Uncategorized

2026 Championship Projections: Greater Flint & Wayne County

Once again, a quick little post on a Friday morning. These aren’t fancy with simulations and all, just a listing of this week’s ratings and the point totals that come along with that. Even though there are large meets regular season meets going on throughout the state, it’s still championship season and high time to prove these right or wrong.

Greater Flint

Team Trophy to Overall Champion
Team Trophy to Division Champions
Traveling Memorial Award to Individual Champions
Top-14 in each division get medals

For the individuals, I listed it out as one big race. Projections for teams contain both overall and division listings.

Boys

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Flint Powers Catholic58
2Fenton59
3Grand Blanc107
4Owosso144
5Davison144
6Hartland160
7Linden349
8Flushing358
9Montrose364
10Corunna389
11Genesee Christian390
12Lapeer415
13Birch Run444
14Lake Fenton481
15Swartz Creek487
16Almont503
17Otisville LakeVille531
18Goodrich540
19New Lothrop605
20Flint Kearsley615
21Ovid-Elsie646

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Fenton34
2Grand Blanc61
3Davison78
4Hartland87
5Flushing177
6Lapeer190
7Swartz Creek211
Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Flint Powers Catholic26
2Owosso57
3Linden113
4Birch Run146
5Lake Fenton156
6Goodrich176
7Flint Kearsley197
Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Montrose74
2Corunna84
3Genesee Christian84
4Almont128
5Otisville LakeVille144
6New Lothrop174
7Ovid-Elsie203

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Lennox NaswellFlint Powers Catholic
211Gavin KaticFenton
310Tommy McCormickGrand Blanc
412Connor O’ReillyDavison
512Ben BoucheyFlint Powers Catholic
610Jack CrongeyerGrand Blanc
79Camden ClevengerGoodrich
811Gerard GilmourFenton
911Ryan RathsburgFlint Powers Catholic
1010Leonidas ErfourthOwosso
1110Matthew LauderbaughDavison
1211Abram LarsenFenton
1311Jackson ButtsLake Fenton
1411Brady RappuhnOwosso
159Spencer SobakOwosso
1611Joe ColemanHartland
1712Levi MayerDavison
1812Benjamin PanterFenton
1912Jackson DefinaFenton
2011Eli HobsonMontrose
2111Griffin SolanoFlint Powers Catholic
2211Alex IordanouFlint Powers Catholic
2311CJ ShillingFlushing
2412Sullivan GartrellDavison
2511Nicholas PriestapGrand Blanc
2611Charlie PenneauFlint Powers Catholic
2712Lucas KeilenHartland
2812Josh BengryDavison
2911Nolan StadelGenesee Christian
3012Jackson MartinFenton
3111Lincoln GrayHartland
3210Jack CookGrand Blanc
3310Gabe SchultzGenesee Christian
349Reece LorenczGoodrich
3510Chuck LipsetFenton
3612Ariston DallasOwosso
3711Christian LeConteOwosso
3811Wyatt RobertsOtisville LakeVille
3911Easton MahanHartland
4011Michael AllenMontrose
4110Jayden SmithGrand Blanc
4212Kai MillerOwosso
4312Hunter HallLapeer
449Carter MausolfBirch Run
4510Lucas HeidCorunna
4610Nathan WoodwardGrand Blanc
4711David TorreyHartland
489Tanner PetersonGrand Blanc
4911Travis RoseFlushing
5010Owen DavisSwartz Creek

Girls

Proj. PlaceTeamScore
1Hartland51
2Linden54
3Goodrich102
4Grand Blanc148
5Flint Powers Catholic175
6Fenton192
7Davison233
8Flushing234
9Genesee Christian242
10Lapeer278
11Owosso289
12Lake Fenton290
13Birch Run345
14Montrose349
15New Lothrop373
16Corunna460
17Almont464
18Ovid-Elsie538
19Swartz Creek590

Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Hartland20Large
2Grand Blanc66Large
3Fenton89Large
4Davison106Large
5Flushing110Large
6Lapeer127Large
7Swartz Creek220Large
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Linden34Medium
2Goodrich49Medium
3Flint Powers Catholic79Medium
4Lake Fenton113Medium
5Owosso118Medium
6Birch Run137Medium
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Genesee Christian34Small
2New Lothrop65Small
3Montrose65Small
4Almont97Small
5Corunna108Small
6Ovid-Elsie139Small

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeam
111Kayla ShellenbargerGoodrich
212Addison JosephsonLinden
311Courtney FloeterLinden
412Alivia OttingerGoodrich
512Ava GoodmanHartland
610Ruby HoffmannHartland
710Lila MillerHartland
811Mila VillarrealFlint Powers Catholic
912Elliana HuftonLake Fenton
1012Baylor LauingerGoodrich
1111Livia WillingGrand Blanc
1212Micali TeepleGrand Blanc
1312Sidney ShepardLinden
1411Abby CrandellOwosso
1510Layla FoguthHartland
169Isabelle KopczykFenton
179Kennedy KolodicaLinden
1810Gabrielle DesgrangeHartland
1911Molly RobertsLinden
2012Kylie MausolfBirch Run
2110Faith SmithGenesee Christian
2210Emma DurlingLinden
2312Melody MeckstrothLinden
2412Brooklyn WiltseDavison
2510Sydney KnieperNew Lothrop
2611Victoria BoucheyFlint Powers Catholic
2711Leah HumphreyGrand Blanc
2811Takoda HolickiMontrose
2912Sophia WilliamsFenton
309Penny EwaldOwosso
319Jade McCormickFlint Powers Catholic
3212Lydia PowersLapeer
3311Avery ByersFlushing
3411Andi KirkmanGenesee Christian
3510Gwen BlossHartland
3612Adilyn AndersonDavison
3712Anne Marie YarberHartland
389Natalie BrownfieldLapeer
3911Eleanor OlivoFlushing
4012Jaidyn NickelsCorunna
4111Kaylee MurphyGrand Blanc
4212Emerson BrockDavison
4310Addyson CampbellGoodrich
449Molly ScottGoodrich
4510Reagan KeilFlushing
4610Leah EdgarFenton
4710Casandra MorelloFenton
4810Maria HajFlint Powers Catholic
498Paizley KirkmanGenesee Christian
5011Taylor StanczakAlmont

Wayne County

Top-3 teams in Division 1, 2, 3/4 receive trophies
Top-35 individuals receive medals

Boys

Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Salem361
2Plymouth931
3Livonia Churchill1161
4Livonia Stevenson1221
5Detroit U-D Jesuit1491
6Allen Park2131
7Wyandotte Roosevelt2411
8Canton2471
9Dearborn3251
10Livonia Franklin3521
11Detroit Renaissance3541
12Westland John Glenn4271
13Belleville4931
14Detroit Cass Tech4951
15Wayne Memorial5261
16Southgate Anderson5271
17Harper Woods5511
18Dearborn Heights Crestwood5621
19Lincoln Park6001
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Dearborn Divine Child262
2Grosse Ile932
3Grosse Pointe North1242
4Riverview1352
5Trenton1462
6Flat Rock1832
7Detroit Voyageur2112
8Garden City2592
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Plymouth Christian Academy3634
2Lutheran Westland5234
3Allen Park Cabrini6534

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeam
112Austin MercadoSalem
212Jack HannerSalem
310Isaac CoxPlymouth Christian Academy
412Samuel BattSalem
511Lucas BrumoLivonia Stevenson
612Emmet GardellaDetroit U-D Jesuit
710Jaden HillAllen Park
812Jacob FerdubinskiRiverview Gabriel Richard
99Dane JadallahPlymouth
1010Troy VerhelleLivonia Churchill
1111Zachary GreeneWyandotte Roosevelt
1212Tyler BjorklundLivonia Churchill
1312Noah AmoriWyandotte Roosevelt
1412Rami BazziDearborn
159Josh LehnSalem
1610Colt LudlamLivonia Stevenson
1711Simon ReedPlymouth Christian Academy
1811Landen MartellPlymouth
1912Justin MkrtumianDetroit U-D Jesuit
2012Owen DaleboutSalem
2112Adam BurnsSalem
2210Jack CaveneyPlymouth
2311Andrew SlosarDetroit U-D Jesuit
2411Daniel ReifenbergDearborn Divine Child
2512Kamden O’DonnellCanton
2612Dylan KosikPlymouth
2712Will FustLivonia Churchill
2810Theo KimSalem
2911Landen BermudezDearborn Divine Child
3011Shree PatelLivonia Stevenson
3110Callan FlemingDetroit U-D Jesuit
3211Jake WallaceDearborn
3312Joseph ArriolaDearborn Divine Child
3412Grant GoodwinDearborn Divine Child
3511Liam TrumpowerLivonia Franklin
3610Parker WisniewskiSouthgate Anderson
3712Leonardo ReyesPlymouth
3811Ivan YepezAllen Park
3912Deacon AshmoreAllen Park
4011Nicholas RankaGrosse Ile
4112Allen DecaminadaWyandotte Roosevelt
4211Curon DavisDetroit Renaissance
4311Everett GalindoPlymouth
4412Takeru KikutaCanton
4510Colin PierceLivonia Churchill
4611Victor MullinsLivonia Churchill
4711Charlie O’LoughlinLivonia Stevenson
489Jackson SatterfieldTrenton
4911Landon SeidelLivonia Stevenson
5011Troy GillisDetroit U-D Jesuit

Girls

Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Salem351
2Livonia Churchill931
3Plymouth951
4Canton1141
5Livonia Stevenson1371
6Livonia Franklin1761
7Wyandotte Roosevelt1781
8Allen Park1871
9Southgate Anderson2181
10Dearborn2491
11Detroit Renaissance3201
12Dearborn Heights Crestwood3711
13Belleville3851
14Detroit Cass Tech4361
15Westland John Glenn4471
16Harper Woods4691
17Wayne Memorial5731
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Grosse Pointe North422
2Trenton432
3Grosse Ile462
4Flat Rock942
Proj. PlaceTeamScoreDivision
1Lutheran Westland2334
2Plymouth Christian Academy3234

Proj. PlaceGradeNameTeam
19Madeline MacLellanSalem
211Maddie VargoLivonia Churchill
311Samantha MichalskiSalem
412Khloe LeePlymouth
510Anamaria BrazdauPlymouth Christian Academy
611Clare DavidsonCanton
711Chloe CratsenburgPlymouth
811Ava BatesLutheran Westland
910Emma PuscasWyandotte Roosevelt
1012Samantha BartellSalem
1111Jamie GlatfelterTrenton
1210Khaya PiersonLivonia Stevenson
139Marina WarnerGrosse Ile
1411Joy SchuckSouthgate Anderson
1510Ella HannerSalem
1612Annabeth HazlewoodSalem
1711Deirdre O’ConnellAllen Park Cabrini
1811Joelle SaadDearborn
199Hannah ThomassenCanton
2012Ella McFarlaneRiverview
219Kara UngerLutheran Westland
2212Addie JonesSalem
2312Sydney EricksonLutheran Westland
249Ava BrancheauSouthgate Anderson
2510Audrey MolnarLutheran Westland
2612Kerrington Fields-McCurdyLivonia Stevenson
2712Julie SchuesslerLivonia Churchill
2812Peyton MarshallPlymouth Christian Academy
299Wilhelmina VanderWerpGrosse Pointe North
3010Reina DiazWyandotte Roosevelt
3110Courtney BlamerLivonia Franklin
3212Rachel ChapmanLivonia Churchill
339Quinn SchochLivonia Churchill
3412Isabella RushlowPlymouth
359Noelle LyonGrosse Pointe North
369Nora GarwoodSalem
3711Avalina WilliamsonTrenton
3812Julia RoweLivonia Stevenson
3911Lucy MorrowLivonia Franklin
4012Adrianna ZubAllen Park
4112Chelsea LaiPlymouth
4210MacKenzie StearnsCanton
4311Natalie OraaLivonia Churchill
449Aubrie CookCanton
4512Jordan PopeLivonia Franklin
4610Aubrey BenkertAllen Park
479Eden BloomPlymouth Christian Academy
4811Lila SomersetGrosse Ile
4912Juniper TalleyPlymouth
5011Isabel NatividadTrenton
Uncategorized

2026 Mid-Season Regional Projections: Division One

We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

  • The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
    • Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
  • Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

  • They account for course conditions and distance
    • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
    • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
  • They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Any Surprises?

