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Race	Boys Adj.	Girls Adj.
Region 32	+17	+25

MIXC vs. REALITY

Have you made it this far? Have you read ALL of the regional ratings? Are you worried that I won’t have time to delve into the State Final Projections?

If you’ve read all of these, you’ll have noticed that the projections identified 193 of the top-3 teams. That’s not the best total of all time (197 or 198 last year, I can’t remember), but it is in line with what I expected. Adding all the odds from the projected top-3 teams, the grand total was 194 of 216. A one team difference out of the many races, regions, and teams is a win in my book.

The state math is mostly finished. I just have to write. And write I will. But first!

Rachel Byler came through for her underdog girls from White Pigeon. She was projected to finish 12^th, but made it across the line in 7^th. Those five spots were greatly impactful, as her White Pigeon team advanced by a mere 2 points. She’s ending her senior year on the right note, hitting the 22’s in her past six races, a mark she hadn’t come close to in the previous three seasons.

Max Barron of Tekonsha also had himself an outstanding race. In terms of where he stood against his projection, it was about the same (projected 10^th, placed 11^th). But when you peek at his times, that’s meaningful. The first sub-18 in a career full of 18ish minute efforts.

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Emma Riker	19:07.7	Kalamazoo Hackett	129.1
11	Kiera Piper	20:12.5	Kalamazoo Hackett	107.5
12	Rowan Allen	21:16.8	Mendon	86.1
10	Delaney McBride	21:33.5	Kalamazoo Hackett	80.5
11	Helen Donner	21:42.3	Three Oaks River Valley	77.6
12	Kate Van Es	21:53.9	Kalamazoo Hackett	73.7
12	Rachel Byler	22:08.8	White Pigeon	68.7
11	Brie Siems	22:20.4	Kalamazoo Hackett	64.9
10	Abigail Riker	22:21.0	Kalamazoo Hackett	64.7
12	Bethany Carpenter	22:22.1	Kalamazoo Hackett	64.3
11	Ella Hendrixson	22:22.3	Three Oaks River Valley	64.3
11	Harper Bowman	23:07.6	New Buffalo	49.1
11	Emmy Nofs	24:26.9	St Philip Catholic Central	22.7
11	Sarah Stemaly	24:40.9	Athens	18.0
12	Sandra Alavrez	24:57.9	Eau Claire	12.4
12	Kaitlyn Nealis	25:12.1	Decatur	7.6
9	Soni Stahlschmidt	25:19.2	New Buffalo	5.3

