Category: Uncategorized

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 41 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 19

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Ryder Hopkins – if you just compare his freshman to sophomore years, you’ll find significant differences. 19:05 to 16:36 at East Jordan, 18:53 to 17:06 at Petoskey. What’s to come?

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Traverse City St. Francis	20	191.3	1
2	Charlevoix	62	172.5	11
3	Clare	101	154.1	26
4	Roscommon	147	139.3
5	Elk Rapids	172	129.8
6	Kalkaska	198	118.3
7	Boyne City	203	118.0
8	Standish-Sterling	209	118.0
9	Cheboygan	218	111.6
10	Grayling	221	112.3
11	Harrison	311	82.7
12	Tawas	332	71.8
13	Farwell	333	73.2

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Josh Slocum	Traverse City St. Francis	205.4
2	10	William Ready	Traverse City St. Francis	197.8
3	10	Hunter Eaton	Charlevoix	192.1
4	12	Owen Read	Traverse City St. Francis	186.1
5	12	Robby Myler	Traverse City St. Francis	185.7
6	10	Ryder Hopkins	Charlevoix	184.4
7	11	Matthew Solomon	Charlevoix	183.1
8	12	Joseph Carlson	Traverse City St. Francis	181.7
9	12	Riley Pattinson	Traverse City St. Francis	180.1
10	11	Qwynn Darnell	Elk Rapids	176.2
11	12	Lewis Walter	Traverse City St. Francis	171.5
12	12	David Dhaseleer	Charlevoix	171.5
13	12	Anthony Cole	Roscommon	170.1
14	10	Connor Schmidt	Clare	168.7
15	10	Isaac Dionne	Boyne City	162.5
16	11	Coltrane Paryani	Kalkaska	158.5
17	9	Owen McGlone	Kalkaska	154.4
18	11	Clayton Peacock	Clare	152.2
19	11	Carson Kiefer	Cheboygan	151.2
20	11	Neiko Ketchum	Clare	150.6
21	10	Jake Klemmer	Roscommon	150.5
22	12	Max Ward	Elk Rapids	149.9
23	12	Tristan Demlow	Grayling	149.9
24	12	Caidan Gaskill	Clare	149.7
25	10	Sutton Klaus	Clare	149.4

Region 20

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jackson Schaub – prior to this season, his best finish in a NWC Jamboree was a 20spot during his freshman year. In two of ‘em this fall, he’s grabbed 2^nd and 4^th place.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Hart	59	161.5	16
2	Benzie Central	63	162.4	17
3	Reed City	63	168.7	15
4	Lake City	96	155.2	23
5	Leroy Pine River	183	132.8
6	Manton	185	133.0
7	Manistee	220	123.3
8	Hesperia	254	108.1
9	Shelby	259	99.2
10	Kingsley	263	112.6
11	Remus Chippewa Hills	278	104.6
12	McBain	303	80.0
13	Morley-Stanwood	317	72.7
14	Mason County Central	336	74.3

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Gus Rohde	Reed City	202.8
2	11	Robert Dykhouse	Manton	188.0
3	11	Jackson Schaub	Benzie Central	177.4
4	11	Caiden Helsel	Lake City	174.6
5	10	Cooper Tiffany	Lakeview	174.2
6	9	Silas Ackley	Hart	171.4
7	11	Paul Saladin	Reed City	170.8
8	9	Eli VanPoortfliet	Benzie Central	168.9
9	10	Cage Edingfield	Benzie Central	166.9
10	11	Jack Slotman	Hart	164.5
11	11	Connor Helsel	Lake City	163.7
12	12	Jacob Simon	Remus Chippewa Hills	163.5
13	9	Tanner Dozier	Reed City	163.1
14	9	Abraham Kiaunis	Reed City	162.9
15	9	Grant Ackley	Hart	160.3
16	10	Pascal Miller	Hart	156.1
17	10	Mason Opalewski	Hart	155.4
18	10	Carson Ackley	Hart	154.9
19	10	Aiden Schaner	Hart	154.2
20	10	Nathan Lenington	Leroy Pine River	152.9
21	12	Benjamin DeRidder	Benzie Central	151.2
22	11	Owen Butkovich	Lake City	150.9
23	11	Iziquiel Picon	Shelby	150.2
24	11	Ethan Baker	Leroy Pine River	149.6
25	11	Jack Helsel	Manton	148.9

Region 21

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Holland Black River – over the summer, appeared to be in contention for 3^rd, as of late September, the Green n’ Black are in the drivers seat. A main reason has been the rise of freshman Casper Banner, who debuted with a few 18:0x’s, now is adjusting and subtracting time into the mid-17’s.

David Castrejon – just as Schaub, has shown a tremendous drop in league performance. Held down 31^st place in the CSAA during his freshman year, opened with a 7^th place finish last week.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	43	175.0	5
2	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	66	167.4	12
3	Holland Black River	91	161.1	18
4	Montague	119	157.0	22
5	The Potter’s House	131	153.6
6	Olivet	175	142.9
7	Parchment	211	137.4
8	Saranac	217	136.6
9	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	236	132.1
10	Kent City	278	124.4
11	Grandville Calvin Christian	303	119.6
12	Ravenna	331	108.9
13	Newaygo	344	91.2
14	North Muskegon	366	51.9
15	Delton-Kellogg	381	84.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Levi Kamps	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	197.1
2	12	Matthias Morse	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	193.8
3	10	Jonas Ballard	Holland Black River	180.3
4	11	Edward Mugisha	The Potter’s House	178.6
5	11	Noah Raeth	Montague	178.4
6	10	Micah Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	176.9
7	10	Barrett Nance	North Muskegon	172.7
8	12	Tyler N. Kooienga	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	172.1
9	12	Luke Dykstra	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	171.3
10	10	David Castrejon	Newaygo	167.3
11	9	Casper Banner	Holland Black River	166.7
12	12	Isaac Edgington	Holland Black River	166.4
13	12	Alexander Lawrence	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	165.2
14	12	Elliot Cole	Parchment	165.1
15	9	Nolan Kessler	Montague	163.5
16	10	Owen Sytsema	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	161.1
17	10	Josiah Scholma	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	158.8
18	11	Reuben Anderson	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	157.9
19	10	Levi Schimmel	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	157.3
20	10	Caleb Swiney	The Potter’s House	156.0
21	11	Max Mcdowell	Olivet	155.0
22	11	Kaden Mingerink	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	154.9
23	11	Isaac Johnson	Holland Black River	153.6
24	10	Easton Mccloy	Grand Rapids NorthPointe Christian	153.5
25	10	Landen Gessner	Olivet	153.0

Region 22

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Jackson Bowman – has shown a steadiness beyond his years. Night race opener? 17:16. Conference race? 17:23. Long drive + hills? 17:19. Humid morning? 17:03. Down the line, whichever the conditions may be, he’ll be in a good spot.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Saugatuck	37	173.8	4
2	Buchanan	55	168.9	10
3	Union City	96	159.6	21
4	Centreville	162	139.3
5	Schoolcraft	165	137.3
6	Watervliet	198	129.3
7	Constantine	202	126.8
8	Bangor	210	125.2
9	Galesburg-Augusta	237	120.6
10	Bloomingdale	252	114.3
11	Hartford	255	114.3
12	Coloma	310	93.4
13	Fennville	378	71.5
14	Kalamazoo Christian	403	-9.8
15	Comstock	440	24.6

