2026 Division 4 Finals Projections

State Week has arrived. Just as previous weeks and the Regional Projections, you get a ton of math and a little preview. Simulations and odds and stats and projections are the vehicle for talking about the best sport in the world, which will be on display Saturday at MIS.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

The regional projections were pretty solid this year. Adding up all the odds from the projected top-3 teams, you’d get 199 correct qualifiers. There were 197, essentially coming within a percentage point.

A change I made last year to shore up the projections was to filter out less important meets. These conference and weekday meets are great for building the database and showing the development of athletes who may not even run at the regional level, but they often are home to a runner’s slower efforts. All the important weekend meets are included. This same methodology is present here in 2026. One thing I noticed from looking back at ’25 is that early season meets weren’t adjusted highly enough. That has changed for 2026, although I’m not sure it’ll be a huge factor as those meets aren’t weighted that heavily at this point in the season.

The entries reflect those that are listed on athletic.net. These (and D3) are done before the Tuesday deadline, as I just don’t have time to wait.

1000 simulations were run, which allows for various stats and odds to be calculated. I have a bunch listed, more than ever before:

Proj. Place = sorting from the lowest average score to the highest
Avg. Score = the average team score across all simulations
Win% = odds that a team will win
Podium % = odds that a team will receive a trophy
Top-10% = odds that a team will place in the top-10
95% Range = 95% of the outcomes will fall in this range, so for each division there should be around one outlier. I’d call this a fully confident chance.
65% Range = 65% of the outcomes will fall in this range, so for each division there should be around ten outliers. I’d call this a solid bet.
Podium Order % = the odds that the top-2 will fall in exactly that order
Top-5 Order % = the odds that the top-5 will fall exactly in that order

I also have an individual’s odds of winning and receiving All-State, though I’ll decline to post those until afterward.

As always, enjoy the writings. May they be a boost of confidence or a spur of motivation. Either way, they’re done out of love for the great competitors in Michigan. I’ll see you on Saturday.

BOYS TEAM

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Holland Calvary Christian	39	95+	95+	95+
2	Breckenridge	78		93	95+
3	Hillsdale Academy	111		7	95+
4	Whitmore Lake	223			95+
5	Mesick	240			95+
6	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	272			95+
7	Petoskey St. Michael	274			95+
8	Leland	281			95+
9	Mason County Eastern	296			80
10	Martin	320			63
11	Kalamazoo Hackett	334			45
12	Sand Creek	349			22
13	Gobles	390			4
14	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	415
15	Royal Oak Shrine	427
16	Novi Christian Academy	455
17	Manchester	458
18	Genesee Christian	459
19	Riverview Gabriel Richard	470
20	Concord	493
21	Bridgman	496
22	Mackinaw City	522
23	Fairview	552
24	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	553
25	White Pigeon	571
26	Kingston	607
27	Marlette	646
28	Ubly	658

2026’s Summer Preview really liked Holland Calvary Christian and for good reason, the Owls returned all seven of last fall’s trophy-winning finalists. They’ve all raised their game, their varsity lineup all earning personal bests, their top-six at 16:40 or faster. This has resulted in some great accomplishments, including a win at Portage and 4^th place finish in Bluejay’s Elite field.

Calvary isn’t the only outfit the upper echelon of D4 that has escalated their performances. Breckenridge has delivered a season would lead to a title favorite in many, many other years. The Huskies have two low-sticks, Cooper Burt and Anthony Rowe, but also a team of kids that has placed their top-5 all under 17:10 at one point in the season.

Hillsdale Academy has been more of a pack-based group. The Colts typically will finish with their top-four within 30 seconds of one another. Their best efforts have come at major invites, such as Holly or Portage, where they placed 2^nd and 3^rd, respectively.

