Once again, a quick little post on a Friday morning. These aren’t fancy with simulations and all, just a listing of this week’s ratings and the point totals that come along with that. Even though there are large meets regular season meets going on throughout the state, it’s still championship season and high time to prove these right or wrong.
Greater Flint
Team Trophy to Overall Champion Team Trophy to Division Champions Traveling Memorial Award to Individual Champions Top-14 in each division get medals
For the individuals, I listed it out as one big race. Projections for teams contain both overall and division listings.
Boys
Proj. Place
Team
Score
1
Flint Powers Catholic
58
2
Fenton
59
3
Grand Blanc
107
4
Owosso
144
5
Davison
144
6
Hartland
160
7
Linden
349
8
Flushing
358
9
Montrose
364
10
Corunna
389
11
Genesee Christian
390
12
Lapeer
415
13
Birch Run
444
14
Lake Fenton
481
15
Swartz Creek
487
16
Almont
503
17
Otisville LakeVille
531
18
Goodrich
540
19
New Lothrop
605
20
Flint Kearsley
615
21
Ovid-Elsie
646
Proj. Place
Team
Score
1
Fenton
34
2
Grand Blanc
61
3
Davison
78
4
Hartland
87
5
Flushing
177
6
Lapeer
190
7
Swartz Creek
211
Proj. Place
Team
Score
1
Flint Powers Catholic
26
2
Owosso
57
3
Linden
113
4
Birch Run
146
5
Lake Fenton
156
6
Goodrich
176
7
Flint Kearsley
197
Proj. Place
Team
Score
1
Montrose
74
2
Corunna
84
3
Genesee Christian
84
4
Almont
128
5
Otisville LakeVille
144
6
New Lothrop
174
7
Ovid-Elsie
203
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
Team
1
11
Lennox Naswell
Flint Powers Catholic
2
11
Gavin Katic
Fenton
3
10
Tommy McCormick
Grand Blanc
4
12
Connor O’Reilly
Davison
5
12
Ben Bouchey
Flint Powers Catholic
6
10
Jack Crongeyer
Grand Blanc
7
9
Camden Clevenger
Goodrich
8
11
Gerard Gilmour
Fenton
9
11
Ryan Rathsburg
Flint Powers Catholic
10
10
Leonidas Erfourth
Owosso
11
10
Matthew Lauderbaugh
Davison
12
11
Abram Larsen
Fenton
13
11
Jackson Butts
Lake Fenton
14
11
Brady Rappuhn
Owosso
15
9
Spencer Sobak
Owosso
16
11
Joe Coleman
Hartland
17
12
Levi Mayer
Davison
18
12
Benjamin Panter
Fenton
19
12
Jackson Defina
Fenton
20
11
Eli Hobson
Montrose
21
11
Griffin Solano
Flint Powers Catholic
22
11
Alex Iordanou
Flint Powers Catholic
23
11
CJ Shilling
Flushing
24
12
Sullivan Gartrell
Davison
25
11
Nicholas Priestap
Grand Blanc
26
11
Charlie Penneau
Flint Powers Catholic
27
12
Lucas Keilen
Hartland
28
12
Josh Bengry
Davison
29
11
Nolan Stadel
Genesee Christian
30
12
Jackson Martin
Fenton
31
11
Lincoln Gray
Hartland
32
10
Jack Cook
Grand Blanc
33
10
Gabe Schultz
Genesee Christian
34
9
Reece Lorencz
Goodrich
35
10
Chuck Lipset
Fenton
36
12
Ariston Dallas
Owosso
37
11
Christian LeConte
Owosso
38
11
Wyatt Roberts
Otisville LakeVille
39
11
Easton Mahan
Hartland
40
11
Michael Allen
Montrose
41
10
Jayden Smith
Grand Blanc
42
12
Kai Miller
Owosso
43
12
Hunter Hall
Lapeer
44
9
Carter Mausolf
Birch Run
45
10
Lucas Heid
Corunna
46
10
Nathan Woodward
Grand Blanc
47
11
David Torrey
Hartland
48
9
Tanner Peterson
Grand Blanc
49
11
Travis Rose
Flushing
50
10
Owen Davis
Swartz Creek
Girls
Proj. Place
Team
Score
1
Hartland
51
2
Linden
54
3
Goodrich
102
4
Grand Blanc
148
5
Flint Powers Catholic
175
6
Fenton
192
7
Davison
233
8
Flushing
234
9
Genesee Christian
242
10
Lapeer
278
11
Owosso
289
12
Lake Fenton
290
13
Birch Run
345
14
Montrose
349
15
New Lothrop
373
16
Corunna
460
17
Almont
464
18
Ovid-Elsie
538
19
Swartz Creek
590
Proj. Place
Team
Score
Division
1
Hartland
20
Large
2
Grand Blanc
66
Large
3
Fenton
89
Large
4
Davison
106
Large
5
Flushing
110
Large
6
Lapeer
127
Large
7
Swartz Creek
220
Large
Proj. Place
Team
Score
Division
1
Linden
34
Medium
2
Goodrich
49
Medium
3
Flint Powers Catholic
79
Medium
4
Lake Fenton
113
Medium
5
Owosso
118
Medium
6
Birch Run
137
Medium
Proj. Place
Team
Score
Division
1
Genesee Christian
34
Small
2
New Lothrop
65
Small
3
Montrose
65
Small
4
Almont
97
Small
5
Corunna
108
Small
6
Ovid-Elsie
139
Small
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
Team
1
11
Kayla Shellenbarger
Goodrich
2
12
Addison Josephson
Linden
3
11
Courtney Floeter
Linden
4
12
Alivia Ottinger
Goodrich
5
12
Ava Goodman
Hartland
6
10
Ruby Hoffmann
Hartland
7
10
Lila Miller
Hartland
8
11
Mila Villarreal
Flint Powers Catholic
9
12
Elliana Hufton
Lake Fenton
10
12
Baylor Lauinger
Goodrich
11
11
Livia Willing
Grand Blanc
12
12
Micali Teeple
Grand Blanc
13
12
Sidney Shepard
Linden
14
11
Abby Crandell
Owosso
15
10
Layla Foguth
Hartland
16
9
Isabelle Kopczyk
Fenton
17
9
Kennedy Kolodica
Linden
18
10
Gabrielle Desgrange
Hartland
19
11
Molly Roberts
Linden
20
12
Kylie Mausolf
Birch Run
21
10
Faith Smith
Genesee Christian
22
10
Emma Durling
Linden
23
12
Melody Meckstroth
Linden
24
12
Brooklyn Wiltse
Davison
25
10
Sydney Knieper
New Lothrop
26
11
Victoria Bouchey
Flint Powers Catholic
27
11
Leah Humphrey
Grand Blanc
28
11
Takoda Holicki
Montrose
29
12
Sophia Williams
Fenton
30
9
Penny Ewald
Owosso
31
9
Jade McCormick
Flint Powers Catholic
32
12
Lydia Powers
Lapeer
33
11
Avery Byers
Flushing
34
11
Andi Kirkman
Genesee Christian
35
10
Gwen Bloss
Hartland
36
12
Adilyn Anderson
Davison
37
12
Anne Marie Yarber
Hartland
38
9
Natalie Brownfield
Lapeer
39
11
Eleanor Olivo
Flushing
40
12
Jaidyn Nickels
Corunna
41
11
Kaylee Murphy
Grand Blanc
42
12
Emerson Brock
Davison
43
10
Addyson Campbell
Goodrich
44
9
Molly Scott
Goodrich
45
10
Reagan Keil
Flushing
46
10
Leah Edgar
Fenton
47
10
Casandra Morello
Fenton
48
10
Maria Haj
Flint Powers Catholic
49
8
Paizley Kirkman
Genesee Christian
50
11
Taylor Stanczak
Almont
Wayne County
Top-3 teams in Division 1, 2, 3/4 receive trophies Top-35 individuals receive medals
We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?
These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:
Ratings are generated via:
The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet
Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.
Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:
They account for course conditions and distance
If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume
Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.
Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.
Any Surprises?
Fenton
I always love it when an influential, fast kid comes along (Gavin Katic) comes along and the fortunes of a program change. I’m not saying Katic is the reason, but it’s sort of a coincidence, right? Anyhow, in the past year, we’ve seen the development of Gerard Gilmour (barreling toward the 15’s), Abram Larsen (getting into the 16’s for the first time ever), and Benjamin Panter (dropping a significant PB at Jackson), amongst many others.
Troy
New coach, no problem. The Colts have embraced the change and ran with it. The Witt boys, Henry and Jack, have been at the front of it, each running in the 16’s on a tough day at Holly, then Henry grabbing his first All-County medal this past weekend. Troy has also been helped by the addition of mid-distance star Andrew Svoboda, who is adjusting the longer distances quite nicely with his mid-17 efforts. I’m sure Clarkston, Lakeland, and Milford will be gunning for a qualifying spot, but the Colts have put themselves in a great position for success.