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Daniel Mandujano	Watervliet	186.2
2	11	Ben Gautsche	Union City	181.6
3	9	Jackson Bowman	Saugatuck	180.4
4	11	Liam McBeth	Buchanan	179.8
5	12	Dante Pillot	Schoolcraft	177.6
6	10	Grant Rehkopf	Saugatuck	176.1
7	11	Jack Sherwood	Buchanan	175.1
8	10	Sawyer Monroe	Saugatuck	172.1
9	10	Marcus Silva	Saugatuck	171.8
10	11	Jacob Kuntz	Buchanan	170.0
11	11	Sammy Gamboa	Saugatuck	168.7
12	12	Jason Shoop	Union City	167.5
13	11	Alessandro Avila	Constantine	163.7
14	10	John Keser	Buchanan	162.5
15	12	Carlos Ruiz	Hartford	161.2
16	12	Ethan Miller	Centreville	160.3
17	12	Carter Stevens	Galesburg-Augusta	160.1
18	12	Landen Bouchard	Galesburg-Augusta	158.0
19	12	Robbie King	Constantine	157.7
20	12	Coy Weinberg	Buchanan	157.1
21	9	Ashton Skinner	Saugatuck	152.9
22	9	Ira Brown	Saugatuck	152.2
23	12	Zack Mitchell	Kalamazoo Christian	152.0
24	12	Tyler Caruso	Bangor	151.5
25	12	Malachi Payne	Union City	150.9

Region 23

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Cooper Flick – over the summer, received a little flack from the Comet faithful as to their ranking. Flick doing his best to prove those words right, constantly in contention to split a sub-17. Much quicker compared to his sophomore year, where at this point he’d just hit the 17’s for the first time ever.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Jackson Lumen Christi	39	184.0	2
2	Hanover-Horton	63	173.8	6
3	Jonesville	81	168.4	13
4	Onsted	117	157.0	27
5	Brooklyn Columbia Central	147	147.3
6	Sand Creek	172	141.4
7	Bronson	220	127.3
8	Homer	256	99.7
9	Quincy	266	107.0
10	Napoleon	267	93.1
11	Hillsdale	273	102.3
12	Hudson	300	88.6
13	Springport	340	69.4
14	Michigan Center	411

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Mitchell Hiatt	Onsted	203.9
2	12	Isaiah Dinverno	Jackson Lumen Christi	203.0
3	12	Leo Swager	Jackson Lumen Christi	194.7
4	12	Landen Boulis	Hanover-Horton	193.5
5	10	Caleb Blonde	Jonesville	189.7
6	10	Logan Youngman	Hillsdale	183.1
7	10	Cooper Flick	Hanover-Horton	182.6
8	11	Gibson Shore	Jackson Lumen Christi	180.8
9	11	Nicholas Fowler	Jonesville	178.9
10	11	John Edler	Homer	173.1
11	10	Rocky Bolton	Jackson Lumen Christi	172.8
12	11	Zach Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	171.9
13	10	Silas Daniels	Sand Creek	169.1
14	10	Collin Fucile	Jonesville	168.6
15	10	Avery Morrow	Jackson Lumen Christi	168.6
16	12	James Bayes	Onsted	166.2
17	10	Chad Tyson	Hanover-Horton	164.7
18	9	Chris Durfey	Onsted	161.1
19	12	Isaac St. John	Hudson	161.1
20	11	Karl Swager	Jackson Lumen Christi	159.8
21	9	Ashton Potwin	Jonesville	159.2
22	12	Jack Gorton	Brooklyn Columbia Central	159.1
23	9	Wyatt Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	156.4
24	10	Nicklas Holmes	Onsted	155.4
25	12	Owen Lambarth	Brooklyn Columbia Central	154.5

Region 24

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Kyler Fertig – has been one of the primary reasons that the Hornets are projected in the top spot. Around this time last year, he found his mid-17 groove, times he ran at both Portage and State. He’s already reached as low as 16:57, so I’m pumped to see what’s next.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Stanton Central Montcalm	47	176.1	9
2	Pewamo-Westphalia	49	172.2	7
3	Bath	76	162.1	19
4	Laingsburg	124	144.0
5	Otisville LakeVille	130	128.0
6	Ovid-Elsie	150	133.9
7	New Lothrop	182	118.6
8	Montrose	188	119.6
9	Chesaning	200	115.4
10	Perry	258	84.7
11	Mt Morris	341	-24.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Gage Hoffman	Stanton Central Montcalm	205.7
2	11	Noah Devereaux	Laingsburg	191.4
3	11	Tyler Leach	Otisville LakeVille	190.6
4	9	Owen Poppema	Bath	188.6
5	11	Kyler Fertig	Stanton Central Montcalm	182.4
6	12	Allan George	Pewamo-Westphalia	179.0
7	10	Sylus Wilson	Stanton Central Montcalm	178.5
8	10	John Kowatch	Pewamo-Westphalia	177.8
9	10	Charlie George	Pewamo-Westphalia	175.5
10	10	Wyatt Werner	Pewamo-Westphalia	172.2
11	9	Wyatt Roberts	Otisville LakeVille	171.7
12	9	Tate Smith	Bath	170.8
13	12	Clay Powell	Ovid-Elsie	167.2
14	9	Johnny Coston	Stanton Central Montcalm	165.3
15	10	River Fox	Bath	159.2
16	12	Jason Weber	Pewamo-Westphalia	156.2
17	12	Connor Kennedy	Otisville LakeVille	155.1
18	12	Lieu Vincke	New Lothrop	154.6
19	10	Nolan Mitchell	Pewamo-Westphalia	154.1
20	11	Evan Rolston	Stanton Central Montcalm	148.6
21	12	Luke Skidmore	Bath	147.6
22	12	James Kelly	Ovid-Elsie	147.2
23	11	Joshua Miller	Ovid-Elsie	145.3
24	9	Mario Baker	Bath	144.1
25	9	Eli Hobson	Montrose	143.8

Region 25

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Midland Bullock Creek – who’s looking to make it back to back with team qualifiers. Marshall Brandt has stepped up significantly. He’s already closing in on the 16’s, racing to a 17:01 in his opener and one second slower at Northwood. At this point in 2023, he hadn’t gone under 18:30.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Ithaca	29	183.0	3
2	Sanford-Meridian	86	156.4	24
3	Midland Bullock Creek	98	151.3
4	St. Louis	102	149.8
5	Pigeon-Laker	111	143.9
6	Reese	120	141.0
7	Cass City	178	117.4
8	Carrollton	232	90.8
9	Millington	247	88.0
10	Hemlock	257	80.8
11	Vassar	307

