Blog

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 42 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 10

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Gladwin – Their top-3 was always a strength, now it’s quickly becoming a top-4. Myles Robinson has only built on his excellent spring, now nearly a minute faster than he finished his freshman fall.

Vincent Pollock – a two-time MIS qualifier who always finds a way to drop into the 16’s at year’s end. Well, he’s already ripped a 16:08, perhaps more is in the tank?

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Sparta	72	184.0	8
2	Cedar Springs	87	179.9	13
3	Gladwin	93	182.5	14
4	Fremont	133	172.5	21
5	Petoskey	154	168.8	26
6	Whitehall	177	165.5
7	Spring Lake	194	163.9
8	Howard City Tri-County	201	161.8
9	Ludington	226	157.3
10	Big Rapids	249	153.0
11	Muskegon Oakridge	253	140.3
12	Cadillac	264	151.6
13	Fruitport	292	126.9
14	Gaylord	407	83.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Elijah Christensen	Gladwin	204.6
2	12	Seth Mead	Gladwin	199.5
3	11	Owen Metzger	Sparta	199.2
4	12	Vincent Pollock	Fruitport	196.7
5	12	Stewart Waters	Whitehall	193.6
6	11	Ethan Shoffner	Cedar Springs	192.0
7	12	Carter Sherman	Fremont	190.9
8	12	Justin Bradford	Sparta	190.5
9	12	Hayden Gould	Big Rapids	188.9
10	12	Parker Woodwyk	Spring Lake	187.0
11	10	Reeve Oberman	Petoskey	186.8
12	10	Peyton Farrell	Cedar Springs	184.4
13	11	Carson Wood	Sparta	183.7
14	11	Ben Verellen	Gladwin	183.6
15	11	Aiden Weller	Cedar Springs	183.3
16	11	Hunter Parsons	Whitehall	178.3
17	12	Peyton Ruel	Muskegon Oakridge	177.8
18	12	Jackson P. Jones	Sparta	177.8
19	12	Cole Lowery	Fremont	177.6
20	12	Parker Fettig	Petoskey	176.3
21	10	Bryce Falbe	Muskegon Oakridge	175.6
22	12	Andrew Boeringa	Whitehall	175.5
23	12	Blake Taylor	Fremont	174.0
24	10	Gabe Grierson	Ludington	172.3
25	10	Myles Robinson	Gladwin	171.4

Region 11

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Grand Rapids Catholic Central – in awe of the progress that Mitchell Dunlap has made. During his debut season, he was able to slip under 18 twice. As a sophomore he’s gone under 16:30 on three occasions.

Will Whitmore – in the highly competitive West Side D2 landscape, even the best teams need a body to switch levels. Whitmore has done that thus far, shredding 20+ sec. from his junior best.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Allendale	36	195.7	1
2	Holland Christian	60	190.1	4
3	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	112	175.3	22
4	Zeeland East	127	171.6	23
5	Hudsonville Unity Christian	135	169.3	25
6	Hamilton	143	167.8
7	Holland	184	155.6
8	Hopkins	228	143.4
9	Grand Rapids West Catholic	279	129.5
10	Comstock Park	284	126.8
11	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills	289	129.5
12	Grand River Preparatory	306	123.3
13	Coopersville	332	117.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Will Engbers	Holland Christian	204.9
2	12	Jeb Hillary	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	204.3
3	12	Ben Gross	Allendale	200.9
4	11	Ronnie Silveira	Allendale	200.9
5	12	Kilian Whalen	Allendale	200.1
6	12	Abatu Dykstra	Hamilton	198.5
7	12	Andrew Commeret	Comstock Park	194.6
8	10	Mitchell Dunlap	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	194.0
9	12	Parker Tiethof	Allendale	192.3
10	12	Will Whitmore	Holland Christian	192.0
11	12	Noah Hernandez	Hamilton	190.7
12	11	Jack Estelle	Hopkins	189.0
13	11	Landon Gerritsma	Holland Christian	188.7
14	12	Caden Guffey	Zeeland East	187.5
15	10	Mason Hill	Allendale	184.3
16	10	Graeson Decker	Hudsonville Unity Christian	184.1
17	12	Aidan Brinks	Holland Christian	183.5
18	12	Sam Downing	Zeeland East	181.7
19	12	Brayden Rynsburger	Holland Christian	181.7
20	12	Nathan Steen	Holland Christian	181.4
21	10	Cole Coffman	Holland Christian	180.7
22	12	Aiden Kasprzak	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	178.4
23	10	Alex Ten Haken	Hudsonville Unity Christian	177.7
24	9	Aiden Lambers	Holland	175.5
25	10	Nate Davis	Zeeland East	174.8

Region 12

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jacob Draaisma – this spring was his first season of track, and in that introduction to the sport, he earned a State Finals berth in the 800 and a 2^nd place in the OK Gold 1600m. In his first XC season, he’s on the same trajectory, racing to a 16:08 at Sparta and winning two OK Gold Jamborees.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Christian	40	194.5	2
2	Forest Hills Eastern	79	187.4	5
3	East Grand Rapids	83	185.9	6
4	Plainwell	92	182.4	10
5	Richland Gull Lake	186	165.0
6	Portland	208	160.0
7	Grand Rapids South Christian	209	157.7
8	GR West Michigan Aviation	228	153.8
9	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	257	147.1
10	Belding	265	144.6
11	Hastings	285	127.6
12	Wayland Union	303	109.4
13	Ionia	336	125.0
14	Lake Odessa Lakewood	344	118.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Henry Dixon	Forest Hills Eastern	210.5
2	12	Simon Triezenberg	Grand Rapids Christian	206.8
3	11	Jonah Workman	East Grand Rapids	202.9
4	11	Sean Ryan	Grand Rapids Christian	196.9
5	12	Keegan Hoekstra	Grand Rapids Christian	196.2
6	12	Jacob Draaisma	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	196.1
7	10	Steven Zawacki	Forest Hills Eastern	192.1
8	11	Jack Edison	East Grand Rapids	191.8
9	12	Brandon Simmons	Hastings	189.8
10	11	Donovan Ryan	Plainwell	189.8
11	11	Micah Small	Grand Rapids Christian	189.4
12	9	Micah Becker	East Grand Rapids	188.6
13	11	Jeryn Frisbie	Belding	188.2
14	11	Hiro Nguyen	Plainwell	186.2
15	11	Gavin Markucki	Richland Gull Lake	185.4
16	12	Henry Cox	Plainwell	183.6
17	12	Tyler Endres	Forest Hills Eastern	183.6
18	9	Ashton Fink	Grand Rapids Christian	183.1
19	12	Dylan Pallett	Wayland Union	182.0
20	9	James Scholten-Holcomb	Grand Rapids Christian	180.6
21	11	Thad VanderLaan	Grand Rapids South Christian	180.3
22	11	Asher Jager	GR West Michigan Aviation	179.6
23	11	Andrew Feldpausch	Portland	179.3
24	12	Billy Pipkorn	Plainwell	177.4
25	11	Shephard Bower	Forest Hills Eastern	176.0

