Blog

2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 30-4

Teams

Beal City
Big Rapids Crossroads Academy
Breckenridge
Coleman
Hale
Marion
McBain Northern Michigan Christian
Merrill
Montabella
Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
St. Helen Charlton Heston Academy
Vestaburg
White Cloud
Whittemore-Prescott

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Breckenridge (4), Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart (6), Beal City (10), Montabella (23)

Highest Rated Seniors

Matthew showed a glimpse of his talent in his sophomore track season, narrowly breaking 10:00 in the 3200m.  Last fall, it took a bit of time, but he was able to capitalize on that fitness, getting into the low 16’s.  Numerous honors were accumulated, including top-10 at Carson City, Portage, John Bruder, Class D, Regionals, and State. 

Following a sophomore campaign where he snuck into the 16’s, Colttion established himself at that level consistently throughout the season.  Even on tougher days at MIS or Portage, he was able to dig deep and give clutch performances.  As a result, Breckenridge came home victorious and Colttion came home with another podium finish.

2019’s Regional was Jared’s first individual qualifier.  The previous year, he had finished 20th, missing out by 0:40.  Quite impressive to close that gap in such a short time period.

Career Achievement

Profile.

Brock has been able to accomplish the rare feat of finishing in the same places at Regional and State each of his first two years.  Great finishes too, 5th and 20th.  Shepherd must be his favorite course as well, setting his season record there twice.

Anyone Else?

Incoming freshman was able to run sub-11:30 in middle school.  His two losses came to what many consider the better MSers in the state: March, Hansen, and Lewis. 

Trent battled a hip issue last summer, but was still able to contribute to Breckenridge’s state title.  Going into his junior year, he’s been in Mason Sumner’s shadow, but if healthy, expect a breakout.

Many a tale has been told of Dave King’s magic, and it appears he’s used it on Matthew.  Three years of improvement and a 20:00 guy as a freshman ended up breaking 18:00 late last year. 

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart (5), Beal City (13)

Highest Rated Seniors

Last year’s Shepherd regional produced Naomi’s best race to date.  Her 21:43 shaved nearly a minute off her personal best and her 10th place finish, the highest at the Regional level.

2019 may not have been Helena’s greatest season ever, but she has a trophy case worth of success to fall back on.  Her freshman and sophomore years contained All-State finishes

In each of the last three years, Makayla has shown up at Regionals with one of her better races of the year.  And she’s finished 18th in three consecutive years.  Perhaps this will be the breakthrough.

Career Achievement

Rachal has twice been an All-Stater and twice top-5 at Regionals.  Last October featured her first jaunt into the 19’s, most impressively a 19:54 at MIS.

Anyone Else?

Riley has definitely embraced the work ethic necessary to compete in this sport.  Over this spring and summer, she’s been putting in as many miles as any.  We see evidence of those miles in her time drop from her freshman to sophomore year.  She finished the season with a minute (if not more) improvement, a major impetus in her All-State finish.

Tailor was a sensational 8th grader who didn’t see as much success last year.  The talent is there, having run 19:20 at the 2018 PROM.  She has been keeping up with the top girls this summer, and if she’s able to touch that potential, Beal City enters a new dimension.

Three years in Breckenridge’s MS program gives hope that she’ll adjust to the 5k distance.  Each year, she’s brought her best performance to the Scottie Classic, running in the 13:00’s in all years.

2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 31-4

Teams

Byron Center Charter
Fruitport Calvary Christian
Gobles
Holland Calvary Christian
Holton
Libertas Christian
Martin
Muskegon Catholic Central
New Buffalo
Saugatuck
St. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic
Three Oaks River Valley
West Michigan Academy of Environmental Science
Tri-Unity Christian

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Saugatuck (1), The Potter’s House (14), Libertas Christian (22)

Highest Rated Seniors

Very likely the biggest darkhorse in Division 4 this season.  Nik’s career success is nothing to scoff at.  He’s been All-State all three years, with a 3rd place finish amongst those.

Carsen experienced a major breakthrough at 2018 Regionals (17:15, a 35 sec. PR), then carried that into 2019.  His 17:26 at MIS led to his best finish yet, 32nd, and showed a progression that puts him in the All-State discussion.

Andrew’s championship races were almost identical to Carsen.  6th at Regionals, 33rd at States.  As with many Potter’s House runners, his junior year was his first year running (or first year that I can find results). 

Career Achievement

Max’s first two years at Saugatuck are as good as any you’ll find.  Twice All-State and All-Region (winning it this year).  Had two outstanding performances at Holly and Portage last year, along with a 4:30 1600m PR this winter.

Nile made tremendous progress between seasons (both in the winter and summer).  After finishing his freshman year with an 18:34 PR and 139th place finish at State, he turned in a sophomore season featuring sub-17 and All-State. 

Anyone Else?