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
1
1
Jenison
43
3
200.2
1
2
Rockford
74
11
192.0
1
3
East Kentwood
79
15
194.6
1
4
Hudsonville
111
183.4
1
5
Grand Haven
133
183.6
1
6
Grandville
139
179.4
1
7
Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
208
165.8
1
8
Grand Rapids Northview
262
155.9
1
9
Forest Hills Northern
273
152.8
1
10
Grand Rapids Union
291
151.4
1
11
Greenville
307
148.1
1
12
Muskegon Mona Shores
347
140.5
1
13
Muskegon Reeths-Puffer
402
130.1
1
14
Wyoming
423
121.0
1
15
Muskegon
435
111.7
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
2
1
Traverse City West
42
4
201.0
2
2
Midland
83
6
193.8
2
3
Fenton
114
17
191.0
2
4
Traverse City Central
135
21
187.3
2
5
Saginaw Heritage
138
23
187.1
2
6
Davison
151
26
185.6
2
7
Grand Blanc
191
181.8
2
8
Midland Dow
203
180.5
2
9
Alpena
213
178.3
2
10
Mount Pleasant
261
173.7
2
11
Oxford
290
168.2
2
12
Bay City Western
342
159.0
2
13
Flushing
377
152.7
2
14
Lapeer
417
144.2
2
15
Swartz Creek
451
133.9
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
3
1
Caledonia
85
12
191.4
3
2
Lowell
88
10
195.1
3
3
Kalamazoo Central
92
14
193.6
3
4
Holland West Ottawa
121
24
186.3
3
5
Zeeland West
151
185.3
3
6
Battle Creek Lakeview
168
183.4
3
7
Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
198
179.4
3
8
Richland Gull Lake
205
178.8
3
9
Portage Central
231
177.0
3
10
Portage Northern
232
175.1
3
11
Forest Hills Central
238
174.8
3
12
Byron Center
282
171.0
3
13
Zeeland East
294
169.4
3
14
Mattawan
325
165.3
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
4
1
Brighton
42
2
201.0
4
2
Grand Ledge
58
5
195.6
4
3
Dexter
78
16
191.8
4
4
East Lansing
121
183.6
4
5
Howell
122
186.9
4
6
Okemos
196
171.7
4
7
Holt
201
173.2
4
8
South Lyon
235
167.7
4
9
South Lyon East
235
168.5
4
10
Mason
251
164.2
4
11
Lansing Waverly
324
145.8
4
12
Lansing Everett
387
122.6
4
13
Lansing Eastern
405
99.7
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
5
1
Saline
52
8
194.4
5
2
Ann Arbor Pioneer
66
19
192.0
5
3
Brownstown Woodhaven
110
179.2
5
4
Gibraltar Carlson
158
171.7
5
5
Wyandotte Roosevelt
160
171.8
5
6
Allen Park
162
171.3
5
7
Dearborn Fordson
162
171.5
5
8
Monroe
174
167.5
5
9
Temperance Bedford
179
167.3
5
10
Ypsilanti Lincoln
324
132.3
5
11
Southgate Anderson
343
117.3
5
12
Belleville
356
120.4
5
13
Detroit Cass Tech
361
116.8
5
14
Lincoln Park
433
79.5
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
6
1
Ann Arbor Skyline
22
1
201.5
6
2
Salem
51
7
195.1
6
3
Plymouth
111
181.0
6
4
Detroit U-D Jesuit
120
179.9
6
5
Livonia Churchill
131
178.3
6
6
Ann Arbor Huron
191
166.8
6
7
Canton
208
165.7
6
8
Dearborn
242
161.8
6
9
Grosse Pointe South
259
158.7
6
10
Livonia Franklin
282
154.5
6
11
Detroit Renaissance
286
150.4
6
12
Westland John Glenn
342
138.8
6
13
Wayne Memorial
404
110.6
6
14
Dearborn Heights Crestwood
426
96.6
6
15
Harper Woods
448
95.2
6
16
Detroit Mumford
536
-33.0
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
7
1
Northville
56
13
193.0
7
2
Detroit Catholic Central
57
18
190.2
7
3
Novi
90
184.3
7
4
Livonia Stevenson
129
178.2
7
5
Royal Oak
165
172.5
7
6
Berkley
200
167.6
7
7
West Bloomfield
247
159.2
7
8
Birmingham Seaholm
251
158.3
7
9
North Farmington
257
158.4
7
10
Bloomfield Hills
261
156.4
7
11
Farmington
280
154.0
7
12
Oak Park
313
148.0
7
13
Walled Lake Western
345
144.3
7
14
Beverly Hills Groves
367
139.7
7
15
Ferndale
392
127.6
7
16
Brother Rice
417
133.7
7
17
Walled Lake Central
524
98.4
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
8
1
Highland-Milford
55
20
189.8
8
2
Troy
60
25
186.9
8
3
White Lake Lakeland
75
27
185.4
8
4
Clarkston
99
182.3
8
5
Hartland
141
172.6
8
6
Utica
159
169.5
8
7
Troy Athens
163
170.3
8
8
Walled Lake Northern
213
164.0
8
9
Warren DeLaSalle
285
145.6
8
10
Waterford Kettering
306
144.5
8
11
Sterling Heights Stevenson
318
138.5
8
12
Utica Ford
342
136.8
8
13
Warren Woods Tower
397
116.2
8
14
Waterford Mott
430
81.5
8
15
Warren Mott
449
88.3
8
16
Sterling Heights
517
-68.8
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
9
1
Lake Orion
42
9
191.9
9
2
Romeo
76
22
186.8
9
3
Rochester
91
184.0
9
4
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
120
179.8
9
5
Rochester Adams
145
174.5
9
6
Macomb Dakota
168
171.7
9
7
Fraser
227
161.2
9
8
Anchor Bay
237
158.5
9
9
L’Anse Creuse North
241
159.3
9
10
Utica Eisenhower
242
158.0
9
11
Port Huron Northern
242
157.1
9
12
Chippewa Valley
309
145.2
9
13
St. Clair Shores Lakeview
375
128.2
9
14
Roseville
461
71.8
9
15
Port Huron
486
44.8
Battles to Watch
Region 6
Halfway through the fall, it seems that the site selection committee performed a bang-up job on the D1 Boys’ regions. Of course, Region 2 is kinda loaded, but it appears that 2-3 teams have somewhat separated. Much can change, but a good many of these appear definite as to who will be the three qualifiers. With the exception of this one! Salem and Skyline are favorites to advance, top-10 teams that finished 1st and 4th respectively at Jackson.
Who comes next? Maybe Plymouth or Livonia Churchill, two common qualifiers here out of Region 6? Perhaps U-D Jesuit, a 2026 surprise? The Cubs are coming off a Marauder Invite victory, led by Emmet Gardella, who has dropped significant time from his junior season. Churchill and Plymouth are neck in neck, evidenced by their most recent run at Jackson. The two teams were separated by 13 points and a single spot in the standings. The difference came at the 3rd-5th spots, where the Wildcats gained 71 points, enough to clear the Chargers.