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Marek Butkiewicz	15:30.7	Kalamazoo Hackett	204.1
12	Landon Rogers	16:00.7	Three Oaks River Valley	194.1
9	Mason Rogers	16:10.6	Three Oaks River Valley	190.8
12	Sean Siems	16:13.9	Kalamazoo Hackett	189.7
11	Elias Baldwin	17:15.5	Decatur	169.2
12	Jesse Fielis	17:29.8	White Pigeon	164.4
11	Kellen Siems	17:39.8	Kalamazoo Hackett	161.1
10	Kadin McGee	17:44.3	Decatur	159.6
12	David Lane	17:52.2	White Pigeon	156.9
10	Joseph Edwards	17:53.6	New Buffalo	156.5
11	Max Barron	17:57.5	Tekonsha	155.2
10	Leo Lemieux	18:13.3	New Buffalo	149.9
11	Kyron Christner	18:31.0	Mendon	144.0
12	Charlie Gibson	18:32.7	Three Oaks River Valley	143.4
9	Lukasz Butkiewicz	18:33.7	Kalamazoo Hackett	143.1
11	Aiden Jackson	18:55.5	White Pigeon	135.9
12	Parker Volstorf	19:00.4	Three Oaks River Valley	134.2
11	Alejandro Lemus	19:01.8	Eau Claire	133.7
9	Henry Young	19:17.6	Kalamazoo Hackett	128.5
10	William Throw	19:40.6	White Pigeon	120.8
12	Ethan O’Connor	19:42.2	Athens	120.3
11	Colin Gallagher	19:52.2	Kalamazoo Hackett	116.9
12	Dalton Williams	19:55.2	Colon	115.9
9	Karston Kappenman	20:05.9	Kalamazoo Hackett	112.4
11	Dilan Vargas	20:09.5	Eau Claire	111.2
11	Jay Bronsink	20:30.6	Athens	104.1
12	Lucas Dudley	20:31.4	Mendon	103.9
10	Jacob Daniel	20:36.9	Eau Claire	102.0
11	Layne Collins	20:41.4	New Buffalo	100.5
12	Gavin Minor	20:43.9	Colon	99.7
9	Jeffrey Remijas	20:44.8	New Buffalo	99.4
9	Isaac Doubblestein	20:46.1	White Pigeon	99.0
11	Joseph Kinney	20:50.8	Athens	97.4
12	Carter Hetman	20:59.7	Colon	94.4
9	Kaleb Pschigoda	21:04.7	Three Oaks River Valley	92.8
11	Keio Trimm	21:05.0	Three Oaks River Valley	92.7
12	Kevin Vargas	21:05.2	Eau Claire	92.6
10	James Muir	21:11.5	St Philip Catholic Central	90.5
10	Matthew McGahan	21:14.9	White Pigeon	89.4
12	Devon Schaffer	21:24.0	White Pigeon	86.3
11	Gavin Thomas	21:26.6	Athens	85.5
10	Jayson Phelps	21:38.0	New Buffalo	81.7
11	August Johnson	21:42.1	New Buffalo	80.3
9	Liam Moreno	21:47.8	Mendon	78.4
10	Andrew Ellison	21:49.8	Marcellus	77.7
10	Caleb Stemaly	21:51.1	Athens	77.3
9	Lane Preston	22:05.3	Colon	72.6
12	Collin Trattles	22:10.0	Colon	71.0
9	Bernard Reilly	22:17.9	Colon	68.4
12	Noah Bohan	22:48.9	Marcellus	58.0
10	Matt Jansen	23:10.3	Marcellus	50.9
9	Mike Hernandez	23:10.5	Three Oaks River Valley	50.8
12	Dane Borgert	23:30.3	Colon	44.2
9	Vincent Lussier	23:50.0	Athens	37.7
11	Zachree Roebuck	24:04.9	Climax-Scotts	32.7
9	Porter Moulds	24:12.7	Athens	30.1

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Race	Boys Adj.	Girls Adj.
Region 33	+29	+27

MIXC vs. REALITY

Both the boys’ and girls’ races featured heavy favorites for the top-two, then a slight favorite and slight underdog for the third spot.

The boys’ race kept the same qualifiers, although Webberville moved up a spot. The 17 point difference between their projected figure and actual total was generated mainly via senior Ethan West. After much of the season spent north of 18:00, he’s been barreling toward his 2024 best. Friday’s 17:26 was his fourth season best in a row and third All-Region finish.

I had mentioned in the preview that Novi Christian Academy was on the rise throughout October and that continued in Friday’s race. Their top-three girls performed about as expected, but it was Miriam Jiran with the breakout performance. The sophomore had opened the year above 30 min. and now has dropped down to the mid-23’s. Her 24^th place finish provided enough depth that her Warriors were able to advance, the momentum carrying over for another week of certain improvement.

