With the coming of championship season comes race projections. And better than previous weeks, race simulations!
The rankings and ratings from each race and each week are one aspect of the work that I do, this is another. These take those ratings and the variability from a runner’s resume, then apply that to a projection.
An explanation from previous years that still holds true:
Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, larger meets, and faster meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.
These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:
Tanner Time
Tanner Rating
Tanner Avg.
Tanner StDev.
15:30
210
15:45
205
16:00
200
16:15
195
16:30
190
200
7.91
MIXCSR Time
MIXCSR Rating
MIXCSR Avg.
MIXCSR StDev.
16:09
197
16:12
196
16:15
195
16:18
194
16:21
193
195
1.58
Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60th.
If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:
Race
Tanner Avg.
Tanner StDev
Tanner Rating
MIXCSR Avg.
MIXCSR StDev
MIXCSR Rating
1
200
7.9
202.1
195
1.6
195.6
2
200
7.9
196.2
195
1.6
194.1
3
200
7.9
190.0
195
1.6
199.2
4
200
7.9
193.4
195
1.6
192.5
5
200
7.9
206.8
195
1.6
195.7
6
200
7.9
201.8
195
1.6
196.1
7
200
7.9
171.6
195
1.6
194.9
8
200
7.9
189.2
195
1.6
195.9
9
200
7.9
205.5
195
1.6
197.0
10
200
7.9
203.8
195
1.6
192.6
11
200
7.9
192.3
195
1.6
196.5
12
200
7.9
196.9
195
1.6
196.4
13
200
7.9
198.5
195
1.6
195.6
14
200
7.9
203.2
195
1.6
194.1
15
200
7.9
193.9
195
1.6
192.6
16
200
7.9
199.3
195
1.6
193.2
17
200
7.9
208.7
195
1.6
194.2
18
200
7.9
213.7
195
1.6
194.6
19
200
7.9
212.6
195
1.6
197.1
20
200
7.9
206.3
195
1.6
193.9
I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.
The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.
With these calculated and simulated, without further ado:
With an extra weekend of XC season, the calendar has appeared a bit different than the usual routine of past years. We’ve already had an Oakland County meet, Wayne County as well. Portage typically marks the end of the regular season, a Pre-Nationals of sort for the state. From now on, you’ll find schedules heavy on league, county, and area championships. Then of course, regionals and state.
Just a reminder, ratings are generated via:
The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet
Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 11th on is included.
Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:
They account for course conditions and distance
If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume
As always, these are for fun and a vehicle to drive interest in the best sport in the world. Enjoy
Mid-Season Moves
The Knights were already running well in 2026, ranked 12th coming into the week, projected to be the Region 36 champion. Then they saw the return of their top girl, Ella Lamb. Lamb had her season debut at the mid-week Austin Catholic/Cardinal Mooney Invite, running 20:55 to place 7th and help Shrine grab 2nd place in a field full of upper division teams.
The mid-season addition should help Shrine’s cause. In league action, the Knights were runner-up in the first jamboree, then captured the second one. The final comes in nine days, hopefully will a squad at full strength.
Individual Contenders
These past few weeks have given us many meets of significance, runners asserting themselves as contenders come the stretch run, many matchups between the standouts of each division. This has certainly been the case for D4 through D2.
For the D4 girls, this came at Portage, with all four of those that’ve separated themselves in attendance.
Libby Smith won the race, opening up an early gap and never looking back, capturing her first Portage win ever.
Kaylie Livingston succumbed to Smith, but that result doesn’t diminish another standout season where she’s run in the low-18’s for almost every meet in the past two weeks.
Veyda Conley turned in the fastest time of her career. She’s typically hovered around the 19-min. mark for much of the fall, but has shown the capability of getting after into the mid-18’s if needed.
Callie Sinke has competed in 7 major invites, breaking 19:00 in all but one of ‘em. She hasn’t had her breakout race yet, it’ll come, but she’s shown an amazing amount of consistency.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
12
Libby Smith
Gobles
154.1
31
2
12
Kaylie Livingston
Whitmore Lake
152.9
33
3
12
Veyda Conley
Martin
144.7
31
4
11
Callie Sinke
Onekama
143.9
29
5
9
Faith Schipper
Holland Calvary Christian
138.5
31
6
10
Norah Kiley
Kingston
134.3
35
7
11
Sophie Grinage
Leland
129.1
29
8
9
Grace Jolin
Dansville
121.6
33
9
12
Evelyn Meyer
Hillsdale Academy
121.4
34
10
10
Ryleigh Alderink
Holton
120.4
31
11
12
Ava DeYoung
Gobles
118.8
31
12
12
Lauren Shaffer
Gobles
118.2
31
13
9
Madalyn Stolz
Dansville
115.8
33
14
12
Kiera Piper
Kalamazoo Hackett
114.9
32
15
11
Malynda Lambros
Whitmore Lake
114.7
33
16
12
Lindsey Nordyke
Byron Center Zion Christian
113.7
31
17
11
Cassidy Bowers
Austin Catholic
113.5
36
18
10
Faith Smith
Genesee Christian
112.9
33
19
11
Julia White
Portland St. Patrick
112.1
31
20
11
Taylor Wills
Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
110.3
30
21
11
Ava Bates
Lutheran Westland
109.7
36
22
12
Addy Zeller
Onekama
108.8
29
23
10
Ava Higley
Frankfort
107.5
29
24
12
Veronica Paga
Petoskey St. Michael
107.4
28
25
9
Amy Walker
Clarkston Everest Collegiate
107.3
33
26
11
Melodie Hulinek
Bear Lake
105.8
29
27
11
Maizy Matthews
Breckenridge
105.4
30
28
10
Zakia Wagoner
Onekama
104.7
29
29
11
Mea Wesley
Petoskey St. Michael
102.8
28
30
9
Clara Thelen
Fowler
102.7
31
31
10
Audrey Pyle
Concord
102.2
34
32
11
Zoe Fabing
Fowler
101.4
31
33
10
Eliza Roberts
Hillsdale Academy
101.2
34
34
10
Heather Morris
Hillsdale Academy
100.4
34
35
9
Sophia Messing
Deckerville
98.9
35
36
9
Gabby Weigold
Breckenridge
98.8
30
37
11
Ella Lamb
Royal Oak Shrine
98.4
36
38
11
Deirdre O’Connell
Allen Park Cabrini
96.5
36
39
11
Lorelei Stemme
Hillsdale Academy
96.3
34
40
12
Natalie Burpee
Leland
96.2
29
41
10
Isabella West
Mayville
95.6
35
42
12
Madison Smith
Grand Traverse Academy
95.4
29
43
11
Anna Howell
Bridgman
94.9
32
44
11
Andi Kirkman
Genesee Christian
94.7
33
45
9
Kennedy Geden
Royal Oak Shrine
94.2
36
46
10
Brooklyn Griffin
Buckley
93.6
29
47
11
Claire Wright
Dryden
93.0
35
48
12
Tess Hoedel
Grand Traverse Academy
92.9
29
49
11
Allison Rodgers
Martin
92.5
31
50
9
Norah Tracy
Hillsdale Academy
92.2
34
Mid-Season Moves
It’s been a fun few weeks for the Eagle crew. After an early season with smaller races and less competitive fields, Kent City has been able to let it rip in their past three races. First, at Allendale, KC was able to knock off three top-10 teams to win the Falcon division. This past weekend at Portage, the Eagles started out hot and stayed there, placing 5th in what was essentially a D3 State preview. And just yesterday, Kent City captured a CSAA White crown, totaling a tiny 17 points in their league championship.