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
1
1
12
Caden Livermore
221.6
Grandville
1
2
12
Luka Hammond
220.2
Grand Haven
1
3
12
Matii Tarekegn
219.1
East Kentwood
1
4
10
Archer VerHage
211.2
Grand Haven
1
5
11
Caleb Conner
203.0
Jenison
1
6
12
Josiah Derksen
202.9
Rockford
1
7
12
Ethan Burks
202.1
Jenison
1
8
11
Carter Cooke
201.7
Jenison
1
9
11
Chase Sherman
200.8
Jenison
1
10
12
Justin Johnson
200.8
East Kentwood
1
11
11
Luke Bultman
198.5
Rockford
1
12
12
Noah Watson
195.0
Rockford
1
13
12
Bradley Smies
194.8
Hudsonville
1
14
9
Hans Templeton
193.4
Jenison
1
15
12
Aduet (Jimma) Atem
192.9
East Kentwood
1
16
10
Lucas Mueller
189.1
Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
1
17
10
Sullivan Oberg
188.3
Jenison
1
18
11
Declan Duch
187.1
Jenison
1
19
11
Graham Kusmierski
185.5
Grandville
1
20
12
Charles Gavan
183.5
Rockford
1
21
12
Blaiz Shyaka
182.2
East Kentwood
1
22
12
Calvin Kasprowicz
181.8
Hudsonville
1
23
10
Alec Bolles
181.2
Hudsonville
1
24
10
Elijah Ouwinga
180.8
Hudsonville
1
25
9
Gabe Miller
180.2
Rockford
1
26
12
Liam Eaton
180.2
Grand Rapids Northview
1
27
10
James Hollebeek
179.7
Rockford
1
28
12
Arie Prins
178.7
Grand Rapids Union
1
29
12
Luke McCarty
178.4
Hudsonville
1
30
12
Braylon Morris
177.8
East Kentwood
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
2
1
12
Liam Wierzba
211.7
Traverse City West
2
2
11
Gavin Katic
211.2
Fenton
2
3
11
Johnathan Elsea
205.9
Mount Pleasant
2
4
11
Alexander Allen
205.7
Alpena
2
5
11
Finn Frost-Grayson
205.1
Traverse City West
2
6
12
Logan Gessford
204.7
Midland
2
7
10
Tommy McCormick
201.1
Grand Blanc
2
8
12
Connor O’Reilly
198.4
Davison
2
9
10
Emmett Duggar
197.6
Traverse City West
2
10
12
Austin Taft
197.4
Traverse City West
2
11
10
Jake Roberts
196.0
Midland Dow
2
12
11
Elliot King
194.8
Midland
2
13
12
Evan Fox
194.7
Traverse City Central
2
14
10
Alex Pelliccia
194.2
Midland
2
15
11
Pascal Rasmussen
193.8
Saginaw Heritage
2
16
11
Abe Blaskowski
193.1
Saginaw Heritage
2
17
10
Austin Hughes
193.0
Traverse City West
2
18
10
Jack Crongeyer
192.7
Grand Blanc
2
19
11
Gerard Gilmour
191.9
Fenton
2
20
10
Leland Barnett
190.5
Traverse City West
2
21
11
Joseph DuGuay
190.3
Traverse City Central
2
22
11
Bradley Chesney
190.2
Midland
2
23
10
Matthew Lauderbaugh
190.1
Davison
2
24
11
Brendan Werth
189.8
Alpena
2
25
11
Alec Brown
189.6
Saginaw Heritage
2
26
11
Jackson Shev
189.2
Traverse City Central
2
27
11
Abram Larsen
187.0
Fenton
2
28
11
Zach Vollbrecht
186.5
Traverse City West
2
29
12
Dustin Wright
185.1
Midland
2
30
12
Levi Mayer
183.7
Davison
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
3
1
12
Samuel Baker
218.6
Kalamazoo Central
3
2
12
Marshall Huhn
216.6
Lowell
3
3
10
Tanner Smith
203.4
Zeeland West
3
4
11
Marcus Essling
200.8
Portage Central
3
5
11
Sean Thompson
200.2
Caledonia
3
6
12
Cody Bromley
199.8
Lowell
3
7
11
Bennett Snapper
199.8
Caledonia
3
8
12
Colin Stawasz
199.1
Lowell
3
9
9
Cody Lam
197.8
Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
3
10
10
Jackson Pant
197.0
Richland Gull Lake
3
11
11
Karson Lewis
196.6
Battle Creek Lakeview
3
12
11
Elijah Demlow
195.9
Battle Creek Lakeview
3
13
10
Bryson Hassevoort
195.6
Zeeland West
3
14
10
Maxwell Post
195.2
Holland West Ottawa
3
15
12
Brady Winther-MacInnis
193.3
Kalamazoo Central
3
16
11
Bentley Nichols
190.1
Caledonia
3
17
11
Adam Shorb
189.8
Portage Northern
3
18
11
Colby Bartells
189.7
Kalamazoo Central
3
19
12
Nate Davis
189.6
Zeeland East
3
20
12
Sebastian Ruiz
187.9
Holland West Ottawa
3
21
11
Cole Mckenna
187.7
Caledonia
3
22
12
Tristan Zhang
187.3
Portage Central
3
23
11
Jackson Duval
186.7
Battle Creek Lakeview
3
24
12
Boston Wilkinson
186.3
Holland West Ottawa
3
25
9
Lucan Walker
186.1
Portage Northern
3
26
11
Henry Yoder
184.4
Forest Hills Central
3
27
12
Jontee Willhite
184.1
Kalamazoo Central
3
28
10
Tyler Bromley
183.8
Lowell
3
29
11
Zachary Newman
183.2
Byron Center
3
30
9
Silas Pinney
182.6
Holland West Ottawa
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
4
1
12
Jack MacGregor
219.2
Howell
4
2
11
Rylen Richey
209.1
Grand Ledge
4
3
12
Coen Hill
208.6
Dexter
4
4
10
Josh Keillor-Beale
205.2
Brighton
4
5
12
Caelan Marsh
204.0
Grand Ledge
4
6
10
Tucker Asman
203.4
Brighton
4
7
10
Grant Kulesza
201.8
Brighton
4
8
11
Kilian Boulware-Lopez
201.0
East Lansing
4
9
12
Nick Martens
200.8
Dexter
4
10
11
Nikhil Ball
200.6
South Lyon East
4
11
11
Roarke MacArthur
198.8
Brighton
4
12
11
Rem Piper
198.2
Holt
4
13
12
Nolan Lounds
196.3
Grand Ledge
4
14
11
Brendan Williams
195.9
Brighton
4
15
12
Simon Shutt
187.5
Okemos
4
16
11
Alex Weller
186.6
Howell
4
17
12
Hudson McCleskey
186.3
Dexter
4
18
12
Dayton VanderMoere
184.5
Grand Ledge
4
19
12
Owen Collin
183.9
Brighton
4
20
12
Noah Thelen
183.9
Grand Ledge
4
21
11
Toby Regulinski
183.6
East Lansing
4
22
9
Brayden Kasmar
183.6
Mason
4
23
11
Easton Howell
183.5
Dexter
4
24
11
Grayson Diadiun
182.6
Howell
4
25
11
Shane Cory
179.8
Brighton
4
26
11
Nicholas Reiser
179.8
Dexter
4
27
11
Alejandro Nagy
179.8
East Lansing
4
28
9
Colin Bigelow
178.7
Dexter
4
29
12
Micah Couser
178.6
Grand Ledge
4
30
12
Triston Thompson
177.8
Dexter
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
5
1
12
Kamari Ronfeldt
220.6
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
2
12
Jacob Szalay
214.0
Saline
5
3
11
Mourad Algahmi
202.0
Dearborn Fordson
5
4
11
Jack Dunwoody
197.3
Gibraltar Carlson
5
5
11
Wes Rogan
196.8
Saline
5
6
10
Wyatt DelValle
195.7
Gibraltar Carlson
5
7
12
Vincent Jones
193.5
Brownstown Woodhaven
5
8
10
Jaden Hill
191.8
Allen Park
5
9
12
Cameron Varner
191.8
Temperance Bedford
5
10
12
Max Carne
191.0
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
11
11
Zachary Greene
190.3
Wyandotte Roosevelt
5
12
12
John (Jack) Klein
190.1
Saline
5
13
11
Asher Sikma
187.8
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
14
12
Noah Amori
187.7
Wyandotte Roosevelt
5
15
10
Zawadi Mwathi
187.5
Brownstown Woodhaven
5
16
10
Will Sollenberger
186.7
Saline
5
17
9
Reed Nadig
184.3
Saline
5
18
12
Carlos Basulto
184.3
Saline
5
19
12
Walker Ledbetter
184.3
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
20
11
Gavin Rohr
183.6
Monroe
5
21
12
Ryan Rummel
181.3
Saline
5
22
12
Mohamed Aljahmi
180.2
Dearborn Fordson
5
23
12
Blake Lancaster
176.6
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
24
12
Cooper Ankeney
175.7
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
25
12
Calen Alexander
174.8
Brownstown Woodhaven
5
26
10
Parker Wisniewski
173.7
Southgate Anderson
5
27
9
Gavin Herrera-Hammerle
173.0
Brownstown Woodhaven
5
28
11
Victor LeBrun