Fenton

I always love it when an influential, fast kid comes along (Gavin Katic) comes along and the fortunes of a program change. I’m not saying Katic is the reason, but it’s sort of a coincidence, right? Anyhow, in the past year, we’ve seen the development of Gerard Gilmour (barreling toward the 15’s), Abram Larsen (getting into the 16’s for the first time ever), and Benjamin Panter (dropping a significant PB at Jackson), amongst many others.

Troy

New coach, no problem. The Colts have embraced the change and ran with it. The Witt boys, Henry and Jack, have been at the front of it, each running in the 16’s on a tough day at Holly, then Henry grabbing his first All-County medal this past weekend. Troy has also been helped by the addition of mid-distance star Andrew Svoboda, who is adjusting the longer distances quite nicely with his mid-17 efforts. I’m sure Clarkston, Lakeland, and Milford will be gunning for a qualifying spot, but the Colts have put themselves in a great position for success.

RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
11Jenison433200.2
12Rockford7411192.0
13East Kentwood7915194.6
14Hudsonville111183.4
15Grand Haven133183.6
16Grandville139179.4
17Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills208165.8
18Grand Rapids Northview262155.9
19Forest Hills Northern273152.8
110Grand Rapids Union291151.4
111Greenville307148.1
112Muskegon Mona Shores347140.5
113Muskegon Reeths-Puffer402130.1
114Wyoming423121.0
115Muskegon435111.7
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
21Traverse City West424201.0
22Midland836193.8
23Fenton11417191.0
24Traverse City Central13521187.3
25Saginaw Heritage13823187.1
26Davison15126185.6
27Grand Blanc191181.8
28Midland Dow203180.5
29Alpena213178.3
210Mount Pleasant261173.7
211Oxford290168.2
212Bay City Western342159.0
213Flushing377152.7
214Lapeer417144.2
215Swartz Creek451133.9
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
31Caledonia8512191.4
32Lowell8810195.1
33Kalamazoo Central9214193.6
34Holland West Ottawa12124186.3
35Zeeland West151185.3
36Battle Creek Lakeview168183.4
37Kalamazoo Loy Norrix198179.4
38Richland Gull Lake205178.8
39Portage Central231177.0
310Portage Northern232175.1
311Forest Hills Central238174.8
312Byron Center282171.0
313Zeeland East294169.4
314Mattawan325165.3
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
41Brighton422201.0
42Grand Ledge585195.6
43Dexter7816191.8
44East Lansing121183.6
45Howell122186.9
46Okemos196171.7
47Holt201173.2
48South Lyon235167.7
49South Lyon East235168.5
410Mason251164.2
411Lansing Waverly324145.8
412Lansing Everett387122.6
413Lansing Eastern40599.7
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
51Saline528194.4
52Ann Arbor Pioneer6619192.0
53Brownstown Woodhaven110179.2
54Gibraltar Carlson158171.7
55Wyandotte Roosevelt160171.8
56Allen Park162171.3
57Dearborn Fordson162171.5
58Monroe174167.5
59Temperance Bedford179167.3
510Ypsilanti Lincoln324132.3
511Southgate Anderson343117.3
512Belleville356120.4
513Detroit Cass Tech361116.8
514Lincoln Park43379.5
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
61Ann Arbor Skyline221201.5
62Salem517195.1
63Plymouth111181.0
64Detroit U-D Jesuit120179.9
65Livonia Churchill131178.3
66Ann Arbor Huron191166.8
67Canton208165.7
68Dearborn242161.8
69Grosse Pointe South259158.7
610Livonia Franklin282154.5
611Detroit Renaissance286150.4
612Westland John Glenn342138.8
613Wayne Memorial404110.6
614Dearborn Heights Crestwood42696.6
615Harper Woods44895.2
616Detroit Mumford536-33.0
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
71Northville5613193.0
72Detroit Catholic Central5718190.2
73Novi90184.3
74Livonia Stevenson129178.2
75Royal Oak165172.5
76Berkley200167.6
77West Bloomfield247159.2
78Birmingham Seaholm251158.3
79North Farmington257158.4
710Bloomfield Hills261156.4
711Farmington280154.0
712Oak Park313148.0
713Walled Lake Western345144.3
714Beverly Hills Groves367139.7
715Ferndale392127.6
716Brother Rice417133.7
717Walled Lake Central52498.4
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
81Highland-Milford5520189.8
82Troy6025186.9
83White Lake Lakeland7527185.4
84Clarkston99182.3
85Hartland141172.6
86Utica159169.5
87Troy Athens163170.3
88Walled Lake Northern213164.0
89Warren DeLaSalle285145.6
810Waterford Kettering306144.5
811Sterling Heights Stevenson318138.5
812Utica Ford342136.8
813Warren Woods Tower397116.2
814Waterford Mott43081.5
815Warren Mott44988.3
816Sterling Heights517-68.8
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
91Lake Orion429191.9
92Romeo7622186.8
93Rochester91184.0
94Rochester Hills Stoney Creek120179.8
95Rochester Adams145174.5
96Macomb Dakota168171.7
97Fraser227161.2
98Anchor Bay237158.5
99L’Anse Creuse North241159.3
910Utica Eisenhower242158.0
911Port Huron Northern242157.1
912Chippewa Valley309145.2
913St. Clair Shores Lakeview375128.2
914Roseville46171.8
915Port Huron48644.8

Battles to Watch

Region 6

Halfway through the fall, it seems that the site selection committee performed a bang-up job on the D1 Boys’ regions. Of course, Region 2 is kinda loaded, but it appears that 2-3 teams have somewhat separated. Much can change, but a good many of these appear definite as to who will be the three qualifiers. With the exception of this one! Salem and Skyline are favorites to advance, top-10 teams that finished 1st and 4th respectively at Jackson.

Who comes next? Maybe Plymouth or Livonia Churchill, two common qualifiers here out of Region 6? Perhaps U-D Jesuit, a 2026 surprise? The Cubs are coming off a Marauder Invite victory, led by Emmet Gardella, who has dropped significant time from his junior season. Churchill and Plymouth are neck in neck, evidenced by their most recent run at Jackson. The two teams were separated by 13 points and a single spot in the standings. The difference came at the 3rd-5th spots, where the Wildcats gained 71 points, enough to clear the Chargers.

RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
1112Caden Livermore221.6Grandville
1212Luka Hammond220.2Grand Haven
1312Matii Tarekegn219.1East Kentwood
1410Archer VerHage211.2Grand Haven
1511Caleb Conner203.0Jenison
1612Josiah Derksen202.9Rockford
1712Ethan Burks202.1Jenison
1811Carter Cooke201.7Jenison
1911Chase Sherman200.8Jenison
11012Justin Johnson200.8East Kentwood
11111Luke Bultman198.5Rockford
11212Noah Watson195.0Rockford
11312Bradley Smies194.8Hudsonville
1149Hans Templeton193.4Jenison
11512Aduet (Jimma) Atem192.9East Kentwood
11610Lucas Mueller189.1Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
11710Sullivan Oberg188.3Jenison
11811Declan Duch187.1Jenison
11911Graham Kusmierski185.5Grandville
12012Charles Gavan183.5Rockford
12112Blaiz Shyaka182.2East Kentwood
12212Calvin Kasprowicz181.8Hudsonville
12310Alec Bolles181.2Hudsonville
12410Elijah Ouwinga180.8Hudsonville
1259Gabe Miller180.2Rockford
12612Liam Eaton180.2Grand Rapids Northview
12710James Hollebeek179.7Rockford
12812Arie Prins178.7Grand Rapids Union
12912Luke McCarty178.4Hudsonville
13012Braylon Morris177.8East Kentwood
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
2112Liam Wierzba211.7Traverse City West
2211Gavin Katic211.2Fenton
2311Johnathan Elsea205.9Mount Pleasant
2411Alexander Allen205.7Alpena
2511Finn Frost-Grayson205.1Traverse City West
2612Logan Gessford204.7Midland
2710Tommy McCormick201.1Grand Blanc
2812Connor O’Reilly198.4Davison
2910Emmett Duggar197.6Traverse City West
21012Austin Taft197.4Traverse City West
21110Jake Roberts196.0Midland Dow
21211Elliot King194.8Midland
21312Evan Fox194.7Traverse City Central
21410Alex Pelliccia194.2Midland
21511Pascal Rasmussen193.8Saginaw Heritage
21611Abe Blaskowski193.1Saginaw Heritage
21710Austin Hughes193.0Traverse City West
21810Jack Crongeyer192.7Grand Blanc
21911Gerard Gilmour191.9Fenton
22010Leland Barnett190.5Traverse City West
22111Joseph DuGuay190.3Traverse City Central
22211Bradley Chesney190.2Midland
22310Matthew Lauderbaugh190.1Davison
22411Brendan Werth189.8Alpena
22511Alec Brown189.6Saginaw Heritage
22611Jackson Shev189.2Traverse City Central
22711Abram Larsen187.0Fenton
22811Zach Vollbrecht186.5Traverse City West
22912Dustin Wright185.1Midland
23012Levi Mayer183.7Davison
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
3112Samuel Baker218.6Kalamazoo Central
3212Marshall Huhn216.6Lowell
3310Tanner Smith203.4Zeeland West
3411Marcus Essling200.8Portage Central
3511Sean Thompson200.2Caledonia
3612Cody Bromley199.8Lowell
3711Bennett Snapper199.8Caledonia
3812Colin Stawasz199.1Lowell
399Cody Lam197.8Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
31010Jackson Pant197.0Richland Gull Lake
31111Karson Lewis196.6Battle Creek Lakeview
31211Elijah Demlow195.9Battle Creek Lakeview
31310Bryson Hassevoort195.6Zeeland West
31410Maxwell Post195.2Holland West Ottawa
31512Brady Winther-MacInnis193.3Kalamazoo Central
31611Bentley Nichols190.1Caledonia
31711Adam Shorb189.8Portage Northern
31811Colby Bartells189.7Kalamazoo Central
31912Nate Davis189.6Zeeland East
32012Sebastian Ruiz187.9Holland West Ottawa
32111Cole Mckenna187.7Caledonia
32212Tristan Zhang187.3Portage Central
32311Jackson Duval186.7Battle Creek Lakeview
32412Boston Wilkinson186.3Holland West Ottawa
3259Lucan Walker186.1Portage Northern
32611Henry Yoder184.4Forest Hills Central
32712Jontee Willhite184.1Kalamazoo Central
32810Tyler Bromley183.8Lowell
32911Zachary Newman183.2Byron Center
3309Silas Pinney182.6Holland West Ottawa
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
4112Jack MacGregor219.2Howell
4211Rylen Richey209.1Grand Ledge
4312Coen Hill208.6Dexter
4410Josh Keillor-Beale205.2Brighton
4512Caelan Marsh204.0Grand Ledge
4610Tucker Asman203.4Brighton
4710Grant Kulesza201.8Brighton
4811Kilian Boulware-Lopez201.0East Lansing
4912Nick Martens200.8Dexter
41011Nikhil Ball200.6South Lyon East
41111Roarke MacArthur198.8Brighton
41211Rem Piper198.2Holt
41312Nolan Lounds196.3Grand Ledge
41411Brendan Williams195.9Brighton
41512Simon Shutt187.5Okemos
41611Alex Weller186.6Howell
41712Hudson McCleskey186.3Dexter
41812Dayton VanderMoere184.5Grand Ledge
41912Owen Collin183.9Brighton
42012Noah Thelen183.9Grand Ledge
42111Toby Regulinski183.6East Lansing
4229Brayden Kasmar183.6Mason
42311Easton Howell183.5Dexter
42411Grayson Diadiun182.6Howell
42511Shane Cory179.8Brighton
42611Nicholas Reiser179.8Dexter
42711Alejandro Nagy179.8East Lansing
4289Colin Bigelow178.7Dexter
42912Micah Couser178.6Grand Ledge
43012Triston Thompson177.8Dexter
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
5112Kamari Ronfeldt220.6Ann Arbor Pioneer
5212Jacob Szalay214.0Saline
5311Mourad Algahmi202.0Dearborn Fordson
5411Jack Dunwoody197.3Gibraltar Carlson
5511Wes Rogan196.8Saline
5610Wyatt DelValle195.7Gibraltar Carlson
5712Vincent Jones193.5Brownstown Woodhaven
5810Jaden Hill191.8Allen Park
5912Cameron Varner191.8Temperance Bedford
51012Max Carne191.0Ann Arbor Pioneer
51111Zachary Greene190.3Wyandotte Roosevelt
51212John (Jack) Klein190.1Saline
51311Asher Sikma187.8Ann Arbor Pioneer
51412Noah Amori187.7Wyandotte Roosevelt
51510Zawadi Mwathi187.5Brownstown Woodhaven
51610Will Sollenberger186.7Saline
5179Reed Nadig184.3Saline
51812Carlos Basulto184.3Saline
51912Walker Ledbetter184.3Ann Arbor Pioneer
52011Gavin Rohr183.6Monroe
52112Ryan Rummel181.3Saline
52212Mohamed Aljahmi180.2Dearborn Fordson
52312Blake Lancaster176.6Ann Arbor Pioneer
52412Cooper Ankeney175.7Ann Arbor Pioneer
52512Calen Alexander174.8Brownstown Woodhaven
52610Parker Wisniewski173.7Southgate Anderson
5279Gavin Herrera-Hammerle173.0Brownstown Woodhaven
52811Victor LeBrun172.5Monroe
52911Anthony Boggess172.0Ann Arbor Pioneer
53011Jacob Goachee171.6Monroe
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
6112Austin Mercado213.0Salem
6210Hudson Doll207.3Ann Arbor Skyline
6311Roman Stilwell202.2Ann Arbor Skyline
6411Martin Gehrke201.3Ann Arbor Skyline
6512Jack Hanner199.8Salem
6611Oskar MacArthur198.5Ann Arbor Skyline
6712Matthew Guikema198.1Ann Arbor Skyline
6812Samuel Batt197.3Salem
6912Emmet Gardella194.3Detroit U-D Jesuit
61010Davin MacDonald192.5Ann Arbor Skyline
61112Garrett Comer191.8Ann Arbor Skyline
6129Dane Jadallah190.6Plymouth
61310Troy Verhelle190.6Livonia Churchill
61412Tyler Bjorklund187.9Livonia Churchill
61511Aarav Kalantry185.6Ann Arbor Huron
61612Rami Bazzi185.5Dearborn
6179Josh Lehn184.4Salem
61811Landen Martell182.8Plymouth
61912Justin Mkrtumian181.3Detroit U-D Jesuit
62012Owen Dalebout181.0Salem
62112Adam Burns180.9Salem
62210Jack Caveney180.8Plymouth
62311Andrew Slosar180.8Detroit U-D Jesuit
62411Conrad Marra180.1Ann Arbor Huron
62512Kamden O’Donnell180.0Canton
62612Dylan Kosik179.7Plymouth
62712Will Fust178.2Livonia Churchill
62810Theo Kim177.8Salem
62910Callan Fleming177.1Detroit U-D Jesuit
63011Jake Wallace176.9Dearborn
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
7112Brandon Cloud215.0Northville
7211Brady Glon199.0Detroit Catholic Central
7310Luke Kramer197.8Detroit Catholic Central
7412Devin Lau197.7Farmington
7511Lucas Brumo196.4Livonia Stevenson
7612Noah Verdejo195.6Novi
779Ari Kyritses193.4Northville
7812Trevor Baptist193.3Novi
799Will Buckley192.5Detroit Catholic Central
71012Keats Rosenbrock189.3Royal Oak
7119Ryan Porenta189.1Detroit Catholic Central
71210George Mockeridge188.7Birmingham Seaholm
71312Beckett Sipes187.6Royal Oak
7149Mateo Lindenmeyer186.8Northville
71512Tyler Hennessey186.5Berkley
7169Braden Millar185.8Northville
71710Colt Ludlam184.0Livonia Stevenson
71811Manny Coates183.8Northville
71911Owen Lawrence182.2Bloomfield Hills
72011John McCann182.2Novi
72110Ashton Kashat181.2Northville
72212Jack Lewis181.1Northville
72310Kaden Boura178.4Ferndale
72411Shree Patel177.2Livonia Stevenson
72512Zachary Brown176.0Novi
72612Musa Kay175.6West Bloomfield
7279Gates Emmett175.4Birmingham Seaholm
7289Langston Bickerdt175.0Oak Park
72912Colin Stokes174.8North Farmington
73012Reuben Swafford174.7North Farmington
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
8111Cooper McNaughton207.9Clarkston
8211Todd Tobin Jr204.6Highland-Milford
8310Lucas Naspinsky198.9White Lake Lakeland
8410Aiden Doggett197.3Highland-Milford
8512Jack Witt195.2Troy
8612Colin Blachford193.7Troy Athens
879Jack Klein193.4White Lake Lakeland
8811Asa Konwinski191.9Troy
8912Henry Witt191.3Troy
81011Owen Nelms188.0White Lake Lakeland
81112Rowan DeHority187.5Highland-Milford
81211Asher Lawson186.6Walled Lake Northern
81312Vern Clyne186.2Clarkston
81411Joe Coleman184.5Hartland
8159Austin Zielinski183.2Highland-Milford
8169Owen Lince182.4White Lake Lakeland
81712Andrew Svoboda179.2Troy
81811Jacob Solomon178.4Utica
81912Lucas Keilen178.0Hartland
82012Miles Foster177.7Clarkston
82111Charles Zhang176.8Troy
82210Aarush Arora176.7Troy
82312Jacob Blakemore176.3Highland-Milford
82412Tanner Wertz175.4Highland-Milford
8259Gabriel Kalinowski175.3Highland-Milford
82611Lincoln Gray173.7Hartland
82712Jaron Osanaiye172.3Sterling Heights Stevenson
82811Eddie Nolan171.1Troy Athens
82912Sebastian Morrison171.1Warren DeLaSalle
83011Terry Tankersley170.9Utica
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
9111Xavier Solgot207.4L’Anse Creuse North
9211Aidan Schwalbach201.2Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
9311Lucas Campbell200.7Rochester
9411Ricardo Guajardo198.8Lake Orion
9511Wesley LaFever198.7Macomb Dakota
9610Luis Nava193.2Lake Orion
9712Jesse Reed192.5Rochester Adams
9810Joseph Leigh191.4Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
999Logan Meerschaert190.1Lake Orion
91010Avery Clinton-Barnett189.8Lake Orion
91110Ripley Clor189.3Romeo
91212Grant Davis189.0Port Huron Northern
91312Zach McGee187.8Lake Orion
91410Finley Clor187.0Romeo
91511Federico Moreno-Padilla186.8Utica Eisenhower
91610Brayden Goodsell186.8Romeo
91710Dax Purdy186.2Romeo
91812Carson Hlavin184.7Romeo
9199Jerryd Cromer181.9Rochester
92012Conner McLaughlin180.5Rochester
92112Luke Nagy180.3Rochester Adams
9229Elijah Campbell179.8Rochester
92310Gavin Soviar179.3Fraser
92412Chase Mallory178.6Macomb Dakota
92511Sebastian Azar178.0Anchor Bay
92610Logan Cichoracki177.8Romeo
92712Alonso San Vicente Lugo177.3Rochester
92810Matthew Zora176.6Rochester
9299Clayton House175.9Lake Orion
93012Brandon Ziehmer175.6Anchor Bay

Any Surprises?

Richland Gull Lake

Okay, it’s mainly Annie Isom doing some work. After placing 6th in the Division 1 400m and ending the spring as Michigan’s fastest 800m girl, she’s decided to try her hand at XC before she heads off to run for the Gators. Three 5k’s into the season and she’s already whittled her time down into the mid-18’s. That’s impactful. However, she’s not the only contributor, as Lacy Smith and Caroline Reynolds have already hit PR’s and Kalynn Young just dropped 30 sec. from her time a year ago at Bulldog.

Berkley

When your top dawg embraces change and improves, it’s gotta leak over to the rest of the team, right? Paige Rohda had been running at a high level for her first two years, breaking into the low-18’s last fall, qualifying for the 3200m as a freshman. She’s been on a higher plane in 2026, an example coming from this past weekend’s Oakland County Championship, where she dropped nearly 1.5 minutes in a year. She’s brought Bears along with her, such as Isabella Glibota (21:08 > 20:11) and Ana Lucia Reynoso (breaking 21:00 earlier in the season than ever before). It’a total team effort.

RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
11Hudsonville506138.9
12Rockford547135.2
13Grand Haven7820121.0
14Jenison115117.7
15East Kentwood142109.0
16Forest Hills Northern162104.9
17Grandville171100.4
18Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills23784.2
19Muskegon Mona Shores24879.9
110Greenville26775.2
111Muskegon Reeths-Puffer30753.1
112Grand Rapids Northview37440.2
113Grand Rapids Union41016.2
114Wyoming469-152.6
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
21Traverse City Central5516124.4
22Traverse City West7924122.6
23Midland Dow8322122.5
24Mount Pleasant139104.7
25Grand Blanc16299.5
26Oxford17896.2
27Fenton22088.4
28Bay City Western22587.5
29Davison24581.3
210Flushing25779.7
211Midland27573.8
212Lapeer28971.0
213Saginaw Heritage33943.6
214Alpena34062.3
215Swartz Creek489-47.2
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
31Portage Central524136.9
32Holland West Ottawa8914125.5
33Richland Gull Lake11427118.3
34Zeeland West126115.4
35Zeeland East12626123.8
36Caledonia133112.8
37Kalamazoo Loy Norrix179104.8
38Portage Northern22798.5
39Byron Center23993.0
310Battle Creek Lakeview27086.9
311Forest Hills Central29082.5
312Lowell29183.2
313Mattawan35465.2
314Kalamazoo Central42829.0
315Battle Creek Central504-184.5
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
41Brighton649127.2
42Howell7311124.7
43Dexter8612127.6
44Mason9821120.1
45Grand Ledge124116.5
46South Lyon East140111.5
47Okemos161112.2
48East Lansing169108.5
49Holt24887.4
410South Lyon26185.9
411Lansing Waverly3712.9
412Lansing Eastern392-43.7
413Lansing Everett411-119.2
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
51Ann Arbor Pioneer221165.4
52Brownstown Woodhaven6010128.2
53Saline6517129.5
54Temperance Bedford118102.4
55Gibraltar Carlson12396.4
56Wyandotte Roosevelt22864.0
57Dearborn Fordson24062.1
58Allen Park24360.8
59Ypsilanti Lincoln25147.9
510Southgate Anderson25350.4
511Monroe27445.7
512Belleville3641.8
513Detroit Cass Tech396-24.4
514Detroit Martin Luther King434-100.4
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
61Ann Arbor Skyline172142.5
62Salem80106.6
63Grosse Pointe South92107.1
64Ann Arbor Huron10998.7
65Plymouth14886.0
66Livonia Churchill15183.2
67Canton16980.9
68Livonia Franklin22061.7
69Dearborn26043.5
610Detroit Renaissance31021.2
611Dearborn Heights Crestwood3446.0
612Westland John Glenn388-33.2
613Harper Woods403-43.5
614Wayne Memorial469-257.1
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
71Northville333147.2
72Novi7819123.1
73Berkley129108.3
74Farmington138103.2
75Bloomfield Hills17195.7
76Royal Oak18391.5
77Birmingham Seaholm18990.2
78Oak Park20388.2
79Beverly Hills Groves21385.3
710Livonia Stevenson24373.0
711Walled Lake Central25360.6
712Walled Lake Western30952.8
713North Farmington380-10.2
714West Bloomfield41315.1
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
81White Lake Lakeland558128.5
82Utica5818125.7
83Hartland5913124.6
84Clarkston107111.3
85Walled Lake Northern149100.4
86Highland-Milford17294.1
87Troy18689.7
88Troy Athens24673.7
89Waterford Kettering24772.8
810Sterling Heights Stevenson26269.1
811Utica Ford30856.4
812Warren Mott31752.3
813Warren Woods Tower40124.6
814Warren Cousino450-37.0
815Waterford Mott459-47.1
816Sterling Heights514-220.3
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
91Rochester Adams465135.3
92Romeo7515130.8
93Macomb Dakota9623123.0
94Rochester9725120.2
95Rochester Hills Stoney Creek155103.4
96Lake Orion163104.0
97Utica Eisenhower20787.6
98Fraser21488.1
99Anchor Bay24282.6
910Port Huron Northern24579.9
911L’Anse Creuse North27967.4
912Chippewa Valley29364.1
913St. Clair Shores Lakeview418-3.0
914Port Huron446-23.9
915Roseville459-115.7

Battles to Watch

Region 7

The top-two spots are probably as set in stone as you’ll get, Northville and Novi being clear favorites to advance. Two squads have emerged in competition for the 3rd qualifier – Farmington and Berkley. Berkley is mentioned above, an inner-ring suburb squad that’s greatly improved from last fall. Farmington is coming off a conference win in the LVC Lakes Division. Both squads are looking to get runners back, with a few contributors missing from their Oakland County lineups, where Farmington prevailed.

Region 9

This realignment, gerrymandering of northern suburb D1 regions has led to an interesting matchup. Rochester had typically been in Region 8, an Oakland County-centric spot. Macomb Dakota had hung out in Region 9, heavily centered on Macomb County teams. Now they could face off as two contenders for the third spot out of Region 9. Both the Falcons and Cougars go about things fairly similarly. Each have a low-stick that’s rapidly rising. Each have a culture that’s been cultivated over years. Each have solid depth. Whomever makes it out will have earned it.

RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
1110Grace Snyder159.8Hudsonville
1212Daisy Cox158.1Rockford
1312Chloe Purwin153.5Hudsonville
1410Lexie Snyder147.9Hudsonville
159Brooklyn Thomasma147.3East Kentwood
1612Paige McMeans147.1Jenison
1711Jillian Lewakowski143.2Rockford
1810Gwyn Faber143.0Forest Hills Northern
199Harper Henderson140.3Jenison
11011Keagan Mulka135.3Rockford
11111Jaclyn Charbauski133.6Forest Hills Northern
1129Lillien Hitsman126.8Grand Haven
11310Camryn Gervais122.8Grand Haven
11410Kinsley Newman121.8Grand Haven
11512Adeline Bagnall120.5Grand Haven
11610Michaela Pries120.2Hudsonville
11711Morgan Sanders120.2Rockford
11812Rae DeFrang119.0Rockford
11910Emma Storey118.5Jenison
12010Ariana Elzinga118.4Grandville
12111Cecelia Wojciakowski118.1Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
12212Reese DeFrang115.4Rockford
12311Amelia Danian113.5Forest Hills Northern
1249Konlee Gundy113.3Grand Haven
12512Sarah MacIntosh113.2Rockford
12612Cassie Karasinski113.0Hudsonville
1279Jillian LaSorsa110.5Hudsonville
12811Eleanor Mathews110.0Grand Haven
12912Ashley Wayne109.1Hudsonville
13012Laila Burress107.5East Kentwood
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
2112Tessa Mascari158.9Traverse City West
2211Emilia Garces158.5Midland Dow
2310Kaitlyn Berg149.1Midland
2410Grace Meyers143.1Bay City Western
2512Bridget Raven135.5Traverse City West
2611Kelly Comfort132.6Traverse City Central
2710Cecelia Jacobson128.9Traverse City Central
2811Emily Truszkowski128.1Traverse City Central
299Claire Gross126.6Traverse City Central
21011Sienna Chapin120.8Oxford
21111Jessa Skonieczny120.5Mount Pleasant
21211Kate Macfarlane120.4Midland Dow
21311Livia Willing120.1Grand Blanc
21412Micali Teeple120.0Grand Blanc
21510Lilly Pierce118.7Mount Pleasant
21612Anna Sheppard118.1Mount Pleasant
21711Sawyer Lynn117.3Saginaw Heritage
21810Hannah Vogel116.8Midland Dow
21910Autumn Luick115.9Midland Dow
2209Isabelle Kopczyk115.4Fenton
2219Thia Reid113.8Oxford
22212Brooklyn Wiltse108.6Davison
22310Jadelyn Arnold106.9Traverse City West
22411Lindsay Smith106.2Traverse City West
22510Gretchen Oyer105.8Traverse City Central
2269Ayla Ruch105.6Traverse City West
22712Jaclyn Suderman104.9Bay City Western
22811Leah Humphrey103.7Grand Blanc
22912Olivia Reding102.7Traverse City West
23011Ariana Rajah102.5Traverse City Central
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
3111Adalyn Raab170.4Zeeland East
3211Ainsley Kelm156.6Portage Northern
3311Avery Scott151.2Portage Central
3412Collette Wierks141.8Holland West Ottawa
3512Lane Isom141.7Richland Gull Lake
3612Akaela Daman138.8Caledonia
3711Gracie Carlisle138.6Portage Central
3812Annie Isom138.4Richland Gull Lake
3911Gianna Burgos138.2Battle Creek Lakeview
31010Tessa Albrecht136.2Zeeland West
31110Emma Putnam135.6Lowell
31212Ella Wierks133.5Holland West Ottawa
3139Valentina Lopez-Bringas132.5Portage Central
31411Claire Mouw131.6Portage Central
31511Julia Welc130.8Portage Central
3169Charlie Vonk130.4Zeeland East
31711Alivia Schnakenberg127.9Zeeland East
3189Ava Hoffer126.3Zeeland West
31912Lyla Dowling125.9Holland West Ottawa
32010Londyn Schmidt124.9Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
32110Maddie Guy123.7Portage Central
32211Mary Dolbow121.3Holland West Ottawa
32310Tatum Richardson116.4Portage Central
32410Kendall Van Ryn113.9Caledonia
32511Lilly Harthorn110.2Kalamazoo Loy Norrix
32610Kalynn Young110.2Richland Gull Lake
32711Quinn Middleton110.2Byron Center
32811Lacy Smith108.5Richland Gull Lake
32911Caralyn Elkins107.8Zeeland West
33011Charlie Bont106.6Caledonia
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
4111Rachel Smith166.4Okemos
4212Kodie Snyder150.6Dexter
4311Ella Lorenz145.6Brighton
4412Abigail Dobry141.5Dexter
4510Ava Montero135.4Grand Ledge
4610Brooke Wallace133.2Howell
4710Reagan Mason132.4Howell
489Madelyn Newman129.8South Lyon East
499Maddie Newman126.8South Lyon East
41010Reese Cournoyer126.6Brighton
41112Anna Halliday125.7Howell
41212Ashley Lubowicki125.3Brighton
4139Addison Farero124.9Mason
41411Ruby Petee124.8Mason
41512Morgan Allen124.2Mason
41611Mya Bower122.8Okemos
41710Olive DiMassa121.6Howell
4189Reilly Klas121.5Brighton
4199Alaina Ernst120.2Holt
42012Vivian Hoffman119.7Dexter
4219Mary Peterson117.1Brighton
42211Jorga Wooledge116.7Mason
42311Kaila Cravotta116.7East Lansing
42411Maddie Stouffer116.6Brighton
42510Kinsley Lounds115.4Grand Ledge
4269Maddie Flynn115.2Grand Ledge
4279Marissa LaMarra115.2Brighton
42810Paige Thelen114.6Grand Ledge
42912Bailey Konuszewski114.1Dexter
43011Emily Barrie114.0East Lansing
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
5111Natasza Dudek188.2Ann Arbor Pioneer
5210Keira Von Blon180.6Ann Arbor Pioneer
5311Sienna Klemmer177.9Ann Arbor Pioneer
5411Charley McKay154.1Brownstown Woodhaven
5511Savannah Staton152.8Saline
5612Katarina Munson151.1Saline
5712Lizzie Wernimont141.6Ann Arbor Pioneer
5810Audrey Grosteffon138.8Temperance Bedford
5912Nina Moore138.7Ann Arbor Pioneer
51011Adelynn Turck134.2Saline
51111Annabelle Chan130.1Brownstown Woodhaven
51210Eliza Selcer126.5Ann Arbor Pioneer
51312Mia Lopez122.4Ann Arbor Pioneer
51411Alexis Kmiecik122.0Brownstown Woodhaven
51511Jaelynn Greene119.2Brownstown Woodhaven
51612Hope Noal115.7Brownstown Woodhaven
51711Giada Fioritto109.3Gibraltar Carlson
51812Sophia Johnson107.5Temperance Bedford
51910Emma Puscas107.4Wyandotte Roosevelt
52010Madison Slade107.3Gibraltar Carlson
52110Lauren Tomaszewski106.7Saline
52210Maliah McKibben102.6Temperance Bedford
52312Sophie Roth102.6Saline
52411Joy Schuck99.0Southgate Anderson
52510Caroline Cotner94.7Saline
52610Ada Cain94.0Gibraltar Carlson
52712Iva Ravindra93.3Temperance Bedford
5289Alexa Swetz89.4Gibraltar Carlson
5299Ava Brancheau88.9Southgate Anderson
53012Lauren Olma86.2Ypsilanti Lincoln
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
6112Isla Tharp145.5Ann Arbor Skyline
6212Becca Van Lent144.9Ann Arbor Skyline
6311Lucia Llanes144.1Ann Arbor Skyline
6410Eleanor Pilsner139.1Grosse Pointe South
6511Lila Edison139.1Ann Arbor Skyline
6612Irie Scrase138.8Ann Arbor Skyline
6710Blix Finn129.4Ann Arbor Skyline
689Emma Gritter120.0Ann Arbor Skyline
699Madeline MacLellan117.7Salem
61011Mira Shelgikar116.2Ann Arbor Huron
61111Madelene (Maddie) Vargo114.1Livonia Churchill
61211Samantha Michalski113.6Salem
61312Khloe Lee110.7Plymouth
61411Clare Davidson110.0Canton
61511Chloe Cratsenburg109.8Plymouth
61612Samantha Bartell106.1Salem
61712Morgan Costello104.9Grosse Pointe South
6189Emma Ford103.8Grosse Pointe South
61911Sadie Bohnsack103.1Ann Arbor Huron
62010Maribelle Kofahl102.3Ann Arbor Huron
62110Ella Hanner98.4Salem
62212Annabeth Hazlewood97.4Salem
62310Abigail Avram97.1Ann Arbor Huron
62411Joelle Saad96.4Dearborn
6259Hannah Thomassen95.9Canton
6269Ivy Surma95.9Grosse Pointe South
62712Olivia Colt91.7Grosse Pointe South
62812Addie Jones90.0Salem
62911Paige Garbo85.4Grosse Pointe South
63010Lydia Thomason-Redus82.7Grosse Pointe South
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
7110Alexandra Scappaticci173.9Northville
7212Lucia Lachapelle159.2Northville
7311Paige Rohda159.2Berkley
7410Brynn Somers151.0Northville
7511Alexandra Green149.0Birmingham Seaholm
7612Anyla Robinson148.9Oak Park
7710Giada Mills148.8Beverly Hills Groves
7810Claire Lawrence146.3Bloomfield Hills
7912Katelynn Egli136.3Novi
71012Anna Macdonald132.7Royal Oak
71110Ella German129.5Novi
7129Lily Szukaitis127.9Northville
71311Claire Galas125.9Novi
71410Ella Corby124.0Northville
71512Colette Lozo124.0Northville
71612Katelyn Parrish123.4Farmington
71712Emma Engalan120.7Northville
71812Olivia Jenney119.2Bloomfield Hills
71910Sora Saito118.4Novi
72010Lydia DelPiero Clayton114.8Farmington
7219Hanna Drouillard110.9Walled Lake Central
72211Isabella Glibota110.3Berkley
72311Grace Thomas109.2Farmington
72411Mia Maccani107.7Royal Oak
72511Ana Lucia Reynoso106.3Berkley
72610Jessica Philip105.3Novi
7279Aubrey Burt102.3Oak Park
72810Khaya Pierson100.8Livonia Stevenson
72912Renata Arreola-Olvera96.0Novi
73012Olivia Dixon95.1Birmingham Seaholm
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
819Claire Cubitt145.2Utica
8212Morgan Scally140.3White Lake Lakeland
8312Avery DeGrendel137.0Clarkston
8412Ava Goodman133.7Hartland
8511Kylie Brown133.7Utica
8610Ruby Hoffmann130.1Hartland
8712Emma Brown130.0Utica
8810Lila Miller129.6Hartland
8912Maya Pletzer129.2White Lake Lakeland
81012Jillian Broyles129.1Highland-Milford
81110Clare O’Reilly126.8Troy Athens
81211Codianne Palczewski125.6Utica
81312Genevieve Connolly125.5White Lake Lakeland
81412Isabelle Verellen125.5White Lake Lakeland
81511Hailey Lan124.2Troy
81612Allie Gallagher124.1Walled Lake Northern
81712Gabby Marino121.9White Lake Lakeland
81810Kylie Rennie119.7White Lake Lakeland
81912Addison Brigham115.8Clarkston
82010Layla Foguth115.5Hartland
82110Gabrielle Desgrange114.1Hartland
82211Gracie Grzymkowski111.2White Lake Lakeland
82312Claire Pikal107.3Waterford Kettering
82411Amelia Garvin106.9Clarkston
82510Annabelle Shaw105.2Clarkston
82610Elizabeth Mann103.3Sterling Heights Stevenson
82712Lauren Giroux100.7Troy
8289Ava Montante99.7Walled Lake Northern
82910Allyson McClure97.6Walled Lake Northern
8309Jordan Middleton96.5Highland-Milford
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
9111Alannah Wessel157.6Romeo
9211Gabriella Mercier156.7Macomb Dakota
9311Charlotte Jones154.4Rochester
9412Reese Rosbolt150.7Romeo
9510Jessica Soldan146.8Rochester Adams
9612El McMahan139.9Rochester Adams
979Molly Sarrach138.9Romeo
989Anna Mansilla138.1Rochester Adams
9910Grace Mathers136.6Macomb Dakota
91010Abby Deering134.9Rochester Adams
91110Clare McCloskey130.1Utica Eisenhower
9129Sophia Baier129.0Lake Orion
91311Maren Greve122.9Rochester
91412Alexis Schwartz120.9Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
91512Haley Sharp120.3Port Huron Northern
91612Alice Foley118.1Fraser
91710Eva Wordell117.0Rochester Adams
91810Evelyn Clancy116.0Macomb Dakota
9199Addison Mauck114.1Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
92012Natalie Meldrum112.7Lake Orion
92111Ava Thomas112.0Rochester Adams
92212Annie Roraff111.3Rochester
92312Faith Wessel111.0Romeo
9249Aubrie Schutt110.8L’Anse Creuse North
92512Kaitlyn Rizzo110.4Macomb Dakota
92610Aryana Givans108.9Rochester
92710Jelena Olechowski108.7Utica Eisenhower
9289Elena Wasilevich108.0Utica Eisenhower
9299Faith Hammer104.9Fraser
93011Claire Milne104.6Rochester Adams
Uncategorized

