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If Track Were XC… (Boys Edition)

mixcspeedratings

In the course of throwing together a preview for next year’s XC season, I’ve been looking at track times.  They’re a factor in my preseason predictions, not as important as last year’s XC ratings, but a factor nonetheless.

From previous seasons, I’ve compared 1600 and 3200 times from runners in the spring to XC ratings the next fall (they’re actually pretty consistent from what you’d find on a VDOT table).

Using the comparison, I’ve been able to assign some very simple formulas to convert track times into ratings.  Applying these formulas and the wondrous athletic.net database, I’ve taken the results from this season and recast them in an XC scoring format.

Here’s how it breaks down:

Grade = this year
Time = rating converted to an MIS-type course (well, without the mud pit before the finish line)

OVERALL

OABoys

DIVISION 1

D1Boys

DIVISION 2

D2Boys

DIVISION 3

D3Boys

DIVISION 4

D4Boys

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Sub 5/6: Enrollment Adjusted

mixcspeedratings

I took last week’s post a step further, adjusting for enrollment at schools.  Obviously, you’re going to have a better chance at having faster runners if you have 2000+ students in your school, so this hopefully gives a shout out to those schools with less of a chance of producing faster athletes.  On the other hand, at smaller schools, track might be one of the primary options, being a sport with a lower entry barrier, and not needing 10+ players to fill out a team.

The formula is simple.  # of sub 5/6 runners/(enrollment*0.5).  Here’s your top 25 (top 10 in detail):

GIRLS

Sub6Enrollment

Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart – 6.56%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Scout Nelson 5:16.3 18-Apr Ithaca Blue and Gold Invitational
12 Lauren MacDonald 5:31.4 21-Mar SVSU D2 Indoor Invitational
12 Cammie McConnell 5:35.9 26-Apr Clare Invitational
11 Desiree McConnell 5:41.9 21-Mar SVSU D2 Indoor Invitational
Grandville Calvin Christian – 3.73%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Alicia Estrella 5:29.9 30-Apr Godwin at Calvin
10 Catherine Kortman 5:32.5 26-Mar Wendy’s Track and Field Challenge at Aquinas
11 Olivia Quillan 5:36.9 30-Apr Godwin at Calvin
10 Kate Witvliet 5:46.2 16-Apr Calvin and Lee at Belding
12 Jodi Jenkins 5:47.1 30-Apr Godwin at Calvin
11 Morgan Steenstra 5:59.2 20-Apr Grand Rapids Elite Challenge
Saugatuck – 2.93%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Thea Johnson 5:21.2 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
12 Taylor Conner 5:31.2 22-Mar GVSU Laker Challenge (Boys/Girls) D 3/4
12 Natalie Martinson 5:32.7 27-Mar Saugatuck vs Lawton
11 Jillian Vera 5:47.0 24-Apr Saugatuck vs Waterliet
McBain – 2.45%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Klaudia O’Malley 5:14.6 26-Apr Chesaning Track and Field Classic
11 Brianna Eisenga 5:37.0 9-Apr McBain Quad
10 Maggie O’Malley 5:44.9 30-Apr Highland #2 @ McBain w/Beal & LC
9 Reese Ensing 5:59.0 9-Apr McBain Quad
Hart – 2.19%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Adelyn Ackley 5:08.9 30-Apr WMC-Oakridge/Hart @ Montague
9 Audrianna Enns 5:22.6 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
10 Savannah Ackley 5:24.0 30-Apr WMC-Oakridge/Hart @ Montague
10 Lynae Ackley 5:38.2 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
Benzie Central – 1.98%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Sierra Pallin 5:40.1 27-Apr Warrior Invitational
10 Cierra Guay 5:40.1 6-Apr BC Red & White Intersquad HS/MS
9 Elise Johnson 5:43.4 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
10 Ellen Bretzke 5:48.5 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
11 Faith Grose 5:49.3 27-Apr Warrior Invitational
Pewamo-Westphalia – 1.90%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 Aubrey George 5:43.7 1-May CMAC: Fowler, P-W @ Saranac
10 Amelia Smith 5:57.7 24-Apr CMAC: Potterville, Bath @ P-W
11 Cailey George 5:59.3 18-Apr Ithaca Blue and Gold Invitational
Remus Chippewa Hills – 1.88%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 Natalie Newcombe 5:28.4 30-Apr CSAA Meet – Chip Hills, Tri County, Newaygo, Big Rapids
9 Sarah Storey 5:35.5 23-Apr CSAA Chip Hills, Fremont, and Big Rapids @Reed City
12 Deziree Shaw 5:44.2 9-Apr CSAA Gold – Big Rapids, Central Montcalm, Grant, Chippewa Hills
12 Alicia Robertson 5:46.7 27-Apr Warrior Invitational
12 Madison Grover 5:49.0 23-Apr CSAA Chip Hills, Fremont, and Big Rapids @Reed City
Otsego – 1.84%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Sydney Kubiak 5:33.2 26-Apr Allegan Invitational
12 Kristen Brylowski 5:36.4 26-Mar Vicksburg at Otsego
9 Claudia Stachura 5:41.7 23-Apr Edwardsburg, Three Rivers & Otsego @ Paw Paw
11 Maria Germain 5:41.8 23-Apr Edwardsburg, Three Rivers & Otsego @ Paw Paw
9 Joy Wolfe 5:50.7 9-Apr South Haven vs. Allegan vs. Dowagiac w/Otsego
10 Ashley Goodrich 5:53.0 16-Apr Dowagiac, Otsego, Paw Paw @ Plainwell
St. Louis – 1.81%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
9 Mikenna Borie 5:37.8 26-Apr Clare Invitational
9 Libby Munderloh 5:39.2 18-Apr Roscommon Invitational
9 Sela Delgado 5:59.0 26-Apr Clare Invitational