A few of these Eagles have truly embraced the enhanced competition coming in October. Prime examples being Bayla Curtis and Shelby Zimmer. Curtis moved up masterfully in the final mile at Portage, gaining 14 places (48 to 34) en route to her first sub-21 ever. Zimmer cracked into the 19’s late last year and she’s there much earlier this time around, hitting 19:34 and 19:17 in consecutive weekends.
Individual Contenders
Over these past few weeks, Caelyn Torry has certainly asserted herself as a contender. She’s won close to home at Cadillac, further south at Shepherd, and even further south at Portage. Her frontrunnin’ style was on full display on the rolling Kalamazoo hills, where Torry led wire to wire in a D3 win. Chasing was defending champion Samantha Schroeder, who ran a course PR. Over the past few years, Schroeder has shown a tendency to greatly reduce time in the final month of the season, based on that, she’s in an excellent position.
Unlike D4, a few of the faster girls of the division were absent from the big west side race. Tiya Feldpausch was busy setting a personal best (18:11) at the Country Mill Classic. Violet Tetil had the weekend off, her Caro Tigers gearing up for championship season. Tetil may benefit from an adverse weather day, as her finest performance of the season came at Holly, an 18:51 win in the muck and mud.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
11
Caelyn Torry
McBain
149.8
20
2
12
Samantha Schroeder
Jackson Lumen Christi
149.5
23
3
11
Tiya Feldpausch
Olivet
148.8
23
4
12
Violet Tetil
Caro
148.4
25
5
10
Alaina Civinskas
Roscommon
147.5
19
6
11
Josie Bishop
Lansing Catholic
143.8
26
7
12
Alyssa Kramer
Pewamo-Westphalia
143.1
24
8
11
Elliana Max
Kent City
140.9
21
9
9
Isadora Shaw
Lake City
139.6
19
10
11
Avery Kelly
Benzie Central
138.8
20
11
10
Lily Britton
Olivet
137.8
23
12
10
Anna Drauer
Lansing Catholic
137.4
26
13
11
Madisyn Wanstead
Leroy Pine River
135.0
20
14
11
Maisey Toteff
Hanover-Horton
134.9
23
15
11
Piper Lyon
Rochester Hills Lutheran NW
133.8
26
16
9
Grace Jordan
Chesaning
131.9
24
17
9
Merrick Tacktor
Mason County Central
131.5
20
18
11
Maggie McClellan
Benzie Central
131.0
20
19
10
Calista George
Pewamo-Westphalia
129.3
24
20
11
Lindsey Ludwig
Lansing Catholic
127.8
26
21
11
Shelby Zimmer
Kent City
125.8
21
22
9
Maggie Mohrhardt
Traverse City St. Francis
125.8
19
23
12
Mikenna Nagel
Sanford-Meridian
124.8
25
24
12
Lyvia Curtis
Saugatuck
124.6
22
25
12
Leah Sneller
Muskegon Western Michigan Christian
123.5
21
26
10
Ellyse Heyser
Saugatuck
123.1
22
27
12
Makinna Foglesong
Ithaca
122.4
24
28
12
Isabelle Sliter
Fennville
122.4
22
29
12
Shelby Kuiper
Grand Rapids Covenant Christian
120.4
21
30
12
Natalie Rosema
Hart
119.9
20
31
11
Lindsey Cmeyla
Saginaw Valley Lutheran
119.3
25
32
9
Aubrey Doan
Lake City
118.4
19
33
9
Hannah Muladore
Charlevoix
118.2
19
34
11
Hattie Driver
Manistee
118.0
20
35
12
Anna Hallett
Blissfield
116.2
27
36
12
Kamryn Sixberry
Saugatuck
116.0
22
37
12
Betsy Gooden
Manton
116.0
20
38
10
Madelynn Patterson
Olivet
115.9
23
39
10
Lily Sisson
Leroy Pine River
115.0
20
40
12
Molly Kate Hollandsworth
Traverse City St. Francis
114.8
19
41
11
Emma Kerr
Traverse City St. Francis
114.8
19
42
10
Katherine Schafer
Pewamo-Westphalia
114.5
24
43
9
Lilly Kimble
Jackson Lumen Christi
113.5
23
44
12
Stefi Reskevics
Harbor Springs
113.5
19
45
11
Elise Renkiewicz
Lake City
113.2
19
46
9
Avyrie Ottenbacher
Maple City Glen Lake
111.9
20
47
12
Anna DeVries
Grand Rapids Covenant Christian
111.5
21
48
9
Elina Guffy
Saugatuck
111.1
22
49
10
Ellery Kemner
Traverse City St. Francis
111.1
19
50
9
Juliet Siemen
Harbor Beach
111.0
25
Mid-Season Moves
Youthful or experienced, it’s starting to come together for the Hornets. The second CAAC Red Jamboree a Tuesday ago saw many Williamston girls turn in their best efforts of the season. Sophia Schafer sure did, dropping wayyy into the 20’s for the first time all fall. Ella Bahle embraced the momentum emanating from her 19:54 at Stockbridge and turned it into a 19:36 PR. Add two standout performances to Annabel Buggia, who’s been racing at a high level all fall and you’ve got a squad that placed 2nd, 6 points behind Mason. For comparison, two weeks prior, the Hornets were nearly 30 pts. back.
