2026 Division 3 Finals Projections

State Week has arrived. Just as previous weeks and the Regional Projections, you get a ton of math and a little preview. Simulations and odds and stats and projections are the vehicle for talking about the best sport in the world, which will be on display Saturday at MIS.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

The regional projections were pretty solid this year. Adding up all the odds from the projected top-3 teams, you’d get 199 correct qualifiers. There were 197, essentially coming within a percentage point.

A change I made last year to shore up the projections was to filter out less important meets. These conference and weekday meets are great for building the database and showing the development of athletes who may not even run at the regional level, but they often are home to a runner’s slower efforts. All the important weekend meets are included. This same methodology is present here in 2026. One thing I noticed from looking back at ’25 is that early season meets weren’t adjusted highly enough. That has changed for 2026, although I’m not sure it’ll be a huge factor as those meets aren’t weighted that heavily at this point in the season.

The entries reflect those that are listed on athletic.net. These (and D3) are done before the Tuesday deadline, as I just don’t have time to wait.

1000 simulations were run, which allows for various stats and odds to be calculated. I have a bunch listed, more than ever before:

Proj. Place = sorting from the lowest average score to the highest
Avg. Score = the average team score across all simulations
Win% = odds that a team will win
Podium % = odds that a team will receive a trophy
Top-10% = odds that a team will place in the top-10
95% Range = 95% of the outcomes will fall in this range, so for each division there should be around one outlier. I’d call this a fully confident chance.
65% Range = 65% of the outcomes will fall in this range, so for each division there should be around ten outliers. I’d call this a solid bet.
Podium Order % = the odds that the top-2 will fall in exactly that order
Top-5 Order % = the odds that the top-5 will fall exactly in that order

I also have an individual’s odds of winning and receiving All-State, though I’ll decline to post those until afterward.

As always, enjoy the writings. May they be a boost of confidence or a spur of motivation. Either way, they’re done out of love for the great competitors in Michigan. I’ll see you on Saturday.

BOYS TEAM

Hanover-Horton entered the season as the #2 team, based in large part on a strong track season. Chad Tyson and Cooper Flick were thought to be two low-sticks, but the depth pieces that made gains during the spring would need to advance further into the fall. Early returns suggested that H-H was for real, generating high ratings at Meckley’s and the Hillsdale Invite. Then came a serious of large meets – Spartan, Holly, Jackson, Bluejay, and Portage. All resulted in Comet victories, often against the best that D3 had to offer.

Other teams are in contention, the main contender being Hart. The Pirates trailed the Comets by just 12 pts. at Portage, their deep squad containing seven runners that’d be scoring contributors on every other D3 team. They’re coming off some extremely fast times at Benzie, their top-seven boys all running under 16:30.

Adding up the odds of the other teams and you get to 10%, a viable chance at an upset coming from the four. Lansing Catholic earned a 2^nd place finish in 2025 despite having zero All-State honors. This year, the Cougars have the power up front to challenge the podium and as a consequence, the team has benefitted. Portage represented one of their better races of the year, LC placed 3^rd in that crowded field. Jonesville is a battle-tested squad, emerging from the tough Region 23 with a supreme performance, five under 17:00. That race gave H-H a bit of a struggle, a great outline for a potential surprise on Saturday. Saugatuck features an experience-laden group that’s been here before. Charlevoix, too, the defending champions. One can’t help but think either has been saving a little for this moment.

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Hanover-Horton	135	75	92	95+
2	Lansing Catholic	180	3	27	95+
3	Hart	183	14	38	95+
4	Jonesville	190	3	19	95+
5	Saugatuck	206	2	13	95+
6	Maple City Glen Lake	219		3	95+
7	Charlevoix	221	2	7	95+
8	Centreville	258			95+
9	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	332			49
10	Benzie Central	334			46
11	Blissfield	341			43
12	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	365			12
13	Holland Black River	366			14
14	Pewamo-Westphalia	369			14
15	Caro	370			12
16	Gladwin	398			6
17	Ann Arbor Greenhills	405
18	Traverse City St. Francis	442
19	Midland Bullock Creek	444
20	Ithaca	459			4
21	Delton-Kellogg	475
22	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	484
23	Montrose	493
24	Buchanan	533
25	Erie Mason	545
26	Roscommon	549
27	Leslie	567