There were some serious time drops for Michael from his 10th to 11th grade year.  He finished the year with more than a 1:15 overall PR, but even greater was his improvement at Regionals (19:23, 24th to 17:51, 9th)

Even greater drops occurred for Jonathan last season.  After not breaking 21 as a freshman, Jonathan was able to get into the 18’s to finish the year.  That wasn’t enough to qualify for MIS, but with his year to year track record, he has a great shot of meeting that goal.

Adam ran his best in early October at Portage, then struggled late.  But in January, a 4:48 indoors shows that was likely just a blip.  He will be counted on to hold off the other Division 4 contenders.

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Saugatuck (9), Libertas Christian (21)

Highest Rated Seniors

Jillian is a sprinter by trade (27.6/62.5), but not bad at this cross country thing either.  Consistently a 21:00 girl last year, especially into the championship season.  Placed 14th on a tough track at Centreville last year.

Esther’s junior year was her initial foray into this sport.  She started slow, but showed quick progress, eventually getting down to the mid-21’s. 

One of the few Holton girls that are running, Lily’s perseverance is to be admired.  3 straight State Meet qualifiers for this girl.

Career Achievement

Turned in an incredible regional performance last year, knocking more than a minute off her previous best.  My projections had her in the top 15, but not in the 21:00 range.  Experiences such as those can set up well for important, pressure-filled races down the line.

Anyone Else?

Allison was one of the rare 8th graders able to compete at the HS level last year.  And when she competed, she competed.  Two low-21 performances, an All-Region and top-50 finish at State.

Maya also had the chance to compete at the 5k level, albeit in the open race after regionals.  And showed that she’ll be a serious contributor this year, running 20:33.

Ceci turned in two results last year that speak to her potential.  She topped the field at the Berrien County Meet, finishing in 12:28 and finished 14th at Portage with a 9:59 (2500m). 

2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 32-4

Teams

Athens
Cassopolis Ross Beatty
Climax-Scotts
Colon
Decatur
Eau Claire
Grace Christian
Heritage Christian Academy
Howardsville Christian
Kalamazoo Christian
Kalamazoo Hackett
Lawrence
Marcellus
Mendon
St Philip Catholic Central
Tekonsha
White Pigeon

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Kalamazoo Christian (15), Mendon (20), Lawrence (22)

Highest Rated Seniors

4th place at this regional last year, but his final two races showed why he’s the favorite this year.  19th at State and St. Joseph County Champ, both on the verge of breaking 17:00.

In championship season, it finally came together for Colin.  Broke into the low 18’s at regional, a 10th place finish.  Which turned into 14th in St. Joseph County and 18:03 at MIS, a PR.

Experienced some major improvement in 2019, especially late into October.  Went from 20:07 to 18:23 at Portage and 20:14 to 18:42 at State, amongst others.  Finished 17th at a regional where he had failed to finish in the top-30 the previous two years.

Career Achievement

Two straight years in the top-10 at Regional and top-100 at States.  After a freshman year that was consistently in the lower 18’s, broke that barrier in early August.  Ended up running 17:30 to finish 18th in his division at Portage.

Anyone Else?

Two consecutive top-3 finishes at this regional.  Isaac had a real surprise performance here in 2018, with an almost 20 sec. PR to finish 2nd. 

Following a freshman track season where he showed some mid-distance potential (55 in the 400), Cole ran XC for the first time.  Started strong in the low 18’s, ended up as the regional champ and All-State.

We’ve had Espen Lehnst, Espen Wood, but I don’t think we’ve had an Espn.  Anyhow, young Espn ran times all over the board in middle school, but some impressive times and finishes as well.  11:42 for 2 miles, 4th place in St. Joseph County.

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Kalamazoo Christian (2), St. Philip Catholic Central (4)

Highest Rated Seniors

Steady improvement has been Ericka’s forte.  20-40 seconds each year, with a clutch regional performance each time.  She’s been a 3-time State qualifier, this past year finishing 2nd here. 

Like Ericka, Ellie has shown that progress each year, maybe even more so.  Portage seems to be her course, running 22:23 there to a lifetime PR, then almost matching that time to a 17th place regional finish. 

Career Achievement

St. Philip runs a number of high-profile meets late in the season, and Giada has been a top performer at these.  This past season, 5th at Gabriel Richard, 13th at Class D, 5th in the region, and 26th in the state.  A major reason that they finished 6th last year and look to improve upon that.

Unreal improvement from her freshman year.  In most cases, almost 2:00.  Regional champ here, along with a 34th place finish at MIS. 

Anyone Else?

Aubrey’s freshman year started slow but ended with a vicious finish.  Early results in the 24’s turned into a surprising 20:47 at State (33rd place).  3rd in the region, 9th at Portage as well. 

I may have Lily underrated here.  She had some middling mid-season results, but turned it on for big meets.  21:19 at Portage, 7th place at this regional, and then 21:22 at State (likely the highest rated of the three).