Uncategorized

Division 2 State Preview

Girls Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Girl2nd Girl3rd Girl4th Girl5th Girl6th Girl7th Girl
1East Grand Rapids55271016203341
2Petoskey132522233646170188
3Grand Rapids Christian1401428357278102
4Forest Hills Eastern16119212437607494
5Otsego23013455055677982
6Freeland244912299698145154
7Goodrich2908315197103162163
8Mason3063495792105125150
9Spring Lake340174347114119130140
10Marshall34726626495100178183
11Williamston366
12Warren Regina371
13Shepherd386
14Pinckney388
15Zeeland East390
16Allendale405
17Chelsea409
18Cadillac421
19Tecumseh429
20Dearborn Divine Child451
21Grand Rapids South Christian466
22Holland Christian500
23Marysville511
24Remus Chippewa Hills527
25Alma558
26Bloomfield Hills Marian578
27Croswell-Lexington583

The East Grand Rapids dynasty continues.  They’ve been such a face of Division 2 success that everyone should know their home run hitters.  Cammy Bodine is the 800m star, Drew Muller has range for every distance, and MIS may very well be Ainsley Workman’s home course (three straight top-10’s).  But let’s concentrate on a few others: Abigail Petr returns from a few disjointed seasons to shore up the back of their speedy pack.  Sophia Lado has run in the low-19’s on multiple occasions.  Sadey Seyferth has to be a mudder, her best performance of the year came at Regionals.  While we’re at it, let’s not forget Katie Edison, the senior security blanket who’s been in the low-20’s all year. 

Some were wondering, especially after the loss of Smith, Squires, Liederbach, and Harris – why was Petoskey ranked so high in the summer?  Their returning runners, although not featured as often because of their outstanding 2021 class, had posted some solid times in 2020.  The pre-season rankings don’t account for this, but if they did, this would be a factor.  The North(wo)men just get better throughout the year.  A prime example of that would be CamBrie Corey.  She was above 21:00 at Spartan and has been sub-20 in her past three races.

Grand Rapids Christian is so young, oh so young.  Behind Madelyn Frens, their main group consists of four sophomores.  They’re in a tough conference, constantly running against East Grand Rapids, so the Eagles are gunning for it in any conference meet.  And in the final OK White Meet, they suffered a narrow defeat by the slimmest of margins.  Can they summon another effort on the big stage?

Girls Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
110Mary RichmondFrankenmuth155.3
212Madelyn FrensGrand Rapids Christian153.5
310Drew MullerEast Grand Rapids151.0
410Meghan FordMason149.9
510Natalie VanOtterenGrand Rapids Christian148.3
612Noel VanderwallPetoskey141.3
712Sarah StoreyRemus Chippewa Hills140.3
811Camryn BodineEast Grand Rapids137.9
99Kamryn LauingerGoodrich137.0
1010Emma DeVriesGR West Michigan Aviation136.8
1112Whitney FarrellFreeland135.4
1212Ainsley WorkmanEast Grand Rapids134.7
1310Allison KuzmaZeeland East134.2
1412Mara LongeneckerFreeland134.1
1510Megan GermainOtsego133.6
1612Lily MatawayFlint Powers Catholic133.5
1712Grace ZdankiewiczWarren Regina133.1
1812Julia FinleyBelding132.7
1912Kendall SchopierayCadillac132.1
209Sadey SeyferthEast Grand Rapids131.6
2112Alyna LewisParma Western130.6
2210Clara FletcherSt. Johns130.5
2311Lily ParkerSpring Lake129.5
2412Mackenzie HillPlainwell129.4
259Nicole SchaferWilliamston128.0
2611Ellory ClasonForest Hills Eastern127.0
2710Sophia LadoEast Grand Rapids126.8
2811Sarah DixonForest Hills Eastern126.6
2912Caroline FarleyPetoskey126.3
3010CamBrie CoreyPetoskey125.9
3110Ashlyn SmithForest Hills Eastern125.4
3210Emily TomesGrand Rapids Catholic Central125.4
339Ava CrewsMiddleville Thornapple-Kellogg125.0
3410Cecelia ThoringtonPinckney123.9
3511Lauren HunterHaslett123.4
3610Camille DeColaMarshall123.3
379Josie JenkinsonOwosso123.1
3811Chesney WilkeTecumseh122.8
3910Payton HoltzGrand Rapids Christian122.7
4012Haileigh BissettNorth Branch122.5
4112Maggie DubaGrand Rapids West Catholic122.3
429Landrey KuhnFreeland121.7
4311Ariel WarnerShepherd121.0
4410Olivia GizaGoodrich120.8
4512Hannah FisherMarysville120.4
4611Abigail PetrEast Grand Rapids119.7
4710Zoe HokePontiac Notre Dame Prep119.6
4810Alyssa ButterfieldAllendale119.4
4910Naomi NelsonGrand Rapids Christian119.3
5011Emma JanesakSparta119.2

If there’s some sort of career achievement award, Madelyn Frens deserves it.  Not just for her accomplishments and accolades, but the curveballs thrown her way.  She didn’t complete her 2019 State Meet, having to be helped off the course.  She came back from that to finish top-5 the following year, and then the next spring, capture her first State title.  This fall, she busted out a 17:56 opener at Benzie.  The following week, it was unbearable to even run.  The Alter-G became home as she worked through a thigh split (12 years of working in run specialty and I’ve never heard of this), and she’s back and ready to hurt for another title. 

Mary Richmond, on the other hand, has run a TON of races this year.  And at first glance – are there any poor performances?  Quite amazingly, no.  Her lowest rated races came in victories at TVC 8 meets, understandable.  Her defeats to other competitors, she was pulled along to a 17:56 at Shepherd. 

