Category: Uncategorized

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 43 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 1

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Rockford – mainly aided by sophomore Josiah Dierksen, who’s rattled off three sub-17’s thus far this season.

Caden Livermore – following closely behind his brother’s footsteps. Two top-10’s at both OK Red Jamborees and he absolutely sent a 15:41 at Jackson.

Team

Rank	Team	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Jenison	37	199.9	2
2	Grand Haven	63	192.6	8
3	Rockford	84	185.6	14
4	Grandville	118	184.5
5	Holland West Ottawa	123	178.8
6	Zeeland West	148	176.3
7	Hudsonville	180	171.0
8	Grand Rapids Northview	248	152.7
9	Greenville	264	149.1
10	Grand Rapids Union	307	139.5
11	Muskegon Reeths-Puffer	340	128.6
12	Muskegon Mona Shores	347	128.7
13	Wyoming	366	118.0
14	Muskegon	459	62.5

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	12	Carter Livermore	Grandville	212.6
2	12	Seth Conner	Jenison	212.4
3	10	Luka Hammond	Grand Haven	204.9
4	12	Parker Strelecki	Jenison	201.9
5	12	Ben Eisnor	Grand Haven	201.5
6	12	Mason Lucas	Jenison	199.6
7	11	Aron Gal	Grand Haven	198.8
8	10	Caden Livermore	Grandville	198.2
9	12	Matthew Schwartz	Jenison	197.4
10	12	Noah Schuette	Rockford	192.4
11	11	Robert Dodd	Zeeland West	190.3
12	11	Caleb TeBrake	Grand Rapids Northview	190.2
13	11	Preston VanOeffelen	Greenville	189.1
14	11	Keagan Smith	Zeeland West	188.7
15	10	Josiah Derksen	Rockford	188.4
16	11	Nolan Wenglikowski	Jenison	188.0
17	11	Hayden Lafferty	Rockford	185.6
18	10	Bradley Smies	Hudsonville	184.9
19	12	Levi Jongekryg	Holland West Ottawa	183.6
20	12	Nathan Loser	Rockford	181.5
21	12	Carson Berko	Grand Haven	181.4
22	9	Luke Bultman	Rockford	180.2
23	11	Michael Dummer	Holland West Ottawa	180.1
24	11	Jake Follett	Holland West Ottawa	179.1
25	12	Dominic Otto	Jenison	177.0

Region 2

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Traverse City West – beneficiaries of the new Aidan Simrau. He’s been a minute faster (or close to a minute) at Pete Moss and Cadillac. Three sub-17’s for Simrau, including a 16:40 personal best this past week.

Alexander Allen – Just notched the first win of his career and I’m sure there’ll be many to come. The Alpena freshman has already raced to a sub-16 and he’s shown he’s not afraid of competition, placing 4^th at Northwood and 9^th at Spartan.

Team

Rank	Team	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Traverse City Central	60	189.5	11
2	Midland	83	185.8	16
3	Traverse City West	108	182.7	23
4	Grand Ledge	123	180.4
5	Okemos	127	180.3
6	Saginaw Heritage	150	178.2
7	Midland Dow	168	174.4
8	Bay City Western	221	163.2
9	Alpena	224	168.8
10	Mt. Pleasant	229	167.4
11	Holt	308	153.9
12	East Lansing	311	152.6
13	Lansing Everett	425	117.8
14	Bay City Central	443	105.5

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	10	Liam Wierzba	Traverse City West	199.7
2	11	Ian Morgan	Okemos	199.1
3	11	Caleb Keller	Traverse City Central	198.3
4	11	John Blaskowski	Saginaw Heritage	196.8
5	11	Benjamin Rottier	Grand Ledge	196.3
6	9	Alexander Allen	Alpena	194.6
7	11	Jack Steen	Traverse City Central	194.5
8	11	Andrew Worsley	Midland	192.8
9	12	Ian Boss	Traverse City Central	191.5
10	10	Cameron Cochran	Midland	191.2
11	12	Andrew Kaczmarczyk	Bay City Western	190.0
12	11	Logan Bellinger	Midland	189.5
13	12	Logan Gehoski	Bay City Western	188.8
14	12	Sam Scott	Midland Dow	185.0
15	12	Lawrence Cubitt	Traverse City Central	184.5
16	11	Aidan Simrau	Traverse City West	184.1
17	12	Leyton Minuth	Midland Dow	183.5
18	11	Hayden Murray	Traverse City West	183.2
19	10	Matthew Wortley	Saginaw Heritage	183.0
20	12	Nathan Beemer	Okemos	182.8
21	12	Spencer Porritt	Midland	181.1
22	9	Rylen Richey	Grand Ledge	180.3
23	11	Liam Preisser	East Lansing	179.6
24	10	Simon Shutt	Okemos	179.1
25	9	Johnathan Elsea	Mt. Pleasant	179.1

Region 3

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Portage Central – and you can thank Tristan Zhang, who just keeps going lower and lower. A 16:57 opener at home had many take notice. Since then, he’s earned a win in the first SMAC West Jamboree and lowered that PR to 16:19.

Marshall Huhn – during track, there were signs we’d see a little improvement, but nothing to this degree. Huhn has already dropped more than 50 sec. from his freshman best.

Team

Rank	Team	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	East Kentwood	83	191.1	9
2	Portage Central	90	189.0	10
3	Forest Hills Central	114	187.1	17
4	Kalamazoo Central	128	185.2	21
5	Caledonia	146	181.9	24
6	Lowell	149	183.0	26
7	Forest Hills Northern	180	178.0
8	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	191	179.0
9	Battle Creek Lakeview	208	174.7
10	Byron Center	232	172.9
11	Portage Northern	253	169.9
12	Mattawan	255	167.2
13	Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills	284	161.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	11	Jackson Lam	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	206.1
2	12	Evan Nickoles	East Kentwood	202.4
3	10	Ben Romero	Forest Hills Central	201.2
4	11	Andrew Wright	Kalamazoo Central	199.7
5	12	Isaac Tanis	East Kentwood	198.4
6	11	Cooper Byrne	Lowell	198.2
7	12	Mitchell Jeruzal	Byron Center	197.6
8	12	Spencer Parker	Portage Central	197.4
9	10	Marshall Huhn	Lowell	197.1
10	12	Sawyer McCarthy	Forest Hills Central	195.8
11	12	Kort Thompson	Caledonia	195.7
12	12	Joseph Spada	Kalamazoo Central	195.1
13	11	Owen Fisher	Mattawan	193.5
14	10	Justin Johnson	East Kentwood	192.7
15	12	Spencer Porter	Forest Hills Northern	190.6
16	10	Tristan Zhang	Portage Central	190.1
17	9	Marcus Essling	Portage Central	189.3
18	11	Ty Billings	Kalamazoo Central	188.2
19	12	Jacob Sanford	Forest Hills Central	188.1
20	11	Marcel Stork	Mattawan	187.9
21	10	Matii Tarekegn	East Kentwood	187.6
22	10	Memphis Connor	Byron Center	187.4
23	11	Nicolas Morales-Sanchez	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	186.5
24	11	Owen Gifford	Portage Central	184.4
25	11	Logan Westgate	Portage Central	184.0

Region 4

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Ann Arbor Skyline – hittin’ us with their depth. At Jackson, the Eagles put 8 boys under 17:30. When filtering out for Region 4 teams, Skyline placed 2^nd of 5.

