwood155.5
9Aaron Allen18:09.7Reed City155.1
11Luke Senters18:14.5Manistee153.5
9Robert Dykhouse18:16.7Manton152.8
12Easton Vander Zwaag18:19.1Hart152.0
11Carson Foondle18:21.0White Cloud151.3
9Caiden Helsel18:29.3Lake City148.6
12Dorian Olson18:31.7Benzie Central147.8
9Iziquiel Picon18:40.3Shelby146.6
11Tanner Soelberg18:39.8Shelby145.1
11Gavin Kelso18:40.9LeRoy Pine River144.7
11Stephen Priese18:44.5Hesperia143.5
10Kaleb Canning18:50.8White Cloud141.4
12Cullen Kraus-McCarty18:55.2Mason County Central139.9
9Jackson Schaub18:58.4Benzie Central138.9
12Christian Ringler19:00.5White Cloud138.2
9Ethin Chandler19:09.4Benzie Central136.9
9Paul Saladin19:10.2Reed City136.6
11Micah Frye19:15.2Shelby134.9
10Avery Bowman19:15.8White Cloud134.7
11Hudson Kiteley19:16.4Benzie Central134.5
10Jacob Simon19:20.1Remus Chippewa Hills133.3
10Donald Grovesteen19:24.7White Cloud131.8
9Zack Temple19:26.0Hesperia131.3
12Mason Dozier19:28.9Reed City130.4
10Andrew Sherburn19:34.7Hesperia128.4
9Kaden Worch19:37.3Manistee127.6
11Nathan Koetje19:43.9McBain125.4
9Lance Smith20:02.5Hesperia119.2
12Ethan Edmondson20:09.2Manistee116.9
12Peter Maddox20:10.0Lake City116.7
12Benjamin Ceplina20:14.3Manistee115.2
10Dallas Chamberlain20:16.8McBain114.4
12Elliot Hoeflinger20:18.0Manistee114.0
11Kaden Abrahamson20:19.5McBain113.5
9Garrin Schneeg20:19.9McBain113.4
11Kyler Behrenwald20:31.4Lakeview109.5
10Ethan Fessenden20:32.2Shelby109.3
9Jack Helsel20:53.4Manton102.2
11Trey Johnson21:16.0Mason County Central94.7
12Tug Thuemmel21:18.2Manistee93.9
10Gaven Cornell21:28.7Morley-Stanwood90.4
11Jonathon Carballido21:32.4Shelby89.2
9Owen Butkovich21:36.2Lake City87.9
9Raiden Sternquist21:44.2Remus Chippewa Hills85.3
10Sawyer Fink22:30.6Evart69.8
10Hunter Hoover22:37.0Remus Chippewa Hills67.7
11Asher Johnson22:42.0Mason County Central66.0
9Jaiden Carsten23:04.9Manton58.4
10Brayden Figgins-Newton23:28.2Mason County Central50.6
10Kyle Bouck23:41.3Remus Chippewa Hills46.2
10Kayden Kangas24:12.7Morley-Stanwood35.8
9Matice Nichols24:36.9Hesperia27.7
11Jordan Rosekrans24:45.5Lake City24.8
12Sam Johnson24:54.2Mason County Central21.9
9Kolt Milner24:57.0Hesperia21.0
11Anthony Balsitis24:58.1Morley-Stanwood20.6
11Levi Sluiter25:45.9McBain4.7
12Dakota Dykhuis16:30.3Montabella188.2
11Owen Patton16:43.4Vestaburg183.9
12Owen Gross17:31.4Beal City167.9
11Sawyer Stoneman17:36.1Breckenridge166.3
11Alex Wanty17:54.9Hale161.7
11Isaac Humm17:59.5Breckenridge158.5
11Carter Follett18:05.5Merrill156.5
10Rodney Iamurri18:18.3Saginaw Nouvel152.3
11Jeffery Harden18:25.3Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary149.9
10Sean O’Grady18:34.4Saginaw Nouvel146.9
10Camden Fager18:41.7Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary144.4
11Jaden Ostrander18:42.0Breckenridge144.3
9Sean Bernard18:55.5Hale139.8
12Silas Schultz19:16.0Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary134.7
12Jesse Jones19:18.2Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart133.9
9Jordan Weber19:26.6Beal City131.1
12Ethan Sharrow19:43.6Charlton Heston Academy125.5
10Logan Dudley19:45.1Coleman125.0
12Caleb Munson19:47.9Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary124.0
10Matthew Bannick19:59.5Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary120.2
12Colin DeKam20:08.1McBain Northern Michigan Christian117.3
11Elijah Kimbel20:12.8McBain Northern Michigan Christian115.7
9Aiden Sprague20:23.8Beal City112.1
10Aimon Humm20:27.6Breckenridge110.8
10Austin Gross20:30.0Beal City110.0
12Cole Aultman20:40.5Coleman106.5
9Summer Yuan20:48.1Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary104.0
11Keegan Shafer20:59.3Vestaburg100.2
9Dylan Cichowski21:02.0Charlton Heston Academy99.3
12Thomas Kolleth21:03.6Saginaw Nouvel98.8
12Caleb Needham21:07.7Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary97.4
9Paxton Downing21:13.0Hale95.7
12Richard Duynslager21:24.7Beal City91.8
12Chris Tallman21:25.3Coleman91.6
11Preston Foster21:33.9Breckenridge88.7
10Matthew Firman21:39.2Farwell86.9
9Isaiah Greenacre21:48.9Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart83.7
10Maddax McCaw21:49.7Breckenridge83.4
8VanNoord Dries21:57.9McBain Northern Michigan Christian80.7
9Conner Fenton22:27.6Beal City70.8
10Eli Zeien22:33.8Beal City68.8
9Jaden Kiger22:34.6Marion68.5
10Shane Scheaffer23:05.5Farwell58.2
11Lawrence Mullins23:11.2Hale56.3
9Kingsley Gu23:14.7Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart55.1
12Ty Murray23:24.1Coleman52.0
9Jair Martinez23:28.1Coleman50.6
12Jacob Booher23:30.1McBain Northern Michigan Christian50.0
12Aidan Timko23:31.5Marion49.5
11Tim Stocker23:31.8Charlton Heston Academy49.4
12Trey Davis23:37.3Marion47.6
12Payton Sheldon23:43.7Montabella45.4
9Casper Witherspoon23:55.1Big Rapids Crossroads Academy41.6
9Owen Middleton24:16.4Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart34.5
11Michael Harris24:27.2Charlton Heston Academy30.9
10Dylan Sharrow24:27.7Charlton Heston Academy30.8
10Kyle Cooter24:41.9Big Rapids Crossroads Academy26.1
11Ryan Hackney25:12.5Charlton Heston Academy15.8
9Chris Han25:22.2Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart12.6
11Sergey Collings25:41.5Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart6.2

