2026 Regional Projections: Division Four

My favorite and most controversial posts of the year!

The rankings and ratings from each race and each week are one aspect of the work that I do, this is another. These take those ratings and the variability from a runner’s resume, then apply that to a projection.

An explanation from previous years that still holds true:

Through a season’s worth of speed ratings, one can determine a runner’s average rating and the variability of those ratings. Both those factors are then weighed towards more recent meets, which are then simulated thousands of times using a Monte Carlo analysis (also described by TullyRunners here). Over those thousands of race simulations, one can determine a team’s average place and average score, a runner’s average place, odds on winning, and odds on qualifying.

These are useful in cross country scenarios, where you have consistent runners and those who are a bit more up and down. For example:

Tanner Time	Tanner Rating	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev.
15:30	210
15:45	205
16:00	200
16:15	195
16:30	190	200	7.91
MIXCSR Time	MIXCSR Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev.
16:09	197
16:12	196
16:15	195
16:18	194
16:21	193	195	1.58

Jacob at his best might be faster than I in four of the five races during the season. I’d almost never be All-State in Division 1, but he might contend for a top-5 spot or place 60^th.

If we did 20 simulations, this is how it might turn out:

Race	Tanner Avg.	Tanner StDev	Tanner Rating	MIXCSR Avg.	MIXCSR StDev	MIXCSR Rating
1	200	7.9	202.1	195	1.6	195.6
2	200	7.9	196.2	195	1.6	194.1
3	200	7.9	190.0	195	1.6	199.2
4	200	7.9	193.4	195	1.6	192.5
5	200	7.9	206.8	195	1.6	195.7
6	200	7.9	201.8	195	1.6	196.1
7	200	7.9	171.6	195	1.6	194.9
8	200	7.9	189.2	195	1.6	195.9
9	200	7.9	205.5	195	1.6	197.0
10	200	7.9	203.8	195	1.6	192.6
11	200	7.9	192.3	195	1.6	196.5
12	200	7.9	196.9	195	1.6	196.4
13	200	7.9	198.5	195	1.6	195.6
14	200	7.9	203.2	195	1.6	194.1
15	200	7.9	193.9	195	1.6	192.6
16	200	7.9	199.3	195	1.6	193.2
17	200	7.9	208.7	195	1.6	194.2
18	200	7.9	213.7	195	1.6	194.6
19	200	7.9	212.6	195	1.6	197.1
20	200	7.9	206.3	195	1.6	193.9

I’d win four times, but I’d never have the ability to win a title like he had in Race 18. He’s usually All-State, but may cost his team a title through his effort in Race 7.

The simulations give the possibilities of those scenarios and all the various scoring scripts. A sixth girl that can pop off on any certain day, a reliable boy who always runs 17-flat, you name it. Hopefully, they better elucidate our contenders, qualifiers, and how these races play out over the weekend.

Last year at both the regional and state level, these projections were as predictive and accurate as ever. Through totaling up all the odds of the top-3 teams, I anticipated 193 of the qualifiers would be correct come regional day. The projections bested that by one team, 194 correct qualifiers. Similar results came from the State Finals.

A change I made last year to shore up the projections was to filter out less important meets. These conference and weekday meets are great for building the database and showing the development of athletes who may not even run at the regional level, but they often are home to a runner’s slower efforts. All the important weekend meets are included. This same methodology is present here in 2026. One thing I noticed from looking back at ’25 is that early season meets weren’t adjusted highly enough. That has changed for 2026, although I’m not sure it’ll be a huge factor as those meets aren’t weighted that heavily at this point in the season.

I should also mention that in order to be included, a runner had to take part in a rated race in October. This will attempt to account for injuries. There are also a few cases where I know a runner won’t be running the rest of the season.

Hopefully these can give an accurate portrayal of what’s to come, help with a little added motivation, or give a calming confidence. As accurate as they potentially could be, I live for the tales of the underdogs and look forward to hearing about (respectfully, of course) those unseen triumphs.

Your D4 Regional Projections…

SUMMER PROJECTIONS
MID-SEASON PROJECTIONS

Avg. Score = the average score across all the simulations
Proj. Place = determined by sorting through the average scores, from lowest to highest
Win % = odds that a team will win the region
Top-3 % = odds that a team will place in the top-3
Range = 95% of the outcomes fall within this range

REGION 28

Any Big Battles?

There are decent-sized gaps between the Fairview and Ellsworth boys, the Rogers City and East Jordan girls. But with small meet sizes and a small quantity of meets, much variability exists in the scenarios.

Fairview’s boys are considered the favorite, with the frontrunner Carter Toensfeldt setting the tone early. The Eagles will need a performance such as their one at Heritage, where all five scorers were at ~20:30 or faster. Ellsworth will be hoping that the consistency of their depth comes through. Korbin Drenth has been steady in the 21-min. range, running his best in the Ski Valley Conference meet, enough for the Lancers to place 2^nd. That may be the spot where they gain on Fairview.

The Rogers City girls sit in a good position, four girls projected in the top-15. Even if thing go awry on the back end, there’s a good chance that the Hurons can escape via the ol’ four in the top-20 rule. If Rogers City does get upset, it’ll be because East Jordan’s depth came up huge. Both Danica King and Tinly Richards dropped significant PB’s in the Red Devils’ 2^nd place Ski Valley finish. If that trend continues, a surprise could be in the works.