Individual Contenders
More like D4, contrast to D3, a great bit of D2’s title contenders descended upon the west side for a MIS preview.
Four of the girls that’d separated a bit were present – Caroline Randall, Jaelyn Ray, Avery Engbers, and Natalya Hoffman. Meter by meter, mile by mile, what had started as a honest pace dwindled into a Caroline Randall runaway victory. Her 17:43 win built on the momentum accrued last week at Otsego and was a 45+ second course PR. The others will go back to the drawing board, but they’ll have plenty of confidence in their corner. Jaelyn Ray knows she can bring it at MHSAA events, Natalya Hoffman still owns the fastest time in D2, and Avery Engbers has the strength of her Maroon girls to back her up.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
12
Jaelyn Ray
Pinckney
163.9
16
2
12
Caroline Randall
Hastings
162.7
12
3
9
Natalya Hoffman
Plainwell
159.8
13
4
11
Avery Engbers
Holland Christian
159.4
11
5
12
Ava Schafer
St. Johns
158.1
14
6
10
Eliza Schwass
Ludington
156.2
10
7
9
Clara Cook
DeWitt
154.1
14
8
12
Maddie Lindley
Holly
153.1
17
9
11
Julia Bambach
Holly
152.9
17
10
11
Oakley Osterhart
Coopersville
152.0
11
11
12
Mia May
Sparta
150.6
11
12
11
Kayla Shellenbarger
Goodrich
149.4
15
13
10
Breslyn Klein
Coopersville
149.3
11
14
12
Ayda Skeels
Adrian
148.1
18
15
12
Addison Josephson
Linden
147.8
14
16
12
Ella McInerney
Cadillac
146.7
10
17
12
Olivia Weiss
Holland
145.3
11
18
11
Mai Nguyen
Plainwell
145.0
13
19
12
Eliana Stob
Holland Christian
145.0
11
20
9
Evelyn Goosen
Spring Lake
144.6
10
21
11
Tiffany DeMaagd
Grand Rapids South Christian
144.3
12
22
11
Courtney Floeter
Linden
144.3
14
23
11
Remie Ellis
Eaton Rapids
144.0
14
24
12
Ellery Lampen
Holland Christian
142.4
11
25
11
Madison Petty
Adrian
142.2
18
26
9
Annabel Buggia
Williamston
142.2
14
27
10
Alayna Verhage
Otsego
141.1
13
28
12
Alivia Ottinger
Goodrich
140.1
15
29
12
Clara Kaczor
Freeland
139.8
15
30
11
Grace Leman
Edwardsburg
139.1
13
31
10
Lydia Dwyer
Stevensville Lakeshore
138.4
13
32
10
Addelyn Sabatke
Otsego
136.8
13
33
10
Lily VanEyk
Grand Rapids South Christian
136.2
12
34
11
Anneliese Passchier
East Grand Rapids
135.4
12
35
9
Molly White
Holland Christian
135.2
11
36
12
Annabelle Lowman
Ludington
134.3
10
37
12
Sawyer Reagan
Allendale
134.1
11
38
10
Adelyn Verhage
Otsego
132.8
13
39
12
Zoe German
Fruitport
132.5
10
40
9
Emi Crews
Middleville Thornapple-Kellogg
132.1
12
41
12
Lucy Conzelmann
Frankenmuth
130.5
15
42
11
Addison Bixler
Coopersville
130.5
11
43
12
Zoe Hoekstra
Grand Rapids Christian
130.4
12
44
12
Skylar Mejeur
Otsego
130.0
13
45
11
Natalie Hayes
DeWitt
129.8
14
46
10
Addisyn Wood
Sparta
129.5
11
47
11
Maya Hammoud
Detroit Country Day
128.6
16
48
9
Anna Zietlow
Holland Christian
128.3
11
49
12
Lillian Dewey
Hopkins
128.3
12
50
9
Addison Andress
Otsego
128.0
13
Mid-Season Moves
Romeo and Utica
The MAC Red brings championship racing to early October and with high stakes racin’ came moves up the ranks. In recent memory, Romeo has almost always been victorious here and they were again, though last Tuesday’s result was fairly close. The Bulldogs pulled through with clutch performances from Faith Wessel (2nd fastest time ever) and Madeline Marchwinski (nearly two min. faster than she was last year in this same meet). Utica made it tough, with Codianne Palczewski moving up two spots from the first MAC Red Jamboree to place 8th, her 3rd consecutive sub-20.
What’s great about the Macomb County schedule is the back-to-back immediacy of it all, as these two outfits will be going at it again this weekend for a county crown.
Individual Contenders
The three top-ranked Ann Arbor Pioneer girls of Natasza Dudek, Keira Von Blon, and Sienna Klemmer got me thinking – has any school placed girls 1-2-3 at the State Finals? Searching through the archives of Finals races from ’97 onward (when individual and team races were combined), the answer seems to be NO.
There are a few examples of girls going 2-3-4 (2021 Hart and 1998 Rockford), but no 1-2-3. There have been three instances of teams going 1-2 (2014 Seaholm, 2000 Ogemaw Heights, 2000 Rochester Adams).
