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District Projections

District 19 Projections

Yeah, I’m calling them districts. It just sounds better. Bear with me as I figure out how I want to format these, but for now I’m showing all the team scores, plus the top 10 additional individuals (the top 7 of those are in bold).

Teams

Cadillac
Cheboygan
Gaylord
Kingsley
Ludington
Ogemaw Heights
Petoskey
Whitehall

Boys

Team Projections

PlaceTeamScore
1Petoskey15
2Gaylord76
3Cadillac86
4Whitehall91
5Ludington119
6Kingsley178
7Cheboygan185
8Ogemaw Heights230

Individual Projections

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
111Cooper RokopPetoskey179.2
29Dylan OdenbachPetoskey174.8
39Brady OdenbachPetoskey170.4
411Samuel SmithPetoskey169.9
512Gavin DyerPetoskey169.8
611Riley BuysWhitehall168.9
712Craig FullerLudington166.8
812Addison BluhmWhitehall166.7
99Shane IzzardPetoskey165.3
1011Reese MarvinPetoskey160.9
119Nolan NixonCadillac160.6
1212Kade DalsonGaylord158.1
1311Owen PalmerGaylord156.9
1410Logan AmesGaylord146.6
1510Carson CarlingtonCadillac146.0
1610Jackson HiltCadillac143.9
1710Carter McIlroyWhitehall142.4
1811Ty PichanGaylord141.2
1912Seth JohnsonGaylord140.5
2012Logan BoolmanCadillac139.3
2112Aidan KosankeCheboygan137.1
229Trey KesonLudington135.3
2312Zack OlundGaylord134.0
2412Brayden OberhausCadillac133.7
2511Evan BennettLudington133.6
2612Jacob BushWhitehall132.5
2710Winston PelloskiKingsley129.8
289Daniel HudsonCheboygan129.6
2910Kaden KolarikKingsley129.0
309Matthew StilsonCadillac128.6
3111Anthony MartinOgemaw Heights125.8
3212Andrew TalsmaLudington125.4
3312Evan WallsLudington124.3

Girls

Team Projections

PlaceTeamScore
1Petoskey20
2Cadillac35
3Kingsley131
4Ogemaw Heights132
5Whitehall138
6Gaylord140
7Ludington152
8Cheboygan241

Individual Projections

PlaceGradeNameTeamRating
112Emma SquiresPetoskey163.0
212Cambrie SmithPetoskey154.3
311Noel VanderwallPetoskey142.6
412Sarah LiederbachPetoskey142.3
512Chloie MustaCadillac140.4
611Kendall SchopierayCadillac132.6
712Gwen PhillipsCadillac118.6
812Heather EllerCadillac114.1
910Eleanor CoolCadillac112.3
1012Paige HarrisPetoskey112.2
119CamBrie CoreyPetoskey111.4
1211Caroline FarleyPetoskey109.7
139Marisa MazzaCadillac106.4
1412Erica GriffinOgemaw Heights104.2
1511Chloe JonesOgemaw Heights103.0
1612Faith KurtzOgemaw Heights100.6
1711Elise BookGaylord99.8
1810Ariana TreatWhitehall98.6
1912Oakley MickelsonCadillac97.4
2011Lauren WooerKingsley92.7
219Kelsey SaxtonKingsley90.3
2211Hayli FaganWhitehall86.7
2310Annie KlineLudington81.1
249Olivia AndersenLudington80.9
259Makena McVannelGaylord79.8
2610Mary WebbKingsley76.8
2711Saturia DaykinGaylord75.6
2812Gwen ShamelLudington74.9
299Lucy JohnsonGaylord72.9
3012Olivia TjapkesWhitehall69.4
2020 Season

Championship Season: Macomb County Projections

(Aaron Greb, IG: @aaron.greb, #GraphicsXGreb)

Back in August, the Macomb County Coaches Association was able to come together to find a way to make this work. Friday and Saturday, all-day events at Freedom Hill. Sections were determined by team results from last year. The same awards as always, Top 3 teams receive a trophy and Top 21 individuals are All-County.