2026 Mid-Season Regional Projections: Division Two

We’re actually a bit past halfway, but in my mind, Portage is the end of the regular season. Past this upcoming weekend, the schedule will be dominated by championships – county, league, area, regional, and state. In anticipation of that, why not some regional projections?

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

  • The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
    • Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
  • Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 1st on is included.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

  • They account for course conditions and distance
    • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
    • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
  • They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 194 of those 216 top-3 regional teams, the previous year, 197 of 216. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Any Surprises?

Whitehall

Well, Bobby Jazwinski’s early times have been a bit of a surprise. But he’s gone from #1 in D2 from the summer to #1 in D2 in early October. Rex Pumford, his understudy is performing as expected, in the conversation for a medal in a month’s time. Solid depth pieces in Ian Dennis and Scout Freiheit are improving as sophomores typically do. Who has brought the Vikings up the standings? Alex Winczewski, finding the sport again after a 6-year hiatus. The senior’s first XC fall at the HS level has led him into the mid-18’s on a few occasions, most recently at Allendale.

Vicksburg

We could kinda glimpse the inklings of this during track, where the Bulldogs had three boys at/under 4:45 and 10:30, not to mention Carson Summerfield tearing it up over two laps. Even considering the springtime speed, Vicksburg had a bit of room they’d need to maneuver across, coming off a cross season where they placed 5th in Region 13 and 4th in the Wolverine Conference. Thus far, they’ve faced five teams in conference action and haven’t yet lost. Can that extend to the regional level? There’s many of the same teams.

RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
101Petoskey436187.8
102Spring Lake9721175.8
103Whitehall146178.3
104Fremont151168.1
105Reed City156167.6
106Ludington167164.4
107Gaylord200159.5
108Cadillac206160.8
109Howard City Tri-County232154.6
1010Big Rapids236153.4
1011Muskegon Oakridge239149.8
1012Fruitport240149.7
1013Clare267147.6
1014Remus Chippewa Hills42579.6
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
111Holland Christian211197.7
112Cedar Springs10023174.8
113Hudsonville Unity Christian113172.0
114Grand Rapids Catholic Central122174.2
115Holland127171.3
116Coopersville134169.2
117Allendale153165.9
118Sparta239149.3
119South Haven249142.4
1110Grand Rapids West Catholic292134.0
1111Allegan301130.5
1112Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills332118.3
1113Hamilton366111.0
1114Wyoming Lee43080.8
1115Comstock Park44961.6
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
121East Grand Rapids382193.7
122Grand Rapids Christian678186.6
123Forest Hills Eastern9516180.1
124Grand Rapids South Christian118173.8
125Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian149168.0
126GR West Michigan Aviation208155.9
127Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg226152.5
128Hopkins267140.8
129Lake Odessa Lakewood275140.4
1210Portland291129.1
1211Grand River Preparatory299133.4
1212Hastings313132.0
1213Wayland Union319128.0
1214Ionia326121.3
1215Battle Creek Pennfield377104.2
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
131Vicksburg7713184.1
132Otsego8312182.7
133St. Joseph8315182.0
134Paw Paw10519179.4
135Edwardsburg151171.8
136Battle Creek Harper Creek160168.6
137Three Rivers196164.9
138Sturgis246155.0
139Plainwell246155.6
1310Coldwater254151.8
1311Niles257152.2
1312Marshall267148.9
1313Berrien Springs311139.1
1314Stevensville Lakeshore386120.0
1315Dowagiac Union47389.9
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
141Parma Western395189.7
142DeWitt6914181.5
143Owosso8018179.0
144Haslett9322177.1
145Williamston10125175.6
146St. Johns186155.1
147Linden213149.2
148Corunna219146.9
149Lake Fenton242139.6
1410Jackson Northwest337115.6
1411Eaton Rapids353106.2
1412Charlotte356107.2
1413Fowlerville358102.4
1414Lansing Sexton452-171.2
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
151Flint Powers Catholic494192.0
152Alma617188.6
153Shepherd709184.3
154Freeland12427174.2
155Saginaw Swan Valley182158.3
156Frankenmuth201155.9
157Clio233146.1
158Essexville-Garber257141.9
159Birch Run268139.6
1510North Branch268136.9
1511Bay City John Glenn271136.6
1512Goodrich279134.8
1513Flint Kearsley369108.3
1514Saginaw United376103.1
1515Bay City Central381108.7
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
161Pinckney223193.4
162Chelsea7217179.7
163Detroit Country Day8124176.3
164Dearborn Divine Child8926174.0
165Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard9120175.7
166Grosse Pointe North191129.9
167Detroit Voyageur230105.5
168Warren Lincoln27365.8
169Garden City27760.0
1610Eastpointe28356.0
1611Detroit Southeastern Tech341-33.8
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
171Holly3410186.3
172Yale99159.5
173Marysville102160.8
174Macomb Lutheran North149152.9
175Pontiac Notre Dame Prep154150.1
176Croswell-Lexington157148.8
177St. Clair167146.3
178Orchard Lake St. Mary’s179140.3
179Imlay City246124.1
1710Armada254124.4
1711Madison Heights Lamphere256117.5
1712St. Clair Shores Lake Shore340101.3
1713Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood35698.0
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
181Adrian3211183.6
182Tecumseh74170.1
183New Boston Huron97165.2
184Carleton Airport114159.0
185Monroe Jefferson140154.9
186Grosse Ile180145.7
187Ypsilanti Community184145.1
188Dundee231136.7
189Riverview233135.9
1810Trenton249131.8
1811Ida305120.2
1812Flat Rock330116.6
1813Milan339107.2
1814Melvindale356105.4

Battles to Watch

Region 11

Where Holland Christian will surely occupy the top spot, and as many as six teams could vie for the other two. Cedar Springs, Unity Christian, GR Catholic Central, Holland, Coopersville, and Allendale are all in contention. Cedar Springs is probably the favorite of the bunch, almost all of their boys hitting a PR over the past two weeks of competition. They were also victorious over Allendale and Coopersville at the most recent RCA Jamboree. We also had a recent matchup between Holland and GRCC at Allendale, where the Dutch cleared the Cougars by a 26-point margin, buttttt Mitchell Dunlap did not run.