Proj. Place	Team	95% Range	65% Range
1	Holland Calvary Christian	1st	1st
2	Breckenridge	2 to 3	2nd
3	Hillsdale Academy	2 to 3	3rd
4	Whitmore Lake	4 to 7	4 to 6
5	Mesick	4 to 11	4 to 7
6	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	4 to 11	5 to 9
7	Petoskey St. Michael	4 to 11	6 to 9
8	Leland	5 to 11	6 to 9
9	Mason County Eastern	4 to 13	6 to 11
10	Martin	6 to 13	8 to 11
11	Kalamazoo Hackett	6 to 14	9 to 12
12	Sand Creek	9 to 14	10 to 13
13	Gobles	10 to 17	12 to 15
14	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	12 to 18	14 to 16
15	Royal Oak Shrine	12 to 20	14 to 17
16	Novi Christian Academy	13 to 21	16 to 19
17	Manchester	14 to 21	16 to 19
18	Genesee Christian	11 to 25	13 to 22
19	Riverview Gabriel Richard	14 to 23	16 to 21
20	Concord	14 to 24	17 to 22
21	Bridgman	16 to 24	18 to 22
22	Mackinaw City	18 to 25	20 to 23
23	Fairview	15 to 27	21 to 25
24	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	17 to 27	21 to 25
25	White Pigeon	20 to 27	23 to 26
26	Kingston	23 to 28	25 to 27
27	Marlette	22 to 28	26 to 28
28	Ubly	25 to 28	27 to 28

There aren’t too many scenarios where Calvary Christian relinquishes a title. They’re too deep and have run too consistently all year. Despite falling to Breckenridge in the two prior meetings, there’s still some scenarios where Hillsdale Academy can get on the podium.

Since there were hundreds of simulations, we can point to a specific one, such as Race #221 in the simulations. There, the Colts were tightly-packed, four individuals placing in the top-30 of the team race. Breckenridge had a slightly off day and allowed that pack to move in front of their 3^rd runner. There will likely be a grouping of kids in that 16:45-17:15 area, if the Colt pack can stay ahead of it AND break up Breckenridge’s depth, that’s their likely path to the podium.

Top-2 Order	Top-2 Order %
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge	92.7
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Hillsdale Academy	7.1

Top-5 Order	Top-5 Order %
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge, 3. Hillsdale Academy, 4. Mesick, 5. Whitmore Lake	21.3
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge, 3. Hillsdale Academy, 4. Whitmore Lake, 5. Mesick	19.4
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge, 3. Hillsdale Academy, 4. Whitmore Lake, 5. Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	8.7
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge, 3. Hillsdale Academy, 4. Whitmore Lake, 5. Petoskey St. Michael	5.9
1. Holland Calvary Christian, 2. Breckenridge, 3. Hillsdale Academy, 4. Whitmore Lake, 5. Mason County Eastern	4.9

GIRLS TEAM

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Hillsdale Academy	113	93	95+	95+
2	Whitmore Lake	159	6	76	95+
3	Onekama	191		19	95+
4	Gobles	206			95+
5	Concord	232			95+
6	Martin	260			93
7	Grand Traverse Academy	290			80
8	Breckenridge	294			67
9	Royal Oak Shrine	300			63
10	Novi Christian Academy	301			59
11	Lutheran Westland	314			46
12	Dansville	334			24
13	Fowler	340			22
14	Kalamazoo Hackett	354			20
15	Bridgman	354			12
16	Ubly	374			9
17	Bear Lake	382
18	Rogers City	451
19	Petoskey St. Michael	393
20	Decatur	613
21	Deckerville	622
22	East Jordan	493
23	Kinde North Huron	583
24	Manchester	492
25	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	459
26	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	493
27	Southfield Christian	612

On the girls side of the races, the outcome should be a little less predictable. Coming into the fall, the thought was that Hillsdale Academy would have overwhelming depth, an attribute that led the Colts to a #1 pre-season ranking. That has bore out throughout these past 2+ months, with seven HA girls earning sub-21’s, ten slipping under 22:00. That depth has been present at Holly (entire varsity in the top-25), Portage (all scorers in the top-30), and Larry Steeb (where most of the SB’s lie, all seven sub-21) – all victories.

The wins at Holly and Larry Steeb were over Whitmore Lake, the win at Portage came over Onekama. Both squads have put themselves in the argument for the second position. And maybe, just maybe, a shot at the win.

The Trojans have been here before, winning the past three titles. They’ve got their reliable low-stick (Kaylie Livingston), a returning All-Stater in Malynda Lambros, and rapidly improving depth. They’ve seemingly run their best in October, an example of which being their 9-point defeat to Hillsdale Academy at Larry Steeb.

The Portagers too have been peaking at the right time, turning in three of their better efforts in October. They too have a low-stick, the ultra-consistent Callie Sinke, and two potential All-Staters beyond in Addy Zeller and Zakia Wagoner. Just as Whitmore Lake, their fortunes have increased as their depth pieces have gotten quicker.

