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The creative writing juices tapped out after months of writing, this is titled projections instead of preview. Previous iterations of these have had me writing until the wee hours of the night. I want to be my happy self on Saturday, so I’m gonna rely on the narratives written throughout the season and a few paragraphs here.

Just as regionals and other championship meets throughout the year, these projections are done based on thousands of simulated races. How do the simulations work?

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

Through the simulated races, you can equate all types of scenarios and groupings. Here are the ones listed:

Projected Place – sorted from lowest projected score to highest projected score
Projected Score – the average score across all the simulated races
Range – 95% of the placings fall within this range
Win % – the chance that team has of winning the meet
Podium % – the chance that team has of placing top-2
Top 10 % – the chance that team finishes within the top-10

BOYS TEAM

Hillsdale Academy is far and away the favorite. The Colts have returned four of their five scorers and five of their varsity runners from 2023’s state championship. This fall, they’ve taken part in three meets with a decent range of D4 competition: Holly, Portage, and Class D. Each were significant victories. Fast and deep, they’ve shown the ability to place all scorers in the low-17’s or faster.

Following a rough showing at Spartan, Holland Calvary Christian has been able to move up and then stabilize. Perhaps the greatest example of that stability comes again from Portage, where the Crusaders packed up in the mid-17’s, opening up a 40-point gap on the rest of the D4 field.

These two teams are the overwhelming favorites to grab spots on the podium. Beyond the two, it appears that 3^rd thru 9^th places are up for grabs, then a few teams will be in contention for the 10^th spot.

Projected Place	Team	Projected Score	Range	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Hillsdale Academy	104	1st-2nd	95+	95+	95+
2	Holland Calvary Christian	158	1st-3rd		95+	95+
3	Royal Oak Shrine	217	2nd-6th		3	95+
4	Maple City Glen Lake	224	3rd-6th			95+
5	Mason County Eastern	231	3rd-7th			95+
6	Harbor Springs	252	3rd-8th			95+
7	Kalamazoo Hackett	267	5th-9th			95+
8	White Cloud	295	5th-10th			95+
9	Whitmore Lake	303	7th-11th			95
10	Bridgman	335	8th-13th			49
11	Leland	344	8th-15th			37
12	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	358	9th-15th			13
13	Petoskey St. Michael	369	11th-16th
14	Dansville	376	10th-18th			5
15	Harbor Beach	400	11th-20th
16	Dryden	414	13th-21st
17	Tri-unity Christian	414	13th-20th
18	Riverview Gabriel Richard	417	14th-21st
19	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	430	15th-22nd
20	Manchester	436	15th-23rd
21	Three Oaks River Valley	458	16th-24th
22	Webberville	479	20th-24th
23	Ellsworth	502	17th-26th
24	Marlette	509	22nd-25th
25	Concord	534	21st-26th
26	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	556	24th-26th
27	Beal City	645	26th-27th

GIRLS TEAM

Another returning champion that is in the driver’s seat. Whitmore Lake lost a three-time All-Stater from their 2023 squad and has had girls step up in her absence. The Trojans are unafraid of competition, traveling to Shepherd on multiple occasions to face off against teams from higher divisions. At Portage and Holly, they stuck to their own division, walking away with victories at each spot.

If the Trojans were to fall, likely contenders are Hillsdale Academy and Bridgman. The two squads placed within three points of each other at Portage and have each shown signs that they’re capable of pulling an upset. For the Bees, it was Christian Comet; the Colts, Region 34. Those two races saw the teams place all scorers under 21:30, which would give the hope that they can create enough of a gap on Whitmore Lake’s depth.

I love the combinations of teams that could get on the podium. The most intriguing is Auburn Hills Oakland Christian. Their regional course ran about as fair as one can imagine, yet the Lancer trio of frontrunners were able to slip under 20-flat. Math could work out in their favor if their score through three is low enough.

Projected Place	Team	Projected Score	Range	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Whitmore Lake	135	1st-3rd	80	93	95+
2	Hillsdale Academy	169	1st-7th	12	42	95+
3	Harbor Springs	175	2nd-5th		24	95+
4	Bridgman	179	1st-6th	6	24	95+
5	Breckenridge	190	2nd-7th		11	95+
6	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	224	2nd-9th		6	95+
7	Kalamazoo Hackett	237	6th-9th			95+
8	Gobles	241	4th-10th			95+
9	Bear Lake-Onekama	263	7th-10th			95+
10	Ubly	334	10th-15th			35
11	Grand Traverse Academy	343	9th-18th			22
12	Lansing Christian	351	10th-17th			17
13	Vestaburg	360	10th-18th			15
14	Royal Oak Shrine	363	10th-18th			11
15	Fowler	364	11th-18th
16	Buckley	377	11th-17th
17	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	385	12th-18th
18	Martin	417	15th-20th
19	Unionville-Sebewaing	451	18th-21st
20	Harbor Beach	477	19th-23d
21	Rogers City	480	18th-23rd
22	Beal City	517	20th-26th
23	Plymouth Christian Academy	538	20th-26th
24	Concord	538	21st-26th
25	Ellsworth	553	19th-26th
26	Petersburg-Summerfield	555	22nd-26th
27	White Pigeon	749	26th-27th

BOYS INDIVIDUAL

The experience gained from track titles, the endurance gained from ultras, Marek Butkiewicz hit the season blazing and hasn’t let up. Butkiewicz took an early loss at Michigan Catholic against D2’s Colin Murray and has been winning ever since. The times have come too – 15:27 at Otsego, 15:24 at Portage, and 15:11 at Gabriel Richard. He’s a solid favorite.

If there is someone to compete with Marek, it’s Abenezer Cerone. Last year’s 3^rd place finisher has won quite a bit himself – at Hansons, Brooks, and a 2^nd consecutive regional championship. He’s also faced off against stronger competition, placing 7^th in the ever-tough Oakland County Championship. His time there was 16:34, 27 sec. faster than 2023 under similar conditions. A definite candidate to run in the mid-15’s on Saturday.