Region 13

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Three Rivers – dedication is infective. When a Sulley Zietlow gives their all to the sport, others such as Charlie Brauer follow. After hitting a singular sub-18 as a sophomore, he’s nailed six of ‘em this fall.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Otsego	74	182.3	9
2	Marshall	82	187.9	11
3	Three Rivers	98	178.6	16
4	Edwardsburg	126	171.0	24
5	St. Joseph	153	165.3
6	Battle Creek Harper Creek	160	166.2
7	Berrien Springs	188	156.5
8	Sturgis	207	155.4
9	Vicksburg	221	153.5
10	Paw Paw	256	143.8
11	Niles	270	142.7
12	Coldwater	286	138.9
13	Dowagiac Union	383	99.7
14	South Haven	416	99.8
15	Stevensville Lakeshore	429	93.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Jack Bidwell	Marshall	216.6
2	12	Dominic Lowrie	Battle Creek Harper Creek	205.4
3	12	Sullivan Zietlow	Three Rivers	204.7
4	10	Abraham McHugh	Marshall	202.5
5	12	Reece Davis	Marshall	198.1
6	10	Caiden Caswell	Vicksburg	196.5
7	12	Holten Mulherin	Otsego	189.1
8	11	George Scupham	Edwardsburg	186.9
9	12	Maguire Johnson	Edwardsburg	186.6
10	12	Eli Johansen	St. Joseph	186.4
11	12	Nolan Park	Sturgis	185.5
12	12	Aidan Goodwin	Otsego	185.5
13	12	Owen Saylor	Dowagiac Union	184.8
14	12	Matthew Long	Otsego	184.7
15	11	Charlie Brauer	Three Rivers	179.6
16	12	Peyton Eckerley	Berrien Springs	178.7
17	10	Christopher Vogt	Paw Paw	178.6
18	12	Noah Jarvis	Berrien Springs	177.2
19	11	Cooper Gardner	Battle Creek Harper Creek	177.0
20	12	Logan VanHouten	Otsego	176.4
21	12	Caleb Wesseldyk	Otsego	175.7
22	11	Benjamin Morales	Sturgis	174.7
23	11	Kenny Sheffer	Otsego	174.7
24	10	Connor Beebe	Berrien Springs	172.7
25	10	Kellen Chalupa	Allegan	171.5

Region 14

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Kevin Terpstra – lost in the shuffle of Zeke and Larson’s accolades has been Terpstra’s rise. Two top-10’s in TVC action (never lower than 17^th in 2023) and his first sub-17 ever at Spartan (over 80 sec. faster than his freshman year) now adds to the Panther elite depth.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Alma	37	192.3	3
2	DeWitt	85	176.1	17
3	Corunna	127	167.3
4	Parma Western	129	169.0
5	Mason	154	166.2
6	Haslett	172	161.8
7	Williamston	173	161.6
8	Fowlerville	209	153.5
9	Eaton Rapids	233	150.1
10	Owosso	278	140.5
11	St. Johns	299	134.5
12	Charlotte	320	128.1
13	Lansing Waverly	363	101.2
14	Lansing Eastern	404	82.6
15	Jackson Northwest	408	81.5
16	Lansing Sexton	469	41.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Thomas Larson	Alma	209.0
2	10	Ezekiel Baltierra	Alma	206.0
3	11	Edison Lopeman	Parma Western	200.1
4	12	Alex Doneth	Mason	198.8
5	12	Simon Erfourth	Owosso	195.7
6	12	Dylan Lydic	Haslett	194.6
7	10	Kevin Terpstra	Alma	188.0
8	12	Nolan Inglis	DeWitt	187.1
9	9	Duncan Palmer	Williamston	186.4
10	12	Conner McCormick	Mason	186.3
11	11	Elijah Baltierra	Alma	183.2
12	12	Jackson Walthorn	DeWitt	182.6
13	10	Ryan Good	Parma Western	182.6
14	12	Bobby Donley	Corunna	181.6
15	11	Reagan Ward	St. Johns	180.2
16	12	Bodie Heiss	Alma	175.1
17	11	Payton Chandler	Corunna	174.7
18	10	Thaddeus Overley	Lansing Waverly	174.1
19	10	Ezra Nellis	Corunna	173.7
20	11	Joshua Carpenter	DeWitt	171.6
21	12	Ian Goodrich	DeWitt	170.3
22	11	Luca Lebron	Alma	170.2
23	12	Jack Huntington	Eaton Rapids	169.9
24	11	Braylon Lenneman	DeWitt	169.2
25	9	Sam Johnson	Alma	169.1

Region 15

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Flint Powers Catholic – powered by their depth. The Chargers have already thrown six under the 18 min. mark, which means there will be a ton of displacing down the line.

Nicklas Parker – the track potential coming to fruition. Has already dropped more than 30 sec. from his XC best and nabbed a top-20 finish in the competitive Spartan field.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Frankenmuth	60	183.8	7
2	Shepherd	70	183.0	12
3	Flint Powers Catholic	72	182.4	15
4	Freeland	95	180.0	19
5	Flint Kearsley	130	165.5
6	Goodrich	158	160.5
7	Saginaw Swan Valley	189	151.2
8	Ortonville Brandon	253	120.1
9	Bay City John Glenn	278	114.6
10	Birch Run	286	108.7
11	North Branch	297	106.2
12	Essexville-Garber	299	98.1
13	Imlay City	363	74.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	T.j. Hansen	Freeland	223.2
2	11	Bryce Gross	Flint Powers Catholic	205.5
3	10	Bryce Cahoon	Shepherd	205.2
4	9	Lennox Naswell	Flint Powers Catholic	203.8
5	11	Vincent Pattison	Goodrich	201.4
6	12	Nolan Longuski	Shepherd	199.9
7	12	Jack Lillywhite	Flint Kearsley	196.9
8	10	Nicklas Parker	Frankenmuth	191.3
9	11	Brett Magnus	Frankenmuth	189.8
10	11	Anthony Plana	Frankenmuth	188.5
11	12	Ethan Sellers	Flint Kearsley	188.3
12	12	Owen Fennelly	Saginaw Swan Valley	184.2
13	12	Camden McLeod	Freeland	178.0
14	11	Ian McNeel	Shepherd	177.3
15	12	Cougar Clark	Frankenmuth	177.2
16	12	Sam Nemeth	Freeland	175.8
17	11	Cole Fernandez	Flint Kearsley	174.7
18	11	Cole Pergram	Frankenmuth	172.3
19	11	Caleb Carignan	Flint Powers Catholic	169.9
20	10	Drew Davis	Shepherd	169.7
21	12	Cole Winter	Goodrich	168.1
22	10	Seth Betzold	Essexville-Garber	168.1
23	10	Ben Bouchey	Flint Powers Catholic	167.0
24	11	Thomas Beiter	Flint Powers Catholic	166.0
25	9	Ryan Rathsburg	Flint Powers Catholic	165.5

Region 16

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Brodie Licata – over 20 for the majority of his freshman and sophomore races. Totally transformed runner, now hitting mid-17 at Bath and the traditionally tough Linden Classic.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Pinckney	42	176.9	18
2	Detroit Country Day	61	166.9
3	Dearborn Divine Child	101	160.3
4	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	108	152.8
5	Redford Union	112	149.9
6	Lake Fenton	122	146.8
7	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	182	130.7
8	Linden	204	123.9
9	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	233	114.1
10	Garden City	286	49.3

