Top Tens: Division 4 Boys

SUMMER PREVIEW

11 to 27

Rank	Team	Score	Region
11	Frankfort	541	29
12	Whitmore Lake	554	33
13	White Cloud	656	31
14	Lutheran Westland	704	36
15	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	709	36
16	Leland	742	29
17	Riverview Gabriel Richard	746	36
18	Morenci	761	34
19	Bridgman	768	32
20	Unionville-Sebewaing	773	35
21	White Pigeon	829	32
22	Dryden	863	35
23	Marlette	869	35
24	Potterville	890	33
25	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	896	30
26	Beal City	900	30
27	Adrian Lenawee Christian	921	34

Overall Landscape

Rank	Team	2023 State Place	Scoring Returners	Varsity Returners
1	Hillsdale Academy	1st	4 of 5	5 of 7
2	Holland Calvary Christian	2nd	5 of 5	7 of 7
3	Harbor Springs	9th	3 of 5	4 of 7
4	Mason County Eastern	8th	4 of 5	4 of 7
5	Harbor Beach	11th	5 of 5	6 of 7
6	Maple City Glen Lake	12th	5 of 5	7 of 7
7	Royal Oak Shrine	15th	4 of 5	6 of 7
8	Kalamazoo Hackett	3rd	3 of 5	5 of 7
9	Dansville	27th (D3)*	4 of 5	5 of 7
10	Three Oaks River Valley	5th	3 of 5	5 of 7

I wanted to change things up a bit regarding the Top Ten Teams. Over the past two summers, this has been a solid feature in the hype department, giving highlight to many kids on superb teams. One aspect I’ve felt that I’ve lacked is explaining how each team relates in comparison to others. I’ll attempt to do that here!

Included features are:

Strengths – characteristics making that team a contender.
Question Marks – any person or team that I write about here, I’m 100% confident you’ll shore up this “weaker” spot by year’s end. But this is a section that’ll look into why a team could be beat.
Looking Ahead – how the team might fare in their championship meets (conference, county, regional, state)

#1 Hillsdale Academy

Strengths

The best 5^th man in D4. Considering the Colts had all seven under 18:00 at MIS and five of those seven return, there’s a good bet that their 5^th guy will be in the mid-17’s. After all, on top of the three All-Staters, this is the path they took to a title. Henry Lindley crossed the line in 56^th (team scoring), the lowest 5^th man in the field.

Question Marks

Calvary Christian could possibly have their 3^rd and 4^th boys in ahead of Hillsdale’s 3^rd. That’s just one team, as I have HA’s 3 and 4 better than any other D4 team.

Looking Ahead

Should be smooth sailin’ on their path toward Brooklyn.

#2 Holland Calvary Christian

Strengths

Far and away, the best depth through four runners. Young depth too, mind you, plenty of chances to grow. The Crusaders put four under 17:15 and all of them in the top-40. Also, their 5^th-7^th boys are very close, increasing the odds that one of the three has a good day.

Question Marks

We’re splitting hairs here, but they lack a low figure. On the other hand, with the top kids running in close proximity, one or two could break out.

Looking Ahead

It doesn’t appear that Calvary is in a conference. They’re running at Kent Ottawa, which has an interesting format this year! Region 31 should be easy peasy. To make a short story long, the Crusaders should be able to work through their schedule fairly easily to peak at State.

#3 Harbor Springs

Strengths

Pure quality through five. Can easily envision a scenario (especially if MIS runs fast like last October) where the Rams put all of their scorers under 17:40.

Question Marks

In a weird way, not having a low stick? Harbor Springs will definitely save points in the back, but will likely have 15+ points from their 1^st guy, other top teams will be in the single digits.

Looking Ahead

As the only D4 team in the new Northern Shores Conference, you’d expect the Rams to be near the bottom. I don’t know if they can hang with Charlevoix, but I expect the complete opposite, top-3 at least. As of now, they’re heavy favorites in Region 28, at season’s end with PSM and J-L always adding kids, we’ll see. On the Brooklyn scene, the Rams appear to be a clear #3 right now.

#4 Mason County Eastern

Strengths

Alex Tyndall up front is a sure low stick. Their 2^nd-4^th kids appear to be ahead of much of the division as well.

Question Marks

The question is who is on their team. A commenter over the summer let me know that with Manistee Catholic closing and MCE being a co-op team with them, the Cardinal roster could be depleted. Ol’ MIXCSR over here prefers simplicity and will act as if every possible returner will run for MCE.

Looking Ahead

The WMD, along with the NWC and MIAC, is one of Michigan’s great small conferences. 2023’s edition had some of the better individuals in D4, beyond those individuals, MCE swept up. Ain’t seeing much opportunity for a change. Class D will of course be predictive towards the State Finals. Hillsdale Academy is usually an attendant, so a win is probably out of the question. And Region 29 combines the strength of the NWC and WMD. The Cardinals have more leeway than others in the region, but less than other top teams in the state might have in their respective regions.