Broden Ladd – in any FML meet for his freshman year, he was a sure bet to place over 20^th place. Through two this time around, two top-10 finishes. The times have come too, with a 16:56 in the heat at Holly and a 16:49 after traveling up to Cadillac.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Brighton	31	197.5	3
2	Dexter	101	183.5	25
3	Ann Arbor Skyline	111	177.9
4	Howell	114	184.8
5	Davison	145	173.9
6	Holly	171	172.1
7	Grand Blanc	198	167.2
8	Hartland	201	167.4
9	Fenton	212	166.4
10	Flushing	271	155.4
11	Lapeer	298	148.7
12	Swartz Creek	338	135.6
13	Jackson	343	131.4

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	10	Jack MacGregor	Howell	212.6
2	12	Tyler Brock	Brighton	203.2
3	12	Julian Linebaugh	Dexter	202.9
4	10	Blake Kulesza	Brighton	198.6
5	12	Lucas Wood	Howell	197.8
6	12	Tyler Outlaw	Brighton	197.3
7	12	James Latstetter	Flushing	195.7
8	11	Zach Wyderko	Brighton	195.1
9	12	Caleb Snyder	Dexter	194.8
10	9	Gavin Katic	Fenton	194.3
11	12	Brady Millington	Brighton	193.2
12	12	Jacob Essenmacher	Lapeer	190.6
13	10	Broden Ladd	Holly	186.3
14	12	Drake Wallace	Howell	184.2
15	12	Luke Meyer	Davison	182.5
16	11	Bruno Cifaldi	Ann Arbor Skyline	181.2
17	10	Trevor Murphy	Holly	181.1
18	11	Mitchell Cory	Brighton	180.6
19	10	Nicholas Yuan	Ann Arbor Skyline	180.0
20	11	Braden Shiposh	Hartland	178.7
21	11	Noah Linstrom	Davison	178.4
22	10	Matthew Guikema	Ann Arbor Skyline	178.2
23	10	Coen Hill	Dexter	177.3
24	12	Elijah Forbord	Brighton	176.9
25	12	Jack Robichaud	Ann Arbor Skyline	176.2

Region 5

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Mourad Algahmi – Alzindani and Schell are the names in the history books, perhaps in a few years we’ll add Algahmi? The freshman already has a win under his belt to go with his 16:41 personal best.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Saline	28	192.0	6
2	Temperance Bedford	81	178.8
3	Ann Arbor Pioneer	83	181.9
4	Brownstown Woodhaven	90	178.3
5	Monroe	136	169.3
6	Dearborn	197	153.6
7	Gibraltar Carlson	210	145.7
8	Allen Park	234	141.0
9	Wyandotte Roosevelt	247	134.4
10	Dearborn Edsel Ford	307	116.5
11	Ypsilanti Lincoln	342	102.4
12	Southgate Anderson	345	95.7
13	Dearborn Fordson	368	77.2
14	Lincoln Park	369	88.7
15	Belleville	397	74.1

Individual

(YES, there is a certain sophomore that isn’t listed here because he debuted this week. He’ll move Pioneer up in the team standings. Glad things are looking up over on Stadium & Main)

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	11	Beckett Crooks	Ann Arbor Pioneer	205.0
2	10	Jacob Szalay	Saline	194.9
3	11	Pierce Scheffler	Brownstown Woodhaven	194.8
4	10	Cameron Varner	Temperance Bedford	194.1
5	11	Brennan LaRusso	Saline	193.3
6	12	Saman Meshinchi	Saline	192.4
7	12	Collin Eckermann	Saline	189.8
8	9	Wesley Rogan	Saline	189.6
9	9	Mourad Algahmi	Dearborn Fordson	189.2
10	11	Theo Sacks-Thomas	Ann Arbor Pioneer	188.0
11	10	John (Jack) Klein	Saline	187.7
12	12	Myles Bray	Monroe	183.8
13	11	Alex Vazquez	Brownstown Woodhaven	181.1
14	10	Carlos Basulto	Saline	180.7
15	12	Nicholas (Nick) Balla	Temperance Bedford	179.8
16	11	Quinn Davis	Ann Arbor Pioneer	179.2
17	10	Vincent Jones	Brownstown Woodhaven	179.2
18	11	Parker Bomia-Laberdee	Monroe	178.6
19	12	Jordan Bunce	Temperance Bedford	175.6
20	10	Walker Ledbetter	Ann Arbor Pioneer	175.0
21	12	Nicholas Balla	Temperance Bedford	172.5
22	11	Dane Hieronimus	Temperance Bedford	171.9
23	9	Jack Dunwoody	Gibraltar Carlson	171.7
24	11	Jason Anderson	Dearborn	170.7
25	10	Noah Amori	Wyandotte Roosevelt	169.3

Region 6

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jack Hanner – with the impressive strength of the top teams, you’ll have to go back a distance to find the potential individual qualifiers. Hanner could be one of them, moving from a kid who largely ran above 18 to one dropping a 16:16 at Jackson.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Northville	23	204.6	1
2	Canton	68	196.5	4
3	Livonia Churchill	73	192.9	7
4	Plymouth	96	188.8	13
5	Salem	129	182.1	22
6	Ann Arbor Huron	150	180.0
7	Livonia Stevenson	244	156.3
8	Farmington	247	155.7
9	Detroit U-D Jesuit	275	149.5
10	Detroit Renaissance	311	140.3
11	Wayne Memorial	339	125.7
12	Livonia Franklin	340	127.5
13	Westland John Glenn	365	109.7
14	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	437	83.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	11	Aiden Pengelly	Canton	213.2
2	12	Ethan Powell	Northville	210.5
3	11	Ben Hartigan	Northville	206.0
4	12	Joseph Rohmfeld	Livonia Churchill	205.1
5	12	Nick Barretto	Northville	204.1
6	12	Ishaan Kundapur	Northville	201.7
7	10	Brandon Cloud	Northville	200.7
8	12	Chase Wolters	Livonia Churchill	199.7
9	12	Jack Chadwick	Plymouth	197.0
10	12	Malcolm Speigle	Livonia Churchill	196.9
11	11	Lucas LaPointe	Plymouth	196.8
12	11	Ryan Stojov	Northville	196.4
13	11	Steven Dusseau	Canton	196.2
14	11	Ethan Hertza	Northville	196.0
15	12	Clark Madden	Canton	195.6
16	12	Walker Brose	Ann Arbor Huron	195.5
17	12	Ben Clark	Canton	192.4
18	12	Ben Mussen	Plymouth	191.0
19	10	Jack Hanner	Salem	190.7
20	12	Jonah Kraft	Ann Arbor Huron	188.8
21	12	Benjamin Peura	Farmington	186.2
22	12	Cole Triffle	Canton	185.3
23	11	Adrian Clarke	Plymouth	184.6
24	11	Hudson Wojtkowicz	Livonia Churchill	183.3
25	12	Isaac Demetter	Salem	182.9

Region 7

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jacob Kosidlo – a main reason that Lakeland placed 6^th at Jackson. The signs were there, having run considerably faster at Rambling Rock and in his opener. But the signs are one thing, doing it another, and he performed to the tune of a 27 sec. PR.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	White Lake Lakeland	57	183.6	20
2	Highland-Milford	64	187.9	19
3	Detroit Catholic Central	94	178.8
4	Novi	102	176.8
5	Walled Lake Northern	135	172.2
6	Royal Oak	184	166.7
7	South Lyon	194	163.9
8	South Lyon East	225	159.4
9	Beverly Hills Groves	290	148.8
10	West Bloomfield	294	145.2
11	Birmingham Seaholm	327	144.2
12	Brother Rice	355	128.6
13	Berkley	365	133.9
14	North Farmington	370	128.9
15	Walled Lake Central	404	122.2