Boys

#6 Petoskey St. Michael
#26 Mackinaw City

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Petoskey St. Michael	25	95+	95+	1st
2	Mackinaw City	61		95+	2 to 3
3	Fairview	74		84	2 to 4
4	Ellsworth	90		16	3 to 5
5	East Jordan	104			4 to 5

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Cole Wesley	Petoskey St. Michael	1.8
2	9	Grady Hanes	Petoskey St. Michael	2.7
3	10	Cooper Feagan	Petoskey St. Michael	3.7
4	12	Carter Toensfeldt	Fairview	4.5
5	11	Atticus Cadarette	Petoskey St. Michael	4.5
6	10	Abraham Poel	East Jordan	6.8
7	11	Keagan Beyer	Onaway	7.5
8	9	Ryder Chellis	Ellsworth	9.7
9	10	Knox Wilson	Mackinaw City	10.7
10	10	Jaxx Weaver	Fairview	10.8
11	12	Kyle Valot	Mackinaw City	11.0
12	10	Mason Dawson	Ellsworth	11.2
13	11	Mikey Sullivan	Mackinaw City	12.0
14	10	Bjorn Johnson	Rogers City	16.3
15	11	Logan Holden	Indian River Inland Lakes	16.3
16	8	Clayton VanOrman	Mackinaw City	17.0
17	11	Phillip Anderson	Petoskey St. Michael	17.4
18	9	Eli Miron	Fairview	18.8
19	9	Cobe Robertson	Mackinaw City	18.9
20	11	Dominik Kranz	Petoskey St. Michael	20.3
21	12	Elijah Pulver	Petoskey St. Michael	21.5
22	11	Matthew Marzolo	Onaway	24.0
23	9	Isaac Larrison	Fairview	25.8
24	10	Peter Brower	East Jordan	26.1
25	9	Ethan Ford	Mackinaw City	26.2
26	9	Malachi DeLong	Mackinaw City	27.4
27	12	Jack Puroll	Ellsworth	29.7
28	11	Lewis Holmes	Bellaire	30.6
29	10	Jackson Bernier	East Jordan	30.6
30	9	Zander Thompson	Fairview	30.7

Girls

#21 Petoskey St. Michael
#24 Bellaire

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Petoskey St. Michael	56	85	95+	1 to 2
2	Bellaire	64	12	95+	1 to 3
3	Rogers City	74		84	2 to 4
4	East Jordan	84		17	3 to 5
5	Indian River Inland Lakes	100			4 to 6
6	Ellsworth	115			5 to 6
7	Mackinaw City	149			7th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Veronica Paga	Petoskey St. Michael	1.2
2	11	Mea Wesley	Petoskey St. Michael	2.6
3	9	Amelia Hoyt	Bellaire	4.3
4	9	Amity Moore	Petoskey St. Michael	5.5
5	10	Lillian Coen	Ellsworth	5.6
6	10	Reese Brege	Rogers City	5.6
7	11	Bristol Skop	East Jordan	7.4
8	12	Avary Bearden	East Jordan	7.8
9	10	Josephine Furman	Indian River Inland Lakes	8.8
10	12	Danielle Agren	Johannesburg-Lewiston	9.3
11	10	Madalyn Dewey	Bellaire	9.9
12	12	Avery Langlois	Rogers City	12.9
13	11	Fenlynn Johnson	Rogers City	13.4
14	10	Grace Campbell	Bellaire	14.0
15	11	Keri Coolman	Rogers City	14.5
16	12	Margaret Newman	Indian River Inland Lakes	16.1
17	9	Alexis Wenz	East Jordan	16.8
18	12	Morgan Reh	Bellaire	19.0
19	9	Bailey Strange	Ellsworth	19.8
20	12	Isabella Hocking	Bellaire	21.1
21	12	Rian Esper	Mackinaw City	21.9
22	12	Kylie LaFreniere	Whittemore-Prescott	23.9
23	9	Chloe Coveyou	Petoskey St. Michael	24.7
24	12	Lily Trevarrow	Whittemore-Prescott	26.0
25	11	Grace Lewis	Indian River Inland Lakes	28.0
26	12	Mackenzie Oeder	Ellsworth	28.1
27	12	Addyson Price	Indian River Inland Lakes	28.7
28	9	Kateri Kranz	Petoskey St. Michael	29.3
29	12	Mackenzie Biesel	Indian River Inland Lakes	30.0
30	9	Tinly Richards	East Jordan	30.6

REGION 29

Any Big Battles?

A wild one on the boys side, with four top-11 teams with a legitimate chance of advancing. Mesick is probably a little underrated, as Ty Redman’s numbers still contain some of his rust-busting return. The three of Leland, Mason County Eastern, and Grand Traverse Academy all have similar outfits, five boys projected in the top-27 here. Leland has featured a full lineup in their NWC meets and has missed kids outside their league competition. A full lineup would be a boon. At the WMD Championship, GTA was able to squeak by MCE by a single point, crucial spots being won by their 4^th and 5^th runners. The Eagles then responded in a big way, with Kollin Spyker dropping noticeable PRs in his past two meets.

For the girls, Bear Lake and Buckley were outlined in the mid-season projections. Since that time, the two squads have faced off once – at the Northern Michigan Meet of Champions. Buckley didn’t bring a full squad, but did place four of their girls in front of Bear Lake’s 3^rd. The Lakers have kept doing their thang, all seven of their girls dropping a SB somewhere in the past few weeks.