 

BOYS

Sub5Enrollment

Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart – 4.92%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 TJ Moore 4:47.7 24-Apr MSAC Jamboree at Vestaburg HS
11 Josh Lynch 4:50.3 26-Apr Clare Invitational
10 Matthew Nowak 4:52.2 26-Apr Clare Invitational
Saugatuck – 3.66%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
9 Max Sharnas 4:34.8 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
10 Nik Pettinga 4:42.9 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
11 Winston Marcy 4:49.9 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
9 Tristan Ashley 4:52.8 22-Mar GVSU Laker Challenge (Boys/Girls) D 3/4
12 Ray Bartlett 4:59.7 10-Apr Saugatuck vs Gobles
Dexter – 2.56%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 Owen Huard 4:23.1 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
11 Nathan Larson 4:30.0 23-Apr Adrian & Dexter @ Pinckney SEC
11 Seth Read 4:35.2 30-Apr SEC White: Jackson / Tecumseh / Dexter Dbl. Dual
12 Lucas Betzoldt 4:48.6 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
12 Ransom Duncan 4:48.6 16-Apr SEC White – Chelsea & Dexter @ Lincoln
12 Nick McKenzie 4:48.9 23-Apr Adrian & Dexter @ Pinckney SEC
12 Rishabh Kothari 4:49.1 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
10 Sam Melvin 4:49.3 16-Apr SEC White – Chelsea & Dexter @ Lincoln
10 Conor Kolka 4:49.9 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
12 Joseph Wagner 4:51.3 16-Apr SEC White – Chelsea & Dexter @ Lincoln
12 Noah Hayter 4:54.1 23-Apr Adrian & Dexter @ Pinckney SEC
11 Finnegan Bell 4:55.5 23-Apr Adrian & Dexter @ Pinckney SEC
12 Nathan McConnell 4:57.9 16-Apr SEC White – Chelsea & Dexter @ Lincoln
12 Seth Ockerman 4:58.7 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
9 Josh Lamb 4:59.6 20-Apr April Showers Invitational
Pewamo-Westphalia – 2.54%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 Hayden Germain 4:33.3 26-Apr Kent City Elite T&F Invitational
11 Ashton Walker 4:34.4 24-Apr CMAC: Potterville, Bath @ P-W
12 Kyle Hengesbach 4:48.0 1-May CMAC: Fowler, P-W @ Saranac
12 Mitch Nurenberg 4:57.1 24-Apr CMAC: Potterville, Bath @ P-W
Berrien Springs – 2.40%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Evan Griffiths 4:35.0 26-Apr Allegan Invitational
11 Carter Sheline 4:52.9 24-Apr BCS Meet Brandywine, Berrien, New Buffalo
12 Jose Brenes 4:56.4 26-Apr Allegan Invitational
10 Ashton Sheline 4:57.4 17-Apr BCS Comstock Meet
10 Nathaniel Bittner 4:57.7 17-Apr BCS Comstock Meet
12 Ivan Alvarado 4:57.7 17-Apr BCS Comstock Meet
East Jordan – 2.40%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 Ethan Nachazel 4:56.6 30-Apr Boyne City Invitational
11 Caleb Carson 4:57.1 27-Apr Petoskey Kiwanis Invitational
11 Aaron Nachazel 4:58.0 18-Apr Harbor Springs Ram Scram
Benzie Central – 2.38%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Noah Barnes 4:44.3 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
11 Tyler Kintigh 4:48.3 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
12 Pedro Roman 4:50.5 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
10 Joseph Orfe 4:55.5 1-May NWC @ Benzie Central
9 Ike Koscielski 4:56.0 27-Apr Warrior Invitational
10 Wesley VanPoortfliet 4:56.2 27-Apr Warrior Invitational
Saline – 2.07%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
11 William Minnette 4:29.5 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
11 Christopher Van Dyke 4:34.8 23-Apr SEC Red Division – Bedford vs Saline
12 Simon Pfeiffer 4:35.9 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
12 Jevin Nishioka 4:40.5 26-Apr Charlie Janke Track and Field Invitational
12 Brock Boze 4:41.2 9-Apr SEC-R: Saline @ Skyline
12 Shay Milley 4:42.7 23-Apr SEC Red Division – Bedford vs Saline
10 Noah Pelletier 4:44.3 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
11 Cole Trese 4:44.4 23-Apr SEC Red Division – Bedford vs Saline
11 Christofer Clisham Jr 4:45.6 23-Apr SEC Red Division – Bedford vs Saline
11 Johnathan Speers 4:46.7 23-Apr SEC Red Division – Bedford vs Saline
10 Joseph Fedoronko 4:48.2 16-Apr SEC-R: Monroe @ Saline
9 James Harrison 4:48.5 27-Apr 2019 Brighton Bulldog Invitational
9 Max Pfeiffer 4:53.3 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
9 Luke Swanger 4:54.4 27-Apr 2019 Brighton Bulldog Invitational
12 Hunter Bozzi 4:55.6 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
11 Brennan Codlin 4:55.9 30-Apr SEC Red Division Tri Meet – AA Huron vs AA Pioneer vs Saline
9 Andrew Stern 4:58.0 27-Apr 2019 Brighton Bulldog Invitational
10 Emmett Berryhill 4:58.3 9-Apr SEC-R: Saline @ Skyline
10 Cody Stein 4:58.6 27-Apr 2019 Brighton Bulldog Invitational
Corunna – 1.94%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Benjamin Jacobs 4:27.0 26-Apr Chesaning Track and Field Classic
10 Mason Warner 4:34.2 18-Apr Frankenmuth Marco Marcet Invitational
11 Evan Roka 4:35.9 26-Apr Chesaning Track and Field Classic
12 Carter Lovejoy 4:43.0 16-Apr GAC- Corunna vs. Bendle
12 Charlie Bruckman 4:44.7 16-Apr GAC- Corunna vs. Bendle
11 Drew Nickels 4:57.8 30-Apr GAC – Webberville vs. Beecher (Corunna Exhibition)
Lansing Catholic – 1.88%
Grade Name Time Date Meet
12 Eric Warriner 4:41.0 22-Apr Charlotte @ Lansing Catholic
11 Eli Meder 4:42.6 27-Mar MSU True Team Invitational
9 Josh Otten 4:49.0 30-Apr Lansing Catholic at Ionia
12 Will Peters 4:58.1 22-Apr Charlotte @ Lansing Catholic
9 Josh Frary 4:58.9 26-Apr Mason Invitational
Uncategorized

