Uncategorized

Division 3 State Finals Projections

WEEK THREE
WEEK FOUR
CHAMPIONSHIP SEASON
COUNTY WEEK
LEAGUE WEEK
REGIONAL WEEK

This year’s version of the State Projections and Previews will be lighter on the writing than the previous ones. There’s a reason that I wrote so much for the rankings throughout the year, hopefully you can refer back to those for the backstories on the teams and individuals.

This year, just as the regionals were last week and projections were last year, I worked with the simulations. I liked my regional write-up for that, here’s one for example if you’d like to read. For the State version, I ran through 10x more simulations. Which really doesn’t sound like much, but when you graduate from 1,000 simulations to 10,000, that’s a significant jump. And given that the projected state qualifying teams were higher than ever, perhaps we’re onto something.

Girls Team Projections

Projected Place Ranges

This is something new. I’ve always had odds for winning or placing, but I never thought to give odds for each place. Hopefully this will better show the range of places for each team and better elucidate teams that are more consistent and those who have a slight propensity for the chance at a major day.

Place and Score by Runner

Analysis

The Division 4 Preview had a little look into whether the Fastest Fifth Theory is true. Essentially, the idea goes that if you have the first fifth finisher, you have the best chance at winning a State Meet. I’ve had it told to me that every D1 girls winner at MIS has had the fastest fifth in the field, I wondered if that was the case for all divisions. This is only going back to 2019, with the technology these days, it’s a quick look. Prior to 2019, it’s a slower look, but definitely ripe for off-season inspection.

What I can glean from this data is that having the first fifth finisher is important, but not 100% necessary to win. If you have four elite runners such as Hart’s girls from 2019-2021 or Otsego’s girls last year, you can build up enough of a gap to overcome a pack finishing before your final scorer. If you don’t have those elite four, your 5th runner better be within 20 seconds of the fastest 5th in the field, or else you’re accumulating too many points in a hurry.

For Division 3’s girls, there’s five teams that could come in before anyone else: Lumen Christi, Traverse City St. Francis, GR Covenant Christian, and Elk Rapids. With that said, the race may be won by firepower up front. Each team has a potential All-Stater, some have two, some even have three. As the race unfolds, I might look more at who is coming in early, as each of these teams have the depth late.

Another one of my theories, one that’s completely untested and I’m not even sure how I’d research, is that teams that move up throughout the race tend to do better in big race environments. Maybe I’m influenced by the MSU Women, who have won consecutive Big Ten titles using this strategy. But it makes sense, in that teams that are fading are giving away places and teams that are moving up are usually running even/negative splits and catching people. My assumption is that teams that score lower and lower points with each mile are less apt to get too excited and amped up in the moment.

Spartan
Holly
Bluejay
Portage

There have been some common races between the bunch. At Shepherd, the only team missing was Lumen Christi. At Portage, the only team missing was Elk Rapids. Lumen Christi won Portage by placing all five girls in the top-30, St. Francis won at Bluejay with the same array of places. The Elk girls mastered moving up throughout the Bluejay race, scoring 140 at the mile and 92 at the finish. If conditions favor heavy amounts of places being exchanged late, don’t be shocked if the ER girls move into the top-3.

Girls Individual Projections

Projected PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
111Jessica JazwinskiHart1.1
212Madison OsterbergJackson Lumen Christi2.3
311Kyah HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm3.4
411Emmry RossOnsted3.9
511Betsy SkendzelTraverse City St. Francis6.3
612Tessa RoeLansing Catholic6.7
711Lila VolkersKent City7.3
812Mylie KellyBenzie Central7.9
911Eliza BushYpsilanti Arbor Preparatory8.7
1012Miranda McNeilMorley-Stanwood8.7
119Samantha SchroederJackson Lumen Christi12.9
1212Amber KooleGR Covenant Christian13.0
1311Whitney WernerPewamo-Westphalia13.0
149Kamryn SalladayLakeview16.2
1512Jenna SweeneyReese19.8
1611Ashley ChoponisStanton Central Montcalm21.9
1710Brynne SchulteElk Rapids23.9
1812Liliana LehnstIthaca24.1
1912Kinsie JacquesPinconning25.2
2012Olivia PerrineHanover-Horton25.4
2111Kaya VrableCaro25.7
229Isabelle SliterFennville27.1
2310Hope MillerBlissfield27.2
2410Grace CostonStanton Central Montcalm27.9
259Sophia BuzzelliClare28.0
2612Cylee ElkinsClinton28.5
279Shelby KuiperGR Covenant Christian28.6
2812Isabella MaxKent City29.1
2912Jaiden DickmanSt. Louis30.0
3010Bella LaFountainMonroe St. Mary CC30.1
3112Cecilia PostmaManistee31.1
3212Avelina HollandsworthRemus Chippewa Hills32.3
3311Nora GrossnickleBenzie Central32.5
3412Gracie HoutmanKent City34.9
3510Macy FazekasJackson Lumen Christi36.2
3611Mary MasserantTraverse City St. Francis36.2
3710Ashlynn HarrisBronson36.8
3811Lola BryceGrandville Calvin Christian38.3
3911Ava HathawayBronson38.7
4012Paige HerronCaro38.8
419Molly Kate HollandsworthTraverse City St. Francis39.0
4211Megan WoelkersFlat Rock42.3
4310Quinn HatfieldRemus Chippewa Hills47.5
4412Allison BowlesClinton48.1
4512Sophia ReynoldsHanover-Horton49.5
4610Anna PrayElk Rapids49.6
4712Claire NeumannSaginaw Valley Lutheran49.9
4811Alaina KloosterKalamazoo Christian50.2
4912Maddie GallagherTraverse City St. Francis50.2
5011Isabelle EppertFarwell51.3
5110Myleigh HephnerIthaca54.5
5211Lexie Beth NienhuisHart54.7
5311Layla LopezJackson Lumen Christi55.2
549Alyssa KramerPewamo-Westphalia57.9
559Makinna FoglesongIthaca58.7
569Libby SchusterAnn Arbor Greenhills59.1
579Lydia SoelbergShelby61.4
5810Mattie GagneMidland Bullock Creek61.6
5912Abbie WiegersNorth Muskegon63.1
6011Chloe StalhoodHillsdale63.5
6110Frances MelinnLansing Catholic63.7
629Alli GautscheUnion City64.9
639Reagan LeesWixom St. Catherine64.9
6412Angel MillerParchment65.0
6512Melanie WernerPewamo-Westphalia65.6
6611Hunter ShellenbargerElk Rapids67.3
6712Nidia MartinezFennville70.6
689Pyper BraunEPBP Laker71.2
6912Sydney FazekasJackson Lumen Christi72.3
7010Hailey CreisherLeslie74.3
7110Abbie SchneiderPewamo-Westphalia75.8
7211Erin LubahnLeslie77.6
7312Tessa WohlschlegelBeaverton78.5
7410Hailey SillsBlissfield78.8
759Lydia MinderhoudGR Covenant Christian78.9
7611Emma MillerBuchanan81.0
7710Anna PoppemaBath81.4
7812Emily AngerMancelona82.3
7912Faith SwenorCaro83.4
8012Lindsay MinderhoudGR Covenant Christian84.5
8112Jaida SchulteElk Rapids84.9
829Grace WonchLansing Catholic85.0
8310Sarah TrojanowskiTraverse City St. Francis85.7
849Anna DeVriesGR Covenant Christian87.7
8512Morgan LowellWatervliet88.0
8611Hannah GeaneyWyoming Potter’s House88.4
879Marnath TuolGrandville Calvin Christian88.6
8812Eva PrayElk Rapids90.0
8910Kandin ShulerBridgman93.6
9010Delaney LittleBoyne City94.3
9112Olivea GessnerOlivet95.1
9211Clara FastBridgman95.2
939Natalie RosemaHart95.3
949Jenna KeilenPewamo-Westphalia96.1
9511Madeline YoungBuchanan96.7
9611Emily RathkaLaingsburg97.3
9712Rachael WalchCaro97.6
9812Samantha CootsClinton98.0
9912Anika BeryAnn Arbor Greenhills98.2
10011Ariana PillotSchoolcraft99.3

Jessica Jazwinski is clearly the favorite coming in here and for good reason, when she’s on her game, she races with extreme toughness. The problem for others in that previous sentence is that she’s almost always on her game, especially at the longer distances. She’s rattled off low-17 efforts each time this year when put to the test – whether that’s Bluejay, Cougar Falcon, or at Chippewa Hills.

There seem to be three that have separated themselves beyond Jazwinski. Madison Osterberg has added strength to her impressive mid-distance resume. The D3 winner in the 1600m, she’s taken where she left off from last year’s MITCA race and has raced to a multitude of sub-18’s. She’s done it on fast courses and in the mud at Hudson Mills. Emmry Ross (your defending D3 400/800m champ) had some mid-season battles with Osterberg and Kaylie Livingston, pushing to a 17:29 personal best at Stockbridge. Kyah Hoffman has lost when facing Osterberg or Ross, but has the most consistency of the bunch, dipping below 18:00 on occasion and hitting the equivalent of low-18 marks each time out.