Projected Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Marek Butkiewicz	Kalamazoo Hackett	1.3
2	11	Abenezer Cerone	Royal Oak Shrine	2.4
3	12	Theodore Davis	Dansville	4.4
4	10	Kyle Redman	Mesick	5.5
5	12	Colebrook Sutherland	Maple City Glen Lake	7.5
6	11	Landon Rogers	Three Oaks River Valley	7.5
7	11	Brody Karg	Harbor Beach	9.6
8	12	Mason Sinke	Bear Lake-Onekama	10.9
9	11	Landen Livingston	Whitmore Lake	11.4
10	11	Cody Bradley	Petoskey St. Michael	11.5
11	11	Grayson Rorick	Hillsdale Academy	12.3
12	11	Sean Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	12.6
13	12	Tyler Laansma	Tri-unity Christian	13.4
14	12	Alex Tyndall	Mason County Eastern	13.5
15	12	Coleson Cruzan	White Cloud	14.5
16	10	Ty Redman	Mesick	15.3
17	12	Andrew Mabry	Bridgman	16.1
18	10	Wesley Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	19.8
19	10	Jacob Ferdubinski	Riverview Gabriel Richard	20.3
20	12	Reece Poole	Hillsdale Academy	20.4
21	12	Austin Sneed	East Jordan	21.6
22	10	Abraham Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	21.9
23	12	Teddy Ippel	Bridgman	22.6
24	10	Noah Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	25.3
25	11	Grant Johnson	Manchester	30.9
26	11	Emmanuel Mehari	Plymouth Christian Academy	31.5
27	10	Anthony Rowe	Breckenridge	31.7
28	10	Christian Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	31.7
29	12	Jeremiah Witt	Johannesburg-Lewiston	31.9
30	11	Luke Molenkamp	Hillsdale Academy	32.9
31	11	Carter Clark	Carson City-Crystal	34.8
32	12	Kaleb Canning	White Cloud	37.2
33	9	Lincoln Laansma	Tri-unity Christian	39.2
34	11	Carson Burgess	Brown City	39.4
35	11	Timothy Chamberlain	Portland St. Patrick	39.9
36	11	Liam McCaw	Maple City Glen Lake	40.4
37	11	Henry Lindley	Hillsdale Academy	40.7
38	9	Grant Corlew	Harbor Springs	41.4
39	10	Vern Clyne	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	41.8
40	11	James Rahe	Hillsdale Academy	42.0
41	10	Timothy Gaebler	Hillsdale Academy	42.7
42	9	Lance Niedzielski	Mason County Eastern	44.5
43	12	Teddy Krieger	Harbor Springs	49.0
44	11	Khadar Jama	Ellsworth	49.1
45	12	Ben Iobe	Mendon	49.2
46	12	Joel Lange	Adrian Lenawee Christian	49.7
47	12	Zack Becker	Unionville-Sebewaing	51.2
48	11	Jesse Fielis	White Pigeon	51.6
49	11	Jonah Pollatz	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	51.8
50	11	Michael Bowker	Royal Oak Shrine	52.0
51	10	Riley Weed	Holland Calvary Christian	52.3
52	11	Rich Fanti	Riverview Gabriel Richard	54.2
53	12	Russell Vandermus	Petoskey St. Michael	54.3
54	10	Gibson White	Holland Calvary Christian	58.1
55	11	Max Brannan	Lutheran HS Westland	58.6
56	12	Matthew Pasiak	Harbor Beach	59.3
57	10	Brody VanTuinen	Holland Calvary Christian	62.3
58	11	Cole Brege	Rogers City	62.7
59	10	Caleb Adkins	Holland Calvary Christian	62.9
60	10	Milo Shoup	Mason County Eastern	64.6
61	9	Simon Reed	Plymouth Christian Academy	65.3
62	9	Carter Suttmann	Leland	67.3
63	9	Owen Jarosz	Frankfort	67.5
64	10	Ryan Miller	Hillsdale Academy	67.5
65	9	Nolan Collins	Whitmore Lake	67.8
66	10	Rush Marsden	Fulton	68.4
67	11	Josiah Johncox	Byron	68.7
68	11	Reuben Jiran	Novi Christian Academy	69.5
69	9	Joseph Edwards	New Buffalo	69.9
70	9	Beckett Dennis	Grand Traverse Academy	72.6
71	11	Andrew Lopez	Royal Oak Shrine	72.8
72	9	Atticus Cadarette	Petoskey St. Michael	75.2
73	11	Ethan West	Webberville	75.9
74	11	Henry Kruzel	Harbor Springs	77.4
75	11	Jack Sharar	Rogers City	78.7
76	11	Logan Romain	Dryden	78.7
77	11	Quentin Smith	Fowler	79.8
78	12	Nico DiPonio	Austin Catholic	80.1
79	9	Levi Fitchett	Dryden	81.2
80	11	Nicholas Trader	Fairview	81.2
81	9	Kaiden Lague	Mason County Eastern	81.4
82	12	Ryan Blankenship	Eau Claire	83.5
83	11	Joel Johnson	Detroit Frederick Douglass	87.3
84	10	Amos Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	88.2
85	12	Camden Fager	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	89.1
86	11	Michael Walsh	Ubly	90.3
87	11	Gavin Howery	Webberville	91.0
88	9	Nathan West	Webberville	91.6
89	10	Carter Toensfeldt	Fairview	92.1
90	11	Keith Crompton	Frankfort	92.4
91	11	Matthew Bentley	Buckley	93.9
92	12	Aaron Crittenden	Potterville	93.9
93	12	Tom Shafer	Lutheran HS Westland	94.4
94	12	Beau Shaffer	Morenci	96.6
95	10	Ayden Mayr	Dansville	98.5
96	11	Caesar Soma	Royal Oak Shrine	98.6
97	11	Carter Russelburg	Allen Park Cabrini	99.4
98	10	Evan Keen	Leland	99.7
99	12	Alexander Dumont	Kalamazoo Hackett	100.1
100	9	Anderson Karkau	Dansville	100.8

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL

Over the past two years, Kaylie Livingston has displayed a wonderful ability to remain undaunted by the circumstances. Traveling here and there, running non-descript conference meets, heading to the indoor track in the middle of basketball season. Through this, she’s picked up a track title, indoor title, and placed 2^nd here last year. She’s been the class of D4 this time, running into the 17’s in five of her past seven meets. She’s likely the favorite.

Allie Nowak and Libby Smith are two others to watch. Nowak is lightly raced, but she’s well used to these championship races, having won one of her own during track. Smith has been consistently rising over the course of the season, hitting the mid-18’s in five of her past six efforts.