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Landen Styka	Ithaca	202.7
2	12	Miingen Bertrand	Ithaca	196.6
3	12	Landon Pestrue	St. Louis	192.1
4	10	Luke Herron	Caro	190.2
5	12	Tyler Heal	Sanford-Meridian	189.9
6	10	Marshall Brandt	Midland Bullock Creek	183.1
7	12	Brayden Sweeney	Midland Bullock Creek	180.6
8	11	Jacob Mankey	Ithaca	179.4
9	11	Jayden Fox	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	175.5
10	12	Cade Truemner	Pigeon-Laker	169.8
11	10	Evan MacLaren	Ithaca	168.2
12	11	Thad Whitmore	Ithaca	168.0
13	10	Evan Olson	Pigeon-Laker	164.7
14	9	Remyngton Clish	Sanford-Meridian	162.7
15	12	Colin Kuhn	St. Louis	162.5
16	12	Brent DeSaegher	Ithaca	160.2
17	10	Xander Huckins	Reese	159.9
18	11	Alex Rodriguez	St. Louis	157.8
19	11	Wesley Haines	Reese	156.9
20	9	Christopher Shemes	Ithaca	155.6
21	11	Logan Brawt	Sanford-Meridian	154.8
22	12	Jacob Moore	Caro	154.3
23	9	Kale Miklovic	Pigeon-Laker	151.2
24	10	Mayson McIntosh	Caro	150.5
25	11	James Schroder	Sanford-Meridian	147.8

Region 26

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Nole Lorenzen – not only one of the better freshmen in Region 26 or D3, one of the top youngsters in the state. Hasn’t notched a win just yet, but hit a sub-17 at Holly in the heat.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Lansing Catholic	29	171.2	8
2	Leslie	73	158.8	20
3	Ann Arbor Greenhills	102	152.6
4	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	111	146.7
5	Algonac	130	139.3
6	Almont	165	127.6
7	Clawson	225	105.9
8	Madison Heights Bishop Foley	247	97.3
9	Stockbridge	251	91.8
10	Marine City	281	59.9
11	Charyl Stockwell Academy	286	78.7
12	New Haven	318	25.8
13	Detroit Osborn	409	-96.1

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	9	Nole Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	188.3
2	11	Lucas Gates	Lansing Catholic	181.8
3	10	Everett Beach	Lansing Catholic	172.3
4	11	Julian Walker	Algonac	170.9
5	9	Grady Richey	Lansing Catholic	170.8
6	10	Kenneth Mangles	Leslie	170.0
7	9	Jack Songer	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	170.0
8	10	William Gancer	Stockbridge	169.6
9	10	Téo Krumm	Lansing Catholic	165.6
10	12	Joseph Treadwell	Lansing Catholic	165.3
11	10	Finn Korte	Lansing Catholic	163.5
12	9	Carson Potter	Lansing Catholic	162.6
13	11	Owen Beindit	Algonac	160.8
14	10	Matthew Killeen	Leslie	159.6
15	10	Cooper Schmelter	Leslie	156.5
16	9	Oscar Wordell	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	156.5
17	12	Jose Domecq	Leslie	155.4
18	11	Henry Beck	Ann Arbor Greenhills	155.0
19	10	Naveen Kulkarni	Ann Arbor Greenhills	153.8
20	11	Parth Ashok	Ann Arbor Greenhills	153.6
21	11	Grason Weber	Leslie	152.6
22	12	Mason Stranahan	Ann Arbor Greenhills	151.1
23	11	Nico Aagesen	Ann Arbor Greenhills	149.5
24	10	Colton Grzyb	Almont	141.1
25	12	Gavin Campbell	Almont	140.6

Region 27

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Monroe St. Mary Catholic Central – and it hasn’t even been who I expected over the summer. Two freshmen, Christian Craanen and Fin Totten, have been their top-2 boys. Craanen himself is being established as one of the better 9^th graders in the state.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Flat Rock	51	169.9	14
2	Erie Mason	76	154.8	25
3	Monroe St. Mary CC	97	153.6
4	Blissfield	100	152.0
5	Adrian Madison	138	143.9
6	Grass Lake	143	139.3
7	Monroe Jefferson	152	137.0
8	Clinton	164	134.7
9	Ottawa Lake-Whiteford	240	111.0
10	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	269	77.3
11	Ida	278	79.6

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Jacob Stanislawski	Flat Rock	196.1
2	12	Nathan Vargo	Flat Rock	185.3
3	9	Christian Craanen	Monroe St. Mary CC	184.4
4	12	Ian Waddell	Blissfield	182.4
5	11	Lucas Taraszkiewicz	Flat Rock	178.9
6	11	Trenton Fetter	Adrian Madison	178.9
7	12	Austin Sulier	Erie Mason	173.1
8	12	Gabe Manchester	Clinton	170.0
9	12	Parker Campbell	Erie Mason	162.1
10	11	Luke Masserant	Monroe Jefferson	158.6
11	9	Fin Totten	Monroe St. Mary CC	158.2
12	9	Michael Weidmayer	Blissfield	155.8
13	11	Luke Stanley	Ida	154.9
14	10	Joseph Colaluca	Erie Mason	153.6
15	12	Chase Missler	Monroe St. Mary CC	153.3
16	9	Noah Sills	Blissfield	151.1
17	12	Adam Brodie	Flat Rock	151.0
18	12	Andrew Hintz	Monroe Jefferson	149.9
19	11	Connor Sherwood	Grass Lake	149.7
20	11	Paul McClure	Adrian Madison	147.3
21	10	Zack Buttigieg	Grass Lake	146.4
22	11	Jackson Carner	Erie Mason	143.4
23	12	Eric Ramsey	Clinton	141.9
24	9	Caleb Healey	Erie Mason	141.5
25	12	Kevin Roberts	Ypsilanti Arbor Preparatory	138.6

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 41 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 28

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Genevieve Rodham – just ran a good 65 seconds faster than last year at the Petoskey Invite, her 22:01 placing her fourth on the Ram squad.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Harbor Springs	18	92.6	2
2	Rogers City	51	37.3	23
3	East Jordan	75
4	Mancelona	100

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Allie Nowak	Johannesburg-Lewiston	158.4
2	12	Jane Manthei	Petoskey St. Michael	128.4
3	10	Stefi Reskevics	Harbor Springs	119.3
4	10	Harlie Fox	Johannesburg-Lewiston	108.7
5	12	Juniper Rodham	Harbor Springs	99.7
6	10	Avery Langlois	Rogers City	87.1
7	10	Genevieve Rodham	Harbor Springs	85.4
8	10	Danielle Agren	Johannesburg-Lewiston	84.0
9	12	Tara Shouldice	Harbor Springs	81.1
10	11	Fran Warren	Harbor Springs	77.5
11	10	Veronica Paga	Petoskey St. Michael	73.4
12	9	Fenlynn Johnson	Rogers City	71.4
13	12	McKenzie Bowman	Harbor Springs	65.3
14	12	Elke Knauf	East Jordan	60.7
15	10	Julia Clarke	Harbor Springs	51.5
16	11	Taylor Hefele	Rogers City	43.0
17	10	Avary Bearden	East Jordan	31.5
18	12	Bailey Ray	Mancelona	23.9
19	9	Mea Wesley	Petoskey St. Michael	15.4
20	11	Ella Nolan	Petoskey St. Michael	14.0
21	9	Keri Coolman	Rogers City	5.8
22	10	Isabella Hocking	Bellaire	-0.3
23	9	Juliet Inman	East Jordan	-3.1
24	10	Morgan Reh	Bellaire	-7.5
25	12	Claudia DeLeo	Gaylord St. Mary	-9.3

Region 29

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Maple City Glen Lake – aided by their freshmen additions. Alayna Ottenbacher and Lili Magazzi placed in the top-15 at yesterday’s NWC Jamboree, helping the Lakers earn a 2^nd place finish.