Boys

#5 Mesick
#7 Mason County Eastern
#10 Leland
#11 Grand Traverse Academy
#23 Buckley

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Mesick	60	57	94	1 to 4
2	Mason County Eastern	69	25	76	1 to 4
3	Leland	71	14	77	1 to 4
4	Grand Traverse Academy	78	4	53	1 to 4
5	Buckley	131			5 to 6
6	Bear Lake	157			5 to 7
7	Onekama	158			5 to 8
8	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	181			6 to 8

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Kyle Redman	Mesick	1.4
2	11	Nolan Koscinski	Bear Lake	2.9
3	11	Owen Jarosz	Frankfort	5.5
4	11	Lance Niedzielski	Mason County Eastern	5.6
5	12	Daniel Chaney	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	5.9
6	11	Christopher Knudsen	Leland	7.5
7	11	Beckett Dennis	Grand Traverse Academy	9.3
8	10	Ethan Harrand	Buckley	10.1
9	12	Ty Redman	Mesick	10.5
10	11	Campbell Fedderman	Leland	11.2
11	10	Kyle Doty	Mesick	12.3
12	11	Kollin Spyker	Mason County Eastern	14.7
13	10	Jaxon Williams	Grand Traverse Academy	14.8
14	12	Gunnar Hallett	Mesick	15.0
15	Jr	Mason Jager	Traverse City Christian	15.7
16	11	Carter Suttmann	Leland	18.8
17	11	Kaiden Lague	Mason County Eastern	19.9
18	12	Milo Shoup	Mason County Eastern	20.1
19	10	Jimmy Kolehmainen	Frankfort	20.1
20	9	Remington Manthei	Grand Traverse Academy	20.8
21	10	Holden Preneta	Leland	20.9
22	10	Easton Harrand	Buckley	22.0
23	10	Connor Kirkman	Grand Traverse Academy	22.1
24	12	Eli Willoughby	Grand Traverse Academy	23.3
25	9	Jack Brugeman	Leland	23.6
26	9	Johnny Sinke	Onekama	24.6
27	12	Afton Shoup	Mason County Eastern	28.6
28	11	Alex Kastl	Mesick	28.8
29	9	Gabe Malik	Buckley	29.5
30	8	Eli Tarsa	Mason County Eastern	31.1

Girls

#4 Onekama
#8 Grand Traverse Academy
#18 Buckley
#20 Bear Lake

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Onekama	37	91	95+	1 to 2
2	Grand Traverse Academy	50	9	95+	1 to 2
3	Bear Lake	77		62	3 to 4
4	Buckley	81		38	3 to 4
5	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	136			5 to 6
6	Mason County Eastern	138			5 to 6

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Callie Sinke	Onekama	1.0
2	11	Sophie Grinage	Leland	2.0
3	12	Addy Zeller	Onekama	4.3
4	10	Ava Higley	Frankfort	5.2
5	11	Melodie Hulinek	Bear Lake	5.2
6	10	Zakia Wagoner	Onekama	6.5
7	12	Natalie Burpee	Leland	7.8
8	12	Madison Smith	Grand Traverse Academy	8.6
9	12	Tess Hoedel	Grand Traverse Academy	9.4
10	10	Tessa Rutherford	Bear Lake	9.8
11	12	Addison Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	13.1
12	10	Brooklyn Griffin	Buckley	13.2
13	12	Mikayla Kulawiak	Buckley	13.8
14	12	Jewlia Trowbridge	Mesick	14.7
15	11	Claire Couturier	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	16.4
16	10	Alexis Logan	Onekama	17.0
17	12	Tsune DuCheny	Buckley	17.4
18	9	Alivia Valentine	Mesick	19.0
19	10	Autumn Patrzik	Grand Traverse Academy	20.0
20	12	Bailey Stephen	Grand Traverse Academy	21.2
21	12	Lily Wilcoxen	Grand Traverse Academy	21.5
22	11	Payton Green	Grand Traverse Academy	22.0
23	9	Autumn Berryhill	Onekama	22.9
24	10	Lilah Szotko	Onekama	23.5
25	11	Peyton Buckner	Bear Lake	24.1
26	12	Brailyn Johnson	Mason County Eastern	25.9
27	11	Ariana Paris	Buckley	27.5
28	8	Elena Meyer	Lake Leelanau St. Mary	27.9
29	10	Bailey Lutz	Bear Lake	28.0
30	11	Aubrey Myers	Mason County Eastern	29.0

REGION 30

Any Big Battles?

The Breckenridge and Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart boys are probably guarantees. But the third qualifying spot could be anyone – Lutheran Seminary, Carson City-Crystal, Fulton, and Beal City as the four prime candidates. Lutheran Seminary leads the bunch, they have a solid frontrunner in Amos Norder and numbers behind him. Fulton needed to find a fifth guy, which they did at the MSAC Championship, having enough depth to allow their top-two (Rush Marsden and Trevor Dolloff) to have a major impact. They placed ahead of Carson City there, who didn’t have their best effort of the fall. The Eagles will need to summon their Bluejay performance in order to advance. Finally, you’ve got Beal City, who could have the widest range of outcomes. The Aggies are coming off a Northern Michigan MoC where nearly all of their athletes ran a PB/SB.