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Kaylie Livingston	17:57.6	Whitmore Lake	151.8
12	Carina Burchi	19:41.7	Whitmore Lake	117.1
10	Malynda Lambros	20:05.7	Whitmore Lake	109.1
11	Adrienne Mitchell	20:17.4	Lansing Christian	105.2
10	Andi Kirkman	21:07.0	Genesee Christian	88.7
9	Cassa Minnis	21:09.5	Dansville	87.8
12	Juliette Tallon	21:10.9	Lansing Christian	87.4
10	Allison Schmitt	21:13.3	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	86.6
12	Sofia Robertson	21:17.1	Whitmore Lake	85.3
12	Elodie Weaver	21:22.6	Whitmore Lake	83.5
12	Delaney Richardson	21:26.0	Byron	82.3
10	Gabriella Wood	21:30.5	Lansing Christian	80.8
12	Alaina Driver	21:31.1	Potterville	80.6
11	Annie Wernet	21:31.5	Lansing Christian	80.5
10	Madison Markowicz	21:31.5	Novi Christian Academy	80.5
11	Evelyn McIndoe	22:02.6	Novi Christian Academy	70.1
11	Josephine Pedersen	22:10.0	Ann Arbor Rudolf Steiner	67.7
12	Tori Ferguson	22:11.8	Genesee Christian	67.1
11	Caroline Darrah	22:24.8	Whitmore Lake	62.7
12	Nadia Barnes	22:28.4	Novi Christian Academy	61.5
11	Makenna Bush	22:48.3	Lansing Christian	54.9
10	Ariana Stewart	22:49.6	Genesee Christian	54.5
11	Jane Wilder	22:53.4	Webberville	53.2
12	Bree DeLano	23:08.2	Dansville	48.3
10	Mariah Diaz	23:17.7	Lansing Christian	45.1
10	Miriam Jiran	23:22.0	Novi Christian Academy	43.7
11	Natasha Mendez	23:30.0	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	41.0
12	Yazmine Beverly	23:30.8	Webberville	40.7
11	Susan Nedwick	23:42.1	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	37.0
10	Lila Wolcott	23:42.5	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	36.8
8	Brooklynn Dubuc	24:01.4	Novi Christian Academy	30.5
12	Abigail Yatooma	24:03.7	Novi Christian Academy	29.8
9	Mikayla Brown	24:07.2	Genesee Christian	28.6
9	Alexis Kadluboski	24:08.6	Dansville	28.1
9	Ella Baron	24:09.3	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	27.9
9	Helene Farrell	24:17.4	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	25.2
9	Grace Darrah	24:21.0	Whitmore Lake	24.0
12	Ella Howard	24:29.3	Webberville	21.2
9	Rachael Kadluboski	24:39.9	Dansville	17.7
12	Evie Kirkman	25:06.8	Genesee Christian	8.7
11	Elliana Hubbard	25:09.5	Livingston Christian	7.8
11	Kyla Gordon	25:10.0	Novi Christian Academy	7.7
9	Bella Jones	25:24.5	Lansing Christian	2.8