Boys Team Projections

Projected Place Ranges

Place and Score by Runner

Analysis

Traverse City St. Francis is clearly the favorite. The Gladiators have it all, the GladPack in the middle, low sticks up front. They won by significant margins at the mid-season, state preview meets such as Bluejay or Portage, scoring seven boys before many teams’ 4th or even 3rd.

What’s wide open is the race for the other podium spot, the other trophy. Reed City may have languished behind some of these folks at Bluejay and may have the weakest depth, but the Yotes collectively had the best race of their season at Region 20, adding up to only 20 points while bringing all five boys home before 18-flat. Covenant Christian and Pewamo-Westphalia have more depth than Reed City and have shown the ability to pass in droves late. And Hanover-Horton has the tradition of always outperforming these numbers. The Comets are projected 5th here, that’s almost a guarantee they’ll be at least 3rd.

Boys Individual Projections

Projected PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
19Robert Jazwinski IIIHart1.9
212Collin FarmerPewamo-Westphalia2.5
311Isaiah DinvernoJackson Lumen Christi5.5
412Ben MarchSt. Louis7.8
512Samuel MartiniKent City9.5
612Keegan MastersOttawa Lake-Whiteford9.8
710Gage HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm10.0
812Brad WhiteClare10.4
911Mitchell HiattOnsted11.1
1011August RohdeReed City11.8
1111Theodore DavisDansville12.2
1212Jackson RodriguezWyoming Potter’s House12.5
1312Boden GenoveseColoma13.3
1411Leo SwagerTraverse City St. Francis14.3
1510Jacob StanislawskiFlat Rock15.4
1611Landon PestrueSt. Louis15.4
1712Anthony KiaunisReed City16.6
1812Lucas HopkinsOlivet18.9
1911Levi KampsGR Covenant Christian21.2
2012Jaden BarnesBloomingdale22.1
2111Josh SlocumTraverse City St. Francis23.0
2212Ryan AllenReed City23.8
2312Gavin GuggemosKalkaska24.4
2412Graham CostonStanton Central Montcalm24.6
2510Landen StykaIthaca24.7
2611Tyler HealSanford-Meridian27.4
2711Landen BoulisHanover-Horton28.2
289Graeson DeckerGR Covenant Christian29.5
2911Daniel MandujanoWatervliet31.1
3012Evan ShepherdHanover-Horton33.0
3112Gavin VanKampenJonesville35.0
3211Isaac EdgingtonHolland Black River38.0
3310Ben GautscheUnion City38.9
3412Brodie DelamaterGrant39.9
3512Tucker KrummTraverse City St. Francis40.3
3612Nolan GrantHillsdale41.9
3712Nathan DaySaranac42.3
3812Carter HolmesBath43.6
3912Gannon ShoreJackson Lumen Christi43.6
4010Lucas TaraszkiewiczFlat Rock44.8
419Caleb BlondeJonesville45.7
429Hunter EatonCharlevoix46.6
4311Nathan VargoFlat Rock46.9
4412Trevor DornbosGrandville Calvin Christian47.0
4510Robert DykhouseManton47.7
4612Andrew KlausClare48.6
4710Noah DevereauxLaingsburg49.2
4811Owen ReadTraverse City St. Francis49.7
4911Robby MylerTraverse City St. Francis51.1
5010Sylus WilsonStanton Central Montcalm52.0
5112Alex CzeiszpergerHudson55.3
5211Lewis WalterTraverse City St. Francis56.2
5312Bailey WigginsMidland Bullock Creek56.8
5410Qwynn DarnellElk Rapids59.4
5512Ezra HagedornWyoming Potter’s House61.0
569Wyatt WernerPewamo-Westphalia61.2
5711Riley PattinsonTraverse City St. Francis61.7
5811Luke DykstraGR Covenant Christian62.4
599Cole HillegondsClinton62.8
609Jonas BallardHolland Black River62.8
6111Allan GeorgePewamo-Westphalia64.7
6211Cade TruemnerEPBP Laker64.7
6311Miingen BertrandIthaca64.8
6411Brayden SweeneyMidland Bullock Creek65.6
6512Drew MooreGrayling67.2
6611Dante PillotSchoolcraft67.6
6712Hunter HelminskiSaranac69.3
6812Anthony UrbaniakCharyl Stockwell Academy70.9
6912Conner FountainOlivet72.5
7010Grant JohnsonManchester72.8
7112Lincoln ChaAnn Arbor Greenhills73.7
7211Tristan DemlowGrayling73.9
739Luke HerronCaro74.1
7410Julian WalkerAlgonac75.8
7511Andrew MabryBridgman77.4
7612Nic PorterClare78.6
7710Tyler LeachOtisville LakeVille79.9
7810John EdlerHomer80.0
7911Ian WaddellBlissfield80.5
8011Luke SkidmoreBath81.4
8110Zach HassenzahlHanover-Horton84.7
829River FoxBath86.9
8312Andrew KoenigsknechtBath87.2
8411Clay PowellOvid-Elsie88.0
8511Gabe ManchesterClinton88.7
8611Austin SulierErie Mason90.5
8711Sam MuirheadPewamo-Westphalia90.8
8810Nicholas FowlerJonesville92.8
8912Grant KooleGR Covenant Christian93.5
909John KowatchPewamo-Westphalia93.6
9112Lucas GoodmanClinton94.4
9210Jack SlotmanHart97.1
9311Parker CampbellErie Mason97.2
9410Gibson ShoreJackson Lumen Christi97.4
9510Jayden FoxSaginaw Valley Lutheran102.1
9611Max StittHart102.4
9712Adam WilliamsKalkaska102.9
9812Owen BrownHanover-Horton103.3
9912Tanner SoelbergShelby104.2
10012Noah FintonWyoming Potter’s House105.1

When June came and passed, I (and maybe many) wondered if there’d ever be another Hunter Jones. Well, we didn’t have to wait long for the answer, as Bobby Jazwinski is putting up the same kind of numbers that Hunter did as a freshman. Opening with a 15:48 at Benzie, continuing to multiple 15:3x efforts and even faster. Of course, when anyone freshman bursts onto the scene, there are seniors looking to hold them off, and Collin Farmer has done the best of the bunch. Head-to-head, Farmer has won, with a narrow victory at Bluejay, then a significant margin at Portage. This begs the question that the ratings attempt to capture: were those two matchups an example of the differing speeds of the two or was it a combination of Jazwinski having poor races/Farmer having great races? We’ll find out on Saturday.

Uncategorized

Division 4 State Finals Projections

WEEK THREE
WEEK FOUR
CHAMPIONSHIP SEASON
COUNTY WEEK
LEAGUE WEEK
REGIONAL WEEK

This year’s version of the State Projections and Previews will be lighter on the writing than the previous ones. There’s a reason that I wrote so much for the rankings throughout the year, hopefully you can refer back to those for the backstories on the teams and individuals.

This year, just as the regionals were last week and projections were last year, I worked with the simulations. I liked my regional write-up for that, here’s one for example if you’d like to read. For the State version, I ran through 10x more simulations. Which really doesn’t sound like much, but when you graduate from 1,000 simulations to 10,000, that’s a significant jump. And given that the projected state qualifying teams were higher than ever, perhaps we’re onto something.

Girls Team Projections

Projected Place Ranges

This is something new. I’ve always had odds for winning or placing, but I never thought to give odds for each place. Hopefully this will better show the range of places for each team and better elucidate teams that are more consistent and those who have a slight propensity for the chance at a major day.

Place and Score by Runner

Analysis

Many charts and sheets, here’s the last one:

A little look into whether the Fastest Fifth Theory is true. Essentially, the idea goes that if you have the first fifth finisher, you have the best chance at winning a State Meet. I’ve had it told to me that every D1 girls winner at MIS has had the fastest fifth in the field, I wondered if that was the case for all divisions. This is only going back to 2019, with the technology these days, it’s a quick look. Prior to 2019, it’s a slower look, but definitely ripe for off-season inspection.

What I can glean from this data is that having the first fifth finisher is important, but not 100% necessary to win. If you have four elite runners such as Hart’s girls from 2019-2021 or Otsego’s girls last year, you can build up enough of a gap to overcome a pack finishing before your final scorer. If you don’t have those elite four, your 5th runner better be within 20 seconds of the fastest 5th in the field, or else you’re accumulating too many points in a hurry.

This fall, it appears that Whitmore Lake won’t have the first fifth runner in the field, that might apply to Western Mich. Christian. In the same range also is Johannesburg-Lewiston, their final scorers projected within 11 points of one another. The three teams faced off at Portage, with Johannesburg taking home a trophy, placing four girls in the top-14, putting forth enough of a gap to weather the WMC pack. Whitmore Lake was a bit behind J-L, there with WMC through four, but their final scorer finished a minute back of where she’s been crossing the line these past few weeks.

Each team has an argument:

Whitmore Lake – the improved racing of their 3rd-5th girls (Meadows, Robertson, Weaver) over the past few weeks.
Johannesburg-Lewiston – the defending champs, can’t discount championship experience.
Western Mich. Christian – the ability to throw five in front of your four, six in front of your five.