Projected Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake	1.3
2	10	Libby Smith	Gobles	3.1
3	12	Allie Nowak	Johannesburg-Lewiston	3.2
4	12	Abigail Davis	Vestaburg	4.6
5	12	Eliza Keith	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	5.2
6	12	Jane Manthei	Petoskey St. Michael	6.3
7	9	Callie Sinke	Bear Lake-Onekama	7.1
8	12	Izzy Brooks	Adrian Lenawee Christian	7.3
9	11	Carina Burchi	Whitmore Lake	11.0
10	12	Natalie Gibbs	Birmingham Roeper	12.7
11	11	Taylor Wiegand	Livingston Christian	13.3
12	10	Stefi Reskevics	Harbor Springs	13.4
13	11	Emma Riker	Kalamazoo Hackett	16.2
14	12	Ella Knudsen	Leland	17.0
15	11	Eleanor Cole	Lutheran HS Westland	19.2
16	12	Presley Allen	Mendon	20.9
17	10	Veyda Conley	Martin	21.9
18	10	Lauren Shaffer	Gobles	23.9
19	11	Elodie Weaver	Whitmore Lake	25.0
20	11	Lilah Kiley	Kingston	25.4
21	12	Danica Aldrich	Breckenridge	25.4
22	10	Addy Zeller	Bear Lake-Onekama	25.4
23	10	Harlie Fox	Johannesburg-Lewiston	25.9
24	11	Ally Schmitz	Breckenridge	26.0
25	10	Amelia McKinney	Grand Traverse Academy	26.4
26	9	Carmella Julian	Maple City Glen Lake	26.8
27	11	Madi Hare	Plymouth Christian Academy	27.0
28	10	Lydia Gleason	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	29.3
29	12	Brooke Sonnenberg	Genesee Christian Academy	30.8
30	12	Ella Walton	Hillsdale Academy	34.9
31	12	Juniper Rodham	Harbor Springs	35.1
32	12	Melanie Warren	Bridgman	35.4
33	10	Evelyn Meyer	Hillsdale Academy	37.0
34	9	Cassidy Bowers	Austin Catholic	37.1
35	11	Rowan Allen	Mendon	37.3
36	11	Cara Prusakiewicz	Dryden	38.9
37	12	Clara Fast	Bridgman	39.0
38	10	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian	39.1
39	11	Addison Jarosz	Frankfort	41.3
40	12	Kelcie Pung	Fowler	41.6
41	10	Brie Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	44.2
42	12	Caroline Roberts	Hillsdale Academy	45.0
43	12	Aubrey Appleman	Britton Deerfield	45.3
44	9	Sophie Grinage	Leland	46.9
45	9	Melodie Hulinek	Bear Lake-Onekama	47.1
46	9	Alyvia Janke	Unionville-Sebewaing	47.9
47	12	Brianna Locke	Beal City	48.5
48	10	Avery Langlois	Rogers City	49.3
49	12	Stephanie Hernandez	Addison	50.6
50	11	Kandin Shuler	Bridgman	53.3
51	10	Ruby Pletcher	Ellsworth	55.6
52	11	Stella Behnan	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	55.9
53	11	Makenzie Wolfe	Petersburg-Summerfield	56.2
54	9	Anna Howell	Bridgman	57.8
55	10	Danielle Agren	Johannesburg-Lewiston	58.7
56	12	Erica Walker	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	60.5
57	12	Lucy Shoup	Mason County Eastern	60.5
58	11	Katie Sweeney	Ubly	62.5
59	11	Raley Keith	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	66.1
60	11	Leire Mahiques	Buckley	66.1
61	12	Riley McCumber	Pittsford	66.7
62	12	Julia Rogers	Kimball New Life Christian	67.8
63	10	Allie Miller	Hillsdale Academy	68.7
64	9	Madison Markowicz	Novi Christian Academy	68.9
65	10	Haley Stimer	Concord	69.7
66	12	Avery Westall	Breckenridge	70.4
67	9	Payton King	Kingston	71.2
68	10	Veronica Paga	Petoskey St. Michael	73.0
69	11	Madison Cooley	Gobles	73.1
70	12	Rose Losey	Royal Oak Shrine	75.9
71	10	Genevieve Rodham	Harbor Springs	76.2
72	10	Addison Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	76.6
73	11	Sofia Robertson	Whitmore Lake	77.3
74	11	Fran Warren	Harbor Springs	78.7
75	12	Nataly Vine	Breckenridge	79.3
76	9	Sophia Balistreri	Harbor Springs	79.7
77	9	Zoe Fabing	Fowler	80.3
78	12	Abby Ulbrich	Kalamazoo Hackett	82.8
79	9	Abbygail Plester	Ubly	82.9
80	10	Louisa Denks	Royal Oak Shrine	83.7
81	12	Brielle Voorhees	Tri-unity Christian	83.7
82	11	Kinsey Peer	Buckley	84.3
83	12	Autumn Reynolds	Potterville	86.3
84	12	Bridget Miller	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	87.5
85	11	Kate Van Es	Kalamazoo Hackett	89.3
86	9	Nora Tillman	Royal Oak Shrine	89.4
87	11	Elizabeth Caspar	Hillsdale Academy	90.2
88	12	Mickiah Allbee	Vestaburg	90.5
89	12	Reece Wruble	Harbor Beach	92.7
90	11	Acacia Williams	Holland Calvary Christian	93.6
91	10	Elizabeth Furman	Indian River Inland Lakes	94.7
92	9	Maizy Matthews	Breckenridge	94.8
93	10	Madison Smith	Grand Traverse Academy	95.2
94	9	Allison Schmitt	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	96.1
95	11	Juliette Tallon	Lansing Christian	96.1
96	12	Isabella Nelson-Daniels	Whitmore Lake	97.0
97	12	McKenzie Bowman	Harbor Springs	97.2
98	9	Claire Couturier	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	97.3
99	12	Emily Howell	Bridgman	97.5
100	10	Mikayla Kulawiak	Buckley	101.8

Girls Adjustment: +10
Boys Adjustment: +9

MIXCSR VS. REALITY

Man, Clinton comes through every year. This is an tell that they’re well-coached, as the projections don’t aim to project onto the future, just use the past to give as accurate an indicator of where a team currently stands. Hence, they don’t attempt to capture how much a team will improve in their next meet. The Red Wolf regional race was full of improvements, every single varsity runner racing to a seasonal best. Zachary Taylor in particular, had a great one, dropping 30+ seconds from his LCAA Final race.

Other standout efforts include:

Walker Brose, Ann Arbor Huron – with four deserving teams and a fast course, qualifying here was always gonna require one’s best effort. Walker has raced at Willow a ton over the course of his career (I count 11 meets), this 16:14 was the fastest of the bunch.

Elizabeth Lambert, Erie Mason – a totally transformed racer this fall (and really, this month). Sub-22 in all races, a mark she had never hit in 3.5 seasons of competing.

Becca Jud, Salem – she showed this pattern in 2023, a season spent in the 20-21 min. range before a drastic drop at the regional stage. I’m happy to report that this pattern repeated. She gave us a lil’ preview at the KLAA Championship before running a 19:30 here, a season’s best.

At the end of all the regionals, the projections were correct on 197 of the 216 top-three teams. Best mark yet. Also very close to the expected total, which was 198 (adding the percentages of the projected top-threes).

