2022 Mid-Season Regional Projections – Shepherd



Two-time defending State Champs, St. Louis, looked to be a lock in the summer and with these last few weeks, has further established their legitimacy. The question coming into the year was: who would join them? After a month or so of action, I think we have some answers. Caro has added the necessary components that left the Tigers out of the summer writings, and even their returners have shown progress. Jacob Moore, for example, is knocking on the door of the 17’s, an area not within sight a year ago. Sanford-Meridian was projected to have five in the top-20, I don’t see any reason that can’t happen. For a team already thought to have an easier path through this region, extra insurance is a bonus, adding a kid such as Tyler Heal, who’s entered the 17:00 range in his first season with the Mustangs.

The girls side also closely resembles those thoughts posted a month ago. Unfortunately, Reese doesn’t appear to have brought out the numbers to score a full squad. Into that void has stepped those pesky Sharks, who placed 2nd in the initial TVC 10 Jamboree and have seen solid time reductions from Abby Dice and Laney Pestrue. Lost in the sea of the hundreds of teams I attempt to cover is a squad such as Sandusky. Need I remind you that the Redskins finished 13th in the State last year and return a great number of those same girls? Speaking of the State Finals, Caro may have been ranked #6 in last week’s rankings, don’t be shocked if they’re in a better place than that come November.

111Ben MarchSt. Louis190.8
212Connor StefanovskyCaro182.6
311Matthew PattulloCaro177.6
410Landon PestrueSt. Louis171.4
512Dylan MarrSt. Louis165.8
612Jonah ShephardSanford-Meridian160.6
710Tyler HealSanford-Meridian157.8
810Colin KuhnSt. Louis148.9
99Alex RodriguezSt. Louis147.3
1010Jacob MooreCaro144.4
119Hayden ShattuckSt. Louis142.9
129Wesley HainesReese142.1
1310Cade TruemnerPigeon-Laker141.2
149Jayden FoxSaginaw Valley Lutheran139.9
1511Ethan WetzelSanford-Meridian137.0
1611Elliot NoyesSanford-Meridian135.0
1710Drew LaFaveSanford-Meridian132.9
189Jackson FultonCaro132.3
1911Caleb GeigerBad Axe131.4
2011Donythyn DeitrickSanford-Meridian128.4

112Ellymae McCoyReese125.9
211Jaiden DickmanSt. Louis117.4
310Kaya VrableCaro116.3
411Paige HerronCaro110.9
511Claire NeumannSaginaw Valley Lutheran109.3
611Faith SwenorCaro105.4
712Lauren BrawtSanford-Meridian102.8
812Allysen JansenSandusky98.4
912Elizabeth SmithSanford-Meridian89.7
1010Makenzie KregerSandusky87.0
1110Maddie HuysentruytSandusky83.6
1211Alexa LongCaro82.6
1311Rachael WalchCaro82.2
1411Emma LangBad Axe74.9
1511Olivia UrbanOtisville LakeVille72.7
1610Abby DiceSt. Louis71.6
1712Brookelynn JansenSandusky71.3
1811Diana CortesCass City70.9
199Carla CortesCass City62.4
2012Laney PestrueSt. Louis57.9



Let’s take another look back to the ole summer preview and how wrong it was. Clio and Frankenmuth (boys and girls) for two examples. Landen Wise showed his goods during track, the 4th fastest freshmen 1600m runner in the state. The youth movement hasn’t stopped there, Brett Magnus and Anthony Plana both contributors to a team that placed 2nd in the first TVC 8 Jamboree. The first team? Oh those reliable Freeland Falcons. Clio has to be the eye opener thus far, one of the greater impacts on their rise being Andrew Yax, a steady figure in the low-17’s during these first few weeks.

If this girls race isn’t one of the more competitive and tightly wound regional races, I don’t know what is. Projected within 15 points are four teams with a legitimate shot of winning, making it in, or being left out. Shepherd, Freeland, and Alma all made it last year and can use that past experience as a guide. Frankenmuth has added a trio of freshmen behind Mary Richmond, that youth improving with each race. These four teams are so away and ahead of the others that there’s a real chance that each can put four in the top-20.

Shepherd opened with a win at Early Season Warrior, a 2nd place at Under the Lights, but were subdued with a few setbacks in early September. A Jack Pine victory could be the start of some championship momentum for a team projected just sliiightly out of the money. Freeland’s order isn’t the one expected in August, but I blame that squarely on Paige Kloha, running the best she has since her freshman year (7 second PB last weekend!). And given the summertime grief from those Ithaca gorlz, one must give credit where it’s due. You improve the girls that are already on the Panther team, Hannah Raglin, running 30-40 seconds faster than she ever has, you add 400m stud Joy Evans, sprinkle in frontrunner Ezgi Kurt, and you have a team set up to win championships.

