October is here.
The above link contains the best explanation of the year.
Week 4
Mid-Season Projections – Boys
Mid-Season Projections – Girls
These rankings contain meets through Saturday (9/28). If a runner has had a rated race since September 1st, they’re included (sadly, I have to account for injured athletes). These are for fun and done for free. Enjoy!

Recap
Hillsdale Academy is still holdin’ it down in the top spot. The Colts took last weekend off, perhaps a necessity after their whirlwind of a race at Jackson. Seven under 18:00, competing right there with top D3 teams such as Lumen Christi, Jonesville, and Hanover-Horton. Hillsdale placed 2nd in that loaded field.
There hasn’t been much movement within this top ten, but if you glance at point totals (scored against the entire division), you’ll see teams on the verge of moving up the rankings. Maple City Glen Lake is one, fresh off their outstanding performance in the Jays Division at Bluejay. Five top-10 teams dotted that division, Glen Lake beat out the closest one by 35 points.
Looking Forward
Championship season means big meets and simpler writings for me. Portage is a big meet and D4’s best boys teams will be well-represented. Amongst the top teams will be:
#1 Hillsdale Academy
#3 Holland Calvary Christian
#7 Kalamazoo Hackett
#8 Whitmore Lake
#9 White Cloud
#10 Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
And heck, even a #11 Bridgman. Many others as well.
This summer’s Top Tens post wondered where Royal Oak Shrine might finish in the Oakland County Championship. The summer thought was a top-15 finish, though they’ve outperformed those inclinations thus far this season. We’ll wait until Friday for the actual projections.
Top 27
| Rank | Team | Score | Region | Top 5 Avg. | Last Week |
| 1 | Hillsdale Academy | 136 | 34 | 175.3 | 1 |
| 2 | Royal Oak Shrine | 226 | 36 | 169.7 | 2 |
| 3 | Holland Calvary Christian | 243 | 31 | 164.7 | 3 |
| 4 | Mason County Eastern | 296 | 29 | 162.7 | 4 |
| 5 | Maple City Glen Lake | 300 | 29 | 166.1 | 5 |
| 6 | Harbor Springs | 339 | 28 | 157.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Kalamazoo Hackett | 381 | 32 | 162.8 | 7 |
| 8 | Whitmore Lake | 405 | 33 | 155.7 | 9 |
| 9 | White Cloud | 441 | 31 | 154.2 | 8 |
| 10 | Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart | 543 | 30 | 146.6 | 14 |
| 11 | Bridgman | 552 | 32 | 148.6 | 10 |
| 12 | Dansville | 570 | 33 | 147.8 | 12 |
| 13 | Dryden | 593 | 35 | 142.5 | 11 |
| 14 | Harbor Beach | 627 | 35 | 143.4 | 15 |
| 15 | Grand Traverse Academy | 638 | 29 | 139.6 | 16 |
| 16 | Unionville-Sebewaing | 655 | 35 | 139.5 | 13 |
| 17 | Auburn Hills Oakland Christian | 655 | 36 | 139.2 | 21 |
| 18 | Tri-Unity Christian | 656 | 31 | 142.8 | 18 |
| 19 | Manchester | 667 | 34 | 139.1 | 20 |
| 20 | Petoskey St. Michael | 668 | 28 | 141.0 | 19 |
| 21 | Lutheran Westland | 669 | 36 | 138.0 | 17 |
| 22 | Riverview Gabriel Richard | 695 | 36 | 138.0 | 22 |
| 23 | Marlette | 725 | 35 | 133.8 | 25 |
| 24 | Cardinal Mooney Catholic | 732 | 36 | 133.7 | 23 |
| 25 | Frankfort | 751 | 29 | 132.8 | 24 |
| 26 | Webberville | 800 | 33 | 129.8 | NR |
| 27 | Mesick | 831 | 29 | 136.0 | 27 |

Recap
Whitmore Lake has grabbed onto the top spot and isn’t letting go. The Trojans have benefitted from placing themselves in elite fields, then racing as if they belong (they do). 18th of 33 at Shepherd, 4th of 23 at Goodells. Both places contained races full of D1/D2 teams.
Breckenridge moved up quite a bit in these past two weeks. The main reason – a standout performance up the road at Bluejay. The Jays Division was home to many D4 teams, five now ranked in the top-17. Maizy Matthews had the best race of her freshman year, vaulting the Huskies into 2nd (and 1st amongst D4 outfits).
Looking Forward
More Portage! If there weren’t a thousand teams competing there, I’d actually attempt to predict how it’ll go down. Instead, we’ll let the results of these top teams speak for themselves:
#1 Whitmore Lake
#2 Breckenridge
#3 Hillsdale Academy
#5 Bridgman
#6 Kalamazoo Hackett
#7 Gobles
#10 Grand Traverse Academy
We’ll also get a tiny Region 36 preview over at Possum Hollow, with a surging #8 Auburn Hills Oakland Christian facing #9 Royal Oak Shrine.