We don’t want to get ahead of ourselves, but history *could* be on the table.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
11
Natasza Dudek
Ann Arbor Pioneer
188.2
5
2
10
Keira Von Blon
Ann Arbor Pioneer
179.9
5
3
11
Sienna Klemmer
Ann Arbor Pioneer
177.2
5
4
10
Alexandra Scappaticci
Northville
174.0
7
5
11
Adalyn Raab
Zeeland East
170.1
3
6
11
Rachel Smith
Okemos
166.4
4
7
12
Lucia Lachapelle
Northville
161.9
7
8
10
Grace Snyder
Hudsonville
161.5
1
9
11
Ainsley Kelm
Portage Northern
160.8
3
10
12
Daisy Cox
Rockford
159.7
1
11
11
Emilia Garces
Midland Dow
159.3
2
12
11
Paige Rohda
Berkley
159.2
7
13
12
Tessa Mascari
Traverse City West
158.9
2
14
11
Alannah Wessel
Romeo
157.4
9
15
11
Gabriella Mercier
Macomb Dakota
156.7
9
16
11
Savannah Staton
Saline
156.5
5
17
11
Charlotte Jones
Rochester
155.2
9
18
10
Brynn Somers
Northville
154.4
7
19
12
Chloe Purwin
Hudsonville
152.5
1
20
11
Avery Scott
Portage Central
152.4
3
21
11
Charley McKay
Brownstown Woodhaven
152.2
5
22
12
Katarina Munson
Saline
151.2
5
23
12
Reese Rosbolt
Romeo
150.7
9
24
12
Kodie Snyder
Dexter
149.4
4
25
11
Alexandra Green
Birmingham Seaholm
149.1
7
26
12
Anyla Robinson
Oak Park
149.0
7
27
10
Giada Mills
Beverly Hills Groves
148.7
7
28
10
Kaitlyn Berg
Midland
148.3
2
29
12
Paige McMeans
Jenison
147.3
1
30
10
Lexie Snyder
Hudsonville
147.3
1
31
10
Jessica Soldan
Rochester Adams
146.7
9
32
12
Isla Tharp
Ann Arbor Skyline
146.5
6
33
10
Grace Meyers
Bay City Western
146.3
2
34
10
Claire Lawrence
Bloomfield Hills
146.3
7
35
9
Brooklyn Thomasma
East Kentwood
145.6
1
36
11
Ella Lorenz
Brighton
145.4
4
37
9
Claire Cubitt
Utica
145.3
8
38
11
Lucia Llanes
Ann Arbor Skyline
144.1
6
39
11
Jillian Lewakowski
Rockford
143.2
1
40
12
Becca Van Lent
Ann Arbor Skyline
142.4
6
41
12
Abigail Dobry
Dexter
142.1
4
42
12
Lizzie Wernimont
Ann Arbor Pioneer
141.6
5
43
9
Harper Henderson
Jenison
141.2
1
44
12
Morgan Scally
White Lake Lakeland
140.4
8
45
12
Lane Isom
Richland Gull Lake
140.3
3
46
10
Gwyn Faber
Forest Hills Northern
140.1
1
47
11
Lila Edison
Ann Arbor Skyline
139.9
6
48
12
El McMahan
Rochester Adams
139.7
9
49
12
Nina Moore
Ann Arbor Pioneer
139.5
5
50
10
Eleanor Pilsner
Grosse Pointe South
139.1
6
Division
Rank
Team
Score
1
1
Marquette
43
1
2
Sault Ste. Marie
51
1
3
Negaunee
89
1
4
Houghton
92
1
5
Kingsford
145
1
6
Calumet
164
1
7
Menominee
187
1
8
Escanaba
191
Division
Rank
Team
Score
2
1
Munising
39
2
2
Rudyard
58
2
3
Painesdale-Jeffers
71
2
4
Newberry
98
2
5
Brimley
113
Division
Rank
Team
Score
3
1
L’Anse
50
3
2
Rapid River
82
3
3
Ewen-Trout Creek
92
3
4
Superior Central
93
3
5
Forest Park
116
3
6
St. Ignace
128
3
7
Engadine
134
Individual Contenders
Opposed to the boys’ side of things north of the bridge, the girls might actually have more competitive races.
A close race between two rivals comes in D1, where Asia Jones and Charlotte Jones have staked out claims as the top girl in the division. On two separate sides of the peninsula, the two haven’t faced off against one another, but they do have similar accolades. Each have earned sub-20’s twice. Charlotte’s 19:18 from Portage is the fastest, but Asia’s 19:57 from Holly may be the most impressive.
A close race between teammates is likely the case in D2, as Abby Taylor and Molly McNamara, both of Newberry, were separated by a mere 8 sec. at Bluejay. The pairing have season bests a minute clear of 3rd, and are no stranger to running in close proximity in championship settings, having placed 3rd and 4th in D3 last year.
D3 itself appears to be a bit less pressure-packed, but if one delves deeper, they may find a reason for another competitive situation One girl has broken 20:00 thus far in the fall, freshman Edye Burnett ripping a 19:32 at the Great Eskymos Chase. Trailing her with the 2nd fastest time in the division is Bree Besonen, who still stands north of 20-flat. Though in the most recent matchup between the two, Besonen sat a close 6 seconds back.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
11
Asia Jones
Sault Ste. Marie
128.0
1
2
9
Charlotte Jones
Marquette
124.5
1
3
10
Emma Ziegler
Marquette
117.7
1
4
11
Maria Murvich
Kingsford
117.0
1
5
9
Julia Plaxco
Negaunee
115.1
1
6
11
Holly Cooke
Houghton
114.3
1
7
12
Keira Waterman
Negaunee
99.1
1
8
10
Ava Cantway
Marquette
97.9
1
9
10
Cora Goulet
Sault Ste. Marie
97.0
1
10
11
Isabeau Woodard
Sault Ste. Marie
95.0
1
11
12
Winley Brandt
Menominee
93.2
1
12
9
Emma Jukuri
Houghton
91.5
1
13
11
Evelyn Grant
Marquette
86.2
1
14
12
Norah Woodruff
Houghton
84.9
1
15
12
Regan Sporte
Sault Ste. Marie
84.3
1
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
12
Abby Taylor
Newberry
127.5
2
2
10
Molly McNamara
Newberry
118.5
2
3
9
Emma Conklin
Munising
103.0
2
4
10
Melissa Kirschner
Rudyard
90.2
2
5
11
Alena Pietila
Hancock
89.3
2
6
10
Ashlyn Mitchell
Rudyard
81.6
2
7
11
Addie Bowerman
Munising
78.3
2
8
11
Remi Coponen
Painesdale-Jeffers
75.6
2
9
9
Colleen Rice
Rudyard
74.5
2
10
9
Siri Jacobson
Wakefield-Marenisco/Bessemer
74.4
2
11
9
Edon Kidd
Munising
58.4
2
12
9
Natalie Brock
Munising
51.5
2
13
11
Maya Weiss
Munising
51.4
2
14
11
Zoey Kidd
Munising
49.1
2
15
11
Karissa Rautiola
Painesdale-Jeffers
41.8
2
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
9
Edye Burdett
Superior Central
117.1
3
2
11
Bree Besonen
Ewen-Trout Creek
107.9
3
3
10
Evonna LaCosse
Rapid River
94.6
3
4
10
Sarah Chapman
Engadine
77.9
3
5
9
Ellie Zaupa
Forest Park
73.5
3
6
10
Sophie Mahoski
Ishpeming
70.7
3
7
11
Lily Froese
L’Anse
70.4
3
8
11
Kwynn Voskuhl
L’Anse
70.1
3
9
10
Autumn Broomfield
Watersmeet Township
66.3
3
10
9
Paget Hinnen
Cedarville
63.7
3
11
9
Lily Halkola
Dollar Bay
58.9
3
12
11
Kendra Pederson
Superior Central
58.3
3
13
10
Julia Poma
Rapid River
57.6
3
14
11
AJ Feleppa
St. Ignace
56.3
3
15
11
Princess Pierre
L’Anse
53.2
3
Homeschool athletes, the “official” rankings might not include you, but I’ve got you covered! Even with your championship coming the weekend of regionals, I’ll still have projections for that day. And word on the street is I might even be there…
With an extra weekend of XC season, the calendar has appeared a bit different than the usual routine of past years. We’ve already had an Oakland County meet, Wayne County as well. Portage typically marks the end of the regular season, a Pre-Nationals of sort for the state. From now on, you’ll find schedules heavy on league, county, and area championships. Then of course, regionals and state.
