2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 24-3

Teams

Bath
Byron
Charyl Stockwell Academy
Chesaning
Durand
Ithaca
Laingsburg
Montrose
New Lothrop
Ovid-Elsie
Perry
Pewamo-Westphalia
Potterville
St. Charles
St. Louis
Vermontville Maple Valley

Boys

Despite their youth last year, St. Louis was able to string together TVC and Regional titles, then follow those accomplishments up with a top-10 finish in Brooklyn. Ithaca and New Lothrop were similarly youthful, but neither bring in a freshman such as Ben March. Pewamo-Westphalia always finds a way to throw themselves into the mix as well, New Lothrop’s key to holding them off may be Drew Kohlmann, who was able to put it together late last season.

Braxton Lamey and Carson Hersch should be a battle for the 1st place crown. Both are ranked in the top 50, both in the top 5 for Division 3. Lamey in particular has been putting in work, both over the winter and this summer. During our unofficial track season, he was able to run 4:26/9:40.

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

St. Louis (4), Ithaca (8), New Lothrop (16), Pewamo-Westphalia (22)

Highest Rated Seniors

Profile.

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Zach has been able to race for the achievements and the times while leading Potterville through their move up to Division 3. Although their team was unable to replicate their success in the lower division, Zach was able to slip under the 16:00 barrier for the first time ever and nab his 3rd straight All-State finish.

Drew’s championship season was the best stretch of his career. He kicked it off with a 16:59 at Greater Flint, a PR almost a year in the making. From there, a top-5 finish at Shiawassee County and his first State Meet qualifier.

In his three years competing for St. Louis, Joe has been Mr. Consistency. Every season, he’s been in the 17’s. But last year, he was able to knock a little time off, with multiple 17:1x efforts. He’ll be counted on as one of the better 3rd/4th runners in the State.

Career Achievement

After a freshman year where he managed to sneak under 18:00 at the end, Nate turned it up a notch this past fall. He managed several sub-17 efforts, including an All-Region performance here and an All-State performance the following week.

Anyone Else?

Parks follows in the footstep of the great Ransom Allen (who is bound to be one of the better runners in the GLIAC/Division 2). He had a solid freshman year, getting down to the low-17’s late, good enough for a 12th place finish here. But during the winter, he was able to show even more progress, running 4:39/10:09.

The rich get richer over at P-W. They’ve always had a strong tradition, and to have a strong tradition, you begin with young talent. Collin was one of the top-5 MS runners in the state last year. He had a few races under the 11:00 barrier, with wins at Marauder, St. Johns, and Williamston. During the 2019 track season, he was able to run 10:47 for 3200m.

Another preview, another example of a kid showing year to year growth. Liam ended his freshman year on a high note, with a 19:13 PR. He also ended his sophomore year on a high note, having broken 17:00 and qualified for MIS.

Girls

The girls team race is a battle of the vast improvement Ithaca’s girls have made vs. the freshmen St. Louis will gain. Jaiden Dickman and Monika Borie have potential to vault St. Louis onto the podium at MIS. On the other hand, Ithaca has a track record of progress, and it’s absolutely evident in girls such as Rachael Sierakowski and Josie Morrow. Ithaca’s girls should be able to pack up in whichever race they run, and their strength will definitely be shown at larger meets.

The question is: how much of Lani Bloom’s sensational track season will translate to XC? I’m as big of a fan of hers as any and I’m confident her grit will lead her to the success she desires. There’s some competition here that may push her, as Libby Munderloh and Clara Krupp both have sub-19 in them, it’s rare to have that top end talent at a Division 3 regional.

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

St. Louis (3), Ithaca (6), Pewamo-Westphalia (8)

Highest Rated Seniors

Small, gradual gains have been the ticket as Amelia works her way up the Division 3 ranks. She began her career with some impressive times, but maybe a disappointing finish at Regionals. In 2018, she was able to grab that All-Region spot, and in 2019, give a great bid for All-State.

Abi made a commitment to consistency to begin 2019 and it paid off for her in the end. She’s always been a talented runner, but after sophomore season where she fell below expectations, she knew something had to change. It changed to the tune of a walk onto the All-State podium and her first sub-20 finish.