Proj. Place	Team	95% Range	65% Range
1	Hillsdale Academy	1 to 2	1st
2	Whitmore Lake	1 to 4	2 to 3
3	Onekama	2 to 6	2 to 5
4	Gobles	2 to 6	3 to 5
5	Concord	3 to 8	4 to 7
6	Martin	3 to 12	5 to 9
7	Grand Traverse Academy	5 to 13	7 to 11
8	Breckenridge	4 to 16	6 to 12
9	Royal Oak Shrine	5 to 15	7 to 12
10	Novi Christian Academy	4 to 17	6 to 14
11	Lutheran Westland	7 to 14	9 to 12
12	Dansville	5 to 18	9 to 16
13	Fowler	7 to 18	10 to 16
14	Kalamazoo Hackett	6 to 20	10 to 17
15	Bridgman	7 to 19	11 to 17
16	Ubly	8 to 20	12 to 18
17	Bear Lake	11 to 20	14 to 18
18	Rogers City	12 to 23	18 to 22
19	Petoskey St. Michael	12 to 20	15 to 18
20	Decatur	24 to 27	25 to 27
21	Deckerville	24 to 27	25 to 27
22	East Jordan	17 to 24	20 to 23
23	Kinde North Huron	21 to 27	24 to 26
24	Manchester	18 to 24	20 to 23
25	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	16 to 23	19 to 22
26	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	18 to 24	20 to 23
27	Southfield Christian	22 to 27	24 to 27

Because of their depth, the model loves Hillsdale Academy. In every single last simulation, the Colts had the fastest sixth girl in the field. That sixth girl, an interchangeable figure (sometimes Lorelei Stemme, others Moira Beier), would play into everyone’s scoring lineup. That same statement can be given for their typical 7^th finisher. Having great depth doesn’t just displace others, it gives greater odds for a girl having a good/breakout race.

The Larry Steeb Invite is a great example of how Hillsdale Academy could be pierced. There, Whitmore Lake was able to place two girls ahead of the HA group and two within. The victory for HA came through the difference between their 5^th-7^th and WL’s 5^th. This new feature on athletic.live is a great visual:

You can see where the point gaps lie, for a Whitmore Lake upset, the Trojans will need to drive home runners in front of Hillsdale’s cluster.

Also too, Onekama has a great chance of getting onto the podium. Another past meet gives a look at an example – Portage. The Portagers’ top-three were able to come in front of WL’s 2^nd, their top-four in front of WL’s 3^rd.

The ratings see a large grouping of girls in the 21-flat range. Odds for the latter two teams increase if HA’s is included, they decrease if HA stays clear of that cluster.

Podium Order	Podium Order %
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Whitmore Lake	71.0
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Onekama	17.6
1. Whitmore Lake, 2. Hillsdale Academy	5.0
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Gobles	2.6
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Concord	1.3

Top-5 Order	Top-5 Order %
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Whitmore Lake, 3. Onekama, 4. Gobles, 5. Concord	12.7
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Whitmore Lake, 3. Gobles, 4. Onekama, 5. Concord	6.8
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Whitmore Lake, 3. Onekama, 4. Concord, 5. Gobles	6.7
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Whitmore Lake, 3. Onekama, 4. Gobles, 5. Martin	5.1
1. Hillsdale Academy, 2. Onekama, 3. Whitmore Lake, 4. Gobles, 5. Concord	4.8

BOYS INDIVIDUAL

The projections see a close field between the top-7, perhaps separated into two tiers. The first contains Lincoln Laansma, Anthony Rowe, and Abram Fettig. The second contains Christian Getz, Noah Schipper, Cooper Burt, and Brady Edwards.

The first three have either been more consistent or hit higher highs. For Laansma, this would’ve been at Portage, a 15:38 effort that captured the D4 race or at Ottawa Hills, home of his 15:35 personal best. Rowe showed at Holly that adverse conditions can be in his favor, with rain coming soon to MIS, this may benefit him. Fettig has been perhaps the most consistent, running at a sub-16 equivalent for half of his final six races.

We have one common matchup between all three, a Portage Invite where Laansma took control of the race in the second mile, opening up a 15-sec. gap that he’d hold over Rowe, Edwards, and Fettig. Rowe and Fettig have raced together just recently, a regional race at Shepherd that saw Rowe set a new school record (15:33), breaking 2019 D4 Champ Mason Sumner’s mark. A month earlier, we saw them compete on the same day at Bluejay, with Fettig laying down a 15:45, his quickest mark of the year.