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	11	Kyle O’Rourke	Highland-Milford	216.5
2	12	Drew Abbott	Detroit Catholic Central	193.7
3	10	Musa Kay	West Bloomfield	188.7
4	11	Bastien Beaubien	Highland-Milford	188.5
5	11	Gavin Johns	White Lake Lakeland	188.2
6	12	Matthew Verellen	White Lake Lakeland	188.1
7	12	Nolan Till	Royal Oak	187.6
8	10	Trevor Baptist	Novi	185.7
9	12	Jacob Kosidlo	White Lake Lakeland	185.5
10	9	Todd Tobin	Highland-Milford	183.3
11	12	Chase Griffith	Walled Lake Northern	182.7
12	10	Briggs Warren	Novi	182.3
13	11	Gavin Tisch	Detroit Catholic Central	180.5
14	12	Thomas Watson	Detroit Catholic Central	180.3
15	12	Michael Nivala	White Lake Lakeland	180.0
16	11	Soma Sato	Novi	179.6
17	10	Nathan Bruss	Walled Lake Northern	177.7
18	11	Nolan Collins	Brother Rice	177.7
19	11	Isaac German	Novi	177.1
20	11	Alex Hamilton	North Farmington	176.8
21	12	Jacob Mack	South Lyon East	176.5
22	12	Ayden McDonald	White Lake Lakeland	176.2
23	11	Aiden LaVictor	Beverly Hills Groves	176.1
24	11	Gannon Wheeler	Highland-Milford	175.6
25	12	Ryan Carrannanto	Highland-Milford	175.5

Region 8

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

David Dubeck – 18:45 to 15:59. I think that’s all I have to say! Larry Adams magic is back at hand.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Clarkston	53	193.5	5
2	Oxford	71	190.6	12
3	Troy	112	182.3
4	Lake Orion	112	182.0	27
5	Rochester	121	179.6
6	Troy Athens	156	173.9
7	Rochester Adams	206	165.4
8	Utica Ford	230	161.5
9	Bloomfield Hills	256	158.1
10	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	279	153.3
11	Sterling Heights Stevenson	286	151.5
12	Warren Cousino	294	144.9
13	Waterford Kettering	377	112.8
14	Waterford Mott	445	67.2
15	Warren Mott	468	76.1
16	Sterling Heights	502	5.1

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	12	Alexander McArthur	Oxford	207.8
2	12	Taye Levenson	Bloomfield Hills	206.7
3	12	Kian Schneeweis	Troy	206.1
4	11	Ryan Barnes	Clarkston	201.5
5	12	James Cusick	Oxford	200.0
6	12	Cayden DeGrendel	Clarkston	198.9
7	11	Max Houvener	Lake Orion	197.0
8	12	Collin McLaughlin	Rochester	193.6
9	11	Dylan Pascoe	Rochester	193.1
10	11	Evan Owczarek	Rochester	192.6
11	11	David Dubeck	Clarkston	192.3
12	12	Maxton Myrand	Oxford	191.6
13	11	Nate Linden	Troy Athens	190.7
14	12	Jaxson Nowik	Clarkston	190.5
15	12	Raymond Lucero II	Lake Orion	187.6
16	12	Blake Peardon	Lake Orion	185.0
17	12	Myles Linden	Troy Athens	184.7
18	12	Joshua Ellingsworth	Clarkston	184.5
19	12	Aiden Baugh	Waterford Kettering	181.7
20	11	Aaron Hemstreet	Warren Cousino	181.0
21	12	Akshat Arora	Troy	180.1
22	9	Cooper McNaughton	Clarkston	178.1
23	11	Cayden Canham	Oxford	178.1
24	12	Kent Wilson	Clarkston	177.3
25	10	Henry Witt	Troy	176.7

Region 9

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Joseph Kaleto – began his career as a kid in the 20’s, moved down to the 18’s and then 17’s. Now he’s a consistent 16-min. figure and having the Cougars hopeful they can capture County and Regional titles.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid Season Rank
1	Macomb Dakota	52	185.8	15
2	Utica	62	185.6	18
3	Romeo	100	177.9
4	Utica Eisenhower	158	166.2
5	Grosse Pointe South	162	166.8
6	Fraser	179	163.5
7	Warren DeLaSalle	216	158.4
8	Anchor Bay	244	147.8
9	Grosse Pointe North	254	149.4
10	L’Anse Creuse North	273	145.6
11	L’Anse Creuse	280	139.1
12	Chippewa Valley	284	143.2
13	Port Huron Northern	291	139.8
14	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	305	135.6
15	Roseville	490	86.7
16	Port Huron	526	59.5
17	Warren Woods Tower	542	52.2
18	Detroit East English	550	22.3

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	MSR
1	12	Lucas LaMilza	Macomb Dakota	199.8
2	11	Harper Wesley	Utica	197.9
3	12	Luke Morehouse	Utica	196.8
4	11	James Brickel	Romeo	190.4
5	12	Jack Martin	Grosse Pointe South	188.3
6	12	Aidan Daly	L’Anse Creuse	186.0
7	11	Joseph Kaleto	Macomb Dakota	185.6
8	11	Anthony Frei	Utica Eisenhower	185.6
9	12	Gavin Frandle	Utica	185.2
10	11	Lance Edghill	Fraser	185.0
11	11	Luke Allen	Romeo	183.5
12	11	Andrew Scheloske	Macomb Dakota	183.2
13	12	Greg Vogt	Anchor Bay	181.4
14	11	Charlie Curtis	Utica	181.3
15	11	Oliver Davis	Macomb Dakota	180.6
16	12	Colden Gray	Utica Eisenhower	179.9
17	12	Noah Redman	Macomb Dakota	179.6
18	12	Jensen McCutcheon	St. Clair Shores Lakeview	178.4
19	9	Xavier Solgot	L’Anse Creuse North	178.3
20	12	Alex Habarth	L’Anse Creuse	178.0
21	11	Jacob Giovannini	Macomb Dakota	178.0
22	11	Malcolm Richardson	Warren DeLaSalle	177.1
23	11	Aaron Osterman	Anchor Bay	176.4
24	12	Tethyan McKenzie	Grosse Pointe South	175.5
25	11	Nathan Kafoury	Warren DeLaSalle	175.2

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 42 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 10

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Mia May – had a very good close to her freshman track campaign, running under 5:30 in the 1600m. Has continued the momentum into cross, now knocking on the door of sub-19.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Cadillac	84	107.3	16
2	Ludington	89	108.2	18
3	Spring Lake	90	104.5	15
4	Cedar Springs	144	87.8
5	Fruitport	154	84.5
6	Petoskey	171	80.7
7	Gladwin	181	79.6
8	Fremont	191	72.7
9	Whitehall	200	71.0
10	Gaylord	210	76.4
11	Sparta	236	59.8
12	Howard City Tri-County	317	36.8
13	Big Rapids	345	28.0
14	Ogemaw Heights	459

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Katie Berkshire	Gaylord	157.9
2	10	Annabelle Lowman	Ludington	137.8
3	10	Mia May	Sparta	137.5
4	11	Brooklynn Brown	Cadillac	134.3
5	12	Nadia Grierson	Ludington	133.3
6	10	Ella McInerney	Cadillac	125.7
7	12	Abby Robinson	Gladwin	122.9
8	11	Linnea Paige	Fremont	122.2
9	12	Camille (Cami) Kraai	Whitehall	121.0
10	11	Alexis Kotkowicz	Spring Lake	119.0
11	9	Chloe Mazza	Cadillac	113.8
12	10	Abby Noorman	Cedar Springs	109.3
13	12	Adalyn Britton	Whitehall	109.2
14	12	Valerie Pollock	Fruitport	108.4
15	11	Ava Pawlick	Petoskey	108.1
16	12	Lillian Binger	Gladwin	106.1
17	9	Addy Nesbitt	Cedar Springs	105.5
18	11	Meghan Guczwa	Spring Lake	105.1
19	9	Kaleigh Clark	Spring Lake	102.5
20	12	Summer Brower	Ludington	100.6
21	12	Lexie Ruffing	Spring Lake	98.1
22	10	Cora Parker	Spring Lake	98.0
23	12	Autumn Brower	Ludington	97.8
24	12	Bethany Zimmerman	Spring Lake	94.1
25	9	Ruth Hanson	Cadillac	90.9

