Author: mixcspeedratings

With the coming of championship season comes race projections!

The rankings and ratings from each race and each week are one aspect of the work that I do, this is another. These take those ratings and the variability from a runner’s resume, then apply that to a projection.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

At the regional level, the projections were pretty darn accurate. I gave qualifying odds for the top-3 spots and ended up thinking I’d be accurate on 198 of the teams, the final total ended up being 197. The State level was a different story, where a few wholly unexpected teams hit the podium.

Anyhow, here they are for the Upper Peninsula.

DIVISION THREE

Girls

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	L’Anse	73	95+	1.3	61	1 to 2
2	Newberry	23	76	2.1	70	1 to 3
3	Ewen-Trout Creek		16	3.1	81	2 to 4
4	Stephenson		9	3.6	89	2 to 4
5	Brimley			5.4	142	5 to 6
6	Rapid River			6.1	155	5 to 7
7	St. Ignace			6.6	161	5 to 7
8	Chassell			8.5	201	8 to 9
9	Eben Jct. Superior Central			8.6	202	8 to 9
10	Dollar Bay			10.0	235	10

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Samantha Taylor	Newberry	1.0
2	9	Molly McNamara	Newberry	2.5
3	11	Abby Taylor	Newberry	2.9
4	12	Faith Cappaert	Stephenson	4.5
5	10	Bree Besonen	Ewen-Trout Creek	5.5
6	10	Princess Pierre	L’Anse	7.2
7	10	AJ Feleppa	St. Ignace	7.9
8	9	Evonna LaCosse	Big Bay de Noc	10.2
9	10	Lily Froese	L’Anse	11.5
10	10	Kwynn Voskuhl	L’Anse	11.6
11	9	Sophie Mahoski	Ishpeming	11.7
12	12	Emma Besonen	Ewen-Trout Creek	11.9
13	9	Autumn Broomfield	Watersmeet Township	11.9
14	9	Julia Poma	Rapid River	14.4
15	11	Gabriella Putnam	Stephenson	14.7
16	11	Sylvia Aho	Chassell	15.2
17	11	Bella Tarter	Forest Park	19.4
18	9	Sarah Chapman	Engadine	19.8
19	10	Rylie Cole	Stephenson	20.7
20	10	Aaliyah Maki	L’Anse	21.1

Boys

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Forest Park	95+	95+	1.0	63	1
2	Engadine		61	2.6	108	2 to 4
3	Stephenson		16	4.0	125	2 to 6
4	St. Ignace		8	4.1	127	2 to 6
5	Rock Mid-Peninsula		14	4.7	132	2 to 8
6	Dollar Bay			5.9	144	3 to 8
7	Rapid River			6.7	151	5 to 8
8	Eben Jct. Superior Central			6.9	154	6 to 8
9	Brimley			9.4	212	9 to 10
10	Newberry			9.6	215	9 to 10
11	Holy Name			11.0	252	11
12	Chassell			12.0	278	12

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Canon Kuntze	Stephenson	1.9
2	11	Ethan Snyder	Cedarville	2.7
3	9	Ashdeyn Gerow	Rock Mid-Peninsula	4.1
4	11	Kemper Gearhart	Ishpeming	4.8
5	10	Julian Suriano	Newberry	7.2
6	11	Jon Denkins	Rapid River	8.5
7	12	William Hoffman	Forest Park	8.6
8	10	Wyatt Huhn	St. Ignace	8.7
9	10	Hayden Smith	Forest Park	9.3
10	12	Joey Mainville	Forest Park	11.2
11	9	Eli Stiglitz	Rock Mid-Peninsula	11.8
12	10	Nate Stielstra	Engadine	12.9
13	9	Owen Truitt	Rapid River	12.9
14	11	Jae Poma	Rapid River	16.5
15	12	Duane Krenek	Engadine	17.4
16	8	Niko Reed	Dollar Bay	17.5
17	12	Cody Moore	Eben Jct. Superior Central	17.6
18	9	Reuben Rasner	Forest Park	17.9
19	12	Mateusz Wozniak	Ishpeming	18.4
20	12	Michael Rexford	Holy Name	21.1

DIVISION TWO

Girls

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Rudyard	94	95+	1.1	25	1 to 2
2	Hancock	6	95+	1.9	33	1 to 2
3	Ironwood			3.0	69	3

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Talya Schreiber	Pickford	1.0
2	9	Melissa Kirschner	Rudyard	3.1
3	10	Remi Coponen	Painesdale-Jeffers	4.0
4	10	Addie Bowerman	Munising	4.5
5	12	Olivia Cotey	Munising	6.4
6	12	Jill Berg	Hancock	8.1
7	11	Lauren Larson	Hancock	8.3
8	12	Lydia Pelli	Hancock	9.2
9	9	Ashlynn Mitchell	Rudyard	9.4
10	12	Lindsey Masterson	Rudyard	10.0
11	12	Claire Heltunen	Painesdale-Jeffers	11.2
12	10	Amelia Fountain	Rudyard	11.7
13	11	Kaylee Baldwin	Norway	14.2
14	12	Lauren Adams	Norway	14.3
15	11	Christy Lutch	Pickford	15.9
16	10	Aybri Sorensen	Baraga	17.2
17	11	Marie Thompson	Hancock	18.1
18	9	Emma Folkersma	Rudyard	18.7
19	12	Aubrey Balduc	Ironwood	19.0
20	12	Teryn Firack	Pickford	19.2

Boys

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Painesdale-Jeffers	95+	95+	1.0	29	1
2	Rudyard		95+	2.0	41	2
3	Munising			3.0	91	3
4	Manistique			4.1	122	4 to 5
5	Pickford			5.0	139	4 to 5
6	Wakefield-Marenisco/Bessemer			6.4	166	6 to 8
7	Ironwood			7.1	175	6 to 8
8	Hancock			7.5	183	6 to 8

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Cameron Anderson	Painesdale-Jeffers	1.3
2	12	Steven Kirschner	Rudyard	2.3
3	12	Landon Larson	Painesdale-Jeffers	2.8
4	11	Eli Folkersma	Rudyard	5.3
5	11	Blake Lakosky	Munising	5.4
6	10	Branson Anderson	Painesdale-Jeffers	6.5
7	11	Jacob Mitchell	Pickford	7.2
8	10	Blake Heltunen	Painesdale-Jeffers	7.9
9	12	Seth Templeton	Rudyard	9.3
10	9	John Green	Gwinn	10.6
11	11	Oliver Dankert	Rudyard	12.3
12	11	Brexton Kinnunen	Painesdale-Jeffers	13.9
13	11	Zaine Nichols	Rudyard	14.1
14	11	Tage Rajala	Painesdale-Jeffers	14.8
15	10	Kavin Jackson	Manistique	16.0
16	12	Kasen Helminen	Painesdale-Jeffers	16.2
17	10	Javan Hauswirth	Norway	16.7
18	9	Dylan Krause	Munising	18.9
19	11	Nolan Dolaskie	Munising	19.7
20	10	Bryce Mitchell	Rudyard	21.2

DIVISION ONE

Girls

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Marquette	95+	95+	1.0	34	1
2	Sault Ste. Marie		95+	2.0	60	2
3	Houghton			3.0	90	3
4	Negaunee			4.3	115	4 to 5
5	Calumet			4.7	126	4 to 5
6	Kingsford			6.0	155	6
7	Gladstone			7.1	182	7 to 8
8	Powers North Central			7.9	198	7 to 8
9	Ishpeming Westwood			9.0	223	9

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Ella Fure	Marquette	1.0
2	9	Emma Ziegler	Marquette	2.6
3	10	Maria Murvich	Kingsford	2.7
4	11	Keira Waterman	Negaunee	6.0
5	10	Sela Niska	Houghton	6.8
6	10	Holly Cooke	Houghton	7.3
7	11	Winley Brandt	Menominee	8.4
8	10	Isabelle McCord	Sault Ste. Marie	8.5
9	12	Esme Ulland-Joy	Marquette	10.8
10	9	Avah Akerley	Escanaba	11.4
11	12	Stephanie Jones	Sault Ste. Marie	12.0
12	11	Eryn Veverka	Marquette	12.0
13	9	Cora Goulet	Sault Ste. Marie	14.2
14	11	Regan Sporte	Sault Ste. Marie	14.3
15	12	Nori Korsman	Negaunee	15.1
16	10	Evelyn Grant	Marquette	16.4
17	9	Ava Cantway	Marquette	16.8
18	12	Jovie Williams	Houghton	16.8
19	10	Olivia Koren	Marquette	20.0
20	10	Isabeau Woodard	Sault Ste. Marie	20.2

Boys

Projected	Team	Win %	Top-2 %	Avg. Place	Avg. Score	Place Range
1	Marquette	95+	95+	1.0	26	1
2	Sault Ste. Marie		95+	2.0	50	2
3	Houghton			3.5	107	3 to 5
4	Gladstone			3.7	112	3 to 5
5	Negaunee			5.2	128	4 to 6
6	Ishpeming Westwood			5.6	135	4 to 6
7	Kingsford			7.0	188	7
8	Escanaba			8.0	219	8

Projected	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Peter Argeropoulos	Marquette	1.7
2	12	Gabe Litzner	Sault Ste. Marie	2.5
3	12	Rorik Holmquist	Marquette	3.2
4	11	Lucas Ballard	Marquette	4.2
5	12	Henry Plummer	Negaunee	5.8
6	12	Shea Armstrong	Sault Ste. Marie	6.3
7	11	Cavan Mulligan	Kingsford	8.7
8	10	Lake Skytta	Marquette	10.2
9	12	Beepsee Teeple	Marquette	10.2
10	12	Adam Brandt	Sault Ste. Marie	11.0
11	12	Simon Jaklin	Negaunee	11.4
12	12	Benjamin Hemmer	Houghton	11.6
13	9	Calvin Carlson	Ishpeming Westwood	15.1
14	11	Chase Aldridge	Sault Ste. Marie	15.8
15	10	Welly Fillmore	Marquette	17.0
16	12	Daniel Bowerman	Sault Ste. Marie	17.1
17	12	Jared Waterman	Ishpeming Westwood	18.2
18	12	Teagan Reynolds	Gladstone	19.1
19	10	Brandon Van Karsen	Houghton	20.2
20	11	Kaden Malone	Powers North Central	20.6

This sport of ours gives us enjoyment all year. Trudging through the snow on wintry days, speedy circles around the track, fun summer runs. But does anything beat these final weeks of the year? The huge mid-season meets are done and we’re rolling towards races of great consequence. Lifetime memories have been accrued all fall and even more are to come.