Tactically, this race could be fascinating as well, with Laansma perhaps trying to burn the kick out of Rowe, who’s set all sorts of Breckenridge records on the oval. I expect the day to kick off in an exciting manner.

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Lincoln Laansma	Tri-Unity Christian	2.3
2	12	Anthony Rowe	Breckenridge	3.1
3	10	Abram Fettig	Saginaw Nouvel	3.9
4	12	Brady Edwards	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	5.4
5	12	Noah Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	5.7
6	12	Christian Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	6.1
7	9	Cooper Burt	Breckenridge	6.3
8	12	Kyle Redman	Mesick	8.3
9	12	Elias Baldwin	Decatur	10.8
10	11	Nolan Koscinski	Bear Lake	12.6
11	12	Brody VanTuinen	Holland Calvary Christian	12.9
12	11	Reagan Downing	Holland Calvary Christian	13.8
13	12	Francis Austen	Portland St. Patrick	16.6
14	12	Gibson White	Holland Calvary Christian	16.7
15	12	Owen Ledebuhr	Holland Calvary Christian	18.9
16	11	Peter Winn	Hillsdale Academy	20.3
17	12	Jacob Ferdubinski	Riverview Gabriel Richard	21.4
18	10	Henry Rorick	Hillsdale Academy	21.7
19	10	Stephen Holm	Hillsdale Academy	21.7
20	12	Ty Redman	Mesick	25.1
21	11	Liam Knuth	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	28.9
22	10	Gus Barr	Breckenridge	29.1
23	12	Alec Dodak	Manchester	29.8
24	12	Dom Chiverton	Breckenridge	29.9
25	11	Lance Niedzielski	Mason County Eastern	30.1
26	12	Wesley Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	32.1
27	11	Owen Jarosz	Frankfort	32.3
28	12	Timothy Gaebler	Hillsdale Academy	32.4
29	10	Gavin Bowers	Austin Catholic	32.5
30	11	Leo Weaver	Whitmore Lake	33.3
31	9	Samuel McIndoe	Novi Christian Academy	33.7
32	12	Rush Marsden	Fulton	35.0
33	12	Daniel Chaney	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	35.4
34	9	Benjamin Bolinder	Bridgman	39.3
35	10	James Sanders	Breckenridge	41.2
36	10	Fletcher Amos	Gobles	42.4
37	11	Cole Wesley	Petoskey St. Michael	44.1
38	9	Linkon Utter	Holland Calvary Christian	44.4
39	11	Christopher Knudsen	Leland	44.8
40	12	Micah Arlow	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	47.4
41	10	Thomas Sigler	Martin	48.0
42	11	Keannan Marr	Holton	49.1
43	12	Silas Carroll	Ivywood Classical Academy	49.5
44	12	Kellen Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	50.0
45	10	Carson Ernsberger	Bridgman	50.3
46	11	Jackson Anderson	Muskegon Catholic Central	50.8
47	12	Max Barron	Tekonsha	51.6
48	10	Ethan Harrand	Buckley	52.7
49	10	Blake Root	Sand Creek	53.1
50	9	Grady Hanes	Petoskey St. Michael	55.2
51	11	Beckett Dennis	Grand Traverse Academy	57.2
52	11	Jacob Tatsak	Adrian Lenawee Christian	58.4
53	11	Nolan Stadel	Genesee Christian	59.0
54	12	Carter Toensfeldt	Fairview	60.2
55	11	Joseph Coon	White Cloud	60.9
56	11	Wyatt Blohm	Vassar	61.9
57	10	Cooper Feagan	Petoskey St. Michael	62.4
58	12	Joseph White	Ann Arbor Rudolf Steiner	63.6
59	11	Campbell Fedderman	Leland	64.3
60	12	Silas Daniels	Sand Creek	66.0
61	12	Eric Junker	Whitmore Lake	67.7
62	12	Carson Van Sickle	Hillsdale Academy	68.1
63	11	Atticus Cadarette	Petoskey St. Michael	69.0
64	12	John Birzer	Hillsdale Academy	69.1
65	11	Will Bernacki	Royal Oak Shrine	72.7
66	11	Carter Suttmann	Leland	72.9
67	11	Nathan West	Webberville	74.9
68	11	Richard Lewis	Whitmore Lake	74.9
69	11	Nolan Collins	Whitmore Lake	74.9
70	12	Amos Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	76.0
71	10	Logan Platte	Fowler	77.4
72	12	Gunnar Hallett	Mesick	77.6
73	Jr	Mason Jager	Traverse City Christian	77.8
74	10	Kyle Doty	Mesick	78.1
75	12	Trevor Dolloff	Fulton	78.4
76	12	Halston Hooley	Byron	78.5
77	11	Jeremiah VanHouten	Martin	78.6
78	10	Callen Eldred	Montabella	81.7
79	12	Ryan Miller	Hillsdale Academy	82.0
80	11	Kollin Spyker	Mason County Eastern	82.3
81	9	Evan Johnson	Manchester	82.6
82	12	Brody Jeruzal	Ann Arbor Christian	85.0
83	11	Jackson Onofre	Novi Christian Academy	86.3
84	11	Levi Fitchett	Dryden	87.9
85	12	Hunter Hayes	Martin	90.8
86	9	Cole Dillon	Whitmore Lake	91.4
87	10	Oliver Burt	Breckenridge	92.0
88	11	Donovan Wells	Potterville	92.5
89	11	Kaiden Lague	Mason County Eastern	92.8
90	12	Noah Dubridge	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	94.1
91	10	Lukasz Butkiewicz	Kalamazoo Hackett	94.2
92	11	Keagan Beyer	Onaway	95.8
93	10	Weston Guza	Ubly	96.0
94	9	Liam Hatterman	Royal Oak Shrine	96.1
95	12	Christian Brash	Allen Park Cabrini	97.0
96	12	Thijs Van Rijn	Kingston	98.5
97	11	Cayd Wohlscheid	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	98.9
98	10	Abraham Poel	East Jordan	99.8
99	12	Benjamin Fox	Whitmore Lake	100.2
100	12	Brayden Steele	Byron	101.7