Region 11

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Marie Gates – great to see Marie back in the fold. After racing to a 19:05 early in her freshman year, we hadn’t seen much of her. Well, she’s back and faster than before, notching two sub-19’s in this, her junior season.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Zeeland East	30	137.6	1
2	Holland Christian	47	127.1	4
3	Hudsonville Unity Christian	78	113.4	10
4	Coopersville	110	99.5	21
5	Holland	147	86.6
6	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	219	59.2
7	Hopkins	225	58.1
8	Grand Rapids West Catholic	228	58.8
9	Hamilton	234	55.7
10	Allendale	237	53.4
11	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills	341
12	Grand River Preparatory	360
13	Comstock Park	393
14	Wyoming Lee	403

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Emma Drnek	Zeeland East	158.5
2	11	Marie Gates	Hudsonville Unity Christian	144.0
3	9	Adalyn Raab	Zeeland East	143.0
4	10	Johanna Mulder	Holland	140.9
5	11	Meredith Cook	Zeeland East	139.4
6	9	Avery Engbers	Holland Christian	137.1
7	10	Ellery Lampen	Holland Christian	131.6
8	9	Oakley Osterhart	Coopersville	127.6
9	10	Olivia Hollebeek	Holland Christian	126.6
10	11	Megan Kuzma	Zeeland East	123.9
11	11	Taryn DiLaura	Zeeland East	123.5
12	10	Eliana Stob	Holland Christian	121.7
13	11	Layla Geurink	Holland Christian	118.3
14	10	Mackenzie Huizenga	Holland Christian	116.6
15	12	Sierra Grooters	Hudsonville Unity Christian	114.7
16	9	Addison Bixler	Coopersville	108.5
17	11	Sadie Schout	Hudsonville Unity Christian	107.8
18	9	Lexi Gibson	Holland	104.8
19	12	Grace Mckinney	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	104.3
20	9	Annika Stob	Holland Christian	104.1
21	12	Maddie Bruxvoort	Hudsonville Unity Christian	102.5
22	11	Olivia Droski	Coopersville	102.4
23	12	Maya VanSolkema	Hudsonville Unity Christian	98.0
24	10	Carly Bruxvoort	Hudsonville Unity Christian	96.4
25	10	Riley DenHartigh	Hudsonville Unity Christian	90.7

Region 12

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Marlina Howell – it’s so evident when an athlete throws 100% effort into a sport, Marlina a prime example of that. Three 20 min. efforts to begin her senior year. In the comparable races to last fall, she’s run well over a minute faster. She’s got her Hawk girls in a great place to return to MIS.  

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Christian	28	130.9	2
2	East Grand Rapids	47	120.9	7
3	Forest Hills Eastern	105	104.3	14
4	Grand Rapids South Christian	127	98.1	20
5	Plainwell	152	93.3	27
6	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	153	95.7
7	Richland Gull Lake	168	92.0
8	GR West Michigan Aviation	248	60.1
9	Portland	264	58.8
10	Belding	269	63.8
11	Battle Creek Pennfield	352	13.1
12	Ionia	353	8.0
13	Lake Odessa Lakewood	388
14	Wayland Union	390	1.7
15	Hastings	441

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Ellie Scholma	Grand Rapids Christian	145.2
2	10	Adeline Armstrong	East Grand Rapids	142.5
3	11	Lilah Poel	Grand Rapids Christian	138.8
4	12	Ava Crews	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	137.2
5	10	Lane Isom	Richland Gull Lake	134.8
6	12	Sadey Seyferth	East Grand Rapids	129.2
7	11	Annika TerBeek	Grand Rapids Christian	126.3
8	10	Zoe Hoekstra	Grand Rapids Christian	123.9
9	10	Lucy Waalkes	Grand Rapids Christian	120.3
10	11	Jillian Clason	Forest Hills Eastern	118.6
11	11	Madelyn Baar	East Grand Rapids	115.8
12	10	Clare Assaf	East Grand Rapids	109.9
13	11	Chloe Rinzema	Grand Rapids South Christian	108.3
14	12	Marlina Howell	Forest Hills Eastern	108.1
15	9	Tiffany DeMaagd	Grand Rapids South Christian	107.5
16	11	Rory Workman	East Grand Rapids	107.4
17	12	Claire Vos	Plainwell	107.2
18	12	Avery Wezensky	Portland	106.9
19	10	Sofia Lewis	GR West Michigan Aviation	106.0
20	10	Ainsley Sullivan	Forest Hills Eastern	105.0
21	10	Ahna Woltjer	GR West Michigan Aviation	104.7
22	11	Josie Longcore	Plainwell	104.1
23	9	Lydia Visker	Grand Rapids Christian	100.9
24	9	Lily Phillips	Forest Hills Eastern	100.7
25	9	Joy Van Wyk	Grand Rapids Christian	98.1

Region 13

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Sturgis – the emergence of Sydney Bir into an excellent backup to Holtz has really helped. Bir has experience running her best when it matters most. This time around, she’ll enter championship season with multiple low-20 efforts under her belt.

Audrey Kline – the Bear freshman was projected to be good, but perhaps not THIS good. Four sub-20’s and an important 4^th place in the initial SMAC West Jamboree.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Otsego	32	126.7	5
2	St. Joseph	63	114.5	11
3	Sturgis	85	105.9	19
4	Stevensville Lakeshore	114	89.7
5	Paw Paw	164	75.4
6	Marshall	165	76.0
7	Battle Creek Harper Creek	189	71.5
8	Three Rivers	205	65.1
9	Niles	248	55.8
10	Edwardsburg	260	51.4
11	Berrien Springs	319	35.1
12	Coldwater	342	17.9
13	Vicksburg	346	22.6
14	Dowagiac Union	370	12.3
15	South Haven	452

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Emma Hoffman	Otsego	167.9
2	12	Elena Figueroa	St. Joseph	156.1
3	11	Berkley Holtz	Sturgis	151.7
4	9	Audrey Kline	St. Joseph	131.8
5	12	Taylor Mitchell	Otsego	120.0
6	11	Sydney Bir	Sturgis	119.8
7	11	Rebekah Stachura	Otsego	118.8
8	10	Skylar Mejeur	Otsego	117.6
9	11	Julia Faber	Battle Creek Harper Creek	114.4
10	11	Beatrice Perucchetti	St. Joseph	109.2
11	10	Madeline Goodwin	Otsego	109.1
12	12	Madison Johnson	Paw Paw	105.7
13	12	Kaylee Sprague	Stevensville Lakeshore	105.5
14	11	Tessa Hatt	Sturgis	105.4
15	12	Charlie Drew	Niles	102.8
16	10	Hayden Lemieux	Paw Paw	98.8
17	11	Leah McPartlin	Marshall	98.7
18	9	Gweneth Eby	Coldwater	98.4
19	12	Preslee Perkins	Stevensville Lakeshore	97.2
20	12	Taylor Klimp	Otsego	95.8
21	9	Alaina Dillon	Marshall	95.4
22	12	Annika DeJong	Stevensville Lakeshore	91.1
23	12	Sadie Ebel	St. Joseph	88.8
24	10	Lily Cummings	St. Joseph	86.6
25	10	Eleanor Park	Sturgis	84.7