Another one of my theories, one that’s completely untested and I’m not even sure how I’d research, is that teams that move up throughout the race tend to do better in big race environments. Maybe I’m influenced by the MSU Women, who have won consecutive Big Ten titles using this strategy. But it makes sense, in that teams that are fading are giving away places and teams that are moving up are usually running even/negative splits and catching people. My assumption is that teams that score lower and lower points with each mile are less apt to get too excited and amped up in the moment.

Spartan
Holly
Bluejay
Portage

At Portage, teams such as J-L and WMC moved up throughout the race, as did Hillsdale Academy and Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart. Perhaps the latter two are sleepers to run above their pay grade?

Girls Individual Projections

PlaceGradeNameTeamAverage Place
19Kaylie LivingstonWhitmore Lake1.4
212Aiden HarrandBuckley1.8
311Grace VanderKooiMuskegon Western Mich. Christian3.1
412Ava TeedAllen Park Cabrini5.0
511Allie NowakJohannesburg-Lewiston5.1
69Libby SmithGobles6.6
710Carina BurchiWhitmore Lake7.1
811Izzy BrooksAdrian Lenawee Christian8.1
911Jane MantheiPetoskey St. Michael10.2
1011Eliza KeithAuburn Hills Oakland Christian11.6
1112Brooke SmithPittsford13.7
129Stefi ReskevicsHarbor Springs14.2
1311Ella KnudsenLeland15.4
1412Miriam MurrellGaylord St. Mary15.8
1510Taylor WiegandLivingston Christian16.1
169Veyda ConleyMartin20.3
1710Sofia RobertsonWhitmore Lake20.4
1811Juniper RodhamHarbor Springs20.9
1912Natalie MeadowsWhitmore Lake22.4
2012Madalyn AgrenJohannesburg-Lewiston23.7
219Harlie FoxJohannesburg-Lewiston23.7
229Haley StimerConcord24.9
2312Allison GlendeningSt. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic25.1
249Ava DeYoungGobles26.9
2512Isabella YeomanGenesee27.5
2611Abigail DavisVestaburg27.6
2710Ally SchmitzBreckenridge31.4
289Lauren ShafferGobles32.3
299Lyvia CurtisSaugatuck32.6
3010Lilah KileyKingston34.7
3111Presley AllenMendon36.3
3212Eleanor KingshottMuskegon Western Mich. Christian36.6
339Leah SnellerMuskegon Western Mich. Christian36.8
3410Yolanda GaschoJohannesburg-Lewiston37.3
359Anna SheppardMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart38.1
369Kamryn SixberrySaugatuck39.9
3712Grace FolkemaMuskegon Western Mich. Christian40.1
389Avery LangloisRogers City41.9
3911Ella WaltonHillsdale Academy42.6
4011Stephanie HernandezAddison44.5
4112Lily LemanskiMarlette46.3
4210Ruth BrownleeHillsdale Academy46.3
439Addy ZellerBear Lake-Onekama46.4
4411Ava MallarPittsford47.3
459Nolee LeppertBeal City48.3
4610Madi HarePlymouth Christian Academy48.6
4712Jacqueline MortonMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart49.0
4810Eleanor ColeLutheran HS Westland50.2
4911Natalie GibbsBirmingham Roeper50.7
5010Cieara BarrettConcord51.3
519Gabriella SiemsKalamazoo Hackett53.1
529Kaylie RiksenMuskegon Western Mich. Christian53.3
5311Riley McCumberPittsford55.0
5410Katie SweeneyUbly56.4
5512Leah ZarrilliAuburn Hills Oakland Christian57.0
5612Alberta ReinboldUnionville-Sebewaing58.0
5711Danica AldrichBreckenridge60.4
5812Ellayna MeredithPortland St. Patrick61.4
5910Brooklynn FrazeeBuckley62.5
6010Emma RikerKalamazoo Hackett64.1
619Elizabeth FurmanIndian River Inland Lakes65.5
6211Kelcie PungFowler67.2
6312Gracy WalkerKingston67.9
6411Reece WrubleHarbor Beach69.7
6510Kinsey PeerBuckley70.0
669Claire LongSaginaw Nouvel71.0
6710Rowan AllenMendon71.6
6811Caroline RobertsHillsdale Academy72.5
6910Lauren NiedzielskiMason County Eastern73.9
709Addison PatrzikGrand Traverse Academy76.9
719Adrienne MitchellLansing Christian77.0
7210Abby BrownleeHillsdale Academy78.1
7310Elodie WeaverWhitmore Lake78.7
7410Madison CooleyGobles78.7
7512Anna McQuearySaugatuck79.4
7612Paige BellGrand Traverse Academy79.8
7712Andrea FeldpauschWhite Cloud80.3
7810Fran WarrenHarbor Springs80.8
7911Brielle VoorheesTri-unity Christian81.2
809Veronica PagaPetoskey St. Michael82.3
819Danielle AgrenJohannesburg-Lewiston87.2
8211Lucy ShoupMason County Eastern88.1
8311Avery WestallBreckenridge88.8
8410Addison ChownykFrankfort89.8
8511Aubrey ApplemanBritton Deerfield90.2
869Mikayla KulawiakBuckley90.8
8711Kyra BeemerBrown City92.3
8811Julia RogersKimball New Life Christian93.1
8911Sarah GoodwinAuburn Hills Oakland Christian94.6
9011Leilani SchoonmakerSaugatuck95.5
9112Zoe Van RijnKingston95.7
929Natalie BurpeeLeland96.5
9311Nataly VineBreckenridge96.6
949Allie MillerHillsdale Academy97.9
9510Cara PrusakiewiczDryden98.4
9610Shenoah CollierGrand Traverse Academy99.9
9711Morgan LawrenceMuskegon Western Mich. Christian100.6
9812Abby KunkleLibertas Christian101.5
9911Erica WalkerClarkston Everest Collegiate102.2
10011Meeghan FlikkieKingston102.3

The one race between these two wasn’t particularly close, with Kaylie Livingston sticking to her guns, asserting her presence early and never letting up. The issue with doing these ratings for an entire season is that experienced seniors know when to pick and choose their battles. My guess is that Aiden Harrand has truly gone all-out a few times this year, once at Portage, then also at Shepherd and Benzie. Her times and ratings from those two meets lead me to believe that she’ll give Kaylie everything she can handle. And from there it can go either way. This will likely be one of the closer individual races on the day, so get out to the Speedway early.

Boys Team Projections

Projected Place Ranges

Place and Score by Runner

Analysis

Judging by the fastest five and moving up through the race, along with their season long ranks and projections, Hillsdale Academy looks to be a strong favorite. Portage is always a great simulation of what a State Finals may entail. Similar competition, similar excitement, and a great number of ranked teams are there in the lower divisions. There, the Colts moved from 2nd place at the mile to 1st at the finish, dropping 35 points along the way. Their fifth was in before anyone’s fourth and they had the frontrunners score low early on.

Beyond them, this is as about as wide-open a race for the 2nd spot as you’ll find. The simulations show four separate teams with a decent percentage of getting there – Saugatuck, J-L, Holland Calvary Christian, and WMC. Three of those faced off in the same region on Saturday, with HCC decidedly dominating up front. Portage again was home to all of these, and when Joburg was thrown into the mix, the Cardinals came out ahead. Saugatuck’s fifth was the best of the bunch, and WMC was the last of the the four (though they beat the Trailblazers on Saturday). So yep, up for grabs by anyone. Don’t even be shocked if a Three Oaks River Valley or Kalamazoo Hackett slides in there.