Proj. Place	Team	95% Range	65% Range
1	Hanover-Horton	1 to 4	1 to 2
2	Lansing Catholic	1 to 6	2 to 4
3	Hart	1 to 8	2 to 6
4	Jonesville	1 to 7	2 to 6
5	Saugatuck	2 to 8	3 to 7
6	Maple City Glen Lake	2 to 8	4 to 7
7	Charlevoix	2 to 8	4 to 7
8	Centreville	5 to 10	7 to 8
9	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	8 to 16	9 to 13
10	Benzie Central	7 to 17	9 to 14
11	Blissfield	9 to 17	9 to 14
12	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	9 to 18	11 to 15
13	Holland Black River	9 to 18	11 to 16
14	Pewamo-Westphalia	9 to 19	11 to 16
15	Caro	9 to 19	11 to 16
16	Gladwin	10 to 21	13 to 18
17	Ann Arbor Greenhills	12 to 20	15 to 18
18	Traverse City St. Francis	15 to 23	17 to 21
19	Midland Bullock Creek	15 to 23	17 to 21
20	Ithaca	10 to 25	16 to 23
21	Delton-Kellogg	17 to 24	19 to 23
22	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	17 to 26	19 to 24
23	Montrose	12 to 27	19 to 25
24	Buchanan	18 to 27	22 to 26
25	Erie Mason	20 to 27	23 to 27
26	Roscommon	21 to 27	23 to 27
27	Leslie	23 to 27	25 to 27

The projections love Hanover-Horton because of the Comet’s consistency. They’ve passed all the major tests, coming out victorious in each instance. One has to squint hard to notice moments of vulnerability. Their closest call may have come last week, eking out a 6-point win over Jonesville. But even then, H-H placed four boys under 16:30 (at Sharp Park, a legit course) and all five under 17:00.

Hart’s path is very simple – get numbers in front of H-H. In race #596 from the simulation, the Pirates were able to do that, placing six boys in front of H-H’s 4^th. Judging by the projected conditions, this might be in the 16:30 to 16:45 range. If there’s a conglomerate of other competitors in that range, Hart may find an advantage with a significant amount of points heading elsewhere.

There’s a whopping seven teams with podium possibilities. It’s telling of the competitive depth that when outlining the highest possibility of a top-5 scenario, that only comes in 2% of the time.

Podium Order	Podium Order %
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart	22.8
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Lansing Catholic	21.3
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Jonesville	13.9
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Saugatuck	9.6
1. Hart, 2. Hanover-Horton	9.5

Top-5 Order	Top-5 Order %
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart, 3. Lansing Catholic, 4. Jonesville, 5. Saugatuck	2.1
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart, 3. Jonesville, 4. Lansing Catholic, 5. Maple City Glen Lake	1.7
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart, 3. Lansing Catholic, 4. Jonesville, 5. Charlevoix	1.5
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart, 3. Jonesville, 4. Lansing Catholic, 5. Saugatuck	1.5
1. Hanover-Horton, 2. Hart, 3. Lansing Catholic, 4. Saugatuck, 5. Jonesville	1.4

GIRLS TEAM

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Podium %	Top-10 %
1	Lansing Catholic	104	95+	95+	95+
2	Traverse City St. Francis	179		52	95+
3	Lake City	199		23	95+
4	Jackson Lumen Christi	216		7	95+
5	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	216		5	95+
6	Pewamo-Westphalia	228		4	95+
7	Kent City	229		7	94
8	Benzie Central	245			94
9	Saugatuck	263			77
10	Ithaca	287			56
11	McBain	295			49
12	Hart	326			17
13	Olivet	337			7
14	Blissfield	362			4
15	Chesaning	388
16	Sanford-Meridian	398
17	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	413
18	Harbor Beach	431
19	Leslie	452
20	Jonesville	473
21	Harbor Springs	482
22	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	486
23	Grandville Calvin Christian	509
24	Clinton	601
25	Grass Lake	614
26	Watervliet	615
27	Holland Black River	619

The model sees Lansing Catholic as a heavy favorite. Their depth is on par with the rest of the field, but their gains come from their low-sticks, three that are in real contention for an All-State bid. With a greater quantity of elite runners than other team competitors, the Cougars will likely gain an advantage up front too great for others to eat into.

The race for the other podium spot is intriguing. The projections like Traverse City St. Francis a little more than Lake City. Lake City’s high might be higher, evidenced last week. Though TCSF’s season-long consistency gives a higher chance of another solid race coming forth. And there are others, with an >20% chance that someone besides the three mentioned will hoist a trophy.

Examples of each were abound in the simulations, such as:

Race #426, where Kent City placed their elite top-three in the top-25 of the team scoring, then had their depth pieces mix it up with others.