Region 14

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Mia Williams – mad consistency from the experienced Panther senior. Four of her five races have been between 19:40 and 20:15, including a patient one at Spartan that helped DeWitt claim a title.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	DeWitt	31	122.8	6
2	Owosso	111	92.9	26
3	Alma	119	96.4	25
4	Mason	150	86.0
5	St. Johns	154	93.4
6	Charlotte	168	81.6
7	Parma Western	170	80.2
8	Haslett	209	70.2
9	Williamston	233	61.4
10	Eaton Rapids	258	56.8
11	Corunna	258	50.8
12	Fowlerville	272	49.5
13	Jackson Northwest	402
14	Lansing Waverly	442
15	Lansing Eastern	447

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Ava Schafer	St. Johns	164.1
2	12	Ayla Holben	DeWitt	145.6
3	9	Remie Ellis	Eaton Rapids	137.9
4	12	Joy Evans	Alma	133.7
5	12	Mia Williams	DeWitt	124.8
6	11	Miriam Kloha	St. Johns	120.3
7	12	Kayla Williams	DeWitt	118.6
8	9	Aurora Doepker	DeWitt	113.6
9	12	Autumn Thompson	DeWitt	111.2
10	11	Isabella Taber	DeWitt	107.7
11	12	Josie Jenkinson	Owosso	106.1
12	12	Julionna West	Owosso	105.0
13	12	Hayven Thiel	Corunna	104.5
14	10	Sophia Schafer	Williamston	102.8
15	11	Maria Beach	Fowlerville	102.5
16	12	Ezgi Kurt	Alma	99.9
17	12	Natalie Summerland	Owosso	99.7
18	10	Morgan Allen	Mason	99.6
19	10	Colette Charchut	Haslett	97.4
20	11	Chloe Khon	Jackson Northwest	97.3
21	12	Morgan Ashcroft	DeWitt	95.9
22	12	Raquel Curey	Parma Western	93.1
23	9	Abby Crandell	Owosso	91.0
24	9	Ruby Petee	Mason	89.7
25	10	Helena Goodrich	Charlotte	88.3

Region 15

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Grace Evanoff – by far. A full summer of running has resulted in a season where she’s dropped well over 2 minutes from her lifetime best. I hope college coaches are reading or paying attention…

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Goodrich	36	127.1	3
2	Freeland	59	118.9	9
3	Frankenmuth	78	111.4	13
4	Shepherd	108	97.2	23
5	Flint Powers Catholic	118	91.4
6	Flint Kearsley	200	52.0
7	Imlay City	237	31.1
8	Saginaw Swan Valley	239	12.3
9	Ortonville Brandon	252	16.4
10	Essexville-Garber	289
11	North Branch	295
12	Bay City John Glenn	302

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Clara Kaczor	Freeland	153.0
2	11	Natalie Foltz	Frankenmuth	146.6
3	12	Grace Evanoff	Flint Powers Catholic	139.1
4	10	Alivia Ottinger	Goodrich	134.6
5	12	Layla Jordan	Goodrich	129.4
6	12	Kamryn Lauinger	Goodrich	128.1
7	10	Lucy Conzelmann	Frankenmuth	127.3
8	12	Karie Keefer	Freeland	127.1
9	9	Danica Redes	Shepherd	126.2
10	10	Kylie Mausolf	Birch Run	126.1
11	9	Kayla Shellenbarger	Goodrich	124.0
12	11	Samantha Brown	Clio	121.4
13	12	Avery Byrne	Goodrich	119.5
14	10	Claire Brown	Goodrich	118.2
15	11	Jada Prescott	Freeland	115.5
16	11	Elise Barden	Frankenmuth	111.7
17	10	Baylor Lauinger	Goodrich	110.1
18	12	Grace Murphy	Flint Powers Catholic	108.0
19	12	Reese Beery	Saginaw Swan Valley	104.8
20	9	Ellie Thering	Freeland	99.8
21	10	Isabel Reinke	Freeland	99.2
22	9	Mila Villarreal	Flint Powers Catholic	99.0
23	11	Emilee Young	Shepherd	95.3
24	9	Gabriella Dallas	Freeland	95.2
25	12	Gracie Warner	Shepherd	93.9

Region 16

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Madalynn Karsies – after struggling through Milford and Holly, finally got the chance to let it loose at Jackson. The result was a 20-flat, her 2^nd personal best of the year, and best SEC White finish ever.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Linden	51	108.7	12
2	Dearborn Divine Child	83	96.0	22
3	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	88	95.4	24
4	Detroit Country Day	102	87.9
5	Pinckney	106	94.2
6	Lake Fenton	153	68.7
7	Bloomfield Hills Marian	158	68.0
8	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	179	67.8
9	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	215	53.1
10	Garden City	317

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Jaelyn Ray	Pinckney	148.8
2	12	Mea D’Agostino	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	141.3
3	10	Addison Josephson	Linden	124.5
4	12	Maria Nunning	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	124.3
5	12	Madalynn Karsies	Pinckney	117.9
6	10	Melody Meckstroth	Linden	114.4
7	12	Chloe Josephson	Linden	113.9
8	12	Nell Stover	Detroit Country Day	110.0
9	12	Kathryn Kurtinaitis	Dearborn Divine Child	108.4
10	10	Sidney Shepard	Linden	105.9
11	12	Skylar Vanhecke	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	105.0
12	10	Elliana Hufton	Lake Fenton	104.0
13	11	Annabelle Ellenbogen	Detroit Country Day	103.8
14	12	Tess Scicluna	Dearborn Divine Child	98.8
15	12	Kayla Slade	Dearborn Divine Child	98.6
16	12	Claire Heller	Detroit Country Day	96.5
17	9	Eastynn Charder	Pinckney	96.1
18	10	Diya Goyal	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	95.4
19	11	Anna Kujansuu	Dearborn Divine Child	91.1
20	9	Ana Lovell	Lake Fenton	90.0
21	10	Claire Dunn	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	86.4
22	9	Leah Krzeszewski	Bloomfield Hills Marian	86.4
23	10	Paige Willman	Lake Fenton	85.8
24	12	Mary Larocca	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	85.7
25	9	Molly Roberts	Linden	84.8

Region 17

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Macomb Lutheran North – it’s no surprise that the Mustangs are projected as a top-3 squad, it’s that they’ve vaulted into the top spot. The Black n’ Yellow depth stands out, bookmarked by senior Isabella LaPerriere, who’s already nearly matched her PR from last fall.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Macomb Lutheran North	63	87.3
2	St. Clair	65	85.1
3	Croswell-Lexington	102	78.0
4	Armada	119	67.2
5	Warren Regina	122	64.2
6	Yale	137	60.4
7	Marysville	139	58.4
8	Madison Heights Lamphere	212	17.9
9	Richmond	238	5.8
10	Detroit University Prep	293
11	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	343

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Eva Thompson	Croswell-Lexington	133.8
2	12	Brooklyn Khon	Armada	109.9
3	10	Samantha Whitlam	Macomb Lutheran North	108.6
4	12	Brynn Hurley	Croswell-Lexington	105.3
5	12	Natalie Lentine	Warren Regina	102.5
6	12	Elizabeth Ambroggio	Warren Regina	99.2
7	9	Saige Cole	Yale	98.7
8	10	Ella Thornton	St. Clair	92.5
9	12	Allie Komarowski	St. Clair	91.8
10	12	Lillian Rutallie	Marysville	88.6
11	11	Molly McNabb	St. Clair	88.0
12	10	Gabriella Komarowski	St. Clair	86.3
13	10	Avery Stallmann	Macomb Lutheran North	85.1
14	9	Lucy Gump	Macomb Lutheran North	82.7
15	10	Evelyn Buckley	Macomb Lutheran North	82.6
16	10	Hannah Haines	Madison Heights Lamphere	80.0
17	12	Addison Stevens	Marysville	79.6
18	12	Isabella LaPerriere	Macomb Lutheran North	77.5
19	11	Pauline Chapman	Richmond	75.6
20	10	Helena Reiff	Armada	73.7
21	10	Lillian Bender	Yale	72.7
22	9	Chloe Boright	Macomb Lutheran North	69.5
23	9	Madelyn Barkley	Croswell-Lexington	69.5
24	11	Abigail Denoyer	Armada	68.2
25	12	Eden Brewer	St. Clair	66.9