172.5
Monroe
5
29
11
Anthony Boggess
172.0
Ann Arbor Pioneer
5
30
11
Jacob Goachee
171.6
Monroe
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
6
1
12
Austin Mercado
213.0
Salem
6
2
10
Hudson Doll
207.3
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
3
11
Roman Stilwell
202.2
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
4
11
Martin Gehrke
201.3
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
5
12
Jack Hanner
199.8
Salem
6
6
11
Oskar MacArthur
198.5
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
7
12
Matthew Guikema
198.1
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
8
12
Samuel Batt
197.3
Salem
6
9
12
Emmet Gardella
194.3
Detroit U-D Jesuit
6
10
10
Davin MacDonald
192.5
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
11
12
Garrett Comer
191.8
Ann Arbor Skyline
6
12
9
Dane Jadallah
190.6
Plymouth
6
13
10
Troy Verhelle
190.6
Livonia Churchill
6
14
12
Tyler Bjorklund
187.9
Livonia Churchill
6
15
11
Aarav Kalantry
185.6
Ann Arbor Huron
6
16
12
Rami Bazzi
185.5
Dearborn
6
17
9
Josh Lehn
184.4
Salem
6
18
11
Landen Martell
182.8
Plymouth
6
19
12
Justin Mkrtumian
181.3
Detroit U-D Jesuit
6
20
12
Owen Dalebout
181.0
Salem
6
21
12
Adam Burns
180.9
Salem
6
22
10
Jack Caveney
180.8
Plymouth
6
23
11
Andrew Slosar
180.8
Detroit U-D Jesuit
6
24
11
Conrad Marra
180.1
Ann Arbor Huron
6
25
12
Kamden O’Donnell
180.0
Canton
6
26
12
Dylan Kosik
179.7
Plymouth
6
27
12
Will Fust
178.2
Livonia Churchill
6
28
10
Theo Kim
177.8
Salem
6
29
10
Callan Fleming
177.1
Detroit U-D Jesuit
6
30
11
Jake Wallace
176.9
Dearborn
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
7
1
12
Brandon Cloud
215.0
Northville
7
2
11
Brady Glon
199.0
Detroit Catholic Central
7
3
10
Luke Kramer
197.8
Detroit Catholic Central
7
4
12
Devin Lau
197.7
Farmington
7
5
11
Lucas Brumo
196.4
Livonia Stevenson
7
6
12
Noah Verdejo
195.6
Novi
7
7
9
Ari Kyritses
193.4
Northville
7
8
12
Trevor Baptist
193.3
Novi
7
9
9
Will Buckley
192.5
Detroit Catholic Central
7
10
12
Keats Rosenbrock
189.3
Royal Oak
7
11
9
Ryan Porenta
189.1
Detroit Catholic Central
7
12
10
George Mockeridge
188.7
Birmingham Seaholm
7
13
12
Beckett Sipes
187.6
Royal Oak
7
14
9
Mateo Lindenmeyer
186.8
Northville
7
15
12
Tyler Hennessey
186.5
Berkley
7
16
9
Braden Millar
185.8
Northville
7
17
10
Colt Ludlam
184.0
Livonia Stevenson
7
18
11
Manny Coates
183.8
Northville
7
19
11
Owen Lawrence
182.2
Bloomfield Hills
7
20
11
John McCann
182.2
Novi
7
21
10
Ashton Kashat
181.2
Northville
7
22
12
Jack Lewis
181.1
Northville
7
23
10
Kaden Boura
178.4
Ferndale
7
24
11
Shree Patel
177.2
Livonia Stevenson
7
25
12
Zachary Brown
176.0
Novi
7
26
12
Musa Kay
175.6
West Bloomfield
7
27
9
Gates Emmett
175.4
Birmingham Seaholm
7
28
9
Langston Bickerdt
175.0
Oak Park
7
29
12
Colin Stokes
174.8
North Farmington
7
30
12
Reuben Swafford
174.7
North Farmington
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
8
1
11
Cooper McNaughton
207.9
Clarkston
8
2
11
Todd Tobin Jr
204.6
Highland-Milford
8
3
10
Lucas Naspinsky
198.9
White Lake Lakeland
8
4
10
Aiden Doggett
197.3
Highland-Milford
8
5
12
Jack Witt
195.2
Troy
8
6
12
Colin Blachford
193.7
Troy Athens
8
7
9
Jack Klein
193.4
White Lake Lakeland
8
8
11
Asa Konwinski
191.9
Troy
8
9
12
Henry Witt
191.3
Troy
8
10
11
Owen Nelms
188.0
White Lake Lakeland
8
11
12
Rowan DeHority
187.5
Highland-Milford
8
12
11
Asher Lawson
186.6
Walled Lake Northern
8
13
12
Vern Clyne
186.2
Clarkston
8
14
11
Joe Coleman
184.5
Hartland
8
15
9
Austin Zielinski
183.2
Highland-Milford
8
16
9
Owen Lince
182.4
White Lake Lakeland
8
17
12
Andrew Svoboda
179.2
Troy
8
18
11
Jacob Solomon
178.4
Utica
8
19
12
Lucas Keilen
178.0
Hartland
8
20
12
Miles Foster
177.7
Clarkston
8
21
11
Charles Zhang
176.8
Troy
8
22
10
Aarush Arora
176.7
Troy
8
23
12
Jacob Blakemore
176.3
Highland-Milford
8
24
12
Tanner Wertz
175.4
Highland-Milford
8
25
9
Gabriel Kalinowski
175.3
Highland-Milford
8
26
11
Lincoln Gray
173.7
Hartland
8
27
12
Jaron Osanaiye
172.3
Sterling Heights Stevenson
8
28
11
Eddie Nolan
171.1
Troy Athens
8
29
12
Sebastian Morrison
171.1
Warren DeLaSalle
8
30
11
Terry Tankersley
170.9
Utica
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
9
1
11
Xavier Solgot
207.4
L’Anse Creuse North
9
2
11
Aidan Schwalbach
201.2
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9
3
11
Lucas Campbell
200.7
Rochester
9
4
11
Ricardo Guajardo
198.8
Lake Orion
9
5
11
Wesley LaFever
198.7
Macomb Dakota
9
6
10
Luis Nava
193.2
Lake Orion
9
7
12
Jesse Reed
192.5
Rochester Adams
9
8
10
Joseph Leigh
191.4
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9
9
9
Logan Meerschaert
190.1
Lake Orion
9
10
10
Avery Clinton-Barnett
189.8
Lake Orion
9
11
10
Ripley Clor
189.3
Romeo
9
12
12
Grant Davis
189.0
Port Huron Northern
9
13
12
Zach McGee
187.8
Lake Orion
9
14
10
Finley Clor
187.0
Romeo
9
15
11
Federico Moreno-Padilla
186.8
Utica Eisenhower
9
16
10
Brayden Goodsell
186.8
Romeo
9
17
10
Dax Purdy
186.2
Romeo
9
18
12
Carson Hlavin
184.7
Romeo
9
19
9
Jerryd Cromer
181.9
Rochester
9
20
12
Conner McLaughlin
180.5
Rochester
9
21
12
Luke Nagy
180.3
Rochester Adams
9
22
9
Elijah Campbell
179.8
Rochester
9
23
10
Gavin Soviar
179.3
Fraser
9
24
12
Chase Mallory
178.6
Macomb Dakota
9
25
11
Sebastian Azar
178.0
Anchor Bay
9
26
10
Logan Cichoracki
177.8
Romeo
9
27
12
Alonso San Vicente Lugo
177.3
Rochester
9
28
10
Matthew Zora
176.6
Rochester
9
29
9
Clayton House
175.9
Lake Orion
9
30
12
Brandon Ziehmer
175.6
Anchor Bay
Any Surprises?
Richland Gull Lake
Okay, it’s mainly Annie Isom doing some work. After placing 6th in the Division 1 400m and ending the spring as Michigan’s fastest 800m girl, she’s decided to try her hand at XC before she heads off to run for the Gators. Three 5k’s into the season and she’s already whittled her time down into the mid-18’s. That’s impactful. However, she’s not the only contributor, as Lacy Smith and Caroline Reynolds have already hit PR’s and Kalynn Young just dropped 30 sec. from her time a year ago at Bulldog.
Berkley
When your top dawg embraces change and improves, it’s gotta leak over to the rest of the team, right? Paige Rohda had been running at a high level for her first two years, breaking into the low-18’s last fall, qualifying for the 3200m as a freshman. She’s been on a higher plane in 2026, an example coming from this past weekend’s Oakland County Championship, where she dropped nearly 1.5 minutes in a year. She’s brought Bears along with her, such as Isabella Glibota (21:08 > 20:11) and Ana Lucia Reynoso (breaking 21:00 earlier in the season than ever before). It’a total team effort.