Amelia McKinney – quick learner for a 10^th grader. Took Amelia just three races to find herself on the cusp of a sub-20.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Grand Traverse Academy	54	73.0	9
2	Maple City Glen Lake	83	52.3	16
3	Buckley	84	53.4	17
4	Leland	94	34.9	21
5	Mason County Eastern	110	36.3	24
6	Bear Lake-Onekama	119	22.2
7	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	135	11.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Ella Knudsen	Leland	116.3
2	10	Addy Zeller	Bear Lake-Onekama	108.6
3	10	Amelia McKinney	Grand Traverse Academy	101.3
4	9	Carmella Julian	Maple City Glen Lake	100.4
5	10	Addison Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	91.4
6	9	Sophie Grinage	Leland	90.8
7	11	Addison Jarosz	Frankfort	83.1
8	12	Emily Alaimo	Maple City Glen Lake	79.9
9	11	Leire Mahiques	Buckley	77.9
10	12	Lucy Shoup	Mason County Eastern	72.7
11	9	Claire Couturier	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	72.1
12	11	Natalie Brown	Bear Lake-Onekama	71.5
13	10	Natalie Burpee	Leland	71.1
14	10	Bailey Stephen	Grand Traverse Academy	64.0
15	10	Madison Smith	Grand Traverse Academy	63.0
16	10	Mikayla Kulawiak	Buckley	58.8
17	11	Kinsey Peer	Buckley	57.7
18	11	Alyssa Spicer	Mesick	56.6
19	9	Alayna Ottenbacher	Maple City Glen Lake	56.0
20	10	Brailyn Johnson	Mason County Eastern	51.8
21	10	Bailey Case	Pentwater	49.8
22	11	Shenoah Collier	Grand Traverse Academy	45.3
23	11	Willa Roth	Frankfort	43.8
24	9	Lili Migazzi	Maple City Glen Lake	41.9
25	10	Addison Malburg	Mason County Eastern	41.6

Region 30

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Brianna Locke – the Locke’s are no stranger to cross success, Brianna being no different than Kaylee. She’s made the State Finals each of the past two years and has knocked more than 40 sec. off her junior best.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Breckenridge	26	90.7	4
2	Vestaburg	53	73.1	12
3	Beal City	73	49.3	18
4	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	103	26.9
5	St. Charles	119	11.5
6	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	146
7	Montabella	191

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Abigail Davis	Vestaburg	144.2
2	11	Ally Schmitz	Breckenridge	116.2
3	12	Danica Aldrich	Breckenridge	102.9
4	12	Brianna Locke	Beal City	97.1
5	10	Nolee Leppert	Beal City	83.7
6	12	Avery Westall	Breckenridge	82.1
7	12	Nataly Vine	Breckenridge	82.0
8	9	Maizy Matthews	Breckenridge	70.3
9	12	Mickiah Allbee	Vestaburg	67.7
10	12	Jessica Penrod	Vestaburg	62.7
11	9	Piper Schultz	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	61.7
12	10	Jessica Stouten	Vestaburg	56.5
13	11	Olive Wakefield	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	54.7
14	12	Lilly Leppert	Beal City	54.0
15	9	Skylar Maclennan	Fulton	50.6
16	10	Kaylie McCracken	Carson City-Crystal	49.2
17	11	Emma McCarty	Carson City-Crystal	48.2
18	11	Kylo Riedel	Breckenridge	45.1
19	12	Landry Gomez	St. Charles	42.9
20	12	Sydney Leslie	Saginaw Nouvel	41.9
21	12	Alexis Graham	St. Charles	38.7
22	9	Taylor Wills	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	37.8
23	11	Laura Bigard	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	37.6
24	9	Nevaeh Parker	Big Rapids Crossroads Academy	36.9
25	12	Areyel Weiss	Breckenridge	35.1

Region 31

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Martin – last fall, we had one race from Sara Schipper, a 25:11 at Allendale’s regional. Thus far in her sophomore year, she’s dropped under that mark on three separate occasions.

Madelyn Sillman – hurdler and mid-distance runner for the traditionally great Fowler track team, now getting after it in cross country. Great candidate to make it to MIS as an individual.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Gobles	24	84.8	7
2	Martin	41	58.7	15
3	Holland Calvary Christian	60	31.8	27
4	Holton	102

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Libby Smith	Gobles	141.1
2	12	Kelcie Pung	Fowler	106.9
3	10	Veyda Conley	Martin	105.9
4	10	Lauren Shaffer	Gobles	105.3
5	12	Brielle Voorhees	Tri-Unity Christian	82.2
6	11	Madison Cooley	Gobles	73.0
7	9	Zoe Fabing	Fowler	68.6
8	11	Acacia Williams	Holland Calvary Christian	60.9
9	12	Emily King	Martin	57.3
10	10	Ava DeYoung	Gobles	56.2
11	12	Madelyn Sillman	Fowler	56.0
12	10	Sara Schipper	Martin	52.7
13	10	Marian Davlin	Portland St. Patrick	52.0
14	12	Zoie Wood	Gobles	48.4
15	9	Laura Rotman	Holland Calvary Christian	47.9
16	11	Olivia Thelen	Fowler	47.5
17	9	Allison Rodgers	Martin	47.0
18	9	Mikayla Goebel	White Cloud	46.6
19	11	Alison Rotman	Holland Calvary Christian	45.2
20	9	Addison Tomsic	Gobles	38.5
21	9	DuRae Sage	Martin	30.7
22	12	Olivia Laninga	Holland Calvary Christian	29.8
23	12	Aubrey Goyings	Holton	24.4
24	10	Kayden Jager	Martin	7.7
25	8	Evelyn Hop	Libertas Christian	-20.7

Region 32

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Melanie Warren – has continued where she left off. Junior year ended with an All-Region finish and a good streak of mid-21 efforts. Senior year has consisted of a bunch of low-21 performances, including a 21:01 on the hot Holly hills.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Bridgman	26	87.9	5
2	Kalamazoo Hackett	30	81.9	6
3	White Pigeon	94
4	Three Oaks River Valley	103
5	Decatur	136

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Emma Riker	Kalamazoo Hackett	114.3
2	12	Presley Allen	Mendon	111.4
3	12	Melanie Warren	Bridgman	105.0
4	11	Rowan Allen	Mendon	102.7
5	10	Brie Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	96.8
6	12	Clara Fast	Bridgman	92.3
7	11	Kandin Shuler	Bridgman	90.0
8	9	Anna Howell	Bridgman	82.1
9	12	Abby Ulbrich	Kalamazoo Hackett	77.9
10	11	Kate Van Es	Kalamazoo Hackett	72.6
11	12	Emily Howell	Bridgman	70.0
12	9	Kaylin Pinkowski	Bridgman	61.3
13	9	Delaney McBride	Kalamazoo Hackett	47.9
14	9	Abigail Riker	Kalamazoo Hackett	34.0
15	10	Emmy Nofs	Battle Creek St. Philip	32.4
16	9	Alexa Clark	Bridgman	27.2
17	12	Rachel Schelstraete	White Pigeon	17.9
18	10	Ella Hendrixson	Three Oaks River Valley	12.6
19	10	Helen Donner	Three Oaks River Valley	10.9
20	12	Maria Bronsink	Athens	0.1
21	11	Katelyn Gillen	Kalamazoo Hackett	-3.0
22	12	Jamielynn Delarye	White Pigeon	-13.4
23	10	Sarah Stemaly	Athens	-15.4
24	12	Denisse Martinez-Vanegas	Eau Claire	-35.9
25	11	Rachel Byler	White Pigeon	-41.6

Region 33

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Everest Collegiate – a transformation from Susan Nedwick, turning from a 25+ min. girl to one that just blasted through 23:00 at Holly. Add in freshman Allison Schmitt quickly moving into the 22’s and you’ve got some Mountaineers hoping to return to MIS.

