Uncategorized

2023 Mid-Season Projections: DeWitt Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 24 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 14 SUMMER PREVIEW

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

Lilly Rooks, Pewamo-Westphalia
Jenna Keilen, Pewamo-Westphalia
Isabell Helman, Pewamo-Westphalia
Andrea Rolston, Stanton Central Montcalm
Abbie Schneider, Pewamo-Westphalia
Kyler Fertig, Stanton Central Montcalm
Clay Powell, Ovid-Elsie
River Fox, Bath
Sylus Wilson, Stanton Central Montcalm

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

New Lothrop Boys
Melanie Werner, Pewamo-Westphalia
Anna Poppema, Bath
Emily Rathka, Laingsburg
Kyah Hoffman, Stanton Central Montcalm
Nolan Mitchell, Pewamo-Westphalia
Andrew Koenigsknecht, Bath
Carter Holmes, Bath

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

Stanton Central Montcalm Girls & Boys
Pewamo-Westphalia Girls & Boys
Laingsburg Girls
Bath Boys
Collin Farmer, Pewamo-Westphalia

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Stanton Central Montcalm356
2Pewamo-Westphalia377
3Laingsburg9226
4Ovid-Elsie132 
5New Lothrop156 
6Almont163 
7Bath181 
8Chesaning192 
9Montrose217 
10Perry231 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Kyah HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm
211Whitney WernerPewamo-Westphalia
311Ashley ChoponisStanton Central Montcalm
410Grace CostonStanton Central Montcalm
511Emily RathkaLaingsburg
69Alyssa KramerPewamo-Westphalia
710Anna PoppemaBath
812Melanie WernerPewamo-Westphalia
910Abbie SchneiderPewamo-Westphalia
1010Clarissa BaeseOvid-Elsie
119Andrea RolstonStanton Central Montcalm
1212Isabell HelmanPewamo-Westphalia
1311Piper WhiteOvid-Elsie
149Jenna KeilenPewamo-Westphalia
1510Lilly RooksPewamo-Westphalia

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Stanton Central Montcalm435
2Pewamo-Westphalia506
3Bath5211
4Laingsburg147 
5Ovid-Elsie170 
6New Lothrop186 
7Almont209 
8Montrose210 
9Memphis228 
10Perry230 
11Chesaning253 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Collin FarmerPewamo-Westphalia
210Gage HoffmanStanton Central Montcalm
312Graham CostonStanton Central Montcalm
412Carter HolmesBath
510Noah DevereauxLaingsburg
610Sylus WilsonStanton Central Montcalm
79River FoxBath
811Clay PowellOvid-Elsie
911Allan GeorgePewamo-Westphalia
1011Luke SkidmoreBath
1112Andrew KoenigsknechtBath
129Wyatt WernerPewamo-Westphalia
139John KowatchPewamo-Westphalia
1410Kyler FertigStanton Central Montcalm
159Nolan MitchellPewamo-Westphalia

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

Parma Western Girls
Sophia Schafer, Williamston
Mia Williams, DeWitt
Dora Henry, Haslett
Ayla Holben, DeWitt
Jackson Walthorn, DeWitt
Lucas Moore, Fowlerville

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Haslett Girls
Mason Girls & Boys
St. Johns Boys
Haslett Boys
Emma Crandell, Owosso
Josie Jenkinson, Owosso
Chloe Khon, Jackson Northwest
Abby Young, St. Johns
Meghan Ford, Mason
Braylen Eaton, Charlotte
Conner McCormick, Mason
Edison Lopeman, Parma Western
Nolan Inglis, DeWitt
Dylan Lydic, Haslett

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

St. Johns Girls
DeWitt Girls & Boys
Haslett Girls
Parma Western Boys
Ava Schafer, St. Johns

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1St. Johns527
2DeWitt5313
3Owosso8321
4Haslett119 
5Mason147 
6Parma Western178 
7Charlotte183 
8Williamston200 
9Corunna215 
10Fowlerville250 
11Eaton Rapids274 
12Jackson Northwest332 
13Lansing Eastern384 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
19Ava SchaferSt. Johns
212Meghan FordMason
312Abby YoungSt. Johns
412Clara FletcherSt. Johns
511Kayla WilliamsDeWitt
611Ayla HolbenDeWitt
710Chloe KhonJackson Northwest
812Dora HenryHaslett
911Mia WilliamsDeWitt
1011Josie JenkinsonOwosso
1111Nicole SchaferWilliamston
1210Emma CrandellOwosso
1311Autumn ThompsonDeWitt
1410Miriam KlohaSt. Johns
159Sophia SchaferWilliamston