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Landen Livingston	16:09.3	Whitmore Lake	187.2
10	Nathan West	16:26.5	Webberville	181.5
12	Reuben Jiran	17:06.7	Novi Christian Academy	168.1
10	Nolan Stadel	17:15.6	Genesee Christian	165.1
12	Ethan West	17:26.7	Webberville	161.4
12	Ben Young	17:39.3	Lansing Christian	157.3
11	Brody Jeruzal	17:42.6	Ann Arbor Christian	156.1
12	Ian Ferguson	17:44.1	Genesee Christian	155.6
9	Gabe Schultz	17:44.3	Genesee Christian	155.6
11	Kasey Springer	17:46.3	Whitmore Lake	154.9
10	Nolan Collins	17:48.1	Whitmore Lake	154.3
12	Gavin Howery	17:56.5	Webberville	151.5
12	Elijah Ozenbaugh	17:58.7	Whitmore Lake	150.8
11	Joseph White	17:59.1	Ann Arbor Rudolf Steiner	150.6
10	Jackson Onofre	18:00.2	Novi Christian Academy	150.3
12	Nathan Camilleri	18:05.5	Waterford Our Lady	148.5
11	Brayden Steele	18:23.2	Byron	142.6
11	Halston Hooley	18:27.3	Byron	141.2
10	Richard Lewis	18:32.9	Whitmore Lake	139.4
12	Matthew Howery	18:37.1	Webberville	138.0
9	Carter Castilla	18:39.3	Dansville	137.2
11	Benjamin Fox	18:42.9	Whitmore Lake	136.0
10	Evan Klish	19:06.4	Novi Christian Academy	128.2
10	Reid Hacker	19:09.6	Dansville	127.1
10	Leo Weaver	19:12.5	Whitmore Lake	126.2
12	Matias Greve	19:14.7	Lansing Christian	125.5
11	Jonah Spencer	19:14.7	Byron	125.4
9	Ryan Stewart	19:15.8	Genesee Christian	125.1
9	Jack Bell	19:16.1	Novi Christian Academy	125.0
10	Remington McKean	19:24.9	Morrice	122.0
10	Malachi Gross	19:25.5	Novi Christian Academy	121.8
11	Jonah Spencer	19:29.6	Webberville	120.5
10	Caleb Call	19:35.0	Lansing Christian	118.7
12	Riley Graf	19:35.6	Dansville	118.5
11	Luke Meyer	19:35.8	Lansing Christian	118.4
10	Randolf Schneider	19:39.3	Dansville	117.2
10	Elliot Bohinski	19:55.3	Morrice	111.9
9	Parker Dawson	20:01.9	Waterford Our Lady	109.7
9	Kai Hopkins	20:08.7	Potterville	107.4
9	Sam Forsyth	20:10.5	Genesee Christian	106.8
10	Donovan Wells	20:13.1	Potterville	106.0
11	Eli Gillespie	20:21.2	Webberville	103.3
11	Tyler Watson	20:28.8	Morrice	100.7
11	Nicholas Herrington	20:42.7	Waterford Our Lady	96.1
12	Peyton Johnston	20:44.4	Potterville	95.5
12	Jack Bajema	20:57.1	Lansing Christian	91.3
8	Nathan Hislop	21:12.2	Novi Christian Academy	86.3
12	James Baur	21:25.2	Morrice	81.9
12	Andon Prestonise	21:39.3	Byron	77.2
12	Jack Chrisinske	21:41.8	Byron	76.4
11	Austin Lademann	21:42.6	Morrice	76.1
12	Trenton Jackson	21:52.5	Genesee Christian	72.8
11	Jonathan Adams	21:57.0	Livingston Christian	71.3
11	Connor McGahey	22:11.0	Morrice	66.7
12	Noah Adcock	22:11.7	Lansing Christian	66.4
9	Joshua Norton	22:12.2	Novi Christian Academy	66.3
11	Aidan McNeill	22:39.3	Waterford Our Lady	57.2
10	Jonathan Armbrust	22:44.9	Genesee Christian	55.4
9	Liam Helsom	22:48.9	Waterford Our Lady	54.0
11	Matthew Wyman	23:08.0	Lansing Christian	47.7
10	Micah Friedman	23:35.0	West Bloomfield Frankel Jewish Academy	38.7
11	Kane McLean	24:34.6	Morrice	18.8
11	Aiden Gray	25:30.8	Byron	0.1

Race	Boys Adj.	Girls Adj.
Region 24	+10	+7

MIXC vs. REALITY

Yet another region where the projections matched the output. All of those who were thought to be qualifiers had a 95%+ chance of advancing. As someone who always love seeing new faces, I’m enthused for the Montrose Boys, who haven’t had a single runner race at MIS since 2021 and are sending a team for the first time in six years.

Beyond the Rams, a few individuals had a breakout day on most pressure-filled race of the year:

Brynn Burrows, Claire Burrows, and Masen O’Neil, Millington – the Cardinals must’ve hit training just right in anticipation of this meet because all three caught my eye.

Brynn was projected 21^st and placed 9^th.
Claire was projected 18^th and placed 11^th.
Masen was projected 23^rd and placed 17^th.

Replete with many tight turns, the Bath track isn’t the easiest regional course. Yet all three hit personal bests. For O’Neil, it was his first time in the 17’s and a 1.5-minute improvement from 2024. The Burrows’ have both moved from the 24’s to begin the year to the low-21’s here at the end.