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Emma Janesak18:48.9Sparta142.0
11CamBrie Corey19:10.7Petoskey134.8
9Katie Berkshire19:15.9Gaylord133.0
10Madeline Loe19:23.4Petoskey130.5
9Brooklynn Brown19:24.5Cadillac130.2
12Ariana Treat19:24.9Whitehall130.0
10Summer Brower19:29.2Ludington128.6
11Nora O’Leary19:32.3Petoskey127.6
9Linnea Paige19:33.0Fremont127.3
11Remington Arney19:50.6Newaygo121.5
9Christina Theis19:53.6Ludington120.5
10Nadia Grierson19:57.6Ludington119.1
12Regan Hill20:00.5Cadillac118.2
12Madyson Oudbier20:05.2Sparta116.6
12Eleanor Cool20:41.4Cadillac104.5
10Skylee Ames20:47.6Gaylord102.5
9Lily Sargent20:51.1Gaylord101.3
11Kennedi Wood21:01.4Sparta97.9
10Adalyn Britton21:03.0Whitehall97.3
10Autumn Brower21:04.8Ludington96.7
10Fiona Scott21:15.4Petoskey93.2
9Anna Pake21:19.1Howard City-Tri-County92.0
11Avery Mickelson21:19.9Cadillac91.7
11Olivia Andersen21:30.5Ludington88.2
12Annie Kline21:36.4Ludington86.2
11Mackenzie Keillor21:38.4Ludington85.5
11Lucy Johnson21:39.6Gaylord85.1
11Raegan Ruel21:41.2Muskegon Oakridge84.6
11Marisa Mazza21:44.4Cadillac83.5
11Oliviah Malloy21:44.9Big Rapids83.4
10Corina Mitteer21:51.1Whitehall81.3
10Ella Spanding21:51.7Gaylord81.1
9Ariana Tanner21:53.8Fremont80.4
11Lauren Cole21:54.3Petoskey80.2
11Gwendalynn Rickard21:54.8Big Rapids80.1
12Allison Tate21:57.0Whitehall79.3
12Lily Hardenburgh22:02.3Sparta77.6
9Joelle Patten22:03.1Fremont77.3
12Kelly Huis22:08.3Kingsley75.6
10Zoey Walerczyk22:13.2Newaygo73.9
12Grace Hillier22:13.5Kingsley73.8
10Sayla Bender22:13.9Kingsley73.7
10Samantha Harke22:18.8Cheboygan72.1
12Madison Parmley22:24.8Whitehall70.1
12Hannah Grahn22:26.5Kingsley69.5
10Mackenzie Baldrica22:27.9Sparta69.0
9Aubriana Druckenmiller22:29.0Sparta68.7
10Amelia Smith22:29.5Gaylord68.5
11Jade Ryerson22:31.2Sparta67.9
12Elizabeth Chaffee22:52.5Newaygo60.8
9Cate (Catherine) Brown22:55.0Cadillac60.0
10Mara VanWagner22:56.7Kingsley59.4
10Summer Adams22:57.7Big Rapids59.1
11Natalie Schulz23:00.0Howard City-Tri-County58.3
10Keira VanTimmeren23:02.0Howard City-Tri-County57.7
12Kaylee Schelich23:02.5Kingsley57.5
9Madeline Pacola23:07.4Petoskey55.9
11Sydney Hoffman23:09.9Petoskey55.0
11Cara Morse23:14.7Muskegon Oakridge53.4
11Hanah Johnson23:15.7Cadillac53.1
10Rachel Maddox23:19.9Fremont51.7
10Thalia Pineda23:21.6Newaygo51.1
11Aamori Paz23:42.6Newaygo44.1
10Olivia Beauchamp23:44.0Big Rapids43.7
12Brianna Bender23:48.1Kingsley42.3
11Elise Pfeiffer24:00.6Fremont38.1
12Kya Mahoney24:09.2Whitehall35.3
11Sami Keiser24:18.9Gaylord32.0
11Milla Hanks24:30.0Muskegon Oakridge28.3
10Addyson Moeggenberg24:36.5Howard City-Tri-County26.2
9Addison Ptasnik24:53.9Cheboygan20.4