PlaceTeamReg ScoreDivision Rank
1DeWitt7125
2Parma Western8024
3St. Johns86 
4Mason123 
5Corunna130 
6Haslett152 
7Eaton Rapids157 
8Fowlerville220 
9Charlotte237 
10Williamston290 
11Lansing Eastern297 
12Lansing Waverly305 
13Jackson Northwest339 
14Owosso400 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Nate CarmodyHaslett
211Alex DonethMason
311Dylan LydicHaslett
411Nolan InglisDeWitt
512Cooper SingletonParma Western
612Isaac StaibSt. Johns
710Edison LopemanParma Western
89Ryan GoodParma Western
912Matthew SchraubenSt. Johns
1012Brennan McKoneDeWitt
1111Conner McCormickMason
1211Jack HuntingtonEaton Rapids
1311Lucas MooreFowlerville
1411Braylen EatonCharlotte
1511Jackson WalthornDeWitt
Uncategorized

2023 Mid-Season Projections: Kensington Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 26 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 7 SUMMER PREVIEW

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

Kaitlin Ludwig, Lansing Catholic
Avery Miller, Lansing Catholic
Jalynn Schmelter, Leslie
Frances Melinn, Lansing Catholic
Kyan Isham, Leslie
William Gancer, Stockbridge
Matthew Killeen, Leslie
Cooper Schmelter, Leslie

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Lutheran Northwest Girls
Bishop Foley Girls
Dansville Boys
Charyl Stockwell Boys
Abby Rice, Lutheran Northwest
Grace Wonch, Lansing Catholic
Blaise Demko, Lansing Catholic
Finn Korte, Lansing Catholic
Everett Beach, Lansing Catholic
Téo Krumm, Lansing Catholic
Kenneth Mangles, Leslie
Anthony Urbaniak, Charyl Stockwell

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

Tessa Roe, Lansing Catholic
Theodore Davis, Dansville
Lansing Catholic Girls
Leslie Girls
Leslie Boys
Lansing Catholic Boys

PlaceGirls TeamScoreDivision Rank
1Lansing Catholic299
2Leslie3410
3Rochester Hills Lutheran NW101 
4Wixom St. Catherine131 
5Madison Heights Bishop Foley139 
6Stockbridge147 
7Algonac163 
8Charyl Stockwell Academy218 
9Clawson222 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Tessa RoeLansing Catholic
210Frances MelinnLansing Catholic
39Grace WonchLansing Catholic
410Hailey CreisherLeslie
511Erin LubahnLeslie
69Reagan LeesWixom St. Catherine
711Jaidyn SmithLeslie
812Jalynn SchmelterLeslie
912Abby RiceRochester Hills Lutheran NW
1011Kerith ShortUniversity Liggett
119Mia PapendickLeslie
129Avery MillerLansing Catholic
1310Kaitlin LudwigLansing Catholic
149Makya IshamLeslie
1510Jasmine WalkerAlgonac

PlaceBoys TeamScoreDivision Rank
1Leslie4322
2Lansing Catholic4623
3Dansville90 
4Algonac107 
5Charyl Stockwell Academy139 
6Stockbridge142 
7Rochester Hills Lutheran NW159 
8Madison Heights Bishop Foley213 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Theodore DavisDansville
212Anthony UrbaniakCharyl Stockwell Academy
310Julian WalkerAlgonac
411Michael DarlingtonUniversity Liggett
510Lucas GatesLansing Catholic
69Kenneth ManglesLeslie
79Cooper SchmelterLeslie
89Téo KrummLansing Catholic
99Matthew KilleenLeslie
109Everett BeachLansing Catholic
119William GancerStockbridge
1210Grason WeberLeslie
139Finn KorteLansing Catholic
1411Kyan IshamLeslie
1510Blaise DemkoLansing Catholic

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

White Lake Lakeland Girls
Novi Girls
Katherine Wischmann, Royal Oak
Maya Pletzer, White Lake Lakeland
Natalie Joiner, White Lake Lakeland
Alena Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Ava Alicandro, White Lake Lakeland
Drew Abbott, Detroit Catholic Central
Nolan Till, Royal Oak
Noah Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Gavin Johns, White Lake Lakeland
Matthew Verellen, White Lake Lakeland
Braxton Sipes, Royal Oak

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Royal Oak Boys
Novi Boys
Macy Czelada, South Lyon
Emily Alt, Walled Lake Northern
Emma Hoffmeyer, Walled Lake Western
Kayla Ward, South Lyon
Ryan Ward, White Lake Lakeland
Evan Rice, Walled Lake Northern