Race #808, where Grand Rapids Covenant Christian had the best 5^th in the field by a distinct margin.

Race #331, where Lumen Christi had a surprise All-Stater join Schroeder, providing enough of a change to capture 2^nd.

Race #1000, where P-W was able to pack four in or near the podium, offering enough firepower up front that the XC math worked in their favor.

I should also mention that there are some very experienced coaches among these trophy-contending teams, coaches that are well-schooled in preparing their athletes for a grand environment.

Proj. Place	Team	95% Range	65% Range
1	Lansing Catholic	1st	1st
2	Traverse City St. Francis	2 to 6	2 to 4
3	Lake City	2 to 9	2 to 6
4	Jackson Lumen Christi	2 to 9	3 to 7
5	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	2 to 9	4 to 7
6	Pewamo-Westphalia	2 to 10	4 to 8
7	Kent City	2 to 11	4 to 9
8	Benzie Central	3 to 11	5 to 9
9	Saugatuck	3 to 13	6 to 11
10	Ithaca	5 to 14	8 to 12
11	McBain	6 to 14	9 to 12
12	Hart	8 to 16	11 to 14
13	Olivet	9 to 16	11 to 14
14	Blissfield	10 to 18	12 to 16
15	Chesaning	11 to 20	13 to 18
16	Sanford-Meridian	12 to 20	14 to 18
17	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	14 to 20	15 to 18
18	Harbor Beach	13 to 22	16 to 20
19	Leslie	14 to 23	17 to 21
20	Jonesville	16 to 23	18 to 22
21	Harbor Springs	15 to 24	19 to 23
22	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	17 to 23	19 to 23
23	Grandville Calvin Christian	18 to 24	21 to 23
24	Clinton	22 to 27	24 to 27
25	Grass Lake	23 to 27	24 to 27
26	Watervliet	23 to 27	24 to 27
27	Holland Black River	24 to 27	25 to 27

Podium Order	Podium Order %
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Traverse City St. Francis	51.6
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Lake City	22.2
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Kent City	6.7
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Jackson Lumen Christi	6.5
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	5.1

Top-5 Order	Top-5 Order %
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Traverse City St. Francis, 3. Lake City, 4. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian, 5. Jackson Lumen Christi	2.2
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Traverse City St. Francis, 3. Lake City, 4. Jackson Lumen Christi, 5. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	1.8
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Lake City, 3. Traverse City St. Francis, 4. Jackson Lumen Christi, 5. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	1.4
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Lake City, 3. Traverse City St. Francis, 4. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian, 5. Jackson Lumen Christi	1.4
1. Lansing Catholic, 2. Traverse City St. Francis, 3. Jackson Lumen Christi, 4. Lake City, 5. Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	1.3

BOYS INDIVIDUAL

Anytime you have a defending champion in the race, they command initial attention. Last November, Hunter Eaton proved his quick mid-season times true, showing that his 15:22 from Bluejay was thrown down by someone with real fitness and someone that could outlast the entire D3 field. He hasn’t been quite as quick this fall, but has he needed to? His 15:30 from Portage shows he can be every bit of a contender.

Of course, having a fellow competitor with a target on their back gives others a reference point for their races. Many others have made their case over the course of the season, such as:

Nole Lorenzen – Oakland County champion who owns the fastest time in the division this fall.

Cooper Flick – Region 23 champion that’s consistently hit mid-15’s when needed these past few months.

Logan Youngman – owner of the 2^nd fastest D3 time and also the defending 3200m champion

Luke Herron – every 2026 race has been of the sub-16 variety, a consistency that gives Herron a high floor

Caleb Blonde – maybe the best blend of speed and endurance in the field. 4×8 champion and 3^rd in the 800m this past track season to go along with a 15:29 from a few weeks back.

Owen Poppema – 28^th here as a freshman, 8^th last year, and just set a PR in his Region 24 victory. Perhaps more progress is on the table?

Christian Craanen – maybe a bit underrated in these numbers. When he’s needed to run fast, he has (15:21), but also just content chilling to a league championship.

Will Hulin – has only lost twice on the year. One of the many victories was a Portage win over a slew of D3 luminaries.

Spencer McNitt – got pulled along to a 15:40 at Bluejay, then won one of the tougher D3 regions (Benzie) with a 15:32. That’s the fastest sophomore mark of a George Drown-coached runner, and he’s coached some good ones.

These are the best fields, where it’ll surely be a war of attrition between many similar candidates.