Boys Individual Projections

Projected PlaceGradeNameTeamAvg. Place
112Owen PattonVestaburg1.1
212Thomas HolmHillsdale Academy4.2
310Abenezer CeroneRoyal Oak Shrine4.7
412Tyler LennMarine City Cardinal Mooney5.8
511Mason SinkeBear Lake-Onekama6.5
610Marek ButkiewiczKalamazoo Hackett9.0
712Abe VanDuinenPentwater10.0
89Kyle RedmanMesick10.2
911Colebrook SutherlandMaple City Glen Lake12.6
1012Malaki GaschoJohannesburg-Lewiston13.0
1111Matthias MorseMuskegon Western Mich. Christian13.3
129Ty RedmanMesick13.3
1312Michael AllenEast Jackson13.5
1412Sawyer StonemanBreckenridge14.1
1510Grayson RorickHillsdale Academy14.3
1611Alex TyndallMason County Eastern15.4
1712Gavin SehyKalamazoo Hackett16.5
1811Reece PooleHillsdale Academy19.7
1912Kaden ForwardBear Lake-Onekama20.3
2010Landon RogersThree Oaks River Valley20.5
2111Jeremiah WittJohannesburg-Lewiston20.7
2212Blake FoxJohannesburg-Lewiston23.3
2310Brody KargHarbor Beach23.7
2411Tyler LaansmaTri-unity Christian28.4
2512Javin MericleEast Jackson29.4
2610Lynus CadarettePetoskey St. Michael29.6
2710Cody BradleyPetoskey St. Michael30.9
289Sawyer MonroeSaugatuck31.5
2912Graeson LawrenceMuskegon Western Mich. Christian32.1
309Riley WeedHolland Calvary Christian32.2
3110Sammy GamboaSaugatuck32.3
3210Landen LivingstonWhitmore Lake34.9
3312Aiden FitchettDryden35.5
3411Coleson CruzanWhite Cloud35.8
359Anthony RoweBreckenridge39.2
3612Austin YorkThree Oaks River Valley40.3
378Lincoln LaansmaTri-unity Christian40.7
389Noah SchipperHolland Calvary Christian41.2
3912Mitchel DanielsPentwater43.0
4012Myles TilmaByron Center Zion Christian43.1
419Gibson WhiteHolland Calvary Christian45.5
4210Emmanuel MehariPlymouth Christian Academy45.7
4310Carson BurgessBrown City46.8
4410Rich FantiRiverview Gabriel Richard47.3
4512Luke SpragueSt Philip Catholic Central47.8
4610Sean SiemsKalamazoo Hackett50.4
4710Carter ClarkCarson City-Crystal50.4
4812Isaac ZammitMarine City Cardinal Mooney50.9
4912Utah GusaUbly52.9
5010Charlie GibsonThree Oaks River Valley58.2
5111Joel LangeAdrian Lenawee Christian58.9
529Marcus SilvaSaugatuck59.2
539Christian GetzHolland Calvary Christian59.3
5410Joel JohnsonDetroit Frederick Douglass59.7
5511Rodney IamurriSaginaw Nouvel59.9
5612Luke NiedzielskiMason County Eastern60.7
579Vern ClyneAuburn Hills Oakland Christian60.8
589Wesley ChaffeeMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart62.7
5911Carroll RobothamFrankfort64.0
6011Matthew PasiakHarbor Beach64.1
619Abraham FeeneyMaple City Glen Lake64.5
6212Carson FoondleWhite Cloud65.9
6312Trevor ClarkeHarbor Springs66.0
6410Cole UpperLincoln-Alcona67.2
6512Connor RouseGenesee68.2
6612Evan SumnerPlymouth Christian Academy70.2
6710Jesse FielisWhite Pigeon71.4
6811Turlough BennettMarlette71.5
6911Russell VandermusPetoskey St. Michael71.8
7010Brennan NorSaugatuck74.3
7110Michael BowkerRoyal Oak Shrine74.3
7212Jacob LyonnaisMuskegon Catholic Central74.4
7312Gavin HelgesonMayville76.1
7412Carter FollettMerrill77.2
7510Henry LindleyHillsdale Academy78.1
7612Logan KihnkeHarbor Springs80.1
7710Adam FergusonHarbor Springs81.0
7811Tom ShaferLutheran HS Westland81.5
7912William KennedyEast Jackson84.1
8010Andrew LopezRoyal Oak Shrine84.3
8112Nathan DanielsAdrian Lenawee Christian85.0
8210Kristian CoonCarson City-Crystal86.1
8312Ben GuraKimball New Life Christian87.6
8411Austin SneedEast Jordan88.0
8511Henry MalburgMason County Eastern88.4
869Ryan MillerHillsdale Academy90.3
8711Zack BeckerUnionville-Sebewaing90.6
8812Agustin CreamerLeland91.1
8911Ben IobeMendon92.8
9012Trevor FeldpauschFowler94.3
9110James RaheHillsdale Academy94.5
9211Samuel ShattoHarbor Beach95.2
9312Dusty LaymanJohannesburg-Lewiston95.6
9412Carter UpperLincoln-Alcona95.7
959Grant RehkopfSaugatuck96.1
969Milo ShoupMason County Eastern96.1
9712Luke DouglasAuburn Hills Oakland Christian96.4
989Landon WilkinsMorenci96.7
9910Cole BregeRogers City97.6
10011Beau ShafferMorenci97.9

Owen Patton is a pretty clear favorite and he’s got a season’s full of results to prove it. He’s run fast early and late, winning along the way as well. A summer of consistent mileage has proven to us and himself that he’s much more than an 800m runner. Thomas Holm has been very consistent all year. Abenezer Cerone has won a large invite in Holly, running away from the D4 field early and maintaining (heck, building) the lead as the race wore on. Tyler Lenn has been battling all year in his return from injury, but we know from past experience that he shows up in big spots.

Uncategorized

2023 Ratings: Allendale Regional

PROJECTIONS

How Right/Wrong Was I?

Closed hard to tie my personal best. 24 for 24 on projected qualifiers, hitting 192/216 of the top-3 teams. You better take these upcoming State Finals Projections as the GOSPEL.

ALL IN AT ALLENDALE

I will highlight one kid from each race for a little writeup. With Regionals and their survive and advance attitude, I’ll try to shout out someone who extended their season another week when they weren’t expected to, or contributed to a team that came in with a clutch performance. Of course, that leaves out many athletes who gave a great effort, and all of the athletes that were winners for toeing the line this weekend. Congrats to all.

Helen Sachs, Holland West Ottawa

Glad to see you back, Helen. The Allendale Region appears to be the first race where she’s been unrestricted in terms of pace. And where else would she be, other than leading her Panthers to victory?

Meridith Cook, Zeeland East

One has to be just relieved to qualify out of this ringer of a region. The Grand Rapids area is the perfect combination of affluence and school size that leads to D2 prominence, and as a result of that, the D2 regions are always stacked. If Zeeland East, for example, were to have an off day, Holland Christian was right there to snatch their spot. Meridith guaranteed that not to be the case, breaking 19:00 for the first time ever in her career.

Samantha Giles, Fennville

Immense joy from the teams that break streaks. After a 47-year absence, the Blackhawk Girls are making a return trip to the State Finals. On Saturday’s momentous day, Samantha stepped up in a huge way, dropping nearly a minute from her season’s previous best, placing 32 spots lower than she did in 2022’s Regional.

Acacia Williams, Holland Calvary Christian

Qualifying as an individual has to be nerve-racking, especially in a region with strong, front-loaded teams such as Gobles, Saugatuck, and WMC). You’re guaranteed if you’re top-15, but beyond that, every spot can make or break it. Acacia was projected as the 20th place girl, which looked to be good, but you never know! To heck with those projections, she placed 12th, guaranteeing spot by way of her 40-second personal best.

Seth Conner, Jenison

Probably the least talked about (yes, I’m fully aware that least talked about means I haven’t said much) elite runner in the State. Being in the same region/conference as Seth Norder, wins are a little harder to come by. Still, he’s racked up five of those this year to go along with many 15:xx efforts. The progress shown over the weekend makes what was once a sneaky candidate for the top-3 a bit more well-known.

Dylan Clark, Grand Rapids Christian

Matched his exceptional performance from 2022’s Regional with another on Saturday. His 16:02 was another personal best on the Allendale course, another notch on a masterful championship season.

Trevor Dornbos, Grandville Calvin Christian

Once the final scorer on high-placing Calvin squads, Trevor has now taken over the role as the lead runner on the Squire squads. After slipping up under 17:00 for the first time ever in September, he’s become accustomed to those times in October. Four consecutive sub-17’s, with two top-10 finishes in the OK Silver and here in Region 21.

Christian Getz, Holland Calvary Christian

Okay, I don’t like writing about the same team twice in these writeups, but here it’s necessary. A 35-second personal best, the latest of the Crusaders to step up for their young team. I feel like every meet, a different HCC comes through. If and when they put it all together, things could be magical.