Brooke Sonnenberg – who moved into the 20’s for the first time ever in early September.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Whitmore Lake	25	107.1	1
2	Lansing Christian	71	59.1	14
3	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	81	46.7	20
4	Genesee Christian Academy	101	32.7	26
5	Livingston Christian	133
6	Novi Christian Academy	147
7	Webberville	168

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake	159.2
2	11	Carina Burchi	Whitmore Lake	120.1
3	11	Taylor Wiegand	Livingston Christian	119.6
4	11	Elodie Weaver	Whitmore Lake	111.9
5	12	Brooke Sonnenberg	Genesee Christian Academy	99.4
6	10	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian	90.1
7	11	Sofia Robertson	Whitmore Lake	85.7
8	10	Susan Nedwick	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	72.8
9	9	Madison Markowicz	Novi Christian Academy	72.1
10	9	Allison Schmitt	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	70.6
11	12	Autumn Reynolds	Potterville	63.0
12	9	Malynda Lambros	Whitmore Lake	58.6
13	10	Caroline Darrah	Whitmore Lake	57.7
14	12	Isabella Nelson-Daniels	Whitmore Lake	56.5
15	9	Gabriella Wood	Lansing Christian	55.8
16	11	Juliette Tallon	Lansing Christian	55.1
17	10	Annie Wernet	Lansing Christian	53.8
18	11	Alaina Driver	Potterville	49.2
19	11	Tori Ferguson	Genesee Christian Academy	46.7
20	12	Isabella Page	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	45.2
21	12	Adriana Fandino	Novi Christian Academy	44.8
22	10	Makenna Bush	Lansing Christian	40.8
23	12	Maria Saad	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	39.2
24	9	Ariana Stewart	Genesee Christian Academy	35.7
25	10	Jane Wilder	Webberville	24.9

Region 34

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Adrian Lenawee Christian – was always gonna be numbers for the Cougars, as we know the coaching’s there. Summer projections just had Izzy Brooks in the top-25, now there’s Gigi Masters and Kendall Plate.

Evelyn Miller – has brought some much-needed contributions. The Colts had some unanticipated (by me, at least) subtractions, Evelyn took the opportunity to step up in spite of those. A personal best at Holly, 20:56, was nearly 2 min. faster than her performance there as a freshman.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Hillsdale Academy	21	89.4	3
2	Adrian Lenawee Christian	78	21.6
3	Addison	88
4	Petersburg-Summerfield	106
5	Pittsford	109
6	Manchester	120

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Izzy Brooks	Adrian Lenawee Christian	133.0
2	12	Ella Walton	Hillsdale Academy	101.1
3	10	Evelyn Meyer	Hillsdale Academy	97.5
4	10	Allie Miller	Hillsdale Academy	87.1
5	12	Caroline Roberts	Hillsdale Academy	82.4
6	11	Makenzie Wolfe	Petersburg-Summerfield	79.9
7	11	Audrey Nehlsen	Hillsdale Academy	78.9
8	12	Aubrey Appleman	Britton Deerfield	76.9
9	12	Stephanie Hernandez	Addison	76.3
10	12	Riley McCumber	Pittsford	68.4
11	11	Elizabeth Caspar	Hillsdale Academy	63.3
12	10	Haley Stimer	Concord	60.5
13	10	Moira Beier	Hillsdale Academy	53.4
14	10	Lillian Jagielski	Pittsford	47.6
15	11	Cieara Barrett	Concord	43.1
16	9	Mya Barrett	Concord	38.5
17	10	Caroline Mason	Manchester	36.1
18	9	Ellie Woodring	Addison	34.5
19	10	Kendalyn Perry	Addison	30.2
20	12	Taylor Lautermilch	Camden-Frontier	22.4
21	10	Gigi Masters	Adrian Lenawee Christian	22.4
22	11	Grace Raymond	Petersburg-Summerfield	21.6
23	10	Kendall Plate	Adrian Lenawee Christian	6.7
24	12	Sophia Falater	Reading	1.0
25	12	Allison Morris	Addison	0.7

Region 35

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Unionville-Sebewaing – getting those freshman contributions. Alyvia Janke and Emily Meek have finished as the top-3 Patriot girls in every meet I’ve covered and their presence has created a regional championship contender.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Ubly	44	63.5	11
2	Unionville-Sebewaing	51	62.3	13
3	Harbor Beach	68	50.1	19
4	Dryden	92	31.5	25
5	Brown City	116	15.0
6	Kinde North Huron	175
7	Memphis	180
8	Marlette	202

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Lilah Kiley	Kingston	112.2
2	9	Alyvia Janke	Unionville-Sebewaing	96.7
3	11	Cara Prusakiewicz	Dryden	90.1
4	9	Payton King	Kingston	86.2
5	11	Katie Sweeney	Ubly	83.3
6	12	Julia Rogers	New Life Christian Academy	81.8
7	12	Reece Wruble	Harbor Beach	75.5
8	12	Cambree Torma	Unionville-Sebewaing	71.0
9	12	Bridget Anderson	Harbor Beach	68.6
10	9	Abbygail Plester	Ubly	63.8
11	9	Myah Peruski	Ubly	62.8
12	9	Claire Wright	Dryden	62.5
13	12	Kyra Beemer	Brown City	61.8
14	9	Emily Meek	Unionville-Sebewaing	59.3
15	9	Taylor Geiger	Ubly	57.4
16	11	HarLee Leasher	Brown City	53.4
17	9	Brooklyn Morell	Ubly	50.3
18	10	Aspen Jimkoski	Kinde North Huron	46.8
19	12	Sarah Nimtz	Unionville-Sebewaing	46.2
20	12	Emma Ramisch	Harbor Beach	42.6
21	12	Megan Peter	Unionville-Sebewaing	38.2
22	10	Cailin Spearman	Harbor Beach	36.8
23	11	Caila Fitchett	Dryden	35.3
24	11	Hailey McGuire	Kingston	33.1
25	11	Madison Prowse	Brown City	32.3

Region 36

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Team Strength – over the summer, it was looking as if this Metro Detroit region would only have one ranked team. Now we’ve got three, Royal Oak Shrine moving up to #8, Oakland Christian joining them in the top-10, and Plymouth Christian Academy.