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating	Meet
11	Jacob Stanislawski	16:12.7	Flat Rock	192.8	Region 27
12	Nathan Vargo	16:18.0	Flat Rock	191.0	Region 27
11	Lucas Taraszkiewicz	16:18.7	Flat Rock	190.8	Region 27
9	Christian Craanen	16:20.1	Monroe St. Mary CC	190.3	Region 27
11	Trenton Fetter	16:49.9	Adrian Madison	180.4	Region 27
12	Gabe Manchester	16:56.3	Clinton	178.2	Region 27
12	Austin Sulier	17:05.3	Erie Mason	175.2	Region 27
12	Ian Waddell	17:21.7	Blissfield	169.8	Region 27
12	Parker Campbell	17:26.5	Erie Mason	168.2	Region 27
11	Luke Stanley	17:45.0	Ida	162.0	Region 27
9	Michael Weidmayer	17:46.1	Blissfield	161.6	Region 27
12	Eric Ramsey	17:47.8	Clinton	161.1	Region 27
11	Luke Masserant	17:49.0	Monroe Jefferson	160.7	Region 27
12	Adam Brodie	17:51.8	Flat Rock	159.7	Region 27
11	Paul McClure	17:51.9	Adrian Madison	159.7	Region 27
11	Connor Sherwood	18:05.0	Grass Lake	155.3	Region 27
10	Austin Strand	18:10.9	Clinton	153.4	Region 27
12	Andrew Hintz	18:12.6	Monroe Jefferson	152.8	Region 27
10	Zachary Taylor	18:13.0	Clinton	152.7	Region 27
12	Kevin Roberts	18:14.5	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	152.2	Region 27
9	Phineas Totten	18:14.8	Monroe St. Mary CC	152.1	Region 27
9	Caleb Healey	18:15.5	Erie Mason	151.8	Region 27
9	Weston Albright	18:16.3	Erie Mason	151.6	Region 27
9	Brayden Brodie	18:24.0	Flat Rock	149.0	Region 27
9	Noah Sills	18:25.5	Blissfield	148.5	Region 27
10	Connor Boteler	18:30.1	Grass Lake	147.0	Region 27
12	Wesley Miner	18:35.3	Adrian Madison	145.2	Region 27
12	Caleb Totten	18:35.9	Monroe St. Mary CC	145.0	Region 27
12	Joel Bezeau	18:37.5	Monroe Jefferson	144.5	Region 27
12	Evan Vore	18:41.0	Blissfield	143.3	Region 27
10	David Mills	18:42.8	Erie Mason	142.7	Region 27
10	Joseph Colaluca	18:45.0	Erie Mason	142.0	Region 27
9	Carter Lee	18:45.7	Monroe Jefferson	141.8	Region 27
10	Alec Hernandez	18:46.8	Flat Rock	141.4	Region 27
10	Zack Buttigieg	18:47.5	Grass Lake	141.2	Region 27
11	Bryson Ballantyne	18:48.3	Adrian Madison	140.9	Region 27
9	Brady Bills	18:49.3	Blissfield	140.6	Region 27
11	Alex Holda	18:53.2	Grass Lake	139.3	Region 27
10	Jonah Busen	18:53.8	Monroe Jefferson	139.1	Region 27
11	Jackson Carner	18:55.7	Erie Mason	138.4	Region 27
9	Beckett Klump	19:09.1	Blissfield	134.0	Region 27
9	Kenny Knudsen	19:14.2	Monroe St. Mary CC	132.3	Region 27
10	Ronan Stelzer	19:24.2	Clinton	128.9	Region 27
10	Jacob Pizio	19:24.8	Clinton	128.7	Region 27
9	John Verlinde	19:29.1	Adrian Madison	127.3	Region 27
10	Conner Mills	19:31.3	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	126.6	Region 27
11	Nathan Cole	19:36.9	Blissfield	124.7	Region 27
12	Mark Goodlock	19:52.6	Adrian Madison	119.5	Region 27
11	Cooper Diesing	20:00.8	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	116.7	Region 27
12	Benjamin Blanchard	20:04.5	Adrian Madison	115.5	Region 27
11	Emmet Van Cleave	20:07.5	Grass Lake	114.5	Region 27
11	Keegan Thomas	20:16.0	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	111.7	Region 27
9	David Dalton	20:28.8	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	107.4	Region 27
10	Peter Baker	20:32.2	Clinton	106.3	Region 27
11	Will Ryan	20:42.3	Monroe St. Mary CC	102.9	Region 27
10	Brayden Bennett	20:45.8	Ida	101.7	Region 27
12	Brendon Masters	20:54.0	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	99.0	Region 27
9	Landon Gauer	20:54.9	Ida	98.7	Region 27
11	Julian Delgado	20:55.8	Detroit Cristo Rey	98.4	Region 27
10	Ryan Thomas	21:12.1	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	93.0	Region 27
10	Ayden Stauff	21:23.9	Grass Lake	89.0	Region 27
11	Calvin Haydamacker	21:54.2	Flat Rock	78.9	Region 27
12	Garren Garner	22:22.9	Ida	69.4	Region 27
11	Omar Vega-Rodriguez	22:24.1	Hope Of Detroit	69.0	Region 27
11	Luis Tellez	22:48.9	Hope Of Detroit	60.7	Region 27
11	Jacob Young	22:51.5	Ida	59.8	Region 27
12	Elijah Maitland	23:13.5	Grass Lake	52.5	Region 27
10	Westin Phebus	23:26.3	Ida	48.2	Region 27
9	Elliot Brown	25:36.0	Monroe St. Mary CC	5.0	Region 27
Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating	Meet
11	Aiden Pengelly	15:17.6	Canton	211.1	Region 6
12	Joseph Rohmfeld	15:29.8	Livonia Churchill	207.1	Region 6
12	Ethan Powell	15:36.3	Northville	204.9	Region 6
11	Ben Hartigan	15:39.6	Northville	203.8	Region 6
10	Brandon Cloud	15:40.0	Northville	203.7	Region 6
12	Nick Barretto	15:51.6	Northville	199.8	Region 6
12	Chase Wolters	15:55.5	Livonia Churchill	198.5	Region 6
12	Ishaan Kundapur	15:56.1	Northville	198.3	Region 6
11	Adrian Clarke	16:05.0	Plymouth	195.3	Region 6
12	Jack Chadwick	16:05.4	Plymouth	195.2	Region 6
12	Walker Brose	16:14.7	Ann Arbor Huron	192.1	Region 6
11	Hudson Wojtkowicz	16:15.8	Livonia Churchill	191.7	Region 6
12	Ben Mussen	16:17.2	Plymouth	191.3	Region 6
11	Steven Dusseau	16:18.0	Canton	191.0	Region 6
12	Adam Dicken	16:19.0	Canton	190.7	Region 6
11	Lucas LaPointe	16:20.2	Plymouth	190.3	Region 6