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL

We’ve got two highly-accomplished harriers in contention for the top spot – Libby Smith and Kaylie Livingston. Each has been All-State in Track/XC on 12 occasions. Expanding on that, each have medaled on each occasion they’ve raced at MIS. This past spring, Kaylie won the 1600m title and Libby won the 3200m title.

This fall, Smith has been running at her highest level yet. This may not reflect in time, as her PR from her junior year still stands. However, she’s hit under 18:15 on five occasions, a barrier that she broke on three occasions at this point in 2025. These high-level, consistent races included a win at Portage, the first in her career.

Livingston has continued her success into her senior year. In the past few weeks, she earned her fourth consecutive MIAC and Region 33 crowns. The latter of which was home to a 17:55, her 5^th straight year of sub-18’s (yeah, MITCA in 8^th grade counts!).

Two have raced on the same day once, at Otsego Bulldog, where Smith ran 1.6 seconds faster, 18:06.7 to 18:08.3. They’ve raced in the same race twice, with differing results. Livingston won the first matchup at Spartan, breaking away in the latter half of the 2^nd mile, opening up an ever-increasing gap. A nearly opposite scenario unfolded at Portage, with Smith driving a torrential early pace, causing a chasm that never relented.

Both have championship experience, both are unafraid of taking it from the gun. I expect neither of the two to fold and a great race to be on our hands.