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Nole Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	2.2
2	12	Cooper Flick	Hanover-Horton	5.3
3	12	Luke Herron	Caro	7.6
4	12	Logan Youngman	Hillsdale	9.8
5	12	Caleb Blonde	Jonesville	10.2
6	12	Hunter Eaton	Charlevoix	10.4
7	11	Owen Poppema	Bath	11.6
8	10	Spencer McNitt	Maple City Glen Lake	12.0
9	11	Will Hulin	Centreville	12.5
10	12	Chad Tyson	Hanover-Horton	14.9
11	11	Christian Craanen	Monroe St. Mary CC	15.0
12	12	Jonas Ballard	Holland Black River	15.7
13	12	Owen Windgaston	Clawson	18.3
14	12	William Gancer	Stockbridge	18.7
15	12	John Kowatch	Pewamo-Westphalia	20.8
16	12	Evan MacLaren	Ithaca	20.9
17	11	Eli VanPoortfliet	Benzie Central	21.2
18	10	Isaac Cox	Plymouth Christian Academy	22.0
19	12	Abraham Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	22.2
20	11	Soren Crosthwaite	Jackson Lumen Christi	24.5
21	12	Naveen Kulkarni	Ann Arbor Greenhills	24.5
22	12	Everett Beach	Lansing Catholic	28.1
23	12	William Ready	Traverse City St. Francis	28.7
24	10	Max Reed	Centreville	29.9
25	10	Asher Putman	Reese	30.0
26	12	Téo Krumm	Lansing Catholic	30.5
27	11	Jackson Bowman	Saugatuck	31.4
28	12	Cage Edingfield	Benzie Central	32.6
29	9	Nick Overweg	Centreville	32.7
30	12	Rocky Bolton	Jackson Lumen Christi	33.8
31	11	Clint Couchman	Brooklyn Columbia Central	36.0
32	12	Ryder Hopkins	Charlevoix	36.5
33	11	Nolan Kessler	Montague	36.6
34	11	Tristan Hernandez	Kingsley	36.8
35	11	Michael Weidmayer	Blissfield	38.2
36	9	Coen Lorenzen	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	41.2
37	11	Edison Huizinga	Manistee	41.5
38	12	Grant Rehkopf	Saugatuck	41.8
39	11	Wyatt Hassenzahl	Hanover-Horton	42.6
40	12	James Tennes	Lansing Catholic	45.5
41	12	Landon Madden	Delton-Kellogg	47.3
42	11	Silas Ackley	Hart	47.8
43	12	Collin Fucile	Jonesville	50.0
44	12	Owen Sytsema	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	52.9
45	11	Eli Hobson	Montrose	54.6
46	12	Jaxon Hemgesberg	Chesaning	55.0
47	11	Tyler Harris	Hanover-Horton	55.0
48	10	Henry Cooper	Ann Arbor Greenhills	55.6
49	11	Noah Sills	Blissfield	55.8
50	12	Logan Young	Harrison	56.0
51	11	Timothy Wolff	Hart	59.4
52	11	Grady Richey	Lansing Catholic	60.0
53	11	Ashton Potwin	Jonesville	60.5
54	12	David Castrejon	Newaygo	61.4
55	10	Aiden Willett	Lakeview	62.3
56	12	Marcus Silva	Saugatuck	63.0
57	10	Christian Feeney	Maple City Glen Lake	64.7
58	11	Simon Reed	Plymouth Christian Academy	64.7
59	10	Bryce Youngman	Hillsdale	65.4
60	12	Sawyer Monroe	Saugatuck	65.9
61	12	Isaac Dionne	Boyne City	66.9
62	11	Aurie Selph	Charlevoix	67.5
63	12	Barrett Nance	North Muskegon	67.6
64	9	Alex Schiller	Hart	68.0
65	11	Azrael Horvath	Manton	69.4
66	11	Brendan Plante	Midland Bullock Creek	70.0
67	10	Reese DeVisser	Schoolcraft	70.4
68	11	Channing Rougeau	Jonesville	73.5
69	12	Mason Opalewski	Hart	73.5
70	11	Trevor VanderKodde	Hart	75.1
71	12	Evan Olson	Pigeon-Laker	75.1
72	11	Jacob Muladore	Charlevoix	76.1
73	12	Lincoln Bailey	Maple City Glen Lake	76.7
74	11	Hunter Walker	Quincy	76.9
75	12	Kenneth Mangles	Leslie	78.1
76	12	Carson Ackley	Hart	78.5
77	12	Connor Boteler	Grass Lake	79.3
78	11	Gabe Piach	Gladwin	80.8
79	12	Marshall Brandt	Midland Bullock Creek	81.6
80	9	Ivan Christensen	Gladwin	83.9
81	12	Evan Buteyn	Grandville Calvin Christian	85.9
82	12	John Keser	Buchanan	86.1
83	12	Owen VanderVlucht	Hart	86.3
84	12	Wyatt Werner	Pewamo-Westphalia	87.2
85	12	Evan Civinskas	Roscommon	87.5
86	10	Briggs Baker	Jonesville	88.5
87	11	Landon Shimkus	Charyl Stockwell Academy	89.6
88	11	Anderson Cook	Hanover-Horton	91.4
89	12	Elijah Killinger	Charyl Stockwell Academy	91.5
90	11	Mason Lincoln	Lakeview	91.5
91	12	Levi Schimmel	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	93.1
92	10	Jacob Daisy	Caro	93.6
93	10	Liam Plainte	Houghton Lake	94.0
94	10	Dutch Smith	Ithaca	95.1
95	12	Charlie George	Pewamo-Westphalia	96.1
96	12	Oliver Graetz	Benzie Central	96.1
97	11	Jack Songer	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	96.4
98	11	Remyngton Clish	Sanford-Meridian	96.9
99	12	Sebastian Zylstra	Holland Black River	98.5
100	12	Aiden Mcdonald	Hartford	100.9