10	Austin Mercado	16:26.5	Salem	188.2	Region 6
12	Benjamin Peura	16:28.1	Farmington	187.6	Region 6
11	Ethan Hertza	16:31.6	Northville	186.5	Region 6
12	Malcolm Speigle	16:37.1	Livonia Churchill	184.6	Region 6
12	Ben Clark	16:42.6	Canton	182.8	Region 6
12	Isaac Demetter	16:47.5	Salem	181.2	Region 6
12	Aaron Messing	16:50.0	Livonia Stevenson	180.3	Region 6
12	Chase McDougall	16:50.9	Livonia Stevenson	180.0	Region 6
10	Devin Lau	16:51.9	Farmington	179.7	Region 6
12	Ethan Morche	16:52.5	Livonia Churchill	179.5	Region 6
11	Daniel Niehaus	16:52.8	Plymouth	179.4	Region 6
12	Neel Bangera	16:56.1	Canton	178.3	Region 6
10	Jack Hanner	17:00.8	Salem	176.7	Region 6
11	Thomas (TJ) Conley	17:01.8	Ann Arbor Huron	176.4	Region 6
11	Sahib Cheema	17:04.8	Salem	175.4	Region 6
11	Parker Szymczak	17:09.1	Salem	174.0	Region 6
10	William Balasia	17:12.6	Detroit U-D Jesuit	172.8	Region 6
12	Brayden Creedon	17:13.5	Canton	172.5	Region 6
12	Teo Condevaux	17:14.4	Livonia Churchill	172.2	Region 6
11	Tommy Buckalew	17:14.9	Westland John Glenn	172.0	Region 6
12	Clark Madden	17:15.7	Canton	171.8	Region 6
11	Max Frentner	17:16.6	Salem	171.5	Region 6
11	Ryan Stojov	17:17.3	Northville	171.2	Region 6
12	Ethan Shroat	17:18.8	Westland John Glenn	170.7	Region 6
10	Charles Cools	17:19.4	Ann Arbor Huron	170.5	Region 6
11	Jaden Ding	17:20.1	Salem	170.3	Region 6
9	Aarav Kalantry	17:28.4	Ann Arbor Huron	167.5	Region 6
9	Landen Martell	17:33.8	Plymouth	165.7	Region 6
11	Jamal (Max) Samaha	17:35.8	Ann Arbor Huron	165.1	Region 6
11	Marcel Lake	17:41.1	Detroit Renaissance	163.3	Region 6
12	Diego Islas-Montantes	17:44.2	Plymouth	162.3	Region 6
9	Lucas Brumo	17:50.1	Livonia Stevenson	160.3	Region 6
11	Aldo Hernandez	17:51.9	Wayne Memorial	159.7	Region 6
10	Tyler Bjorklund	18:01.4	Livonia Churchill	156.5	Region 6
10	Avishek Sett	18:16.3	Farmington	151.6	Region 6
11	Oliver Binkowski	18:20.9	Detroit U-D Jesuit	150.0	Region 6
10	Emmet Gardella	18:26.7	Detroit U-D Jesuit	148.1	Region 6
11	Myles Guttovz	18:33.1	Farmington	146.0	Region 6
12	Soren Stone-Palmquist	18:33.8	Ann Arbor Huron	145.7	Region 6
10	Chris Hensler	18:34.7	Wayne Memorial	145.4	Region 6
10	Aidan Kocoloski	18:36.8	Livonia Stevenson	144.7	Region 6
11	Eric Cannon	18:37.6	Detroit U-D Jesuit	144.5	Region 6
9	Kazu Tran	18:38.4	Detroit U-D Jesuit	144.2	Region 6
11	Nicholas Beard	18:43.0	Ann Arbor Huron	142.7	Region 6
12	Jaylen Johnson	18:45.3	Wayne Memorial	141.9	Region 6
9	Mamboge Njie	18:46.7	Detroit Renaissance	141.4	Region 6
11	Zack Barringer	18:47.9	Detroit U-D Jesuit	141.0	Region 6
9	Liam Trumpower	18:50.6	Livonia Franklin	140.1	Region 6
11	Colin Coole	18:52.7	Livonia Stevenson	139.4	Region 6
10	Daniel Doyle	18:58.5	Westland John Glenn	137.5	Region 6
12	Leyton Weak	18:59.9	Livonia Stevenson	137.0	Region 6
10	Drew Santi	19:02.5	Livonia Franklin	136.2	Region 6
9	Lucas Dunham	19:22.2	Farmington	129.6	Region 6
12	Jalen Bannister	19:29.8	Ferndale	127.1	Region 6
10	DarWan Usher	19:29.8	Detroit Renaissance	127.1	Region 6
10	Patrick Steele	19:33.0	Farmington	126.0	Region 6
10	Justin Mkrtumian	19:33.3	Detroit U-D Jesuit	125.9	Region 6
10	Melvin Stewart	19:43.0	Wayne Memorial	122.7	Region 6
9	Christopher Robinson	19:50.2	Detroit Renaissance	120.3	Region 6
10	Jayden Figueroa	19:58.7	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	117.4	Region 6
9	Landon Seidel	20:09.7	Livonia Stevenson	113.8	Region 6
12	Hussein Ayoub	20:10.5	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	113.5	Region 6
11	Kyrese Price	20:11.6	Detroit Renaissance	113.1	Region 6
12	Teddy Pawlowski	20:14.8	Livonia Franklin	112.1	Region 6
9	Stanley Dinkins	20:26.9	Detroit Renaissance	108.0	Region 6
9	Liam Hannah	20:39.9	Livonia Franklin	103.7	Region 6
10	Daijeon Melendez	20:40.0	Detroit Mumford	103.7	Region 6
12	Gabe Rister	20:49.4	Wayne Memorial	100.5	Region 6
11	Yanjie Zhu	21:00.9	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	96.7	Region 6
11	Demario Garrison	21:02.5	Detroit Renaissance	96.2	Region 6
10	Benjamin Clark	21:13.9	Livonia Franklin	92.4	Region 6
9	Mohammad asif Sadiq	21:14.4	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	92.2	Region 6
11	Joshua Hart	21:15.4	Wayne Memorial	91.9	Region 6
12	Nicholas Williams	21:37.1	Westland John Glenn	84.6	Region 6
10	Kyler Calma	21:42.9	Westland John Glenn	82.7	Region 6
10	Greyson Stevens	21:46.2	Livonia Franklin	81.6	Region 6
10	Jack Shiner	21:47.4	Livonia Franklin	81.2	Region 6
12	Nathaniel Holbrook	21:51.1	Westland John Glenn	80.0	Region 6
9	Adam Soueid	21:52.9	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	79.4	Region 6
9	Blair Jackson	21:54.7	Westland John Glenn	78.8	Region 6
11	Yaseen Omara	22:17.7	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	71.1	Region 6
9	Youssef Omara	22:47.7	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	61.1	Region 6
9	Kingston Hogan	24:17.0	Detroit Mumford	31.3	Region 6
11	Mayomi Otagba	24:18.8	Detroit Mumford	30.7	Region 6