After a bit of a slow start (though I was at each of the races, she was cruising), Meghan Ford has come back into her own in October.  She’s posted three 150+ races in October, the equivalent of 18:30 and below.  She’s won her second consecutive Regional championship.  Hard to not mention this as well – she’s the top returner in the field.

Boys Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Boy2nd Boy3rd Boy4th Boy5th Boy6th Boy7th Boy
1Otsego1326182036525697
2Chelsea14739404649107132
3Pinckney1811294345637085
4Grand Rapids Christian18671047586490130
5St. Johns1911521245774163194
6Adrian2001419323996119125
7Linden2731617728187151167
8Freeland28411132567168174187
9East Grand Rapids310286162768395121
10St. Clair33144515373110135145
11Petoskey334
12Fremont348
13Flint Powers Catholic381
14Ionia399
15Mason421
16Battle Creek Harper Creek424
17Yale428
18Clio429
19Dearborn Divine Child458
20Spring Lake464
21Sparta468
22Holland Christian529
23Grand Rapids South Christian536
24Allendale558
25Grand Rapids Catholic Central580
26Three Rivers587
27Hamilton606
28Armada689
29Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood753

The Otsego boys were aghast at their pre-season ranking and rightfully so.  As the season started revving up, so did the Bulldogs ranking.  Their coming out party was at Spartan, where they placed 6th and beat many top tier D1 teams.  They continued that hot streak to Cougar Falcon, Otsego Bulldog, and haven’t been challenged since.  Nick Cockerel has been the low stick at the front, but their rise was fueled by two “newcomers”, Tristin Canales and Chase Brown.  Chase has had an unfortunate string of injuries derailing his career, but he’s completed this entire season, a wonderful accomplishment.  Tristin took the 2020 season off and in that two year absence, managed to drop a minute+ from his 2019 best.

As Jacob Tanner noted in his “Top Fives” (seriously cannot thank him enough for putting that out earlier in the week, makes this job a ton easier), Chelsea has been a bit polarizing in their performances.  Their great performances are title worthy (Region 18, Spartan), their subpar performances are Top 5 worthy.  They’re basically the D2 Boys version of Brighton, although they have recent evidence of a great race.  Bram Hartsuff and Connell Alford should be able to mix it up with Canales and Cockerel, their 3rd through 5th will need to give a similar effort to Lake Erie to stoke the upset.  Jonas Norwood seems to be the bellwether, at Spartan and Lake Erie, he ran the equivalent of 16:30-40.

As the weather began to change, so did Grand Rapids Christian.  The Eagles rise began to come about at Otsego Bulldog, where they bested an Adrian squad.  Tinsae Nelson and Ben Zwart have been frontrunners all year, almost inseparable.  That combination is lethal in a pressure-filled setting, they can key off each other deep into the race.  But the aforementioned rise was the result of Simon Triezenberg, Dylan Clark, and Reuben Wiering decreasing their time and upping their game.

Pinckney has been extremely selective in their racing and that should leave their squad fresh and ready to compete.  Caleb Jarema is a known quantity, their success will come from the rest of the pack.  In the Pirates victory over Chelsea at SEC 2, their pack of Ben Richards, Zach Debeauclair, and Evan Loughridge finished in front of Chelsea’s 3rd boy.  The task is expanded for this race, can they stay ahead of everyone’s 3rd boy?

St. Johns is the biggest riser of the bunch.  Unbenownst to myself prior to the season, Joey Bowman transferred in from Lansing Everett.  Joey was an outstanding freshman, having finished the year breaking into the 16’s.  It’s taken a bit of time to find that form, but it’s been found come championship season, especially prominent in his Region 14 victory.  Griffin Armbrustmacher and Michael Dennis are holdovers from last year’s runner-up squad, Isaac Staib and Tyler Dohm are rapidly improving.  If these ratings only included the past month of racing, I have no doubt the Redwings would be a top-3 outfit.

Boys Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Caleb JaremaPinckney218.1
212Ian HillSpring Lake210.2
310Connell AlfordChelsea204.7
411Michael HegartyDearborn Divine Child204.0
512Conor SomersFremont203.7
612Nick CockerelOtsego202.6
712Caden MeyerZeeland East200.1
812Ben ZwartGrand Rapids Christian199.8
912Parker LambersHolland Christian199.7
1012Garrett WinterParchment199.6
1111Bram HartsuffChelsea199.3
1212Tinsae NelsonGrand Rapids Christian198.9
1311Braydon HonsingerFreeland198.2
149Killian WhalenAllendale198.1
159TJ HansenFreeland198.0
1610Braylon PettyAdrian197.1
1712Ethan LeitnerTecumseh197.1
1811Aiden SullivanForest Hills Eastern197.0
1912Griffin ArmbrustmacherSt. Johns196.6
2011Kyle EberhardLinden196.4
2112Race BettichStevensville Lakeshore196.3
2211Camden JohnecheckWilliamston196.0
2312River MeckstrothLinden195.9
2412Mason KolhoffOtsego195.6
2511Aiden SmithAdrian195.0
2612Tristin CanalesOtsego194.9
2711Joey BowmanSt. Johns194.0
2812Josiah MagleyIonia193.3
2911Carter McCalisterMonroe Jefferson192.8
3012Lucas DanicFlint Powers Catholic191.8
3112Michael DennisSt. Johns191.4
3212Jacob SingletonParma Western191.1
3312Jacob WurtzelFreeland191.0
3411Lukas KrieschYale190.6
3512Samuel SmithPetoskey190.6
3610Alex TholeEast Grand Rapids190.0
3710Evan LoughridgePinckney188.9
3812Owen GilbertBattle Creek Harper Creek188.9
3912Gabriel PhillipsClio188.9
4011Bryce SouleAdrian188.7
4112Kyler DeanVicksburg188.1
4212Chase DietrichFlint Powers Catholic187.9
4310Shane IzzardPetoskey187.7
4412Jackson JonesSparta187.5
4511William WinterParchment186.8
4610Nolan PinionLake Fenton186.8
4712Chase BrownOtsego186.2
4811Jake O’NeilRemus Chippewa Hills185.4
4912Landon BuskirkMason185.4
509Alex DonethMason185.2