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

White Lake Lakeland Boys
Walled Lake Northern Boys
Highland-Milford Boys
Walled Lake Northern Girls
Sebastian Ramirez, Royal Oak

PlaceGirls TeamScoreDivision Rank
1White Lake Lakeland5015
2Walled Lake Northern6627
3Novi121 
4Royal Oak136 
5Highland-Milford152 
6South Lyon169 
7Birmingham Seaholm173 
8Walled Lake Western201 
9South Lyon East227 
10Walled Lake Central272 
11West Bloomfield277 
12Berkley316 
13North Farmington324 
14Beverly Hills Groves403 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Ava AlicandroWhite Lake Lakeland
212Alisia OlteanuWalled Lake Western
310Kayla WardSouth Lyon
412Madelyn GordonWalled Lake Northern
512Emma HoffmeyerWalled Lake Western
611Alena TiernanWhite Lake Lakeland
711Natalie JoinerWhite Lake Lakeland
89Jillian BroylesHighland-Milford
912Ava KurczewskiWalled Lake Northern
109Maya PletzerWhite Lake Lakeland
119Emily AltWalled Lake Northern
1210Macy CzeladaSouth Lyon
139Claire PorinskySouth Lyon East
1412Katherine WischmanRoyal Oak
1510Lauren BradleyHighland-Milford

PlaceBoys TeamScoreDivision Rank
1White Lake Lakeland4211
2Walled Lake Northern6519
3Highland-Milford99 
4Royal Oak121 
5Detroit Catholic Central123 
6Novi147 
7South Lyon181 
8Berkley259 
9Birmingham Seaholm277 
10Brother Rice313 
11South Lyon East342 
12Beverly Hills Groves354 
13North Farmington364 
14Walled Lake Central364 
15West Bloomfield366 
16Walled Lake Western442 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Sebastian RamirezRoyal Oak
212Ty ParkerWalled Lake Northern
310Kyle O’RourkeHighland-Milford
412Pierce GrzymkowskiWhite Lake Lakeland
512Oliver MossBerkley
612Evan RiceWalled Lake Northern
712Braxton SipesRoyal Oak
811Matthew VerellenWhite Lake Lakeland
912Ryan WardWhite Lake Lakeland
1010Gavin JohnsWhite Lake Lakeland
1112Noah TiernanWhite Lake Lakeland
1211Nolan TillRoyal Oak
1311Ryan CarrannantoHighland-Milford
1412Brayden MullinsHighland-Milford
1511Drew AbbottDetroit Catholic Central
Uncategorized

2023 Mid-Season Projections: Portage Central Regional

Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.

Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.

These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.

REGION 32 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 3 SUMMER PREVIEW

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

White Pigeon Boys

Emma Gaylor, Heritage Christian Academy

Analiese Miller, White Pigeon

Abigail Ulrich, Kalamazoo Hackett

Mimi Hibbard, Battle Creek St. Philip

Jamielyn Delarye, White Pigeon

Gwen Bulko, Concord

Gabriella Siems, Kalamazoo Hackett

Kellen Siems, Kalamazoo Hackett

Ethan O’Connor, Athens

Jerome Bastian, Battle Creek St. Philip

Ben Iobe, Mendon

Jesse Fielis, White Pigeon

Luke Sprague, Battle Creek St. Philip

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Concord Girls

Centreville Girls

White Pigeon Girls

Battle Creek St. Philip Girls

Kalamazoo Hackett Boys

Riley Adams, Concord

Katelyn Van Es, Kalamazoo Hackett

Emma Riker, Kalamazoo Hackett

Haley Stimer, Concord

Charlie Gibson, Three Oaks River Valley

Gavin Sehy, Kalamazoo Hackett

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

Presley Allen, Mendon

Marek Butkiewicz, Kalamazoo Hackett

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Concord3315
2Kalamazoo Hackett4620
3Centreville73 
4White Pigeon94 
5Battle Creek St. Philip124 
6Athens141 
7Three Oaks River Valley193 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Presley AllenMendon
29Haley StimerConcord
39Gabriella SiemsKalamazoo Hackett
410Cieara BarrettConcord
510Emma RikerKalamazoo Hackett
610Katelyn Van EsKalamazoo Hackett
712Gwen BulkoConcord
810Ellie ReedCentreville
912Riley AdamsConcord
1012Addie CurtisMarcellus
1111Jamielynn DelaryeWhite Pigeon
1212Mimi HibbardBattle Creek St. Philip
1311Abigail UlbrichKalamazoo Hackett
1412Analiese MillerWhite Pigeon
1512Emma GaylorHeritage Christian Academy