Hopefully this batch of rankings validates what’s already occurred and gives motivation to what could come.

As with the previous rankings, all meets with over 50 participants of each gender are included (even if the ratings themselves aren’t posted to the site, they’re in my database). The rankings take the individual ratings from each race and weigh them using factors of recency, field size, and field competitiveness. Those weighted ratings are then sorted by team, scored against the entire division, and ranked. Thus, teams with more depth tend to be ranked a little higher than they’d be at a regular invite or even the State Finals. But I know no better way to rank all the teams in a division than to compare against all teams in a division.

These are filtered a bit, a runner has to have competed in a race since September 19th (Jackson/Cougar Falcon/VSV weekend) at a race I’ve rated. Hopefully this accounts for injuries.

As always, these are for fun and a vehicle to drive interest in the best sport in the world. If they cause undue stress or pressure or motivate you to write me unkind messages (only happened a few times this year, but gotta get out ahead of it!), this site might not be for you. That’s fine, the many XC fans of Michigan will enjoy it all the same.

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	CW Rating	Region
1	12	Marek Butkiewicz	Kalamazoo Hackett	213.1	32
2	12	Brody Karg	Harbor Beach	206.4	35
3	12	Grayson Rorick	Hillsdale Academy	204.6	34
4	12	Abenezer Cerone	Royal Oak Shrine	203.2	36
5	12	Landon Rogers	Three Oaks River Valley	202.3	32
6	11	Kyle Redman	Mesick	199.1	29
7	12	Landen Livingston	Whitmore Lake	195.8	33
8	11	Ty Redman	Mesick	195.1	29
9	12	Sean Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	193.4	32
10	9	Mason Rogers	Three Oaks River Valley	193.0	32
11	11	Christian Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	191.9	31
12	11	Noah Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	191.5	31
13	12	Carson Burgess	Brown City	191.3	35
14	11	Abraham Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	191.2	29
15	10	Lincoln Laansma	Tri-Unity Christian	191.0	31
16	9	Spencer McNitt	Maple City Glen Lake	190.9	29
17	11	Brady Edwards	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	187.2	30
18	11	Jacob Ferdubinski	Riverview Gabriel Richard	185.3	36
19	12	Joel Johnson	Detroit Frederick Douglass	184.3	36
20	12	Cody Bradley	Petoskey St. Michael	183.5	28
21	11	Gibson White	Holland Calvary Christian	182.2	31
22	11	Anthony Rowe	Breckenridge	182.0	30
23	12	Max Brannan	Lutheran Westland	177.4	36
24	9	Christian Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	177.3	29
25	12	Jonah Pollatz	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	176.9	30
26	11	Daniel Chaney	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	175.5	29
27	12	Liam McCaw	Maple City Glen Lake	175.4	29
28	10	Leo Weaver	Whitmore Lake	174.5	33
29	10	Nathan West	Webberville	174.3	33
30	12	Jack Sharar	Rogers City	174.0	28
31	12	Reuben Jiran	Novi Christian Academy	173.6	33
32	12	Luke Molenkamp	Hillsdale Academy	173.4	34
33	11	Timothy Gaebler	Hillsdale Academy	173.2	34
34	11	Wesley Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	173.0	30
35	12	Michael Bowker	Royal Oak Shrine	172.9	36
36	9	Gavin Bowers	Austin Catholic	172.1	36
37	12	Timothy Chamberlain	Portland St. Patrick	172.0	31
38	12	Logan Romain	Dryden	171.5	35
39	10	Levi Fitchett	Dryden	171.5	35
40	12	Quentin Smith	Fowler	171.2	31
41	11	Brody VanTuinen	Holland Calvary Christian	170.5	31
42	12	Cole Brege	Rogers City	170.3	28
43	12	Henry Lindley	Hillsdale Academy	170.3	34
44	11	Lincoln Bailey	Maple City Glen Lake	169.7	29
45	11	Rush Marsden	Fulton	169.0	30
46	10	Peter Winn	Hillsdale Academy	168.8	34
47	11	Amos Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	168.7	30
48	9	Ethan Harrand	Buckley	168.4	29
49	10	Owen Jarosz	Frankfort	168.1	29
50	12	James Rahe	Hillsdale Academy	167.3	34

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

It’s a banner year for senior D4 runners. This ’25 class has been a prominent faction of the D4 landscape for a few years now. Last fall, the top-four spots were all occupied by the current senior class – Marek Butkiewicz winning, followed by Abenezer Cerone, Landon Rogers, and Grayson Rorick. Landen Livingston hung back in 10^th, Brody Karg made his presence known during track. And this fall, all of ‘em have been sub-16. Butkiewicz still is a level above, flashing a sub-15 this past weekend at Gabriel Richard. Beyond him, I can see a world where any of the above grab second place.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Maple City Glen Lake	120	29	180.9	169.7	1:04	2:34
2	Hillsdale Academy	146	34	178.0	174.0	1:47	2:13
3	Holland Calvary Christian	149	31	179.5	173.3	1:32	1:48
4	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	246	30	169.7	158.1	1:42	3:18
5	Whitmore Lake	304	33	166.4	159.5	2:29	2:43
6	Kalamazoo Hackett	375	32	168.7	154.0	3:57	5:08
7	Petoskey St. Michael	419	28	158.1	142.6	2:12	4:01
8	Leland	431	29	155.7	140.8	1:12	3:38
9	Breckenridge	434	30	156.6	135.4	2:46	6:05
10	Royal Oak Shrine	454	36	159.9	149.2	3:43	4:06
11	Mesick	511	29	158.8	124.2	3:39	10:42
12	Portland St. Patrick	556	31	149.2		2:42
13	Riverview Gabriel Richard	567	36	150.2	138.2	3:26	4:15
14	Grand Traverse Academy	598	29	145.6	140.0	1:13	1:46
15	Lutheran Westland	644	36	144.7	129.2	2:37	5:47
16	Genesee Christian Academy	644	33	144.4	121.6	3:15	6:02
17	Fowler	654	31	143.5	134.9	2:23	3:04
18	Three Oaks River Valley	695	32	149.7	131.9	4:52	5:49
19	Buckley	702	29	141.1		2:33
20	Ubly	703	35	140.9		3:12
21	Gobles	708	31	140.0	130.3	1:26	3:07
22	Dryden	737	35	140.3		3:01
23	Webberville	744	33	139.4	125.6	3:16	4:14
24	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	762	30	137.5	125.7	3:12	3:57
25	Manchester	845	34	133.3	118.9	3:06	4:51
26	Concord	864	34	132.6	106.6	3:07	8:08
27	Novi Christian Academy	869	33	132.2	119.6	3:28	4:47

Intriguing League Battles

Almost everyone’s done with league competition, save for a few. We have two top-10 teams battling it out in the MSAC – #4 Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart and #9 Breckenridge. The first outing saw a runaway Irish victory, all five Sacred Heart scorers finishing before Breckenridge’s 2^nd man. In the rematch, the Huskies significantly closed the gap, running almost even with SH, save for a tiny gap at their 2^nd man. How will the trend continue – will it be Breckenridge’s improvement driving a win or will Sacred Heart keep up the win streak?