I realize that I control a lot of the narrative and discussion on XC in this state, so this is partially my fault (and partially Riley Hough’s fault), but Caleb Jarema has ran under the radar all year long.  He’s slipped under the 15:00 barrier at Portage, he’s been undefeated against D2 competition all year.  He was part of that blistering fast New Balance 3200m in May. 

Ian Hill ran 15:33 on that same day at Portage, although there was a bit of weather change throughout said day.  Against a field of D2’s biggest hitters, Ian sped away with the crown by a 15+ second margin.  His only defeat was at Benzie, since then he’s been undefeated. 

I have to explain a little bit on the ratings.  Mike Hegarty and Connell Alford have gone against one another twice this year, Mike coming ahead both times.  But Connell is rated higher.  What the ratings try to do is compare when runners aren’t racing.  In the most appropriate scenario, these will be two runners from separate areas of the state on different courses on different days.  When they haven’t faced one another, Connell has run some of his better races.  But that begs the question: what if Mike had run with Connell at Coaching Legends or the SEC White meets? 

Enough of my rambling, Mike is Mr. October year in, year out.  This year’s version of his exploits was a 15:34 at Otsego.  Connell has been Mr. Consistent in his sophomore campaign.  His only “subpar” efforts were equivalent the very low 16’s. 

If we were judging on the final three races of the year, Conor Somers would be a clear #3.  Breaking 17:00 on the legendary Branstrom Park course might go unnoticed by many, but not to the Fremont folks and myself.  That itself was the equivalent of a 15:30 effort and that was almost duplicated in the hills of Remus.

TUCK COMIN’

This section is dedicated to all the college football coaches, players, and teams that are rollin’ hot through the season, ready to beat Ohio State in November and crash the MIS party on Saturday.

I have been hearing talk in the Cross Country Heartland about how I had Shepherd underrated.  And that is valid talk given their past results.  They’re always at State, they’re always a D3 contender, but THIS IS D2.  It’s a whole different ballgame, right?  Well, I thought I was right until Carly Judge had to ruin it.  In her past two meets, she’s gone under 20:20 both times.  Neither effort is a personal best, but if they’re a glimpse at her State Meet, that may be enough to move the Bluejays near the Top 10.

Our first glimpse (other than if you scour middle school results, who would do that?) of Kamryn Lauinger’s talent was a runaway victory at Holly.  She’s built on that victory with four consecutive 140+ ratings, the equivalent of sub-19.  That area between Flint and Detroit is known for its tough courses.  Kayla O’Mara is hilly, Lake Fenton was a mudbath.  On a fair, dry course, watch out.

Has Ionia all collectively peaked at the right time?  You can point to any of the Bulldog boys and see progress from their St. Francis Regional to meets earlier in the year.  Jacob Montgomery, Ellis Yokom, Josiah Magley, and Heath LaPointe all crushed expectations last Friday and if you plug in their ratings at St. Francis for the rest of the season, Ionia is capable of finishing in the Top 10.

Parker Lambers is hot off a regional effort where he dispatched a number of the state’s best.  And he did it pulling away as well.  I know Otsego is traditionally fast, but 15:36 is an impressive time nonetheless.  Parker has the attributes necessary to be successful (and if anyone is able to spot talent, it’s MSU).  He’s shown it’s not a one-time occurrence either, his wins at Cougar Falcon and Under the Lights were against similarly tough competition.

Uncategorized

Division 3 State Preview

Girls Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Girl2nd Girl3rd Girl4th Girl5th Girl6th Girl7th Girl
1Hart1152394160107127
2Traverse City St. Francis17313152056698081
3Lansing Catholic1807111448100151157
4Kent City1828323851536694
5Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard2161227464982121135
6Jackson Lumen Christi2205103655114122138
7Grand Rapids Covenant Christian2466344370939799
8St. Louis24917193371109116134
9Ithaca2731244277129155165
10Pewamo-Westphalia27816456873768388
11Caro328
12Benzie Central351
13Grandville Calvin Christian377
14Harbor Springs395
15Reese417
16Sandusky420
17Manton429
18Bridgman479
19Onsted481
20Clinton496
22Monroe St. Mary CC502
21Elk Rapids502
23Leslie528
24University Liggett532
25Buchanan557
26Schoolcraft610
27Clawson650
28Madison Heights Bishop Foley807

Can Hart make it five straight State Titles?  With fifth runner Lauren VanderLaan in their corner, very likely.  As 2020 closed, a few teams looked like they had an outside shot at breaking Hart’s streak, and their hopes pinned on a subpar performance from Lauren.  But she went out, ran 21:02, and finished a good 20+ spots better than her pre-race expectation.  Hart’s unreal streak continued and we’re having this same conversation this year.  Although the Ackleys have moved on (from the girls squad), the Pirates are still led by another side of the family, the Enns and bolstered by freshmen Jessica Jazwinski and Lexie Beth Nienhuis.