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
1
1
Hudsonville
50
6
138.9
1
2
Rockford
54
7
135.2
1
3
Grand Haven
78
20
121.0
1
4
Jenison
115
117.7
1
5
East Kentwood
142
109.0
1
6
Forest Hills Northern
162
104.9
1
7
Grandville
171
100.4
1
8
Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
237
84.2
1
9
Muskegon Mona Shores
248
79.9
1
10
Greenville
267
75.2
1
11
Muskegon Reeths-Puffer
307
53.1
1
12
Grand Rapids Northview
374
40.2
1
13
Grand Rapids Union
410
16.2
1
14
Wyoming
469
-152.6
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
2
1
Traverse City Central
55
16
124.4
2
2
Traverse City West
79
24
122.6
2
3
Midland Dow
83
22
122.5
2
4
Mount Pleasant
139
104.7
2
5
Grand Blanc
162
99.5
2
6
Oxford
178
96.2
2
7
Fenton
220
88.4
2
8
Bay City Western
225
87.5
2
9
Davison
245
81.3
2
10
Flushing
257
79.7
2
11
Midland
275
73.8
2
12
Lapeer
289
71.0
2
13
Saginaw Heritage
339
43.6
2
14
Alpena
340
62.3
2
15
Swartz Creek
489
-47.2
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
3
1
Portage Central
52
4
136.9
3
2
Holland West Ottawa
89
14
125.5
3
3
Richland Gull Lake
114
27
118.3
3
4
Zeeland West
126
115.4
3
5
Zeeland East
126
26
123.8
3
6
Caledonia
133
112.8
3
7
Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
179
104.8
3
8
Portage Northern
227
98.5
3
9
Byron Center
239
93.0
3
10
Battle Creek Lakeview
270
86.9
3
11
Forest Hills Central
290
82.5
3
12
Lowell
291
83.2
3
13
Mattawan
354
65.2
3
14
Kalamazoo Central
428
29.0
3
15
Battle Creek Central
504
-184.5
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
4
1
Brighton
64
9
127.2
4
2
Howell
73
11
124.7
4
3
Dexter
86
12
127.6
4
4
Mason
98
21
120.1
4
5
Grand Ledge
124
116.5
4
6
South Lyon East
140
111.5
4
7
Okemos
161
112.2
4
8
East Lansing
169
108.5
4
9
Holt
248
87.4
4
10
South Lyon
261
85.9
4
11
Lansing Waverly
371
2.9
4
12
Lansing Eastern
392
-43.7
4
13
Lansing Everett
411
-119.2
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
5
1
Ann Arbor Pioneer
22
1
165.4
5
2
Brownstown Woodhaven
60
10
128.2
5
3
Saline
65
17
129.5
5
4
Temperance Bedford
118
102.4
5
5
Gibraltar Carlson
123
96.4
5
6
Wyandotte Roosevelt
228
64.0
5
7
Dearborn Fordson
240
62.1
5
8
Allen Park
243
60.8
5
9
Ypsilanti Lincoln
251
47.9
5
10
Southgate Anderson
253
50.4
5
11
Monroe
274
45.7
5
12
Belleville
364
1.8
5
13
Detroit Cass Tech
396
-24.4
5
14
Detroit Martin Luther King
434
-100.4
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
6
1
Ann Arbor Skyline
17
2
142.5
6
2
Salem
80
106.6
6
3
Grosse Pointe South
92
107.1
6
4
Ann Arbor Huron
109
98.7
6
5
Plymouth
148
86.0
6
6
Livonia Churchill
151
83.2
6
7
Canton
169
80.9
6
8
Livonia Franklin
220
61.7
6
9
Dearborn
260
43.5
6
10
Detroit Renaissance
310
21.2
6
11
Dearborn Heights Crestwood
344
6.0
6
12
Westland John Glenn
388
-33.2
6
13
Harper Woods
403
-43.5
6
14
Wayne Memorial
469
-257.1
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
7
1
Northville
33
3
147.2
7
2
Novi
78
19
123.1
7
3
Berkley
129
108.3
7
4
Farmington
138
103.2
7
5
Bloomfield Hills
171
95.7
7
6
Royal Oak
183
91.5
7
7
Birmingham Seaholm
189
90.2
7
8
Oak Park
203
88.2
7
9
Beverly Hills Groves
213
85.3
7
10
Livonia Stevenson
243
73.0
7
11
Walled Lake Central
253
60.6
7
12
Walled Lake Western
309
52.8
7
13
North Farmington
380
-10.2
7
14
West Bloomfield
413
15.1
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
8
1
White Lake Lakeland
55
8
128.5
8
2
Utica
58
18
125.7
8
3
Hartland
59
13
124.6
8
4
Clarkston
107
111.3
8
5
Walled Lake Northern
149
100.4
8
6
Highland-Milford
172
94.1
8
7
Troy
186
89.7
8
8
Troy Athens
246
73.7
8
9
Waterford Kettering
247
72.8
8
10
Sterling Heights Stevenson
262
69.1
8
11
Utica Ford
308
56.4
8
12
Warren Mott
317
52.3
8
13
Warren Woods Tower
401
24.6
8
14
Warren Cousino
450
-37.0
8
15
Waterford Mott
459
-47.1
8
16
Sterling Heights
514
-220.3
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
9
1
Rochester Adams
46
5
135.3
9
2
Romeo
75
15
130.8
9
3
Macomb Dakota
96
23
123.0
9
4
Rochester
97
25
120.2
9
5
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
155
103.4
9
6
Lake Orion
163
104.0
9
7
Utica Eisenhower
207
87.6
9
8
Fraser
214
88.1
9
9
Anchor Bay
242
82.6
9
10
Port Huron Northern
245
79.9
9
11
L’Anse Creuse North
279
67.4
9
12
Chippewa Valley
293
64.1
9
13
St. Clair Shores Lakeview
418
-3.0
9
14
Port Huron
446
-23.9
9
15
Roseville
459
-115.7
Battles to Watch
Region 7
The top-two spots are probably as set in stone as you’ll get, Northville and Novi being clear favorites to advance. Two squads have emerged in competition for the 3rd qualifier – Farmington and Berkley. Berkley is mentioned above, an inner-ring suburb squad that’s greatly improved from last fall. Farmington is coming off a conference win in the LVC Lakes Division. Both squads are looking to get runners back, with a few contributors missing from their Oakland County lineups, where Farmington prevailed.
Region 9
This realignment, gerrymandering of northern suburb D1 regions has led to an interesting matchup. Rochester had typically been in Region 8, an Oakland County-centric spot. Macomb Dakota had hung out in Region 9, heavily centered on Macomb County teams. Now they could face off as two contenders for the third spot out of Region 9. Both the Falcons and Cougars go about things fairly similarly. Each have a low-stick that’s rapidly rising. Each have a culture that’s been cultivated over years. Each have solid depth. Whomever makes it out will have earned it.
We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?
These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:
Ratings are generated via:
The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet
Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.
Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:
They account for course conditions and distance
If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume
Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.
Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.
Any Surprises?
Whitehall
Well, Bobby Jazwinski’s early times have been a bit of a surprise. But he’s gone from #1 in D2 from the summer to #1 in D2 in early October. Rex Pumford, his understudy is performing as expected, in the conversation for a medal in a month’s time. Solid depth pieces in Ian Dennis and Scout Freiheit are improving as sophomores typically do. Who has brought the Vikings up the standings? Alex Winczewski, finding the sport again after a 6-year hiatus. The senior’s first XC fall at the HS level has led him into the mid-18’s on a few occasions, most recently at Allendale.
Vicksburg
We could kinda glimpse the inklings of this during track, where the Bulldogs had three boys at/under 4:45 and 10:30, not to mention Carson Summerfield tearing it up over two laps. Even considering the springtime speed, Vicksburg had a bit of room they’d need to maneuver across, coming off a cross season where they placed 5th in Region 13 and 4th in the Wolverine Conference. Thus far, they’ve faced five teams in conference action and haven’t yet lost. Can that extend to the regional level? There’s many of the same teams.
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
10
1
Petoskey
43
6
187.8
10
2
Spring Lake
97
21
175.8
10
3
Whitehall
146
178.3
10
4
Fremont
151
168.1
10
5
Reed City
156
167.6
10
6
Ludington
167
164.4
10
7
Gaylord
200
159.5
10
8
Cadillac
206
160.8
10
9
Howard City Tri-County
232
154.6
10
10
Big Rapids
236
153.4
10
11
Muskegon Oakridge
239
149.8
10
12
Fruitport
240
149.7
10
13
Clare
267
147.6
10
14
Remus Chippewa Hills
425
79.6
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
11
1
Holland Christian
21
1
197.7
11
2
Cedar Springs
100
23
174.8
11
3
Hudsonville Unity Christian
113
172.0
11
4
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
122
174.2
11
5
Holland
127
171.3
11
6
Coopersville
134
169.2
11
7
Allendale
153
165.9
11
8
Sparta
239
149.3
11
9
South Haven
249
142.4
11
10
Grand Rapids West Catholic
292
134.0
11
11
Allegan
301
130.5
11
12
Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
332
118.3
11
13
Hamilton
366
111.0
11
14
Wyoming Lee
430
80.8
11
15
Comstock Park
449
61.6
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
12
1
East Grand Rapids
38
2
193.7
12
2
Grand Rapids Christian
67
8
186.6
12
3
Forest Hills Eastern
95
16
180.1
12
4
Grand Rapids South Christian
118
173.8
12
5
Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
149
168.0
12
6
GR West Michigan Aviation
208
155.9
12
7
Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
226
152.5
12
8
Hopkins
267
140.8
12
9
Lake Odessa Lakewood
275
140.4
12
10
Portland
291
129.1
12
11
Grand River Preparatory
299
133.4
12
12
Hastings
313
132.0
12
13
Wayland Union
319
128.0
12
14
Ionia
326
121.3
12
15
Battle Creek Pennfield
377
104.2
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
13
1
Vicksburg
77
13
184.1
13
2
Otsego
83
12
182.7
13
3
St. Joseph
83
15
182.0
13
4
Paw Paw
105
19
179.4
13
5
Edwardsburg
151
171.8
13
6
Battle Creek Harper Creek
160
168.6
13
7
Three Rivers
196
164.9
13
8
Sturgis
246
155.0
13
9
Plainwell
246
155.6
13
10
Coldwater
254
151.8
13
11
Niles
257
152.2
13
12
Marshall
267
148.9
13
13
Berrien Springs
311
139.1
13
14
Stevensville Lakeshore
386
120.0
13
15
Dowagiac Union
473
89.9
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
14
1
Parma Western
39
5
189.7
14
2
DeWitt
69
14
181.5
14
3
Owosso
80
18
179.0
14
4
Haslett
93
22
177.1
14
5
Williamston
101
25
175.6
14
6
St. Johns
186
155.1
14
7
Linden
213
149.2
14
8
Corunna
219
146.9
14
9
Lake Fenton
242
139.6
14
10
Jackson Northwest
337
115.6
14
11
Eaton Rapids
353
106.2
14
12
Charlotte
356
107.2
14
13
Fowlerville
358
102.4
14
14
Lansing Sexton
452
-171.2
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
15
1
Flint Powers Catholic
49
4
192.0
15
2
Alma
61
7
188.6
15
3
Shepherd
70
9
184.3
15
4
Freeland
124
27
174.2
15
5
Saginaw Swan Valley
182
158.3
15
6
Frankenmuth
201
155.9
15
7
Clio
233
146.1
15
8
Essexville-Garber
257
141.9
15
9
Birch Run
268
139.6
15
10
North Branch
268
136.9
15
11
Bay City John Glenn
271
136.6
15
12
Goodrich
279
134.8
15
13
Flint Kearsley
369
108.3
15
14
Saginaw United
376
103.1
15
15
Bay City Central
381
108.7
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
16
1
Pinckney
22
3
193.4
16
2
Chelsea
72
17
179.7
16
3
Detroit Country Day
81
24
176.3
16
4
Dearborn Divine Child
89
26
174.0
16
5
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
91
20
175.7
16
6
Grosse Pointe North
191
129.9
16
7
Detroit Voyageur
230
105.5
16
8
Warren Lincoln
273
65.8
16
9
Garden City
277
60.0
16
10
Eastpointe
283
56.0
16
11
Detroit Southeastern Tech
341
-33.8
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
17
1
Holly
34
10
186.3
17
2
Yale
99
159.5
17
3
Marysville
102
160.8
17
4
Macomb Lutheran North
149
152.9
17
5
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
154
150.1
17
6
Croswell-Lexington
157
148.8
17
7
St. Clair
167
146.3
17
8
Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
179
140.3
17
9
Imlay City
246
124.1
17
10
Armada
254
124.4
17
11
Madison Heights Lamphere
256
117.5
17
12
St. Clair Shores Lake Shore
340
101.3
17
13
Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
356
98.0
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
18
1
Adrian
32
11
183.6
18
2
Tecumseh
74
170.1
18
3
New Boston Huron
97
165.2
18
4
Carleton Airport
114
159.0
18
5
Monroe Jefferson
140
154.9
18
6
Grosse Ile
180
145.7
18
7
Ypsilanti Community
184
145.1
18
8
Dundee
231
136.7
18
9
Riverview
233
135.9
18
10
Trenton
249
131.8
18
11
Ida
305
120.2
18
12
Flat Rock
330
116.6
18
13
Milan
339
107.2
18
14
Melvindale
356
105.4
Battles to Watch
Region 11
Where Holland Christian will surely occupy the top spot, and as many as six teams could vie for the other two. Cedar Springs, Unity Christian, GR Catholic Central, Holland, Coopersville, and Allendale are all in contention. Cedar Springs is probably the favorite of the bunch, almost all of their boys hitting a PR over the past two weeks of competition. They were also victorious over Allendale and Coopersville at the most recent RCA Jamboree. We also had a recent matchup between Holland and GRCC at Allendale, where the Dutch cleared the Cougars by a 26-point margin, buttttt Mitchell Dunlap did not run.