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating	Division
12	Eliza Bush	18:15.7	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	151.4	Region 27
11	Hope Miller	18:45.8	Blissfield	141.4	Region 27
11	Bella LaFountain	19:32.2	Monroe St. Mary CC	125.9	Region 27
12	Megan Woelkers	20:46.6	Flat Rock	101.1	Region 27
10	Kaleea Braun	20:52.5	Blissfield	99.2	Region 27
9	Adalyn Jarchow	20:56.5	Grass Lake	97.8	Region 27
12	Mia Schroeder	21:00.1	Monroe Jefferson	96.6	Region 27
10	Anna Hallett	21:01.3	Blissfield	96.2	Region 27
9	Ella Claus	21:04.9	Clinton	95.0	Region 27
12	Autumn Pernell	21:06.5	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	94.5	Region 27
12	Elizabeth Lambert	21:09.0	Erie Mason	93.7	Region 27
12	Alaina McClain	21:16.8	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	91.1	Region 27
11	Hailey Sills	21:19.4	Blissfield	90.2	Region 27
9	Claire Miller	21:20.3	Monroe Jefferson	89.9	Region 27
11	Julia Hughes	21:30.1	Ida	86.6	Region 27
12	Kim Miller	21:40.8	Monroe Jefferson	83.1	Region 27
12	Bailey Meiring	21:51.5	Erie Mason	79.5	Region 27
10	Juleigh Husby	21:53.9	Monroe St. Mary CC	78.7	Region 27
10	Elise Bullock	21:56.1	Grass Lake	78.0	Region 27
12	Grace Bullock	22:04.1	Grass Lake	75.3	Region 27
10	Makenzie Hilberer	22:06.5	Grass Lake	74.5	Region 27
12	Claire Lisker	22:09.4	Monroe St. Mary CC	73.5	Region 27
11	Natalie Benitez	22:16.0	Blissfield	71.3	Region 27
11	Leona Knudsen	22:31.1	Monroe St. Mary CC	66.3	Region 27
10	Adeline Stormont	22:43.9	Grass Lake	62.0	Region 27
9	Makayla Markgraff	22:46.6	Monroe St. Mary CC	61.1	Region 27
9	Kate Otting	22:50.0	Erie Mason	60.0	Region 27
11	Lauren Peppers	23:01.1	Monroe St. Mary CC	56.3	Region 27
10	Alexis Colburn	23:19.7	Erie Mason	50.1	Region 27
9	Revan Ricker	23:20.6	Blissfield	49.8	Region 27
10	Braelynn Chiotti	23:20.9	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	49.7	Region 27
10	Kayle Babowicz	23:26.5	Flat Rock	47.8	Region 27
9	Breslin Wing	23:37.5	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	44.2	Region 27
9	Rory Vida	23:38.8	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	43.7	Region 27
11	Briar Wing	23:41.3	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	42.9	Region 27
9	Ava Kruise	23:49.6	Grass Lake	40.1	Region 27
9	Jaelynn Horton	23:56.1	Erie Mason	38.0	Region 27
12	Sarah King	23:57.4	Clinton	37.5	Region 27
10	Shiaire Little	24:02.9	Dearborn Heights Robichaud	35.7	Region 27
12	Emily Rasor	24:06.4	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	34.5	Region 27
9	AnnMarie Scharer	24:08.8	Blissfield	33.7	Region 27
9	Jessie Cole	24:18.7	Monroe Jefferson	30.4	Region 27
9	Elizabeth Tadsen	24:23.2	Erie Mason	28.9	Region 27
9	Avery Stover	24:25.0	Adrian Madison	28.3	Region 27
9	Ryleigh Rowe	24:25.6	Ida	28.1	Region 27
11	Riley England	24:30.9	Erie Mason	26.4	Region 27
12	Ryan Handy	24:40.7	Clinton	23.1	Region 27
11	Gabriana Garner	25:07.7	Ida	14.1	Region 27
11	Taylor Hoppe	25:12.4	Grass Lake	12.5	Region 27
12	Megan Butz	25:14.2	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	11.9	Region 27
10	Audrey Smith	25:34.9	Monroe St. Mary CC	5.0	Region 27
9	Anya McClure	25:48.1	Adrian Madison	0.6	Region 27
9	Emma Myers	25:49.7	Adrian Madison	0.1	Region 27
Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating	Division
12	Kaelin Hughes	18:13.4	Livonia Stevenson	152.2	Region 6
10	Colette Lozo	18:33.7	Northville	145.4	Region 6
10	Annabeth Hazlewood	18:41.8	Salem	142.7	Region 6
12	Lucinda Paliani	18:56.4	Ann Arbor Huron	137.9	Region 6
11	Rianna Radulescu	19:08.9	Livonia Churchill	133.7	Region 6
11	Mackenzie Dicken	19:14.9	Plymouth	131.7	Region 6
12	Ava Peters	19:17.8	Livonia Franklin	130.7	Region 6