GIRLS INDIVIDUAL

Just as the boys race, there remains a defending champion in the field. One that charged home in the final meters last fall, proving her championship worth and fight. Now in her senior season, Samantha Schroeder has brought that fight to her final tour in a Lumen Christi jersey. The start to her season was full of victories, but rather inauspicious in terms of times. In recent weeks, that has changed, first with a 18:27 at Portage, then a 18:05 at Gabriel Richard, and her first sub-18 ever this past weekend at Region 23. She’s battle-tested, focused, and has been here before.

Challengers have risen to meet the occasion. Caelyn Torry’s hot streak has shown no signs of slowing down. The McBain junior turned over a new leaf in mid-September and has been roaring ever since, winning at Portage and unleashing the fastest time in the division on Saturday at Benzie. Tiya Feldpausch has flown under the radar in terms of time or prominent races, but she’s found a level of consistency that portrays a runner that can move with D3’s best. She’s been sub-18:30 in seven of her past eight races, winning the CAAC White and placing 4^th at Greater Lansing. Slightly trailing Feldpausch in the CAAC White Championship was Lansing Catholic’s Josie Bishop. The Cougar junior might have the best track speed of the title contenders and it seems that the endurance side of her portfolio is starting to come around.

Never underestimate the heart of champions. They’ll be present in both of the individual races.