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
11	Alyssa Kramer	19:12.8	Pewamo-Westphalia	133.4
9	Calista George	19:13.9	Pewamo-Westphalia	133.0
12	Abigail Reis	19:15.1	Millington	132.6
12	Grace Coston	20:19.1	Stanton Central Montcalm	111.3
11	Jenna Keilen	20:33.0	Pewamo-Westphalia	106.7
12	Anna Poppema	20:40.1	Bath	104.3
9	Sydney Knieper	20:50.6	New Lothrop	100.8
9	Teagan Kuykendall	21:07.6	Bath	95.1
9	Brynn Burrows	21:11.1	Millington	94.0
9	Claire Burrows	21:11.2	Millington	93.9
9	Katherine Schafer	21:11.2	Pewamo-Westphalia	93.9
12	Braelyn Bunting	21:12.7	Stanton Central Montcalm	93.4
10	Ruby Gross	21:17.2	Chesaning	91.9
11	Andrea Rolston	21:22.6	Stanton Central Montcalm	90.1
11	Delaney Smith	21:26.6	Pewamo-Westphalia	88.8
10	Courtney Lawhorne	21:33.2	Bath	86.6
12	Clarissa Baese	21:38.4	Ovid-Elsie	84.9
10	Takoda Holicki	21:39.4	Montrose	84.5
10	Ali Hunt	21:44.5	New Lothrop	82.8
12	Lilly Rooks	21:46.8	Pewamo-Westphalia	82.1
10	Leah Theile	22:10.1	Chesaning	74.3
9	Olivia Roseberry	22:33.4	Perry	66.5
12	Africa Beltran	22:36.6	Bath	65.5
11	Charlotte Simon	22:37.8	Pewamo-Westphalia	65.1
10	Haylee Gladstone	22:38.5	Bath	64.8
10	KiKi Rusz	22:52.7	Laingsburg	60.1
11	Samantha Gutzman	22:56.2	Laingsburg	58.9
10	Alivia Menges	22:58.3	Montrose	58.2
12	Isabella Nalewyko	23:02.2	Montrose	56.9
10	Alonna Neumann	23:06.9	Chesaning	55.4
10	Ava Wenzlick	23:07.1	New Lothrop	55.3
11	Claire Schmidtfranz	23:21.7	Perry	50.4
12	Hazel Burley	23:27.0	Laingsburg	48.7
9	Allyanna Hart	23:27.8	Perry	48.4
12	Logan Trygstad	23:44.1	Stanton Central Montcalm	43.0
11	Leah Schneider	23:48.8	Perry	41.4
10	Taz Davis	23:59.4	Bath	37.9
12	Audrey Bensinger	24:08.6	Ovid-Elsie	34.8
9	Carolan Emmons	24:28.7	Millington	28.1
12	Ava Juhas	24:32.5	Ovid-Elsie	26.8
10	Carley Wellman	24:33.5	Stanton Central Montcalm	26.5
11	Elizabeth Eller	24:34.9	Perry	26.0
10	Dana Juhas	24:51.2	Ovid-Elsie	20.6
12	Laura Sharpe	24:59.3	New Lothrop	17.9
9	Sophiea Brack	25:09.6	Chesaning	14.5
10	Brooke Springer	25:10.1	Chesaning	14.3
12	Rachel McPherson	25:12.5	Durand	13.5
12	Zoe Swank	25:28.1	Otisville LakeVille	8.3
12	Madison Phillips	25:39.1	Laingsburg	4.6
11	Emma Thielen	25:41.2	Perry	3.9
9	Peyten Hansen	25:51.7	Stanton Central Montcalm	0.4

