We’re out of Portage, out of the bigger area meets (Oakland and Wayne County), now onto more of championship season. Many of the top teams competed in a meaningful meet and we’re better able to discern their intentions for this final month of the season.
The WEEK 3 RANKINGS contained the best explanation of the year, so click there. But I’ll add another sentence of emphasis: although this past weekend’s meets weigh the largest, they are not the end all be all, these are cumulative.
We’re out of Portage, out of the bigger area meets (Oakland and Wayne County), now onto more of championship season. Many of the top teams competed in a meaningful meet and we’re better able to discern their intentions for this final month of the season.
The WEEK 3 RANKINGS contained the best explanation of the year, so click there. But I’ll add another sentence of emphasis: although this past weekend’s meets weigh the largest, they are not the end all be all, these are cumulative.
Portage was illuminating, mostly in the fact of Jenison’s increased candidacy for the second podium spot and perhaps, even a win. Jacob Tanner highlighted just how close this race was, a few seconds improvement or a few seconds added in the final month, both scenarios could play a pivotal role in deciding a state title. For ranking purposes, the Wildcats moved up a spot and gained 50 points on Northville. Grand Haven also had a superb day, moving past two higher-ranked teams to nearly grab 3rd.
Clarkston and Livonia Churchill won Oakland and Wayne Counties, neither having a particularly great day.
Looking Forward
Sorta that odd week between huge meets and conference meets. I call it County Week here, as the usual progression is County, Conference, Regional, State. But anyhow, Willow is home to the River Rat Open, a regional preview for many western suburb teams and a great spot to gain confidence before championships truly begin. Saline will be there, the Hornets quietly hanging in there with their young group, Canton will look to rebound after a Wayne County defeat.
On Friday night, Livonia Churchill has Livonia bragging rights to claim. Similar to Willow is the ultra-quick South course at Hudson Mills, where Brighton will look to rip some PRs.
Top 27
Rank
Team
Score
Region
Top 5 Avg.
Last Week
1
Northville
93
6
204.1
1
2
Jenison
224
1
199.8
3
3
Brighton
259
4
197.1
2
4
Canton
381
6
195.5
4
5
Livonia Churchill
395
6
194.7
5
6
Saline
396
5
192.9
6
7
Clarkston
410
8
193.3
7
8
Grand Haven
439
1
194.2
9
9
Traverse City Central
501
2
191.0
10
10
Kalamazoo Central
519
3
190.2
8
11
Portage Central
539
3
189.5
12
12
Ann Arbor Pioneer
544
5
194.4
11
13
Oxford
577
8
191.6
14
14
East Kentwood
577
3
190.0
13
15
Forest Hills Central
605
3
189.5
15
16
Plymouth
615
6
189.1
16
17
Utica
679
9
188.3
17
18
White Lake Lakeland
725
7
185.3
23
19
Macomb Dakota
741
9
186.1
18
20
Midland
745
2
185.6
20
21
Okemos
747
2
185.8
21
22
Rockford
774
1
184.5
19
23
Highland-Milford
804
7
188.1
22
24
Traverse City West
814
2
184.6
24
25
Salem
843
6
183.3
26
26
Caledonia
910
3
183.1
25
27
Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
939
3
184.2
45
Recap
I think Romeo unequivocally answered the call. Five girls in the top-15, all scorers under 18:35. You could take out Guaresimo and Annie, Romeo still would’ve won.
Where other teams faltered in the final miles, Saline and Ann Arbor Pioneer were able to move up. Staton, Gady, and Schlack found bodies to pass, each moving up 10+ places throughout the race. Brighton may have finished 5th, but the Bulldogs were closer to the top-4 than projected, enough to move up a spot here.
More and more, it’s appearing that Rochester is a contender for a top-5 placing at MIS. Experienced, battle-tested senior up front. Raw, yet wise junior slightly behind her. And then different girls who step up in different weeks. At Oakland County, the Falcons comfortably cruised to a victory.
Looking Forward
The Romeo squad attained a perfect score in all of my Macomb County simulations. Even in an appropriate season for spooky events, that’s scary. We’ll see if Brighton and Saline keep the momentum rolling at Gabriel Richard and River Rat Open.
Mentioned in the D2 rankings was a battle between DeWitt and Okemos at Greater Lansing. I pointed out DeWitt’s patient racing as an advantage, now I’ll tell you that Okemos halved DeWitt’s score last year, ravaging Ledge Meadows en route to a 58-point victory.
Top 27
Rank
Team
Score
Region
Top 5 Avg.
Last Week
1
Romeo
81
9
151.2
1
2
Holland West Ottawa
140
1
148.6
2
3
Saline
216
5
140.7
3
4
Brighton
273
4
136.3
5
5
Ann Arbor Pioneer
283
5
143.3
4
6
Rockford
341
1
134.0
6
7
Okemos
398
2
133.9
7
8
Rochester
427
8
133.0
9
9
Traverse City West
462
2
128.1
8
10
Grand Haven
513
1
127.6
10
11
Portage Central
516
3
126.6
11
12
Midland Dow
537
2
132.3
12
13
Northville
545
6
124.3
13
14
Jenison
585
1
123.3
14
15
Ann Arbor Skyline
592
4
123.2
19
16
Utica
608
9
123.1
15
17
White Lake Lakeland
618
7
122.3
16
18
Dexter
676
4
119.9
17
19
Hartland
677
4
120.3
18
20
Rochester Adams
718
8
119.4
20
21
Macomb Dakota
788
9
116.0
21
22
Clarkston
789
8
116.4
23
23
Hudsonville
816
1
115.3
22
24
Bay City Western
841
2
115.9
24
25
Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
843
3
114.2
26
26
Traverse City Central
881
2
112.8
25
27
Ann Arbor Huron
887
6
114.2
27
Individual Rankings
Recap
Seemingly, everyone had a tough day at Willow save for one – Aidan Pengelly. The Cobra junior ran away with a 13-second victory, winning his first Wayne County title.