Boys

#2 Breckenridge
#8 Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
#27 Michigan Lutheran Seminary

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Breckenridge	23	95+	95+	1st
2	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	56		95+	2nd
3	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	118		54	3 to 5
4	Carson City-Crystal	128		28	3 to 7
5	Fulton	135		12	3 to 7
6	Beal City	145		6	3 to 8
7	Saginaw Arts & Science	151			4 to 8
8	Montabella	166			5 to 8

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Anthony Rowe	Breckenridge	1.9
2	10	Abram Fettig	Saginaw Nouvel	2.0
3	12	Brady Edwards	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	2.9
4	9	Cooper Burt	Breckenridge	3.3
5	12	Dom Chiverton	Breckenridge	7.1
6	10	Gus Barr	Breckenridge	7.1
7	12	Wesley Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	7.1
8	12	Rush Marsden	Fulton	7.7
9	10	James Sanders	Breckenridge	8.7
10	12	Amos Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	11.9
11	12	Trevor Dolloff	Fulton	12.5
12	10	Callen Eldred	Montabella	12.6
13	10	Oliver Burt	Breckenridge	14.2
14	10	Zach Waite	Breckenridge	14.3
15	12	Noah Dubridge	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	14.3
16	11	Cayd Wohlscheid	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	14.4
17	12	Zayden Buskirk	Carson City-Crystal	20.2
18	10	Daniel Malott	Saginaw Nouvel	22.3
19	12	Payton Crawfis	Carson City-Crystal	23.6
20	12	Logan Whitmer	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	23.6
21	11	Owen Zeien	Beal City	24.4
22	10	Eli Baker	Coleman	24.9
23	11	Solomon Miller	Saginaw Arts & Science	26.0
24	12	Braylon Satterlee	Carson City-Crystal	27.4
25	10	Simon Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	27.7
26	9	Ethan Schmidt	St. Charles	28.3
27	10	William Laubenthal	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	29.4
28	11	Jonathan Egan	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	30.2
29	11	Easton Eichorn	Beal City	30.5
30	11	Wesley Schram	Vestaburg	31.5

Girls

#9 Breckenridge
#22 Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart
#26 Michigan Lutheran Seminary

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Breckenridge	33	95+	95+	1st
2	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	54		95+	2 to 3
3	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	60		95+	2 to 3
4	Fulton	75			4th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Taylor Wills	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	2.2
2	9	Gabby Weigold	Breckenridge	4.1
3	11	Skylar Maclennan	Fulton	5.3
4	11	Peyton Rohn	Fulton	5.4
5	10	Maezee Humm	Breckenridge	6.3
6	10	Sadie Mueller	St. Charles	6.9
7	11	Maizy Matthews	Breckenridge	7.1
8	12	Ryann Ball	Montabella	7.4
9	9	Maddie Howes	Breckenridge	9.3
10	12	Jessica Stouten	Vestaburg	9.6
11	9	Emma Getchell	Merrill	12.7
12	11	Dilyn Colpean	Merrill	15.8
13	9	Devan Smith	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	16.5
14	11	Piper Schultz	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	16.7
15	11	Saralynn Shelley	Montabella	17.4
16	12	Ellie Bowerman	Beal City	17.9
17	12	Raina Glanzman	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	17.9
18	10	Natalie Kettler	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	18.7
19	11	Anna McCarty	Carson City-Crystal	19.4
20	9	Kylee Anderson	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	19.5
21	9	Sarah Witten	Saginaw Nouvel	20.0
22	9	Sophie Ellison	Coleman	20.6
23	12	Nolee Leppert	Beal City	21.0
24	9	Savanna Harvey	Merrill	23.4
25	9	Brooklynn Porter	Montabella	23.5
26	12	Greta Schroeder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	25.3
27	9	Allie Shelley	Breckenridge	25.6
28	10	Kacie Chaffee	Mt. Pleasant Sacred Heart	26.3
29	12	Kaylynn Seeley	Vestaburg	29.2
30	9	Renata Norder	Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary	30.0

REGION 31

Any Big Battles?

Talk about a tough one. You’ve got two ranked squads, Fowler and Holton, both of whom would have a decent chance of advancing through most of the other regions, likely with zero prospects of moving onto MIS. With Holland Calvary Christian’s presence, most of these contenders are pushed back in points. That gives Tri-Unity Christian a bit of an advantage, as Lincoln Laansma can finish ahead of their pack, TUC needing to only score four more. Martin and Gobles have hooked up a ton recently, mainly in league action and major invites. Martin has usually prevailed, though Portage showed the pathway in which Gobles could advance. The Tigers beat TUC at the 2^nd-5^th spots, and the advantage gained by Laansma will lessen in a smaller field.

