Hard to fathom, but we’re a month out from Regionals. Championship Season is coming soon, starting this week with the Battle Creek City Meet, Berrien County, then next week with Oakland County and Wayne County, advancing further on with our many area and conference championships. The weather is beginning to turn, mornings becoming cooler, leaves transforming into their beautiful fall hues, and most important – times are quickening and competition is heating up.
Given this juncture, time for another look at the regional projections. These follow many of the same rules as the division rankings. Using an individual’s races from here, a total rating is created by taking the top 75% of a runner’s races and weighing them toward more recent meets. Those ratings are then ranked for each region/division, spitting out a score that is used for the rankings. One added factor this week – filtering out athletes that haven’t competed over the past month, which I sadly have to assume are injured or no longer competing.
These might be much different than the athletic.net hypothetical meet. Anet uses the best performance from the season. I take more races into account, as I feel the entire resume speaks a greater volume about someone. Anet uses jamborees and duals, for which I don’t have time to calculate. Anet doesn’t account for course differences. If you take the 160 boys that ran at both Holly and Jackson, on average the Jackson times were 30 seconds faster. We have great coaches in this state that promote week-to-week improvement, but clearly there are differences in courses (and there are short/questionable ones too)! I’m not saying one is better than the other, just that I prefer my own and my bet is that they’ll be more accurate when we do this again next month.
REGION 26 SUMMER PREVIEW
REGION 7 SUMMER PREVIEW
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
Kaitlin Ludwig, Lansing Catholic
Avery Miller, Lansing Catholic
Jalynn Schmelter, Leslie
Frances Melinn, Lansing Catholic
Kyan Isham, Leslie
William Gancer, Stockbridge
Matthew Killeen, Leslie
Cooper Schmelter, Leslie
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
Lutheran Northwest Girls
Bishop Foley Girls
Dansville Boys
Charyl Stockwell Boys
Abby Rice, Lutheran Northwest
Grace Wonch, Lansing Catholic
Blaise Demko, Lansing Catholic
Finn Korte, Lansing Catholic
Everett Beach, Lansing Catholic
Téo Krumm, Lansing Catholic
Kenneth Mangles, Leslie
Anthony Urbaniak, Charyl Stockwell
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
Tessa Roe, Lansing Catholic
Theodore Davis, Dansville
Lansing Catholic Girls
Leslie Girls
Leslie Boys
Lansing Catholic Boys
| Place | Girls Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Lansing Catholic | 29 | 9 |
| 2 | Leslie | 34 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochester Hills Lutheran NW | 101 | |
| 4 | Wixom St. Catherine | 131 | |
| 5 | Madison Heights Bishop Foley | 139 | |
| 6 | Stockbridge | 147 | |
| 7 | Algonac | 163 | |
| 8 | Charyl Stockwell Academy | 218 | |
| 9 | Clawson | 222 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Tessa Roe | Lansing Catholic |
| 2 | 10 | Frances Melinn | Lansing Catholic |
| 3 | 9 | Grace Wonch | Lansing Catholic |
| 4 | 10 | Hailey Creisher | Leslie |
| 5 | 11 | Erin Lubahn | Leslie |
| 6 | 9 | Reagan Lees | Wixom St. Catherine |
| 7 | 11 | Jaidyn Smith | Leslie |
| 8 | 12 | Jalynn Schmelter | Leslie |
| 9 | 12 | Abby Rice | Rochester Hills Lutheran NW |
| 10 | 11 | Kerith Short | University Liggett |
| 11 | 9 | Mia Papendick | Leslie |
| 12 | 9 | Avery Miller | Lansing Catholic |
| 13 | 10 | Kaitlin Ludwig | Lansing Catholic |
| 14 | 9 | Makya Isham | Leslie |
| 15 | 10 | Jasmine Walker | Algonac |
| Place | Boys Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | Leslie | 43 | 22 |
| 2 | Lansing Catholic | 46 | 23 |
| 3 | Dansville | 90 | |
| 4 | Algonac | 107 | |
| 5 | Charyl Stockwell Academy | 139 | |
| 6 | Stockbridge | 142 | |
| 7 | Rochester Hills Lutheran NW | 159 | |
| 8 | Madison Heights Bishop Foley | 213 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 11 | Theodore Davis | Dansville |
| 2 | 12 | Anthony Urbaniak | Charyl Stockwell Academy |
| 3 | 10 | Julian Walker | Algonac |
| 4 | 11 | Michael Darlington | University Liggett |
| 5 | 10 | Lucas Gates | Lansing Catholic |
| 6 | 9 | Kenneth Mangles | Leslie |
| 7 | 9 | Cooper Schmelter | Leslie |
| 8 | 9 | Téo Krumm | Lansing Catholic |
| 9 | 9 | Matthew Killeen | Leslie |
| 10 | 9 | Everett Beach | Lansing Catholic |
| 11 | 9 | William Gancer | Stockbridge |
| 12 | 10 | Grason Weber | Leslie |
| 13 | 9 | Finn Korte | Lansing Catholic |
| 14 | 11 | Kyan Isham | Leslie |
| 15 | 10 | Blaise Demko | Lansing Catholic |
Major Movers
Those that have moved up a considerable amount or are unforeseen additions
White Lake Lakeland Girls
Novi Girls
Katherine Wischmann, Royal Oak
Maya Pletzer, White Lake Lakeland
Natalie Joiner, White Lake Lakeland
Alena Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Ava Alicandro, White Lake Lakeland
Drew Abbott, Detroit Catholic Central
Nolan Till, Royal Oak
Noah Tiernan, White Lake Lakeland
Gavin Johns, White Lake Lakeland
Matthew Verellen, White Lake Lakeland
Braxton Sipes, Royal Oak
Tiny Movers
Those that have moved up just a tiny bit, but have improved nonetheless.