Just a reminder, ratings are generated via:
The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
Runners with three or less rated races have all races counted
Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet
Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. Every runner that’s run a rated race from September 11th on is included.
Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:
They account for course conditions and distance
If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume
As always, these are for fun and a vehicle to drive interest in the best sport in the world. Enjoy!
Mid-Season Moves
The return of Ty Redman looms large in terms of impact. Adding one runner to a D4 squad will typically leave a mark. Adding a runner who’s capable of All-State, podium running will put a dent into the D4 scene.
XC can be easy to analyze with math, especially in the case of seeing where a team would stand with or without a runner. Without Ty’s 10th place effort in the Portage team race, add 94 points to Mesick’s score. The Bulldogs then move from a clear 4th place to finish into a battle for a top-10 bid.
It ain’t just Ty, as 5 of the other 8 Mesick kids hit their best rating of the season at Portage. Jacob Tanner mentioned Gunnar Hallett in his three stars and rightfully so, as the senior dropped a 17:21, a significant PR that’s over a whole minute faster than he ran last fall.
Individual Contenders
Building off his track campaign, Lincoln Laansma has solidified himself as the D4 favorite. Portage, as the case in all other divisions, was the great bellwether. Laansma let others to the work early, then dominated the race from the mile onward. His 5:06 2nd mile was 10+ sec. clear of everyone else. The gap laid there stayed similar toward the finish, with the victorious Lincoln winning by a 16 sec. margin.
Although Laansma is the favorite at this point, it’s not an insurmountable distance between him and the field. Anthony Rowe is probably the closest competitor. Rowe had the fastest close of anyone on Saturday, owns a 15:42 PR, and owns all the mid-distance records at Breckenridge.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
11
Lincoln Laansma
Tri-Unity Christian
205.3
31
2
12
Anthony Rowe
Breckenridge
203.1
30
3
10
Abram Fettig
Saginaw Nouvel
200.5
30
4
12
Noah Schipper
Holland Calvary Christian
200.0
31
5
12
Christian Getz
Holland Calvary Christian
200.0
31
6
12
Brady Edwards
Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
198.5
30
7
9
Cooper Burt
Breckenridge
197.4
30
8
12
Kyle Redman
Mesick
195.3
29
9
12
Elias Baldwin
Decatur
189.3
32
10
12
Jacob Ferdubinski
Riverview Gabriel Richard
188.5
36
11
12
Gibson White
Holland Calvary Christian
188.1
31
12
12
Brody VanTuinen
Holland Calvary Christian
186.7
31
13
11
Reagan Downing
Holland Calvary Christian
185.2
31
14
12
Francis Austen
Portland St. Patrick
183.7
31
15
11
Peter Winn
Hillsdale Academy
183.5
34
16
10
Henry Rorick
Hillsdale Academy
183.3
34
17
12
Owen Ledebuhr
Holland Calvary Christian
183.0
31
18
11
Nolan Koscinski
Bear Lake
182.4
29
19
12
Daniel Chaney
Lake Leelanau St. Mary
181.6
29
20
10
Stephen Holm
Hillsdale Academy
181.2
34
21
12
Wesley Chaffee
Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
179.3
30
22
11
Liam Knuth
Cardinal Mooney Catholic
178.9
36
23
11
Leo Weaver
Whitmore Lake
178.0
33
24
12
Timothy Gaebler
Hillsdale Academy
177.7
34
25
12
Dom Chiverton
Breckenridge
176.8
30
26
10
Gus Barr
Breckenridge
176.7
30
27
11
Lance Niedzielski
Mason County Eastern
175.9
29
28
10
Gavin Bowers
Austin Catholic
173.7
36
29
11
Nolan Stadel
Genesee Christian
173.5
33
30
10
Gabe Schultz
Genesee Christian
173.3
33
31
12
Alec Dodak
Manchester
172.6
34
32
11
Owen Jarosz
Frankfort
171.8
29
33
10
Fletcher Amos
Gobles
171.4
31
34
11
Cole Wesley
Petoskey St. Michael
171.2
28
35
10
James Sanders
Breckenridge
170.9
30
36
9
Linkon Utter
Holland Calvary Christian
169.8
31
37
12
Rush Marsden
Fulton
169.4
30
38
10
Ethan Harrand
Buckley
169.0
29
39
9
Samuel McIndoe
Novi Christian Academy
169.0
33
40
9
Benjamin Bolinder
Bridgman
168.9
32
41
11
Christopher Knudsen
Leland
168.9
29
42
10
Thomas Sigler
Martin
168.2
31
43
11
Joseph Coon
White Cloud
168.0
31
44
11
Carter Suttmann
Leland
167.3
29
45
11
Beckett Dennis
Grand Traverse Academy
167.1
29
46
12
Max Barron
Tekonsha
166.3
32
47
11
Wyatt Blohm
Vassar
166.0
35
48
12
Micah Arlow
Cardinal Mooney Catholic
165.5
36
49
12
Eric Junker
Whitmore Lake
165.3
33
50
9
Grady Hanes
Petoskey St. Michael
164.8
28
Mid-Season Moves
There weren’t too many major moves from the D3 scene, the Portage results a little chalky. But Hart made it clear they’re a deep team to be reckoned with. The Pirates definitely started from a deficit, their top-two boys coming in 22nd and 25th in the team standings. Through their mid-section, they moved up through the field. Their 5th boy, Alex Schiller, was the best 5th in the field. Their 6th boy, Carson Ackley, was the best 5th in the field. Their 7th boy, Aiden Schaner, was the best 5th in the field. Does that sound repetitive? Yeah! There was a ton of displacin’, as Hart’s 5th-7th kids placed ahead of everyone else’s 5th, clear of >90% of the field’s 4th runner, and better than >80% of the field’s 3rd kid.