The question then becomes: who’s second?

Jackson Lumen Christi would be in here, mainly behind the efforts of transfer Sydney Fazekas.  We knew about Faith Smith and Madison Osterberg, but Fazekas’s transfer from Hanover-Horton solidified their depth.  Sadly, Sydney is out with a stress fracture, thus dashing Lumen Christi’s hopes.  They are well-set for future runs with glory here.

Traverse City St. Francis has been remarkably consistent all year, even in the meets without Grace Slocum and Sophia Rhein.  I’m particularly happy for Sophia, as she missed nearly her entire sophomore year.  She’s back and has a great shot at finishing All-State.  Rylee Duffing has been reliable, usually finishing 4th or 5th on the team, while Mary Masserant and Ava Pomaranski have a bit higher variance.  If those two can bring it Saturday, they’re the clear favorite to finish second.

Lansing Catholic is as strong as any through four.  Hannah Pricco has finished 16th in two consecutive State Meets.  This spring, we saw CC Jones respond to Coach Simpson’s training and that has carried over into cross.  The key lies with Hailey Prokop, when adjusting for ratings, she’s improved nearly a minute from her September form. 

Championship Season has been kind to Kent City.  At Portage, they lost to Lumen Christi and finished ahead of Lansing Catholic and St. Francis.  At Saturday’s Region 21 race, they defeated Calvin Christian and Covenant Christian.  Kent Ottawa was their best performance, knocking off Lowell and West Michigan Aviation, both top-25 teams in higher divisions.

Girls Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Lani BloomIthaca167.9
212Rylee TolsonStockbridge158.7
310Alyson EnnsHart157.0
412Allison ChmielewskiRoscommon153.3
59Jessica JazwinskiHart148.4
610Mylie KellyBenzie Central147.5
710Madison OsterbergJackson Lumen Christi146.5
89Eliza BushYpsilanti Arbor Preparatory145.7
912Meghan BeuteGrand Rapids Covenant Christian144.4
1011Hannah PriccoLansing Catholic144.2
119Lila VolkersKent City143.0
1212Audrianna EnnsHart141.2
1312Faith SmithJackson Lumen Christi138.6
1410Miranda McNeilMorley-Stanwood135.5
1511CC JonesLansing Catholic133.7
1612Gianna HovingAnn Arbor Gabriel Richard132.0
1711Sophia RheinTraverse City St. Francis131.5
1810Tessa RoeLansing Catholic131.3
1910Kendra KosterLawton128.4
209Betsy SkendzelTraverse City St. Francis127.3
219Whitney WernerPewamo-Westphalia127.3
2211Ava MaginityBoyne City125.7
2312Libby MunderlohSt. Louis124.1
249Kerith ShortUniversity Liggett123.0
2512Mikenna BorieSt. Louis122.4
269Grace SlocumTraverse City St. Francis122.4
279Makenzie KregerSandusky122.2
2812Leanne KrombeenGrandville Calvin Christian121.0
2912Maye BurnsHarbor Springs120.2
3012Rachael SierakowskiIthaca119.7
3110Ava ViegelahnGrass Lake119.5
3212Elise JohnsonBenzie Central119.0
3312Ava GenoveseColoma118.9
3412Claire ThomsonClawson118.8
3512Marian AvilaAnn Arbor Gabriel Richard118.7
3610Kinsie JacquesPinconning118.6
379Erin LubahnLeslie118.1
3812Molly HardingManton117.0
3911Kara TerakedisOnsted116.9
409Emmry RossOnsted116.7
4112Alyeska LinsleyKent City115.4
4210Jaiden DickmanSt. Louis115.3
439Ashley ChoponisStanton Central Montcalm115.1
4410Amber KooleGrand Rapids Covenant Christian114.8
4512Brooklyn RochowStockbridge114.0
4611Allie KochManchester113.8
479Jaidyn SmithLeslie112.9
489Layla LopezJackson Lumen Christi112.8
4912Gabriella WingardNorth Muskegon112.5
5010Sophia ReynoldsHanover-Horton112.5

Lani Bloom is the favorite here.  What a career, what a ride it’s been.  Three All-State honors, three track titles (one indoor, two outdoor).  Adversity from tough races at MIS, joy from sophomore breakthroughs and overcoming said adversity.  She’s taken this season the right way too, not going to the well every single race, and this sets her up for success this weekend.  She has the strength (sub-17 on the track), she has the speed, she has the experience.

Rylee Tolson hasn’t lost once this entire fall.  She has the mettle of a champion, evidenced by two instances: her comeback from injury during track and her crawl to the finish a year ago.  She didn’t have to finish that race, but she did.  That speaks volumes.  She’s been a frontrunner this entire year, setting a quick early pace and daring others to hang on.  I can all but guarantee these two will duel until the other falls off.

I said this over the summer and I’ll say it again: we will see Allie Chmielewski on the starting line of the Olympic Trials in 2028 or 2032.  It might be the marathon, it might be the 10k, who knows.  She’s oozing in talent and doesn’t come from a traditional D3 power.  Imagine when she gets to MSU, a program that develops talent, and has girls to train with.  I’ve been a major fan of her season, she hasn’t redlined it in too many races, that extra bit of energy should help her in the final 1000m.

Beyond the seniors, I’m interested to see who sets themselves up for titles in 2022:

Alyson Enns has fallen off a bit in the past month, but when she’s on, she’s really freakin’ on.  17:53 at Shepherd has been her best, but 18:18 at Portage is significant here in that she defeated many of the D3 girls she’ll be competing against. 