12Kris Brandenburg24:54.5Whitehall20.2
9Rocquel Richards24:59.9Fremont18.4
12Connelly Hefferan Nordlund25:03.3Newaygo17.3
11Avary Losee25:07.2Grant15.9
12Rebecca Grandy25:07.6Newaygo15.8
10Isabella Caserta25:38.2Big Rapids5.6
10Bethany Buitenwerf25:48.5Howard City-Tri-County2.2
10Jessica Jazwinski17:39.3Hart165.2
11Alyson Enns18:27.4Hart149.2
11Mylie Kelly18:55.9Benzie Central139.7
11Miranda McNeil19:24.8Morley-Stanwood130.1
11Cecilia Postma20:01.4Manistee117.9
12Emma Soelberg20:18.9Shelby112.0
11Ava Hollandsworth20:24.1Remus Chippewa Hills110.3
12Bianca Delogu20:37.1Benzie Central106.0
10Nora Grossnickle20:39.4Benzie Central105.2
12Nora Smoes20:40.9Reed City104.7
9Quinn Hatfield20:47.8Remus Chippewa Hills102.4
10Lexie Beth Nienhuis20:49.9Hart101.7
12Savanna Owens20:50.3Hart101.6
12Abigail Pretty20:50.6Hart101.5
12Chloe Colton20:52.5Manton100.8
12Elizabeth Rigling21:02.5LeRoy Pine River97.5
12Hadley Saylor21:03.6Manton97.1
10Lauren Pretty21:18.2Hart92.3
9Kenai Kokx21:21.0Hart91.3
10Clara Smoes21:27.5Reed City89.2
10Ava Iverson21:28.3Benzie Central88.9
9Georgia Haag21:32.5Manistee87.5
10Chelsi Eisenga21:35.5McBain86.5
11Cambrie Lawrence22:08.3Benzie Central75.6
10Shauna McLean22:25.0McBain70.0
12Amanda Hill22:29.0LeRoy Pine River68.7
11Haylee Livermore22:29.5Remus Chippewa Hills68.5
12Claire Johnston22:33.5Morley-Stanwood67.2
9Adison Thorne22:35.4Mason County Central66.5
10Augusta Bowman22:36.5Remus Chippewa Hills66.2
12Rylee Cohoon22:45.3Lake City63.2
10Megan Gottschall22:47.1Lake City62.6
9Tessa Buday22:49.6Benzie Central61.8
10Carly Carlson22:52.0Reed City61.0
11Brookelynn Webster22:54.4Remus Chippewa Hills60.2
9Caelynn London22:55.2Reed City59.9
11Rowan Ensing22:56.0McBain59.7
12Claire Scott22:57.5Manistee59.2
9Magdalena Herberger22:58.7Manistee58.8
11Andrea Feldpausch23:01.0White Cloud58.0
9Alayna Edmondson23:14.4Manistee53.5
11Catalina Stong23:15.5Shelby53.2
9Sophia Bouck23:17.6Remus Chippewa Hills52.5
11Madison Morris23:25.3Manton49.9
10Kennedi Wahmhoff23:25.6Manton49.8
9Briella Walenjus23:27.9McBain49.0
9Mikayla Blood23:40.9McBain44.7
12Kiara Edwards23:57.4White Cloud39.2
10Kate Somsel23:59.7Manistee38.4
9Makayla Watkins24:00.4Reed City38.2
9Leah Storey24:00.7Remus Chippewa Hills38.1
11Lily Fults24:01.2Lake City37.9
12Jolena Deaton24:04.3White Cloud36.9
10Brooklyn Foondle24:07.3White Cloud35.9
12Abbie Robinson24:09.5Manistee35.2
9Grace Supanich24:16.1Morley-Stanwood33.0
9Amaya Roper24:16.8Benzie Central32.7
12Alyssa Baker24:21.5Manton31.2
10Tessa Ward24:23.2Manton30.6
10Annabeth Allee24:23.9LeRoy Pine River30.4
9Olivia Bosscher24:30.5McBain28.2
9Sahara Davis24:43.2Reed City23.9