Individual Contenders
This will be as fun as ever. Tons of kids with either championship experiences or 2026 resumes that shout out their significance. Seemingly, eight kids have separated themselves as contenders:
Luke Herron – laying low, mega consistent this year, even on the tougher days such as Holly Nole Lorenzen – owner of the fastest time in D3, Oakland County champion Cooper Flick – Bluejay Gold division champion, which featured many of the best D3 teams Logan Youngman – defending 3200m champion, winner at Jackson and Stockbridge Will Hulin – Portage champion on a upward trajectory Hunter Eaton – defending XC champion Christian Craanen – 15:21 at Bluejay displays his fitness, 3x All-State on the track proves he can handle the stage Caleb Blonde – has saved his best efforts for big races, under 15:40 at both Jackson and Portage
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
12
Luke Herron
Caro
212.6
25
2
11
Nole Lorenzen
Rochester Hills Lutheran NW
211.7
26
3
12
Cooper Flick
Hanover-Horton
209.2
23
4
12
Logan Youngman
Hillsdale
208.3
23
5
12
Hunter Eaton
Charlevoix
206.3
19
6
11
Will Hulin
Centreville
205.8
23
7
11
Christian Craanen
Monroe St. Mary CC
205.1
27
8
12
Caleb Blonde
Jonesville
203.8
23
9
10
Spencer McNitt
Maple City Glen Lake
200.9
20
10
12
Chad Tyson
Hanover-Horton
200.7
23
11
11
Owen Poppema
Bath
200.3
24
12
10
Mason Rogers
Red Arrow
198.6
22
13
10
Isaac Cox
Plymouth Christian Academy
197.9
27
14
10
Asher Putman
Reese
197.6
25
15
12
Jonas Ballard
Holland Black River
197.0
22
16
11
Eli VanPoortfliet
Benzie Central
195.9
20
17
12
Owen Windgaston
Clawson
195.8
26
18
12
Abraham Feeney
Maple City Glen Lake
194.9
20
19
11
Soren Crosthwaite
Jackson Lumen Christi
194.8
23
20
12
Evan MacLaren
Ithaca
194.7
24
21
12
Naveen Kulkarni
Ann Arbor Greenhills
193.6
27
22
11
Silas Ackley
Hart
192.7
20
23
10
Max Reed
Centreville
192.5
23
24
12
John Kowatch
Pewamo-Westphalia
192.4
24
25
11
Jackson Bowman
Saugatuck
192.0
22
26
12
William Gancer
Stockbridge
191.7
26
27
12
Everett Beach
Lansing Catholic
191.6
26
28
12
Cage Edingfield
Benzie Central
191.2
20
29
10
Wesley Mair
Montague
191.0
21
30
9
Nick Overweg
Centreville
190.9
23
31
12
Téo Krumm
Lansing Catholic
190.9
26
32
12
William Ready
Traverse City St. Francis
190.7
19
33
12
Ryder Hopkins
Charlevoix
190.0
19
34
11
Michael Weidmayer
Blissfield
189.6
27
35
12
Rocky Bolton
Jackson Lumen Christi
189.6
23
36
11
Edison Huizinga
Manistee
189.4
20
37
11
Timothy Wolff
Hart
188.8
20
38
12
Grant Rehkopf
Saugatuck
188.3
22
39
11
Tristan Hernandez
Kingsley
188.3
20
40
11
Nolan Kessler
Montague
188.1
21
41
11
Noah Sills
Blissfield
188.0
27
42
12
Collin Fucile
Jonesville
187.9
23
43
11
Wyatt Hassenzahl
Hanover-Horton
187.5
23
44
12
Isaac Dionne
Boyne City
187.3
19
45
12
Sawyer Monroe
Saugatuck
187.2
22
46
12
Avery Morrow
Jackson Lumen Christi
187.0
23
47
12
Owen Sytsema
Muskegon Western Michigan Christian
186.7
21
48
9
Coen Lorenzen
Rochester Hills Lutheran NW
186.3
26
49
12
Carson Ackley
Hart
184.9
20
50
12
James Tennes
Lansing Catholic
184.6
26
Mid-Season Moves
The past two weeks have seen the Falcons move from outside the top-27 to the 20th spot. Divine Child has been active, racing at both Otsego and Wayne County. On the west side, DC held their own against a field comparable to MIS, placing 7th. Returning off that high, the Falcons claimed a D2 Wayne County title.
Upperclassmen have led the way to their rise, with luminaries such as Grant Goodwin, Landen Bermudez, Joseph Arriola, and Daniel Reifenberg all hitting PR’s at Otsego. First-year runner Jacob Salinas didn’t hit a PR there, but he’s been on a three meet streak of sub-18’s, clearly picking up wisdom at the 5k distance.
Individual Contenders
You don’t have to be any sort of XC analyst to realize that Bobby Jazwinski is the D2 favorite. Healthy this fall, he’s been on a rampage against all competition, running 14:23 on numerous occasions, winning at Pete Moss, Under the Lights, and Portage.
Curiosity strikes as to what might happen in the field behind Jazwinski. Covering the sport here in 2026, it seems that Michigan’s depth is at an all-time high. We’ll see this in the D1/D3 contenders, but also what it might take to get on the podium.