Boys

#1 Holland Calvary Christian
#9 Martin
#14 Tri-Unity Christian
#16 Gobles
#21 Fowler
#22 Holton

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Holland Calvary Christian	18	95+	95+	1st
2	Martin	86		95+	2 to 3
3	Tri-Unity Christian	106		58	2 to 4
4	Gobles	110		42	2 to 4
5	Fowler	140			5 to 6
6	Holton	152			5 to 6
7	Byron Center Zion Christian	193			7 to 9
8	St. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic	203			7 to 10
9	White Cloud	210			7 to 9
10	Muskegon Catholic Central	237			9 to 10

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Lincoln Laansma	Tri-Unity Christian	1.1
2	12	Christian Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	2.1
3	12	Noah Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	2.9
4	12	Brody VanTuinen	Holland Calvary Christian	4.6
5	11	Reagan Downing	Holland Calvary Christian	5.4
6	12	Gibson White	Holland Calvary Christian	5.8
7	12	Francis Austen	Portland St. Patrick	6.3
8	12	Owen Ledebuhr	Holland Calvary Christian	6.8
9	10	Thomas Sigler	Martin	10.8
10	10	Fletcher Amos	Gobles	10.8
11	9	Linkon Utter	Holland Calvary Christian	11.0
12	11	Keannan Marr	Holton	13.0
13	11	Jackson Anderson	Muskegon Catholic Central	13.1
14	11	Joseph Coon	White Cloud	14.2
15	10	Logan Platte	Fowler	16.0
16	11	Jeremiah VanHouten	Martin	16.5
17	12	Hunter Hayes	Martin	17.7
18	12	Jadon Dettmann	Martin	20.7
19	12	Landon Miller	Fowler	20.9
20	11	Cole Ringel	Gobles	22.3
21	11	Levi Knoop	Portland St. Patrick	22.4
22	11	Levi Collins	Gobles	23.9
23	10	Caden Amerine	Tri-Unity Christian	24.5
24	9	Eli Kaighen	Tri-Unity Christian	25.5
25	8	Isaac Koros	Tri-Unity Christian	25.7
26	12	Caleb Leys	White Cloud	26.0
27	12	Gari Salvador-Garcia	Martin	28.2
28	12	Kole Nichols	Holton	28.2
29	10	Mason Shanafelt	Holton	28.5
30	11	Jack Feenstra	Byron Center Zion Christian	30.8

Girls

#3 Gobles
#5 Martin
#13 Fowler
#23 Byron Center Zion Christian

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Gobles	41	89	95+	1 to 2
2	Martin	49	11	95+	1 to 3
3	Fowler	65		90	2 to 4
4	Byron Center Zion Christian	81		10	3 to 4
5	White Cloud	136			5th
6	St. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic	153			6th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Libby Smith	Gobles	1.2
2	12	Veyda Conley	Martin	2.1
3	9	Faith Schipper	Holland Calvary Christian	2.9
4	12	Ava DeYoung	Gobles	5.5
5	10	Ryleigh Alderink	Holton	5.6
6	12	Lindsey Nordyke	Byron Center Zion Christian	6.4
7	11	Julia White	Portland St. Patrick	6.9
8	12	Lauren Shaffer	Gobles	7.0
9	11	Zoe Fabing	Fowler	9.4
10	9	Clara Thelen	Fowler	10.8
11	11	Allison Rodgers	Martin	10.9
12	9	Audreona Gillette	White Cloud	12.6
13	12	Sara Schipper	Martin	13.7
14	12	Marian Davlin	Portland St. Patrick	13.8
15	12	Bailey Case	Pentwater	16.2
16	12	Elise Suwyn	Byron Center Zion Christian	16.5
17	10	Emma Dettmann	Martin	18.5
18	9	Annie Koenigsknecht	Fowler	18.9
19	12	Shang Shi	Gobles	20.3
20	9	Madilynn Schneider	Fowler	20.4
21	11	Jenessa Kleyn	Byron Center Zion Christian	21.3
22	8	Aerianna Getz	Holland Calvary Christian	21.5
23	11	Addison Tomsic	Gobles	23.2
24	10	Riley Bender	Martin	24.1
25	10	Nora Schultz	St. Joseph Lake Michigan Catholic	27.8
26	11	Madison Deutschmann	Byron Center Zion Christian	27.9
27	9	Heidi Lockwood	Muskegon Catholic Central	27.9
28	11	Laura Rotman	Holland Calvary Christian	28.3
29	9	Ella Collins	Gobles	28.4
30	11	DuRae Sage	Martin	29.4

REGION 32

Any Big Battles?

Straightforward it appears on the qualifiers, but perhaps some drama on the girls winner? Kalamazoo Hackett and Bridgman have been in close contact over the past few weeks, competing and finishing alongside one another at Portage, Christian Comet, and in their SAC Championship. Hackett has won in the two invites, Bridgman in league action. The formula for the Irish has typically been relying on their strength up front, Kiera Piper opening up a gap in the standings, then holding serve through the rest of their scorers. At the SAC Championship, Anna Howell didn’t stray far from Piper, then the Bees did work through the rest of their scorers, picking up points in 3 of the 4 other spots.

