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Boy’s Rankings: A Little Preview

TOP 5 AVERAGE

RankTeamTop 5 Avg
1Brighton202.7
2Detroit Catholic Central194.0
3Cedar Springs192.2
4Grand Rapids Christian 190.5
5Dearborn Divine Child190.3
6Ann Arbor Pioneer 189.6
7Zeeland West188.8
8Sparta188.4
9Hartland188.0
10Holland Christian187.5

TOP 7 AVERAGE

RankTeamTop 7 Avg
1Brighton195.7
2Detroit Catholic Central190.2
3Sparta184.8
4Zeeland West184.3
5Grand Rapids Christian 184.3
6Ann Arbor Pioneer 183.9
7Hartland183.3
8Cedar Springs181.9
9Livonia Stevenson180.9
10Rockford180.3

SPREAD (5 BOYS)

RankTeamSpread (5 Boys)
1St. Johns6.0
2Detroit U-D Jesuit6.4
3Portage Central7.2
4Capital Homeschool7.9
5Forest Hills Northern8.3
6Hudsonville11.5
7St. Clair Shores Lakeshore13.1
8St. Joseph14.3
9Kalamazoo Central14.7
10Clinton14.9

SPREAD (7 BOYS)

RankTeamSpread (7 Boys)
1Portage Central13.6
2Detroit U-D Jesuit18.0
3Forest Hills Northern18.2
4Clinton19.5
5Grand Haven22.1
6Kalamazoo Central23.3
7Sparta24.8
8Hudsonville24.9
9Three Rivers26.0
10Livonia Franklin28.0
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Girl’s Rankings: A Little Preview

I wanted to throw out some numbers for you stat-starved people and those looking for early season validation. As I’ve said before, in about 2 weeks, I’ll put together full-fledged rankings, both individual and team. I think I can even break it down by region.

But for now, a top-10 of the various metrics I’ll be tracking over the season.

A reminder:

So when East Grand Rapids’ top 5 is 154.8, on a fair course at State, they’re predicted to average 18:14 or so.

TOP 5 AVERAGE

RankTeamTop 5 Avg
1East Grand Rapids154.8
2Traverse City Central 144.4
3Frankenmuth138.6
4Northville 137.6
5Ann Arbor Pioneer 134.6
6Holland West Ottawa133.6
7Hart 132.7
8Grand Rapids Christian 128.9
9Forest Hills Eastern128.2
10Lansing Catholic126.5

TOP 7 AVERAGE

RankTeamTop 7 Avg
1East Grand Rapids147.5
2Traverse City Central 140.6
3Northville 134.3
4Holland West Ottawa127.8
5Frankenmuth126.1
6Grand Rapids Christian 124.1
7Ann Arbor Pioneer 122.3
8Hart 119.0
9Forest Hills Eastern116.1
10Jenison113.5

SPREAD (5 GIRLS)

RankTeamSpread (5 Girls)
1East Grand Rapids10.0
2Reese16.1
3Brighton19.7
4Grand Haven19.9
5Hartland20.0
6Hudsonville21.2
7McBain 23.3
8Hart 23.4
9Benzie Central 23.6
10Northville 23.7

SPREAD (7 GIRLS)

RankTeamSpread (7 Girls)
1Northville 26.5
2Benzie Central 28.9
3Grand Haven30.1
4Linden 32.3
5East Grand Rapids39.0
6Hudsonville39.7
7Rockford40.7
8Jenison42.4
9Holland West Ottawa42.7
10Forest Hills Northern42.9
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Running in College: What Does it Take?

Well, it takes a ton more than speed ratings.  Just off the top of my head, if I were a college coach, I’d look for:

Good people – those who treat others with respect, are genuine, have good relationships with those close to them.  What are they doing in their community to better the lives of others?

Hard workers – those who continue to work hard, grind away in all circumstances.  Could even be at home or their jobs.  But especially in their training

Academics – consistency would be huge.  Would take the student who has 6 B’s over the one with 3 A’s, 2 C’s, and a D.  I’d also love someone who took on challenges, tougher classes or at a local college.

Leadership – were they captain?  If not, why?

Training environment – I hem and haw on this, but I’d go for someone who has untapped potential and less people to train with.  Someone running a 16:30 from a farm town is more impressive than the same time from a glamorous suburban school with every resource in the book.

Track times – usually the end all, be all.  The most easily identifiable and measurable, both in times of distance and surface.  Can be compared in many ways.

BUT if speed ratings were a factor, I have some data on Michigan runners.  Sample sizes are a bit small now.  That’ll obviously change as more runners go onto college and years go by.

GIRLS SENIOR YEAR RATINGS

Level SR Avg SR Max Top 25% Top 75% SR Min Sample Size
Division 1 134.3 180.5 153.0 121.4 45.1 59
Division 2 116.1 151.3 129.8 104.1 19.3 43
Division 3 87.1 136.5 106.6 68.7 27.4 15
NAIA 87.1 146.5 104.8 75.6 4.7 34
NJCAA 83.1 132.3 99.3 69.0 25.0 18

Avg = the average rating of all runners running at that level

Max = the best rating of all at that level

Top 25% and 75% = shows the middle 50.  If you’re running between these ratings, you’re definitely capable of competing at that college division.

Min = the lowest rating of all at that level

GIRLS JUNIOR YEAR RATINGS

Level JR Avg JR Max Top 25% Top 75% JR Min Sample Size
Division 1 130.8 171.9 145.7 114.7 108.0 23

For NJCAA – D2, sample sizes are <10, so no inclusion.  No clue why I chose that cutoff.

BOYS SENIOR YEAR RATINGS

Level SR Avg SR Max Top 25% Top 75% SR Min Sample Size
Division 1 203.5 219.4 209.9 200.7 170.0 31
Division 2 186.8 206.4 196.1 182.9 137.1 26
Division 3 163.4 199.7 181.1 156.9 119.1 24
NAIA 171.8 202.1 188.2 160.3 114.0 29
NJCAA 162.0 200.2 184.4 151.2 47.0 41

BOYS JUNIOR YEAR RATINGS

Level JR Avg  JR Max  Top 25% Top 75% JR Min Sample Size
Division 1 203.1 215.2 210.9 197.7 186.6 11

Again, the ratings aren’t the only factor.  Coaches have to worry about whether you’ll fit in, their scholarship/team size situation, whether you’ll stick around for four years and aren’t an academic risk.

If you’re spitting out some solid ratings this season and you need me as a source, let me know.  I’ll put in the good word for you!