If you check the individual meet rating posts, you’ll notice I’ll include a graphic that includes the average rating of the 30th place MIS finisher over the past five years. For D2, that’s been an average rating of 195. In terms of time, MIS has been running a bit fast as of late (hardly any adverse days + changes in the grass on the infield), that 195 equating to 15:50-55. Thus far in 2026, 55 D2 kids have run 195 or faster on 186 occasions. Many D2 boys are capable of an All-State performance in early November.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
12
Robert Jazwinski III
Whitehall
230.3
10
2
11
Lennox Naswell
Flint Powers Catholic
213.1
15
3
12
Cole McCraw
Pinckney
208.9
16
4
11
Micah Becker
East Grand Rapids
208.1
12
5
12
Ezekiel Baltierra
Alma
207.6
15
6
12
Mitchell Dunlap
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
206.6
11
7
12
Lukas Albright
Big Rapids
204.5
10
8
12
Broden Ladd
Holly
204.2
17
9
12
Caiden Caswell
Vicksburg
203.8
13
10
10
Logan Cristian
Parma Western
203.5
14
11
11
Ashton Fink
Grand Rapids Christian
203.4
12
12
12
Bryce Cahoon
Shepherd
202.2
15
13
11
Jack Hincks
Detroit Country Day
201.6
16
14
12
Mason Hill
Allendale
201.0
11
15
10
Grant Lampen
Holland Christian
200.9
11
16
11
Ethan Ferguson
Edwardsburg
200.6
13
17
12
Thomas Fisher
East Grand Rapids
200.4
12
18
9
Drew Franken
Holland Christian
199.9
11
19
12
Abraham McHugh
Marshall
198.9
13
20
11
James Scholten-Holcomb
Grand Rapids Christian
198.7
12
21
12
Lincoln Reed
Pinckney
198.0
16
22
12
Seth Betzold
Essexville-Garber
197.8
15
23
11
Duncan Palmer
Williamston
197.7
14
24
11
Cole Heikka
Holly
197.5
17
25
12
Bryce Falbe
Muskegon Oakridge
197.2
10
26
12
Nick Parker
Frankenmuth
197.0
15
27
10
Zander Stewart
Holland Christian
196.6
11
28
12
Hunter Smith
Vicksburg
196.1
13
29
11
David Kore
Three Rivers
196.0
13
30
12
Wyeth Angus
Chelsea
195.6
16
31
11
Christian Pavlige
Fruitport
195.5
10
32
12
Cole Coffman
Holland Christian
195.1
11
33
12
Cameron Crane
New Boston Huron
194.8
18
34
12
Jack Frentz
Petoskey
194.7
10
35
11
Grayson Michels
Forest Hills Eastern
194.4
12
36
12
Joshua Macri
Macomb Lutheran North
194.2
17
37
12
Seth Randall
St. Joseph
194.1
13
38
11
Liam Dewitt
Haslett
194.1
14
39
12
Ben Bouchey
Flint Powers Catholic
193.9
15
40
12
Reeve Oberman
Petoskey
193.7
10
41
10
Zach Diller
Holland Christian
193.5
11
42
11
Andrew Nunning
Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
193.4
17
43
11
Rex Pumford
Whitehall
193.0
10
44
12
Christopher Vogt
Paw Paw
192.7
13
45
9
Camden Clevenger
Goodrich
192.6
15
46
11
Aiden Lambers
Holland
191.5
11
47
12
Connor Pepin
Croswell-Lexington
191.3
17
48
9
Connor Charboneau
Saginaw Swan Valley
191.1
15
49
10
Parker Smith
Adrian
190.6
18
50
10
Leland Sowle
Parma Western
190.0
14
Mid-Season Moves
The champ ain’t dead yet. Just a reminder for the young folks and newcomers – Northville won XC titles in 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025. With their 3rd place finish at Portage, the Mustangs have made it clear they can ascend to the podium in November. Their race from Saturday played out in a similar manner to many of those championship performances. The Mustangs were 5th at the mile and at two, then moved up two spots from two miles on.
What gives hope is the progress of their youngsters. Braden Millar ran in the 15’s for the first time ever, Aristides Kyritses grabbed a PR, and Ashton Kashat is gradually finding his way back into the 16’s.
Individual Contenders
Speaking of that high floor from the D2 realm, D1 brings that at the forefront. Reaching back into history, once it was uncommon for a D1 winner to run sub-15. In 2023, both Seth Norder and Thomas Westphal broke 15:00, the first time ever that sub-15 didn’t emit a win in the final. 2025’s final saw four kids in the 14’s, a fifth that was tenths of a second back. Peering at the landscape here in 2026, there’s potential for even greater quantities of kids clearing the 900 second barrier.
Thus far this fall, seven boys have been sub-15, three of those races coming at Portage. All have been at legit courses that could portend to the same fate in a few weeks. Then there’s kids on the outside, five more boys that’ve run 15:10 or faster.
Portage displayed a bit of separation toward the top. A large early pack of 10+ boys hit the mile near 4:40. That number dwindled to an exact 10 at two. Then in the final 1.1, Caden Livermore and Kamari Ronfeldt opened up a significant gap as they dueled for the win. At the finish, Livermore succeeded in victory, setting the stage for a final month where the defending champion strategizes in his bid for a repeat.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Region
1
12
Caden Livermore
Grandville
221.9
1
2
12
Kamari Ronfeldt
Ann Arbor Pioneer
220.9
5
3
12
Samuel Baker
Kalamazoo Central
219.2
3
4
12
Luka Hammond
Grand Haven
219.2
1
5
12
Jack MacGregor
Howell
219.1
4
6
12
Brandon Cloud
Northville
216.4
7
7
12
Matii Tarekegn
East Kentwood
216.3
1
8
12
Marshall Huhn
Lowell
215.3
3
9
12
Austin Mercado
Salem
213.1
6
10
12
Jacob Szalay
Saline
213.0
5
11
10
Archer VerHage
Grand Haven
211.4
1
12
11
Gavin Katic
Fenton
211.2
2
13
12
Liam Wierzba
Traverse City West
210.8
2
14
11
Rylen Richey
Grand Ledge
209.1
4
15
12
Coen Hill
Dexter
208.0
4
16
11
Cooper McNaughton
Clarkston
207.9
8
17
11