Region 16
These teams are coming from all over. Far into Washtenaw County, you’ve got Chelsea and Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard. Reaching up over 8 Mile, Detroit Country Day. A few miles from the MIXC headquarters, Divine Child. Far from one another in geography, close in proximity in projections and rankings. These four squads are ranked within 9 spots of one another and projected within 20 points too. They’ve all got different routes to success. Country Day has the best low-stick in Jack Hincks. Chelsea extends into a solid top-two of Wyeth Angus and Samuel Clifton. Gabriel Richard has the lowest 1-5 spread of the four, 45 seconds by the ratings. And Divine Child has the best 4-5 combo, an always crucial area.
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
10
1
12
Robert Jazwinski III
230.4
Whitehall
10
2
12
Lukas Albright
204.7
Big Rapids
10
3
12
Bryce Falbe
198.7
Muskegon Oakridge
10
4
12
Jack Frentz
194.7
Petoskey
10
5
11
Christian Pavlige
193.9
Fruitport
10
6
12
Reeve Oberman
193.7
Petoskey
10
7
11
Rex Pumford
193.0
Whitehall
10
8
12
Garrett Lansing
187.9
Petoskey
10
9
9
Conrad Schwass
185.1
Ludington
10
10
10
Colton Mulder
185.0
Cadillac
10
11
12
Owen Adams
184.5
Spring Lake
10
12
12
Carson Brey
181.4
Petoskey
10
13
10
Owen Young
181.3
Petoskey
10
14
12
Griffin Frentz
180.1
Petoskey
10
15
11
Abraham Kiaunis
179.2
Reed City
10
16
11
Tanner Dozier
178.4
Reed City
10
17
12
Ryder Woodwyk
176.6
Spring Lake
10
18
10
Dane Trask
175.7
Spring Lake
10
19
11
Isaac Vandlen
175.1
Spring Lake
10
20
12
Jayden Mueller
174.8
Muskegon Oakridge
10
21
11
Tate Smith
174.1
Fremont
10
22
12
Gabe Grierson
173.9
Ludington
10
23
10
Noah Strother
173.7
Gaylord
10
24
12
Alex Flores
173.7
Ludington
10
25
12
Mossen Green
172.4
Fremont
10
26
11
Max Taylor
170.2
Fremont
10
27
10
David Strother
169.8
Gaylord
10
28
11
Dylan Winskas
169.7
Fruitport
10
29
11
Keagon Kostecki
169.6
Big Rapids
10
30
10
Ethan Strother
169.4
Gaylord
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
11
1
12
Mitchell Dunlap
206.6
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11
2
10
Grant Lampen
201.0
Holland Christian
11
3
9
Drew Franken
200.0
Holland Christian
11
4
10
Zander Stewart
199.1
Holland Christian
11
5
12
Cole Coffman
195.7
Holland Christian
11
6
11
Aiden Lambers
195.4
Holland
11
7
10
Zach Diller
192.9
Holland Christian
11
8
12
Mason Hill
192.1
Allendale
11
9
12
Peyton Farrell
186.8
Cedar Springs
11
10
12
Alex Ten Haken
183.8
Hudsonville Unity Christian
11
11
10
Reuben Riemersma
183.0
Hudsonville Unity Christian
11
12
11
Cole Raymond
182.6
Coopersville
11
13
10
James Elliott
180.1
Cedar Springs
11
14
12
Samuel Organ
180.0
Cedar Springs
11
15
11
Derek Bostrom
179.6
Holland Christian
11
16
12
Rylan VanDenBeldt
179.4
Holland Christian
11
17
10
Brycen Stewart
178.4
Allendale
11
18
12
Kellen Chalupa
177.9
Allegan
11
19
12
Brandon Peterson
177.5
Coopersville
11
20
11
Caelen Gray
175.9
Holland
11
21
9
Jack Schulte
174.4
Holland
11
22
11
Zane Molewyk
173.5
Coopersville
11
23
11
Hagan Biehl
170.9
Sparta
11
24
12
Nolan Wiens
170.0
South Haven
11
25
10
Cameron Howe
169.0
Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
11
26
9
Hayden Woodwyk
168.2
Hudsonville Unity Christian
11
27
10
Eli Schout
168.1
Hudsonville Unity Christian
11
28
10
Leo Alivia
167.8
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11
29
9
Nolan Richardson
167.5
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11
30
12
Tristan See
165.6
Cedar Springs
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
12
1
11
Micah Becker
209.1
East Grand Rapids
12
2
11
Ashton Fink
204.1
Grand Rapids Christian
12
3
12
Thomas Fisher
201.2
East Grand Rapids
12
4
11
James Scholten-Holcomb
198.1
Grand Rapids Christian
12
5
11
Grayson Michels
194.4
Forest Hills Eastern
12
6
11
Beckett Kneisel
191.1
East Grand Rapids
12
7
12
Ben Verlin
190.7
Grand Rapids South Christian
12
8
11
Jacob Kornoely
190.7
GR West Michigan Aviation
12
9
12
Steven Zawacki
188.4
Forest Hills Eastern
12
10
12
Josiah Rozema
187.5
Grand Rapids South Christian
12
11
10
Hudson Kemper
187.5
Grand Rapids South Christian
12
12
11
Donnie Richmond
187.3
Portland
12
13
12
Lucas Aardema
186.2
East Grand Rapids
12
14
12
Mason Fein
181.1
Wayland Union
12
15
Henry Straveler
180.9
East Grand Rapids
12
16
9
Bennett Piippo
179.9
Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12
17
12
Chase Woller-Skar
179.4
East Grand Rapids
12
18
12
Elias DeJong
178.6
Grand Rapids Christian
12
19
12
Kaden Rohrbacher
177.7
Lake Odessa Lakewood
12
20
10
Seth Sytsma
176.9
Grand Rapids Christian
12
21
11
Kash Moored
176.1
Hopkins
12
22
12
Easton McCloy
175.8
Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12
23
9
Bennett Teitsma
175.4
Grand Rapids Christian
12
24
11
Tate VanDaele
175.4
Forest Hills Eastern
12
25
10
Aaron Martinson
174.0
Portland
12
26
9
Evan Occhipinti
173.7
Forest Hills Eastern
12
27
9
Cooper Cal
173.3
East Grand Rapids
12
28
9
Wesley Scholten-Holcomb
173.1
Grand Rapids Christian
12
29
10
Luke Worley
172.6
Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12
30
10
Owen Bremer
172.3
Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
13
1
11
Ethan Ferguson
200.6
Edwardsburg
13
2
12
Caiden Caswell
200.5
Vicksburg
13
3
12
Abraham McHugh
198.9
Marshall
13
4
11
David Kore
197.7
Three Rivers
13
5
12
Hunter Smith
196.1
Vicksburg
13
6
12
Christopher Vogt
193.8
Paw Paw
13
7
12
Seth Randall
193.8
St. Joseph
13
8
11
Landon Lindsay
190.6
Paw Paw
13
9
11
Carson Wiersbe
189.5
St. Joseph
13
10
10
John Brickley
189.4
Niles
13
11
10
George Whitaker
189.4
Otsego
13
12
11
Grant Krause
188.4
Paw Paw
13
13
12
Christian Ayres
187.3
Battle Creek Harper Creek
13
14
12
Grayson Campbell
186.0
Vicksburg
13
15
10
Ryan Long
185.7
Otsego
13
16
11
Kaleb Koestner
183.8
Otsego
13
17
11
Reed Gates
182.3
Edwardsburg
13
18
11
Matthew LaPorte
181.3
St. Joseph
13
19
12
Connor Beebe
181.1
Berrien Springs
13
20
9
Ethan VanHouten
178.7
Otsego
13
21
12
Gunnar Djerf
176.2
Otsego
13
22
12
Luke Aerts
176.0
Coldwater
13
23
10
Cooper Monroe
175.3
Battle Creek Harper Creek
13
24
10
Anthony Durocher
174.7
St. Joseph
13
25
9
Easton Netzley
170.8
St. Joseph
13
26
12
Carson Summerfield
170.0
Vicksburg
13
27
9
Milo Barry
169.5
Sturgis
13
28
11
Braiden Schuh
168.6
Edwardsburg
13
29
12
Sebastian Hernandez
168.0
Coldwater
13
30
9
Dexter Parsons
168.0
Vicksburg
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
14
1
10
Logan Cristian
202.9
Parma Western
14
2
11
Duncan Palmer
199.4
Williamston
14
3
11
Liam Dewitt
196.2
Haslett