Region 16

These teams are coming from all over. Far into Washtenaw County, you’ve got Chelsea and Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard. Reaching up over 8 Mile, Detroit Country Day. A few miles from the MIXC headquarters, Divine Child. Far from one another in geography, close in proximity in projections and rankings. These four squads are ranked within 9 spots of one another and projected within 20 points too. They’ve all got different routes to success. Country Day has the best low-stick in Jack Hincks. Chelsea extends into a solid top-two of Wyeth Angus and Samuel Clifton. Gabriel Richard has the lowest 1-5 spread of the four, 45 seconds by the ratings. And Divine Child has the best 4-5 combo, an always crucial area.

RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
10112Robert Jazwinski III230.4Whitehall
10212Lukas Albright204.7Big Rapids
10312Bryce Falbe198.7Muskegon Oakridge
10412Jack Frentz194.7Petoskey
10511Christian Pavlige193.9Fruitport
10612Reeve Oberman193.7Petoskey
10711Rex Pumford193.0Whitehall
10812Garrett Lansing187.9Petoskey
1099Conrad Schwass185.1Ludington
101010Colton Mulder185.0Cadillac
101112Owen Adams184.5Spring Lake
101212Carson Brey181.4Petoskey
101310Owen Young181.3Petoskey
101412Griffin Frentz180.1Petoskey
101511Abraham Kiaunis179.2Reed City
101611Tanner Dozier178.4Reed City
101712Ryder Woodwyk176.6Spring Lake
101810Dane Trask175.7Spring Lake
101911Isaac Vandlen175.1Spring Lake
102012Jayden Mueller174.8Muskegon Oakridge
102111Tate Smith174.1Fremont
102212Gabe Grierson173.9Ludington
102310Noah Strother173.7Gaylord
102412Alex Flores173.7Ludington
102512Mossen Green172.4Fremont
102611Max Taylor170.2Fremont
102710David Strother169.8Gaylord
102811Dylan Winskas169.7Fruitport
102911Keagon Kostecki169.6Big Rapids
103010Ethan Strother169.4Gaylord
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
11112Mitchell Dunlap206.6Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11210Grant Lampen201.0Holland Christian
1139Drew Franken200.0Holland Christian
11410Zander Stewart199.1Holland Christian
11512Cole Coffman195.7Holland Christian
11611Aiden Lambers195.4Holland
11710Zach Diller192.9Holland Christian
11812Mason Hill192.1Allendale
11912Peyton Farrell186.8Cedar Springs
111012Alex Ten Haken183.8Hudsonville Unity Christian
111110Reuben Riemersma183.0Hudsonville Unity Christian
111211Cole Raymond182.6Coopersville
111310James Elliott180.1Cedar Springs
111412Samuel Organ180.0Cedar Springs
111511Derek Bostrom179.6Holland Christian
111612Rylan VanDenBeldt179.4Holland Christian
111710Brycen Stewart178.4Allendale
111812Kellen Chalupa177.9Allegan
111912Brandon Peterson177.5Coopersville
112011Caelen Gray175.9Holland
11219Jack Schulte174.4Holland
112211Zane Molewyk173.5Coopersville
112311Hagan Biehl170.9Sparta
112412Nolan Wiens170.0South Haven
112510Cameron Howe169.0Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills
11269Hayden Woodwyk168.2Hudsonville Unity Christian
112710Eli Schout168.1Hudsonville Unity Christian
112810Leo Alivia167.8Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11299Nolan Richardson167.5Grand Rapids Catholic Central
113012Tristan See165.6Cedar Springs
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
12111Micah Becker209.1East Grand Rapids
12211Ashton Fink204.1Grand Rapids Christian
12312Thomas Fisher201.2East Grand Rapids
12411James Scholten-Holcomb198.1Grand Rapids Christian
12511Grayson Michels194.4Forest Hills Eastern
12611Beckett Kneisel191.1East Grand Rapids
12712Ben Verlin190.7Grand Rapids South Christian
12811Jacob Kornoely190.7GR West Michigan Aviation
12912Steven Zawacki188.4Forest Hills Eastern
121012Josiah Rozema187.5Grand Rapids South Christian
121110Hudson Kemper187.5Grand Rapids South Christian
121211Donnie Richmond187.3Portland
121312Lucas Aardema186.2East Grand Rapids
121412Mason Fein181.1Wayland Union
1215Henry Straveler180.9East Grand Rapids
12169Bennett Piippo179.9Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
121712Chase Woller-Skar179.4East Grand Rapids
121812Elias DeJong178.6Grand Rapids Christian
121912Kaden Rohrbacher177.7Lake Odessa Lakewood
122010Seth Sytsma176.9Grand Rapids Christian
122111Kash Moored176.1Hopkins
122212Easton McCloy175.8Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
12239Bennett Teitsma175.4Grand Rapids Christian
122411Tate VanDaele175.4Forest Hills Eastern
122510Aaron Martinson174.0Portland
12269Evan Occhipinti173.7Forest Hills Eastern
12279Cooper Cal173.3East Grand Rapids
12289Wesley Scholten-Holcomb173.1Grand Rapids Christian
122910Luke Worley172.6Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
123010Owen Bremer172.3Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
13111Ethan Ferguson200.6Edwardsburg
13212Caiden Caswell200.5Vicksburg
13312Abraham McHugh198.9Marshall
13411David Kore197.7Three Rivers
13512Hunter Smith196.1Vicksburg
13612Christopher Vogt193.8Paw Paw
13712Seth Randall193.8St. Joseph
13811Landon Lindsay190.6Paw Paw
13911Carson Wiersbe189.5St. Joseph
131010John Brickley189.4Niles
131110George Whitaker189.4Otsego
131211Grant Krause188.4Paw Paw
131312Christian Ayres187.3Battle Creek Harper Creek
131412Grayson Campbell186.0Vicksburg
131510Ryan Long185.7Otsego
131611Kaleb Koestner183.8Otsego
131711Reed Gates182.3Edwardsburg
131811Matthew LaPorte181.3St. Joseph
131912Connor Beebe181.1Berrien Springs
13209Ethan VanHouten178.7Otsego
132112Gunnar Djerf176.2Otsego
132212Luke Aerts176.0Coldwater
132310Cooper Monroe175.3Battle Creek Harper Creek
132410Anthony Durocher174.7St. Joseph
13259Easton Netzley170.8St. Joseph
132612Carson Summerfield170.0Vicksburg
13279Milo Barry169.5Sturgis
132811Braiden Schuh168.6Edwardsburg
132912Sebastian Hernandez168.0Coldwater
13309Dexter Parsons168.0Vicksburg
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
14110Logan Cristian202.9Parma Western
14211Duncan Palmer199.4Williamston
14311Liam Dewitt196.2Haslett
14410Leland Sowle191.4Parma Western
14512Ryan Good190.8Parma Western
14610Leonidas Erfourth190.4Owosso
14711Isaiah Cates188.3Haslett
1489Braysen Kramer187.0DeWitt
14911Jackson Butts186.2Lake Fenton
141011Brady Rappuhn185.0Owosso
14119Spencer Sobak184.9Owosso
141211Roan VanSumeren183.6Parma Western
141312Will Chelotti182.3DeWitt
141410Livio Muzzin182.1DeWitt
141511Teddy Weber181.4Williamston
14169Colin Branch180.1DeWitt
141712Caleb Lynd179.8Parma Western
14189Sterling Burnie175.9DeWitt
141910Micah Good175.3Parma Western
142011Alec Hoy174.3St. Johns
142112Kodi Rose173.9Haslett
142210Gracin Zelski173.4DeWitt
142312Sawyer Zeman172.9Haslett
142410Max Bobeda170.9DeWitt
14259Luke Weber170.4Williamston
142612Ariston Dallas168.1Owosso
142711Christian LeConte166.6Owosso
14289Peyton Raymer164.7Williamston
142912Kai Miller163.9Owosso
143010Lucas Heid162.7Corunna
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
15111Lennox Naswell213.7Flint Powers Catholic
15212Ezekiel Baltierra207.5Alma
15312Bryce Cahoon201.6Shepherd
15412Nick Parker199.7Frankenmuth
15512Seth Betzold197.8Essexville-Garber
15612Ben Bouchey194.9Flint Powers Catholic
1579Camden Clevenger192.6Goodrich
1589Connor Charboneau191.2Saginaw Swan Valley
15911Ryan Rathsburg190.4Flint Powers Catholic
151010Nico Lebron189.0Alma
151110Ryan Brown188.4Freeland
151212Kevin Terpstra186.3Alma
151311Samuel Johnson185.9Alma
151412Jakin Whitney184.0Shepherd
151512Drew Davis180.7Shepherd
151611Griffin Solano180.6Flint Powers Catholic
151711Alex Iordanou180.6Flint Powers Catholic
15189Caleb Cahoon178.2Shepherd
151911Charlie Penneau178.0Flint Powers Catholic
152012William McDonald177.0Shepherd
152112Jackson Horn176.9Freeland
152212Braeden Conger176.1Frankenmuth
152311Eddie Radtke175.5Shepherd
15249Carter Minnis175.4Freeland
152510Connor Miller174.2Alma
15269Reece Lorencz172.7Goodrich
152710Charlie Fields171.6North Branch
152812Spencer Dammann169.4Saginaw Swan Valley
152911Charles Murray167.2Bay City John Glenn
153012Jackson Briley167.1Clio
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
16112Cole McCraw208.9Pinckney
16211Jack Hincks201.7Detroit Country Day
16312Lincoln Reed197.6Pinckney
16412Wyeth Angus196.0Chelsea
16510John Rochowiak188.3Pinckney
16610Matt McFall186.2Pinckney
16710Cash Wilds185.9Pinckney
16812Samuel Clifton185.5Chelsea
16911Ben Kuhn185.2Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
161010Wyatt Jespersen180.4Pinckney
161111Daniel Reifenberg180.4Dearborn Divine Child
161210Hari Varma179.9Detroit Country Day
161312Leo Alafita179.7Chelsea
161412Jonathan Rapoza178.0Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
161511Landen Bermudez177.7Dearborn Divine Child
161612Omar Elbashir176.8Detroit Country Day
161712Joseph Arriola176.4Dearborn Divine Child
161811Ethan Bray176.4Detroit Country Day
161912Caleb Maciag176.4Pinckney
162012Grant Goodwin175.5Dearborn Divine Child
16219Dominic Cai175.2Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162212Owen Thorburn170.7Chelsea
162312Conley Poole170.6Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162410John Fedewa169.7Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162510Jonathan Love166.6Chelsea
162612Jacob Salinas160.0Dearborn Divine Child
162712Preston Vasas157.2Chelsea
162811Zachary Barszczowski155.8Dearborn Divine Child
162910Ellis Carmichael155.6Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
163011George Fredenberg153.5Chelsea
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
17112Broden Ladd204.2Holly
17211Cole Heikka197.5Holly
17312Joshua Macri194.2Macomb Lutheran North
17411Andrew Nunning193.4Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
17512Connor Pepin191.3Croswell-Lexington
17612Trevor Murphy187.2Holly
17712Ethan Kreger183.9St. Clair
17810Caleb McBride182.8Marysville
17911Elliot Alef182.7Macomb Lutheran North
171011Brady VanConant178.4Yale
171111Joshua Byrtus175.5Holly
171211Mason Pietrykowski174.9Richmond
171312Wyatt Bovensiep171.3Auburn Hills Avondale
171411Griffin Kreger168.1St. Clair
171512Brendan Koza167.3Marysville
171611Joshua Behrend167.1Holly
17179Noah Miller165.4Yale
171810Travis Murphy163.8Holly
17199Weston Rutallie163.7Marysville
172011Logan Carrier160.0Yale
172111Karsten Martin155.7Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
172210Ryland Giannini154.9Madison Heights Lamphere
172310Aaron Byrne153.6Holly
172411Thomas Schweihofer151.0Yale
172510Andrew Yousif150.7Orchard Lake St. Mary’s
172612Mason Russell149.6Imlay City
172710Jack Abdelnour149.4Macomb Lutheran North
172811Liam Bhatti149.4Imlay City
172912Jeremy Johnson148.0Marysville
173011Alexander Repp146.5Croswell-Lexington
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
18112Cameron Crane194.9New Boston Huron
18210Parker Smith190.7Adrian
18311Eli Morris189.8Tecumseh
18412Carter Fenner188.8Adrian
18511Easton Coscarelli186.3Adrian
18612Landin Fisher183.8Adrian
18710Mason Tulik177.8Monroe Jefferson
18811Dempsey Barrett174.3Tecumseh
18910Mason Martin174.1Milan
181011Harrison Stamper174.0Tecumseh
181111Nicholas Ranka170.5Grosse Ile
181210Andrew Bell170.5Carleton Airport
181311Carson Scholz169.9Tecumseh
181411Carter Lee169.7Monroe Jefferson
181511Lucas Zeckner168.8Adrian
181612Hunter Rodak168.1Carleton Airport
18179Jackson Satterfield166.6Trenton
181812Tanner Kuhn165.6New Boston Huron
181912Kadan Crist161.9Adrian
182010Adam Ibrahim161.0Riverview
182111Ben Kline159.6Ypsilanti Community
182210Gabe Busen158.9Monroe Jefferson
182312Hayden Bovair157.4Carleton Airport
182410Daelin Ring156.1New Boston Huron
182511Isaac Kraftson155.0Ypsilanti Community
182611Brenton Musallam155.0New Boston Huron
182711Carson Dennis154.4Riverview
182812Garrett Patrick154.2New Boston Huron
182911Gavin Diroff151.3Trenton
18309Grady Marino150.9Carleton Airport