11Jayden Baker24:48.0Mason County Central22.3
10Mallory Miller24:51.1Mason County Central21.3
10Madelynne Sterly24:52.6LeRoy Pine River20.8
12Aubrey Klotz24:56.1Shelby19.6
12Grace Richards24:57.3White Cloud19.2
9McKenzie Houtman25:06.7Morley-Stanwood16.1
10Rheanna Gilzene25:07.6Manton15.8
12Anna Ponce25:16.2Lake City12.9
9Emma Roe25:26.0Lake City9.7
10Molly Willison25:30.1Lakeview8.3
10Genesis Wilson25:37.1McBain6.0
10Nyvaeh Wendt25:38.2Mason County Central5.6
12Kaylee Locke20:44.0Beal City103.7
10Isabelle Eppert20:58.0Farwell99.0
9Ally Schmitz21:28.1Breckenridge89.0
10Avery Westall21:43.1Breckenridge84.0
11Jacqueline Morton21:45.1Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart83.3
9Kaya Rose21:56.7Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart79.4
10Abigail Davis22:01.2Vestaburg77.9
9Shelby Wisnowski22:15.5Charlton Heston Academy73.2
12Remi Sponseller22:20.3Farwell71.6
12Raini Sponseller22:21.2Farwell71.3
10Danica Aldrich22:25.2Breckenridge70.0
11Tori Most22:29.0Breckenridge68.7
12Hadyn Armstrong22:33.7Beal City67.1
10Lilly Leppert22:38.4Beal City65.5
12Autumn Wakefield22:44.1Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary63.6
10Julia Silva22:52.5Farwell60.8
12Lily Deja22:54.7Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart60.1
10Jessica Penrod23:04.6Vestaburg56.8
10Lauryn Licari23:13.8Beal City53.7
10Sydney Leslie23:25.0Saginaw Nouvel50.0
9Laura Bigard23:30.9Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart48.0
10Areyel Weiss23:41.1Breckenridge44.6
10Nataly Vine23:45.5Breckenridge43.2
11Sarah Kober23:51.6Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary41.1
10Addyson Thormeier23:59.2Farwell38.6
11Amelia Rivera24:09.3Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary35.2
11Jackie Cole24:19.6Big Rapids Crossroads Academy31.8
10Nevaeh Post24:26.6Merrill29.5
10Brianna Locke24:32.4Beal City27.6
9Evalynne Bell24:33.3Farwell27.2
11JoAnna Harden24:46.6Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary22.8
11Molly Siler24:52.8Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart20.7
12Erin Stevens24:57.7Merrill19.1
12Selena Quintero25:00.0Marion18.3
12Rachel McCaughna25:05.0Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary16.7
12Madeline Miller25:08.1Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary15.6
12Lilly Backus25:08.9Beal City15.4
10Bella Davis25:13.5Beal City13.8
11Kayla Wolanin25:21.2Hale11.3
10Mickiah Allbee25:25.5Vestaburg9.8
9Wynn Park25:33.0Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary7.3
10Ivy Frisch25:34.0Farwell7.0
11Kaitlin Buys25:39.4Big Rapids Crossroads Academy5.2
9Elizabeth Wolanin25:43.7Hale3.8
Uncategorized