Boys

#12 Kalamazoo Hackett
#24 Bridgman

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Kalamazoo Hackett	30	95+	95+	1st
2	Bridgman	67		95+	2 to 3
3	White Pigeon	71		95+	2 to 4
4	Eau Claire	94		5	3 to 4
5	Battle Creek St. Philip	133			5 to 6
6	Athens	141			5 to 6
7	Colon	175			7th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Elias Baldwin	Decatur	1.0
2	9	Benjamin Bolinder	Bridgman	2.9
3	12	Kellen Siems	Kalamazoo Hackett	4.2
4	10	Carson Ernsberger	Bridgman	4.3
5	12	Max Barron	Tekonsha	4.6
6	10	Lukasz Butkiewicz	Kalamazoo Hackett	7.3
7	12	Aiden Jakcson	White Pigeon	8.3
8	12	Colin Gallagher	Kalamazoo Hackett	9.0
9	10	Henry Young	Kalamazoo Hackett	10.4
10	9	Griffin Bandeen	Battle Creek St. Philip	10.5
11	10	Karston Kappenman	Kalamazoo Hackett	10.8
12	9	Blake Morrison	Climax-Scotts	13.2
13	12	Dillan Vargas-Tovar	Eau Claire	15.4
14	9	Gabe Basch	Kalamazoo Hackett	15.5
15	12	Dilan Vargas-Tovar	Eau Claire	16.2
16	10	Isaac Doubblestein	White Pigeon	16.7
17	11	William Throw	White Pigeon	18.6
18	11	Lamond Stanfill	Decatur	19.5
19	9	Chance Salmon	Bridgman	20.5
20	9	Emory Ansley	Athens	21.3
21	12	Dillan Vargas	Eau Claire	21.6
22	11	Matthew McGahan	White Pigeon	21.9
23	10	Rowen Brunner	Kalamazoo Hackett	22.0
24	9	Hudson Becker	Bridgman	24.5
25	12	Kyron Christner	Mendon	24.9
26	11	Angel Villanueva	Covert	26.0
27	11	James Muir	Battle Creek St. Philip	26.4
28	10	Tanner Ritchie	White Pigeon	27.8
29	9	Corey White	White Pigeon	28.4
30	10	Zack Wiley	White Pigeon	28.9

Girls

#14 Bridgman
#16 Kalamazoo Hackett

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Bridgman	34	65	95+	1 to 2
2	Kalamazoo Hackett	37	35	95+	1 to 2
3	Decatur	71		95+	3rd
4	White Pigeon	92			4th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Kiera Piper	Kalamazoo Hackett	1.1
2	11	Anna Howell	Bridgman	2.3
3	10	Cayla Buss	Decatur	4.8
4	12	Lauryn Evans	Howardsville Christian	6.1
5	11	Delaney McBride	Kalamazoo Hackett	6.2
6	9	Caroline Conklin	Bridgman	7.0
7	11	Kaylin Pinkowski	Bridgman	7.4
8	12	Aubrey Miller	White Pigeon	8.4
9	12	Sarah Stemaly	Athens	10.4
10	11	Abigail Riker	Kalamazoo Hackett	10.8
11	10	Therese Willis	Kalamazoo Hackett	12.4
12	11	Carmen Ernsberger	Bridgman	12.8
13	11	Amaya Majewski	Decatur	12.8
14	11	Evangeline Brown	Bridgman	14.3
15	10	Belle Noga	Colon	14.9
16	11	Alyssa Morrison	Climax-Scotts	15.7
17	9	Koa Ehlert	Bridgman	16.0
18	10	Grace Ulbrich	Kalamazoo Hackett	16.9
19	12	Emmy Nofs	Battle Creek St. Philip	18.2
20	10	Hannah Caudell	Bridgman	18.9
21	11	Grace Pattee	Decatur	22.0
22	9	Yaretzi Capula-Bravo	Eau Claire	22.1
23	12	Mia Doubblestein	White Pigeon	24.4
24	9	Mary Vogel	Kalamazoo Hackett	24.7
25	10	Annabell Bent	Marcellus	24.8
26	12	Avallene Kimp	Marcellus	25.5
27	10	Brooklyn Marshall	Mendon	26.0
28	9	Topanga Fields	Climax-Scotts	26.3
29	9	Olga Strenge	Battle Creek St. Philip	28.1
30	10	Lisette Kimp	Marcellus	28.5

REGION 33

Any Big Battles?

Another one loaded with a MIS contender and many ranked teams in the close background. Whitmore Lake, the 3x defending champions, hoping to make it four. They’ve been racing at their best in the past few weeks and should advance without much of a hitch. Beyond the Trojans, four teams are in a clash for three spots – Genesee Christian, Novi Christian Academy, and Dansville.

The teams all have different pathways to a state berth. Dansville relies on two strong low-sticks. Novi Christian has the ability to place six girls in the top-30 here. Genesee Christian has a blend of the two, Faith Smith as a lead girl, then depth to back her up. Of late, we’ve seen matchups featuring the three teams. Dansville took a southeast trek to Novi Christian’s Small School invite. Madalyn Stolz was not present, but one can extrapolate with her in the picture that the Aggies could keep it close. Stolz was around for an early October DeWitt Invite matchup with Genesee Christian. The depth mentioned above came through for the Soldier women. All seven varsity girls placed ahead of Dansville’s 3^rd, moving Genesee Christian to a 10-pt. margin over Dansville.