Mylie Kelly just set a Benzie school record of 18:08.  Her string of races at Cadillac, Bluejay, and Portage show she can bring it when pushed, likely into the low-18’s.

Madison Osterberg finished second behind Enns at Portage, scorching the rest of the field in the final mile.  She has better speed than anyone sans Bloom and also the confidence to let the rest of the field go, knowing she’ll reel them back in. 

Eliza Bush has been the lone wolf over at Ypsi Arbor Prep.  She hasn’t faced the D3-centric competition that most in the field have gone against, but she has run in the mid-18’s on fair courses.

Jessica Jazwinski has actually supplanted Enns in the past month as Hart’s #1.  She’s been through the ringer of races and has been steady each time out.

Boys Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Boy2nd Boy3rd Boy4th Boy5th Boy6th Boy7th Boy
1Hart158111332495370105
2St. Louis16014171945657177
3Lansing Catholic166510364075120132
4Grandville Calvin Christian1763151630112177186
5Traverse City St. Francis18428293337576678
6Ithaca2779125196109125161
7Grand Rapids Covenant Christian306425052808285106
8Stockbridge30724273998119138180
9Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard3122144638797102130
10Charlevoix35042374121128133142
11Caro355
12Bronson362
13Pewamo-Westphalia369
14Harbor Springs371
15Benzie Central372
16Saugatuck397
17Hanover-Horton405
18Madison Heights Bishop Foley408
19Manton425
20Erie Mason427
21Saranac433
22Coloma448
23Hudson466
24Bath493
25Sanford-Meridian569
26Constantine655
27University Liggett678
28Memphis855

Hart hasn’t been the most flashy team all year.  But you don’t need to be flashy to win titles, you need to be reliable.  At any major meet, you’ll find that their average rating hovers between 170-175.  Noah Bosley, Wyatt Dean, and Clayton Ackley have been low sticks up front.  Max Stitt has been surprisingly reliable considering his freshman status.  If he can have Max Nienhuis and Seth Ackley follow his lead, the Pirates have a shot.

St. Louis is again doing that thing where they peak at the right time.  The March brothers in particular have been running their best in the last month.  Although Shepherd’s course has been running a bit quick this year, they both ran below 16:30 at the Scottie Classic, efforts that suggest they’re the among the best 2nd and 3rd runners in the state.  Can they push back another team’s 1st or 2nd?

Lansing Catholic has been bolstered by the addition of Josh Otten.  First a soccer player, then a 4:27 miler, now an XC star.  He didn’t even need a break-in period, placing 2nd behind D2 standout Mike Hegarty at Michigan Catholic.  The Cougars will rely on Stephen Fair as their 5th runner, he’s been in the low-18’s/high-17’s for the past seven races.  That time slot will likely have a mass of runners – a few seconds could make a huge difference. 

Grandville Calvin Christian’s Squires face the extreme example (we’ll see this in future writeups) of four runners and needing a good day from their fifth.  For Trevor Dornbos, he’s had more good days lately than not.  He’s in the same boat as Lansing Catholic’s Fair, where his best performance could move them to a contender.  Nathan Jenkins is battling an injury, but listed in the entries, so he’s included in here.

Traverse City St. Francis might take home the title of the most polarizing team of all-time.  Their Portage performance will win them the state title.  Their Bluejay performance could knock the Glads out of the Top 10. 

Boys Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
111Hunter JonesBenzie Central216.8
212Noah MorrowManton203.8
312Tyler GuggemosKalkaska194.1
411Nathan JenkinsGrandville Calvin Christian192.9
512Sam PetersonCharlevoix192.3
612Josh OttenLansing Catholic192.0
711Rogan MellingHanover-Horton191.0
810Collin FarmerPewamo-Westphalia191.0
911Cal BenjaminHarbor Springs188.1
1011Parks AllenIthaca187.2
1112David PruderLansing Catholic186.9
1210Samuel MartiniKent City186.8
1311Clayton AckleyHart186.6
1412Jacob WalkerBrooklyn Columbia Central186.2
1512Espen LehnstIthaca186.2
1612Noah BosleyHart183.4
1711Rhett ReifQuincy182.9
1812Carson BrunkPotterville182.3
1910Ben MarchSt. Louis182.2
2012Dan KehoeGrandville Calvin Christian180.7
2112Logan ManionGrandville Calvin Christian180.6
2212Aaron BowermanSt. Louis180.4
2312Chase HobsonMontrose180.4
2412Adam MartinsonSaugatuck179.6
2510Jaden BarnesBloomingdale179.2
2611Andrew HardyStanton Central Montcalm177.3
2712Nate MarchSt. Louis176.9
2811Connor StefanovskyCaro176.4
2910Simon VanderVluchtMonroe St. Mary CC176.3
3010Sunishthh SinghAnn Arbor Gabriel Richard175.0
3110Boden GenoveseColoma174.8
3212Dominic SchweinCharlevoix174.6
3311Micah BoltonStockbridge174.5
3410Alex CzeiszpergerHudson173.9
3510Matthew PattulloCaro173.6
3612Dalton SatkowiakStockbridge173.0
379Josh SlocumTraverse City St. Francis173.0
3812Thomas RichardsTraverse City St. Francis172.9
3911Ben WertzGrandville Calvin Christian172.7
4011Levi MaierChesaning172.4
4112Liam HarlanBath172.4
4211Wyatt DeanHart172.3
4311Josh KerrTraverse City St. Francis171.9
4411Jackson AnselErie Mason171.9
4511Ashton WellsBronson171.3
4612Gabe NelsonClinton171.3
4712Cameron HaraburdaLansing Catholic170.8
4811Caiden KippnickManchester170.7
4910Tucker KrummTraverse City St. Francis170.6
5012Lance SmarHarbor Springs170.3

2019 was the Hunter Jones show.  2020 was the Hunter Jones show.  This year is the Hunter Jones show.  Next year will be the Hunter Jones show.  Hunter is the clear favorite and it should be a fun, lonely 14 or 15 minutes for Hunter.  He took a few lumps early from Hough and Baracco, but a hit to the ego is always good, you can’t win every race and expect to get better.  I have confidence those early losses and the lessons learned will serve him well in the post-season races. 