2022 Regional Projections – Allendale Regional

Regional Week is here! All week, I’ll be posting these projections. I’ll start with the Friday regions, then work on the Saturday ones.

These are a bit different than they’ve been in the past. I’m trying to project as always, but changing it up a bit in terms of the methodology. In the past, I’ve just sorted out by the ratings, then scored as if they’re a cross country meet. Here, I’m doing the same thing, but running simulations. Essentially, given a runner’s ratings and the variance in their ratings throughout the season, I’m able to generate a large sample of “races” and not just one scenario. The thought is that this will give a better depiction of what may occur. If an athlete is consistent, that will be represented. If an athlete is polarizing, but has a chance at greatness, that will be represented. Both aren’t possible when just throwing out one race. The Macomb County projections were done in the same manner and TullyRunners explains it here.

By simulating many races, I can hand out odds and percentages as well. The team projections have odds of winning and odds of placing in the top three. The individual ones have an athlete’s average place. I do have odds on an athlete winning and getting top-15, but I’m not gonna post that ahead of time. Maybe after and we can see who came through in a huge way on the huge stage.

What I’ve learned from the past is that I write way too much in the previews early in the week, then worry I’ll run out of time mid-week, running on fumes and puttering out by Thursday.  The writing is the time-consuming part, the maths are actually easy. I’ll save the writing chops for next week, where penning four previews is easier on the brain than thirty-six.

Always remember, races aren’t run on paper or on a computer. These are meant to better our sport, give more attention where little is given. Although I take pride in their accuracy, this endeavor would be quite boring if it were always perfect. I look forward to these being proven wrong and I expect to hear about it as well.

SUMMER PREVIEW

MID-SEASON

Boys

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1The Potter’s House1695+95+
2Three Oaks River Valley5195+
3Muskegon Catholic Central10473
4St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic11027

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Lezawe OsterinkThe Potter’s House1.00
212Logan SwineyThe Potter’s House2.38
311Jackson RodriguezThe Potter’s House2.62
411Noah FintonThe Potter’s House4.43
511Ezra HagedornThe Potter’s House6.01
610Tyler LaansmaTri-Unity Christian6.40
79Landon RogersThree Oaks River Valley6.86
89Charlie GibsonThree Oaks River Valley8.28
910Adam SlavensThree Oaks River Valley8.59
109Edward MugishaThe Potter’s House10.83
1111Owen McLoughlinSt. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic12.12
1211Austin YorkThree Oaks River Valley13.50
1311Jacob LyonnaisMuskegon Catholic Central13.94
1412Gavin HancoxGobles14.51
1510Ryan BlankenshipEau Claire14.83
1611Owen LyonnaisMuskegon Catholic Central15.26
1711Matthew LageSt. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic17.94
1811Elliot BourneNew Buffalo18.85
1910Caleb OudbierTri-Unity Christian19.14
2011Owen SlavensThree Oaks River Valley22.90
2111Braiden BrooksThree Oaks River Valley23.41
2211Jack WalkenhorstMuskegon Catholic Central23.58
239Haylen BuellMartin23.61
2410Sean DriscollThree Oaks River Valley24.03
259Isaac Struck-VanderHaakThe Potter’s House24.27
2612Edward LopezEau Claire26.12
2712Joshua SchmitzLibertas Christian28.40
2810Zach VonkHolland Calvary Christian29.04
2910Kalen LoebachSt. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic29.19
3012Evan SpriggsNew Buffalo29.34