Boys

#4 Whitmore Lake
#15 Genesee Christian
#20 Novi Christian Academy

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Whitmore Lake	30	95+	95+	1st
2	Genesee Christian	70		95+	2 to 3
3	Novi Christian Academy	79		95+	2 to 4
4	Byron	97		7	3 to 4
5	Dansville	124			5 to 6
6	Webberville	134			5 to 6
7	Morrice	176			7th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	9	Samuel McIndoe	Novi Christian Academy	2.5
2	11	Leo Weaver	Whitmore Lake	2.7
3	11	Nolan Stadel	Genesee Christian	6.5
4	12	Joseph White	Ann Arbor Rudolf Steiner	6.7
5	12	Eric Junker	Whitmore Lake	7.4
6	11	Nolan Collins	Whitmore Lake	8.3
7	11	Richard Lewis	Whitmore Lake	8.8
8	11	Nathan West	Webberville	9.2
9	12	Halston Hooley	Byron	9.9
10	11	Jackson Onofre	Novi Christian Academy	10.7
11	12	Brody Jeruzal	Ann Arbor Christian	10.7
12	9	Cole Dillon	Whitmore Lake	11.5
13	11	Donovan Wells	Potterville	12.8
14	12	Benjamin Fox	Whitmore Lake	13.0
15	10	Carter Castilla	Dansville	14.2
16	12	Brayden Steele	Byron	14.2
17	12	Kasey Springer	Whitmore Lake	15.7
18	10	Maverick Kirkman	Genesee Christian	18.0
19	9	Thomas Hubbard	Livingston Christian	22.4
20	11	Will Oskey	Genesee Christian	22.7
21	11	Evan Klish	Novi Christian Academy	23.5
22	8	Will Ferguson	Genesee Christian	23.8
23	10	Gabe Schultz	Genesee Christian	24.2
24	10	Jack Bell	Novi Christian Academy	25.3
25	10	Ryan Stewart	Genesee Christian	25.7
26	11	Reid Hacker	Dansville	26.8
27	10	Kai Hopkins	Potterville	26.8
28	12	Jonah Spencer	Webberville	28.4
29	12	Luke Meyer	Lansing Christian	29.5
30	10	Abram Jones	Dansville	30.2

Girls

#2 Whitmore Lake
#10 Genesee Christian
#11 Novi Christian Academy
#15 Dansville
#19 Clarkston Everest Collegiate

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Whitmore Lake	42	95+	95+	1st
2	Genesee Christian	73		83	2 to 4
3	Novi Christian Academy	77		66	2 to 5
4	Dansville	80		49	2 to 5
5	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	96			4 to 5
6	Lansing Christian	123			6th
7	Frankel Jewish Academy	209			7th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Kaylie Livingston	Whitmore Lake	1.1
2	9	Grace Jolin	Dansville	3.3
3	10	Faith Smith	Genesee Christian	4.2
4	9	Amy Walker	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	5.5
5	11	Malynda Lambros	Whitmore Lake	5.6
6	9	Madalyn Stolz	Dansville	6.2
7	9	Sierra Sherer	Whitmore Lake	9.0
8	9	June Counts	Whitmore Lake	10.0
9	11	Madison Markowicz	Novi Christian Academy	10.4
10	12	Adrienne Mitchell	Lansing Christian	10.4
11	9	Rachel Spaulding	Livingston Christian	12.1
12	11	Lila Wolcott	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	12.3
13	12	Evelyn McIndoe	Novi Christian Academy	12.3
14	8	Hermella Samson	Novi Christian Academy	12.8
15	11	Andi Kirkman	Genesee Christian	13.2
16	8	Paizley Kirkman	Genesee Christian	15.7
17	12	Caroline Darrah	Whitmore Lake	17.5
18	11	Gabriella Wood	Lansing Christian	19.3
19	11	Ariana Stewart	Genesee Christian	19.5
20	11	Allison Schmitt	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	19.6
21	10	Cassa Minnis	Dansville	21.2
22	12	Grace Bell	Novi Christian Academy	23.5
23	12	Makenna Bush	Lansing Christian	26.6
24	8	Zoe Schultz	Genesee Christian	27.0
25	10	Helene Farrell	Clarkston Everest Collegiate	27.6
26	10	Mikayla Brown	Genesee Christian	27.7
27	11	Miriam Jiran	Novi Christian Academy	28.1
28	10	Grace Darrah	Whitmore Lake	29.8
29	9	Brooklynn Dubuc	Novi Christian Academy	30.6
30	10	Alexis Kadluboski	Dansville	30.6

REGION 34

Any Big Battles?

For once, a drama-free one. I’ll eat my hat if anyone other than these six projected qualifiers advance.

Boys

#3 Hillsdale Academy
#13 Sand Creek
#19 Manchester
#25 Concord

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Hillsdale Academy	19	95+	95+	1st
2	Sand Creek	60		95+	2 to 2
3	Manchester	85		92	3 to 4
4	Concord	96		8	3 to 4
5	Petersburg-Summerfield	147			5 to 6
6	Addison	156			5 to 6
7	Jackson Preparatory	180			6 to 7