Royal Oak Boys
Novi Boys
Macy Czelada, South Lyon
Emily Alt, Walled Lake Northern
Emma Hoffmeyer, Walled Lake Western
Kayla Ward, South Lyon
Ryan Ward, White Lake Lakeland
Evan Rice, Walled Lake Northern
Steady At The Top
May be most impressive of all, teams or individuals that were projected to win or qualify and are still in those spots. Much tougher to be the hunted than the hunter.
White Lake Lakeland Boys
Walled Lake Northern Boys
Highland-Milford Boys
Walled Lake Northern Girls
Sebastian Ramirez, Royal Oak
| Place | Girls Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | White Lake Lakeland | 50 | 15 |
| 2 | Walled Lake Northern | 66 | 27 |
| 3 | Novi | 121 | |
| 4 | Royal Oak | 136 | |
| 5 | Highland-Milford | 152 | |
| 6 | South Lyon | 169 | |
| 7 | Birmingham Seaholm | 173 | |
| 8 | Walled Lake Western | 201 | |
| 9 | South Lyon East | 227 | |
| 10 | Walled Lake Central | 272 | |
| 11 | West Bloomfield | 277 | |
| 12 | Berkley | 316 | |
| 13 | North Farmington | 324 | |
| 14 | Beverly Hills Groves | 403 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 11 | Ava Alicandro | White Lake Lakeland |
| 2 | 12 | Alisia Olteanu | Walled Lake Western |
| 3 | 10 | Kayla Ward | South Lyon |
| 4 | 12 | Madelyn Gordon | Walled Lake Northern |
| 5 | 12 | Emma Hoffmeyer | Walled Lake Western |
| 6 | 11 | Alena Tiernan | White Lake Lakeland |
| 7 | 11 | Natalie Joiner | White Lake Lakeland |
| 8 | 9 | Jillian Broyles | Highland-Milford |
| 9 | 12 | Ava Kurczewski | Walled Lake Northern |
| 10 | 9 | Maya Pletzer | White Lake Lakeland |
| 11 | 9 | Emily Alt | Walled Lake Northern |
| 12 | 10 | Macy Czelada | South Lyon |
| 13 | 9 | Claire Porinsky | South Lyon East |
| 14 | 12 | Katherine Wischman | Royal Oak |
| 15 | 10 | Lauren Bradley | Highland-Milford |
| Place | Boys Team | Score | Division Rank |
| 1 | White Lake Lakeland | 42 | 11 |
| 2 | Walled Lake Northern | 65 | 19 |
| 3 | Highland-Milford | 99 | |
| 4 | Royal Oak | 121 | |
| 5 | Detroit Catholic Central | 123 | |
| 6 | Novi | 147 | |
| 7 | South Lyon | 181 | |
| 8 | Berkley | 259 | |
| 9 | Birmingham Seaholm | 277 | |
| 10 | Brother Rice | 313 | |
| 11 | South Lyon East | 342 | |
| 12 | Beverly Hills Groves | 354 | |
| 13 | North Farmington | 364 | |
| 14 | Walled Lake Central | 364 | |
| 15 | West Bloomfield | 366 | |
| 16 | Walled Lake Western | 442 |
| Place | Grade | Name | Team |
| 1 | 12 | Sebastian Ramirez | Royal Oak |
| 2 | 12 | Ty Parker | Walled Lake Northern |
| 3 | 10 | Kyle O’Rourke | Highland-Milford |
| 4 | 12 | Pierce Grzymkowski | White Lake Lakeland |
| 5 | 12 | Oliver Moss | Berkley |
| 6 | 12 | Evan Rice | Walled Lake Northern |
| 7 | 12 | Braxton Sipes | Royal Oak |
| 8 | 11 | Matthew Verellen | White Lake Lakeland |
| 9 | 12 | Ryan Ward | White Lake Lakeland |
| 10 | 10 | Gavin Johns | White Lake Lakeland |
| 11 | 12 | Noah Tiernan | White Lake Lakeland |
| 12 | 11 | Nolan Till | Royal Oak |
| 13 | 11 | Ryan Carrannanto | Highland-Milford |
| 14 | 12 | Brayden Mullins | Highland-Milford |
| 15 | 11 | Drew Abbott | Detroit Catholic Central |
