Girls Rankings: Division 4, Week 3

I had a novel thought while running the other day. What if, instead of averaging the top 5, which overrates teams with a great 1st (or 2nd) runner, I just scored out a hypothetical meet with the teams in each division/the whole state. And used that to determine rankings. I had been playing around with weighing the latter runners more, finding out the average 5th runner, etc. But nothing was coming up as more predictive than a hypothetical meet. So here you go:

HYPOTHETICAL MEET – AKA THE ACTUAL RANKINGS

Rank	Team	Region	Score
1	Adrian Lenawee Christian	34	121
2	Bridgman	31	202
3	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	30	209
4	Kalamazoo Christian	32	271
5	Hudson	34	320
6	St. Philip Catholic Central	32	327
7	Carson City-Crystal	30	337
8	Fowler	33	355
9	East Jordan	28	410
10	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	31	416
11	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	36	432
12	Harbor Beach	35	474
13	Owendale-Gagetown	35	503
14	Johannesburg-Lewiston	28	513
15	Allen Park Cabrini	36	526
16	Ubly	35	542
17	Beal City	30	584
18	Breckenridge	35	590
19	Maple City Glen Lake	29	626
20	Frankfort	29	654
21	Plymouth Christian Academy	36	673
22	Libertas Christian	31	680
23	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	29	694
24	Saranac	33	696
25	Deckerville	35	741

I’ll still include the stats I was posting in previous weeks.

TOP 5 AVERAGE

Rank	Team	Average
1	Adrian Lenawee Christian	102.9
2	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	93.7
3	Bridgman	91.8
4	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	85.0
5	Hudson	77.8
6	Kalamazoo Christian	77.3
7	St. Philip Catholic Central	76.4
8	Carson City-Crystal	73.7
9	East Jordan	72.4
10	Fowler	72.4
11	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	66.0
12	Harbor Beach	64.1
13	Ubly	63.1
14	Johannesburg-Lewiston	60.6
15	Owendale-Gagetown	60.2
16	Allen Park Cabrini	58.7
17	Maple City Glen Lake	56.4
18	Breckenridge	53.7
19	Beal City	53.2
20	Plymouth Christian Academy	47.9
21	Saranac	46.4
22	Frankfort	46.1
23	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	45.7
24	Libertas Christian	44.6
25	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	39.7

TOP 7 AVERAGE

Rank	Team	Average
1	Adrian Lenawee Christian	92.3
2	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	76.1
3	Kalamazoo Christian	71.8
4	Bridgman	71.1
5	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	62.5
6	Fowler	61.6
7	East Jordan	56.5
8	Carson City-Crystal	53.4
9	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	52.7
10	Ubly	50.3
11	Allen Park Cabrini	49.2
12	Johannesburg-Lewiston	40.7
13	Breckenridge	37.9
14	Maple City Glen Lake	36.1
15	Saranac	33.8
16	Grand Traverse Academy	27.7
17	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	25.6
18	Plymouth Christian Academy	25.4
19	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	20.8
20	Sand Creek	9.3
21	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	2.0
22	Lutheran HS Westland	-1.4
23	Concord	-3.8
24	Leland	-12.1
25	Whitmore Lake	-12.5

TOP 5 SPREAD

Rank	Team	Spread
1	Kalamazoo Christian	14.7
2	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	33.5
3	Sand Creek	34.1
4	Carson City-Crystal	35.7
5	Grand Traverse Academy	40.8
6	Fowler	41.3
7	Allen Park Cabrini	41.6
8	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	43.8
9	St. Philip Catholic Central	45.0
10	Adrian Lenawee Christian	50.5
11	Hudson	52.9
12	Owendale-Gagetown	53.8
13	Breckenridge	55.9
14	Livingston Christian	56.0
15	Bridgman	56.6
16	East Jordan	56.6
17	Fulton	58.5
18	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	59.3
19	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	64.6
20	Lutheran HS Westland	71.3
21	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	71.7
22	Libertas Christian	78.5
23	Saranac	79.0
24	Vestaburg	79.6
25	Harbor Beach	82.3

TOP 7 SPREAD

Rank	Team	Spread
1	Kalamazoo Christian	30.3
2	Grand Traverse Academy	52.1
3	Adrian Lenawee Christian	64.2
4	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	64.3
5	Allen Park Cabrini	64.4
6	Fowler	72.0
7	Sand Creek	78.4
8	Breckenridge	88.5
9	East Jordan	91.7
10	Carson City-Crystal	92.7
11	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	95.9
12	Saranac	100.6
13	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	102.7
14	Ubly	107.7
15	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	108.2
16	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	112.3
17	Johannesburg-Lewiston	114.6
18	Fulton	124.0
19	Bridgman	130.0
20	White Pigeon	132.3
21	Plymouth Christian Academy	154.5
22	Whitmore Lake	162.8
23	Maple City Glen Lake	164.3
24	Leland	170.3
25	Lutheran HS Westland	179.7