14
4
10
Leland Sowle
191.4
Parma Western
14
5
12
Ryan Good
190.8
Parma Western
14
6
10
Leonidas Erfourth
190.4
Owosso
14
7
11
Isaiah Cates
188.3
Haslett
14
8
9
Braysen Kramer
187.0
DeWitt
14
9
11
Jackson Butts
186.2
Lake Fenton
14
10
11
Brady Rappuhn
185.0
Owosso
14
11
9
Spencer Sobak
184.9
Owosso
14
12
11
Roan VanSumeren
183.6
Parma Western
14
13
12
Will Chelotti
182.3
DeWitt
14
14
10
Livio Muzzin
182.1
DeWitt
14
15
11
Teddy Weber
181.4
Williamston
14
16
9
Colin Branch
180.1
DeWitt
14
17
12
Caleb Lynd
179.8
Parma Western
14
18
9
Sterling Burnie
175.9
DeWitt
14
19
10
Micah Good
175.3
Parma Western
14
20
11
Alec Hoy
174.3
St. Johns
14
21
12
Kodi Rose
173.9
Haslett
14
22
10
Gracin Zelski
173.4
DeWitt
14
23
12
Sawyer Zeman
172.9
Haslett
14
24
10
Max Bobeda
170.9
DeWitt
14
25
9
Luke Weber
170.4
Williamston
14
26
12
Ariston Dallas
168.1
Owosso
14
27
11
Christian LeConte
166.6
Owosso
14
28
9
Peyton Raymer
164.7
Williamston
14
29
12
Kai Miller
163.9
Owosso
14
30
10
Lucas Heid
162.7
Corunna
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
15
1
11
Lennox Naswell
213.7
Flint Powers Catholic
15
2
12
Ezekiel Baltierra
207.5
Alma
15
3
12
Bryce Cahoon
201.6
Shepherd
15
4
12
Nick Parker
199.7
Frankenmuth
15
5
12
Seth Betzold
197.8
Essexville-Garber
15
6
12
Ben Bouchey
194.9
Flint Powers Catholic
15
7
9
Camden Clevenger
192.6
Goodrich
15
8
9
Connor Charboneau
191.2
Saginaw Swan Valley
15
9
11
Ryan Rathsburg
190.4
Flint Powers Catholic
15
10
10
Nico Lebron
189.0
Alma
15
11
10
Ryan Brown
188.4
Freeland
15
12
12
Kevin Terpstra
186.3
Alma
15
13
11
Samuel Johnson
185.9
Alma
15
14
12
Jakin Whitney
184.0
Shepherd
15
15
12
Drew Davis
180.7
Shepherd
15
16
11
Griffin Solano
180.6
Flint Powers Catholic
15
17
11
Alex Iordanou
180.6
Flint Powers Catholic
15
18
9
Caleb Cahoon
178.2
Shepherd
15
19
11
Charlie Penneau
178.0
Flint Powers Catholic
15
20
12
William McDonald
177.0
Shepherd
15
21
12
Jackson Horn
176.9
Freeland
15
22
12
Braeden Conger
176.1
Frankenmuth
15
23
11
Eddie Radtke
175.5
Shepherd
15
24
9
Carter Minnis
175.4
Freeland
15
25
10
Connor Miller
174.2
Alma
15
26
9
Reece Lorencz
172.7
Goodrich
15
27
10
Charlie Fields
171.6
North Branch
15
28
12
Spencer Dammann
169.4
Saginaw Swan Valley
15
29
11
Charles Murray
167.2
Bay City John Glenn
15
30
12
Jackson Briley
167.1
Clio
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
16
1
12
Cole McCraw
208.9
Pinckney
16
2
11
Jack Hincks
201.7
Detroit Country Day
16
3
12
Lincoln Reed
197.6
Pinckney
16
4
12
Wyeth Angus
196.0
Chelsea
16
5
10
John Rochowiak
188.3
Pinckney
16
6
10
Matt McFall
186.2
Pinckney
16
7
10
Cash Wilds
185.9
Pinckney
16
8
12
Samuel Clifton
185.5
Chelsea
16
9
11
Ben Kuhn
185.2
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
10
10
Wyatt Jespersen
180.4
Pinckney
16
11
11
Daniel Reifenberg
180.4
Dearborn Divine Child
16
12
10
Hari Varma
179.9
Detroit Country Day
16
13
12
Leo Alafita
179.7
Chelsea
16
14
12
Jonathan Rapoza
178.0
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
15
11
Landen Bermudez
177.7
Dearborn Divine Child
16
16
12
Omar Elbashir
176.8
Detroit Country Day
16
17
12
Joseph Arriola
176.4
Dearborn Divine Child
16
18
11
Ethan Bray
176.4
Detroit Country Day
16
19
12
Caleb Maciag
176.4
Pinckney
16
20
12
Grant Goodwin
175.5
Dearborn Divine Child
16
21
9
Dominic Cai
175.2
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
22
12
Owen Thorburn
170.7
Chelsea
16
23
12
Conley Poole
170.6
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
24
10
John Fedewa
169.7
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
25
10
Jonathan Love
166.6
Chelsea
16
26
12
Jacob Salinas
160.0
Dearborn Divine Child
16
27
12
Preston Vasas
157.2
Chelsea
16
28
11
Zachary Barszczowski
155.8
Dearborn Divine Child
16
29
10
Ellis Carmichael
155.6
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16
30
11
George Fredenberg
153.5
Chelsea
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
17
1
12
Broden Ladd
204.2
Holly
17
2
11
Cole Heikka
197.5
Holly
17
3
12
Joshua Macri
194.2
Macomb Lutheran North
17
4
11
Andrew Nunning
193.4
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17
5
12
Connor Pepin
191.3
Croswell-Lexington
17
6
12
Trevor Murphy
187.2
Holly
17
7
12
Ethan Kreger
183.9
St. Clair
17
8
10
Caleb McBride
182.8
Marysville
17
9
11
Elliot Alef
182.7
Macomb Lutheran North
17
10
11
Brady VanConant
178.4
Yale
17
11
11
Joshua Byrtus
175.5
Holly
17
12
11
Mason Pietrykowski
174.9
Richmond
17
13
12
Wyatt Bovensiep
171.3
Auburn Hills Avondale
17
14
11
Griffin Kreger
168.1
St. Clair
17
15
12
Brendan Koza
167.3
Marysville
17
16
11
Joshua Behrend
167.1
Holly
17
17
9
Noah Miller
165.4
Yale
17
18
10
Travis Murphy
163.8
Holly
17
19
9
Weston Rutallie
163.7
Marysville
17
20
11
Logan Carrier
160.0
Yale
17
21
11
Karsten Martin
155.7
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17
22
10
Ryland Giannini
154.9
Madison Heights Lamphere
17
23
10
Aaron Byrne
153.6
Holly
17
24
11
Thomas Schweihofer
151.0
Yale
17
25
10
Andrew Yousif
150.7
Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
17
26
12
Mason Russell
149.6
Imlay City
17
27
10
Jack Abdelnour
149.4
Macomb Lutheran North
17
28
11
Liam Bhatti
149.4
Imlay City
17
29
12
Jeremy Johnson
148.0
Marysville
17
30
11
Alexander Repp
146.5
Croswell-Lexington
Region
Proj. Place
Grade
Name
O4 Rating
Team
18
1
12
Cameron Crane
194.9
New Boston Huron
18
2
10
Parker Smith
190.7
Adrian
18
3
11
Eli Morris
189.8
Tecumseh
18
4
12
Carter Fenner
188.8
Adrian
18
5
11
Easton Coscarelli
186.3
Adrian
18
6
12
Landin Fisher
183.8
Adrian
18
7
10
Mason Tulik
177.8
Monroe Jefferson
18
8
11
Dempsey Barrett
174.3
Tecumseh
18
9
10
Mason Martin
174.1
Milan
18
10
11
Harrison Stamper
174.0
Tecumseh
18
11
11
Nicholas Ranka
170.5
Grosse Ile
18
12
10
Andrew Bell
170.5
Carleton Airport
18
13
11
Carson Scholz
169.9
Tecumseh
18
14
11
Carter Lee
169.7
Monroe Jefferson
18
15
11
Lucas Zeckner
168.8
Adrian
18
16
12
Hunter Rodak
168.1
Carleton Airport
18
17
9
Jackson Satterfield
166.6
Trenton
18
18
12
Tanner Kuhn
165.6
New Boston Huron
18
19
12
Kadan Crist
161.9
Adrian
18
20
10
Adam Ibrahim
161.0
Riverview
18
21
11
Ben Kline
159.6
Ypsilanti Community
18
22
10
Gabe Busen
158.9
Monroe Jefferson
18
23
12
Hayden Bovair
157.4
Carleton Airport
18
24
10
Daelin Ring
156.1
New Boston Huron
18
25
11
Isaac Kraftson
155.0
Ypsilanti Community
18
26
11
Brenton Musallam
155.0
New Boston Huron
18
27
11
Carson Dennis
154.4
Riverview
18
28
12
Garrett Patrick
154.2
New Boston Huron
18
29
11
Gavin Diroff
151.3
Trenton
18
30
9
Grady Marino
150.9
Carleton Airport
Any Surprises?