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Colin Murray	Dearborn Divine Child	211.8
2	10	Cole McCraw	Pinckney	198.0
3	12	Zachary Newman	Pinckney	191.0
4	12	Jacob Hopkins	Detroit Country Day	185.0
5	12	Isaak Brook	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	183.7
6	10	Omar Elbashir	Detroit Country Day	177.9
7	11	Brodie Licata	Lake Fenton	173.0
8	12	Kyle Osborne	Pinckney	172.1
9	12	Alex Kitsopanidis	Detroit Country Day	167.3
10	10	Cooper Steckroth	Lake Fenton	165.2
11	9	Ethan Bray	Detroit Country Day	164.9
12	11	Cole Wisniewski	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	164.9
13	11	Nate Sandula	Pinckney	163.6
14	12	Devon Foster	Redford Union	160.1
15	12	Deric Tavolette	Redford Union	159.9
16	12	Gabe Maciag	Pinckney	159.6
17	9	Andrew Nunning	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	158.9
18	9	Jackson Butts	Lake Fenton	158.0
19	12	Nicholas Nakic	Dearborn Divine Child	155.3
20	11	Bela Matyus	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	152.6
21	10	Noah Neuman	Pinckney	150.5
22	12	Ryan Wojichowski	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	149.9
23	12	Michael Porter Jr.	Redford Union	149.3
24	11	Wyatt Larson	Pinckney	148.5
25	10	Joseph Arriola	Dearborn Divine Child	147.8

Region 17

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Logan Rhodes – sophomore leap occurring. His 18:13 at Spartan was more than 1.5 minutes better than his freshman experience, arguably in tougher conditions as well.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Yale	41	161.8
2	St. Clair	42	162.2
3	Macomb Lutheran North	53	163.6
4	Madison Heights Lamphere	148	126.1
5	Armada	152	123.6
6	Marysville	173	118.4
7	Croswell-Lexington	181	113.5
8	Richmond	187	110.5
9	Warren Lincoln	281	63.3
10	Harper Woods	305	36.2
11	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	345

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Joshua Macri	Macomb Lutheran North	193.8
2	11	Xavier Roman	Macomb Lutheran North	177.5
3	10	Ethan Kreger	St. Clair	173.4
4	12	Wyatt Murtos	Yale	170.1
5	11	Brayden Prieskorn	St. Clair	168.2
6	12	Jerry Westrick	St. Clair	166.1
7	12	Teddy Rutkofske	Yale	164.2
8	12	Kale Kovach	Yale	159.9
9	11	Luke McDonell	St. Clair	159.2
10	10	Logan Rhodes	Yale	158.7
11	10	Connor Pepin	Croswell-Lexington	157.8
12	11	Nolan Korolden	Yale	155.9
13	11	Samuel Kochensparger	Macomb Lutheran North	154.9
14	9	Brady VanConant	Yale	152.2
15	12	Jack McMahon	Macomb Lutheran North	151.5
16	9	Mason Pietrykowski	Richmond	150.4
17	12	Pete Lutz	Madison Heights Lamphere	146.8
18	10	Brendan Koza	Marysville	144.8
19	12	Korbyn Thornton	St. Clair	144.2
20	12	Georgio Aramouni	Madison Heights Lamphere	143.7
21	12	Jack Nicol	Yale	142.7
22	11	Oliver Alef	Macomb Lutheran North	140.2
23	10	Nino Biondo	Macomb Lutheran North	136.6
24	11	Anthony Alvarez	Armada	134.1
25	11	Gavin Bishop	St. Clair	133.6

Region 18

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

New Boston Huron – an unexpected name here! A big thanks should go out to senior Kyle Biller, who’s having the season of his career. His 17:33 PB at Cadillac was over 45 sec. faster than he’s ever run on the course.

Henry Fredenberg – No XC or track experience, no problem. Five straight 17-min. performances to begin his career.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	New Boston Huron	52	176.6	20
2	Adrian	66	170.0	27
3	Chelsea	91	162.5
4	Carleton Airport	119	155.4
5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	125	154.4
6	Tecumseh	131	152.9
7	Grosse Ile	183	141.7
8	Dundee	195	143.4
9	Ypsilanti Community	265	119.6
10	Riverview	306	111.1
11	Trenton	325	98.1
12	Milan	350	49.3
13	Melvindale	372	16.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Moises Salazar	Adrian	200.1
2	12	Lucas Kuhn	New Boston Huron	199.5
3	11	Luke Dulecki	New Boston Huron	192.7
4	12	Isaak Rubley	Dundee	189.5
5	11	Henry Fredenberg	Chelsea	182.3
6	11	Matthew Carbajo	Grosse Ile	179.4
7	10	Carter Fenner	Adrian	172.3
8	9	Harrison Stamper	Tecumseh	171.0
9	11	Linus Helzerman	Chelsea	169.4
10	12	Kyle Biller	New Boston Huron	169.0
11	11	Joseph Horn	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	167.1
12	12	Callum Bell	Carleton Airport	166.8
13	10	Cameron Crane	New Boston Huron	166.0
14	10	Jonathan Rapoza	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	165.0
15	10	Owen Thorburn	Chelsea	163.8
16	9	Eli Morris	Tecumseh	162.0
17	11	Jacob Alt	Ypsilanti Community	161.7
18	10	Landin Fisher	Adrian	161.4
19	9	Easton Coscarelli	Adrian	159.4
20	11	William Dobbertin	Carleton Airport	158.8
21	12	Tyler Condon	Adrian	156.9
22	10	Hunter Rodak	Carleton Airport	156.5
23	12	Jack Fox	Grosse Ile	156.1
24	10	Tanner Kuhn	New Boston Huron	155.9
25	9	Lucas Zeckner	Adrian	153.8

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 42 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 19

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Boyne City – and it’s mainly because of the Rambler depth. Delaney Little and freshman Hailee Bertels are performing as expected up front, however they’re joined by six other girls who have been under 24 this year.

Emily Dunphy – there’s a reason the Glads are at the forefront of D3 each and every year – their kids develop. Emily has averaged over 50 sec. faster in her five comparable races from 2023 to 2024.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Traverse City St. Francis	21	116.0	2
2	Clare	60	86.6	12
3	Boyne City	99	66.0
4	Cheboygan	129	51.4
5	Grayling	158	38.4
6	Tawas	175	34.0
7	Farwell	201
8	Kalkaska	205	22.2
9	Standish-Sterling	207	15.1
10	Roscommon	230
11	Harrison	307

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Betsy Skendzel	Traverse City St. Francis	152.1
2	10	Sophia Buzzelli	Clare	123.4
3	12	Mary Masserant	Traverse City St. Francis	120.8
4	10	Molly Kate Hollandsworth	Traverse City St. Francis	111.4
5	10	Emily Dunphy	Traverse City St. Francis	99.6
6	10	Nico Triebold	Grayling	97.9
7	12	Isabelle Eppert	Farwell	97.8
8	11	Paige Ritchie	Traverse City St. Francis	96.2
9	12	Hunter Shellenbarger	Elk Rapids	93.3
10	9	Hailee Bertels	Boyne City	90.4
11	9	Leah Leis	Clare	90.1
12	11	Delaney Little	Boyne City	89.1
13	9	Emma Kerr	Traverse City St. Francis	88.8
14	11	Brynne Schulte	Elk Rapids	88.1
15	12	Alyssa Runyan	Tawas	87.1
16	10	Stella Houdek	Traverse City St. Francis	82.7
17	10	Lauren Leis	Clare	81.0
18	11	Rachel Dhaseleer	Charlevoix	71.1
19	10	Elizabeth Letherer	Clare	69.3
20	11	Olivia Forsberg	Clare	69.2
21	12	Samantha Harke	Cheboygan	67.1
22	10	Addy Wiers	Charlevoix	62.1
23	11	Cambrynne Giem	Boyne City	60.9
24	12	Ashley Nguyen	Tawas	58.8
25	11	Tierney Hartman	Grayling	56.3

Region 20

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Benzie Central – already projected that the Huskies would make State, didn’t project the impact of Nevia Chimonas. The senior, in her first year of cross, has already broken 21 on two occasions.