Thursday Roundup

mixcspeedratings

I’m switching things up a bit this week.  In my endless browsing of running related subjects, I came across this page on ILXCTF.  Essentially, it’s a friendly competition of team members that have gone sub 5/sub 6 in the 1600 that season.  I decided to throw together my own version for Michigan schools.

Athletic.net still confuses me in some regards.  For the life of me, I cannot figure out why VanderLende’s 4:44 isn’t listed on their performance list, but the result is there on her page.  And then there are the issues of lap counting (more for the 3200).  If I were to do this next year, I would go the ILXCTF route and have coaches e-mail.  And, rules permitting, cobble together some prizes for the top schools.

Alas, here’s the lists:

BOYS

Rank Team Runners
1 Dexter 14
2 Saline 13
3 Brighton 12
4 Northville 11
5 Romeo 10
T6 Ann Arbor Pioneer 9
T6 Rockford 9
T8 Ann Arbor Huron 8
T8 Ann Arbor Skyline 8
T8 Detroit Catholic Central 8
T8 Hudsonville 8

Boys Top 10

Boys – Notable Smaller Schools

GIRLS

Rank Team Runners
1 Saline 14
2 Northville 10
3 Grand Haven 8
T4 Hudsonville 7
T4 Romeo 7
T4 Temperance Bedford 7
T7 Ann Arbor Pioneer 6
T7 Bay City Western 6
T7 Dearborn Divine Child 6
T7 East Grand Rapids 6
T7 Grandville Calvin Christian 6
T7 Otsego 6
T7 Plymouth Salem 6

Girls Top 10

Girls – Notable smaller schools