Chippewa Hills
Their girls have been on a roll as of late. Their schedule helps give a glimpse into the Warrior improvement. In early September, they traveled east to Shepherd for the John Bruder Classic. Then they attacked conference action before returning to XC heaven this past weekend. In that month gap, CH saw notable improvement from Addison Dekker (22:19 > 20:44), Conley Howard (22:03 > 20:47), Quinn Killian (21:30 > 20:39), Dory Simon (20:26 > 19:36), and Morgan Voorhees (23:41 > 21:37). I really could be up typing all night about all the growth these Chip Hills girls have seen, as nearly everyone on the squad saw a SB or PB this past weekend.
Holland
The Dutch have vaulted into the discussion to make it out of the unfathomably tough Region 11 (four teams from the top-10). They’ve done so on the improvement of two youngsters – Molly Murphy and Tessa Nienhuis. Nienhuis spent last fall getting better all year, her season culminating in a bevy of mid-20 efforts. She’s already moved into the 19’s and is finishing considerably higher in the OK Black standings. Murphy just had two consecutive breakout races in a row, finding a 19:41 at Autumn Sunrise and a 19:27 at Allendale. A year ago, she couldn’t even run that pace for 2 miles, now she’s extending into further distances at a quicker speed, bringing her newfound teammates into state qualifying contention.
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
10
1
Spring Lake
77
14
112.2
10
2
Remus Chippewa Hills
98
19
102.5
10
3
Clare
109
26
99.8
10
4
Cadillac
113
23
106.3
10
5
Ludington
127
106.0
10
6
Fruitport
157
93.1
10
7
Gaylord
159
86.9
10
8
Whitehall
175
82.5
10
9
Reed City
203
73.2
10
10
Petoskey
238
67.8
10
11
Fremont
257
25.8
10
12
Big Rapids
340
33.6
10
13
Howard City Tri-County
386
18.7
10
14
Muskegon Oakridge
415
-2.3
10
15
Ogemaw Heights
454
-54.0
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
11
1
Holland Christian
33
1
142.1
11
2
Holland
84
8
121.3
11
3
Coopersville
85
9
123.6
11
4
Allendale
100
10
115.0
11
5
Cedar Springs
144
25
100.5
11
6
Sparta
167
98.4
11
7
Hudsonville Unity Christian
175
90.9
11
8
South Haven
238
73.2
11
9
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
239
79.3
11
10
Grand Rapids West Catholic
258
74.4
11
11
Hamilton
292
58.7
11
12
Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
373
8.3
11
13
Comstock Park
381
-8.7
11
14
Wyoming Lee
412
-57.6
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
12
1
Grand Rapids South Christian
69
5
124.9
12
2
East Grand Rapids
73
6
123.3
12
3
Grand Rapids Christian
80
4
122.8
12
4
Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
116
13
111.8
12
5
Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
151
21
102.7
12
6
Wayland Union
204
88.8
12
7
GR West Michigan Aviation
210
86.0
12
8
Hastings
220
86.8
12
9
Forest Hills Eastern
224
82.6
12
10
Hopkins
236
77.3
12
11
Ionia
281
54.3
12
12
Portland
335
42.4
12
13
Grand River Preparatory
364
19.1
12
14
Battle Creek Pennfield
405
-6.9
12
15
Lake Odessa Lakewood
425
-6.4
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
13
1
Otsego
33
2
133.8
13
2
Sturgis
123
24
102.2
13
3
Plainwell
123
18
111.7
13
4
St. Joseph
128
20
101.8
13
5
Edwardsburg
148
101.4
13
6
Stevensville Lakeshore
154
100.1
13
7
Battle Creek Harper Creek
166
89.7
13
8
Paw Paw
184
90.5
13
9
Three Rivers
219
81.8
13
10
Marshall
267
71.1
13
11
Vicksburg
285
63.5
13
12
Coldwater
323
56.6
13
13
Niles
336
54.7
13
14
Berrien Springs
375
41.4
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
14
1
Linden
49
3
126.9
14
2
DeWitt
55
7
124.7
14
3
Williamston
114
27
102.4
14
4
Haslett
135
93.2
14
5
Charlotte
144
90.4
14
6
Parma Western
157
85.3
14
7
Owosso
195
70.2
14
8
Lake Fenton
209
67.9
14
9
Fowlerville
219
63.4
14
10
St. Johns
220
60.2
14
11
Corunna
300
14.7
14
12
Jackson Northwest
323
-9.9
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
15
1
Goodrich
47
12
117.1
15
2
Freeland
81
94.6
15
3
Flint Powers Catholic
82
94.0
15
4
Shepherd
95
92.1
15
5
Frankenmuth
105
86.2
15
6
Alma
165
64.8
15
7
Birch Run
195
58.5
15
8
Saginaw Swan Valley
195
57.8
15
9
Essexville-Garber
231
42.5
15
10
Clio
245
40.3
15
11
Bay City John Glenn
343
-24.6
15
12
North Branch
348
-16.3
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
16
1
Pinckney
45
17
113.3
16
2
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
57
99.5
16
3
Farmington Hills Mercy
68
94.7
16
4
Dearborn Divine Child
105
72.3
16
5
Chelsea
121
62.5
16
6
Grosse Pointe North
128
58.2
16
7
Detroit Country Day
156
46.0
16
8
Detroit Southeastern Tech
258
-119.3
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
17
1
Bloomfield Hills Marian
56
11
114.2
17
2
Holly
79
15
115.9
17
3
Macomb Lutheran North
89
22
102.9
17
4
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
136
88.0
17
5
Armada
146
88.8
17
6
Yale
151
87.3
17
7
Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
153
88.8
17
8
St. Clair
158
82.3
17
9
Croswell-Lexington
203
74.6
17
10
Marysville
264
62.6
17
11
Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
313
52.0
17
12
Warren Regina
315
52.3
17
13
Richmond
446
-6.9
17
14
Imlay City
449
-12.2
17
15
St. Clair Shores Lake Shore
457
-37.4
Region
Proj. Place
Team
Reg. Score
Rank
Top-5 Avg.
18
1
Adrian
40
16
113.6
18
2
New Boston Huron
60
93.4
18
3
Tecumseh
85
80.1
18
4
Carleton Airport
131
67.8
18
5
Trenton
152
59.9
18
6
Grosse Ile
162
58.3
18
7
Monroe Jefferson
197
47.4
18
8
Ida
218
37.3
18
9
Dundee
223
36.9
18
10
Ypsilanti Community
265
-56.5
18
11
Milan
283
7.5
18
12
Flat Rock
298
-8.2
Battles to Watch
Region 10
Yeah, Chippewa Hills has surprised thus far and moved into 2nd in the projections. But the Warriors still have work to do, as many contenders are in close proximity. Clare is right there, Cadillac too, with Ludington not far behind. The Vikings and Orioles have the low-sticks, Chloe Mazza and Ella McInerney, Eliza Schwass and Annabelle Lowman. Clare is more depth-based, an example of that coming at VSV, where the Pioneers placed all of their scorers before Cadillac’s 4th came in, earning Clare a 2-point edge in the final standings.
Region 13
Three teams, two spots, and a projected 5 points between them all. That’s a doozy. Plainwell, Sturgis, and St. Joseph. Two Wolverine Conference foes are the former two, and we’ve seen them face-off in league play. Plainwell won there, placing three girls in the top-four, a tough proposition to come back from. That said, Sturgis was missing Leilani Machuca, whose 19:45 at Otsego helped close the gap toward the Vikings. St. Joseph has largely steered clear of these two squads, with one decently recent exception, Ottawa Hills. There, the Bears played a role similar to Sturgis, battling back in the later spots to finish just behind Plainwell. By the transitive property of cross country, it might just be between Sturgis and St. Joe.