Noah Morrow made #TheLeap during track season.  A 9:33 at Shepherd’s Bluejay Elite led to a 4:20 in the 1600m, which then led to a 3rd place in the D3 3200m.  He’s continued that progression into cross, where he’s notable for legitimately not having a bad race.  As far as my numbers go, his worst race was one in which he broke 16:00. 

Tyler Guggemos, Cal Benjamin, and Sam Peterson have battling it out in Northern Michigan all year.  Sam had the edge early in the year, Tyler has had the upper hand lately, and Cal has seemingly finished second in this triumvirate each time they’ve faced one another. 

Rogan has upheld the Melling tradition (but did he complete the infamous workout?) in leading the Hanover-Horton squad and being King of the Irish Hills.  Rogan hasn’t just stayed in the area, when the Comets traveled to Portage and Bluejay, he was able to defeat many potential All-Staters (Martini, Pruder, etc.).

TUCK COMIN’

Just as Mel Tucker came into the State of Michigan like a wrecking ball, these runners and teams are coming to MIS on a roll:

The Bridgman Bees are back at their old stomping grounds after a year’s absence.  Contact tracing decimated any hope of returning in 2020, and their dear departed Karsyn Stewart was left to race alone.  But they’re back and fresh off a regional victory.  The Fast sisters, Clara and Summer have run their best to close the year and seniors Jane Kaspar and Arie Hackett have been great leaders.

Gianna Hoving’s times of late might not represent major growth, but it’s there.  19:40 on an always tough Possum Hollow course (and a victory over potential D2 All-Staters Zdankiewicz and Koss) paved the way to a 3rd place finish in the loaded Region 27. 

This might not be the glory days when Yami was winning everything in sight, but Caro is still the best team in the Thumb (Yale won Thumb Area but to me they’re more Port Huron than Thumb).  Nearly everyone on the Tigers ran their best race at Thumb Area, particularly Tristan Lovett, and Tyler Miller doubled that up with an excellent regional race.  Expect them to challenge for a Top 10 spot.

Rhett Reif chilled in the low-17’s for much of the year, save for a 16:38 at Otsego Bulldog.  He’s begun to turn it up a notch in these past few weeks with a 16:25 at Little Guys and a 2nd place finish in Region 23, that silver medal coming in front of potential top-30 runners Jacob Walker and Alex Czeiszperger. 

Uncategorized

Division 4 State Preview

Girls Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Girl2nd Girl3rd Girl4th Girl5th Girl6th Girl7th Girl
1Muskegon Western Michigan Christian117132533557387
2Hillsdale Academy16682429495658111
3Kalamazoo Christian17916263251548999
4Rochester Hills Lutheran NW19361920628696110
5Johannesburg-Lewiston20344245486467126
6Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart263722578592113120
7Whitmore Lake315153537107121145170
8Adrian Lenawee Christian34392190104119141157
9Beal City36023367884139146147
10Harbor Beach36528317180155160166
11Allen Park Cabrini366
12Unionville-Sebewaing377
13Royal Oak Shrine382
14Fowler384
15Lansing Christian393
16Leland408
17Pittsford423
18The Potter’s House433
19Lake Leelanau St. Mary444
20Frankfort455
21Battle Creek St. Philip456
22Ubly460
23Petoskey St. Michael469
24St. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic489
25Mendon495
26Vestaburg536
27Gaylord St. Mary572

Muskegon Western Michigan Christian vaulted into the top spot in the D4 Girls Rankings following.  Abby VanderKooi was her usual self and we saw a glimpse of her sister, Grace VanderKooi.  WMC has always had a solid squad behind Abby, but never quite enough depth to make a state title contender.  Grace hasn’t run since Portage, but her name is listed in the entries.  For these projections, I feel it necessary to include runners listed in the entries.  If she runs, they’re the favorite.  If not, they still have a great chance!

Kalamazoo Christian is your defending champ and just like last year, they get it done by their outstanding pack.  At the SAC Championship, the Comets put 5 girls under 21:05 en route to a conference title against many D3 foes.

Hillsdale Academy features the same sort of tight-knit racing.  Megan Roberts highlights the bunch, she’s at the front yet again, just another year in her bid for 5 All-State honors.  The Colts are bolstered by 8th grader Ruth Brownlee and are fresh off winning the Class D crown over fellow top-10 team, Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart

Johannesburg-Lewiston is ready to pounce onto the podium in the case of a Grace VanderKooi absence.  Regional week saw the continued emergence of Madalyn Agren.  Madalyn kept showing last winter and is reaping the rewards of that training. 

Rochester Hills Lutheran Northwest is about as battle-tested as they come.  The Crusaders won the MIAC over Whitmore Lake and captured the Region 36 crown over Allen Park Cabrini, Royal Oak Shrine, and a perennial power, Clarkston Everest Collegiate.