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Libby Smith	Gobles	1.8
2	12	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake	1.9
3	11	Callie Sinke	Onekama	3.6
4	12	Veyda Conley	Martin	3.6
5	9	Faith Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	5.5
6	11	Sophie Grinage	Leland	7.3
7	10	Norah Kiley	Kingston	7.9
8	10	Ryleigh Alderink	Holton	11.5
9	12	Evelyn Meyer	Hillsdale Academy	12.1
10	12	Ava DeYoung	Gobles	12.3
11	9	Grace Jolin	Dansville	14.9
12	11	Cassidy Bowers	Austin Catholic	15.9
13	12	Lindsey Nordyke	Byron Center Zion Christian	16.0
14	11	Julia White	Portland St. Patrick	18.1
15	12	Kiera Piper	Kalamazoo Hackett	18.2
16	10	Faith Smith	Genesee Christian	19.5
17	12	Lauren Shaffer	Gobles	22.7
18	10	Audrey Pyle	Concord	23.9
19	11	Ava Bates	Lutheran Westland	25.0
20	12	Veronica Paga	Petoskey St. Michael	25.1
21	11	Melodie Hulinek	Bear Lake	26.3
22	11	Malynda Lambros	Whitmore Lake	26.6
23	12	Addy Zeller	Onekama	26.9
24	9	Amy Walker	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	28.7
25	9	Madalyn Stolz	Dansville	29.2
26	10	Ava Higley	Frankfort	29.9
27	10	Zakia Wagoner	Onekama	30.0
28	11	Taylor Wills	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	33.2
29	10	Heather Morris	Hillsdale Academy	34.2
30	9	Sophia Messing	Deckerville	36.8
31	11	Zoe Fabing	Fowler	37.2
32	11	Anna Howell	Bridgman	38.4
33	9	Clara Thelen	Fowler	41.7
34	10	Eliza Roberts	Hillsdale Academy	43.3
35	12	Natalie Burpee	Leland	43.7
36	11	Mea Wesley	Petoskey St. Michael	44.3
37	9	Norah Tracy	Hillsdale Academy	47.1
38	11	Allison Rodgers	Martin	48.3
39	12	Madison Smith	Grand Traverse Academy	48.8
40	10	Audrey Rinehart	Concord	49.7
41	9	Sierra Sherer	Whitmore Lake	49.7
42	11	Ella Lamb	Royal Oak Shrine	50.6
43	12	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian	51.4
44	10	Tessa Rutherford	Bear Lake	54.1
45	12	Moira Beier	Hillsdale Academy	54.6
46	11	Deirdre O’Connell	Allen Park Cabrini	55.1
47	12	Haley Stimer	Concord	55.2
48	10	Isabella West	Mayville	55.3
49	12	Tess Hoedel	Grand Traverse Academy	56.2
50	9	Kara Unger	Lutheran Westland	57.0
51	9	Gabby Weigold	Breckenridge	57.3
52	11	Lorelei Stemme	Hillsdale Academy	57.8
53	9	Delilah Russ	Bellevue	58.3
54	11	Peyton Rohn	Fulton	59.4
55	11	Claire Wright	Dryden	59.9
56	11	Madison Markowicz	Novi Christian Academy	59.9
57	9	Audreona Gillette	White Cloud	60.2
58	11	Skylar Maclennan	Fulton	60.7
59	9	June Counts	Whitmore Lake	61.5
60	11	Payton King	Kingston	61.9
61	12	Maren Gehrke	Hillsdale Academy	66.3
62	9	Rachel Spaulding	Livingston Christian	66.5
63	11	Maizy Matthews	Breckenridge	66.8
64	9	Amelia Hoyt	Bellaire	67.2
65	11	Lila Wolcott	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	68.8
66	8	Hermella Samson	Novi Christian Academy	68.9
67	12	Sydney Erickson	Lutheran Westland	70.8
68	12	Lauryn Evans	Howardsville Christian	71.2
69	10	Sadie Mueller	St. Charles	71.5
70	10	Audrey Molnar	Lutheran Westland	71.8
71	9	Kennedy Geden	Royal Oak Shrine	73.1
72	12	Evelyn McIndoe	Novi Christian Academy	74.1
73	10	Maezee Humm	Breckenridge	74.2
74	9	Eden Weidmayer	Manchester	75.8
75	12	Ryann Ball	Montabella	76.0
76	12	Marian Davlin	Portland St. Patrick	76.9
77	9	Amity Moore	Petoskey St. Michael	80.9
78	10	Reese Brege	Rogers City	81.3
79	12	Sara Schipper	Martin	81.3
80	12	Louisa Denks	Royal Oak Shrine	82.5
81	10	Cayla Buss	Decatur	83.3
82	10	Lillian Coen	Central Lake / Ellsworth	85.0
83	11	Abbygail Plester	Ubly	89.8
84	12	Jewlia Trowbridge	Mesick	89.9
85	12	Avary Bearden	East Jordan	90.5
86	10	Lilianna Carroll	Ivywood Classical Academy	91.3
87	12	Jessica Stouten	Vestaburg	91.3
88	12	Addison Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	92.1
89	11	Myah Peruski	Ubly	92.8
90	10	Josephine Furman	Indian River Inland Lakes	94.1
91	12	Bailey Case	Pentwater	94.3
92	11	Delaney McBride	Kalamazoo Hackett	96.7
93	10	Ella Gustner	Dryden	97.2
94	9	Maddie Howes	Breckenridge	97.9
95	11	Peyten Albertson	Marlette	99.3
96	10	Paige Arlow	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	99.6
97	12	Tsune DuCheny	Buckley	100.7
98	9	Madeline Zahner	Manchester	101.3
99	12	Caroline Darrah	Whitmore Lake	101.7
100	9	Caroline Conklin	Bridgman	102.5