Girls Adjustment: +22
Boys Adjustment: +19

GIRLS RATINGS

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Valerie Beeck18:30.7Grand Haven142.4
11Helen Sachs18:38.1Holland West Ottawa140.0
10Cianah Budnik-Ramos18:56.6Grand Haven133.8
11Addy Smith18:56.9Grand Haven133.7
11Chloe DeRidder18:59.6Grandville132.8
11Jordyn Klaasen18:59.8Zeeland West132.7
9Daisy Cox19:03.1Rockford131.6
11Jane Olney19:04.5Holland West Ottawa131.2
11Julia Frampton19:11.6Holland West Ottawa128.8
9Cassie Karasinski19:11.9Hudsonville128.7
10Ava Porras19:13.3Holland West Ottawa128.2
11Emma Gunnett19:14.0Holland West Ottawa128.0
10Jersi Bilek19:15.2Muskegon Reeths-Puffer127.6
11Emma Smith19:15.8Rockford127.4
10Trinity VanderWoude19:23.3Rockford124.9
9Gabrielle Chevez19:23.6Muskegon Reeths-Puffer124.8
10Addie Birkholz19:39.2Holland West Ottawa119.6
11Abi Albright19:44.2Grand Haven117.9
12Payton Hosley19:51.6Grand Haven115.5
11Melana Karsten19:55.4Rockford114.2
12Leanna Barnett19:59.1Rockford113.0
10Macy Guikema20:06.9Jenison110.4
12Tessa Rindfliesch20:08.2Zeeland West109.9
11Klea Verstrate20:09.1Hudsonville109.7
12Laurel Tolliver20:10.8Grand Haven109.1
10Macallie Retan20:11.7Grandville108.8
10Ellery Horness20:13.3Muskegon Mona Shores108.2
12Caiti Grant20:13.5Zeeland West108.2
9Lyla Dowling20:17.0Holland West Ottawa107.0
9Emory Smith20:17.4Cedar Springs106.9
10Andrea Schwartz20:17.6Jenison106.8
11Natalie Lewis20:20.2Rockford105.9
12Annalise Elliott20:24.8Cedar Springs104.4
11Gracey Barry20:25.6Grand Haven104.1
11Audrey Huff20:28.5Grandville103.2
12Greta Hondorp20:30.5Zeeland West102.5
11Abbey Scholma20:30.6Hudsonville102.5
12Reiel Ghiglia20:31.4Hudsonville102.2
9Abby Noorman20:32.3Cedar Springs101.9
10Alyssa Mertes20:34.6Rockford101.1
9Ashley Wayne20:48.1Hudsonville96.6
9Chloe Purwin20:48.9Hudsonville96.4
11Diamond Madison20:50.1Muskegon Mona Shores96.0
10Evie Kleinheksel20:52.5Zeeland West95.2
11Randi Pennington20:56.9Jenison93.7
11Adrienne Fluette20:58.2Muskegon Reeths-Puffer93.3
12Maddie Vande Bunte20:59.3Jenison92.9
10Kyrstie Celebuski21:05.3Grandville90.9
11Lauren Molag21:10.6Zeeland West89.1
11Tessa Minnear21:19.5Hudsonville86.2
12Katherine Cook21:22.5GR Northview85.2
12Reagan Viau21:24.7Cedar Springs84.4
10Ella Grimm21:25.6Muskegon Mona Shores84.2
9Paige McMeans21:27.6Jenison83.5
12Emy Smith21:28.1Zeeland West83.3
12Ellie Hoekstra21:29.8Jenison82.7
12Bella Cardenas21:30.2Grandville82.6
9Darcy Keefe21:36.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer80.4
12Hannah Reed21:40.5Cedar Springs79.2
9Kaitlyn Durow21:40.6Muskegon Reeths-Puffer79.2
11Naomi Diekman21:46.8Jenison77.1
12Kaitlynn Brown21:51.7Cedar Springs75.4
11Leona Keuvelaar21:55.9Grandville74.0
10Kendall Braginton21:58.3Muskegon Mona Shores73.2
9Kendall Nester21:58.9Cedar Springs73.0
11Logan Clausen21:59.2Muskegon Mona Shores72.9
9Raina Glanzman21:59.7GR Kenowa Hills72.8
12Jayden Turner22:06.1GR Kenowa Hills70.6
12Delaney Hendricks22:06.9GR Northview70.4
11Vivian Idziak22:15.8GR Union67.4
9Adrie (AJ) Schalk22:17.4Muskegon Mona Shores66.9
12Jordyn Harrington22:30.9Grandville62.4
12Ava Morin22:44.3Muskegon Mona Shores57.9
10Cecelia Gill23:15.4GR Northview47.5
10Charli Belinger23:42.2Muskegon Reeths-Puffer38.6
10Hope Latsch23:50.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer35.7
11Lucy Herpolsheimer23:56.1GR Kenowa Hills34.0
9Alyssa Moens24:42.2GR Northview18.6
12Rachel Sackett25:22.4GR Union5.2
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Natalie VanOtteren17:39.6GR Christian159.5
12Emily Tomes17:56.5GR Catholic Central153.8
11Emma Drnek18:08.2Zeeland East149.9
10Lilah Poel18:34.3GR Christian141.2
10Ellie Scholma18:35.7GR Christian140.8
12Allison Kuzma18:39.8Zeeland East139.4
12Kyla Meyers18:40.4Spring Lake139.2
12Payton Holtz18:53.8GR Christian134.7
10Meredith Cook18:55.1Zeeland East134.3
9Olivia Hollebeek18:57.4Holland Christian133.5
12Tatum Dykstra18:57.9Fruitport133.4
12Bea Reeser19:02.2Spring Lake131.9
10Alexis Kotkowicz19:09.3Spring Lake129.6
12Naomi Nelson19:11.1GR Christian129.0
9Eliana Stob19:15.7Holland Christian127.5
12Maddie Bosch19:17.8Hudsonville Unity Christian126.8
9Lucy Waalkes19:21.4GR Christian125.5
9Ellery Lampen19:24.0Holland Christian124.7
10Taryn DiLaura19:28.2Zeeland East123.3
12Adia Sikkema19:31.8GR Christian122.1
12Claire Marosi19:32.1GR Catholic Central122.0
11Lexie Ruffing19:40.1Spring Lake119.3
11Sierra Grooters19:46.1Hudsonville Unity Christian117.3
10Layla Geurink19:51.9Holland Christian115.4
12Katherine Riemersma19:54.5Spring Lake114.5
9Carly Bruxvoort19:56.1Hudsonville Unity Christian114.0
11Maddie Bruxvoort20:03.6Hudsonville Unity Christian111.5
11Ambria DePoy20:05.7Holland110.8
9Mackenzie Huizenga20:06.8Holland Christian110.4
9Riley DenHartigh20:12.0Hudsonville Unity Christian108.7
11Valerie Pollock20:16.6Fruitport107.2
10Meghan Guczwa20:27.6Spring Lake103.5
10Olivia Droski20:28.2Coopersville103.3
11Maya VanSolkema20:44.4Hudsonville Unity Christian97.9
12Lily LeSarge20:50.7GR West Catholic95.8
12Lauren Lee20:51.5Fruitport95.5
10Megan Kuzma20:57.1Zeeland East93.6
9Alaina Gruppen21:00.5Hudsonville Unity Christian92.5
11Ellie Francis21:01.7Allendale92.1
11Bethany Zimmerman21:11.7Spring Lake88.8
10Katherine Klooster21:18.7GR West Catholic86.4
10CC Kuras21:19.4Zeeland East86.2
9Treasure Fleese21:26.2Fruitport84.0
12Brianna Agon21:26.5GR Catholic Central83.9
9Lydia Nelson21:30.8Hamilton82.4
11Katherine Ptak21:31.3GR Catholic Central82.2
9McKenzie Whalen21:40.3Allendale79.2
10Kaylynn Pavlige21:46.0Fruitport77.3
11Maya Wettlaufer21:48.3Hamilton76.6
12Addison Noble21:51.5Allendale75.5
12Abby Wilson21:56.0Holland74.0
11Audrey McKeiver22:06.3GR West Catholic70.6
12Hannah Lewis22:10.1Zeeland East69.3
12Brenna Olewinski22:11.9GR West Catholic68.7
11Grace Lorenz22:16.4Coopersville67.2
11Grace Fenton22:16.9Holland Christian67.1
11Desiree Huitron22:32.6Wyoming Lee61.8
9Anna Schulz22:35.4GR West Catholic60.9
11Avery Janssen22:37.0Coopersville60.3
9Adelyn Ashbay22:37.1Allendale60.3
9Gabby Reyna22:38.4Allendale59.9
11Marissa Maycroft22:51.3Allendale55.6
11Lucy Alcorn22:52.8Allendale55.1
9Abigail Brooks22:57.6Coopersville53.5