Girls

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic543795+
2Libertas Christian543095+
3The Potter’s House553395+
4Holland Calvary Christian726

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Allison GlendeningSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic1.57
210Hannah GeaneyThe Potter’s House2.11
39Sadie SchoutLibertas Christian3.19
411Ivy AndreasThe Potter’s House3.55
512Aliz PusztaiLibertas Christian5.52
610Brielle VoorheesTri-Unity Christian6.78
79Madison CooleyGobles8.03
89Acacia WilliamsHolland Calvary Christian8.04
911Abby KunkleLibertas Christian9.21
1012Cally CamaraMuskegon Catholic Central10.00
1110Mary RileySt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic10.81
1212Kassidy KleinhekselMuskegon Catholic Central13.58
1312Vanessa PeltoniemiHolton13.70
1410Hannah HysellSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic14.54
159Alison RotmanHolland Calvary Christian15.83
1612Riley SinklerLawrence16.04
1710Aubrey GoyingsHolton18.12
189Ana VanZantenHolland Calvary Christian18.61
1912Emily FolkertLibertas Christian19.41
2012Madeline MadsenLawrence19.60
219Marisa ToonstraThe Potter’s House22.23
2211Abby SchraubenSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic24.49
2311Lydia VerBeekThe Potter’s House24.83
249Aribel MillsSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic25.90
2510Olivia LaningaHolland Calvary Christian26.16
2611Isabelle SchraubenSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic27.19
2712Cristina AvelloSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic27.33
2811Sydney AmondsonThe Potter’s House28.67
299Kylie BoboThe Potter’s House28.73
3010Zoie WoodGobles28.74

SUMMER PREVIEW

MID-SEASON

Boys

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Saranac6395+95+
2Stanton Central Montcalm10394
3Grand Rapids Covenant Christian11383
4North Muskegon13023

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Samuel MartiniKent City1.07
212Nathan JenkinsGrandville Calvin Christian2.04
39Gage HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm3.07
411Nathan DaySaranac4.76
511Graham CostonStanton Central Montcalm6.78
610Levi KampsGrand Rapids Covenant Christian7.07
712Elijah PowellSaranac7.44
812Owen FairchildMontague7.47
912Andrew HardyStanton Central Montcalm8.04
1010Isaac EdgingtonHolland Black River13.26
1112Jude Meldrum-RoyNorth Muskegon14.01
1211Jaren VogelKent City14.13
1312Jude Meldrum-RoyNorth Muskegon16.33
1412Evan JohnsonSaranac17.03
1510Matthias MorseMuskegon Western Michigan Christian17.69
1612Ben SluiterSaranac18.58
179Luke TibbeGrand Rapids NorthPointe Christian18.64
1811Hunter HelminskiSaranac19.63
1911Matthew AntonRavenna20.40
2012Roger HernandezHolland Black River20.61
2112Jonathan ClausingMuskegon Western Michigan Christian20.62
2211Graeson LawrenceMuskegon Western Michigan Christian20.75
2310Evan OosterhouseSaranac22.29
2410Luke DykstraGrand Rapids Covenant Christian22.86
2511Nick LubbersGrand Rapids Covenant Christian23.00
2611Trevor DornbosGrandville Calvin Christian23.62
2712Mason SchimmelGrand Rapids Covenant Christian23.97
2811Evan Atkinson-MillerNorth Muskegon26.96
2911Clay JohnsonMontague30.51
3010Charles BrooksGrand Rapids West Catholic31.26