Of the teams that finished their league season, a shoutout has to go to Maple City Glen Lake, winning the NWC for the first time in 23 years.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Maple City Glen Lake	120	29	1	0
2	Hillsdale Academy	146	34	3	-1
3	Holland Calvary Christian	149	31	2	1
4	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	246	30	4	0
5	Whitmore Lake	304	33	5	0
6	Kalamazoo Hackett	375	32	6	0
7	Petoskey St. Michael	419	28	7	0
8	Leland	431	29	24	-16
9	Breckenridge	434	30	8	1
10	Royal Oak Shrine	454	36	9	1
11	Mesick	511	29	10	1
12	Portland St. Patrick	556	31	12	0
13	Riverview Gabriel Richard	567	36	11	2
14	Grand Traverse Academy	598	29	13	1
15	Lutheran Westland	644	36	15	0
16	Genesee Christian Academy	644	33	14	2
17	Fowler	654	31	16	1
18	Three Oaks River Valley	695	32	17	1
19	Buckley	702	29	21	-2
20	Ubly	703	35	20	0
21	Gobles	708	31	18	3
22	Dryden	737	35	19	3
23	Webberville	744	33	23	0
24	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	762	30	22	2
25	Manchester	845	34	26	-1
26	Concord	864	34	25	1
27	Novi Christian Academy	869	33	42	-15

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	CW Rating	Region
1	11	Hunter Eaton	Charlevoix	211.3	19
2	12	Gage Hoffman	Stanton Central Montcalm	204.8	24
3	10	Nole Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	201.5	26
4	10	Christian Craanen	Monroe St. Mary CC	200.5	27
5	11	Luke Herron	Caro	199.5	25
6	11	Ryder Hopkins	Charlevoix	197.9	19
7	10	Will Hulin	Centreville	196.9	23
8	12	Edward Mugisha	The Potter’s House	196.2	21
9	11	Caleb Blonde	Jonesville	195.9	23
10	12	Matthew Solomon	Charlevoix	195.4	19
11	12	Jayden Fox	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	195.1	25
12	11	Logan Youngman	Hillsdale	193.9	23
13	11	Chad Tyson	Hanover-Horton	193.7	23
14	12	Tyler Leach	Otisville LakeVille	193.7	24
15	10	Owen Poppema	Bath	193.5	24
16	12	Gibson Shore	Jackson Lumen Christi	193.3	23
17	10	Clint Couchman	Brooklyn Columbia Central	193.3	23
18	11	John Keser	Buchanan	191.9	22
19	11	Jonas Ballard	Holland Black River	191.1	21
20	10	Eli VanPoortfliet	Benzie Central	189.9	20
21	12	Landen Styka	Ithaca	189.4	25
22	12	Noah Devereaux	Laingsburg	189.4	24
23	11	Rocky Bolton	Jackson Lumen Christi	188.7	23
24	11	Marcus Silva	Saugatuck	187.5	22
25	12	Qwynn Darnell	Elk Rapids	187.3	19
26	11	Marshall Brandt	Midland Bullock Creek	186.7	25
27	11	Grant Rehkopf	Saugatuck	186.7	22
28	12	Jacob Mankey	Ithaca	186.6	25
29	11	Evan Olson	Pigeon-Laker	186.5	25
30	12	Jeryn Frisbie	Belding	186.1	21
31	12	Jackson Schaub	Benzie Central	185.6	20
32	11	William Gancer	Stockbridge	185.1	26
33	12	Paul Saladin	Reed City	184.4	20
34	11	John Kowatch	Pewamo-Westphalia	184.3	24
35	10	Soren Crosthwaite	Jackson Lumen Christi	183.9	23
36	11	Evan MacLaren	Ithaca	183.5	25
37	11	Isaac Dionne	Boyne City	183.1	19
38	12	Trenton Fetter	Adrian Madison	182.8	27
39	10	Michael Weidmayer	Blissfield	182.6	27
40	9	Isaac Cox	Plymouth Christian Academy	182.6	26
41	11	James Tennes	Lansing Catholic	182.1	26
42	12	Lucas Gates	Lansing Catholic	182.1	26
43	12	Emmanuel Mehari	Plymouth Christian Academy	182.0	26
44	10	Grant Corlew	Harbor Springs	180.6	19
45	12	Caiden Helsel	Lake City	180.5	20
46	12	Liam McBeth	Buchanan	180.3	22
47	12	John Edler	Homer	180.1	23
48	10	Tristan Hernandez	Kingsley	180.0	20
49	10	Wyatt Roberts	Otisville LakeVille	179.9	24
50	10	Nolan Kessler	Montague	179.8	21

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

Lightly raced, but impactful nonetheless has been Hunter Eaton. The Rayder junior has won four of those outings, the most recent being his 2^nd consecutive Northern Shores victory. The quickest of the bunch was at Bluejay, his 15:22 in the Elite section only bested by D1 and D2 standouts. This spring, he was able to establish himself as one of the better endurance athletes in Michigan, winning the D3 3200m. Coming off a 9^th place finish last fall, the upward trajectory is too apparent.

Two sophomores are continually finding their way into the mix. Christian Craanen was the runner-up at Portage and Nole Lorenzen’s 15:41 from yesterday gives him the 2^nd best time in all of D3. Craanen’s loss at Portage was to a guy we’ve seen here for a few years, Gage Hoffman. Hoffman was 3^rd at last fall’s State Finals and has been spitting out sub-16’s all year.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	199	23	184.4	177.4	0:47	1:50
2	Charlevoix	236	19	188.5	177.7	2:12	3:26
3	Saugatuck	249	22	180.9	173.9	0:46	1:46
4	Ithaca	253	25	181.2	166.2	0:55	3:37
5	Lansing Catholic	306	26	177.9	174.4	0:33	0:51
6	Benzie Central	402	20	175.5	170.9	1:15	1:49
7	Stanton Central Montcalm	449	24	176.6	168.1	2:28	3:17
8	The Potter’s House	463	21	174.2	168.8	1:42	2:08
9	Buchanan	509	22	172.6	163.1	1:50	2:53
10	Hanover-Horton	517	23	171.9	165.9	1:47	2:16
11	Jonesville	528	23	172.7	159.5	2:40	4:00
12	Hart	583	20	167.8	166.2	0:20	0:27
13	Ann Arbor Greenhills	629	26	167.0	157.7	1:17	2:22
14	Holland Black River	636	21	168.2	153.9	2:33	3:45
15	Plymouth Christian Academy	672	26	166.7	150.5	2:30	3:40
16	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	718	21	164.5	157.6	1:13	2:09
17	Lake City	736	20	163.9	151.4	1:51	3:52
18	Reed City	751	20	163.3	156.0	1:52	2:45
19	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	782	21	162.2	145.2	1:58	4:10
20	Pewamo-Westphalia	788	24	163.0	153.7	2:20	2:46
21	Caro	795	25	164.3	154.3	2:46	3:48
22	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	814	21	160.8	156.0	1:16	1:29
23	Pigeon-Laker	841	25	161.0	147.7	2:21	4:02
24	Midland Bullock Creek	858	25	160.7	148.9	2:22	3:56
25	Traverse City St. Francis	873	19	158.9	144.9	0:59	3:29
26	Erie Mason	895	27	158.5	152.9	1:26	1:56
27	Blissfield	915	27	158.8	151.8	2:02	2:37

Intriguing League Battles

Save for Lansing Catholic (CAAC White, going for back-to-back titles), The Potter’s House (Alliance Conference, the Pumas winning 2 of the 3 jamborees this fall), and Hanover-Horton (Cascades), everyone else in the top-ten is done.

The latter team mentioned, the Hanover-Horton Comets, are in an absolute battle with #11 Jonesville. The first Cascades West race featured a 2-point Jonesville win, those other Comets opening up enough of a gap through 4 guys to hold on for a win. For the next jamboree, H-H was able to subtract a point, Jonesville added one, and H-H won on the sixth runner. That 6^th guy, Bristen Cekander, has been finding his form late in his first year of competing, five straight sub-19 efforts. This is close. Not much more needs written.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	199	23	1	0
2	Charlevoix	236	19	3	-1
3	Saugatuck	249	22	2	1
4	Ithaca	253	25	4	0
5	Lansing Catholic	306	26	5	0
6	Benzie Central	402	20	6	0
7	Stanton Central Montcalm	449	24	7	0
8	The Potter’s House	463	21	8	0
9	Buchanan	509	22	9	0
10	Hanover-Horton	517	23	10	0
11	Jonesville	528	23	11	0
12	Hart	583	20	12	0
13	Ann Arbor Greenhills	629	26	14	-1
14	Holland Black River	636	21	13	1
15	Plymouth Christian Academy	672	26	16	-1
16	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	718	21	15	1
17	Lake City	736	20	17	0
18	Reed City	751	20	18	0
19	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	782	21	19	0
20	Pewamo-Westphalia	788	24	21	-1
21	Caro	795	25	20	1
22	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	814	21	22	0
23	Pigeon-Laker	841	25	23	0
24	Midland Bullock Creek	858	25	25	-1
25	Traverse City St. Francis	873	19	24	1
26	Erie Mason	895	27	26	0
27	Blissfield	915	27	29	-2

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	CW Rating	Region
1	11	Robert Jazwinski III	Whitehall	216.6	10
2	12	Jonah Workman	East Grand Rapids	216.3	12
3	10	Lennox Naswell	Flint Powers Catholic	210.5	15
4	11	Ezekiel Baltierra	Alma	210.3	14
5	10	Gavin Katic	Fenton	208.3	16
6	12	Thomas Larson	Alma	207.4	14
7	11	Mason Hill	Allendale	206.9	11
8	10	Micah Becker	East Grand Rapids	205.6	12
9	11	Caiden Caswell	Vicksburg	204.7	13
10	11	Mitchell Dunlap	Grand Rapids Catholic Central	204.2	11
11	12	Vincent Pattison	Goodrich	204.1	15
12	11	Cole McCraw	Pinckney	203.0	16
13	12	Bryce Gross	Flint Powers Catholic	202.7	15
14	11	Steven Zawacki	Forest Hills Eastern	202.6	12
15	12	Ronnie Silveira	Allendale	202.0	11
16	12	Edison Lopeman	Parma Western	201.9	14
17	12	Moises Salazar Jr.	Adrian	201.7	18
18	11	Bryce Cahoon	Shepherd	200.5	15
19	11	Abraham McHugh	Marshall	199.6	13
20	12	Aden Ashworth	Allendale	199.5	11
21	12	Sean Ryan	Grand Rapids Christian	199.2	12
22	12	Brett Magnus	Frankenmuth	198.0	15
23	12	Cole Wisniewski	Orchard Lake St. Mary’s	197.9	16
24	12	Shephard Bower	Forest Hills Eastern	197.6	12
25	12	Jacob Stanislawski	Flat Rock	196.9	18
26	10	Ashton Fink	Grand Rapids Christian	196.1	12
27	12	Jack Edison	East Grand Rapids	195.4	12
28	10	Ryan Rathsburg	Flint Powers Catholic	195.4	15
29	12	Aiden Weller	Cedar Springs	195.2	10
30	12	Murphy Wagner	Saginaw Swan Valley	194.0	15
31	12	Asher Jager	GR West Michigan Aviation	193.9	12
32	11	Joshua Macri	Macomb Lutheran North	193.8	17
33	12	Caleb Carignan	Flint Powers Catholic	193.6	15
34	12	Carson Wood	Sparta	193.5	11
35	12	Ben Verellen	Gladwin	193.1	10
36	11	Owen Adams	Spring Lake	192.9	10
37	12	Charlie Brauer	Three Rivers	192.2	13
38	12	Jacob Hylton	Ortonville Brandon	192.0	15
39	9	Logan Cristian	Parma Western	191.7	14
40	10	Aiden Lambers	Holland	191.6	11
41	12	Landon Gerritsma	Holland Christian	191.4	11
42	10	Jack Hincks	Detroit Country Day	191.4	16
43	11	Nick Parker	Frankenmuth	191.3	15
44	12	Tommy Beiter	Flint Powers Catholic	191.1	15
45	10	Gerard Gilmour	Fenton	191.1	16
46	12	George Scupham	Edwardsburg	190.9	13
47	11	Christopher Vogt	Paw Paw	190.9	13
48	12	Jack Estelle	Hopkins	190.8	11
49	10	Duncan Palmer	Williamston	190.7	14
50	11	Seth Randall	St. Joseph	190.6	13