Girls Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Abby VanderKooiMuskegon Western Michigan Christian160.8
212Makenna ScottMaple City Glen Lake142.2
310Aiden HarrandBuckley141.7
49Presley AllenMendon140.3
59Grace VanderKooiMuskegon Western Michigan Christian138.3
611Adelaida GaschoJohannesburg-Lewiston125.8
710Ava TeedAllen Park Cabrini124.0
811Erika Van LotonHuron Valley Lutheran122.3
911Mackenzie LemkeRochester Hills Lutheran NW120.2
1010Amelia ThompsonBig Rapids Crossroads Academy117.6
1112Nicole OlivieriMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart115.3
1211Megan RobertsHillsdale Academy114.8
139Izzy BrooksAdrian Lenawee Christian114.3
149Eliza KeithAuburn Hills Oakland Christian111.8
1510Ivy AndreasThe Potter’s House111.8
169Ava MallarPittsford111.0
1711Ashlyn KephartLansing Christian109.9
189Natalie GibbsBirmingham Roeper104.4
1910Miriam MurrellGaylord St. Mary104.3
2010Brooke SmithPittsford102.5
2110Natalie MeadowsWhitmore Lake101.9
229Alaina KloosterKalamazoo Christian101.7
2311Maze GusaUbly101.5
2412Adrianne RectorDansville100.6
2512Taylor MyersFrankfort99.2
2610Abby RiceRochester Hills Lutheran NW97.9
2711Madeleine BargeRochester Hills Lutheran NW97.6
2811Dani VanLenteTekonsha97.1
2912Elizabeth ScharerAdrian Lenawee Christian97.0
3012Riley HackerMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart96.6
3111Maia RomeynEllsworth95.5
3211Kaylee LockeBeal City95.2
339Ella WaltonHillsdale Academy94.8
3411Brianna ZuidemaMuskegon Western Michigan Christian94.6
3511Aubrey HerderKalamazoo Christian93.1
3611Petra FooteGrand Traverse Academy92.9
3711Helana NapiorkowskiAustin Catholic92.9
3810Allison GlendeningSt. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic92.9
3912Paige AndersonHarbor Beach92.8
408Ruth BrownleeHillsdale Academy92.0
419Jane MantheiPetoskey St. Michael91.4
4210Gracy WalkerKingston90.9
439Reece WrubleHarbor Beach90.4
4411Annika SytsmaKalamazoo Christian90.4
4512Ava RotmanMuskegon Western Michigan Christian90.0
4611Sydney Van EsKalamazoo Hackett89.7
479Ella KnudsenLeland89.4
4811Brooke CravenWhitmore Lake88.9
4910Jessie RossFairview88.7
5012Rachal WeberBeal City88.3

Not much needs to be said about Abby VanderKooi.  Twice 3rd place at FootLocker, 3-time State Champ.  She suffered a toe injury in track that hampered her ability to grab multiple titles and it appears she’s still recovering from that.  And by recovering, I mean she’s the clear favorite.

Makenna Scott is your defending champ.  She burst through given the opportunity last year when many succumbed to the unseasonable heat.  Her steady style and even pace was a benefit compared to the masses who were redlining.  She’s been battling all season with Aiden Harrand.  It’s amazing to me how there’s these two talents in the same conference, in two tiny schools, going head to head seven times this year.  The count right now is Makenna 4, Aiden 3.  I am not attempting to create a rivalry here, I sense a mutual respect between the two, and constant drive to push one another. 

Presley Allen has been a middle school phenom that’s panned out.  The pride of Mendon, when she’s pushed, she can really rip it.  Mid-18’s at Portage and Otsego, along with a 19:01 on a wet day at Jackson.

Boys Team

PlaceTeamScore1st Boy2nd Boy3rd Boy4th Boy5th Boy6th Boy7th Boy
1Johannesburg-Lewiston10181115254284111
2Hillsdale Academy1536273238505761
3Concord171310184199172173
4Breckenridge219229356093160164
5Kalamazoo Christian2429214064108116143
6Petoskey St. Michael2555162896110130175
7Whitmore Lake2683045546277112156
8Riverview Gabriel Richard2831243557598155169
9Carson City-Crystal2901346657888101126
10Dansville2917334868135138
11The Potter’s House312
12Adrian Lenawee Christian319
13Royal Oak Shrine324
14Mason County Eastern363
15Gobles383
16White Cloud385
17Lutheran Westland392
18Muskegon Western Michigan Christian412
19Frankfort416
20Unionville-Sebewaing428
21Battle Creek St. Philip477
22Deckerville524
23Mayville540
24Fairview549
25Hale561
26Coleman579
27Eau Claire641

With a shocker at Pete Moss, Johannesburg-Lewiston vaulted to the front of the rankings.  Coach Marcum puts an emphasis on a few meets a year, one of those being a good opener, and boy did the Cardinals put the state on notice.  They have firepower up front with Malaki Gascho, Jacob Wartenberg, and Blake Fox all likely to hit All-State status.  But their 4th and 5th aren’t bad either, both are rated as the best 4th and 5th in the field. 

Concord put a scare into Johannesburg-Lewiston at Portage, finishing a mere 14 points back.  Jonathon Mikovits has been a mainstay, three-time All-Stater.  Joe Bulko and Adair Artis are running the best that I’ve seen them run and the Yellowjackets are strong through 4 runners.  If they can find a 5, they’re a good bet to finish in the Top 2.

If not, Hillsdale Academy is sitting right there.  Hillsdale has been ranked #2 for the majority of championship season, mainly based on two factors – their outstanding race at Holly earlier in the year and their 8th grade addition, Grayson Rorick.  The Colts also have the added benefit of having the strongest 6th and 7th runners in the race, they can absorb a subpar effort, but also can be a bit more aggressive given quality depth to fall back on.