Madisyn Wanstead – had a middle school career that consisted of one 6^th grade season and nothing else. Who could’ve projected a freshman that’s already made her way into the 19’s? We love these stories.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Benzie Central	60	101.5	7
2	Hart	81	90.0	9
3	McBain	102	87.3	11
4	Remus Chippewa Hills	122	79.1	17
5	Lake City	160	70.0	23
6	Reed City	173	63.4
7	Manistee	201	56.6
8	Leroy Pine River	221	42.4
9	Shelby	230	45.2
10	Mason County Central	252	36.5
11	Lakeview	301	22.4
12	Manton	306	12.9
13	Kingsley	343	4.8
14	Morley-Stanwood	406

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Kamryn Salladay	Lakeview	147.0
2	9	Caelyn Torry	McBain	127.6
3	12	Nora Grossnickle	Benzie Central	123.7
4	9	Avery Kelly	Benzie Central	123.1
5	9	Madisyn Wanstead	Leroy Pine River	113.6
6	12	Megan Gottschall	Lake City	113.3
7	9	Avalynne Allee	Leroy Pine River	111.6
8	10	Natalie Rosema	Hart	106.7
9	12	Nevia Chimonas	Benzie Central	101.8
10	10	Lydia Soelberg	Shelby	100.3
11	9	Dory Simon	Remus Chippewa Hills	99.0
12	11	Quinn Hatfield	Remus Chippewa Hills	96.5
13	9	Alaina Schaner	Hart	96.4
14	12	Lexie Beth Nienhuis	Hart	92.0
15	10	Kayden Hinton	McBain	91.4
16	10	Maylan Sanders	Mason County Central	91.4
17	9	Faith Helsel	Lake City	87.5
18	12	Clara Smoes	Reed City	87.4
19	12	Chelsi Eisenga	McBain	83.0
20	9	Maggie McClellan	Benzie Central	82.8
21	9	Joselyn Flores	Hart	79.1
22	11	Elizabeth Ontis	Remus Chippewa Hills	78.1
23	10	Marlowe Walcott	Reed City	75.9
24	9	Lilly Whaley	Benzie Central	75.9
25	9	Bryn Riley	Hart	75.8

Region 21

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Emily Peters – you can only assume the strength gained here will pay off for track. Twice a D3 Champ in the 300h, All-State twice in the 100’s, she can long jump and vault too. Oh and run under 21 as well.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	72	91.5	10
2	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	88	89.8	16
3	Grandville Calvin Christian	112	76.4	21
4	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	115	70.1	22
5	Olivet	167	55.6
6	Newaygo	194	45.9
7	Kent City	207	29.8
8	Holland Black River	208	38.4
9	Saranac	217	33.8
10	The Potter’s House	219	34.9
11	Delton-Kellogg	293	4.5
12	North Muskegon	296
13	Montague	302
14	Grant	367
15	Ravenna	395

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Lila Volkers	Kent City	145.4
2	12	Grace VanderKooi	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	141.1
3	9	Elliana Max	Kent City	133.3
4	10	Shelby Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	127.1
5	12	Lola Bryce	Grandville Calvin Christian	109.1
6	10	Leah Sneller	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	107.9
7	10	Laura Castrejon	Newaygo	105.8
8	12	Morgan Lawrence	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	105.1
9	12	Hannah Geaney	The Potter’s House	104.3
10	11	Emily Peters	Olivet	102.7
11	9	Tiya Feldpausch	Olivet	98.1
12	10	Lydia Minderhoud	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	93.2
13	10	Anna DeVries	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	88.2
14	10	Marnath Tuol	Grandville Calvin Christian	87.1
15	12	Grace Torsch	Montague	84.4
16	12	Ava Wilson	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	83.8
17	9	Danika Lopez	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	79.0
18	10	Jenna Terpstra	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	77.2
19	9	Esther Cahill	Saranac	76.2
20	11	Sylvia Skujins	North Muskegon	75.2
21	9	Abbie Koole	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	74.5
22	11	Amber Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	74.3
23	11	Dylan Bosma	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	74.3
24	10	Ava Langerak	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	73.7
25	12	Alyssa Possehn	Saranac	71.9

Region 22

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Skyler Fraley – took her two years, but finally back in the winning column and back in the 20’s. Saturday’s Pittsford Invite was her first win since 2022 and her third sub-21 effort of the year.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Saugatuck	60	85.5	14
2	Schoolcraft	85	65.4	27
3	Union City	90	69.7	25
4	Buchanan	93	63.6
5	Kalamazoo Christian	110	58.3
6	Niles Brandywine	143	43.1
7	Fennville	166	48.1
8	Watervliet	202	26.1
9	Bangor	242	13.3
10	Hartford	290
11	Centreville	291
12	Constantine	338

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Isabelle Sliter	Fennville	135.7
2	12	Alaina Klooster	Kalamazoo Christian	111.5
3	12	Madeline Young	Buchanan	109.0
4	12	Skyler Fraley	Union City	108.9
5	10	Lyvia Curtis	Saugatuck	107.3
6	10	Kamryn Sixberry	Saugatuck	106.9
7	11	Alina Martinson	Saugatuck	106.1
8	10	Allison Gautsche	Union City	97.9
9	12	Ariana Pillot	Schoolcraft	91.9
10	9	Olivia Bays	Schoolcraft	76.7
11	12	Christina Mendoza	Fennville	75.8
12	11	Alaina Nagel	Buchanan	68.4
13	12	Alissa Skirka	Union City	67.3
14	12	Ava Vlietstra	Kalamazoo Christian	64.7
15	12	Miley Young	Niles Brandywine	61.1
16	9	Alison Murray	Niles Brandywine	58.9
17	10	Emma Schoonmaker	Saugatuck	58.3
18	12	Kara Kerwin	Kalamazoo Christian	57.8
19	12	Addison Blodgett	Schoolcraft	57.6
20	9	Alyda Leep	Schoolcraft	55.1
21	12	Kimberly Romero	Watervliet	54.7
22	12	Isabelle Overmyer	Buchanan	53.1
23	9	Avery Mollberg	Buchanan	52.5
24	12	Aubree Murray	Niles Brandywine	50.3
25	12	Meryn Curtis	Saugatuck	48.7

Region 23

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Bronson – of course, the two low sticks are doing their thing up front – Ava Hathaway and Ashlynn Harris. But you’ve got an Alonna Goodsell, a sophomore addition with an enormous impact, transforming the Vikings from a projected 7^th spot to 3^rd.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	37	108.2	5
2	Onsted	83	84.3	19
3	Bronson	131	69.9
4	Hudson	139	52.5
5	Hanover-Horton	140	59.6
6	Jonesville	140	53.4
7	Hillsdale	168	52.4
8	Quincy	178	34.6
9	Sand Creek	201	28.2
10	Napoleon	203	29.4
11	Homer	332
12	Springport	356
13	Michigan Center	408