Grace’s talent is her work ethic. Her sophomore year (her first year running XC), she kept her times above 24:00. Her junior year, almost a whole new runner. Grace began the year in the 21’s, finished in the mid-20’s, all while contributing to Ithaca’s league title and top-10 finish. May be a dark horse candidate for really big honors this fall.

Career Achievement

Profile.

I’m not sure how she does it, but Libby always brings her best effort to the Scottie Classic. Two years there, two sub-19 efforts. She’s brought it in many other meets as well, finishing 3rd both years at Regionals (once at Shepherd, once at Uncle John’s), and top-10 in the State as well.

Anyone Else?

Clara showed flashes of brilliance as a freshman, then put the whole package together last fall.  She ended up finishing 1st in her league (MMAC), along with victories at Carrollton and Genesee.  But most importantly, came through late, with an 11th place finish at MIS.

Hayden has shown a rare steadiness for a young runner.  Over her middle school career, she’s gotten gradually faster, capping it off with a 12:31 at Greater Lansing.

Jaiden may be the girl that puts St. Louis over the top.  She’s had the results to back it up, multiple sub-12:30 efforts.  She has even reached up to the 5k level, running 20:11 at last fall’s MITCA meet.  Not to mention that she showed some mid-distance ability this winter, running 5:38 indoors.

2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 25-3

Teams

Bad Axe
Beaverton
Bentley
Burton-Bendle
Caro
Carrollton
Cass City
Clare
Hemlock
Millington
Mt. Morris
Otisville-LakeVille
Pigeon-Laker
Pinconning
Reese
Saginaw Valley Lutheran
Sandusky
Sanford-Meridian
Vassar

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Caro (6)

Highest Rated Seniors

To quote fan of the site and future Dalton State star Riley Ford, “I remember him as a freshman working harder than most trying to prove himself. He’s shown vast improvement every season and now has experience racing from the front of the pack.” Nick has much experience at the front of the pack, being the returning champion here. He’s knocked on the door of All-State and given that vast improvement, should be in that discussion this year.

When you have the depth that Caro does, along with a group of fast runners, it’s only natural that those on the team rise to another level at some point. For Cole, it was his junior year, one that featured a 45+ second PR, first All-Region, and first All-State finish.

Kevin was a major reason that Caro was able to upset Shepherd last year. He entered the race ranked 9th and finished 4th, with a 35 second PR as a result. The following week, he showed that was no fluke, running 17:03 on a tough day at MIS.

Career Achievement

Logan had quite a sophomore year that showed his potential in this sport. That 2018 season featured an All-State finish, top-10 finish at Thumb Area, and multiple sub-17 efforts.

Anyone Else?

Caro has a number of freshmen, both boys and girls, that should be in the mix on the course this fall. Matthew is probably the safest bet to be at the front, with multiple sub-11:30 performances, including wins at Heritage, Holly, USA, Linden, and Thumb Area.

Sam has shown some dramatic improvement since his freshman year. In 2017, all of his races were in the 20+ minute variety. This past year, he started off in that range, but finished with a 9th place finish here, running 17:18.

Brad should give Matt Patullo a run for best freshman. His overall average is a bit slower, but in major races, he was able to run up at the front. He was 2nd at Allendale Falcon and 10th at Northern Michigan, both sub-11:30.

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

Reese (4), Clare (10)

Highest Rated Seniors

Riley was one of many in this area to go through a late season renaissance (a nod to the strong coaching out this way).  She first snuck under 21:00 at Wagener Park, then continued on that hot streak to great performances at GTC, Ubly, Thumb Area, and this regional.  The latter two races earned her top-15 finishes.

Thought I’d mention these two in tandem.  During their reign at Clare, their team has qualified for States every year, winning the regional once, and twice finishing top-5 in the state.  They’ve both broken 20:00 early in their careers and are poised for another successful season.

Career Achievement

Ellymae pulled off a minor upset last year, knocking off the Shepherd girls and Jelena Prescott enroute to claiming 1st place.  What makes her accomplishment all the more impressive was a month earlier, she ran 1:25 slower on the same course. 

Anyone Else?

In 2019’s Regional, Allison experienced a major awakening in terms of running.  She had a solid freshman year, even getting down to the mid-20’s.  At Shepherd last fall, she smashed that 20:00 barrier, all the way to a 19:14 and 2nd place finish. 

