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About Time: Upper Peninsula Projections

Well, it’s only been four full years that I’ve been doing these ratings. One of the few projects over the past nine months was to get the Upper Peninsula up and going.

The first order of business was to obtain ratings on the 2021 season. Because teams such as Gladstone, Sault Ste. Marie, among others were able to travel south of the bridge on occasion during the prior season, I was able to work back and calculate ratings, course differentials, all that fun info.

The methodology will be a bit different than normal, but should emit similarly accurate projections during the season. Field size limits me from using one method, but I should be able to compare this year’s performances at many of the courses to last year’s, with the assumption that field quality remains consistent (it’s not as if an influx of LP D1 teams are entering the Queen City Invite).

I’m not gonna pretend I know many of the runners up in God’s Country, that’ll come in time throughout the season. But I will list my top returners and their projected scores.

First, a little history. The MHSAA has done a wonderful job on their new website, easier to use, tabs are lightning fast, history dating back many years. In recent memory, here’s how things have shaken out on those Superior shores: BOYS GIRLS

Total Boys Champs (2000-2021)Number
Marquette12
Ishpeming7
Munising6
Stephenson5
Sault Ste. Marie4
Chassell4
Painesdale-Jeffers3
Houghton3
Carney-Nadeau3
Rudyard2
Rapid River2
Negaunee2
Ishpeming Westwood2
Eben Junction Superior Central2
Dollar Bay2
Cedarville2
Wakefield-Marenisco/Bessemer1
St. Ignace1
Powers-North Central1
Escanaba1
Brimley1

Total Boys Runner-Ups (2000-2021)Number
Sault Ste. Marie7
Houghton4
Ishpeming Westwood4
Marquette4
Painesdale-Jeffers4
Cedarville3
Escanaba3
Munising3
Pickford3
Stephenson3
Wakefield-Marenisco/Bessemer3
Brimley2
Calumet2
Chassell2
Dollar Bay2
Ironwood2
Ishpeming2
Rudyard2
Eben Junction Superior Central1
Gladstone1
Hancock1
Kingsford1
L’Anse1
Norway1
Painesdale Jeffers1
Powers-North Central1
Rapid River1
Republic-Michigamme1
St. Ignace1

Total Girls Champs (2000-2021)Number
Marquette15
Chassell5
Ironwood5
Stephenson5
Cedarville4
Hancock4
Calumet3
Ishpeming3
Munising3
Powers North Central3
St. Ignace3
Eben Junction Superior Central2
Houghton2
Rudyard2
Sault Ste. Marie2
Carney-Nadeau1
Dollar Bay1
Newberry1
Pickford1
Rapid River1

Total Girls Runner-Ups (2000-2021)Number
Calumet6
Marquette6
Sault Ste. Marie6
Cedarville4
Hancock4
St. Ignace4
Ironwood3
Painesdale-Jeffers3
Rudyard3
Chassell2
Dollar Bay2
Ishpeming2
L’Anse2
Munising2
Pickford2
Rapid River2
Rock Mid-Peninsula2
Stephenson2
Escanaba1
Gladstone1
Houghton1
Ishpeming Westwood1
Kingsford1
Menominee1
Newberry1
Powers North Central1
Superior Central1
West Iron County1

And the projections.

Incoming freshman are added where they made sense (aka Gabe Litzner), but with very few MS programs across the UP, I didn’t make it a point to throw them into the mix. For Division 2 especially, not many schools have enough returners to field a full squad, but I’m confident that division will fill throughout time.

Excited to include our better peninsula this year.

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