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Emmry Ross	Onsted	159.0
2	10	Samantha Schroeder	Jackson Lumen Christi	136.4
3	12	Ava Hathaway	Bronson	131.3
4	12	Chloe Stalhood	Hillsdale	124.7
5	11	Ashlynn Harris	Bronson	120.8
6	11	Macy Fazekas	Jackson Lumen Christi	110.8
7	12	Layla Lopez	Jackson Lumen Christi	108.5
8	9	Maisey Toteff	Hanover-Horton	107.8
9	12	Thia Tello	Jackson Lumen Christi	106.5
10	10	Kendyl Musielewicz	Quincy	89.2
11	10	Brynlee Swihart	Hanover-Horton	83.3
12	9	Brynleigh Griffiths	Jonesville	81.2
13	10	Helen Lefere	Jackson Lumen Christi	78.8
14	12	Lainey Yearling	Quincy	77.8
15	12	Jayla Bright	Hudson	74.6
16	11	Annabelle Czeiszperger	Hudson	72.8
17	9	Madalynn Trame	Sand Creek	72.4
18	12	Allie England	Onsted	71.2
19	11	Raegan Brosamer	Onsted	67.8
20	10	Kiera Knight	Jonesville	65.9
21	11	Abby Frederick	Jackson Lumen Christi	63.7
22	10	Izabel Raglow	Onsted	62.3
23	12	Jordyn Taylor	Onsted	61.2
24	9	Madisyn Lindemann	Napoleon	60.2
25	12	Charlotte Crabbs	Quincy	59.5

Region 24

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Laingsburg – in these battles for third, it’s always the depth pieces. Step ups from seniors, who want to leave the program on a positive note, such as Evelyn Logghe. At this juncture of Evelyn’s junior year, she hadn’t been under 22:40. She’s already been there three times as a senior.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Pewamo-Westphalia	36	117.0	3
2	Stanton Central Montcalm	37	120.5	4
3	Laingsburg	88	67.1	26
4	Bath	100	66.6
5	Chesaning	149	33.1
6	Ovid-Elsie	160	27.0
7	New Lothrop	177	16.5
8	Montrose	236
9	Mt Morris	280

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Kyah Hoffman	Stanton Central Montcalm	162.1
2	12	Whitney Werner	Pewamo-Westphalia	149.3
3	10	Alyssa Kramer	Pewamo-Westphalia	140.8
4	12	Ashley Choponis	Stanton Central Montcalm	140.6
5	11	Grace Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	129.3
6	11	Anna Poppema	Bath	117.3
7	9	Madison Wils	Bath	113.3
8	12	Emily Rathka	Laingsburg	104.5
9	9	Adelyn Thelen	Pewamo-Westphalia	103.1
10	10	Charlotte Simon	Pewamo-Westphalia	96.6
11	10	Andrea Rolston	Stanton Central Montcalm	95.4
12	11	Abbie Schneider	Pewamo-Westphalia	95.1
13	11	Lilly Rooks	Pewamo-Westphalia	86.1
14	11	Clarissa Baese	Ovid-Elsie	81.7
15	10	Jenna Keilen	Pewamo-Westphalia	77.1
16	11	Braelyn Bunting	Stanton Central Montcalm	74.9
17	12	Evelyn Logghe	Laingsburg	72.5
18	12	Addison Rusz	Laingsburg	57.0
19	11	Logan Trygstad	Stanton Central Montcalm	55.9
20	9	KiKi Rusz	Laingsburg	53.5
21	9	Kendal Tokar	Ovid-Elsie	53.2
22	12	Ruth Jurden	Stanton Central Montcalm	52.3
23	9	Courtney Lawhorne	Bath	49.1
24	9	Alonna Schack	Chesaning	48.6
25	11	Hazel Burley	Laingsburg	48.2

Region 25

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Mattie Gagne – In the midst of the Bullock Creek renaissance you’ve got outstanding individuals. In last week’s initial JPC Jamboree, Gagne captured the victory, the first one of her career.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Ithaca	39	101.4	6
2	Midland Bullock Creek	72	86.9	13
3	Sanford-Meridian	105	67.1	24
4	St. Louis	118	61.9
5	Caro	130	55.2
6	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	137	51.0
7	Pigeon-Laker	145	48.6
8	Sandusky	166	36.1
9	Cass City	245
10	Pinconning	311
11	Carrollton	326

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Mattie Gagne	Midland Bullock Creek	127.8
2	12	Kaya Vrable	Caro	125.5
3	10	Makinna Foglesong	Ithaca	119.3
4	9	Khloe Lehnst	Ithaca	115.1
5	11	Abigail Reis	Millington	106.6
6	11	Myleigh Hephner	Ithaca	103.2
7	10	Mikenna Nagel	Sanford-Meridian	98.8
8	12	Autumn Fransen	Midland Bullock Creek	96.7
9	9	Averie Stefanovsky	Caro	95.7
10	10	Pyper Braun	Pigeon-Laker	94.7
11	12	Abby Dice	St. Louis	91.4
12	9	Lindsey Cmeyla	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	90.2
13	9	Isabelle Strand	Ithaca	86.7
14	12	Maddie Huysentruyt	Sandusky	86.2
15	9	Sarah Nothstine	Midland Bullock Creek	83.6
16	11	Izabelle LaLone	Ithaca	82.8
17	10	Emily Beethe	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	79.2
18	11	Halle Hoyt	St. Louis	79.0
19	10	Haley Fitzgibbon	Sanford-Meridian	76.0
20	9	Amelia Dawe	Ithaca	75.5
21	11	Emma Dawe	Ithaca	75.1
22	11	Alexis Fabbro	Vassar	73.8
23	11	Makenna Gwisdalla	Bad Axe	73.1
24	10	Ellie Beach	Sanford-Meridian	69.1
25	9	Samantha Skym	Midland Bullock Creek	68.8

Region 26

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Hailey Creisher – wrote over the summer that she was a sleeper for huge accomplishments. Well we’re no longer asleep, she’s already on a wonderful path. Four straight sub-19’s and wins in five of her past six races. I can only imagine the amount of work that’s been put in these past few months.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Lansing Catholic	23	115.9	1
2	Leslie	51	96.4	8
3	Ann Arbor Greenhills	81	78.5	20
4	Almont	154	32.0
5	Marine City	167	27.8
6	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	175	21.9
7	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	193
8	Algonac	200	0.2
9	Stockbridge	211
10	Wixom St. Catherine	220
11	Detroit Osborn	335

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Hailey Creisher	Leslie	140.3
2	10	Grace Wonch	Lansing Catholic	126.2
3	9	Josie Bishop	Lansing Catholic	124.8
4	9	Isabelle Currie	Lansing Catholic	118.2
5	11	Frances Melinn	Lansing Catholic	115.2
6	9	Addison Gregg	Ann Arbor Greenhills	105.7
7	12	Erin Lubahn	Leslie	102.0
8	10	Reagan Lees	Wixom St. Catherine	98.9
9	9	Lindsey Ludwig	Lansing Catholic	95.2
10	10	Avery Miller	Lansing Catholic	95.2
11	10	Libby Schuster	Ann Arbor Greenhills	94.7
12	11	Janaan Rehman	Ann Arbor Greenhills	93.8
13	9	Margaret Guerra-Harrison	Leslie	91.1
14	9	Madisyn Hunter	Leslie	86.1
15	12	Kaitlin Ludwig	Lansing Catholic	82.1
16	11	Ella Heffner	Charyl Stockwell Academy	80.6
17	12	Jaidyn Smith	Leslie	62.5
18	9	Taylor Stanczak	Almont	60.5
19	12	Ava Vaccaro	Stockbridge	57.9
20	12	Josephine Malysz	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	57.8
21	11	Jasmine Walker	Algonac	57.7
22	11	Laila Evola	Almont	56.9
23	10	Nina Malani	Ann Arbor Greenhills	56.1
24	10	Aubrey Pilon	Marine City	55.5
25	12	Elizabeth Ballor	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	48.6