Lydia Gleason – a new member, helping the aforementioned Lancers. Three consecutive sub-22’s, the most recent one pointing toward a drop near the 20’s.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Royal Oak Shrine	50	72.2	8
2	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	52	71.9	10
3	Plymouth Christian Academy	82	43.7	22
4	Allen Park Cabrini	99	23.8
5	Lutheran Westland	102	0.1
6	Academy of the Sacred Heart	144
7	Austin Catholic	152

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Eliza Keith	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	133.6
2	12	Natalie Gibbs	Birmingham Roeper	113.7
3	11	Eleanor Cole	Lutheran Westland	113.7
4	10	Lydia Gleason	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	94.3
5	11	Madi Hare	Plymouth Christian Academy	94.2
6	9	Cassidy Bowers	Austin Catholic	92.6
7	9	Deirdre O’Connell	Allen Park Cabrini	88.4
8	11	Stella Behnan	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	84.5
9	12	Bridget Miller	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	82.2
10	9	Nora Tillman	Royal Oak Shrine	81.3
11	12	Rose Losey	Royal Oak Shrine	80.4
12	10	Louisa Denks	Royal Oak Shrine	77.5
13	12	Tess Tillman	Royal Oak Shrine	64.7
14	12	Ella Poulton	Royal Oak Shrine	57.0
15	11	Alexa Ross	Academy of the Sacred Heart	48.6
16	12	Lauren Baxendale	Plymouth Christian Academy	48.5
17	9	Ava Bates	Lutheran Westland	42.2
18	10	Sydney Erickson	Lutheran Westland	37.9
19	12	Sarah Goodwin	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	36.3
20	9	Katie Vick	Plymouth Christian Academy	36.2
21	10	Kassie Kozlo	Allen Park Cabrini	32.3
22	11	Abigail Gondek	Allen Park Cabrini	27.3
23	12	Blythe Drotman	Plymouth Christian Academy	26.9
24	10	Ella Clarke	Southfield Christian	26.2
25	12	Chloe Surhigh	Royal Oak Shrine	22.7

There are 79 days of competition in Michigan’s cross country season. We’re at Day 40 right now. That’s about as halfway as you’re gonna get. As we’re halfway, we shoot past divisional rankings into mid-season regional projections.

These projections take on the same format as the rankings, just at the regional level now. Real quick:

Ratings are generated via:

• The top 67% (rounding to the nearest whole number) performances of a runner
• Those are then weighed on recency, meet size, and competitiveness of the meet

Those ratings are then compiled and scored as a hypothetical meet. To be included, a runner must have a rated race in September. There are a few exceptions to that, but the goal is to filter out the unfortunately injured folks. Also, these contain races through September 21st.

Yes, athletic.net has simulations. These are different than athletic.net because:

• They account for course conditions and distance
  • If you ran a shorter course, you’re likely to be overrated on there
  • If you ran only hilly, rough courses, you’re likely to be underrated on there
• They don’t filter out runners that haven’t competed in awhile
• They take your best performance, I capture more of the resume

Is one better than the other? The only year (2021) I compared my predictions vs. athletic.net, I correctly predicted 188 of the 216 team qualifiers, a.net simulated 184. 2% difference, but I’ll take it. Last year, I had 192 of those 216 top-3 regional teams. I like my track record. I ain’t no a.net hater either, as I bet I spend more time on there than any human in the US.

Anyhow, as I’ve said on my division rankings, these are for fun. I’m positive in my writings toward everyone, you can be cool toward me. Enjoy.

Region 28

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Austin Sneed – has turned from a kid who slipped under 18 late to one that opened with a 16:46 at the Party in the Park

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Harbor Springs	27	155.2	6
2	Petoskey St. Michael	57	139.9	19
3	Mancelona	83	117.6
4	Fairview	89	112.0
5	Ellsworth	121	65.6
6	Hale	147	-1.9

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Cody Bradley	Petoskey St. Michael	189.2
2	12	Austin Sneed	East Jordan	187.3
3	12	Jeremiah Witt	Johannesburg-Lewiston	170.9
4	12	Teddy Krieger	Harbor Springs	165.9
5	12	Russell Vandermus	Petoskey St. Michael	165.5
6	11	Cole Brege	Rogers City	162.7
7	9	Grant Corlew	Harbor Springs	160.4
8	11	Henry Kruzel	Harbor Springs	157.7
9	10	Carter Toensfeldt	Fairview	148.1
10	11	Adam Ferguson	Harbor Springs	147.9
11	9	Atticus Cadarette	Petoskey St. Michael	145.2
12	11	Jack Sharar	Rogers City	144.3
13	11	Max Vroman	Harbor Springs	144.2
14	11	Paxton Downing	Hale	143.1
15	10	Jayden Dunnebeck	East Jordan	140.3
16	11	Cole Abney	Ellsworth	140.3
17	11	Cole Upper	Lincoln-Alcona	140.0
18	11	Nicholas Trader	Fairview	139.9
19	9	Elliot Smith	Mancelona	134.2
20	12	Jacob Chamberlain	East Jordan	132.3
21	11	Matt Waggoner	Mancelona	126.9
22	12	Tanner Major	Fairview	122.0
23	11	Daulet Karassay	Ellsworth	116.9
24	10	Donavin Reist	Mancelona	116.6
25	12	Logan McMullen	Indian River Inland Lakes	114.2

Region 29

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Grand Traverse Academy – freshman Beckett Dennis has immediately raised the Mustangs fortune, coming in as their top runner in a majority of their races, often sub-18.

Liam McCaw – at this point last year, he’d never been under 18:30. He’s been in the 17’s each time out, with a 16:55 at Buckley as well.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Mason County Eastern	59	162.2	4
2	Maple City Glen Lake	59	163.6	5
3	Grand Traverse Academy	102	139.7	16
4	Frankfort	112	132.9	24
5	Mesick	121	133.4	27
6	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	136	119.5
7	Bear Lake-Onekama	137	120.9
8	Pentwater	217	73.7
9	Traverse City Christian	224	33.5

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Kyle Redman	Mesick	198.9
2	12	Colebrook Sutherland	Maple City Glen Lake	194.7
3	12	Mason Sinke	Bear Lake-Onekama	193.2
4	12	Alex Tyndall	Mason County Eastern	192.4
5	10	Ty Redman	Mesick	184.8
6	10	Abraham Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	178.6
7	11	Liam McCaw	Maple City Glen Lake	170.2
8	9	Lance Niedzielski	Mason County Eastern	166.2
9	10	Milo Shoup	Mason County Eastern	163.6
10	12	Carroll Robotham	Frankfort	161.1
11	9	Beckett Dennis	Grand Traverse Academy	157.3
12	12	Parker Rubin	Grand Traverse Academy	156.2
13	10	Evan Keen	Leland	154.8
14	11	Keith Crompton	Frankfort	150.9
15	9	Carter Suttmann	Leland	150.8
16	11	Oliver Mitchell	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	150.2
17	12	Greyson Hoeflinger	Bear Lake-Onekama	148.8
18	10	Lincoln Bailey	Maple City Glen Lake	148.4
19	9	Kaiden Lague	Mason County Eastern	148.3
20	9	Owen Jarosz	Frankfort	146.5
21	12	Elijah Bauer	Traverse City Christian	146.1
22	11	Matthew Bentley	Buckley	145.2
23	11	Cody Couturier	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	141.7
24	10	Cy Kosmowski	Mason County Eastern	140.5
25	9	Campbell Fedderman	Leland	138.3

Region 30

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart – really can’t single out one kid, as Jonah Pollatz, Noah Dubridge, and Brady Edwards have all exceeded expectations.