Top 27
| Rank | Team | Score | Region | Top 5 Avg. | Last Week |
| 1 | Whitmore Lake | 144 | 33 | 110.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Breckenridge | 207 | 30 | 93.3 | 4 |
| 3 | Hillsdale Academy | 213 | 34 | 89.4 | 3 |
| 4 | Harbor Springs | 233 | 28 | 90.0 | 2 |
| 5 | Bridgman | 239 | 32 | 87.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Kalamazoo Hackett | 280 | 32 | 84.9 | 6 |
| 7 | Gobles | 305 | 31 | 89.1 | 7 |
| 8 | Auburn Hills Oakland Christian | 311 | 36 | 86.9 | 10 |
| 9 | Royal Oak Shrine | 352 | 36 | 74.6 | 8 |
| 10 | Grand Traverse Academy | 395 | 29 | 73.0 | 9 |
| 11 | Ubly | 428 | 35 | 67.9 | 11 |
| 12 | Vestaburg | 473 | 30 | 73.0 | 12 |
| 13 | Lansing Christian | 507 | 33 | 62.7 | 14 |
| 14 | Unionville-Sebewaing | 513 | 35 | 62.5 | 13 |
| 15 | Buckley | 533 | 29 | 59.7 | 17 |
| 16 | Martin | 541 | 31 | 62.6 | 15 |
| 17 | Maple City Glen Lake | 541 | 29 | 59.9 | 16 |
| 18 | Bear Lake-Onekama | 576 | 29 | 61.3 | NR |
| 19 | Harbor Beach | 590 | 35 | 55.6 | 19 |
| 20 | Holland Calvary Christian | 609 | 31 | 53.9 | 27 |
| 21 | Clarkston Everest Collegiate | 670 | 33 | 47.0 | 20 |
| 22 | Beal City | 673 | 30 | 46.9 | 18 |
| 23 | Leland | 684 | 29 | 40.1 | 21 |
| 24 | Fowler | 694 | 31 | 35.5 | NR |
| 25 | Rogers City | 699 | 28 | 44.6 | 23 |
| 26 | Plymouth Christian Academy | 742 | 36 | 45.2 | 22 |
| 27 | Mason County Eastern | 755 | 29 | 40.6 | 24 |
Individual Rankings
Recap
Week after week, he’s inching closer and closer. First a solid 16:04 on the hot Holly hills, then a personal best at Goodells, a 15:49. Then in the misty morning, being pushed by the D1 boys, a 15:43. Abenezer Cerone is entering his name into the fray for the D4 crown.
Frontrunner Marek Butkiewicz is matching those efforts. I remarked on the Week 3 rankings that, compared to last season, he had averaged 56 sec. faster per race. At Otsego, that difference was more than a minute. 15:27 this time around, clear of the D4 field by 75+ seconds.
Looking Forward
Unfortunately, we won’t be witness to a showdown between the above two. But we’ll see Abenezer Cerone at Oakland County, where he placed 17th last year. He’s probably a bet to place in the top-10, if not higher. Anyhow, it’ll be a solid bellwether for how he performs come November.
Although the high-profile matchup doesn’t exist, we’ll see some clarity from further down the line. Grayson Rorick, Landen Livingston, Landon Rogers, Cody Bradley, and Brody Karg are all listed one after another, separated by 5 seconds (1.7 rating points). And they’ll all be on the line south of Kalamazoo.