Region 27

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Blissfield – look to league competition, where the Royals won their first jamboree. A great help was sophomore Anna Hallett, who never finished lower than 17^th in one of the LCAA jamborees during her freshman year. The first LCAA meeting this time around? 7^th.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Blissfield	42	89.7	15
2	Grass Lake	44	76.2	18
3	Monroe St. Mary CC	71	70.9
4	Erie Mason	92	48.6
5	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	101	43.1
6	Ida	146	2.2

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Eliza Bush	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	146.3
2	11	Hope Miller	Blissfield	142.5
3	11	Bella LaFountain	Monroe St. Mary CC	141.0
4	11	Hailey Sills	Blissfield	115.5
5	12	Megan Woelkers	Flat Rock	103.4
6	9	Adalyn Jarchow	Grass Lake	99.8
7	9	Claire Miller	Monroe Jefferson	98.2
8	10	Anna Hallett	Blissfield	82.4
9	11	Julia Hughes	Ida	80.6
10	12	Mia Schroeder	Monroe Jefferson	78.5
11	12	Autumn Pernell	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	77.8
12	12	Grace Bullock	Grass Lake	77.2
13	10	Adeline Stormont	Grass Lake	73.2
14	10	Elise Bullock	Grass Lake	73.2
15	12	Kim Miller	Monroe Jefferson	71.4
16	10	Juleigh Husby	Monroe St. Mary CC	70.9
17	12	Elizabeth Lambert	Erie Mason	67.6
18	12	Alaina McClain	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	66.4
19	10	Kaleea Braun	Blissfield	65.4
20	12	Claire Lisker	Monroe St. Mary CC	63.6
21	11	Leona Knudsen	Monroe St. Mary CC	59.7
22	10	Makenzie Hilberer	Grass Lake	57.5
23	9	Kate Otting	Erie Mason	54.4
24	9	Breslin Wing	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	51.7
25	12	Bailey Meiring	Erie Mason	50.4

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 41 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 19

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Ryder Hopkins – if you just compare his freshman to sophomore years, you’ll find significant differences. 19:05 to 16:36 at East Jordan, 18:53 to 17:06 at Petoskey. What’s to come?

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Traverse City St. Francis	20	191.3	1
2	Charlevoix	62	172.5	11
3	Clare	101	154.1	26
4	Roscommon	147	139.3
5	Elk Rapids	172	129.8
6	Kalkaska	198	118.3
7	Boyne City	203	118.0
8	Standish-Sterling	209	118.0
9	Cheboygan	218	111.6
10	Grayling	221	112.3
11	Harrison	311	82.7
12	Tawas	332	71.8
13	Farwell	333	73.2

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Josh Slocum	Traverse City St. Francis	205.4
2	10	William Ready	Traverse City St. Francis	197.8
3	10	Hunter Eaton	Charlevoix	192.1
4	12	Owen Read	Traverse City St. Francis	186.1
5	12	Robby Myler	Traverse City St. Francis	185.7
6	10	Ryder Hopkins	Charlevoix	184.4
7	11	Matthew Solomon	Charlevoix	183.1
8	12	Joseph Carlson	Traverse City St. Francis	181.7
9	12	Riley Pattinson	Traverse City St. Francis	180.1
10	11	Qwynn Darnell	Elk Rapids	176.2
11	12	Lewis Walter	Traverse City St. Francis	171.5
12	12	David Dhaseleer	Charlevoix	171.5
13	12	Anthony Cole	Roscommon	170.1
14	10	Connor Schmidt	Clare	168.7
15	10	Isaac Dionne	Boyne City	162.5
16	11	Coltrane Paryani	Kalkaska	158.5
17	9	Owen McGlone	Kalkaska	154.4
18	11	Clayton Peacock	Clare	152.2
19	11	Carson Kiefer	Cheboygan	151.2
20	11	Neiko Ketchum	Clare	150.6
21	10	Jake Klemmer	Roscommon	150.5
22	12	Max Ward	Elk Rapids	149.9
23	12	Tristan Demlow	Grayling	149.9
24	12	Caidan Gaskill	Clare	149.7
25	10	Sutton Klaus	Clare	149.4

Region 20

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jackson Schaub – prior to this season, his best finish in a NWC Jamboree was a 20spot during his freshman year. In two of ‘em this fall, he’s grabbed 2^nd and 4^th place.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Hart	59	161.5	16
2	Benzie Central	63	162.4	17
3	Reed City	63	168.7	15
4	Lake City	96	155.2	23
5	Leroy Pine River	183	132.8
6	Manton	185	133.0
7	Manistee	220	123.3
8	Hesperia	254	108.1
9	Shelby	259	99.2
10	Kingsley	263	112.6
11	Remus Chippewa Hills	278	104.6
12	McBain	303	80.0
13	Morley-Stanwood	317	72.7
14	Mason County Central	336	74.3

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Gus Rohde	Reed City	202.8
2	11	Robert Dykhouse	Manton	188.0
3	11	Jackson Schaub	Benzie Central	177.4
4	11	Caiden Helsel	Lake City	174.6
5	10	Cooper Tiffany	Lakeview	174.2
6	9	Silas Ackley	Hart	171.4
7	11	Paul Saladin	Reed City	170.8
8	9	Eli VanPoortfliet	Benzie Central	168.9
9	10	Cage Edingfield	Benzie Central	166.9
10	11	Jack Slotman	Hart	164.5
11	11	Connor Helsel	Lake City	163.7
12	12	Jacob Simon	Remus Chippewa Hills	163.5
13	9	Tanner Dozier	Reed City	163.1
14	9	Abraham Kiaunis	Reed City	162.9
15	9	Grant Ackley	Hart	160.3
16	10	Pascal Miller	Hart	156.1
17	10	Mason Opalewski	Hart	155.4
18	10	Carson Ackley	Hart	154.9
19	10	Aiden Schaner	Hart	154.2
20	10	Nathan Lenington	Leroy Pine River	152.9
21	12	Benjamin DeRidder	Benzie Central	151.2
22	11	Owen Butkovich	Lake City	150.9
23	11	Iziquiel Picon	Shelby	150.2
24	11	Ethan Baker	Leroy Pine River	149.6
25	11	Jack Helsel	Manton	148.9

Region 21

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Holland Black River – over the summer, appeared to be in contention for 3^rd, as of late September, the Green n’ Black are in the drivers seat. A main reason has been the rise of freshman Casper Banner, who debuted with a few 18:0x’s, now is adjusting and subtracting time into the mid-17’s.