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Tiya Feldpausch	Olivet	2.3
2	11	Caelyn Torry	McBain	2.9
3	12	Samantha Schroeder	Jackson Lumen Christi	3.2
4	11	Josie Bishop	Lansing Catholic	5.5
5	12	Alyssa Kramer	Pewamo-Westphalia	6.4
6	11	Elliana Max	Kent City	7.4
7	9	Isadora Shaw	Lake City	8.0
8	10	Anna Drauer	Lansing Catholic	10.5
9	11	Madisyn Wanstead	Leroy Pine River	10.8
10	10	Lily Britton	Olivet	11.3
11	11	Avery Kelly	Benzie Central	14.7
12	9	Grace Jordan	Chesaning	16.1
13	11	Maggie McClellan	Benzie Central	16.6
14	11	Piper Lyon	Rochester Hills Lutheran NW	18.1
15	11	Maisey Toteff	Hanover-Horton	18.3
16	10	Calista George	Pewamo-Westphalia	19.8
17	9	Merrick Tacktor	Mason County Central	21.1
18	11	Lindsey Ludwig	Lansing Catholic	23.0
19	9	Maggie Mohrhardt	Traverse City St. Francis	23.2
20	12	Lyvia Curtis	Saugatuck	27.1
21	10	Ellyse Heyser	Saugatuck	27.5
22	11	Shelby Zimmer	Kent City	28.9
23	12	Shelby Kuiper	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	29.9
24	12	Violet Tetil	Caro	30.5
25	11	Lindsey Cmeyla	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	30.9
26	12	Natalie Rosema	Hart	31.8
27	12	Mikenna Nagel	Sanford-Meridian	32.8
28	12	Leah Sneller	Muskegon Western Michigan Christian	33.0
29	9	Aubrey Doan	Lake City	33.7
30	12	Isabelle Sliter	Fennville	34.2
31	12	Anna Hallett	Blissfield	35.0
32	11	Hattie Driver	Manistee	37.7
33	12	Makinna Foglesong	Ithaca	37.9
34	9	Hannah Muladore	Charlevoix	38.3
35	10	Katherine Schafer	Pewamo-Westphalia	45.7
36	12	Betsy Gooden	Manton	46.5
37	9	Lilly Kimble	Jackson Lumen Christi	46.6
38	10	Lily Sisson	Leroy Pine River	49.0
39	9	Avyrie Ottenbacher	Maple City Glen Lake	49.6
40	11	Elise Renkiewicz	Lake City	49.7
41	10	Madelynn Patterson	Olivet	50.5
42	10	Avery Haynes	Brooklyn Columbia Central	51.0
43	9	Abby Creisher	Leslie	52.1
44	9	Kate Rowe	Traverse City St. Francis	52.2
45	12	Molly Kate Hollandsworth	Traverse City St. Francis	54.1
46	10	Ellery Kemner	Traverse City St. Francis	55.1
47	12	Stefi Reskevics	Harbor Springs	55.2
48	9	Annie Lloyd	Lansing Catholic	55.3
49	12	Anna DeVries	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	55.5
50	9	Lucy Shemes	Ithaca	56.3
51	11	Emma Kerr	Traverse City St. Francis	58.5
52	9	Juliet Siemen	Harbor Beach	59.5
53	11	Isabelle Currie	Lansing Catholic	60.0
54	10	Sydney Knieper	New Lothrop	60.6
55	10	Sage Palmer	Sandusky	60.8
56	10	Kate DeVries	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	65.8
57	12	Grace Wonch	Lansing Catholic	65.9
58	10	Joselyn Vogel	Kent City	66.9
59	12	Emily Beethe	Saginaw Valley Lutheran	67.4
60	9	Abigail Jordan	Chesaning	67.9
61	10	Mila Scheele	Jackson Lumen Christi	69.1
62	11	Sarah Nothstine	Midland Bullock Creek	71.5
63	12	Emma Reimer	New Haven	72.3
64	11	Khloe Lehnst	Ithaca	72.5
65	11	Alaina Schaner	Hart	72.7
66	12	Faith Jenkins	Grandville Calvin Christian	72.9
67	12	Lydia Minderhoud	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	73.2
68	10	Anamaria Brazdau	Plymouth Christian Academy	73.9
69	11	Ella Claus	Clinton	74.3
70	9	Reagan Shadley	Cass City	75.3
71	11	Abbie Koole	Grand Rapids Covenant Christian	77.2
72	11	Margaret Guerra-Harrison	Leslie	77.5
73	9	Bella Young	Harrison	78.5
74	12	Cailin Spearman	Harbor Beach	80.5
75	11	Faith Helsel	Lake City	80.8
76	11	Alyvia Janke	Unionville-Sebewaing	81.3
77	9	Ellie Sills	Blissfield	83.5
78	12	Kamryn Salladay	Lakeview	84.2
79	11	Takoda Holicki	Montrose	84.3
80	12	Alonna Goodsell	Bronson	85.8
81	10	Ella Worthing	Jackson Lumen Christi	86.1
82	10	Kristina Bott	Benzie Central	86.5
83	9	Elina Guffy	Saugatuck	87.1
84	12	Ellie Beach	Sanford-Meridian	87.6
85	12	Kamryn Sixberry	Saugatuck	88.4
86	11	Taylor Stanczak	Almont	88.9
87	12	Madelyn Reinink	McBain	90.7
88	12	Brynlee Swihart	Hanover-Horton	92.8
89	11	Olivia Brown	Bad Axe	94.9
90	10	Rebekah Huber	Midland Bullock Creek	95.5
91	11	Averie Stefanovsky	Caro	96.4
92	11	Ruby Gross	Chesaning	96.7
93	12	Shiaire Little	Dearborn Heights Robichaud	98.5
94	11	Kaitlyn Kaple	Benzie Central	98.5
95	9	Avery Jones	Grass Lake	100.4
96	11	Esther Cahill	Saranac	100.6
97	10	Mya Bronkema	McBain	100.8
98	9	Maisen Schaedler	Hudson	102.8
99	9	Rhylee McNair	Jonesville	105.1
100	12	Nico Triebold	Grayling	105.5