Any Surprises?

Chippewa Hills

Their girls have been on a roll as of late. Their schedule helps give a glimpse into the Warrior improvement. In early September, they traveled east to Shepherd for the John Bruder Classic. Then they attacked conference action before returning to XC heaven this past weekend. In that month gap, CH saw notable improvement from Addison Dekker (22:19 > 20:44), Conley Howard (22:03 > 20:47), Quinn Killian (21:30 > 20:39), Dory Simon (20:26 > 19:36), and Morgan Voorhees (23:41 > 21:37). I really could be up typing all night about all the growth these Chip Hills girls have seen, as nearly everyone on the squad saw a SB or PB this past weekend.

Holland

The Dutch have vaulted into the discussion to make it out of the unfathomably tough Region 11 (four teams from the top-10). They’ve done so on the improvement of two youngsters – Molly Murphy and Tessa Nienhuis. Nienhuis spent last fall getting better all year, her season culminating in a bevy of mid-20 efforts. She’s already moved into the 19’s and is finishing considerably higher in the OK Black standings. Murphy just had two consecutive breakout races in a row, finding a 19:41 at Autumn Sunrise and a 19:27 at Allendale. A year ago, she couldn’t even run that pace for 2 miles, now she’s extending into further distances at a quicker speed, bringing her newfound teammates into state qualifying contention.

RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
101Spring Lake7714112.2
102Remus Chippewa Hills9819102.5
103Clare1092699.8
104Cadillac11323106.3
105Ludington127106.0
106Fruitport15793.1
107Gaylord15986.9
108Whitehall17582.5
109Reed City20373.2
1010Petoskey23867.8
1011Fremont25725.8
1012Big Rapids34033.6
1013Howard City Tri-County38618.7
1014Muskegon Oakridge415-2.3
1015Ogemaw Heights454-54.0
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
111Holland Christian331142.1
112Holland848121.3
113Coopersville859123.6
114Allendale10010115.0
115Cedar Springs14425100.5
116Sparta16798.4
117Hudsonville Unity Christian17590.9
118South Haven23873.2
119Grand Rapids Catholic Central23979.3
1110Grand Rapids West Catholic25874.4
1111Hamilton29258.7
1112Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills3738.3
1113Comstock Park381-8.7
1114Wyoming Lee412-57.6
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
121Grand Rapids South Christian695124.9
122East Grand Rapids736123.3
123Grand Rapids Christian804122.8
124Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg11613111.8
125Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian15121102.7
126Wayland Union20488.8
127GR West Michigan Aviation21086.0
128Hastings22086.8
129Forest Hills Eastern22482.6
1210Hopkins23677.3
1211Ionia28154.3
1212Portland33542.4
1213Grand River Preparatory36419.1
1214Battle Creek Pennfield405-6.9
1215Lake Odessa Lakewood425-6.4
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
131Otsego332133.8
132Sturgis12324102.2
133Plainwell12318111.7
134St. Joseph12820101.8
135Edwardsburg148101.4
136Stevensville Lakeshore154100.1
137Battle Creek Harper Creek16689.7
138Paw Paw18490.5
139Three Rivers21981.8
1310Marshall26771.1
1311Vicksburg28563.5
1312Coldwater32356.6
1313Niles33654.7
1314Berrien Springs37541.4
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
141Linden493126.9
142DeWitt557124.7
143Williamston11427102.4
144Haslett13593.2
145Charlotte14490.4
146Parma Western15785.3
147Owosso19570.2
148Lake Fenton20967.9
149Fowlerville21963.4
1410St. Johns22060.2
1411Corunna30014.7
1412Jackson Northwest323-9.9
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
151Goodrich4712117.1
152Freeland8194.6
153Flint Powers Catholic8294.0
154Shepherd9592.1
155Frankenmuth10586.2
156Alma16564.8
157Birch Run19558.5
158Saginaw Swan Valley19557.8
159Essexville-Garber23142.5
1510Clio24540.3
1511Bay City John Glenn343-24.6
1512North Branch348-16.3
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
161Pinckney4517113.3
162Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard5799.5
163Farmington Hills Mercy6894.7
164Dearborn Divine Child10572.3
165Chelsea12162.5
166Grosse Pointe North12858.2
167Detroit Country Day15646.0
168Detroit Southeastern Tech258-119.3
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
171Bloomfield Hills Marian5611114.2
172Holly7915115.9
173Macomb Lutheran North8922102.9
174Pontiac Notre Dame Prep13688.0
175Armada14688.8
176Yale15187.3
177Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood15388.8
178St. Clair15882.3
179Croswell-Lexington20374.6
1710Marysville26462.6
1711Orchard Lake St. Mary’s31352.0
1712Warren Regina31552.3
1713Richmond446-6.9
1714Imlay City449-12.2
1715St. Clair Shores Lake Shore457-37.4
RegionProj. PlaceTeamReg. ScoreRankTop-5 Avg.
181Adrian4016113.6
182New Boston Huron6093.4
183Tecumseh8580.1
184Carleton Airport13167.8
185Trenton15259.9
186Grosse Ile16258.3
187Monroe Jefferson19747.4
188Ida21837.3
189Dundee22336.9
1810Ypsilanti Community265-56.5
1811Milan2837.5
1812Flat Rock298-8.2

Battles to Watch

Region 10

Yeah, Chippewa Hills has surprised thus far and moved into 2nd in the projections. But the Warriors still have work to do, as many contenders are in close proximity. Clare is right there, Cadillac too, with Ludington not far behind. The Vikings and Orioles have the low-sticks, Chloe Mazza and Ella McInerney, Eliza Schwass and Annabelle Lowman. Clare is more depth-based, an example of that coming at VSV, where the Pioneers placed all of their scorers before Cadillac’s 4th came in, earning Clare a 2-point edge in the final standings.

Region 13

Three teams, two spots, and a projected 5 points between them all. That’s a doozy. Plainwell, Sturgis, and St. Joseph. Two Wolverine Conference foes are the former two, and we’ve seen them face-off in league play. Plainwell won there, placing three girls in the top-four, a tough proposition to come back from. That said, Sturgis was missing Leilani Machuca, whose 19:45 at Otsego helped close the gap toward the Vikings. St. Joseph has largely steered clear of these two squads, with one decently recent exception, Ottawa Hills. There, the Bears played a role similar to Sturgis, battling back in the later spots to finish just behind Plainwell. By the transitive property of cross country, it might just be between Sturgis and St. Joe.

RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
10110Eliza Schwass156.3Ludington
10212Ella McInerney145.4Cadillac
1039Evelyn Goosen144.6Spring Lake
10412Zoe German132.2Fruitport
10512Annabelle Lowman132.0Ludington
10611Chloe Mazza125.0Cadillac
10711Dory Simon123.7Remus Chippewa Hills
10812Sophia Buzzelli117.5Clare
10912Cora Parker117.1Spring Lake
101012Hallee Hervey115.6Reed City
10119Cecelia Merrick114.3Gaylord
10129Abigail Cooper114.1Spring Lake
101310Hailey Kuhn109.6Cadillac
101412Marlowe Walcott107.2Reed City
101512Gabrielle Chevez106.0Whitehall
101611Peyhton Beardsley105.0Fruitport
101712Lauren Leis104.8Clare
10189Quinn Killian104.5Remus Chippewa Hills
10199Quinn Drake101.3Clare
102010Charly Braidwood98.6Spring Lake
102111Peyton Nellis98.3Remus Chippewa Hills
10229Brooklyn Kramer96.7Gaylord
102310Evelayna Szajner96.1Gaylord
102411Emma Stotzel95.9Clare
102510Conley Howard94.0Remus Chippewa Hills
102610Stella Irving92.2Fremont
10279Addison Dekker92.0Remus Chippewa Hills
102812Addison Torrez89.8Ludington
10299Madison Heuschele87.9Whitehall
103010Aya Pateman87.6Petoskey
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
11111Avery Engbers159.8Holland Christian
11211Oakley Osterhart153.8Coopersville
11310Breslyn Klein149.1Coopersville
11412Mia May148.3Sparta
11512Eliana Stob144.5Holland Christian
11612Olivia Weiss143.3Holland
11712Ellery Lampen142.9Holland Christian
1189Molly White134.6Holland Christian
11912Sawyer Reagan134.0Allendale
111010Addisyn Wood130.4Sparta
111111Addison Bixler130.3Coopersville
11129Anna Zietlow128.7Holland Christian
111312Mackenzie Huizenga125.1Holland Christian
11149Molly Murphy124.7Holland
111512Johanna Mulder122.5Holland
111610Mia Hill120.9Allendale
111711Annika Stob120.5Holland Christian
111810Tessa Nienhuis118.8Holland
111910Lauren Meyer118.2Allendale
112011Quinn McWilliams112.5Coopersville
112112Carly Bruxvoort112.5Hudsonville Unity Christian
112212Abby Noorman112.5Cedar Springs
112312Kylee Brose107.6Allendale
11249Halle Valliere106.5Cedar Springs
112512Noelle Wielhouwer105.6Hudsonville Unity Christian
112610Caroline Berkemeier104.6Grand Rapids Catholic Central
11279Keira Garza102.4Grand Rapids West Catholic
11289Ella Cook100.6South Haven
112912Miriam Hess100.2Cedar Springs
113011Addy Nesbitt97.8Cedar Springs
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
12112Caroline Randall162.0Hastings
12211Tiffany DeMaagd143.6Grand Rapids South Christian
12310Lily VanEyk137.4Grand Rapids South Christian
12411Anneliese Passchier136.3East Grand Rapids
1259Emi Crews132.1Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
12612Adeline Armstrong129.8East Grand Rapids
12712Lillian Dewey129.0Hopkins
12812Zoe Hoekstra127.8Grand Rapids Christian
12912Ahna Woltjer127.7GR West Michigan Aviation
121010Noelle Hulst126.8Grand Rapids South Christian
12119Carleigh Gearhart126.1Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
121211Joy Van Wyk125.9Grand Rapids Christian
12139Charlotte Schellhammer124.7East Grand Rapids
121410Eliana Zwiep123.7Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
121510Kylie Zwiep123.6Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian
121611Abree VanDenBrink121.8Wayland Union
121711Lily Phillips121.5Forest Hills Eastern
121812Meghan-Jane Skidmore121.3Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
121911Eva Lindstrom121.2Grand Rapids Christian
122011Alena Sportel120.8Grand Rapids Christian
122112Lucy Waalkes118.5Grand Rapids Christian
122211Maggie Scholma117.9Grand Rapids Christian
122311Caroline Schellhammer117.0East Grand Rapids
122411Vivienne Conflitti114.0Forest Hills Eastern
12259Claire Setsma113.3Grand Rapids Christian
122610Hailey Moorman110.2Grand Rapids South Christian
122710Lucy Straveler108.5East Grand Rapids
122810Isabelle Oostema106.7Grand Rapids South Christian
122911Ava Oostema104.2Grand Rapids South Christian
123011Ava Benedict103.2Ionia
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
1319Natalya Hoffman157.0Plainwell
13211Mai Nguyen144.9Plainwell
13310Alayna Verhage141.1Otsego
13411Grace Leman139.1Edwardsburg
13510Lydia Dwyer138.5Stevensville Lakeshore
13610Addelyn Sabatke136.9Otsego
13710Adelyn Verhage132.8Otsego
13812Skylar Mejeur130.1Otsego
1399Addison Andress128.0Otsego
131010Taylee Fox124.2Otsego
131111Gracelyn Leman122.6Edwardsburg
131211Layla Gableman118.5Edwardsburg
13139Alice Starkey115.6Sturgis
131412Marley Momany114.9Stevensville Lakeshore
131512Madeline Goodwin114.0Otsego
131610Kenna Koole112.8Vicksburg
13179Leilani Machuca112.4Sturgis
131812Abigail Luckman112.1Stevensville Lakeshore
131911Alaina Dillon110.7Marshall
132010Lulu Park110.5Sturgis
132110Vittoria Perrucchetti109.9St. Joseph
13229Taylor Schulte109.4St. Joseph
132311Avery Huff106.6Paw Paw
132411Molly Bruggink101.7Plainwell
132511Audrey Kline101.0St. Joseph
132612Hayden Lemieux100.1Paw Paw
13279Adelyn Richardson98.9St. Joseph
13289Kloey Osborn94.4Three Rivers
132910Alaina Kirkpatrick93.5Battle Creek Harper Creek
133011Ronja Schuett92.9Vicksburg
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
14112Ava Schafer158.0St. Johns
1429Clara Cook156.5DeWitt
14312Addison Josephson144.8Linden
14411Courtney Floeter143.9Linden
14511Remie Ellis141.2Eaton Rapids
1469Annabel Buggia138.7Williamston
14711Natalie Hayes130.8DeWitt
14812Elliana Hufton125.8Lake Fenton
14912Colette Charchut118.6Haslett
141012Avery Silvas118.6Charlotte
141112Sidney Shepard117.8Linden
141211Abby Crandell117.3Owosso
141310Brooklyn Takagishi117.0DeWitt
141411Bridget Fullerton116.4Parma Western
141512Anna Soltis115.5DeWitt
14169Kennedy Kolodica114.7Linden
14179Ella Bahle114.0Williamston
141811Molly Roberts113.3Linden
141910Emma Durling111.2Linden
142012Melody Meckstroth109.0Linden
14219Violette Goodrich106.6Charlotte
142211Emma Cook103.6DeWitt
142310Dakota Budd99.1Haslett
14249Penny Ewald97.1Owosso
142510Madisyn Blair97.1Parma Western
142611Clara Marschall95.2Fowlerville
142710Cecilia Kelly91.8Williamston
142812Natalie Kuhl91.0Parma Western
142911Paige Kanan89.6DeWitt
143010Chloe Wilber89.3DeWitt
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
15111Kayla Shellenbarger151.5Goodrich
15212Alivia Ottinger140.2Goodrich
15312Clara Kaczor139.8Freeland
15412Lucy Conzelmann131.8Frankenmuth
15511Mila Villarreal126.0Flint Powers Catholic
15611Cailyn Baker123.5Shepherd
15712Baylor Lauinger120.9Goodrich
15811Danica Redes119.4Shepherd
15912Kylie Mausolf113.2Birch Run
151011Victoria Bouchey106.2Flint Powers Catholic
151112Aubrey Hare105.4Saginaw Swan Valley
151212Claire Arnold98.3Essexville-Garber
15139Jade McCormick96.2Flint Powers Catholic
151410Grace Kloha93.7Freeland
151511Sarah Warner92.8Shepherd
15169Emma Parker90.0Frankenmuth
151710Katie Niederquell87.1Freeland
151810Addyson Campbell86.6Goodrich
15199Molly Scott86.4Goodrich
152010Grace Hancock85.6Alma
152110Maria Haj79.2Flint Powers Catholic
152210Sarah Diffin78.6Freeland
152311Kinsley Compau78.4Frankenmuth
152410Addison King74.9Frankenmuth
152512Olivia Mielke74.0Freeland
15269Tatum McGill73.4Alma
152710Sevarah Markham73.0Alma
152811Gabriella Dallas69.1Freeland
152912Annalee Takalo68.6Shepherd
153011Sofia Sporman66.8Flint Kearsley
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
16112Jaelyn Ray166.0Pinckney
16211Eastynn Charder128.9Pinckney
16311Maya Hammoud128.6Detroit Country Day
1649Mary Hickey127.5Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16511Elizabeth Gerzema126.0Farmington Hills Mercy
16611Grace Bedner116.8Farmington Hills Mercy
1679Hailey Baltzell114.4Pinckney
16812Bridget Fidkowski111.7Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
16911Ainslie Carter108.1Farmington Hills Mercy
16109Gabriella Diaz107.8Dearborn Divine Child
161112Zora Ziolkowski95.9Chelsea
161212Ava Pfaffenbach93.7Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
161310Jordane Falvey92.8Dearborn Divine Child
161412Rose Buonerba88.5Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
161511Kaylynne Baltzell85.1Pinckney
16169Wilhelmina VanderWerp79.9Grosse Pointe North
16179Noelle Lyon76.6Grosse Pointe North
161811Ella Trueman76.4Dearborn Divine Child
161912Alexis Adelman76.2Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162011Abigail Adams72.1Pinckney
162112Sofia Dussan71.9Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162210JJ Lukas70.1Farmington Hills Mercy
162312Megan Welch69.5Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
162410Kathryn Dunn61.6Chelsea
162512Persephone Berg57.5Chelsea
162610Dahmiyah McDaniel54.9Detroit Voyageur
162712Sofia Razny52.4Farmington Hills Mercy
162811Ryan Huhn52.0Dearborn Divine Child
162911Erin Doolittle51.6Grosse Pointe North
163010Addison Leschuk50.7Chelsea
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
17112Maddie Lindley153.2Holly
17211Julia Bambach152.9Holly
17312Lucille Clark126.7Bloomfield Hills Marian
17411Saige Cole126.5Yale
17512Samantha Whitlam125.1Macomb Lutheran North
17611Chloe Boright123.3Macomb Lutheran North
17710Katherine Estes121.9Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
1789Marian Byrd121.6Bloomfield Hills Marian
1799Josephine Humphrey118.7Bloomfield Hills Marian
171010Claire Albrecht115.6Armada
171111Zahiya Khan110.1Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook-Kingswood
171211Gabby Schuff110.1Bloomfield Hills Marian
171312Flora Ramos103.9Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
171410Katelyn Schweihofer100.4Yale
171511Madelyn Barkley100.3Croswell-Lexington
17169Izzy Runevitch98.6Holly
171711Lucy Gump98.4Macomb Lutheran North
17189Layla Tedder98.3Armada
171910Leah Murchie97.8Holly
172010Lyla Eidson97.1Auburn Hills Avondale
17219Lily Galayda96.5Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
172212Eliza Thompson96.1Croswell-Lexington
17239Abigail (Abby) Dietzel95.2Marysville
172410Kamille Fitzpatrick94.0Armada
172510Melanie Clark93.9Bloomfield Hills Marian
172611Emily Anderson88.5Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
172710Rose Hill87.4St. Clair
172811Alayna Smith87.1Bloomfield Hills Marian
172910Zeta Adamski87.0Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
173011Rachel McDonell84.7St. Clair
RegionProj. PlaceGradeNameO4 RatingTeam
18112Ayda Skeels147.2Adrian
18211Madison Petty139.8Adrian
18311Ella Baker115.3Carleton Airport
18411Ella McCleery114.8Ypsilanti Community
18511Claire Miller114.4Monroe Jefferson
18611Grace Pacheco112.5New Boston Huron
18711Karina Mihai-Grammes109.2Adrian
18811Jamie Glatfelter101.3Trenton
1899Marina Warner100.2Grosse Ile
18109Alexis Richards99.6Adrian
181111Virginia Barrett96.3Tecumseh
181212Ella McFarlane93.9Riverview
181310Zoey Cheney89.5New Boston Huron
181411Isa Vargo89.3New Boston Huron
181512Kayla Christesen88.5New Boston Huron
181611Alexis White87.2New Boston Huron
181710Opal English82.8Tecumseh
181812Maya Whelan76.8Tecumseh
181911Avalina Williamson75.6Trenton
182012Haley Rucinski75.1Tecumseh
182111Klair Baker72.0Adrian
182210Abbey Ward71.3Carleton Airport
182311Morgan McMichael69.5Tecumseh
182410Madison Agocs68.8Carleton Airport
182512Camryn Nowak66.7Tecumseh
182610Lana Benware65.7Ida
182711Lila Somerset64.4Grosse Ile
182811Lea Rode64.3Ypsilanti Community
182912London Landini64.2Tecumseh
18309Samarah Huffman63.6Adrian