David Castrejon – just as Schaub, has shown a tremendous drop in league performance. Held down 31^st place in the CSAA during his freshman year, opened with a 7^th place finish last week.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	43	175.0	5
2	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	66	167.4	12
3	Holland Black River	91	161.1	18
4	Montague	119	157.0	22
5	The Potter’s House	131	153.6
6	Olivet	175	142.9
7	Parchment	211	137.4
8	Saranac	217	136.6
9	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	236	132.1
10	Kent City	278	124.4
11	Grandville Calvin Christian	303	119.6
12	Ravenna	331	108.9
13	Newaygo	344	91.2
14	North Muskegon	366	51.9
15	Delton-Kellogg	381	84.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Levi Kamps	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	197.1
2	12	Matthias Morse	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	193.8
3	10	Jonas Ballard	Holland Black River	180.3
4	11	Edward Mugisha	The Potter’s House	178.6
5	11	Noah Raeth	Montague	178.4
6	10	Micah Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	176.9
7	10	Barrett Nance	North Muskegon	172.7
8	12	Tyler N. Kooienga	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	172.1
9	12	Luke Dykstra	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	171.3
10	10	David Castrejon	Newaygo	167.3
11	9	Casper Banner	Holland Black River	166.7
12	12	Isaac Edgington	Holland Black River	166.4
13	12	Alexander Lawrence	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	165.2
14	12	Elliot Cole	Parchment	165.1
15	9	Nolan Kessler	Montague	163.5
16	10	Owen Sytsema	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	161.1
17	10	Josiah Scholma	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	158.8
18	11	Reuben Anderson	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	157.9
19	10	Levi Schimmel	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	157.3
20	10	Caleb Swiney	The Potter’s House	156.0
21	11	Max Mcdowell	Olivet	155.0
22	11	Kaden Mingerink	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	154.9
23	11	Isaac Johnson	Holland Black River	153.6
24	10	Easton Mccloy	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	153.5
25	10	Landen Gessner	Olivet	153.0

Region 22

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jackson Bowman – has shown a steadiness beyond his years. Night race opener? 17:16. Conference race? 17:23. Long drive + hills? 17:19. Humid morning? 17:03. Down the line, whichever the conditions may be, he’ll be in a good spot.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Saugatuck	37	173.8	4
2	Buchanan	55	168.9	10
3	Union City	96	159.6	21
4	Centreville	162	139.3
5	Schoolcraft	165	137.3
6	Watervliet	198	129.3
7	Constantine	202	126.8
8	Bangor	210	125.2
9	Galesburg-Augusta	237	120.6
10	Bloomingdale	252	114.3
11	Hartford	255	114.3
12	Coloma	310	93.4
13	Fennville	378	71.5
14	Kalamazoo Christian	403	-9.8
15	Comstock	440	24.6

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Daniel Mandujano	Watervliet	186.2
2	11	Ben Gautsche	Union City	181.6
3	9	Jackson Bowman	Saugatuck	180.4
4	11	Liam McBeth	Buchanan	179.8
5	12	Dante Pillot	Schoolcraft	177.6
6	10	Grant Rehkopf	Saugatuck	176.1
7	11	Jack Sherwood	Buchanan	175.1
8	10	Sawyer Monroe	Saugatuck	172.1
9	10	Marcus Silva	Saugatuck	171.8
10	11	Jacob Kuntz	Buchanan	170.0
11	11	Sammy Gamboa	Saugatuck	168.7
12	12	Jason Shoop	Union City	167.5
13	11	Alessandro Avila	Constantine	163.7
14	10	John Keser	Buchanan	162.5
15	12	Carlos Ruiz	Hartford	161.2
16	12	Ethan Miller	Centreville	160.3
17	12	Carter Stevens	Galesburg-Augusta	160.1
18	12	Landen Bouchard	Galesburg-Augusta	158.0
19	12	Robbie King	Constantine	157.7
20	12	Coy Weinberg	Buchanan	157.1
21	9	Ashton Skinner	Saugatuck	152.9
22	9	Ira Brown	Saugatuck	152.2
23	12	Zack Mitchell	Kalamazoo Christian	152.0
24	12	Tyler Caruso	Bangor	151.5
25	12	Malachi Payne	Union City	150.9

Region 23

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Cooper Flick – over the summer, received a little flack from the Comet faithful as to their ranking. Flick doing his best to prove those words right, constantly in contention to split a sub-17. Much quicker compared to his sophomore year, where at this point he’d just hit the 17’s for the first time ever.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	39	184.0	2
2	Hanover-Horton	63	173.8	6
3	Jonesville	81	168.4	13
4	Onsted	117	157.0	27
5	Brooklyn Columbia Central	147	147.3
6	Sand Creek	172	141.4
7	Bronson	220	127.3
8	Homer	256	99.7
9	Quincy	266	107.0
10	Napoleon	267	93.1
11	Hillsdale	273	102.3
12	Hudson	300	88.6
13	Springport	340	69.4
14	Michigan Center	411

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Mitchell Hiatt	Onsted	203.9
2	12	Isaiah Dinverno	Jackson Lumen Christi	203.0
3	12	Leo Swager	Jackson Lumen Christi	194.7
4	12	Landen Boulis	Hanover-Horton	193.5
5	10	Caleb Blonde	Jonesville	189.7
6	10	Logan Youngman	Hillsdale	183.1
7	10	Cooper Flick	Hanover-Horton	182.6
8	11	Gibson Shore	Jackson Lumen Christi	180.8
9	11	Nicholas Fowler	Jonesville	178.9
10	11	John Edler	Homer	173.1
11	10	Rocky Bolton	Jackson Lumen Christi	172.8
12	11	Zach Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	171.9
13	10	Silas Daniels	Sand Creek	169.1
14	10	Collin Fucile	Jonesville	168.6
15	10	Avery Morrow	Jackson Lumen Christi	168.6
16	12	James Bayes	Onsted	166.2
17	10	Chad Tyson	Hanover-Horton	164.7
18	9	Chris Durfey	Onsted	161.1
19	12	Isaac St. John	Hudson	161.1
20	11	Karl Swager	Jackson Lumen Christi	159.8
21	9	Ashton Potwin	Jonesville	159.2
22	12	Jack Gorton	Brooklyn Columbia Central	159.1
23	9	Wyatt Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	156.4
24	10	Nicklas Holmes	Onsted	155.4
25	12	Owen Lambarth	Brooklyn Columbia Central	154.5

Region 24

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Kyler Fertig – has been one of the primary reasons that the Hornets are projected in the top spot. Around this time last year, he found his mid-17 groove, times he ran at both Portage and State. He’s already reached as low as 16:57, so I’m pumped to see what’s next.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Stanton Central Montcalm	47	176.1	9
2	Pewamo-Westphalia	49	172.2	7
3	Bath	76	162.1	19
4	Laingsburg	124	144.0
5	Otisville LakeVille	130	128.0
6	Ovid-Elsie	150	133.9
7	New Lothrop	182	118.6
8	Montrose	188	119.6
9	Chesaning	200	115.4
10	Perry	258	84.7
11	Mt Morris	341	-24.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Gage Hoffman	Stanton Central Montcalm	205.7
2	11	Noah Devereaux	Laingsburg	191.4
3	11	Tyler Leach	Otisville LakeVille	190.6
4	9	Owen Poppema	Bath	188.6
5	11	Kyler Fertig	Stanton Central Montcalm	182.4
6	12	Allan George	Pewamo-Westphalia	179.0
7	10	Sylus Wilson	Stanton Central Montcalm	178.5
8	10	John Kowatch	Pewamo-Westphalia	177.8
9	10	Charlie George	Pewamo-Westphalia	175.5
10	10	Wyatt Werner	Pewamo-Westphalia	172.2
11	9	Wyatt Roberts	Otisville LakeVille	171.7
12	9	Tate Smith	Bath	170.8
13	12	Clay Powell	Ovid-Elsie	167.2
14	9	Johnny Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	165.3
15	10	River Fox	Bath	159.2
16	12	Jason Weber	Pewamo-Westphalia	156.2
17	12	Connor Kennedy	Otisville LakeVille	155.1
18	12	Lieu Vincke	New Lothrop	154.6
19	10	Nolan Mitchell	Pewamo-Westphalia	154.1
20	11	Evan Rolston	Stanton Central Montcalm	148.6
21	12	Luke Skidmore	Bath	147.6
22	12	James Kelly	Ovid-Elsie	147.2
23	11	Joshua Miller	Ovid-Elsie	145.3
24	9	Mario Baker	Bath	144.1
25	9	Eli Hobson	Montrose	143.8