12	Catherine Steele	19:24.9	Farmington	128.4	Region 6
12	Cassie Garcia	19:25.7	Northville	128.1	Region 6
11	Becca Jud	19:30.6	Salem	126.5	Region 6
11	Leena Shelgikar	19:33.0	Ann Arbor Huron	125.7	Region 6
11	Molly Kate Coates	19:44.1	Northville	122.0	Region 6
11	Annabelle Beloiu	19:47.7	Northville	120.8	Region 6
11	Nora Gerzema	19:50.0	Farmington Hills Mercy	120.0	Region 6
12	Molly Baracco	19:56.6	Farmington	117.8	Region 6
11	Kierra Magner	19:59.2	Farmington	116.9	Region 6
10	Julie Schuessler	20:00.4	Livonia Churchill	116.5	Region 6
12	Rosie Gregory	20:03.1	Northville	115.6	Region 6
11	Rachael Halkey	20:12.2	Livonia Churchill	112.6	Region 6
10	Mia Carson	20:13.9	Northville	112.0	Region 6
10	Lucia Lachapelle	20:18.5	Northville	110.5	Region 6
9	Zoe Bossmann	20:19.8	Ann Arbor Huron	110.1	Region 6
10	Katelyn Parrish	20:19.9	Farmington	110.0	Region 6
12	Ilett Martinez	20:20.1	Wayne Memorial	110.0	Region 6
9	Mira Shelgikar	20:28.3	Ann Arbor Huron	107.2	Region 6
9	Lucy Morrow	20:31.9	Livonia Franklin	106.0	Region 6
12	Rosa Brody	20:33.5	Canton	105.5	Region 6
9	Sadie Bohnsack	20:36.7	Ann Arbor Huron	104.4	Region 6
11	Natalie Workman	20:42.7	Livonia Churchill	102.4	Region 6
11	Kinsey Nordbeck	20:58.9	Livonia Franklin	97.0	Region 6
10	Viktoria MacDougall	20:59.6	Farmington	96.8	Region 6
12	Brooklyn Hannah	21:03.7	Livonia Franklin	95.4	Region 6
12	Yana Chamiso	21:11.0	Canton	93.0	Region 6
11	Caroline LaPointe	21:11.7	Plymouth	92.8	Region 6
9	Chloe Cratsenburg	21:13.7	Plymouth	92.1	Region 6
11	Jenna Buchan	21:16.4	Farmington Hills Mercy	91.2	Region 6
11	Abby Spencer	21:21.1	Farmington	89.6	Region 6
10	Alex Iacoban	21:24.2	Farmington	88.6	Region 6
9	Elizabeth Gerzema	21:27.7	Farmington Hills Mercy	87.4	Region 6
11	Mia Fernandez	21:30.0	Canton	86.7	Region 6
11	Sarah Wazne	21:32.9	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	85.7	Region 6
10	Kerrington Fields-McCurdy	21:34.5	Livonia Stevenson	85.2	Region 6
11	Tanishka Tewari	21:37.7	Ann Arbor Huron	84.1	Region 6
10	Liv Brody	21:50.8	Canton	79.7	Region 6
12	Isabel Farley-Gillay	21:53.4	Plymouth	78.9	Region 6
9	Ainslie Carter	21:53.8	Farmington Hills Mercy	78.7	Region 6
10	Isabella Rushlow	21:55.0	Plymouth	78.3	Region 6
10	Addie Jones	21:59.8	Salem	76.7	Region 6
10	Emma Slater	22:03.6	Livonia Franklin	75.5	Region 6
11	Nishka Kalantry	22:09.6	Ann Arbor Huron	73.5	Region 6
12	Alaa Selman	22:13.3	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	72.2	Region 6
12	Sophie Derkevorkian	22:17.9	Farmington Hills Mercy	70.7	Region 6
9	Madelene Vargo	22:24.8	Livonia Churchill	68.4	Region 6
12	Annabelle Jenkins	22:27.0	Canton	67.7	Region 6
9	Karinna Waara	22:27.6	Livonia Stevenson	67.5	Region 6
10	Khloe Lee	22:35.4	Plymouth	64.9	Region 6
10	Lillian (Lilly) Rodger	22:42.3	Livonia Stevenson	62.6	Region 6
12	Ava Spirl	22:47.4	Canton	60.9	Region 6
11	Gabby Shaw	22:48.9	Salem	60.4	Region 6
11	Paige Zirk	22:53.6	Salem	58.8	Region 6
11	Lillian Wood	23:02.8	Plymouth	55.7	Region 6
10	Zoe Slater	23:07.1	Livonia Franklin	54.3	Region 6
12	Allison DiTullio	23:11.6	Salem	52.8	Region 6
12	Sunnie Fabian	23:17.9	Livonia Franklin	50.7	Region 6
10	Sofia Razny	23:21.2	Farmington Hills Mercy	49.6	Region 6
12	Ayah Awad	23:27.7	Dearborn Heights Crestwood	47.4	Region 6
11	Hana Wahby	23:31.6	Salem	46.1	Region 6
10	Rosa Lara-Escobar	23:46.7	Livonia Stevenson	41.1	Region 6
11	Alyssa Gershon	23:52.7	Livonia Churchill	39.1	Region 6
10	Sydney Sweeney	24:11.4	Livonia Stevenson	32.9	Region 6
12	Nicole Young	24:15.9	Livonia Stevenson	31.4	Region 6
12	Tessa O’Donnell	24:53.3	Farmington Hills Mercy	18.9	Region 6
12	Jackie Lopez	24:54.9	Westland John Glenn	18.4	Region 6
11	Dinah Smith	25:34.8	Wayne Memorial	5.1	Region 6