Girls

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Muskegon Western Michigan Christian718995+
2Stanton Central Montcalm851095+
3Kent City9195+
4Grand Rapids West Catholic1156

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
110Lila VolkersKent City1.09
210Kyah HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm2.37
312Madeleine HillSaranac3.05
410Grace VanderKooiMuskegon Western Michigan Christian3.83
511Amber KooleGrand Rapids Covenant Christian4.94
69Grace CostonStanton Central Montcalm5.79
710Ashley ChoponisStanton Central Montcalm7.10
812Jonathah BouwmanGrandville Calvin Christian9.24
910Lola BryceGrandville Calvin Christian9.74
1011Lily LeSargeGrand Rapids West Catholic10.53
1111Grace FolkemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian11.58
1212Lainey RothGrand Rapids West Catholic12.48
1312Carolyn BennettNorth Muskegon13.09
1411Gracie HoutmanKent City13.10
1511Cammie EricksonMontague15.24
1611Isabella MaxKent City16.42
179Alia ZuidemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian18.17
1812Lily LaBurnHolland Black River18.38
1912Brianna ZuidemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian19.57
2012Anna TubbergenGrand Rapids NorthPointe Christian19.92
2111Eleanor KingshottMuskegon Western Michigan Christian21.09
2210Alyssa PossehnSaranac23.46
2311Lindsay MinderhoudGrand Rapids Covenant Christian23.55
2412Nathalie StrockisGrand Rapids West Catholic24.87
259Dylan BosmaGrand Rapids NorthPointe Christian26.94
2611Lauren JousmaGrandville Calvin Christian27.46
279Amber KuiperGrand Rapids Covenant Christian29.32
2810Morgan LawrenceMuskegon Western Michigan Christian30.43
2912Joelle WhiteDelton-Kellogg30.59
309Lydia HowardKent City30.63

SUMMER PREVIEW

MID-SEASON

Boys

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Grand Rapids Christian3895+95+
2Allendale9795+
3Holland Christian10975
4Hamilton12319
5Spring Lake1298

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
110Simon TriezenbergGrand Rapids Christian1.11
211Noah LambersHolland3.10
312Max VanHuisHamilton3.82
410Will EngbersHolland Christian4.22
512Adrian CastilloHolland7.27
611Joe WaalkesGrand Rapids Christian8.49
712Gavin WiersmaZeeland East9.01
812Reuben WieringGrand Rapids Christian9.57
911Dylan ClarkGrand Rapids Christian11.20
1010Parker TiethofAllendale11.28
1110Abatu DykstraHamilton13.23
1210Keegan HoekstraGrand Rapids Christian13.41
1310Jeb HillaryGrand Rapids Catholic Central13.49
1411Ian RichthammerGrand Rapids Catholic Central13.97
159Aden AshworthAllendale14.18
1611Peter KuperusGrand Rapids Christian14.19
1710Aidan BrinksHolland Christian15.00
1812Ethan GrevengoedSpring Lake16.77
199Ronnie SilveiraAllendale17.22
2010Kilian WhalenAllendale18.09
2111Lucas RuffingSpring Lake21.73
2210Vincent PollockFruitport22.47
2310Parker WoodwykSpring Lake24.17
2412Nick RiemersmaZeeland East25.53
2510Aiden KasprzakGrand Rapids Catholic Central26.08
2612Nate OosterhouseHudsonville Unity Christian27.06
2711Josh LangelandHamilton28.29
2810Brayden RynsburgerHolland Christian29.13
2910Nathan SteenHolland Christian30.38
3011Levi GlynnFruitport30.62

Girls

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Grand Rapids Christian3195+95+
2Spring Lake6495+
3Zeeland East7195+