Boys

Romeo – Winners of the MAC Red and Hansons Invitational.  Ranked #1 in Division 1, looking to be the first Macomb County school to win a state title since the 80’s. 

Utica – Won Utica Schools Quad, 5th in MAC Red. 

Macomb Dakota – Finished 4th in the MAC Red, 8th at Hansons Invitational. 

Warren Cousino – Winner of the first two MAC Blue Jamborees. 

Jack Kelke – 3rd at both Hansons Invitational and the MAC Red Meet.  Lowered PR from 15:48 to 15:42, but his 15:50 last weekend might be the best performance of his career.  Currently ranked #8 in the state.

Zander Cobb – Zander broke 16:00 at the MAC Red Meet, finishing 2nd.  Ranked #18 in the state, a far cry from his freshman year where he largely ran in the mid-20’s. 

Carson Nicoletti – Has won 3 of his 4 races this year.  Finished 4th behind the above two at the MAC Red Meet.  Looking to avenge his regional from last year and early on, seems to be on the right track. 

Joseph Rinke – 16:11 at Hansons was easily the best race of his career. 

Elijah DiCerbo – Two victories, including the first MAC White Jamboree.  Finished 44th in Division 1 last year.

Dominic Suliman – Tremendous improvement from last year.  Ran 4:36 indoor and has turned that into multiple mid-16 performances. Winner of the first two MAC Blue Jamborees.

Tyler Carlson – Continually a top performer at the D3 level.  Finished All-State last year and looks to be on that same path, with a few sub-17 efforts to start the year.

Girls

Romeo – Finished 9th as a team in Division 1 last year and is right in the mix again this year.  Winner of the MAC Red Meet and 2nd to a strong Northville team at Hansons. 

Utica – Coach Scott has this program on the rise.  2nd in the MAC Red and 5th at Hansons Invite, quite a rise from their 9th place regional finish last year.

Warren Regina – 15th in Division 2 last year and a favorite to make it back to MIS.

Jayden Harberts – Middle school sensation has acquitted herself quite well to the 5k.  Four straight sub-19 performances, including wins at MAC Red and Cleverley.

Madison Clor – Romeo’s top girl has improved from her freshman year, PRing at the MAC Red Meet.

Grace Zdankiewicz – Undefeated in CHSL action this year.  Winner of Region 17 last year and likely the favorite again this year. 

Ella Fullmer – After battling injuries as a junior, Ella has put herself into contention at many meets.  Her aggressive mindset paid off this past weekend with her best rating of her career. 

Annalee Misch – Has placed in the top-21 all three years of her HS career.  Can she make 4 in a row?

Uncategorized

Halfway Rankings: Girls Overall

  • These are for FUN.  They are not the end all, be all. 
  • We are sitting halfway through the season!  There are 79 days of competition and we’re 39 days in.  Credit to everyone here for persevering through a mentally straining year and our astounding compliance level has all but ensured we’ll finish the season. 
  • Currently there are about 6500 boys and 5500 girls with ratings this season.  I’d estimate that’s about 85-90% of the state.
    • There are some missing, but with more teams mixing with one another and County/Conference Meets soon, hopefully I can get to everyone! 
  • I’ve instituted the HOBBS KESSLER RULE.  Without it, he’d be out of the top 25 runners.  With it, he’s the top dog.  Since he’s smartly saving his energy for the best competition and racing to win otherwise, his overall rating suffers.
    • The rule is this: take the top 50% of ratings a runner has accumulated, then take the weighted average (the more recent, the higher weight). 
  • The team rankings are based on a hypothetical meet between all the teams in a division.
  • Top 5 Average is average ratings of a team’s top 5 runners, Top 5 Spread is the difference between their 1st and 5th, and so on.
  • These are for races up until September 26th.
  • Included Regions in here because my hunch tells me they’ll nix the District idea and with the lessened restrictions, resume our typical format.
  • Previous Rankings
  • Methodology
  • I didn’t forget about anyone.  I just haven’t gotten to it.
  • FUN.  But if you want light-hearted debate, please share your thoughts! 

Team Rankings

Individual Rankings

(Haley Deighan is actually in 11th Grade)