#5 Harbor Beach

Strengths

Depth extending to their 4^th man. By season’s end, Owen Wruble was hitting low-18’s, then he nearly got under 5:00 in track. Currently have him behind the above teams’ 4^th men, but greatly ahead of every team ranked lower. Roggenbuck as a fifth runner ain’t bad either.

Question Marks

Anyone beyond their scorers. A premium will be placed upon the Pirate scorers to cross the line near their best.

Looking Ahead

For 2023, Harbor Beach won the GTC East by placing 5 in the top-13. Barring catastrophe, I don’t see that changing. Thumb Area looks to be interesting. I don’t recall many D4 teams challenging for the win. As it appears now, Yale will be their main competition. Region 35 is detailed here, the race could have four teams in the top-25, HB now seems as if they could put 5 in front of many 3’s. At MIS, they’re one of the few teams to return everyone from their top-5.

#6 Maple City Glen Lake

Strengths

Their top three. Sutherland has sub-16 in his blood, both McCaw and Feeney should be in the 16’s. In last year’s ultra-tough Region 29, the Lakers had the lowest score through 3.

Question Marks

Their region. With #16 Leland sitting at the projected 4^th spot, they’ll have to be on top of their game. Of course, this applies to their competition too. Beyond Feeney, the depth appears a bit slower than the teams listed above. On the other hand, their coaches have experience in development and most of these kids are underclassmen.

Looking Ahead

The NWC, pound for pound, is a superb conference. Benzie Central is the competition, Frankfort and Leland lurking behind. Benzie’s depth helps them in comparison to the state. Depth matters less in a smaller race. Region 29 is among the toughest in the state. The Lakers will be tested prior if they’re able to advance to MIS.

#7 Royal Oak Shrine

Strengths

Abe, of course. The Knights are also solid through 3 boys. Bowker and Lopez were low-18/high-17 kids late. Experience, as well, all of the projected scorers are juniors and seniors.

Question Marks

Health. Joseph Kemp appears to be running a ton this summer, if he were able to complete last season on the trajectory he was on (18:40 at Holly), the Knights would’ve likely placed in D4’s Top-10.

Looking Ahead

Without Kemp or Soma, Shrine placed 19^th in Oakland County. I can see top-15 happening, perhaps even higher. Always hard to tell which CHSL division is which, but I think they’re the best of the smaller Catholic schools in the immediate Detroit area, which also comprises much of Region 36. In terms of the State, Oakland County should be a great look into what the Knights can do in a large race.

#8 Kalamazoo Hackett

Strengths

The Irish’s top-two. They’re in a competition with Mesick for the lowest scoring thru two guys. Siems is the key here, his late season form last year resulted in a 4^th place at Region 32 and 51^st place at State.

Question Marks

Spots beyond the top two. Interesting mix of newcomers and experience. Kellen Siems is just a sophomore and Alexander Dumont had an outstanding track season. In need of one more guy.

Looking Ahead

The SAC is probably controlled by Saugatuck, but I can foresee Constantine, Black River, and Hackett battling for second. Region 32 will be another test, River Valley looking to avenge last year. And the Irish just have good vibes at the state level, both last year and the way those 4×8 boys performed a few months back.

#9 Dansville

Strengths

Theodore Davis. Guy has performed on the big stage all of his career, so that’s one spot that’s guaranteed. Their incoming class contains five freshmen that were under 13:00 at the middle school level.

Question Marks

The incoming freshmen could also be spun as a question mark. Not a known quantity, although the times certainly align with being a D4 contributor. Fifth spot is a little weaker, but appears to be around the 19-flat mark.

Looking Ahead

In the CMAC with D3 teams, especially great ones such as Bath and P-W, hurts their chances of conference glory. Region 33 is listed here, where the Aggies are decent favorites over Whitmore Lake. At the state stage, I feel they’re sort of polarizing. There are scenarios where the freshmen exceed expectation, where top-5 isn’t out of the question. There are also scenarios where they don’t pan out, but Dansville has been a solid culture for years now.

#10 Three Oaks River Valley

Strengths

Their top-3 guys. Rogers, Gibson, and Slavens were all sub-18 last year. All three were in the top-10 at Region 32 and top-100 at State.

Question Marks

The fifth spot. Currently looks to be in the 19:30’s, which shouldn’t be a huge hindrance at the local level, but could be an issue at the state scene.

Looking Ahead

BCS should be an easy sweep. The Mustangs aren’t shown to be at Berrien County on a.net, but should be top-4. There doesn’t appear to be one standout team in the SW corner. Region 32 is detailed here. Finally, at State, 10^th seems appropriate, but when comparing against the 27 teams (instead of the entire division), the 5^th runner issue is lessened.