Now who nails it on Regional Day?

110TJ HansenFreeland203.1
212Braydon HonsingerFreeland202.0
39Thomas LarsonAlma194.6
411Elliott SirianniClio192.5
510Landen WiseFrankenmuth186.1
611David MurphyFlint Powers Catholic185.4
710Seth MeadGladwin183.5
811Andrew YaxClio179.6
912Tyler HeathClio178.3
1010Nolan LonguskiShepherd178.1
1111Ali KudmaniAlma173.7
1212Braden KleinFreeland173.4
139Brett MagnusFrankenmuth172.0
1412Grant CongerFrankenmuth170.7
1510Owen FennellySaginaw Swan Valley170.6
1612Aidan LobsingerFlint Powers Catholic170.0
179Anthony PlanaFrankenmuth168.4
1810Camden McLeodFreeland163.6
1912Bryce HusenBirch Run162.4
209Luca LebronAlma161.1

111Mary RichmondFrankenmuth150.3
210Ezgi KurtAlma130.7
312Ariel WarnerShepherd124.9
49Natalie FoltzFrankenmuth120.4
510Joy EvansAlma114.5
610Karie KeeferFreeland108.6
711Hannah RaglinAlma107.1
89Jada PrescottFreeland105.7
911Paige KlohaFreeland104.3
1011Aubrey KeelerClio103.6
1112Jolie FisherShepherd102.3
1210Landrey KuhnFreeland102.2
1312Alexcis ParkerFlint Powers Catholic98.8
1412Carley LynchShepherd98.5
1512Elle HimebaughShepherd97.6
169Gabby ClevelandFrankenmuth94.8
1710Jenna OverlaAlma93.4
189Elise BardenFrankenmuth93.1
1912McKenzie BettsAlma93.0
2011Ava BoggsFlint Kearsley92.9



As the guy responsible for much of the cross country discourse in the State, this falls on me. The Okemos girls are the least talked about D1 team in the State. Winners of the Corunna Early Bird and leading in the CAAC Blue, 2nd at John Bruder, 8th at Spartan Elite. I think it’s the lack of eye-popping frontrunners. But winners don’t place you high in big fields, depth does that, and the Chiefs have plenty of that, seven capable of running under 20:30.

Those East Lansing boys have been the real thorn in my side (sorry, Caledonia) the past few years. Graduating Zeleke and Page, what could be expected of the Trojans? Nothing much really other than Sam Booth grasping a gigantic PB in comparison to last season (and 4 minutes faster than his 2019 self) and Eden Lampi breaking 17:00 for the first time ever.

111Kenny LewisSaginaw Heritage199.8
212Joe MuhaTraverse City Central198.5
312Micah BauerTraverse City Central197.9
411Noah SelvarajBay City Western193.5
512Jonah HochstetlerTraverse City West193.4
612Jett ReimersTraverse City Central192.6
712Gabriel TrevinoSaginaw Heritage188.9
811Willem DeGoodTraverse City West187.8
911Zack TruszkowskiTraverse City Central186.3
1012Elijah AllenAlpena183.4
1111Alex DurocherTraverse City Central177.8
1212Gabe BenavidesEast Lansing176.9
1312Sam ElderGrand Ledge176.7
1412Theodore LangeSaginaw Heritage175.8
1510Nathan WilkinsonOkemos175.7
1610Elijah HutchinsonGrand Ledge175.4
1711Eden LampiEast Lansing175.0
1811Colin MacGregorH.H. Dow173.8
1912Hunter HitzelbergerAlpena172.8
2012Sam BoothEast Lansing171.3

112Anna DelgadoEast Lansing166.9
212Taylor PangburnGrand Ledge147.5
310Victoria GarcesH.H. Dow145.9
410Isabelle BeckerBay City Western137.5
512Emma NetzelHolt137.0
610Lauren WalkerHolt135.1
711Shannon GillahanOkemos133.5
811Ava KingTraverse City West133.1
911Lily SalazarOkemos131.6
1011Katie WatkinsH.H. Dow131.5
1110Sydney RobertsH.H. Dow128.9
1212Ambria NagelBay City Western127.4
139Abby VeitTraverse City West126.4
1411Alexis BallTraverse City Central126.0
159Bailey WenzlickTraverse City West123.4
169Aviana SkinnerGrand Ledge122.0
1711Nicole MaysOkemos121.1
1811Ella KirkwoodTraverse City Central117.6
199Elizabeth SchaferOkemos116.5
2011Emma DickinsAlpena115.4

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