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

Two have risen above the rest: Robert Jazwinski III and Jonah Workman. Jazwinski has found a home in Whitehall and has undoubtedly benefitted from having a consistent group of folks to run with. Don’t believe me? Check the results. All wins. The fastest time of the day at Spartan. A 15:05 personal best this past week. A 15:13, strength-driven pull away in the final mile at Portage. Workman, recovering a bit from the typical mid-season sickness, hung with Jazwinski for those first two miles. His portfolio, both from the early season (14:58 at Sparta) and from track (9:06 3200m) proves that he contains the necessary tools to make November’s race one of the more anticipated matchups.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Flint Powers Catholic	121	15	198.6	191.4	0:58	1:53
2	East Grand Rapids	162	12	198.6	193.8	1:26	1:48
3	Alma	290	14	193.6	189.2	1:30	1:39
4	Grand Rapids Christian	350	12	188.3	184.6	0:57	1:20
5	Holland Christian	381	11	186.0	183.9	0:28	0:48
6	Parma Western	435	14	186.0	181.1	1:24	1:40
7	Shepherd	510	15	183.6	177.6	1:29	2:15
8	Otsego	524	13	182.0	172.3	0:47	2:07
9	Forest Hills Eastern	560	12	184.2	178.1	1:47	2:00
10	DeWitt	608	14	180.4	174.7	1:12	1:37
11	Fenton	609	16	182.8	178.0	2:05	2:07
12	Cedar Springs	622	10	180.0	175.7	1:18	1:36
13	Allendale	642	11	185.3	174.0	2:30	3:23
14	Three Rivers	667	13	178.9	172.2	1:33	1:51
15	Richland Gull Lake	695	13	177.5	173.0	0:57	1:23
16	Pinckney	702	16	179.2	175.9	1:42	1:49
17	Frankenmuth	705	15	179.4	168.1	1:43	3:00
18	Spring Lake	745	10	176.9	170.2	1:14	1:59
19	Petoskey	761	10	176.0	171.0	1:01	1:23
20	Grand Rapids South Christian	779	12	175.5	168.9	1:30	1:52
21	Adrian	790	18	177.4	170.2	1:57	2:38
22	Whitehall	814	10	179.6	169.4	3:07	3:51
23	Edwardsburg	839	13	174.8	166.5	1:30	2:20
24	Chelsea	847	18	174.4	170.1	1:16	1:33
25	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	873	18	173.5	169.3	0:55	1:12
26	Macomb Lutheran North	896	17	174.0	166.8	1:38	2:36
27	Detroit Country Day	919	16	173.0	162.1	2:22	2:58

Intriguing League Battles

Contrary to D3 and D4, many of these squads have yet to come into action this week. One has, Otsego adding another Wolverine Conference trophy to their crowded case. Last week, Alma completed their perfect season in the TVC. The OK White is always a hub of D2 activity and this year is no different – #2 East Grand Rapids, #4 Grand Rapids Christian, and #9 Forest Hills Eastern all playing prominent roles. EGR has found significant margins in each of the first two conference competitions, 30 point+ wins in each. Don’t mistake margin for weakness, each of these two races have had >30 boys break 18:00.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Flint Powers Catholic	121	15	1	0
2	East Grand Rapids	162	12	2	0
3	Alma	290	14	3	0
4	Grand Rapids Christian	350	12	4	0
5	Holland Christian	381	11	5	0
6	Parma Western	435	14	6	0
7	Shepherd	510	15	7	0
8	Otsego	524	13	8	0
9	Forest Hills Eastern	560	12	9	0
10	DeWitt	608	14	11	-1
11	Fenton	609	16	12	-1
12	Cedar Springs	622	10	10	2
13	Allendale	642	11	13	0
14	Three Rivers	667	13	14	0
15	Richland Gull Lake	695	13	15	0
16	Pinckney	702	16	19	-3
17	Frankenmuth	705	15	16	1
18	Spring Lake	745	10	18	0
19	Petoskey	761	10	21	-2
20	Grand Rapids South Christian	779	12	20	0
21	Adrian	790	18	22	-1
22	Whitehall	814	10	23	-1
23	Edwardsburg	839	13	17	6
24	Chelsea	847	18	25	-1
25	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	873	18	26	-1
26	Macomb Lutheran North	896	17	24	2
27	Detroit Country Day	919	16	27	0

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	CW Rating	Region
1	11	Kamari Ronfeldt	Ann Arbor Pioneer	221.3	5
2	11	Brandon Cloud	Northville	216.1	7
3	12	Kyle O’Rourke	Highland-Milford	216.0	2
4	12	Beckett Crooks	Ann Arbor Pioneer	215.6	5
5	11	Caden Livermore	Grandville	215.4	1
6	11	Jack MacGregor	Howell	213.7	4
7	11	Luka Hammond	Grand Haven	212.4	1
8	12	Ian Morgan	Okemos	211.9	4
9	12	Benjamin Hartigan	Northville	211.8	7
10	11	Marshall Huhn	Lowell	210.3	3
11	12	Aiden Pengelly	Canton	210.0	6
12	12	Andrew Wright	Kalamazoo Central	209.9	3
13	10	Mourad Algahmi	Dearborn Fordson	208.2	5
14	12	Jackson Lam	Kalamazoo Loy Norrix	205.3	3
15	11	Justin Johnson	East Kentwood	204.9	3
16	11	Matii Tarekegn	East Kentwood	204.4	3
17	12	Aron Gal	Grand Haven	204.2	1
18	12	Ethan Hertza	Northville	203.7	7
19	11	Coen Hill	Dexter	203.1	4
20	9	Avi Elabed	Lowell	202.8	3
21	12	David Dubeck	Clarkston	202.7	8
22	11	Austin Mercado	Salem	202.2	6
23	11	Jacob Szalay	Saline	202.0	5
24	9	Tommy McCormick	Grand Blanc	201.6	2
25	12	Lucas LaPointe	Plymouth	201.6	6
26	12	Max Houvener	Lake Orion	201.2	8
27	10	Todd Tobin	Highland-Milford	200.3	2
28	11	Samuel Baker	Kalamazoo Central	200.3	3
29	12	Caleb Keller	Traverse City Central	200.2	2
30	12	Noah Johnston	Caledonia	200.0	3
31	12	Zach Wyderko	Brighton	199.7	4
32	10	Alexander Allen	Alpena	199.7	2
33	12	Marcel Stork	Mattawan	199.6	3
34	10	Rylen Richey	Grand Ledge	199.6	4
35	12	Cooper Byrne	Lowell	199.3	3
36	12	Owen Fisher	Mattawan	199.2	3
37	12	Nathaniel Linden	Troy Athens	199.0	8
38	12	Benjamin Rottier	Grand Ledge	198.8	4
39	10	Xavier Solgot	L’Anse Creuse North	198.7	9
40	11	Broden Ladd	Holly	197.9	2
41	10	Brady Glon	Detroit Catholic Central	197.5	7
42	11	Blake Kulesza	Brighton	197.3	4
43	12	Ty Billings	Kalamazoo Central	196.6	3
44	11	Josiah Derksen	Rockford	196.5	1
45	12	Ryan Barnes	Clarkston	196.5	8
46	10	Bennett Snapper	Caledonia	196.4	3
47	11	Liam Wierzba	Traverse City West	196.3	2
48	10	Finn-Frost Grayson	Traverse City West	196.3	2
49	12	Pierce Scheffler	Brownstown Woodhaven	196.2	5
50	12	Liam Preisser	East Lansing	196.2	4

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

I gotta admit, it was a bit of a stretch to give Kamari Ronfeldt the #1 ticket this summer. He didn’t finish last fall’s D1 final (under the weather, no shame in that). He didn’t win any state titles in the spring. He held the 5^th fastest returning 3200m time. But year after year, the numbers say that the jump from 10^th graders exceeds that of 11^th graders, and Ronfeldt was projected to be our fastest runner.