Camden Fager – found a breakout race at Trent Carter against many of the same kids he’ll see here. Shiny new 17:53 personal best.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	34	140.6	14
2	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	59	122.8
3	Beal City	89	103.1
4	Saginaw Arts & Science	107	92.6
5	Breckenridge	129	85.6
6	Montabella	144	74.3
7	St. Charles	181	54.6
8	Big Rapids Crossroads Academy	181	41.7
9	Vestaburg	206	21.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	10	Anthony Rowe	Breckenridge	176.5
2	11	Carter Clark	Carson City-Crystal	175.7
3	10	Wesley Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	172.2
4	12	Camden Fager	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	160.5
5	11	Jonah Pollatz	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	160.2
6	10	Rush Marsden	Fulton	159.3
7	10	Amos Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	156.3
8	12	Logan Dudley	Coleman	151.0
9	12	Cole Tilmann	Beal City	142.7
10	12	Sean O’Grady	Saginaw Nouvel	142.3
11	10	Noah Dubridge	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	136.1
12	11	Amos Miller	Saginaw Arts & Science	134.7
13	10	Trevor Dolloff	Ashley	122.7
14	10	Brady Edwards	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	122.6
15	12	Aimon Humm	Breckenridge	120.1
16	10	Zayden Buskirk	Carson City-Crystal	115.6
17	11	Jordan Weber	Beal City	112.9
18	9	Jonathan Egan	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	111.8
19	11	Conner Fenton	Beal City	108.8
20	10	Logan Whitmer	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	106.7
21	10	Jared Samyn	St. Charles	102.4
22	11	Connor Naylor	Saginaw Arts & Science	98.8
23	11	Jareth Shappee	Montabella	98.5
24	10	Payton Crawfis	Carson City-Crystal	96.4
25	10	Paul Kim	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	95.3

Region 31

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Tri-Unity Christian – mainly thanks to standout freshman Lincoln Laansma, who’s been sub-18 on all but one occasion. He even notched a 16:50 at Christian Schools.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Holland Calvary Christian	41	162.2	3
2	White Cloud	56	154.9	8
3	Tri-Unity Christian	92	140.2	18
4	Portland St. Patrick	118	127.0	26
5	Byron Center Zion Christian	159	109.2
6	Fowler	163	97.8
7	Libertas Christian	187	97.7
8	Gobles	193	94.8
9	Martin	198	91.6
10	Vermontville Maple Valley	247	68.7
11	Holton	263	52.1

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Tyler Laansma	Tri-Unity Christian	184.4
2	12	Coleson Cruzan	White Cloud	179.1
3	9	Lincoln Laansma	Tri-Unity Christian	176.0
4	10	Noah Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	171.4
5	12	Kaleb Canning	White Cloud	171.3
6	10	Christian Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	170.0
7	11	Timothy Chamberlain	Portland St. Patrick	163.4
8	11	Quentin Smith	Fowler	160.7
9	10	Gibson White	Holland Calvary Christian	159.4
10	10	Caleb Adkins	Holland Calvary Christian	157.8
11	10	Francis Austen	Portland St. Patrick	152.5
12	9	Brody Vantuinen	Holland Calvary Christian	152.4
13	10	Caleb Leys	White Cloud	146.8
14	11	Freddie Bierling	Byron Center Zion Christian	142.5
15	12	Wyatt Karnes	White Cloud	141.0
16	10	Riley Weed	Holland Calvary Christian	140.4
17	12	Alex Morin	Martin	137.5
18	8	Levi Oudbier	Tri-Unity Christian	137.3
19	10	Landon Miller	Fowler	137.0
20	11	Isaac Foxelster	Portland St. Patrick	136.5
21	9	Joseph Coon	White Cloud	136.4
22	8	Eli Schout	Libertas Christian	135.7
23	11	Lukas Rennells	Muskegon Catholic Central	134.7
24	9	Mason Williams	Holland Calvary Christian	134.3
25	11	David Sager	Gobles	131.4

Region 32

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Bridgman – Teddy Ippel must’ve really gone all-in over the summer, as he’s a whole new runner. Throughout much of 2023, a mid-19 guy. All through 2024? Low-17’s on the cusp of the 16’s.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Kalamazoo Hackett	38	162.6	7
2	Bridgman	47	149.7	10
3	Three Oaks River Valley	87	122.2
4	White Pigeon	90	116.8
5	Athens	116	91.4
6	Eau Claire	169	48.2
7	Colon	176	42.8

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Marek Butkiewicz	Kalamazoo Hackett	209.6
2	11	Sean Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	187.8
3	11	Landon Rogers	Three Oaks River Valley	186.6
4	12	Teddy Ippel	Bridgman	184.1
5	12	Andrew Mabry	Bridgman	181.6
6	12	Ben Iobe	Mendon	163.2
7	11	Jesse Fielis	White Pigeon	161.4
8	12	Alexander Dumont	Kalamazoo Hackett	154.4
9	10	August Johnson	New Buffalo	150.5
10	9	Joseph Edwards	New Buffalo	150.3
11	12	Ryan Blankenship	Eau Claire	150.0
12	10	Kellen Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	146.9
13	11	Ethan O’Connor	Athens	145.1
14	10	Elias Baldwin	Decatur	136.9
15	12	Ethan DeVries	Bridgman	136.5
16	11	Beck Ytterberg	Bridgman	125.6
17	10	Max Barron	Tekonsha	123.4
18	10	Jay Bronsink	Athens	123.1
19	12	Owen Nofs	Battle Creek St. Philip	122.6
20	10	Kyron Christner	Mendon	122.2
21	12	Jack Williams	White Pigeon	121.1
22	12	Carter Ernsberger	Bridgman	120.8
23	11	Clark Douglas	Bridgman	119.2
24	11	Charlie Gibson	Three Oaks River Valley	116.9
25	11	David Lane	White Pigeon	116.9

Region 33

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Whitmore Lake – the guys apparently wanted to share the glory with their girls. Freshman addition Nolan Collins has helped, recently hitting a 17:49 at Goodells.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Whitmore Lake	44	154.9	9
2	Dansville	68	145.8	12
3	Webberville	105	121.6
4	Lansing Christian	120	114.4
5	Novi Christian Academy	142	105.5
6	Livingston Christian	163	95.1
7	Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes	166	90.2
8	Genesee Christian Academy	188	76.4
9	Byron	189	78.8
10	Morrice	267	36.3
11	Genesee	288	-20.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	12	Theodore Davis	Dansville	199.7
2	11	Landen Livingston	Whitmore Lake	190.7
3	11	Reuben Jiran	Novi Christian Academy	158.9
4	9	Nolan Collins	Whitmore Lake	157.8
5	11	Josiah Johncox	Byron	156.4
6	11	Ben Young	Lansing Christian	153.3
7	10	Ayden Mayr	Dansville	152.1
8	9	Anderson Karkau	Dansville	151.3
9	12	Aaron Crittenden	Potterville	151.1
10	11	Gavin Howery	Webberville	147.2
11	9	Leo Weaver	Whitmore Lake	146.2
12	11	Ethan West	Webberville	144.2
13	11	Dan Birmingham	Whitmore Lake	143.7
14	9	Nathan West	Webberville	140.9
15	11	Nathan Camilleri	Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes	138.7
16	11	Ian Ferguson	Genesee Christian Academy	138.2
17	12	Nate Dillon	Whitmore Lake	136.0
18	11	Matias Greve	Lansing Christian	134.6
19	10	Benjamin Fox	Whitmore Lake	134.4
20	12	Samuel Hubbard	Livingston Christian	134.2
21	10	Eric Junker	Whitmore Lake	132.0
22	9	Jackson Onofre	Novi Christian Academy	127.1
23	9	Randolf Schneider	Dansville	123.6
24	9	Nolan Stadel	Genesee Christian Academy	118.2
25	12	Karl Wegner	Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes	116.3