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Natalie VanOtterenGrand Rapids Christian1.12
211Allison KuzmaZeeland East1.88
39Lilah PoelGrand Rapids Christian4.39
411Naomi NelsonGrand Rapids Christian4.72
512Lily ParkerSpring Lake5.09
69Marie GatesHudsonville Unity Christian6.24
711Emily TomesGrand Rapids Catholic Central7.63
811Payton HoltzGrand Rapids Christian7.96
912Alisa MasonHolland8.32
1010Lexie RuffingSpring Lake8.78
119Meredith CookZeeland East11.31
1211Bea ReeserSpring Lake14.40
139Alexis KotkowiczSpring Lake15.23
1410Emma DrnekZeeland East15.44
1512Ava BuhlmanAllendale16.76
1612Sarah TimmerGrand Rapids Christian18.01
1710Maddie BruxvoortHudsonville Unity Christian18.17
189Ellie ScholmaGrand Rapids Christian18.73
1912Anna TriezenbergGrand Rapids Christian19.88
2011Addie GrillZeeland East21.25
2110Valerie PollockFruitport21.73
229Meghan GuczwaSpring Lake21.80
239Megan KuzmaZeeland East24.57
2412Trina FarrisHamilton25.07
2512Hayley HeinrichZeeland East25.55
269Charlene KurasZeeland East26.77
2712Jessie PostmaHudsonville Unity Christian26.98
2811Katie RiemersmaSpring Lake28.10
2912Alyssa GerritsmaHolland Christian28.67
3010Sophie BukreyCoopersville29.42

SUMMER PREVIEW

MID-SEASON

Boys

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Grand Haven638895+
2Zeeland West76795+
3Jenison88585
4Rockford10215

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Seth NorderGrand Haven1.17
212Caleb BranchMuskegon Mona Shores2.58
312Colin GrahamRockford3.55
412Jaben BakkerHudsonville4.11
512Chase HolwerdaZeeland West6.73
612Espen WoodCedar Springs7.63
710Seth ConnerJenison10.12
810Mason LucasJenison10.41
910Ben HeldGrand Haven10.56
1012Caleb SmithZeeland West11.14
1112Logan ViningGrand Haven11.50
1211Jaxon AllenMuskegon Reeths-Puffer12.11
1310Carter LivermoreGrandville12.57
1412Brendan WanglerJenison13.80
1512Charles LewisRockford14.87
1612Nathan GoldingZeeland West14.97
1710Carson BerkoGrand Haven16.01
1811Nate FaheyRockford16.89
1912Austin O’brienGrand Rapids Kenowa hills19.05
209Robert DoddZeeland West20.91
2111Jack DeKruyterZeeland West22.09
229Ethan ShoffnerCedar Springs24.00
239Aron GalGrand Haven24.71
2412Connor WooleyHolland West Ottawa25.88
259Caleb TeBrakeGrand Rapids Northview27.62
269Keagan SmithZeeland West28.26
2710Noah SchuetteRockford28.48
2811Roman SmithGrand Haven28.52
2912Will MarthJenison29.08
3011Carson HauchZeeland West29.10

Girls

PlaceTeamAvg. ScoreWin %Top 3 %
1Holland West Ottawa3695+95+
2Jenison8895+
3Grand Haven9390
4Rockford11412

PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
110Helen SachsHolland West Ottawa1.19
212Arianne OlsonHolland West Ottawa1.84
312Allison ArnsmanGrandville2.97
412Maya GuikemaJenison4.84
510Valerie BeeckGrand Haven5.01
610Jordyn KlaasenZeeland West5.47
712Megan PostmaHolland West Ottawa7.69
89Trinity VanderWoudeRockford8.10
912Bella HofferZeeland West11.44
109Ava PorrasHolland West Ottawa11.89
1110Natalie LewisRockford12.06
1212Maggie OttoJenison12.43
1310Jane OlneyHolland West Ottawa13.22
149Ellery HornessMuskegon Mona Shores13.98
1511Madelyn Vande BunteJenison14.47
1610Addison SmithGrand Haven16.23
1712Larissa McGrathCedar Springs17.14
189Cianah Budnik-RamosGrand Haven19.87
1912Robyn HuntMuskegon Mona Shores21.35
2012Cecilia ConradMuskegon Mona Shores22.87
219Addie BirkholzHolland West Ottawa24.11
2210Emma SmithRockford24.36
2312Elise ConkelHudsonville24.92
2410Abi AlbrightGrand Haven26.62
2510Abbey ScholmaHudsonville27.23
2611Payton HosleyGrand Haven28.25
2710Naomi DiekmanJenison28.75
2811Annalise ElliottCedar Springs29.57
2910Devin FisherRockford29.61
3010Emma GunnettHolland West Ottawa31.20