Girls Adjustment: +51
Boys Adjustment: +48

MIXCSR VS. REALITY

The projections expected Marlette to contend for a qualifier, most likely grabbing 3^rd. They did NOT expect a vault into second. Tough to pinpoint who stepped up, as all of the Red Raiders hit or exceeded their projected place. One name does stand out, freshman Brayden Kirkpatrick, who broke 20:00 for the first time ever. When I say broke, I really mean shattered, as he’s inches away from finding his way in the 18’s.

Where will Cara Pruakiewicz go next? Her first foray into the regional scene was a 34^th place finish as a freshman. She shot into 10^th as a sophomore, earning a state qualifier. She made the most of that Finals appearance, one of the rare ones to drop time from Wagener Park to MIS. Breaking 20:00 here, knowing her tendency to improve from week to week and year to year, I’m excited to see where Saturday and the following seasons lead.

Anyhow, I’m at 186 for 204 with regard to projecting the top-three teams.

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Brody Karg	16:29.3	Harbor Beach	174.2
11	Carson Burgess	16:46.7	Brown City	168.4
12	Matthew Pasiak	17:10.0	Harbor Beach	160.7
11	Michael Walsh	17:29.2	Ubly	154.3
12	Zack Becker	17:36.6	Unionville-Sebewaing	151.8
11	Logan Romain	17:42.7	Dryden	149.8
11	Nino Perna	17:45.3	Marlette	148.9
12	Turlough Bennett	17:48.9	Marlette	147.7
10	Brennan Robinson	17:49.6	Kingston	147.5
12	Isaac Bignall	17:53.6	Unionville-Sebewaing	146.1
11	Evan Gobie	18:14.9	Deckerville	139.0
12	Joel Enos	18:20.6	Mayville	137.1
9	Levi Fitchett	18:21.6	Dryden	136.8
11	Jacob Campbell	18:22.7	Kimball New Life Christian	136.4
12	Noah Hall	18:24.1	Dryden	136.0
12	Sean Finnigan	18:33.6	Dryden	132.8
10	Thijs Van Rijn	18:35.2	Kingston	132.3
10	Owen Wruble	18:36.5	Harbor Beach	131.8
12	Anthony Rosario	18:38.4	Marlette	131.2
12	Caden Meyer	18:40.4	Marlette	130.5
9	Jaycen Roberts	18:47.3	Dryden	128.2
11	Nick Abromaitis	18:48.7	Dryden	127.8
10	Kai Fisher	18:51.5	Memphis	126.8
9	Brendan Aeder	18:57.7	Unionville-Sebewaing	124.8
11	Dylan Lasher	18:59.6	Dryden	124.1
9	Brayden Kirkpatrick	19:00.5	Marlette	123.8
9	Maksim Kohl	19:01.0	Unionville-Sebewaing	123.7
11	James Nelson	19:04.6	Kimball New Life Christian	122.5
12	Isaac Roggenbuck	19:05.9	Harbor Beach	122.0
12	Nate Carey	19:06.2	Mayville	121.9
11	Tyler Pruitt	19:13.4	Mayville	119.5
10	Donovan Glasgow	19:39.0	Capac	111.0
12	Gavin Pickens	19:39.2	Unionville-Sebewaing	110.9
12	Mark Bulgrien	19:41.8	Harbor Beach	110.1
12	Carter Kosinski	19:49.1	North Huron	107.6
9	Lukas Brown	19:49.8	Unionville-Sebewaing	107.4
10	Wesley Kosinski	19:51.7	North Huron	106.8
9	Zachary Crumby	19:57.3	Unionville-Sebewaing	104.9
11	Lowell Milett	20:07.4	Brown City	101.5
12	Colin Beck	20:14.4	Deckerville	99.2
11	Cameron King	20:14.6	Marlette	99.1
10	Walker Chapin	20:21.7	Marlette	96.8
10	Keegan Beck	20:29.9	Deckerville	94.0
11	Fischer LeGault	20:35.3	Harbor Beach	92.2
12	Ethan Eugster	20:40.5	Deckerville	90.5
11	Marshal Smith	20:52.6	Mayville	86.5
10	Ely Deacons	21:06.2	North Huron	81.9
9	Damian Ward	21:06.3	Mayville	81.9
10	Timothy Venia	21:12.3	Mayville	79.9
11	Logan Feltner	21:22.4	Caseville	76.5
11	Eian Kaste	21:24.6	Brown City	75.8
10	Robbie Kilpatrick	21:31.2	Harbor Beach	73.6
8	Jesse Jacobi	21:43.2	Caseville	69.6
12	Leeland Lapp	21:57.1	Deckerville	65.0
10	William Welch	22:02.4	Kingston	63.2
10	Evan Freeland	22:15.6	Kingston	58.8
12	Orion Berger	22:42.5	Deckerville	49.8
10	Maxwell Trombley	22:52.8	Brown City	46.4
12	Xander McMahan	23:03.5	Kimball New Life Christian	42.9
11	Grant Gardner	23:20.6	Peck	37.1
11	Gary Clark	23:25.1	Brown City	35.6
10	Daniel Rosenow	23:25.5	Memphis	35.5
12	Leon Owoc	23:29.6	Memphis	34.1
10	Logan Messing	23:37.4	Deckerville	31.5
12	Nathan Kirby	24:26.0	Kimball Landmark	15.3
11	Josh Eager	24:30.2	Brown City	13.9

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating	Division
11	Cara Prusakiewicz	19:54.5	Dryden	104.8	Region 35
11	Lilah Kiley	20:16.0	Kingston	97.7	Region 35
11	Katie Sweeney	20:21.7	Ubly	95.8	Region 35
9	Payton King	20:50.5	Kingston	86.2	Region 35
9	Alyvia Janke	20:54.5	Unionville-Sebewaing	84.8	Region 35
12	Reece Wruble	21:04.8	Harbor Beach	81.4	Region 35
9	Abbygail Plester	21:12.3	Ubly	78.9	Region 35
12	Julia Rogers	21:20.4	Kimball New Life Christian	76.2	Region 35
9	Taylor Geiger	21:21.1	Ubly	76.0	Region 35
10	Aspen Jimkoski	21:31.3	North Huron	72.6	Region 35
9	Myah Peruski	21:33.5	Ubly	71.8	Region 35
9	Claire Wright	21:38.6	Dryden	70.1	Region 35
11	HarLee Leasher	21:43.8	Brown City	68.4	Region 35
12	Cambree Torma	21:46.7	Unionville-Sebewaing	67.4	Region 35
9	Brooklyn Morell	21:51.2	Ubly	65.9	Region 35
11	Madison Prowse	21:55.2	Brown City	64.6	Region 35
12	Kyra Beemer	22:10.7	Brown City	59.4	Region 35
12	Emma Ramisch	22:20.5	Harbor Beach	56.2	Region 35
10	Cailin Spearman	22:28.6	Harbor Beach	53.5	Region 35
11	Hailey McGuire	22:29.7	Kingston	53.1	Region 35
9	Esther Bulgrien	22:39.3	Harbor Beach	49.9	Region 35
12	Danielle Hunt	22:43.3	Unionville-Sebewaing	48.6	Region 35
12	Sarah Nimtz	22:53.1	Unionville-Sebewaing	45.3	Region 35
9	Emily Meek	22:56.2	Unionville-Sebewaing	44.3	Region 35
9	Allison Steeb	22:58.9	Deckerville	43.4	Region 35
10	Elizabeth Schultz	22:59.8	Peck	43.1	Region 35
9	Lilyana Lasher	23:00.5	Dryden	42.8	Region 35
12	Bridget Anderson	23:03.1	Harbor Beach	42.0	Region 35
11	Caila Fitchett	23:09.0	Dryden	40.0	Region 35
12	Megan Peter	23:28.6	Unionville-Sebewaing	33.5	Region 35
9	Rebecca Bignall	23:40.9	Unionville-Sebewaing	29.4	Region 35
10	Lani Dimock	23:41.0	Harbor Beach	29.3	Region 35
10	Nicole Klee	23:45.2	Ubly	27.9	Region 35
11	Maleah Roth	23:50.6	Ubly	26.1	Region 35
9	Sophia Lawrence	24:10.6	Memphis	19.5	Region 35
9	Daniela Perna	24:27.3	Marlette	13.9	Region 35
9	Peyten Albertson	24:51.4	Marlette	5.9	Region 35
11	Ivy Brown	24:59.8	Dryden	3.1	Region 35
11	Gracie Sparrer	25:00.1	Brown City	3.0	Region 35