Thus far, the results have held up that projection. Even by Possum Hollow standards, the Milford Invite tends to run slow (the Fox n’ Hounds nature of the meet being a large contributor). Ronfeldt’s 15:35 matched what I believe to be the course record, a 15:35 by Ben Hill. Following that banger, he’s been sub-15 on three separate occasions. The most impressive of the bunch was a 14:50 at Portage, attained during the absolute hottest part of a hot day.

His teammate Beckett Crooks joined him on two of those sub-15 escapades. Crooks won the latest one at Gabriel Richard and has championship experience, winning this spring’s 3200m in the final lap.

Crooks beat Kyle O’Rourke there and O’Rourke is competing in the most Milford of Milford seasons. His 2025 portfolio contains four races. One, a 15:56 opener at Averill. Two, an Oakland County win with his best Possum Hollow time. An LVC meet and an Ohio invite, neither of which count for rating purposes. We’ll see what KOR has in store when it’s his turn on the fast course.

This may be the deepest field I’ve ever seen at the top. I really hate to say this. ‘cause it ain’t about times, but it’s been on my mind for a couple of weeks. The drought we’ve had this fall plus the cooler temperatures may lead to a MIS race where a bunch of kids crack the 15 min. barrier. You can make arguments for any one of the top-13ish runners to break into the 14’s. I hope it’s as many as possible.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Northville	193	7	203.3	198.7	1:14	1:36
2	Ann Arbor Pioneer	271	5	202.7	197.0	1:43	1:59
3	Lowell	282	3	198.4	187.7	1:07	3:21
4	Kalamazoo Central	315	3	197.2	192.1	1:18	1:42
5	Grand Ledge	369	4	194.1	188.2	0:31	1:23
6	Brighton	419	4	193.0	190.4	0:34	0:57
7	Ann Arbor Skyline	455	4	191.7	188.9	0:23	0:47
8	Midland	468	2	191.4	188.4	0:20	0:44
9	Traverse City West	504	2	191.0	188.5	0:40	0:44
10	Portage Central	584	3	189.9	184.8	1:06	1:16
11	Romeo	600	9	189.0	184.9	0:35	1:12
12	Grand Blanc	605	2	189.8	186.7	1:03	1:08
13	Saline	606	5	190.1	186.0	1:15	1:19
14	Caledonia	611	3	189.6	185.0	1:05	1:23
15	Zeeland West	631	3	188.8	186.4	0:42	0:45
16	Traverse City Central	634	2	189.6	182.2	1:02	1:51
17	Salem	670	6	189.0	185.3	1:06	1:20
18	Clarkston	674	8	188.9	184.7	1:19	1:30
19	East Kentwood	684	3	190.2	184.2	1:21	1:50
20	Jenison	690	1	187.3	185.3	0:18	0:31
21	Holland West Ottawa	717	3	186.7	184.2	0:09	0:52
22	Highland-Milford	761	2	190.6	184.3	2:09	2:25
23	Brownstown Woodhaven	790	5	186.1	182.0	1:07	1:14
24	Rockford	823	1	185.4	178.4	1:25	1:51
25	Plymouth	873	6	185.3	181.1	1:18	1:38
26	Grand Haven	875	1	188.7	179.5	2:08	2:57
27	Saginaw Heritage	881	2	184.1	181.2	0:29	0:47

Intriguing League Battles

We had a bit of an upset in this week’s action, Traverse City Central winning the Big North Conference over Traverse City West. Region 2 is really appearing to be a beast. Midland will be a contender, Grand Blanc can qualify as well, and how either fare against Flint Powers will be a great preview for the future pressured situation. Highland-Milford is perpetually underrated on here, but a Lakes Valley Championship will greatly impact their figures.

Meanwhile, another star-packed region will be at Portage (and I’ll be there to view). We get an early look at what might go down with #4 Kalamazoo Central facing #10 Portage Central. The Mustangs took home the win in the initial SMAC meetup, but the Giants were missing a large chunk of their varsity lineup. We’ll see how the teams compare at full strength.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Northville	193	7	1	0
2	Ann Arbor Pioneer	271	5	2	0
3	Lowell	282	3	3	0
4	Kalamazoo Central	315	3	4	0
5	Grand Ledge	369	4	5	0
6	Brighton	419	4	9	-3
7	Ann Arbor Skyline	455	4	6	1
8	Midland	468	2	8	0
9	Traverse City West	504	2	7	2
10	Portage Central	584	3	11	-1
11	Romeo	600	9	12	-1
12	Grand Blanc	605	2	13	-1
13	Saline	606	5	10	3
14	Caledonia	611	3	14	0
15	Zeeland West	631	3	16	-1
16	Traverse City Central	634	2	15	1
17	Salem	670	6	17	0
18	Clarkston	674	8	18	0
19	East Kentwood	684	3	19	0
20	Jenison	690	1	20	0
21	Holland West Ottawa	717	3	21	0
22	Highland-Milford	761	2	23	-1
23	Brownstown Woodhaven	790	5	22	1
24	Rockford	823	1	24	0
25	Plymouth	873	6	35	-10
26	Grand Haven	875	1	25	1
27	Saginaw Heritage	881	2	26	1

This sport of ours gives us enjoyment all year. Trudging through the snow on wintry days, speedy circles around the track, fun summer runs. But does anything beat these final weeks of the year? The huge mid-season meets are done and we’re rolling towards races of great consequence. Lifetime memories have been accrued all fall and even more are to come.

Hopefully this batch of rankings validates what’s already occurred and gives motivation to what could come.

As with the previous rankings, all meets with over 50 participants of each gender are included (even if the ratings themselves aren’t posted to the site, they’re in my database). The rankings take the individual ratings from each race and weigh them using factors of recency, field size, and field competitiveness. Those weighted ratings are then sorted by team, scored against the entire division, and ranked. Thus, teams with more depth tend to be ranked a little higher than they’d be at a regular invite or even the State Finals. But I know no better way to rank all the teams in a division than to compare against all teams in a division.

These are filtered a bit, a runner has to have competed in a race since September 19th (Jackson/Cougar Falcon/VSV weekend) at a race I’ve rated. Hopefully this accounts for injuries.

As always, these are for fun and a vehicle to drive interest in the best sport in the world. If they cause undue stress or pressure or motivate you to write me unkind messages (only happened a few times this year, but gotta get out ahead of it!), this site might not be for you. That’s fine, the many XC fans of Michigan will enjoy it all the same.

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	LW Rating	Region
1	11	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake	156.8	33
2	11	Libby Smith	Gobles	151.1	31
3	10	Sophia Grinage	Leland	143.5	29
4	10	Callie Sinke	Onekama	142.8	29
5	12	Emma Riker	Kalamazoo Hackett	132.7	32
6	11	Veyda Conley	Martin	130.7	31
7	10	Carmella Julian	Maple City Glen Lake	128.3	29
8	12	Carina Burchi	Whitmore Lake	122.5	33
9	9	Norah Kiley	Kingston	120.2	35
10	12	Cara Prusakiewicz	Dryden	119.7	35
11	8	Faith Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	116.8	31
12	9	Ava Higley	Frankfort	116.7	29
13	10	Malynda Lambros	Whitmore Lake	115.9	33
14	11	Lauren Shaffer	Gobles	115.6	31
15	9	Ryleigh Alderink	Holton	114.3	31
16	12	Lilah Kiley	Kingston	113.6	35
17	11	Claire Long	Saginaw Nouvel	112.3	30
18	11	Addy Zeller	Onekama	112.3	29
19	10	Ella Lamb	Royal Oak Shrine	111.5	36
20	10	Maizy Matthews	Breckenridge	110.9	30
21	11	Evelyn Meyer	Hillsdale Academy	110.3	34
22	12	Eleanor Cole	Lutheran Westland	109.0	36
23	11	Amelia McKinney	Grand Traverse Academy	107.0	29
24	12	Katie Sweeney	Ubly	106.4	35
25	10	Cassidy Bowers	Austin Catholic	106.1	36
26	11	Kiera Piper	Kalamazoo Hackett	103.4	32
27	12	Rowan Allen	Mendon	103.1	32
28	10	Alyvia Janke	Unionville-Sebewaing	102.9	35
29	10	Deirdre O’Connell	Allen Park Cabrini	102.4	36
30	11	Veronica Paga	Petoskey St. Michael	102.3	28
31	9	Alyse Cox	Maple City Glen Lake	102.0	29
32	9	Audrey Pyle	Concord	101.8	34
33	11	Natalie Burpee	Leland	101.2	29
34	11	Lindsey Nordyke	Byron Center Zion Christian	98.0	31
35	12	Mirthe Breuker	Buckley	97.4	29
36	8	Amelia Hoyt	Bellaire	97.0	28
37	11	Brie Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	96.8	32
38	10	Payton King	Kingston	96.4	35
39	11	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian	96.1	33
40	10	Zoe Fabing	Fowler	95.8	31
41	10	Skylar Maclennan	Fulton	95.3	30
42	10	Melodie Hulinek	Bear Lake	95.1	29
43	10	Claire Wright	Dryden	94.8	35
44	11	Addison Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	94.2	29
45	11	Mikayla Kulawiak	Buckley	92.8	29
46	9	Lillian Coen	Ellsworth	92.8	28
47	9	Heather Morris	Hillsdale Academy	92.6	34
48	12	Kinsey Peer	Buckley	92.4	29
49	12	Elodie Weaver	Whitmore Lake	91.8	33
50	12	Addison Jarosz	Frankfort	91.6	29

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

She’s been the queen of D4 for a bit of time, laying it on the line for her Whitmore Lake squad the past two years. Each State Final has resulted in glory, team titles in each instance and a individual championship in 2024 for Kaylie Livingston. The path she’s taking in 2025 looks familiar, with sub-18’s in bigger races, wins at Holly and in her conference.