Region 18

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Evelyn Kuhn – the transfer from Franklin has been a great insurance policy for the Fighting Irish. She’s had four straight mid-20 efforts and has solidified GR’s bid for a state qualifying bid.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Adrian	42	124.0	8
2	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	72	104.6	17
3	Carleton Airport	110	96.6
4	Chelsea	127	86.1
5	New Boston Huron	142	78.9
6	Tecumseh	149	81.1
7	Trenton	166	71.4
8	Dundee	180	64.7
9	Milan	187	56.8
10	Grosse Ile	236	47.4
11	Ypsilanti Community	319

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Courtney Bovair	Carleton Airport	152.5
2	12	Sophy Skeels	Adrian	147.0
3	10	Ayda Skeels	Adrian	142.8
4	9	Madison Petty	Adrian	127.2
5	11	Avery Turk	New Boston Huron	123.6
6	10	Monica Lynn	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	119.6
7	10	Bridget Fidkowski	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	119.6
8	9	Karina Mihai-Grammes	Adrian	118.9
9	12	Natalia DeMea	Chelsea	118.1
10	11	Evelyn Kuhn	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	114.2
11	12	Marisa Chuey	Trenton	108.3
12	11	Amerie Wilson	Milan	106.9
13	11	Falyn Doss	New Boston Huron	104.2
14	11	Samantha Bieber	Chelsea	101.9
15	12	Kaylee Hovey	Dundee	100.6
16	12	Madison Morris	Tecumseh	100.4
17	9	Ella Baker	Carleton Airport	98.9
18	10	Kayla Christesen	New Boston Huron	91.7
19	9	Jamie Glatfelter	Trenton	91.2
20	9	Allison Ost	Dundee	90.5
21	11	Alyssa Korte	Grosse Ile	87.4
22	9	Jaelynn Greene	Carleton Airport	87.0
23	10	Ava Pfaffenbach	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	85.9
24	11	Kaily McDaniel	Milan	85.3
25	9	Klair Baker	Adrian	84.0

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 42 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 10

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Gladwin – Their top-3 was always a strength, now it’s quickly becoming a top-4. Myles Robinson has only built on his excellent spring, now nearly a minute faster than he finished his freshman fall.

Vincent Pollock – a two-time MIS qualifier who always finds a way to drop into the 16’s at year’s end. Well, he’s already ripped a 16:08, perhaps more is in the tank?

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Sparta	72	184.0	8
2	Cedar Springs	87	179.9	13
3	Gladwin	93	182.5	14
4	Fremont	133	172.5	21
5	Petoskey	154	168.8	26
6	Whitehall	177	165.5
7	Spring Lake	194	163.9
8	Howard City Tri-County	201	161.8
9	Ludington	226	157.3
10	Big Rapids	249	153.0
11	Muskegon Oakridge	253	140.3
12	Cadillac	264	151.6
13	Fruitport	292	126.9
14	Gaylord	407	83.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Elijah Christensen	Gladwin	204.6
2	12	Seth Mead	Gladwin	199.5
3	11	Owen Metzger	Sparta	199.2
4	12	Vincent Pollock	Fruitport	196.7
5	12	Stewart Waters	Whitehall	193.6
6	11	Ethan Shoffner	Cedar Springs	192.0
7	12	Carter Sherman	Fremont	190.9
8	12	Justin Bradford	Sparta	190.5
9	12	Hayden Gould	Big Rapids	188.9
10	12	Parker Woodwyk	Spring Lake	187.0
11	10	Reeve Oberman	Petoskey	186.8
12	10	Peyton Farrell	Cedar Springs	184.4
13	11	Carson Wood	Sparta	183.7
14	11	Ben Verellen	Gladwin	183.6
15	11	Aiden Weller	Cedar Springs	183.3
16	11	Hunter Parsons	Whitehall	178.3
17	12	Peyton Ruel	Muskegon Oakridge	177.8
18	12	Jackson P. Jones	Sparta	177.8
19	12	Cole Lowery	Fremont	177.6
20	12	Parker Fettig	Petoskey	176.3
21	10	Bryce Falbe	Muskegon Oakridge	175.6
22	12	Andrew Boeringa	Whitehall	175.5
23	12	Blake Taylor	Fremont	174.0
24	10	Gabe Grierson	Ludington	172.3
25	10	Myles Robinson	Gladwin	171.4

Region 11

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Grand Rapids Catholic Central – in awe of the progress that Mitchell Dunlap has made. During his debut season, he was able to slip under 18 twice. As a sophomore he’s gone under 16:30 on three occasions.

Will Whitmore – in the highly competitive West Side D2 landscape, even the best teams need a body to switch levels. Whitmore has done that thus far, shredding 20+ sec. from his junior best.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Allendale	36	195.7	1
2	Holland Christian	60	190.1	4
3	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	112	175.3	22
4	Zeeland East	127	171.6	23
5	Hudsonville Unity Christian	135	169.3	25
6	Hamilton	143	167.8
7	Holland	184	155.6
8	Hopkins	228	143.4
9	Grand Rapids West Catholic	279	129.5
10	Comstock Park	284	126.8
11	Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills	289	129.5
12	Grand River Preparatory	306	123.3
13	Coopersville	332	117.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Will Engbers	Holland Christian	204.9
2	12	Jeb Hillary	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	204.3
3	12	Ben Gross	Allendale	200.9
4	11	Ronnie Silveira	Allendale	200.9
5	12	Kilian Whalen	Allendale	200.1
6	12	Abatu Dykstra	Hamilton	198.5
7	12	Andrew Commeret	Comstock Park	194.6
8	10	Mitchell Dunlap	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	194.0
9	12	Parker Tiethof	Allendale	192.3
10	12	Will Whitmore	Holland Christian	192.0
11	12	Noah Hernandez	Hamilton	190.7
12	11	Jack Estelle	Hopkins	189.0
13	11	Landon Gerritsma	Holland Christian	188.7
14	12	Caden Guffey	Zeeland East	187.5
15	10	Mason Hill	Allendale	184.3
16	10	Graeson Decker	Hudsonville Unity Christian	184.1
17	12	Aidan Brinks	Holland Christian	183.5
18	12	Sam Downing	Zeeland East	181.7
19	12	Brayden Rynsburger	Holland Christian	181.7
20	12	Nathan Steen	Holland Christian	181.4
21	10	Cole Coffman	Holland Christian	180.7
22	12	Aiden Kasprzak	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	178.4
23	10	Alex Ten Haken	Hudsonville Unity Christian	177.7
24	9	Aiden Lambers	Holland	175.5
25	10	Nate Davis	Zeeland East	174.8