10Jenna Dozeman22:58.5Hamilton53.2
12Caroline Johnson22:58.6Hamilton53.2
11Anya Steele23:02.9Coopersville51.7
9Callyn Neumann23:21.6Coopersville45.5
9Cora Williams23:41.7Hamilton38.8
11Eleanor McMullen23:41.8Holland38.7
9Alaina Smith23:43.9Grand River Prep38.0
9Harper Schoon-Tanis23:47.9Holland36.7
12Rebecca Evenhouse23:49.0Grand River Prep36.3
10Haley Council24:02.8Hamilton31.7
9Arianna Wheeler24:30.7Wyoming Lee22.4
12Nora Huffman24:37.0GR Catholic Central20.3
12Sylvie Mulder24:44.1Holland Christian18.0
12Hope Beaune24:45.1Coopersville17.6
9Qwynn Huisman24:55.1Grand River Prep14.3
12Samantha DeVries25:03.9Fruitport11.4
12Eliana Beltman25:24.0Grand River Prep4.7
12Alicia Castro-Perez25:37.0Grand River Prep0.3
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Lila Volkers18:19.7Kent City146.1
12Amber Koole19:21.9GR Covenant Christian125.4
9Shelby Kuiper19:26.8GR Covenant Christian123.7
12Gracie Houtman19:32.1Kent City122.0
12Isabella Max19:38.1Kent City120.0
11Lola Bryce19:48.7Grandville Calvin Christian116.5
9Isabelle Sliter19:53.0Fennville115.0
12Abbie Wiegers20:12.6North Muskegon108.5
9Lydia Soelberg20:21.7Shelby105.4
12Nidia Martinez20:23.3Fennville104.9
9Marnath Tuol20:34.8Grandville Calvin Christian101.1
9Lydia Minderhoud20:40.5GR Covenant Christian99.2
10Samantha Giles20:41.2Fennville98.9
11Hannah Geaney20:44.1Wyoming Potter’s House98.0
9Anna DeVries20:44.9GR Covenant Christian97.7
12Lauren Jousma20:59.0Grandville Calvin Christian93.0
12Lindsay Minderhoud21:10.2GR Covenant Christian89.3
12Cammie Erickson21:16.7Montague87.1
11Alyssa Possehn21:23.2Saranac84.9
12Summer Ritchie21:30.9Delton-Kellogg82.4
12Ivy Andreas21:49.2Wyoming Potter’s House76.3
12Erika Bylsma21:56.7GR Covenant Christian73.8
12Merissa Mendoza21:59.9Fennville72.7
10Sylvia Skujins22:02.2North Muskegon71.9
12Nora Ballard22:03.5Holland Black River71.5
9Grace Hasenbank22:06.5Shelby70.5
11Abby Tuls22:09.0Wyoming Potter’s House69.7
9Noel Parker22:10.0Shelby69.3
10Lydia Howard22:14.2Kent City67.9
11Alisha Esquivel22:15.6Kent City67.5
10Gabby Vroman22:16.1Saranac67.3
9Kayla Koppenhofer22:16.8GR NorthPointe Christian67.1
11Christina Mendoza22:18.6Fennville66.5
12Lydia VerBeek22:26.8Wyoming Potter’s House63.7
11Johannah Houtkooper22:26.9Delton-Kellogg63.7
11Grace Torsch22:28.4Montague63.2
10Marisa Toonstra22:28.4Wyoming Potter’s House63.2
10Amber Kuiper22:37.1GR Covenant Christian60.3
9Faith Jenkins22:42.2Grandville Calvin Christian58.6
12Estelle Rockhold22:49.0Saranac56.3
10Melanie Thornton22:49.4GR NorthPointe Christian56.2
11Jillian Leclercq22:50.6Delton-Kellogg55.8
11Greta Auch22:52.1Montague55.3
12Kyli Bushee22:53.4Fennville54.9
12Catalina Stong22:54.4Shelby54.5
11Kylie Main23:03.6Delton-Kellogg51.5
12Madison Trahan23:05.8Saranac50.7
9Kora Kok23:07.2GR NorthPointe Christian50.3
9Lydia Rasmus23:09.3Saranac49.6
10Maria Campbell23:10.3Grandville Calvin Christian49.2
12Natalie Wyman23:25.4Fennville44.2
12Samantha O’Meara23:27.7Delton-Kellogg43.4
9Erica Hansen23:31.2Montague42.3
12Delaney Schultz23:34.9Montague41.0
12Samara Suwyn23:42.2Wyoming Potter’s House38.6
10Sadie Trahan23:50.8Saranac35.7
12Abbie Buteyn23:58.3Grandville Calvin Christian33.2
12Avary Losee24:02.2Grant32.0
9Aurora Pelham24:07.5Ravenna30.2
10Elli Timmerman24:09.3Delton-Kellogg29.6
10Izabelle Gruber24:12.7Delton-Kellogg28.4
10Abbi Rozman24:15.0Holland Black River27.7
9Adele Jewett24:31.2Grandville Calvin Christian22.3
12Kaitlyn Swift24:34.1Kent City21.3
10Kylie Bobo24:44.3Wyoming Potter’s House17.9
11Mia Rachor24:52.2GR NorthPointe Christian15.3
11Hailey Kamphuis25:01.3Kent City12.2
10Kaylana Alvesteffer25:14.1Holland Black River8.0
11Grace Reavey25:21.8Montague5.4
11April Howard25:24.2Montague4.6
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Grace VanderKooi18:24.7Muskegon Western Mich. Christian144.4
9Libby Smith18:44.6Gobles137.8
9Veyda Conley19:50.9Martin115.7
12Allison Glendening20:04.5St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic111.2
9Lauren Shaffer20:04.8Gobles111.1
9Ava DeYoung20:16.0Gobles107.3
12Grace Folkema20:16.3Muskegon Western Mich. Christian107.2
9Lyvia Curtis20:20.9Saugatuck105.7
9Leah Sneller20:21.4Muskegon Western Mich. Christian105.5
12Eleanor Kingshott20:33.8Muskegon Western Mich. Christian101.4
9Kaylie Riksen20:43.3Muskegon Western Mich. Christian98.2
10Acacia Williams21:05.9Holland Calvary Christian90.7
9Kamryn Sixberry21:06.7Saugatuck90.5
12Abby Kunkle21:07.6Libertas Christian90.1
11Brielle Voorhees21:08.5Tri-unity Christian89.8
10Madison Cooley21:16.4Gobles87.2
12Anna McQueary21:19.2Saugatuck86.3
11Leilani Schoonmaker21:40.4Saugatuck79.2
11Morgan Lawrence21:53.6Muskegon Western Mich. Christian74.8
11Alayah Nieuwsma22:10.1Saugatuck69.3
12Lilly Faurot22:11.7Vermontville Maple Valley68.8
8Laura Rotman22:18.0Holland Calvary Christian66.7
11Emily King22:23.0Martin65.0
10Sofia Blanco22:36.5Muskegon Western Mich. Christian60.5
11Zoie Wood22:38.0Gobles60.0
12Madilyn DeRuiter22:45.1Byron Center Zion Christian57.6
12Deanna Wood22:49.7Gobles56.1
11Olivia Laninga22:52.3Holland Calvary Christian55.2
8Christina Patmos23:20.8Holland Calvary Christian45.7
11Mary Riley23:28.5St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic43.2
10Aribel Mills23:34.1St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic41.3
12Leah Prins23:37.1Byron Center Zion Christian40.3
10Alison Rotman23:43.3Holland Calvary Christian38.3
12Abby Schrauben23:45.7St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic37.4
12Kate Wehrman23:51.2Libertas Christian35.6
9Lyla Kotecki23:54.2Muskegon Catholic Central34.6
10Carolina Mancera23:59.7Lawrence32.8
12Catherine Cone24:01.8Muskegon Catholic Central32.1
12Isabelle Schrauben24:13.7St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic28.1
9Karmen Kruithof24:21.5Holland Calvary Christian25.5
11Jaiden Myler24:26.8Saugatuck23.7
11Meryn Curtis24:28.9Saugatuck23.0
11Isabel Emerick25:00.9Vermontville Maple Valley12.4
12Mackenzie Decker25:09.8Vermontville Maple Valley9.4
9Kayden Jager25:11.3Martin8.9
9Sara Schipper25:11.9Martin8.7
12Amelia Lewis25:19.2St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic6.3