Libby Smith was the closest returner from last fall. The Gobles junior has taken a clear step forward, dropping into the 17’s at Otsego. Her 17:46 there was a 40 sec. subtraction from her sophomore best. She comes off a 3^rd place Portage finish and an undefeated season in conference action.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Whitmore Lake	106	33	114.6	90.2	3:32	6:55
2	Kalamazoo Hackett	200	32	97.0	85.6	3:01	4:08
3	Hillsdale Academy	214	34	91.9	88.3	1:17	1:38
4	Buckley	233	29	87.6	81.6	1:23	1:38
5	Maple City Glen Lake	241	29	92.3	76.0	3:35	4:48
6	Grand Traverse Academy	244	29	88.0	79.3	2:05	2:49
7	Gobles	293	31	92.7	70.2	5:37	6:58
8	Ubly	327	35	81.2	55.0	2:00	6:06
9	Concord	369	34	76.7	59.3	2:37	5:44
10	Lansing Christian	370	33	76.6	56.3	1:56	6:11
11	Martin	387	31	79.7	62.7	3:41	5:46
12	Kingston	412	35	74.9		5:07
13	Onekama	461	29	73.7		6:46
14	Royal Oak Shrine	482	36	67.4	54.1	3:25	5:21
15	Bear Lake	513	29	61.9	48.0	3:04	4:20
16	Petoskey St. Michael	519	28	60.5	-3.6	5:17	18:10
17	Bellaire	520	28	61.3		3:19
18	Dryden	526	35	60.4		6:07
19	Harbor Beach	554	35	58.0	49.6	2:33	3:04
20	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	565	30	58.0	43.8	2:49	4:49
21	Rogers City	613	28	42.6		7:54
22	Genesee Christian Academy	648	33	48.5	8.8	3:27	8:49
23	Lutheran Westland	663	36	41.8		7:52
24	Petersburg-Summerfield	678	34	24.4		11:27
25	East Jordan	699	28	41.1		4:49
26	Ellsworth	726	28	38.3	20.3	4:53	6:02
27	Novi Christian Academy	727	33	38.7	17.7	3:28	6:17

Intriguing League Battles

The SAC and NWC, the two conferences containing multiple top teams, have finished their regular season. The NWC meets have been too tiny to consider for the rankings (although I’m making exceptions for the final ones). With the inclusion of this past one, we saw Maple City Glen Lake move up a few spots. Buckley was also there, finishing 4^th (and 3^rd in the previous two jamborees). Both teams placed behind Benzie Central and both would’ve won many other D4-centric leagues.

Kalamazoo Hackett, Gobles, and Martin (hanging out in 11^th) all competed in the SAC Championship. Those three squads are the lone D4 teams in a conference full of D3 teams. With the exception of Saugatuck, the D4 teams beat all the other D3 teams.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Whitmore Lake	106	33	1	0
2	Kalamazoo Hackett	200	32	3	-1
3	Hillsdale Academy	214	34	2	1
4	Buckley	233	29	4	0
5	Maple City Glen Lake	241	29	6	-1
6	Grand Traverse Academy	244	29	5	1
7	Gobles	293	31	7	0
8	Ubly	327	35	8	0
9	Concord	369	34	9	0
10	Lansing Christian	370	33	12	-2
11	Martin	387	31	11	0
12	Kingston	412	35	10	2
13	Onekama	461	29	15	-2
14	Royal Oak Shrine	482	36	13	1
15	Bear Lake	513	29	14	1
16	Petoskey St. Michael	519	28	17	-1
17	Bellaire	520	28	19	-2
18	Dryden	526	35	16	2
19	Harbor Beach	554	35	20	-1
20	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	565	30	18	2
21	Rogers City	613	28	22	-1
22	Genesee Christian Academy	648	33	21	1
23	Lutheran Westland	663	36	23	0
24	Petersburg-Summerfield	678	34	25	-1
25	East Jordan	699	28	31	-6
26	Ellsworth	726	28	26	0
27	Novi Christian Academy	727	33	35	-8

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	LW Rating	Region
1	12	Hailey Creisher	Leslie	152.4	26
2	11	Samantha Schroeder	Jackson Lumen Christi	147.0	23
3	12	Hope Miller	Blissfield	142.5	27
4	10	Tiya Feldpausch	Olivet	141.6	23
5	11	Grace Wonch	Lansing Catholic	140.6	26
6	10	Elliana Max	Kent City	140.5	21
7	11	Alyssa Kramer	Pewamo-Westphalia	140.0	24
8	10	Josie Bishop	Lansing Catholic	138.2	26
9	11	Violet Tetil	Caro	135.3	25
10	10	Caelyn Torry	McBain	134.0	20
11	11	Isabelle Sliter	Fennville	132.1	22
12	12	Brynne Schulte	Elk Rapids	131.2	19
13	9	Lily Britton	Olivet	130.1	23
14	9	Calista George	Pewamo-Westphalia	129.7	24
15	9	Anna Drauer	Lansing Catholic	127.6	26
16	11	Kamryn Sixberry	Saugatuck	127.3	22
17	12	Anna Pray	Elk Rapids	126.6	19
18	10	Dory Simon	Remus Chippewa Hills	126.2	25
19	10	Avery Kelly	Benzie Central	126.1	20
20	12	Alina Martinson	Saugatuck	125.4	22
21	12	Bella LaFountain	Monroe St. Mary CC	125.0	27
22	12	Ashlynn Harris	Bronson	124.4	23
23	10	Isabelle Currie	Lansing Catholic	123.9	26
24	12	Abigail Reis	Millington	123.3	24
25	9	Tala Carlin	Buchanan	120.5	22
26	11	Marlowe Walcott	Reed City	120.5	20
27	12	Macy Fazekas	Jackson Lumen Christi	119.3	23
28	10	Madisyn Wanstead	Leroy Pine River	118.9	20
29	11	Shelby Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	118.7	21
30	10	Lindsey Ludwig	Lansing Catholic	118.4	26
31	11	Makinna Foglesong	Ithaca	118.0	25
32	12	Mattie Gagne	Midland Bullock Creek	117.4	25
33	11	Betsy Gooden	Manton	116.6	20
34	10	Maisey Toteff	Hanover-Horton	116.3	23
35	12	Grace Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	115.8	24
36	11	Lyvia Curtis	Saugatuck	114.7	22
37	9	Kylie Zwiep	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	114.1	21
38	12	Aletta Scholten	Grandville Calvin Christian	114.0	21
39	10	Khloe Lehnst	Ithaca	113.7	25
40	11	Natalie Rosema	Hart	113.7	20
41	12	Quinn Hatfield	Remus Chippewa Hills	113.7	25
42	12	Ella Heffner	Charyl Stockwell Academy	113.1	26
43	12	Anna Poppema	Bath	112.9	24
44	9	Avery Haynes	Brooklyn Columbia Central	111.9	23
45	12	Hailey Sills	Blissfield	111.6	27
46	12	Madi Hare	Plymouth Christian Academy	111.2	26
47	12	Frances Melinn	Lansing Catholic	110.6	26
48	10	Shelby Zimmer	Kent City	110.4	21
49	11	Jenna Keilen	Pewamo-Westphalia	110.1	24
50	10	Ellason Foster	Newaygo	109.6	21

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

This was probably the most intriguing race coming into the year. The most recent graduating class was full of girls that led D3 for awhile – Kyah Hoffman, Jessie Jazwinski, Emmry Ross, Lila Volkers, amongst others. Three D3 girls were present in the 50 Tickets – Samantha Schroeder, Hailey Creisher, and Hope Miller. And in these rankings, the three lead the way.

Creisher appears to be the favorite at this point. She owns the fastest time in the division (17:51 from this past weekend’s Greater Lansing) and the top-six ratings from any D3 girl. Evidence from these past few weeks show that both Schroeder and Miller are approaching championship season with their best material. Miller just claimed a Lenawee County trophy, traversing the tough Gerber Hill course with her fourth sub-19 of the year. Schroeder won against the best D3 field of the year at Portage, then notched a season’s best at Gabriel Richard.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Lansing Catholic	81	26	129.7	122.9	1:06	1:58
2	Saugatuck	248	22	111.8	92.8	1:41	5:21
3	Pewamo-Westphalia	261	24	113.2	106.3	2:23	2:40
4	Blissfield	318	27	107.8	95.8	2:57	4:10
5	Jackson Lumen Christi	338	23	108.2	100.6	3:05	3:22
6	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	396	21	99.3	93.7	1:33	2:05
7	Grandville Calvin Christian	426	21	97.6	87.2	1:24	2:50
8	Olivet	441	23	104.9	89.5	4:22	4:32
9	Hart	444	20	96.8	85.7	1:52	2:56
10	Benzie Central	477	20	97.1	86.0	3:03	3:37
11	Traverse City St. Francis	491	19	93.7	87.2	1:27	1:56
12	McBain	518	20	95.6	86.8	3:06	3:33
13	Remus Chippewa Hills	544	25	95.0	83.2	3:16	3:51
14	Kent City	558	21	96.0		3:46
15	Plymouth Christian Academy	609	26	88.1	71.6	2:05	4:42
16	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	628	21	87.0	66.1	2:34	5:16
17	Midland Bullock Creek	695	25	85.2	72.9	2:33	4:18
18	Bronson	701	23	86.2	72.3	3:39	4:40
19	Stanton Central Montcalm	721	24	83.9	56.6	2:57	8:42
20	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	731	25	83.0	60.6	3:14	5:17
21	Harbor Springs	748	19	80.0	73.5	1:25	1:37
22	Bath	751	24	81.8	50.8	2:48	10:01
23	Caro	771	25	86.1		4:31
24	Leslie	794	26	86.9	57.1	5:45	10:53
25	Ithaca	806	25	82.5		4:12
26	Reed City	832	20	79.9	66.2	3:35	4:27
27	Sanford-Meridian	887	25	75.9	68.2	2:25	2:55

Intriguing League Battles

Mentioned earlier, Saugatuck continued their season-long streak of SAC wins, placing three Trailblazers in the top-10 and holding off a Hackett squad that’s a podium contender of their own.