Region 12

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jacob Draaisma – this spring was his first season of track, and in that introduction to the sport, he earned a State Finals berth in the 800 and a 2^nd place in the OK Gold 1600m. In his first XC season, he’s on the same trajectory, racing to a 16:08 at Sparta and winning two OK Gold Jamborees.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Christian	40	194.5	2
2	Forest Hills Eastern	79	187.4	5
3	East Grand Rapids	83	185.9	6
4	Plainwell	92	182.4	10
5	Richland Gull Lake	186	165.0
6	Portland	208	160.0
7	Grand Rapids South Christian	209	157.7
8	GR West Michigan Aviation	228	153.8
9	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	257	147.1
10	Belding	265	144.6
11	Hastings	285	127.6
12	Wayland Union	303	109.4
13	Ionia	336	125.0
14	Lake Odessa Lakewood	344	118.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Henry Dixon	Forest Hills Eastern	210.5
2	12	Simon Triezenberg	Grand Rapids Christian	206.8
3	11	Jonah Workman	East Grand Rapids	202.9
4	11	Sean Ryan	Grand Rapids Christian	196.9
5	12	Keegan Hoekstra	Grand Rapids Christian	196.2
6	12	Jacob Draaisma	Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg	196.1
7	10	Steven Zawacki	Forest Hills Eastern	192.1
8	11	Jack Edison	East Grand Rapids	191.8
9	12	Brandon Simmons	Hastings	189.8
10	11	Donovan Ryan	Plainwell	189.8
11	11	Micah Small	Grand Rapids Christian	189.4
12	9	Micah Becker	East Grand Rapids	188.6
13	11	Jeryn Frisbie	Belding	188.2
14	11	Hiro Nguyen	Plainwell	186.2
15	11	Gavin Markucki	Richland Gull Lake	185.4
16	12	Henry Cox	Plainwell	183.6
17	12	Tyler Endres	Forest Hills Eastern	183.6
18	9	Ashton Fink	Grand Rapids Christian	183.1
19	12	Dylan Pallett	Wayland Union	182.0
20	9	James Scholten-Holcomb	Grand Rapids Christian	180.6
21	11	Thad VanderLaan	Grand Rapids South Christian	180.3
22	11	Asher Jager	GR West Michigan Aviation	179.6
23	11	Andrew Feldpausch	Portland	179.3
24	12	Billy Pipkorn	Plainwell	177.4
25	11	Shephard Bower	Forest Hills Eastern	176.0

Region 13

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Three Rivers – dedication is infective. When a Sulley Zietlow gives their all to the sport, others such as Charlie Brauer follow. After hitting a singular sub-18 as a sophomore, he’s nailed six of ‘em this fall.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Otsego	74	182.3	9
2	Marshall	82	187.9	11
3	Three Rivers	98	178.6	16
4	Edwardsburg	126	171.0	24
5	St. Joseph	153	165.3
6	Battle Creek Harper Creek	160	166.2
7	Berrien Springs	188	156.5
8	Sturgis	207	155.4
9	Vicksburg	221	153.5
10	Paw Paw	256	143.8
11	Niles	270	142.7
12	Coldwater	286	138.9
13	Dowagiac Union	383	99.7
14	South Haven	416	99.8
15	Stevensville Lakeshore	429	93.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Jack Bidwell	Marshall	216.6
2	12	Dominic Lowrie	Battle Creek Harper Creek	205.4
3	12	Sullivan Zietlow	Three Rivers	204.7
4	10	Abraham McHugh	Marshall	202.5
5	12	Reece Davis	Marshall	198.1
6	10	Caiden Caswell	Vicksburg	196.5
7	12	Holten Mulherin	Otsego	189.1
8	11	George Scupham	Edwardsburg	186.9
9	12	Maguire Johnson	Edwardsburg	186.6
10	12	Eli Johansen	St. Joseph	186.4
11	12	Nolan Park	Sturgis	185.5
12	12	Aidan Goodwin	Otsego	185.5
13	12	Owen Saylor	Dowagiac Union	184.8
14	12	Matthew Long	Otsego	184.7
15	11	Charlie Brauer	Three Rivers	179.6
16	12	Peyton Eckerley	Berrien Springs	178.7
17	10	Christopher Vogt	Paw Paw	178.6
18	12	Noah Jarvis	Berrien Springs	177.2
19	11	Cooper Gardner	Battle Creek Harper Creek	177.0
20	12	Logan VanHouten	Otsego	176.4
21	12	Caleb Wesseldyk	Otsego	175.7
22	11	Benjamin Morales	Sturgis	174.7
23	11	Kenny Sheffer	Otsego	174.7
24	10	Connor Beebe	Berrien Springs	172.7
25	10	Kellen Chalupa	Allegan	171.5

Region 14

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Kevin Terpstra – lost in the shuffle of Zeke and Larson’s accolades has been Terpstra’s rise. Two top-10’s in TVC action (never lower than 17^th in 2023) and his first sub-17 ever at Spartan (over 80 sec. faster than his freshman year) now adds to the Panther elite depth.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Alma	37	192.3	3
2	DeWitt	85	176.1	17
3	Corunna	127	167.3
4	Parma Western	129	169.0
5	Mason	154	166.2
6	Haslett	172	161.8
7	Williamston	173	161.6
8	Fowlerville	209	153.5
9	Eaton Rapids	233	150.1
10	Owosso	278	140.5
11	St. Johns	299	134.5
12	Charlotte	320	128.1
13	Lansing Waverly	363	101.2
14	Lansing Eastern	404	82.6
15	Jackson Northwest	408	81.5
16	Lansing Sexton	469	41.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Thomas Larson	Alma	209.0
2	10	Ezekiel Baltierra	Alma	206.0
3	11	Edison Lopeman	Parma Western	200.1
4	12	Alex Doneth	Mason	198.8
5	12	Simon Erfourth	Owosso	195.7
6	12	Dylan Lydic	Haslett	194.6
7	10	Kevin Terpstra	Alma	188.0
8	12	Nolan Inglis	DeWitt	187.1
9	9	Duncan Palmer	Williamston	186.4
10	12	Conner McCormick	Mason	186.3
11	11	Elijah Baltierra	Alma	183.2
12	12	Jackson Walthorn	DeWitt	182.6
13	10	Ryan Good	Parma Western	182.6
14	12	Bobby Donley	Corunna	181.6
15	11	Reagan Ward	St. Johns	180.2
16	12	Bodie Heiss	Alma	175.1
17	11	Payton Chandler	Corunna	174.7
18	10	Thaddeus Overley	Lansing Waverly	174.1
19	10	Ezra Nellis	Corunna	173.7
20	11	Joshua Carpenter	DeWitt	171.6
21	12	Ian Goodrich	DeWitt	170.3
22	11	Luca Lebron	Alma	170.2
23	12	Jack Huntington	Eaton Rapids	169.9
24	11	Braylon Lenneman	DeWitt	169.2
25	9	Sam Johnson	Alma	169.1

Region 15

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Flint Powers Catholic – powered by their depth. The Chargers have already thrown six under the 18 min. mark, which means there will be a ton of displacing down the line.