Region 25

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Midland Bullock Creek – who’s looking to make it back to back with team qualifiers. Marshall Brandt has stepped up significantly. He’s already closing in on the 16’s, racing to a 17:01 in his opener and one second slower at Northwood. At this point in 2023, he hadn’t gone under 18:30.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Ithaca	29	183.0	3
2	Sanford-Meridian	86	156.4	24
3	Midland Bullock Creek	98	151.3
4	St. Louis	102	149.8
5	Pigeon-Laker	111	143.9
6	Reese	120	141.0
7	Cass City	178	117.4
8	Carrollton	232	90.8
9	Millington	247	88.0
10	Hemlock	257	80.8
11	Vassar	307

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Landen Styka	Ithaca	202.7
2	12	Miingen Bertrand	Ithaca	196.6
3	12	Landon Pestrue	St. Louis	192.1
4	10	Luke Herron	Caro	190.2
5	12	Tyler Heal	Sanford-Meridian	189.9
6	10	Marshall Brandt	Midland Bullock Creek	183.1
7	12	Brayden Sweeney	Midland Bullock Creek	180.6
8	11	Jacob Mankey	Ithaca	179.4
9	11	Jayden Fox	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	175.5
10	12	Cade Truemner	Pigeon-Laker	169.8
11	10	Evan MacLaren	Ithaca	168.2
12	11	Thad Whitmore	Ithaca	168.0
13	10	Evan Olson	Pigeon-Laker	164.7
14	9	Remyngton Clish	Sanford-Meridian	162.7
15	12	Colin Kuhn	St. Louis	162.5
16	12	Brent DeSaegher	Ithaca	160.2
17	10	Xander Huckins	Reese	159.9
18	11	Alex Rodriguez	St. Louis	157.8
19	11	Wesley Haines	Reese	156.9
20	9	Christopher Shemes	Ithaca	155.6
21	11	Logan Brawt	Sanford-Meridian	154.8
22	12	Jacob Moore	Caro	154.3
23	9	Kale Miklovic	Pigeon-Laker	151.2
24	10	Mayson McIntosh	Caro	150.5
25	11	James Schroder	Sanford-Meridian	147.8

Region 26

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Nole Lorenzen – not only one of the better freshmen in Region 26 or D3, one of the top youngsters in the state. Hasn’t notched a win just yet, but hit a sub-17 at Holly in the heat.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Lansing Catholic	29	171.2	8
2	Leslie	73	158.8	20
3	Ann Arbor Greenhills	102	152.6
4	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	111	146.7
5	Algonac	130	139.3
6	Almont	165	127.6
7	Clawson	225	105.9
8	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	247	97.3
9	Stockbridge	251	91.8
10	Marine City	281	59.9
11	Charyl Stockwell Academy	286	78.7
12	New Haven	318	25.8
13	Detroit Osborn	409	-96.1

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	9	Nole Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	188.3
2	11	Lucas Gates	Lansing Catholic	181.8
3	10	Everett Beach	Lansing Catholic	172.3
4	11	Julian Walker	Algonac	170.9
5	9	Grady Richey	Lansing Catholic	170.8
6	10	Kenneth Mangles	Leslie	170.0
7	9	Jack Songer	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	170.0
8	10	William Gancer	Stockbridge	169.6
9	10	Téo Krumm	Lansing Catholic	165.6
10	12	Joseph Treadwell	Lansing Catholic	165.3
11	10	Finn Korte	Lansing Catholic	163.5
12	9	Carson Potter	Lansing Catholic	162.6
13	11	Owen Beindit	Algonac	160.8
14	10	Matthew Killeen	Leslie	159.6
15	10	Cooper Schmelter	Leslie	156.5
16	9	Oscar Wordell	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	156.5
17	12	Jose Domecq	Leslie	155.4
18	11	Henry Beck	Ann Arbor Greenhills	155.0
19	10	Naveen Kulkarni	Ann Arbor Greenhills	153.8
20	11	Parth Ashok	Ann Arbor Greenhills	153.6
21	11	Grason Weber	Leslie	152.6
22	12	Mason Stranahan	Ann Arbor Greenhills	151.1
23	11	Nico Aagesen	Ann Arbor Greenhills	149.5
24	10	Colton Grzyb	Almont	141.1
25	12	Gavin Campbell	Almont	140.6

Region 27

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Monroe St. Mary Catholic Central – and it hasn’t even been who I expected over the summer. Two freshmen, Christian Craanen and Fin Totten, have been their top-2 boys. Craanen himself is being established as one of the better 9^th graders in the state.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Flat Rock	51	169.9	14
2	Erie Mason	76	154.8	25
3	Monroe St. Mary CC	97	153.6
4	Blissfield	100	152.0
5	Adrian Madison	138	143.9
6	Grass Lake	143	139.3
7	Monroe Jefferson	152	137.0
8	Clinton	164	134.7
9	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	240	111.0
10	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	269	77.3
11	Ida	278	79.6

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Jacob Stanislawski	Flat Rock	196.1
2	12	Nathan Vargo	Flat Rock	185.3
3	9	Christian Craanen	Monroe St. Mary CC	184.4
4	12	Ian Waddell	Blissfield	182.4
5	11	Lucas Taraszkiewicz	Flat Rock	178.9
6	11	Trenton Fetter	Adrian Madison	178.9
7	12	Austin Sulier	Erie Mason	173.1
8	12	Gabe Manchester	Clinton	170.0
9	12	Parker Campbell	Erie Mason	162.1
10	11	Luke Masserant	Monroe Jefferson	158.6
11	9	Fin Totten	Monroe St. Mary CC	158.2
12	9	Michael Weidmayer	Blissfield	155.8
13	11	Luke Stanley	Ida	154.9
14	10	Joseph Colaluca	Erie Mason	153.6
15	12	Chase Missler	Monroe St. Mary CC	153.3
16	9	Noah Sills	Blissfield	151.1
17	12	Adam Brodie	Flat Rock	151.0
18	12	Andrew Hintz	Monroe Jefferson	149.9
19	11	Connor Sherwood	Grass Lake	149.7
20	11	Paul McClure	Adrian Madison	147.3
21	10	Zack Buttigieg	Grass Lake	146.4
22	11	Jackson Carner	Erie Mason	143.4
23	12	Eric Ramsey	Clinton	141.9
24	9	Caleb Healey	Erie Mason	141.5
25	12	Kevin Roberts	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	138.6