Lansing Catholic will be going for their 14^th consecutive CAAC White title. The Cougars are strongly present in the upper pack of league races, placing 6 girls in the top-10 of each. A win seems to be a foregone conclusion. Of greater intrigue will be another test for Olivet. The Eagles were behind Charlotte in the first jamboree, then 2^nd place in the next one. Another runner-up finish would further cement the team as a top-10 D3 squad.

Speaking of streaks, Grandville Calvin Christian has an OK Silver reign of the past 8 years. The Squires have met a bit of resistance this fall, with NorthPointe Christian winning the most recent jamboree, 41 to 42. As with many meets at this time of year, health is a factor in the final standings. If the Mustangs are fully loaded, this will be a dead heat.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Lansing Catholic	81	26	1	0
2	Saugatuck	248	22	2	0
3	Pewamo-Westphalia	261	24	3	0
4	Blissfield	318	27	4	0
5	Jackson Lumen Christi	338	23	6	-1
6	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	396	21	5	1
7	Grandville Calvin Christian	426	21	8	-1
8	Olivet	441	23	9	-1
9	Hart	444	20	10	-1
10	Benzie Central	477	20	12	-2
11	Traverse City St. Francis	491	19	11	0
12	McBain	518	20	13	-1
13	Remus Chippewa Hills	544	25	15	-2
14	Kent City	558	21	14	0
15	Plymouth Christian Academy	609	26	16	-1
16	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	628	21	7	9
17	Midland Bullock Creek	695	25	18	-1
18	Bronson	701	23	20	-2
19	Stanton Central Montcalm	721	24	19	0
20	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	731	25	23	-3
21	Harbor Springs	748	19	21	0
22	Bath	751	24	25	-3
23	Caro	771	25	24	-1
24	Leslie	794	26	22	2
25	Ithaca	806	25	17	8
26	Reed City	832	20	26	0
27	Sanford-Meridian	887	25	27	0

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	LW Rating	Region
1	12	Emma Hoffman	Otsego	186.3	13
2	12	Katie Berkshire	Gaylord	178.6	10
3	11	Jaelyn Ray	Pinckney	160.9	16
4	9	Eliza Schwass	Ludington	159.5	10
5	11	Ava Schafer	St. Johns	158.4	14
6	10	Avery Engbers	Holland Christian	153.7	11
7	12	Natalie Foltz	Frankenmuth	151.1	15
8	11	Caroline Randall	Hastings	151.0	12
9	11	Johanna Mulder	Holland	150.1	11
10	10	Oakley Osterhart	Coopersville	149.1	11
11	12	Marie Gates	Hudsonville Unity Christian	148.9	11
12	11	Annabelle Lowman	Ludington	148.7	10
13	11	Mia May	Sparta	148.6	11
14	11	Lane Isom	Richland Gull Lake	147.9	13
15	11	Clara Kaczor	Freeland	147.7	15
16	12	Elise Barden	Frankenmuth	146.5	15
17	11	Ayda Skeels	Adrian	145.6	18
18	10	Kayla Shellenbarger	Goodrich	143.8	15
19	11	Alivia Ottinger	Goodrich	143.3	15
20	10	Remie Ellis	Eaton Rapids	143.0	14
21	12	Chloe Rinzema	Grand Rapids South Christian	141.6	12
22	12	Julia Garcia	Pinckney	140.7	16
23	12	Lilah Poel	Grand Rapids Christian	140.5	12
24	10	Tiffany DeMaagd	Grand Rapids South Christian	140.4	12
25	10	Ana Lovell	Lake Fenton	140.2	16
26	9	Alayna Verhage	Otsego	139.6	13
27	11	Olivia Weiss	Holland	139.4	11
28	10	Anneliese Passchier	East Grand Rapids	138.6	12
29	11	Eliana Stob	Holland Christian	138.6	11
30	10	Mai Nguyen	Plainwell	137.8	13
31	12	Ellie Scholma	Grand Rapids Christian	137.6	12
32	11	Bridget Fidkowski	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	137.2	18
33	9	Addelyn Sabatke	Otsego	137.1	13
34	9	Adelyn Verhage	Otsego	136.3	13
35	11	Addison Josephson	Linden	135.9	16
36	12	Brooklynn Brown	Cadillac	135.5	10
37	11	Adeline Armstrong	East Grand Rapids	135.2	12
38	11	Zoe Hoekstra	Grand Rapids Christian	134.4	12
39	10	Madison Petty	Adrian	133.2	18
40	12	Alexis Kotkowicz	Spring Lake	133.1	10
41	12	Layla Geurink	Holland Christian	132.6	11
42	11	Ella McInerney	Cadillac	131.8	10
43	12	Miriam Kloha	St. Johns	131.8	14
44	11	Ellery Lampen	Holland Christian	129.7	11
45	10	Audrey Kline	St. Joseph	129.2	13
46	9	Vittoria Perucchetti	St. Joseph	129.2	13
47	12	Georgia Babcock	Edwardsburg	129.2	13
48	11	Samantha Whitlam	Macomb Lutheran North	128.8	17
49	12	Avery Turk	New Boston Huron	128.7	18
50	11	Skylar Mejeur	Otsego	128.6	13

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

Throughout the years, Emma Hoffman has had her handprints all over D2. Early on, it was a 2^nd place finish at State. Two years later, another runner-up spot. On the oval this past spring, a double victory in the 1600m & 3200m. That track season was the springboard for this fall greatness. She only has one blemish, an admirable defeat to Natasza Dudek. Other than that, all wins, a few reaching into the 16’s. The future Colorado Buffalo has handled an uptick in training with grace and continued improvement.

In her wake, Katie Berkshire is still getting faster. Each high school season, she’s hit a new barrier. As a sophomore, that was the 18’s. A year later, many championship efforts in the 17’s. Then in late September at Bluejay, she eked out a 16:58. She’s undefeated on the year, having *just* won her 3^rd consecutive BNC title.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Otsego	144	13	145.6	137.5	2:53	3:56
2	Holland Christian	175	11	136.3	132.9	1:21	1:29
3	Grand Rapids Christian	231	12	131.3	127.2	1:06	1:13
4	Grand Rapids South Christian	333	12	125.8	118.9	1:43	2:13
5	Goodrich	406	15	122.6	108.6	2:03	3:32
6	Coopersville	419	11	121.5	111.4	2:21	3:41
7	Cadillac	428	10	120.8	109.1	2:15	2:56
8	Spring Lake	457	10	116.8	110.1	1:18	2:29
9	East Grand Rapids	469	12	118.2	108.3	1:46	3:28
10	Pinckney	503	16	121.5	109.4	3:18	4:23
11	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	525	18	115.6	106.0	2:08	2:55
12	Forest Hills Eastern	557	12	112.2	101.3	1:22	2:36
13	DeWitt	567	14	111.0	108.4	0:53	0:59
14	Linden	597	16	111.7	100.4	2:17	3:16
15	Hudsonville Unity Christian	694	11	109.0	103.5	2:37	3:13
16	Frankenmuth	707	15	114.3	102.0	3:47	4:00
17	St. Joseph	732	13	109.3	95.4	3:13	3:37
18	Freeland	777	15	106.7	99.0	3:16	3:31
19	Cedar Springs	787	10	103.5	92.3	2:04	3:19
20	Shepherd	824	15	101.9	93.7	2:02	2:39
21	Fremont	824	10	102.9	86.7	2:37	4:50
22	Holland	846	11	107.7	94.5	3:48	4:47
23	Clare	871	10	99.4	91.8	1:43	2:27
24	Charlotte	882	14	99.2	90.6	1:33	2:34
25	Bloomfield Hills Marian	886	16	98.1	94.1	0:56	1:08
26	New Boston Huron	917	18	98.6	92.5	2:27	2:36
27	Richland Gull Lake	931	13	101.1	93.4	3:34	3:48

Intriguing League Battles

More streaks! In the Wolverine Conference, Otsego retains one of 100+ dual meet victories. I’m no historian, but I gotta imagine their overall championships rival some of the above squads. In the course of this being written, the Bulldogs gathered five girls in the top-six slots to claim yet another win.

This is only the second season of River Cities Alliance competition, thus it’s tough to establish a lengthy history. That hasn’t prevented Coopersville from winning the three league meets in 2024 and two from this current year. Whereas last fall’s races were of smaller margins, this year’s have been routs. Steady movement upward for the Broncos, who appear as if they’ll be a D2 force for a while.