Nicklas Parker – the track potential coming to fruition. Has already dropped more than 30 sec. from his XC best and nabbed a top-20 finish in the competitive Spartan field.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Frankenmuth	60	183.8	7
2	Shepherd	70	183.0	12
3	Flint Powers Catholic	72	182.4	15
4	Freeland	95	180.0	19
5	Flint Kearsley	130	165.5
6	Goodrich	158	160.5
7	Saginaw Swan Valley	189	151.2
8	Ortonville Brandon	253	120.1
9	Bay City John Glenn	278	114.6
10	Birch Run	286	108.7
11	North Branch	297	106.2
12	Essexville-Garber	299	98.1
13	Imlay City	363	74.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	T.j. Hansen	Freeland	223.2
2	11	Bryce Gross	Flint Powers Catholic	205.5
3	10	Bryce Cahoon	Shepherd	205.2
4	9	Lennox Naswell	Flint Powers Catholic	203.8
5	11	Vincent Pattison	Goodrich	201.4
6	12	Nolan Longuski	Shepherd	199.9
7	12	Jack Lillywhite	Flint Kearsley	196.9
8	10	Nicklas Parker	Frankenmuth	191.3
9	11	Brett Magnus	Frankenmuth	189.8
10	11	Anthony Plana	Frankenmuth	188.5
11	12	Ethan Sellers	Flint Kearsley	188.3
12	12	Owen Fennelly	Saginaw Swan Valley	184.2
13	12	Camden McLeod	Freeland	178.0
14	11	Ian McNeel	Shepherd	177.3
15	12	Cougar Clark	Frankenmuth	177.2
16	12	Sam Nemeth	Freeland	175.8
17	11	Cole Fernandez	Flint Kearsley	174.7
18	11	Cole Pergram	Frankenmuth	172.3
19	11	Caleb Carignan	Flint Powers Catholic	169.9
20	10	Drew Davis	Shepherd	169.7
21	12	Cole Winter	Goodrich	168.1
22	10	Seth Betzold	Essexville-Garber	168.1
23	10	Ben Bouchey	Flint Powers Catholic	167.0
24	11	Thomas Beiter	Flint Powers Catholic	166.0
25	9	Ryan Rathsburg	Flint Powers Catholic	165.5

Region 16

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Brodie Licata – over 20 for the majority of his freshman and sophomore races. Totally transformed runner, now hitting mid-17 at Bath and the traditionally tough Linden Classic.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Pinckney	42	176.9	18
2	Detroit Country Day	61	166.9
3	Dearborn Divine Child	101	160.3
4	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	108	152.8
5	Redford Union	112	149.9
6	Lake Fenton	122	146.8
7	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	182	130.7
8	Linden	204	123.9
9	Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood	233	114.1
10	Garden City	286	49.3

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Colin Murray	Dearborn Divine Child	211.8
2	10	Cole McCraw	Pinckney	198.0
3	12	Zachary Newman	Pinckney	191.0
4	12	Jacob Hopkins	Detroit Country Day	185.0
5	12	Isaak Brook	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	183.7
6	10	Omar Elbashir	Detroit Country Day	177.9
7	11	Brodie Licata	Lake Fenton	173.0
8	12	Kyle Osborne	Pinckney	172.1
9	12	Alex Kitsopanidis	Detroit Country Day	167.3
10	10	Cooper Steckroth	Lake Fenton	165.2
11	9	Ethan Bray	Detroit Country Day	164.9
12	11	Cole Wisniewski	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	164.9
13	11	Nate Sandula	Pinckney	163.6
14	12	Devon Foster	Redford Union	160.1
15	12	Deric Tavolette	Redford Union	159.9
16	12	Gabe Maciag	Pinckney	159.6
17	9	Andrew Nunning	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	158.9
18	9	Jackson Butts	Lake Fenton	158.0
19	12	Nicholas Nakic	Dearborn Divine Child	155.3
20	11	Bela Matyus	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	152.6
21	10	Noah Neuman	Pinckney	150.5
22	12	Ryan Wojichowski	Pontiac Notre Dame Prep	149.9
23	12	Michael Porter Jr.	Redford Union	149.3
24	11	Wyatt Larson	Pinckney	148.5
25	10	Joseph Arriola	Dearborn Divine Child	147.8

Region 17

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Logan Rhodes – sophomore leap occurring. His 18:13 at Spartan was more than 1.5 minutes better than his freshman experience, arguably in tougher conditions as well.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Yale	41	161.8
2	St. Clair	42	162.2
3	Macomb Lutheran North	53	163.6
4	Madison Heights Lamphere	148	126.1
5	Armada	152	123.6
6	Marysville	173	118.4
7	Croswell-Lexington	181	113.5
8	Richmond	187	110.5
9	Warren Lincoln	281	63.3
10	Harper Woods	305	36.2
11	St. Clair Shores Lake Shore	345

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Joshua Macri	Macomb Lutheran North	193.8
2	11	Xavier Roman	Macomb Lutheran North	177.5
3	10	Ethan Kreger	St. Clair	173.4
4	12	Wyatt Murtos	Yale	170.1
5	11	Brayden Prieskorn	St. Clair	168.2
6	12	Jerry Westrick	St. Clair	166.1
7	12	Teddy Rutkofske	Yale	164.2
8	12	Kale Kovach	Yale	159.9
9	11	Luke McDonell	St. Clair	159.2
10	10	Logan Rhodes	Yale	158.7
11	10	Connor Pepin	Croswell-Lexington	157.8
12	11	Nolan Korolden	Yale	155.9
13	11	Samuel Kochensparger	Macomb Lutheran North	154.9
14	9	Brady VanConant	Yale	152.2
15	12	Jack McMahon	Macomb Lutheran North	151.5
16	9	Mason Pietrykowski	Richmond	150.4
17	12	Pete Lutz	Madison Heights Lamphere	146.8
18	10	Brendan Koza	Marysville	144.8
19	12	Korbyn Thornton	St. Clair	144.2
20	12	Georgio Aramouni	Madison Heights Lamphere	143.7
21	12	Jack Nicol	Yale	142.7
22	11	Oliver Alef	Macomb Lutheran North	140.2
23	10	Nino Biondo	Macomb Lutheran North	136.6
24	11	Anthony Alvarez	Armada	134.1
25	11	Gavin Bishop	St. Clair	133.6

Region 18

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

New Boston Huron – an unexpected name here! A big thanks should go out to senior Kyle Biller, who’s having the season of his career. His 17:33 PB at Cadillac was over 45 sec. faster than he’s ever run on the course.

Henry Fredenberg – No XC or track experience, no problem. Five straight 17-min. performances to begin his career.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	New Boston Huron	52	176.6	20
2	Adrian	66	170.0	27
3	Chelsea	91	162.5
4	Carleton Airport	119	155.4
5	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	125	154.4
6	Tecumseh	131	152.9
7	Grosse Ile	183	141.7
8	Dundee	195	143.4
9	Ypsilanti Community	265	119.6
10	Riverview	306	111.1
11	Trenton	325	98.1
12	Milan	350	49.3
13	Melvindale	372	16.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Moises Salazar	Adrian	200.1
2	12	Lucas Kuhn	New Boston Huron	199.5
3	11	Luke Dulecki	New Boston Huron	192.7
4	12	Isaak Rubley	Dundee	189.5
5	11	Henry Fredenberg	Chelsea	182.3
6	11	Matthew Carbajo	Grosse Ile	179.4
7	10	Carter Fenner	Adrian	172.3
8	9	Harrison Stamper	Tecumseh	171.0
9	11	Linus Helzerman	Chelsea	169.4
10	12	Kyle Biller	New Boston Huron	169.0
11	11	Joseph Horn	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	167.1
12	12	Callum Bell	Carleton Airport	166.8
13	10	Cameron Crane	New Boston Huron	166.0
14	10	Jonathan Rapoza	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	165.0
15	10	Owen Thorburn	Chelsea	163.8
16	9	Eli Morris	Tecumseh	162.0
17	11	Jacob Alt	Ypsilanti Community	161.7
18	10	Landin Fisher	Adrian	161.4
19	9	Easton Coscarelli	Adrian	159.4
20	11	William Dobbertin	Carleton Airport	158.8
21	12	Tyler Condon	Adrian	156.9
22	10	Hunter Rodak	Carleton Airport	156.5
23	12	Jack Fox	Grosse Ile	156.1
24	10	Tanner Kuhn	New Boston Huron	155.9
25	9	Lucas Zeckner	Adrian	153.8