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2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 18-2

Teams

Adrian
Ann Arbor Gabriel Richard
Carleton Airport
Chelsea
Dearborn Divine Child
Dearborn Heights Annapolis
Detroit Cesar Chavez Academy
Detroit West Side Academy
Dundee
Flat Rock
Garden City
Grosse Ile
Melvindale
Milan
Monroe Jefferson
New Boston Huron
Riverview
Romulus
Summit Academy
Tecumseh
Trenton

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Chelsea (8), Adrian (13), Dearborn Divine Child (24)

Highest Rated Seniors

Showed great consistency throughout the season, running right near that 17:00 barrier.  Finally broke through at Regionals.  Dropped 1:00+ in many of his races from his sophomore to junior years.  Your reigning Lenawee County champion as well.

D’Anthony raised eyebrows as a sophomore, running 17:25 in only his fourth race.  Regionals may have not gone the way he wanted, but he redeemed himself this past year.  His 10th place qualified for State, and was his second time breaking 17:00.

Kenny has one of the lower PR’s in this field, running a 16:30 at Gabriel Richard last fall.  That Hudson Mills course must hold a special place in his heart, as he set a PR there as a sophomore.  Both years, he’s barely missed the cut to get to MIS, but given his year to year progress, he’s a good bet to make it there in this school year.

Career Achievement

Erik has been a key contributor on two extremely successful Chelsea teams.  In 2018, he was the 7th man on the squad that upset Fremont, running a personal best in that race.  This past year, he was the 5th man.  The race itself didn’t go as well, but he had a number of accomplishments throughout the season, including a few sub-17 races. 

Anyone Else?

Michael was probably the best freshman boy in the lower half of the state.  He showed his mettle early, running 18:00 on an always tough Cass Benton course.  The times followed late, with two consecutive sub-16:30 performances to end the year.  The latter of which earned him a spot on the podium at MIS. 

Aiden was an accomplished freshman as well.  He started off strong, opening with a 2nd place finish at the Lenawee County Preview.  In the Lenawee County Championship, he was able to repeat that feat.  At the tail end of the season, he was able to slip under 17:00, both here at Lake Erie and at MIS. 

The Alford family has been good to Chelsea, helping them reload with yet another potential frontrunner.  Connell won some huge races, the Mega Jam and Portage.  At Portage, his 8:14 places him alongside names such as Hunter Jones and Nathan Walker.  And he was even able to jump into a 5k at MITCA, coming through in 17:11 on that muddy track.

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Tecumseh (14), Dearborn Divine Child (15), Chelsea (17)

Highest Rated Seniors

The past two seasons, Kaitlin has been THE girl in Lenawee County.  She’s won the county championship twice, this past year by 45+ seconds.  Placed 2nd here at Regionals and has placed 37th at MIS two years in a row. 

Erin always steps up during championship season.  Each of the past three years, she’s been under 20:00 at Regionals, often after running above that mark for most of the year.  She’s been in the top-15 each time, lowering her place each time out.  Had her best performance of the year at MIS, reaching for that personal best in iffy conditions. 

This last October, Ashley experienced the best stretch of her career.  She brought the heat at Portage, knocking almost 40 sec. off her previous best.  She continued to roll through Catholic League (10th place) and Regionals (13th place).  For comparison, in previous years, she had not run either race at the varsity level.

Career Achievement

Caitlin has been in the 19’s each of the past two years.  In both seasons, that turn up in performance came during the championship season.  She’s been twice been top-10 in the Huron League and at Regionals.  Last fall produced some precipitous time drops as well, most impressively a 19:24 at MIS.

Anyone Else?

Riley took what was an unfortunate circumstance, missing her track season, and turned it into a positive.  She ran a freakin’ marathon.  All while raising nearly $2000 for charity.  She’s a pretty good XC runner also, running 20:1x each of the past three years. 

Izzie finally broke through with a state qualifier last year.  She’s always been in that conversation, but this time she ran a clutch race to finish 11th at this region.  Very versatile as well, on the track she competes in the rare combination of mid-distance and long jump.