Boys Individual

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
111Lezawe OsterinkThe Potter’s House197.8
212Mason SumnerBreckenridge195.3
312Jonathan MikovitsConcord187.2
412Brock LynchMt. Pleasant Sacred Heart186.0
512Nile DeversGobles183.7
612Samuel PagaPetoskey St. Michael182.7
712Emil SchlueterHillsdale Academy180.7
89Theodore DavisDansville178.8
912Nathan LottWebberville178.7
1010Malaki GaschoJohannesburg-Lewiston178.2
1112Isaac BosKalamazoo Christian178.0
1212Joe BulkoConcord177.0
1311Jacob WartenbergJohannesburg-Lewiston176.7
1411Tyler BaysReading174.9
1511Alex MeszarosRiverview Gabriel Richard174.4
1612Ashton KeifferCarson City-Crystal174.4
1712Ty PavlichekUnionville-Sebewaing173.8
1810Blake FoxJohannesburg-Lewiston173.7
1910Owen PattonVestaburg172.9
2010Utah GusaUbly172.2
2111Macartan MoorePetoskey St. Michael170.6
2210Alex WantyHale170.4
2311Adair ArtisConcord169.5
2412Logan JohnsonNovi Christian Academy168.8
2512Isaiah BeiterLawrence168.5
2612Jonah CeroneRoyal Oak Shrine168.4
2711Logan SwineyThe Potter’s House167.5
2811Isaac BogardKalamazoo Christian167.3
2912Ethan McFarlandAuburn Hills Oakland Christian166.9
3011Lars HuffmanMackinaw City166.8
3111Dakota DykhuisMontabella166.1
3211Christopher RusselburgAllen Park Cabrini165.7
3311Ethan GreenKingston165.3
3412Noah HaskellColeman165.2
3511Nate WingMason County Eastern164.9
3611Evan SuydamPetersburg-Summerfield164.0
3711Caleb HowardWebberville163.2
3810Luke SpragueBattle Creek St. Philip162.1
3911Kade SpahrPittsford162.0
4012Toby HallJohannesburg-Lewiston161.3
419Tom ShaferLutheran Westland160.0
4212Jonas LanserMcBain Northern Michigan Christian159.9
4310Thomas HolmHillsdale Academy159.9
4410Kaden ForwardBear Lake-Onekama159.9
4510Aiden FitchettDryden159.8
4611Zachary MaendelPetoskey St. Michael159.8
4710Sawyer StonemanBreckenridge159.7
4812Cole RinnaWhitmore Lake159.7
4911Jackson KulawiakBuckley159.6
5011Bryson BachelderMorenci159.5

Lezawe Osterink was all ready to show us what he had in 2020, then he was sidelined for the State Meet.  We’re blessed that last year was his sophomore year and we’ll have plenty of opportunities to see his prowess.  In the opportunities we’ve seen thus far, we’ve seen him make the most of it.  This spring, he raced to a 9:41 at Shepherd’s Bluejay Elite 3200m, then followed that up with a 5th place finish in the D4 3200m.  His 2021 cross campaign has been domination, pure and simple.  All victories with multiple sub-16 efforts to boot.  His most impressive effort was a 15:42 at Portage, laying to waste a great D4 field filled with potential All-State athletes.

Never underestimate the heart of a champion.  Mason Sumner is a champion and will always be one.  He won here in 2019, his team won here in 2019, and he’s got a special someone watching over him.  When he’s had to run fast, he’s gotten after it, with 16:0x efforts at Happy Acres, Saranac, and Bluejay.

TUCK COMIN’

Just as Mel Tucker came into the State of Michigan like a wrecking ball, these runners and teams are coming to MIS on a roll:

Whitmore Lake Girls: Natalie Meadows brings the firepower up front, fresh off her regional (and first ever) win.  Brooke Craven and Lauren Price have experience running at MIS.  Isabella Nelson-Daniels and Savannah Pomorski both finished much higher than expected at the Webberville Regional.  The Trojans made easy work of a region that should come out to be fairly strong – Lansing Christian and Fowler are both expected to be in the top-15 at State.

Nicole Olivieri: The sprint star (and maybe 800m star, just sayin’) running cross for the first time as a senior.  After taking a few races to find her groove, she’s moved to the front of the Sacred Heart pack.  20:58 at John Bruder turned to a 20:08 and now two consecutive sub-20’s.  She’s still learning how to push herself in the latter stages of races, and she should have plenty of bodies to go after on Saturday.

Riverview Gabriel Richard Boys: Gabriel Richard emerged victorious from one of the tougher regions on the D4 side.  No, it wasn’t the three-team strength of Region 33 or 34, but 36 had the ringer of Shrine, Lutheran Westland, Plymouth Christian Academy, and a disappointed Cardinal Mooney team (there were some results issues – Cardinal Mooney initially thought they were in). In particular, John Borowicz and Johnny Benko ran above expectation, while Alex Meszaros nabbed first, leading the way through an abnormally slow Chandler Park course.

Brock Lynch, Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart: Sorry, I can’t help it with two Sacred Heart Irish in this section.  2021 and in particular, October, has been winning season for Brock.  Mid-season, a few people doubted his inclusion in D4’s top-10, he’s more than silenced his critics.  16:48 at Portage, easily a sub-17:00 equivalent performance at Freeland, then three straight victories.  One of those victories was over Sumner, his Class D victory over Schlueter and Lott, and the MSAC one over Ashton Keiffer.  All of those names are accomplished and will be in the mix in three days. At the close of his career, Brock has made a major move to etch his name into Sacred Heart lore.