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Kalamazoo Hackett396
2Three Oaks River Valley417
3Battle Creek St. Philip7824
4White Pigeon13650
5Concord14254
6Centreville14957
7Athens18569
8Eau Claire20172
9Mendon22174

PlaceGradeNameTeam
110Marek ButkiewiczKalamazoo Hackett
212Gavin SehyKalamazoo Hackett
310Charlie GibsonThree Oaks River Valley
412Luke SpragueBattle Creek St. Philip
512Austin YorkThree Oaks River Valley
610Jesse FielisWhite Pigeon
710Landon RogersThree Oaks River Valley
811Adam SlavensThree Oaks River Valley
910Sean SiemsKalamazoo Hackett
1011Ben IobeMendon
1112Max ShugarsBattle Creek St. Philip
1212Nick DoerrKalamazoo Hackett
1311Jerome BastianBattle Creek St. Philip
1410Ethan O’ConnorAthens
159Kellen SiemsKalamazoo Hackett

Major Movers

Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions

East Kentwood Girls

Forest Hills Northern Girls

East Kentwood Boys

Enna Wainer, Ottawa Hills

Claire Mathison, Forest Hills Central

Lilamae Frank, Battle Creek Lakeview

Rhea Mouw, Portage Central

Alyssa DeFields, Caledonia

Izzy Fazio, Forest Hills Northern

Annie Alkema, Kalamazoo Central

Ty Billings, Kalamazoo Central

Mitchell Jeruzal, Byron Center

Jonah Bills, Battle Creek Lakeview

Tiny Movers

Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.

Byron Center Girls

Ottawa Hills Girls

Caledonia Girls

Emilee Rudlaff, Kalamazoo Central

Peyton Ludwig, Forest Hills Central

Anna Sybenga, Forest Hills Central

Ava Lawrence, East Kentwood

Joseph Spada, Kalamazoo Central

Dylan Duguay, Kalamazoo Loy Norrix

Samuel Baker, Kalamazoo Central

Sawyer McCarthy, Forest Hills Central

Isaac Tanis, East Kentwood

Evan Nickoles, East Kentwood

Liam Walters, Ottawa Hills

Jasper Cane, Kalamazoo Central

Aiden Moore, Battle Creek Lakeview

Steady At The Top

May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.

Forest Hills Central Girls

Portage Central Girls

Kalamazoo Central Boys

Forest Hills Central Boys

Selma Anderson, Ottawa Hills

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Forest Hills Central496
2Portage Central11326
3Byron Center134 
4Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills149 
5East Kentwood163 
6Caledonia168 
7Forest Hills Northern184 
8Kalamazoo Central186 
9Portage Northern189 
10Battle Creek Lakeview190 
11Kalamazoo Loy Norrix272 
12Lowell285 
13Mattawan295 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Selma AndersonGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills
212Clara James-HeerForest Hills Central
311Annie AlkemaKalamazoo Central
412Izzy FazioForest Hills Northern
510Ava LawrenceEast Kentwood
611Anna SybengaForest Hills Central
712Peyton LudwigForest Hills Central
812Emilee RudlaffKalamazoo Central
911Sydney LawByron Center
1012Alyssa DeFieldsCaledonia
1110Rhea MouwPortage Central
1210Lilamae FrankBattle Creek Lakeview
139Roxanne JorgensenPortage Northern
1411Clare MathisonForest Hills Central
1510Enna WainerGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills

PlaceTeamScoreDivision Rank
1Kalamazoo Central619
2Forest Hills Central7312
3East Kentwood11521
4Portage Central11823
5Byron Center13226
6Battle Creek Lakeview156 
7Caledonia188 
8Forest Hills Northern216 
9Kalamazoo Loy Norrix230 
10Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills236 
11Lowell275 
12Portage Northern276 
13Mattawan320 

PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Aiden MooreBattle Creek Lakeview
212Jasper CaneKalamazoo Central
312Liam WaltersGrand Rapids Ottawa Hills
411Evan NickolesEast Kentwood
511Jonah BillsBattle Creek Lakeview
611Isaac TanisEast Kentwood
712Logan BegemanPortage Central
811Sawyer McCarthyForest Hills Central
99Samuel BakerKalamazoo Central
1011Mitchell JeruzalByron Center
1110Ty BillingsKalamazoo Central
1212Parker LudwigForest Hills Central
1310Dylan DuguayKalamazoo Loy Norrix
1411Joseph SpadaKalamazoo Central
1512Levi GreenByron Center