Top 30
| Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Rating |
| 1 | 11 | Marek Butkiewicz | Kalamazoo Hackett | 206.6 |
| 2 | 11 | Abenezer Cerone | Royal Oak Shrine | 205.5 |
| 3 | 12 | Theodore Davis | Dansville | 199.7 |
| 4 | 10 | Kyle Redman | Mesick | 198.0 |
| 5 | 12 | Colebrook Sutherland | Maple City Glen Lake | 195.7 |
| 6 | 12 | Mason Sinke | Bear Lake-Onekama | 193.1 |
| 7 | 12 | Alex Tyndall | Mason County Eastern | 192.1 |
| 8 | 11 | Grayson Rorick | Hillsdale Academy | 190.0 |
| 9 | 11 | Landen Livingston | Whitmore Lake | 189.8 |
| 10 | 11 | Landon Rogers | Three Oaks River Valley | 189.5 |
| 11 | 11 | Cody Bradley | Petoskey St. Michael | 188.8 |
| 12 | 11 | Brody Karg | Harbor Beach | 188.3 |
| 13 | 12 | Austin Sneed | East Jordan | 187.4 |
| 14 | 11 | Sean Siems | Kalamazoo Hackett | 186.8 |
| 15 | 12 | Tyler Laansma | Tri-Unity Christian | 184.9 |
| 16 | 10 | Ty Redman | Mesick | 184.7 |
| 17 | 10 | Jacob Ferdubinski | Riverview Gabriel Richard | 183.9 |
| 18 | 12 | Coleson Cruzan | White Cloud | 183.3 |
| 19 | 12 | Teddy Ippel | Bridgman | 182.6 |
| 20 | 12 | Andrew Mabry | Bridgman | 180.6 |
| 21 | 10 | Abraham Feeney | Maple City Glen Lake | 180.3 |
| 22 | 10 | Wesley Chaffee | Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart | 179.3 |
| 23 | 10 | Noah Schipper | Holland Calvary Christian | 178.6 |
| 24 | 12 | Reece Poole | Hillsdale Academy | 177.6 |
| 25 | 11 | Carter Clark | Carson City-Crystal | 176.7 |
| 26 | 11 | Grant Johnson | Manchester | 176.3 |
| 27 | 10 | Anthony Rowe | Breckenridge | 176.3 |
| 28 | 9 | Lincoln Laansma | Tri-Unity Christian | 176.0 |
| 29 | 11 | Luke Molenkamp | Hillsdale Academy | 173.7 |
| 30 | 10 | Vern Clyne | Auburn Hills Oakland Christian | 173.6 |
Recap
The first race in 2024’s fall where she’s been pushed, chasing another girl, Kaylie Livingston responded like the competitor that she’s shown herself to be. Her 17:55 in the elite field at Bluejay was her first sub-18 of the year and 40+ seconds clear of any D4 girls.
Mentioned earlier was Oakland Christian’s surge into the 8th spot. You can thank the ascending Eliza Keith for that. She just nabbed her first sub-19 ever, which was preceded by a 29th place finish in that same elite field. I should remind you that Eliza was 2nd at MIS as a sophomore and 3x All-State.
Looking Forward
Of course, Kaylie Livingston will be at Portage, hoping to add to her trophy case from the illustrious meet.
Of interest also in the D4 race will be the highly anticipated freshman Callie Sinke, who has recently debuted with wins in her first WMD Jamboree and at Bluejay. Taking the trek down 31 as well is Jane Manthei, who’s quietly run three sub-20’s thus far.
Just as Cerone, Eliza Keith will race all the big school girls at Kensington. She hasn’t raced there since 2021, where she placed 57th with a 21:39. I think she’s a lil’ faster, perhaps top-10 faster?
Top 30
| Rank | Grade | Name | Team | Rating |
| 1 | 10 | Kaylie Livingston | Whitmore Lake | 159.9 |
| 2 | 12 | Allie Nowak | Johannesburg-Lewiston | 149.9 |
| 3 | 12 | Abigail Davis | Vestaburg | 144.2 |
| 4 | 10 | Libby Smith | Gobles | 142.3 |
| 5 | 12 | Eliza Keith | Auburn Hills Oakland Christian | 136.0 |
| 6 | 12 | Izzy Brooks | Adrian Lenawee Christian | 132.5 |
| 7 | 9 | Callie Sinke | Bear Lake-Onekama | 129.7 |
| 8 | 12 | Jane Manthei | Petoskey St. Michael | 128.3 |
| 9 | 11 | Carina Burchi | Whitmore Lake | 121.5 |
| 10 | 11 | Taylor Wiegand | Livingston Christian | 120.6 |
| 11 | 10 | Stefi Reskevics | Harbor Springs | 119.0 |
| 12 | 12 | Ella Knudsen | Leland | 118.3 |
| 13 | 11 | Ally Schmitz | Breckenridge | 116.2 |
| 14 | 11 | Eleanor Cole | Lutheran Westland | 113.8 |
| 15 | 12 | Natalie Gibbs | Birmingham Roeper | 113.6 |
| 16 | 11 | Emma Riker | Kalamazoo Hackett | 112.5 |
| 17 | 10 | Addy Zeller | Bear Lake-Onekama | 112.1 |
| 18 | 11 | Lilah Kiley | Kingston | 112.1 |
| 19 | 11 | Elodie Weaver | Whitmore Lake | 112.0 |
| 20 | 10 | Veyda Conley | Martin | 111.3 |
| 21 | 12 | Presley Allen | Mendon | 110.7 |
| 22 | 10 | Lauren Shaffer | Gobles | 109.9 |
| 23 | 12 | Danica Aldrich | Breckenridge | 108.7 |
| 24 | 9 | Carmella Julian | Maple City Glen Lake | 105.3 |
| 25 | 10 | Lydia Gleason | Auburn Hills Oakland Christian | 105.1 |
| 26 | 12 | Kelcie Pung | Fowler | 104.5 |
| 27 | 12 | Melanie Warren | Bridgman | 103.6 |
| 28 | 10 | Claire Long | Saginaw Nouvel | 103.4 |
| 29 | 12 | Juniper Rodham | Harbor Springs | 103.4 |
| 30 | 10 | Harlie Fox | Johannesburg-Lewiston | 101.5 |
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