Region 34

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Manchester – in the D4 realm, one addition can play a major role. Senior Jesse Sangster’s first season in the sport has helped the Dutchmen quite a bit. Nothing spectacular, but a steady string of low-19/high-18 performances gives Manchester a little help in the depth department.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Hillsdale Academy	19	175.2	1
2	Manchester	60	138.3	20
3	Concord	87	112.7
4	Jackson Preparatory	99	100.8
5	Adrian Lenawee Christian	110	95.2

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Grayson Rorick	Hillsdale Academy	190.0
2	11	Grant Johnson	Manchester	177.7
3	12	Reece Poole	Hillsdale Academy	177.5
4	11	Luke Molenkamp	Hillsdale Academy	173.6
5	11	Henry Lindley	Hillsdale Academy	168.7
6	10	Timothy Gaebler	Hillsdale Academy	166.1
7	12	Joel Lange	Adrian Lenawee Christian	163.5
8	10	Ryan Miller	Hillsdale Academy	161.7
9	11	James Rahe	Hillsdale Academy	161.0
10	12	Beau Shaffer	Morenci	151.8
11	12	Jameson Watson	Britton Deerfield	145.8
12	11	Paul Herendeen	Concord	137.5
13	12	Jesse Sangster	Manchester	135.5
14	10	Alec Dodak	Manchester	132.2
15	11	Dallas Swaenepoel	Vandercook Lake	129.7
16	12	Diego BoCole	Jackson Preparatory	127.9
17	11	Corey Dubnicki	Jackson Preparatory	127.8
18	11	Maddox Hutchinson	Concord	127.6
19	12	Logan Mishaw	Jackson Preparatory	124.5
20	10	Michael Navitskis	Manchester	124.3
21	10	Harper Doyle	Manchester	121.7
22	12	Wyatt Berger	Morenci	113.7
23	10	Noah Lucas	Addison	112.5
24	12	Dustin Hamilton	Concord	111.9
25	10	Ethan Hittle	Manchester	102.1

Region 35

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Dryden – It took nearly the entire season for the sophomore version of Logan Romain to slip into the 17’s. On Saturday’s warm day at Goodells, he got there a little earlier. Levi Fitchett continually improving, Noah Hall summoning that Tigers spirit, and now you’ve got a team bearing down on a top-10 ranking.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Dryden	53	142.4	11
2	Unionville-Sebewaing	58	140.9	13
3	Harbor Beach	62	142.1	15
4	Marlette	76	129.8	25
5	Mayville	134	97.9
6	Deckerville	150	91.0
7	Brown City	173	66.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Brody Karg	Harbor Beach	189.1
2	12	Zack Becker	Unionville-Sebewaing	173.1
3	11	Carson Burgess	Brown City	169.5
4	12	Matthew Pasiak	Harbor Beach	162.8
5	9	Levi Fitchett	Dryden	160.3
6	11	Logan Romain	Dryden	158.6
7	10	Owen Wruble	Harbor Beach	150.7
8	10	Brennan Robinson	Kingston	148.5
9	12	Turlough Bennett	Marlette	146.3
10	11	Michael Walsh	Ubly	146.3
11	11	Nino Perna	Marlette	144.5
12	12	Joel Enos	Mayville	144.3
13	12	Isaac Bignall	Unionville-Sebewaing	142.7
14	10	Thijs Van Rijn	Kingston	135.2
15	10	Kai Fisher	Memphis	135.1
16	12	Noah Hall	Dryden	133.7
17	9	Brendan Aeder	Unionville-Sebewaing	132.3
18	11	Nick Abromaitis	Dryden	131.8
19	9	Lukas Brown	Unionville-Sebewaing	130.8
20	12	Sean Finnigan	Dryden	127.8
21	9	Zachary Crumby	Unionville-Sebewaing	125.8
22	12	Anthony Rosario	Marlette	123.5
23	12	Caden Meyer	Marlette	121.8
24	12	Mark Bulgrien	Harbor Beach	118.8
25	11	Evan Gobie	Deckerville	117.6

Region 36

Summer Projections

Any surprises?

Team Depth – the original thought was that we’d have three teams competing for two spots. Now it’s appearing like four-five competing for those two. Cardinal Mooney, Oakland Christian, Gabriel Richard, and Lutheran Westland are all ranked between 17 and 23.

Simon Reed – the summer preview didn’t capture Simon, who ran for a public school in middle school. The ratings themselves do capture a consistent kid who’s been in the low-18’s regardless of course or conditions. He’s got Plymouth Christian Academy on the outside of that above group.

Team

Rank	Team	Score	Top 5 Avg.	Mid-Season Rank
1	Royal Oak Shrine	39	169.1	2
2	Riverview Gabriel Richard	98	137.5	22
3	Lutheran Westland	102	137.9	17
4	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	105	136.8	21
5	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	112	133.8	23
6	Plymouth Christian Academy	129	117.6
7	Allen Park Cabrini	152	110.4
8	Austin Catholic	174	82.5
9	New Haven Merritt Academy	242	-7.7

Individual

Rank	Grade	Name	Team	Rating
1	11	Abenezer Cerone	Royal Oak Shrine	204.4
2	10	Jacob Ferdubinski	Riverview Gabriel Richard	185.0
3	10	Vern Clyne	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	172.3
4	11	Emmanuel Mehari	Plymouth Christian Academy	172.2
5	11	Michael Bowker	Royal Oak Shrine	169.4
6	9	Simon Reed	Plymouth Christian Academy	165.3
7	11	Max Brannan	Lutheran Westland	163.7
8	11	Rich Fanti	Riverview Gabriel Richard	163.4
9	11	Andrew Lopez	Royal Oak Shrine	162.1
10	11	Caesar Soma	Royal Oak Shrine	159.4
11	12	Tom Shafer	Lutheran Westland	157.7
12	11	Carter Russelburg	Allen Park Cabrini	156.4
13	12	Evan Jacobs	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	152.6
14	12	Joseph Kemp	Royal Oak Shrine	150.0
15	12	Nico DiPonio	Austin Catholic	146.7
16	10	Finn Kneer	New Haven Merritt Academy	145.6
17	11	Dominic Barretto	Riverview Gabriel Richard	145.5
18	11	Andrew Rosso	Austin Catholic	143.0
19	9	Liam Knuth	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	140.2
20	10	Aaron Lenn	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	139.4
21	9	Barron Denham	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	137.1
22	12	Charlie Radziszewski	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	136.1
23	10	Uzziel Thomassen	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	132.3
24	9	Will Bernacki	Royal Oak Shrine	131.0
25	11	Seth Witte	Lutheran Westland	130.6