As with Connell Alford, Trillian should be a major boon to the Chelsea program.  They’ve always had a solid girl’s squad, but the past few years, may have missed that frontrunner.  She’s shown she can place high, examples being a 7th place at Portage and 3rd at the Mega Jam.  She’s shown she can handle the additional distance, with a 20:11 at MITCA to her credit.    

Uncategorized

An Early Look: Region 19-3

Teams

Boyne City
Charlevoix
East Jordan
Elk Rapids
Grayling
Harbor Springs
Houghton Lake
Kalkaska
Mancelona
Oscoda
Roscommon
Tawas
Traverse City St. Francis

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Traverse City St. Francis (1), Charlevoix (8), Harbor Springs (14), Roscommon (19)

Highest Rated Seniors

Incoming senior went through a major improvement last fall (and winter, too).  In the late season, went on a streak of sub-17 performances, including an 11th place at Northern Michigan and 6th place at Regionals.  Continued to show progress during the winter, dropping his 1600m PR from 4:34 to 4:30.

Xander earned a massive PR at Regionals last year, his 16:31 (4th place) a good 18 sec. better than his previous best.  He doubled that up with his first All-State finish a week later.

Evan’s State Meet leaves him a little further back than the previous two, but he’s shown he’s capable of running with or even being ahead of them.  7th at Northern Michigan and 5th at Regionals.  He’s also gone through improvement in the past two years, dropping 40+ seconds in both seasons.

Career Achievement

I’m breaking the trend and putting both of these guys here because they are that interchangeable.  They finished a spot away from each other at both LMC (top-3), Regionals (top-3), and State (top-15).  Their PRs are 2 sec. apart (16:18/16:20), and it’ll undoubtedly be a battle between them for the next two years.

Anyone Else?

I think Sam would like re-do on his championship season, and his training over both the winter (1600m, 4:35) and this summer indicates that.  For a sophomore he did run some impressive times, including a 17:04 at Bluejay.

I always prefer to highlight underclassmen in these spots, and runners such as Josh make an easy selection.  Without his regional performance, one would say Josh had a very good year.  Sub-18 on multiple occasions, top-100 at State.  With his regional performance (17:01, 14th place), St. Francis becomes even more formidable.

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Charlevoix (10), Traverse City St. Francis (13), Harbor Springs (14), Roscommon (21), Boyne City (25)

Highest Rated Seniors

Alayna has been in the mix in all three of her years, very tough to consistently be this good.  In each season, she’s broken 20:00, been in the top-10 at Regionals, and top-50 at State.  Last year was also her highest finish at Northern Michigan, a 14th place.

Charlevoix’s girls will benefit from their ability to run as a pack, especially their top 4.  Megan has been in big races throughout her career and has performed admirably.  Last year, she ran her best both in time and finish at the end, with a 20:23 on an increasingly tough MIS course, that time helping her reach her lowest spot yet, 51st. 

As with the previous two, Ella has been right there in her career.  All-Region each time out and consistently in the 20:00’s at the end of each season.  In 2019, she had her lowest places at both Northern Michigan (31st) and State (70th). 

Career Achievement

Profile. 

Maye underwent an extreme transformation, especially late in the season.  Beginning with a 6th place finish at Northern Michigan (19:09), she went on a late season tear.  3rd at Regionals and then 8th at State, all in the 19:0x range.  On average, these times were 50+ seconds lower than her freshman year.

Anyone Else?

Sophia flashed her potential on quite a few occasions last season.  She showed she can be speedy, evidenced by an 18:45 opener at Pete Moss. She showed she can place high at important meets, examples being a 2nd place finish at Portage and 12th place at MIS.

Ava shocked the world here last year at Regionals.  Projected 3rd going in, she ran away with the crown, setting a 40+ second PR in the process.  The following week, she nabbed a 7th place finish at State.

All freshman in this section just makes one salivate at the competition in this area in the coming years.  Early in the season, Anna didn’t necessarily run as fast as the previous two, but she sure did late.  She broke 20:00 at Northern Michigan, then continued that momentum into 6th and 28th place finishes at Regional/State.