Two races will have multiple top-10 squads: the OK Black and OK White. The Black contains #3 Grand Rapids Christian and #9 East Grand Rapids. EGR will look to improve from their 3^rd place finish at the most recent jamboree and GRC will look for their 3^rd conference win of the season. The Black holds a similar story, with #2 Holland Christian aiming for three league wins in three tries, #8 Spring Lake hopes to split up the Zeeland schools as they ramp up towards the conclusion of championship season.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Otsego	144	13	1	0
2	Holland Christian	175	11	2	0
3	Grand Rapids Christian	231	12	3	0
4	Grand Rapids South Christian	333	12	4	0
5	Goodrich	406	15	5	0
6	Coopersville	419	11	7	-1
7	Cadillac	428	10	6	1
8	Spring Lake	457	10	8	0
9	East Grand Rapids	469	12	9	0
10	Pinckney	503	16	11	-1
11	Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard	525	18	12	-1
12	Forest Hills Eastern	557	12	14	-2
13	DeWitt	567	14	13	0
14	Linden	597	16	15	-1
15	Hudsonville Unity Christian	694	11	16	-1
16	Frankenmuth	707	15	17	-1
17	St. Joseph	732	13	10	7
18	Freeland	777	15	18	0
19	Cedar Springs	787	10	25	-6
20	Shepherd	824	15	20	0
21	Fremont	824	10	19	2
22	Holland	846	11	21	1
23	Clare	871	10	23	0
24	Charlotte	882	14	22	2
25	Bloomfield Hills Marian	886	16	24	1
26	New Boston Huron	917	18	28	-2
27	Richland Gull Lake	931	13	26	1

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	LW Rating	Region
1	10	Natasza Dudek	Ann Arbor Pioneer	187.9	5
2	10	Rachel Smith	Okemos	176.5	4
3	11	Annie Hrabovsky	Romeo	171.4	9
4	10	Sienna Klemmer	Ann Arbor Pioneer	170.5	5
5	11	El McMahan	Rochester Adams	165.7	8
6	10	Emilia Garces	Midland Dow	164.5	2
7	12	Hana Boggess	Ann Arbor Pioneer	163.0	5
8	11	Cassie Karasinski	Hudsonville	159.8	1
9	10	Ainsley Kelm	Portage Northern	159.8	3
10	12	Natalia Guaresimo	Romeo	159.3	9
11	11	Tessa Mascari	Traverse City West	158.7	2
12	9	Alexandra Scappaticci	Northville	158.7	7
13	12	Ella Goodsell	Romeo	158.5	9
14	10	Adalyn Raab	Zeeland East	158.2	3
15	11	Becca Van Lent	Ann Arbor Skyline	157.6	4
16	9	Keira Von Blon	Ann Arbor Pioneer	157.4	5
17	11	Maddie Lindley	Holly	157.3	2
18	12	Lilah Yoder	Forest Hills Central	155.3	3
19	12	Lydia LaMarra	Brighton	155.0	4
20	12	Leena Shelgikar	Ann Arbor Huron	153.6	6
21	12	Ava Porras	Holland West Ottawa	153.2	3
22	10	Ella Lorenz	Brighton	153.1	4
23	12	October Harns	Okemos	152.1	4
24	12	Ella Abraham	Rochester	151.9	8
25	12	Siene Muraszewski	Utica	149.7	9
26	9	Grace Snyder	Hudsonville	149.6	1
27	11	Collette Wierks	Holland West Ottawa	149.2	3
28	11	Paige McMeans	Jenison	147.9	1
29	12	Elliana Neuer	Hartland	147.3	2
30	10	Savannah Staton	Saline	146.9	5
31	9	Jessica Soldan	Rochester Adams	146.4	8
32	12	Gracelin Martin	Greenville	145.4	1
33	12	Leah Corby	Rochester Hills Stoney Creek	144.7	8
34	12	Aviana Skinner	Grand Ledge	144.2	4
35	9	Maribelle Kofahl	Ann Arbor Huron	143.7	6
36	9	Kaitlyn Berg	Midland	143.0	2
37	10	Gracie Carlisle	Portage Central	143.0	3
38	11	Daisy Cox	Rockford	142.2	1
39	12	Olivia Stacy	Portage Northern	141.9	3
40	12	Ava Lawrence	East Kentwood	141.5	3
41	11	Lucia Lachapelle	Northville	140.7	7
42	11	Chloe Purwin	Hudsonville	140.5	1
43	10	Mary Dolbow	Holland West Ottawa	139.7	3
44	11	Katelynn Egli	Novi	139.4	7
45	9	Giada Mills	Beverly Hills Groves	138.6	7
46	9	Abigail Deering	Rochester Adams	138.4	8
47	10	Morgan Sanders	Rockford	138.3	1
48	11	Ava Goodman	Hartland	137.9	2
49	10	Madeline Aleisa	Jenison	137.0	1
50	10	Lucia Llanes	Ann Arbor Skyline	136.5	4

Finally, An Individual Breakdown

It’s been all Natasza Dudek all year. The Pioneer sophomore has continued her upward trend that was established in the previous two seasons. She’s undefeated on the year and dominant against D1 competition, margins exceeding 30 seconds in every race against the competition she’ll see at MIS.

Three girls stand out as the chase pack – Rachel Smith, Sienna Klemmer, and Annie Hrabovsky. Smith comes off a Greater Lansing victory and is on the cusp of sub-17, hitting a 17:05 at Bluejay. Klemmer has proved that she can handle a variety of courses, hitting 17:12’s on the quick Otsego and Benzie tracks, but also persevering to a 4^th place finish at the tough Spartan Invite. Hrabovsky has put it all together this fall, dropping a 30+ second personal best in her MAC Red championship and claiming a Macomb County crown after a year’s absence.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	Top 5 Avg.	Top 7 Avg.	Top 5 Spread	Top 7 Spread
1	Ann Arbor Pioneer	82	5	163.0	154.8	2:36	2:42
2	Romeo	176	9	150.5	133.5	2:05	4:01
3	Holland West Ottawa	232	3	141.5	133.6	1:12	2:03
4	Brighton	250	4	141.2	135.7	1:15	1:45
5	Northville	276	7	139.2	133.7	1:28	2:08
6	Ann Arbor Skyline	304	4	137.5	131.7	1:26	2:07
7	Hudsonville	346	1	138.9	128.5	2:25	3:07
8	Traverse City West	416	2	134.2	130.0	1:45	2:03
9	Okemos	444	4	138.8	124.9	3:21	4:41
10	Jenison	469	1	131.1	122.5	1:20	3:22
11	Rockford	475	1	130.2	123.5	1:34	1:47
12	Hartland	493	2	130.3	123.3	1:32	2:14
13	Portage Central	510	3	129.0	123.5	1:18	1:42
14	Saline	631	5	125.4	117.8	2:13	2:36
15	Novi	632	7	124.3	116.6	1:25	2:31
16	Rochester Adams	636	8	136.0	122.3	2:54	4:12
17	Traverse City Central	660	2	123.2	117.5	1:05	1:39
18	Rochester	700	8	124.0	116.5	2:12	3:07
19	Utica	744	9	122.5	113.8	2:17	3:20
20	Forest Hills Northern	745	1	120.6	113.7	0:33	1:47
21	Zeeland East	756	3	123.6	117.4	2:38	2:56
22	Midland Dow	763	2	124.2	118.8	2:53	2:59
23	Brownstown Woodhaven	764	5	120.3	114.7	0:47	1:20
24	Livonia Churchill	849	6	117.3	100.9	0:36	3:19
25	White Lake Lakeland	907	7	115.3	110.5	1:12	1:50
26	Bay City Western	916	2	115.4	106.6	1:45	2:42
27	Zeeland West	932	3	114.9	105.7	2:02	2:35

Intriguing League Battles

Both the KLAA and OK Red will be where it’s at. Sticking to the old school dual/tri format, we were blessed to have head-to-head matchup between #4 Brighton and #5 Northville. In early September at the Meadows, the Bulldogs prevailed by a single point. They capitalized on an early gap formed by Ella Lorenz and Lydia LaMarra, then barely held on through the remainder of the scoring spots. A single point then and a single spot now, this will be an excellent barometer of where each team stands with 2.5 weeks to go.

Holland West Ottawa has won each of the OK Red races, Hudsonville trailing slightly behind. Coming in strong as well is Rockford. Count that as three teams in the top-11. The former two squads are coming in fresh after a weekend off, Rockford will attempt to apply momentum from a Kent Ottawa meet where the Rams placed four girls in the top-eight.

Rank	Team	Score	Region	County Week	Move
1	Ann Arbor Pioneer	82	5	1	0
2	Romeo	176	9	2	0
3	Holland West Ottawa	232	3	5	-2
4	Brighton	250	4	3	1
5	Northville	276	7	7	-2
6	Ann Arbor Skyline	304	4	4	2
7	Hudsonville	346	1	6	1
8	Traverse City West	416	2	8	0
9	Okemos	444	4	9	0
10	Jenison	469	1	11	-1
11	Rockford	475	1	10	1
12	Hartland	493	2	12	0
13	Portage Central	510	3	13	0
14	Saline	631	5	14	0
15	Novi	632	7	15	0
16	Rochester Adams	636	8	21	-5
17	Traverse City Central	660	2	16	1
18	Rochester	700	8	17	1
19	Utica	744	9	22	-3
20	Forest Hills Northern	745	1	20	0
21	Zeeland East	756	3	18	3
22	Midland Dow	763	2	19	3
23	Brownstown Woodhaven	764	5	30	-7
24	Livonia Churchill	849	6	23	1
25	White Lake Lakeland	907	7	24	1
26	Bay City Western	916	2	25	1
27	Zeeland West	932	3	28	-1