BOYS INDIVIDUAL RATINGS

Grade	Name	Time	Team	Rating
12	Gage Hoffman	16:11.7	Stanton Central Montcalm	192.8
10	Owen Poppema	16:29.5	Bath	186.8
12	Tyler Leach	16:38.7	Otisville LakeVille	183.8
12	Kyler Fertig	16:57.8	Stanton Central Montcalm	177.4
12	Sylus Wilson	16:59.5	Stanton Central Montcalm	176.8
10	Eli Hobson	17:01.5	Montrose	176.2
12	Noah Devereaux	17:17.1	Laingsburg	171.0
11	John Kowatch	17:23.4	Pewamo-Westphalia	168.9
11	Charlie George	17:24.3	Pewamo-Westphalia	168.6
11	Jaxon Hemgesberg	17:34.7	Chesaning	165.1
10	Michael Allen	17:35.7	Montrose	164.8
11	Wyatt Werner	17:42.0	Pewamo-Westphalia	162.7
9	Mason Bollinger	17:49.1	Stanton Central Montcalm	160.3
10	Johnny Coston	17:49.4	Stanton Central Montcalm	160.2
10	Austin Hodges	17:50.1	Laingsburg	160.0
12	Jaycob Hipps	17:51.2	Montrose	159.6
10	Masen O’Neil	17:55.8	Millington	158.1
12	Evan Rolston	17:59.3	Stanton Central Montcalm	156.9
11	Jobriel Octubre	18:02.0	Chesaning	156.0
12	Ayden Hipps	18:10.4	Montrose	153.2
11	Nolan Mitchell	18:21.9	Pewamo-Westphalia	149.4
11	Wyatt Linson	18:23.7	Otisville LakeVille	148.8
9	Will Baese	18:33.4	Ovid-Elsie	145.5
11	Travis Wright	18:41.0	Ovid-Elsie	143.0
11	Tyne Evans	18:42.5	Stanton Central Montcalm	142.5
Jr	Justice Ashley	18:53.3	Durand	138.9
9	Daniel Kramer	18:56.4	Pewamo-Westphalia	137.9
11	Mitch Gonzalez	18:58.2	Ovid-Elsie	137.3
12	Joshua Miller	18:59.2	Ovid-Elsie	136.9
12	Reed Schroeder	19:05.3	Pewamo-Westphalia	134.9
9	Jeffery Delong	19:05.8	Montrose	134.7
11	Tyler Rockafellow	19:11.6	Perry	132.8
10	Jameson Huhn	19:16.0	Pewamo-Westphalia	131.3
12	Jayce Hyde	19:25.6	Chesaning	128.1
10	Colin Johnson	19:29.4	Bath	126.9
10	Jayden Jackson	19:35.2	Laingsburg	124.9
11	Ty Sweers	19:39.7	New Lothrop	123.4
12	Cole Maier	19:40.2	Chesaning	123.3
11	Mat Amman	19:43.5	Chesaning	122.2
10	Wyatt Roberts	19:46.0	Otisville LakeVille	121.3
12	Roscoe Porter	19:47.9	Millington	120.7
9	Evan Berry	19:58.5	Otisville LakeVille	117.2
12	Joey Glinski	20:00.4	Montrose	116.5
9	Jameson Burtrum	20:00.6	Montrose	116.5
12	Evan Hagerman	20:01.1	Bath	116.3
12	James Foltz	20:06.2	Laingsburg	114.6
11	Jeremiah Stewart	20:13.5	Ovid-Elsie	112.2
10	Calvin Gunn	20:16.1	Bath	111.3
9	Jeremy Halleaux	20:20.1	Durand	110.0
10	Karter Brack	20:20.4	Chesaning	109.9
11	Marshall Kruske	20:21.3	New Lothrop	109.6
10	Blake Hornak	20:23.0	New Lothrop	109.0
9	Joel Rathka	20:24.3	Laingsburg	108.6
9	Calum Knull	20:41.1	Laingsburg	103.0
11	Noah Gillett	20:42.8	New Lothrop	102.4
12	Logan Robinson	20:43.4	Laingsburg	102.2
12	Maddox Fabbro	20:53.1	Millington	99.0
10	Patrick Wilson	20:57.3	Bath	97.6
12	Paul Williams	21:08.6	Millington	93.8
9	Blake Judd	21:11.8	New Lothrop	92.7
11	Colton Sempsrott	21:18.5	Ovid-Elsie	90.5
11	Jayden Boyce	21:25.1	Mt Morris	88.3
12	Sean Dammann	21:38.6	New Lothrop	83.8
12	Brenden Olsen	21:39.3	New Lothrop	83.6
11	Evan Foley	21:46.4	Millington	81.2
9	Cameron Woody	21:52.1	Chesaning	79.3
12	Connor Erlenbeck	21:59.8	Millington	76.7
9	Samuel Kennedy	22:01.4	Ovid-Elsie	76.2
11	Tyler Plumb	22:17.0	Perry	71.0
12	Isaac Ketelhut	22:23.7	Millington	68.8
12	Dermario Wallace	22:26.1	Flint New Standard Academy	68.0
12	Marcus Scott	22:32.5	Otisville LakeVille	65.8
10	Michael Parks	23:07.1	Burton-Bendle	54.3
12	Eddie Allen	23:14.5	Flint New Standard Academy	51.8
10	Hunter Conley	25:14.6	Otisville LakeVille	11.8
12	Joshua Griffith	25:40.8	Burton-Bendle	3.1