Kinsie is one of a number of freshmen that should be impactful here.  She had a few quick results this past year, going sub-13 at Lancer and placing in the top-10 at Al Kayner.

Sandusky, Sanford-Meridian, and Caro should all battle for that 3rd spot.  A girl such as Karli, with her consistent progress throughout the year, could be beneficial for Sandusky.  Each year she’s shown growth both in the offseason and during the season, this past fall getting down to sub-21.

2020 Previews

An Early Look: Region 26-3

Teams

Algonac
Brown City
Capac
Clawson
Detroit Central
Detroit Collegiate Prep
Detroit Community
Detroit Edison PSA
Detroit Jalen Rose Leadership Academy
Detroit Loyola
Detroit Pershing
Madison Heights Bishop Foley
Memphis
New Haven
Redford Westfield Prep
Richmond
Rochester Hills Lutheran NW
Royal Oak Shrine
Southfield Bradford Academy
Warren Michigan Collegiate
University Liggett

Boys

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

None.

Highest Rated Seniors

After a freshman year where he broke 17:00 and a sophomore year where he did not, Tyler roared back with an impressive junior year.  Multiple honors, including 7th in Macomb County, 18th in the State, and Regional champion.  Along with a nice, shiny new PR of 16:34.

Mitch has been following Jack Decker for a few years, now it’s time to lead.  Last season featured some significant jumps, ones that we could see coming after his sophomore track season.  His 17:16 at Gabriel Richard was almost a 50 second drop from 2018.

Dennis represents yet another case of kids taking their finish from the previous year and turning it into a positive the next year.  43rd at his regional in 2018 to 15th in 2019.  Breaking 18:00 after barely sneaking under 20:00 as a sophomore.  He’s been in the store recently and has high aspirations for this year, and with that improvement, I believe in him.

Career Achievement

Two-time State qualifier here (Hess Hathaway in 2018, Goodells in 2019).  Consistently has been a low-18 guy in the championship season, but was able to achieve a PR in his 13th place finish last year.

Anyone Else?

Credit to the Jahlani and the Edison folks for having a successful program in a city that recently, hasn’t had much distance running prowess.  Jahlani was consistently a mid-18 performer last year, which should put him in the discussion for a state qualifying spot. 

Mathew ran a significant PR on an ideal day at Chandler Park to nab an All-Region honor.  Signs of that race were apparent in earlier races, such as his 4th place finish in the MIAC. 

Brendan didn’t even run varsity as a freshman at regionals.  Last year, he was a key contributor to Foley’s team victory.  He was a mid-18 guy after not breaking 20:00 as a freshman. 

Girls

Team Projections

Individual Projections

Ranked Teams

None.

Highest Rated Seniors

In her first cross country season, as a junior, Riley showed a steadiness often seen with those that have been around the sport for a while.  She ran around the 23:00 mark quite often, dipping below it at Muskrat Classic and State Finals.

Last season, Jasmine narrowly missed on an All-Region honor, but given a comparison to 2018, it almost seems like a given.  Jasmine competed in the 22’s all year, when it was tough for her to break 25:00 as a sophomore.  Credit to her for descending into a new level.

Significant improvement, especially in late October.  Ran sub-23 at Gabriel Richard and the Goodells Regional, along with a 23:42 on a tough Possum Hollow course.  Quite impressive when you consider she was mostly running above 30:00 as a freshman.

Career Achievement

Twice a State qualifier up in Division 2.  Clawson moves down to Division 3 and Claire now moves into the All-State discussion.  In both her freshman and sophomore years, she’s turned it on down the stretch with many performances near or below that 20:00 barrier.

Anyone Else?

She’s silently run in Claire Thomson’s footsteps, but seems poised for a breakout.  Ran a 20:37 on a tough Linden course at Regionals, a good 40+ seconds better than she was as a freshman.

The bloodlines are there (Paul, Olivia, Ethan) and so are the results.  Consistently around 13:00 on courses that are fair and historically accurate.  3rd at Lutheran Schools, 5th at the Eastside Invite, and 1st in the NSLAA.

With Shrine’s move to D3, Clara’s path becomes a bit tougher, but she should be up for the challenge.  Ran much faster than ever before to close her sophomore year (Chandler Park notwithstanding).  Sub-22 at Gabriel Richard and State Finals.