BOYS RATINGS

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Seth Norder14:48.1Grand Haven217.6
11Seth Conner14:54.0Jenison215.7
12Jaxon Allen15:53.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer195.7
11Carter Livermore15:56.0Grandville195.0
11Mason Lucas15:57.7Jenison194.4
12Roman Smith15:59.5Grand Haven193.9
11Ben Eisnor16:07.3Grand Haven191.2
9Luka Hammond16:16.2Grand Haven188.3
9Caden Livermore16:22.7Grandville186.1
10Robert Dodd16:23.8Zeeland West185.7
10Ethan Shoffner16:24.5Cedar Springs185.5
10Keagan Smith16:26.7Zeeland West184.8
12Jack DeKruyter16:26.7Zeeland West184.8
12Max Vangrouw16:27.3Holland West Ottawa184.6
11Matthew Schwartz16:28.0Jenison184.3
9Bradley Smies16:30.6Hudsonville183.5
11Parker Strelecki16:35.3Jenison181.9
11Carson Berko16:36.0Grand Haven181.7
11Noah Schuette16:38.1Rockford181.0
11Levi Jongekryg16:39.7Holland West Ottawa180.4
11Dominic Otto16:42.3Jenison179.6
12Carson Hauch16:44.4Zeeland West178.9
10Hayden Lafferty16:44.8Rockford178.7
10Aron Gal16:46.6Grand Haven178.1
12AJ Sneller16:50.4Zeeland West176.9
10Owen Cross16:52.3Grand Haven176.2
11Kye Grant16:57.3Muskegon Reeths-Puffer174.6
11Caden Karcher17:00.3Rockford173.6
10Jake Follett17:00.4Holland West Ottawa173.5
12Sam DiLaura17:06.2Zeeland West171.6
12Nate Fahey17:06.3Rockford171.6
11Andrew Wangler17:07.1Jenison171.3
10Caleb TeBrake17:10.7GR Northview170.1
9Calvin Kasprowicz17:11.3Hudsonville169.9
12Ben Vitkauskas17:12.4Rockford169.6
12Maxwell Krausman17:12.9Rockford169.4
10Camren DeVries17:13.4Holland West Ottawa169.2
12Gavin Betten17:17.3Rockford167.9
10Porter Yurk17:17.8Holland West Ottawa167.8
10Myles Hendel17:18.5Jenison167.5
10Michael Dummer17:26.3Holland West Ottawa164.9
10Ethan Dalman17:26.9Zeeland West164.7
10Aiden Weller17:30.9Cedar Springs163.4
11Ethan Gerlach17:31.0Holland West Ottawa163.3
11Dylan Pfeffer17:31.4Hudsonville163.2
12Brady Morrow17:32.1Cedar Springs163.0
9Aaron Ebels17:34.6Grandville162.1
10Jacob McDaniel17:36.6Grandville161.5
12Willem Parsekian17:38.4Muskegon Mona Shores160.9
10Jack Yonkman17:44.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer158.7
10Ryan Ladd17:45.7Cedar Springs158.4
9Max Viveros17:50.0GR Union157.0
12Nick VanderKodde17:53.8Hudsonville155.7
12Tate Bradley17:54.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer155.4
10Hayden Fox17:55.6Muskegon Mona Shores155.1
12Travis Madonna18:01.6GR Northview153.1
10Dylan Sturr18:14.9Muskegon Reeths-Puffer148.7
9Peyton Farrell18:15.4Cedar Springs148.5
11Garrett Smith18:19.3Hudsonville147.2
11Quinton Bell18:19.6Cedar Springs147.1
10Rhys Holmes18:24.7GR Northview145.5
10Eli Lewis18:29.8Muskegon Mona Shores143.7
9Lorens Bishop18:33.4Grandville142.5
12Jason Van Dyken18:38.0Hudsonville141.0
10Seth Aukeman18:44.2Hudsonville139.0
12Nicholas Kline18:45.8GR Kenowa Hills138.4
10Cole Hansen18:57.2Muskegon Mona Shores134.6
10Jack Paulsen18:59.5Grandville133.8
10samson kik19:00.0GR Union133.7
10Beau Holmes19:00.6GR Northview133.5
9Cash Sipich19:02.5Grandville132.8
12Aidan Kreps19:13.8Muskegon Mona Shores129.1
11Caleb Anderson19:15.3Wyoming128.6
12Lincoln Fox19:29.5GR Kenowa Hills123.8
11Elliot Buchan19:31.5GR Northview123.2
9Arie Prins19:37.4GR Union121.2
9Isaiah Meyer19:47.2GR Union117.9
10Logan Redes19:47.4Cedar Springs117.9
12Collin Khatir19:51.8Muskegon Mona Shores116.4
9Van Roach19:56.5Muskegon Mona Shores114.8
12Landon Sandee20:09.2GR Union110.6
12Jackson Kay20:10.1GR Northview110.3
12Jesus Rios-Garcia20:15.2Wyoming108.6
12Clayton Maczinski20:17.3GR Kenowa Hills107.9
11Xander Helenius20:19.8GR Northview107.1
11Kamaladdin Ghaznawi20:22.1GR Union106.3
11Lucas Sage20:42.1GR Kenowa Hills99.6
11Christian Momber20:45.4GR Kenowa Hills98.5
10Jemarion Brown20:46.9Muskegon98.0
10Tyler Davis20:59.4Wyoming93.9
10Pablo Ovalle jr21:07.1GR Union91.3
11Gage Bouwman21:22.2Muskegon Reeths-Puffer86.3
12Nate Darling22:27.8Muskegon Reeths-Puffer64.4
12Jayden Slater24:46.3Muskegon18.2
9Tyson Worthington24:51.8Muskegon16.4
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Noah Lambers15:28.2Holland204.3
10Ronnie Silveira15:36.9Allendale201.4
11Simon Triezenberg15:49.5GR Christian197.2
11Will Engbers15:56.6Holland Christian194.8
12Dylan Clark16:02.7GR Christian192.8
11Abatu Dykstra16:04.5Hamilton192.2
11Jeb Hillary16:04.7GR Catholic Central192.1
11Parker Tiethof16:04.9Allendale192.0
11Kilian Whalen16:11.9Allendale189.7
11Ben Gross16:22.2Allendale186.3
12Luke Glasgow16:29.1Spring Lake184.0
9Mason Hill16:30.8Allendale183.4
11Andrew Commeret16:31.0Comstock Park183.3
12Jonathan Koetje16:31.2GR Christian183.3
10Aden Ashworth16:32.7Allendale182.8
12Peter Kuperus16:34.4GR Christian182.2
12Joe Waalkes16:40.0GR Christian180.3
11Vincent Pollock16:40.8Fruitport180.1
11Aidan Brinks16:43.3Holland Christian179.2
12Ian Richthammer16:45.8GR Catholic Central178.4
10Micah Small16:48.8GR Christian177.4
10Lukus Mendoza16:52.0Spring Lake176.3
11Will Whitmore16:54.3Holland Christian175.6
11Parker Woodwyk16:56.0Spring Lake175.0
12Brody Crandall16:56.5Hamilton174.8
11Brayden Rynsburger16:58.4Holland Christian174.2
11Caden Guffey17:01.6Zeeland East173.1
10Landon Gerritsma17:02.3Holland Christian172.9
9Owen Adams17:07.5Spring Lake171.2
12Grayson Carpenter17:13.8Spring Lake169.1
12Carson McIntire17:15.0Hamilton168.7
9Mitchell Dunlap17:15.6GR Catholic Central168.5
11Noah Hernandez17:18.3Hamilton167.6
12Levi Glynn17:19.5Fruitport167.2
12Ethan Horan17:19.8Fruitport167.1
9Nate Davis17:20.9Zeeland East166.7
11Nathan Steen17:22.1Holland Christian166.3
11Aiden Kasprzak17:22.8GR Catholic Central166.1
12Levi Bol17:26.3Fruitport164.9
11Ethan Miller17:27.4Hudsonville Unity Christian164.6
11Nathan Koches17:37.6Spring Lake161.1
11Corey Jones17:39.7Comstock Park160.4
12Alex Wilber17:40.5Fruitport160.2
11Caleb DenHartigh17:40.8Hudsonville Unity Christian160.1
12Liam Reynolds17:41.4Allendale159.9
12Ben Vruggink17:46.8Spring Lake158.1
9Cole Coffman17:49.8Holland Christian157.1
9Alex Ten Haken17:50.6Hudsonville Unity Christian156.8
12Harrison Kooyer17:52.4Holland156.2
10Caden Leatherman17:58.9Hudsonville Unity Christian154.0
9Rian Powers18:00.4Holland153.5
10Landon Johnson18:04.9Fruitport152.0
9Tristen Hinson18:05.6Zeeland East151.8
10Sean Ryan18:11.0GR Christian150.0
12Dylan Walters18:12.1Zeeland East149.6
11Benjamin Hoekstra18:14.5Hudsonville Unity Christian148.9
12Aaiden Gillespie18:15.1Zeeland East148.6
11Charles Brooks18:15.5GR West Catholic148.5
11Damian Widner18:16.2Hamilton148.3
11Benji Armijo18:17.2Grand River Prep147.9
11Jacob Chase18:17.8Hamilton147.7
11Kaden DeWys18:23.9Hamilton145.7
11Caden Villarreal18:24.1Zeeland East145.6
9Luke Arendshorst18:26.5Holland144.8
12Brendan Nolan18:27.6Coopersville144.5
10Josiah Muller18:30.8Zeeland East143.4
10Nathan DeWaal18:32.3Coopersville142.9
10Elijah McCourt18:33.9Coopersville142.4
10Alessandro Castillo18:37.2Holland141.3
11Tim O’Brien18:38.7GR West Catholic140.8
11Ethan Alferink18:40.8Coopersville140.1
11Brenden Modderman18:41.7Coopersville139.8
10Grant Hillary18:45.2GR Catholic Central138.6
12Junior Tovar18:53.3Grand River Prep135.9
12Lukas Wierenga18:54.4Hudsonville Unity Christian135.5
11Jacob Lusk18:57.4Comstock Park134.5
12Henry Mulder19:03.2Holland132.6
10Levi Beltman19:05.9Grand River Prep131.7
11Luke Schulz19:12.5Coopersville129.5
11Evan Miedema19:13.0Hudsonville Unity Christian129.3
9Elijah Louissaint19:18.1Grand River Prep127.7
11Roben Perez19:18.1GR Catholic Central127.6
12Jonah Sanchez19:29.2Coopersville123.9
10Elijah Lipscomb19:51.2Grand River Prep116.6
12Diego Sanchez19:56.5Wyoming Kelloggsville114.8
11Brady Bronson20:02.2GR Catholic Central112.9
11Andres Jauregui-Tapia20:05.9Grand River Prep111.7
9Tim Finkbeiner20:19.5Grand River Prep107.2
9Ryan Geerts20:29.0Holland104.0