Running away was what Kyle O’Rourke did in the second mile at Possum Hollow, opening up a sizable gap on the field, challenging the course record in an Oakland County win.
Kamari Ronfeldt summoned a sprint at the end in a battle with Seth Conner. The two pulled away from the field early, Conner attempted to pull away mid-race, but Kamari hung tough and had just enough on the long finishing stretch. Surely, we’ll see these two lock heads once again, perhaps joined by a few more.
Looking Forward
Many weekends off in anticipation of the finishing stretch, but a matchup we haven’t yet seen. Heading east on 94 is Kalamazoo Hackett’s big gun, Marek Butkiewicz. Heading west towards Dexter is Ann Arbor Pioneer. Butkiewicz has been dominating D4 races without much of a test, Kamari Ronfeldt, the wise youngster, is coming off Portage’s emotional high.
On the quick Willow grounds, we’ll witness Kyle O’Rourke and Aidan Pengelly. Pengelly has raced there on many occasions, but the sledding hill won’t be too daunting compared to the Milford mountains.
Top 50
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
CW Rating
1
11
Kyle O’Rourke
Highland-Milford
216.5
2
10
Kamari Ronfeldt
Ann Arbor Pioneer
215.4
3
12
Seth Conner
Jenison
213.1
4
10
Jack MacGregor
Howell
212.7
5
12
Carter Livermore
Grandville
212.6
6
11
Aiden Pengelly
Canton
212.3
7
12
Ethan Powell
Northville
209.7
8
12
Alexander McArthur
Oxford
207.8
9
12
Joseph Rohmfeld
Livonia Churchill
207.3
10
12
Taye Levenson
Bloomfield Hills
207.2
11
11
Jackson Lam
Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
206.4
12
11
Beckett Crooks
Ann Arbor Pioneer
206.0
13
11
Ben Hartigan
Northville
205.8
14
10
Luka Hammond
Grand Haven
205.2
15
12
Kian Schneeweis
Troy
204.7
16
12
Tyler Brock
Brighton
204.0
17
10
Caden Livermore
Grandville
203.8
18
12
Nick Barretto
Northville
203.5
19
11
Ryan Barnes
Clarkston
203.3
20
12
Ben Eisnor
Grand Haven
202.8
21
12
James Cusick
Oxford
202.0
22
11
Ian Morgan
Okemos
201.7
23
10
Ben Romero
Forest Hills Central
201.1
24
12
Lucas LaMilza
Macomb Dakota
201.1
25
12
Julian Linebaugh
Dexter
200.9
26
12
Ishaan Kundapur
Northville
200.9
27
11
Aron Gal
Grand Haven
200.6
28
12
Sawyer McCarthy
Forest Hills Central
200.6
29
10
Brandon Cloud
Northville
200.5
30
12
Parker Strelecki
Jenison
200.5
31
12
Chase Wolters
Livonia Churchill
200.1
32
11
Harper Wesley
Utica
199.9
33
11
Caleb Keller
Traverse City Central
199.8
34
12
Mason Lucas
Jenison
199.6
35
12
Cayden DeGrendel
Clarkston
199.0
36
12
Kort Thompson
Caledonia
198.9
37
12
James Latstetter
Flushing
198.7
38
12
Evan Nickoles
East Kentwood
198.5
39
10
Liam Wierzba
Traverse City West
198.1
40
12
Luke Morehouse
Utica
197.8
41
11
Benjamin Rottier
Grand Ledge
197.8
42
12
Lucas Wood
Howell
197.8
43
10
Blake Kulesza
Brighton
197.7
44
12
Isaac Tanis
East Kentwood
197.5
45
12
Matthew Schwartz
Jenison
197.5
46
12
Spencer Parker
Portage Central
197.3
47
12
Mitchell Jeruzal
Byron Center
197.2
48
12
Jack Chadwick
Plymouth
197.1
49
11
Brennan LaRusso
Saline
197.0
50
12
Malcolm Speigle
Livonia Churchill
197.0
Recap
Nearly 20 seconds at one, 35 at two, a clean 40 at the finish. Another stupendous victory for Helen Sachs. The Panther senior is clearly the class of D1 at this point. The one questions is – who will come in behind her?
Natasza Dudek ran an impressive race in second. All alone, she trailed Sachs, yet was able to hold off any impending kick from the rest of the field. Natalia Guaresimo tried to close, but ran out of real estate.
No one could close on Lucy Cook, a familiar veteran on the Possum Hollow course. A four-time Oakland County champion, Cook sprinted down the first hill and left the field in her dust. The script is playing out as it commonly has, usually ending in a top finish at MIS.
Looking Forward
With Romeo projected to score a perfect 15 at Macomb County, one of the Bulldog girls is predicted to win. Natalia Guaresimo has been running better than anyone, Annie Hrabovsky won last year, maybe another will spring an upset or maybe they’ll all run together? It may not be together, but we’ll likely see a sea of purple up front at River Rat. Hopefully, we’ll see a rebound from Rachel Smith, who could be contending with Ava Schafer for Greater Lansing.