Xavier Solgot
L’Anse Creuse North
207.4
9
18
10
Josh Keillor-Beale
Brighton
205.2
4
19
10
Hudson Doll
Ann Arbor Skyline
205.2
6
20
11
Alexander Allen
Alpena
205.0
2
21
11
Johnathan Elsea
Mount Pleasant
204.7
2
22
11
Todd Tobin Jr
Highland-Milford
204.5
8
23
12
Caelan Marsh
Grand Ledge
204.0
4
24
12
Logan Gessford
Midland
203.7
2
25
10
Tanner Smith
Zeeland West
203.5
3
26
10
Tucker Asman
Brighton
203.4
4
27
11
Finn Frost-Grayson
Traverse City West
203.0
2
28
12
Josiah Derksen
Rockford
202.8
1
29
10
Grant Kulesza
Brighton
202.7
4
30
12
Ethan Burks
Jenison
202.1
1
31
11
Mourad Algahmi
Dearborn Fordson
201.9
5
32
11
Lucas Campbell
Rochester
201.4
9
33
11
Roman Stilwell
Ann Arbor Skyline
201.3
6
34
12
Justin Johnson
East Kentwood
201.3
1
35
11
Carter Cooke
Jenison
201.3
1
36
11
Caleb Conner
Jenison
201.3
1
37
11
Aidan Schwalbach
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek
201.2
9
38
11
Nikhil Ball
South Lyon East
201.2
4
39
10
Tommy McCormick
Grand Blanc
201.1
2
40
11
Kilian Boulware-Lopez
East Lansing
201.1
4
41
11
Chase Sherman
Jenison
200.5
1
42
11
Sean Thompson
Caledonia
200.4
3
43
12
Nick Martens
Dexter
200.2
4
44
11
Marcus Essling
Portage Central
199.7
3
45
11
Martin Gehrke
Ann Arbor Skyline
199.6
6
46
11
Luke Bultman
Rockford
199.2
1
47
11
Brady Glon
Detroit Catholic Central
199.0
7
48
12
Cody Bromley
Lowell
199.0
3
49
10
Lucas Naspinsky
White Lake Lakeland
198.9
8
50
10
Aiden Doggett
Highland-Milford
198.9
8
Rank
Team
Score
1
Marquette
19
2
Sault Ste. Marie
80
3
Houghton
89
4
Gladstone
101
5
Negaunee
144
6
Kingsford
178
7
Ishpeming Westwood
180
8
Menominee
203
9
Escanaba
221
Rank
Team
Score
1
Munising
39
2
Rudyard
39
3
Painesdale-Jeffers
52
4
Brimley
109
5
Ironwood
131
Rank
Team
Score
1
Rapid River
83
2
Forest Park
91
3
Cedarville
93
4
Rock Mid-Peninsula
108
5
St. Ignace
110
6
Stephenson
132
7
Engadine
132
8
Pickford
152
9
Superior Central
181
10
Carney-Nadeau
228
Mid-Season Moves
Well, Cedarville surely made a jump here into the top-10, coming in right behind D3 contender Rapid River. The main reason for that was their performance in the first EUP Jamboree, where the Trojans were first amongst D3 squads. Can they contend for the crown? We’ll find out more from this weekend’s Rudyard Autumn Classic. Currently in the rankings separated by division, Cedarville ranks 3rd.
Individual Contenders
Three boys have separated themselves from the field in each respective division.
By over a minute, Lucas Ballard has run the fastest time of anyone in the UP. His 15:17 at Bluejay was wonderfully executed, as Ballard moved up six spots in the final mile, narrowly securing 2nd place in a loaded field.
Rudyard’s Eli Folkersma has undergone tremendous improvement over the past year. For the most part, his 2025 season consisted of 18 min.+ performances, save for a few forays into the 17:50s. This fall, he’s been sub-18 on every occasion over the past month, including a 17:21 PR in the first EUP Jamboree.
Cedarville’s Ethan Snyder combines the domination of Ballard (55 sec. clear of his nearest competition) with the progress of Folkersma (17:12 > 16:27 over the past year). That 16:27 was not a fluke, as Snyder’s been in the mid-16’s for his past three races.
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
12
Lucas Ballard
Marquette
208.0
1
2
11
Lake Skytta
Marquette
171.4
1
3
11
Brandon Van Karsen
Houghton
167.6
1
4
11
William Lindsay
Marquette
167.0
1
5
12
Vasu Esplin
Marquette
167.0
1
6
12
Chase Aldridge
Sault Ste. Marie
166.5
1
7
11
Garrett Crimmins
Marquette
164.2
1
8
12
Welly Fillmore
Marquette
163.5
1
9
10
Calvin Carlson
Ishpeming Westwood
163.2
1
10
12
Cavan Mulligan
Kingsford
156.7
1
11
9
Bradley Klann
Menominee
156.0
1
12
9
Anthony Messina
Marquette
154.6
1
13
9
Tyler Rule
Houghton
153.7
1
14
10
Drew Burtt
Sault Ste. Marie
153.6
1
15
12
Chuck Cameron
Gladstone
146.2
1
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
12
Eli Folkersma
Rudyard
173.2
2
2
12
Blake Lakosky
Munising
152.4
2
3
10
Jack LaLone
Rudyard
151.2
2
4
10
Eduel Spencer
West Iron County
150.5
2
5
11
Branson Anderson
Painesdale-Jeffers
150.1
2
6
9
Evan Kelto
Munising
149.5
2
7
12
Darren Johnson
Brimley
146.1
2
8
10
Liam Kinnunen
Painesdale-Jeffers
137.6
2
9
9
Orin Shalom
Munising
136.4
2
10
12
Zaine Nichols
Rudyard
134.5
2
11
12
Noah Randell
Painesdale-Jeffers
133.5
2
12
12
Nolan Dolaskie
Munising
132.0
2
13
12
Oliver Dankert
Rudyard
131.0
2
14
10
Dylan Krause
Munising
127.2
2
15
10
Liam Hoolsema
Rudyard
125.7
2
Rank
Grade
Name
Team
O11 Rating
Division
1
12
Ethan Snyder
Cedarville
175.1
3
2
10
Ashdeyn Gerow
Rock Mid-Peninsula
162.5
3
3
12
Jacob Mitchell
Pickford
153.1
3
4
12
Kemper Gearhart
Ishpeming
152.5
3
5
11
Wyatt Huhn
St. Ignace
150.7
3
6
11
Nate Stielstra
Engadine
149.1
3
7
10
Owen Truitt
Rapid River
146.2
3
8
11
Hayden Smith
Forest Park
144.5
3
9
11
Eddie Franckowiak
Engadine
144.1
3
10
9
Niko Reed
Dollar Bay
138.9
3
11
9
Liam Bohn
Cedarville
138.1
3
12
10
Eli Stiglitz
Rock Mid-Peninsula
137.6
3
13
12
Jon Denkins
Rapid River
137.4
3
14
12
Jae Poma
Rapid River
134.8
3
15
9
Jaxon Klyk
Superior Central
133.1
3
Homeschool athletes, the “official” rankings might not include you, but I’ve got you covered! Even with your championship coming the weekend of regionals, I’ll still have projections for that day. And word on the street is I might even be there…