11Evan Murphy20:33.1GR West Catholic102.6
11Paul Schmidt20:45.2Comstock Park98.6
11Frankie Pelak21:03.7GR West Catholic92.4
11Cole Molloseau22:09.0GR West Catholic70.7
10Noah Ysasi22:14.8GR West Catholic68.7
10Colten LaBelle23:17.0GR West Catholic48.0
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
12Jackson Rodriguez15:59.5Wyoming Potter’s House193.9
12Samuel Martini16:08.3Kent City190.9
11Levi Kamps16:18.1GR Covenant Christian187.6
9Graeson Decker16:26.0GR Covenant Christian185.0
12Trevor Dornbos16:38.3Grandville Calvin Christian180.9
11Isaac Edgington16:39.8Holland Black River180.4
12Brodie Delamater16:43.1Grant179.3
12Nathan Day16:50.5Saranac176.8
12Ezra Hagedorn17:00.8Wyoming Potter’s House173.4
12Hunter Helminski17:01.0Saranac173.3
11Luke Dykstra17:01.1GR Covenant Christian173.3
9Jonas Ballard17:02.2Holland Black River172.9
12Grant Koole17:16.4GR Covenant Christian168.2
12Evan Atkinson-Miller17:16.5North Muskegon168.2
12Tanner Soelberg17:17.2Shelby167.9
12Jaren Vogel17:21.7Kent City166.4
12Caleb Drnek17:23.3GR Covenant Christian165.9
11Ethan Rimmer17:29.2Delton-Kellogg163.9
12Noah Finton17:39.8Wyoming Potter’s House160.4
9Caleb Swiney17:43.0Wyoming Potter’s House159.3
9Barrett Nance17:44.8North Muskegon158.7
12Clay Johnson17:44.9Montague158.7
10Iziquiel Picon17:47.2Shelby157.9
12Connor Lubbers17:50.7GR Covenant Christian156.8
11Alix Draves17:52.8Montague156.1
12Ian Jones17:53.7GR NorthPointe Christian155.8
10Brandon McCullough17:55.7Kent City155.1
11Reed Osterink17:55.8Wyoming Potter’s House155.1
10Luke Tibbe17:58.7GR NorthPointe Christian154.1
10Noah Raeth17:59.7Montague153.8
11Owen Stimer18:04.2Holland Black River152.3
12Levi Benson18:04.4Holland Black River152.2
12Micah Frye18:05.9Shelby151.7
10Isaac Norcross18:07.0GR NorthPointe Christian151.3
11Tyler N. Kooienga18:08.4GR Covenant Christian150.9
10Isaac Johnson18:09.1Holland Black River150.6
12Mitchell Smith18:16.6GR NorthPointe Christian148.1
9Gage Stray18:16.7Kent City148.1
10Isaac Struck-VanderHaak18:24.5Wyoming Potter’s House145.5
12Matthew Anton18:27.8Ravenna144.4
11Elijah Lauer18:27.8Saranac144.4
12Brady Thomas18:31.5Saranac143.2
11CJ Bennett18:32.2North Muskegon142.9
10Nick Muday18:34.2Delton-Kellogg142.3
9Easton McCloy18:40.4GR NorthPointe Christian140.2
11Brock Hickerson18:49.1Delton-Kellogg137.3
10Edward Mugisha18:53.3Wyoming Potter’s House135.9
10Matthew Leatherman18:53.4Montague135.9
12Mitchell Shippy-Thrash19:09.5Fennville130.5
10Andrew Newenhouse19:10.2Grandville Calvin Christian130.3
12Harrison VanKuiken19:12.2Saranac129.6
10Bryan Gregory19:13.3Saranac129.2
12Mason Gardea19:14.3Fennville128.9
9Sawyer VanKuiken19:17.8Saranac127.7
12Bryce Trinklein19:18.5Fennville127.5
9Isaiah Wilson19:22.5GR NorthPointe Christian126.2
12August Gerardi19:23.4North Muskegon125.9
12Jonathon Carballido19:27.6Shelby124.5
10Keegan Morris19:29.5GR NorthPointe Christian123.8
9Ethan Jenne19:34.6Fennville122.1
12Rhys Bedford19:36.9Delton-Kellogg121.4
12Caleb Jonas19:40.0Ravenna120.3
12Braydyn Santos19:41.6North Muskegon119.8
11Tyler Pelham19:46.4Ravenna118.2
11Chase Stockman19:55.9North Muskegon115.0
10Benjamin Carpenter19:57.6North Muskegon114.5
12Owen Raeth19:59.3Montague113.9
11Blake Jewett20:00.7Grandville Calvin Christian113.5
11Ian Schuiling20:06.8Kent City111.4
11Ethan Fessenden20:12.9Shelby109.4
9Atticus Boeve20:16.6Fennville108.1
10Silas Ensink20:18.6Grandville Calvin Christian107.5
12Ethan VanderLugt20:19.7Kent City107.1
10Jaciel Ruiz20:21.0Fennville106.7
12Anthony Castillo20:23.8Grant105.7
9Sebastian Zylstra20:28.6Holland Black River104.1
11Nicholas Huizinga20:34.2Grandville Calvin Christian102.3
9Miles Divozzo20:36.7Holland Black River101.4
9Alex Crowder20:42.8Shelby99.4
12Chris Aebig20:48.8Montague97.4
12Luke Piersma20:51.7Grandville Calvin Christian96.4
9Shawn Warmuskerken21:36.4Grant81.5
10Andan Skuse21:44.1Ravenna79.0
11Fernando Diaz-Guzman21:48.8Kent City77.4
9Evan Buteyn21:53.4Grandville Calvin Christian75.9
12Jimmy Thommen22:46.7Montague58.1
11Bryce McCleary23:15.9Ravenna48.4
Ethan Boyer23:54.4Ravenna35.5
12Constantin Schnabel24:12.8Ravenna29.4
12Miro Greensmith24:19.5Fennville27.2
9Isaiah Kellogg24:24.6Delton-Kellogg25.5
GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Matthias Morse16:36.1Muskegon Western Mich. Christian181.6
12Graeson Lawrence16:42.1Muskegon Western Mich. Christian179.6
9Christian Getz17:03.4Holland Calvary Christian172.5
9Riley Weed17:03.8Holland Calvary Christian172.4
9Noah Schipper17:05.1Holland Calvary Christian172.0
8Lincoln Laansma17:06.4Tri-unity Christian171.5
12Myles Tilma17:09.3Byron Center Zion Christian170.6
9Gibson White17:13.3Holland Calvary Christian169.3
10Sammy Gamboa17:17.2Saugatuck167.9
9Marcus Silva17:18.1Saugatuck167.6
11Tyler Laansma17:25.2Tri-unity Christian165.3
9Sawyer Monroe17:29.1Saugatuck164.0
9Owen Sytsema17:34.3Muskegon Western Mich. Christian162.2
12Owen Lyonnais17:39.3Muskegon Catholic Central160.6
12Jacob Lyonnais17:42.6Muskegon Catholic Central159.5
9Grant Rehkopf17:49.0Saugatuck157.3
11Alexander Lawrence17:53.4Muskegon Western Mich. Christian155.9
10Brennan Nor17:55.6Saugatuck155.1
9Caleb Adkins18:00.0Holland Calvary Christian153.7
12Danny Maat18:12.9Muskegon Western Mich. Christian149.4
12Matthew Lage18:18.7St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic147.4
11Demitri Lawrence18:18.7Muskegon Western Mich. Christian147.4
10Reuben Anderson18:25.4Muskegon Western Mich. Christian145.2
12Owen McLoughlin18:28.8St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic144.1
11Caleb Oudbier18:30.9Tri-unity Christian143.4
12Alexander Gordillo18:31.8Libertas Christian143.1
12Jack Walkenhorst18:32.8Muskegon Catholic Central142.7
11Alex Morin18:33.9Martin142.4
11Kalen Loebach18:37.5St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic141.2
9Elijah Laninga18:39.3Holland Calvary Christian140.6
12Charlie DeVries18:42.9Byron Center Zion Christian139.4
10Freddie Bierling18:47.6Byron Center Zion Christian137.8
10Lukas Rennells19:10.5Muskegon Catholic Central130.2
9Connor Banyon19:12.9St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic129.4
11Max McCumber19:20.1Muskegon Catholic Central127.0
12Jordan VanKlompenberg19:21.6Tri-unity Christian126.5
11Gabe Zapata19:22.0Lawrence126.3
10David Sager19:27.0Gobles124.7
9Anthony Jasheway19:31.6St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic123.1
11Zach Vonk19:36.4Holland Calvary Christian121.5
10Cole Cannon19:37.6Gobles121.1
9Tyler Curtis19:38.9Vermontville Maple Valley120.7
9Noah Kunkle19:44.0Libertas Christian119.0
12Ayden Wilkes20:05.8Vermontville Maple Valley111.7
11Luke Baird20:06.4Tri-unity Christian111.6
10Caleb Stumph20:21.3Byron Center Zion Christian106.6
12Ben Schoonmaker20:24.1Saugatuck105.6
10Nathan Walkenhorst20:25.5Muskegon Catholic Central105.2
9Abram Nieuwsma20:35.5Saugatuck101.8
12Ethan Wait20:56.6Gobles94.8
9Max Lee20:58.2Muskegon Catholic Central94.3
12Ben Toonstra21:05.7Byron Center Zion Christian91.8
9Jadon Dettmann21:09.3Martin90.6
12Ronan Marsh21:11.8St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic89.7
12Gavin Wheeler21:29.2Holton83.9
9Quincy Page21:33.2Vermontville Maple Valley82.6
10Connor Siglow21:46.9St. Joseph Our Lady of the Lake Catholic78.0
11Jeremiah Baribeau21:55.6Libertas Christian75.1
9Gari Salvador-Garcia22:26.3Martin64.9
11Mason Laduke22:33.3Tri-unity Christian62.6
12James Penny23:00.7Vermontville Maple Valley53.4
12Robert Laws24:12.8Vermontville Maple Valley29.4
11Cole Stapert24:13.1Gobles29.3
9Hunter Hayes24:24.9Martin25.4
12Tyler Pederson24:25.7Byron Center Zion Christian25.1
12Trent Kooman24:38.7Holton20.8
9Peyton Traxler24:48.5Holton17.5
9Donnie Burkett24:52.7Holton16.1
9Brayden Joseph25:04.7Vermontville Maple Valley12.1