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Peter Winn	Hillsdale Academy	2.3
2	10	Stephen Holm	Hillsdale Academy	2.3
3	10	Henry Rorick	Hillsdale Academy	2.7
4	12	Alec Dodak	Manchester	3.9
5	12	Timothy Gaebler	Hillsdale Academy	4.5
6	10	Blake Root	Sand Creek	7.0
7	11	Jacob Tatsak	Adrian Lenawee Christian	7.9
8	12	Silas Daniels	Sand Creek	8.5
9	12	Carson Van Sickle	Hillsdale Academy	8.7
10	12	John Birzer	Hillsdale Academy	9.5
11	12	Ryan Miller	Hillsdale Academy	11.2
12	9	Evan Johnson	Manchester	11.6
13	12	Keaton Smith	Concord	14.2
14	10	Brayden Winsted	Sand Creek	14.4
15	10	Jase Herendeen	Concord	16.2
16	12	Tre Fluker	Sand Creek	17.6
17	10	Thomas Bastian	Jackson Preparatory	17.7
18	11	David Arbogast	Vandercook Lake	18.3
19	10	Alec Parker	Sand Creek	18.5
20	12	Ethan Hittle	Manchester	21.0
21	Jr	Tony Gudakunst	Addison	21.4
22	12	Michael Navitskis	Manchester	24.1
23	10	Finn Hutchinson	Concord	24.7
24	10	Asher Church	Hillsdale Will Carleton	25.5
25	12	Colin Brown	Petersburg-Summerfield	25.8
26	12	Kadin Shook	Concord	25.9
27	12	Liam Bauman	Concord	27.1
28	10	Connor Evans	Addison	27.9
29	10	Luke Meckley	Sand Creek	28.0
30	11	Zachary Prater	Sand Creek	29.4

Girls

#1 Hillsdale Academy
#7 Concord
#25 Manchester

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Hillsdale Academy	21	95+	95+	1st
2	Concord	44		95+	2nd
3	Manchester	81		95+	3 to 4
4	Sand Creek	100			3 to 4
5	Pittsford	137			5th
6	Jackson Preparatory	172			6th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	12	Evelyn Meyer	Hillsdale Academy	1.2
2	10	Audrey Pyle	Concord	2.9
3	10	Heather Morris	Hillsdale Academy	4.5
4	10	Eliza Roberts	Hillsdale Academy	5.8
5	9	Norah Tracy	Hillsdale Academy	6.4
6	11	Lorelei Stemme	Hillsdale Academy	7.0
7	12	Moira Beier	Hillsdale Academy	7.5
8	10	Audrey Rinehart	Concord	7.7
9	12	Haley Stimer	Concord	7.7
10	12	Maren Gehrke	Hillsdale Academy	9.0
11	9	Eden Weidmayer	Manchester	10.4
12	9	Madeline Zahner	Manchester	13.4
13	10	Olivia Chadwell	Concord	14.6
14	10	Braelynn Thorrez	Concord	15.0
15	11	Allison Ost	Petersburg-Summerfield	15.7
16	12	Caroline Mason	Manchester	17.2
17	11	Mya Barrett	Concord	17.8
18	12	Kendall Plate	Adrian Lenawee Christian	18.5
19	9	Peyton Shiels	Britton Deerfield	18.7
20	9	Remi Maynard	Britton Deerfield	19.0
21	11	Ellie Woodring	Addison	20.0
22	11	Abby Raymond	Petersburg-Summerfield	20.3
23	11	Madalynn Trame	Sand Creek	20.6
24	11	Makayla Six	Sand Creek	25.0
25	12	Julianna Tanner	Sand Creek	26.2
26	12	Lillian Jagielski	Pittsford	27.3
27	12	Teagan Clarke	Manchester	27.4
28	11	Haily Baker	Sand Creek	27.7
29	9	Grace Gillin	Addison	30.1
30	12	Dannyell Grimes	Sand Creek	31.8

REGION 35

Any Big Battles?

Ranked or unranked, the four boys teams of Marlette, Ubly, Kingston, and Mayville should turn in a fun one. All of the four could finish first. All of the four could finish fourth.

Ubly has moved up the most from the Mid-Season Projections, their odds increasing due to the improvement of Mason Warner. The Bearcat freshman has progressed from a 20+ min. kid to one that’s popped mid-18’s in two of his past three races. Kingston has a security blanket through a strong top-two, Thijs Van Rijn and Brennan Robinson each running in the 17’s on a few occasions this year. Marlette’s advantage gains the further we get in the race. At Ubly, the Red Raiders’ 3^rd-5^th guys were better than any of the similar spots from these competing teams. Mayville has slipped a bit in the projections, although that Ubly performance had the Wildcats only 8 pts. back of Ubly.

Boys

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Marlette	61	52	89	1 to 4
2	Kingston	65	18	94	1 to 4
3	Ubly	67	23	83	1 to 4
4	Mayville	77	7	34	1 to 4
5	Deckerville	104			5 to 6
6	Vassar	118			5 to 6

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Wyatt Blohm	Vassar	1.7
2	11	Levi Fitchett	Dryden	2.8
3	10	Weston Guza	Ubly	4.0
4	12	Thijs Van Rijn	Kingston	4.2
5	12	Brennan Robinson	Kingston	4.6
6	12	Wesley Kosinski	Kinde North Huron	9.1
7	10	Tucker Gascoyne	Memphis	10.1
8	11	Dominic Cardillo	Caseville	10.3
9	10	Steven Budreau	Mayville	10.7
10	11	Brayden Kirkpatrick	Marlette	11.2
11	9	Landon Messing	Deckerville	12.4
12	9	Mason Warner	Ubly	12.7
13	9	Keaton Evans	Marlette	13.5
14	11	Cameron Harrison	Brown City	14.7
15	11	Joe Lubeski	Caseville	17.7
16	11	James Emmons	Mayville	19.6
17	10	Bryson LaFond	Kingston	20.0
18	11	Braylon McLellan	Deckerville	20.5
19	9	Landyn Torrey	Marlette	21.1
20	9	Elishah Butler	New Life Christian Academy	21.7
21	12	Timothy Venia	Mayville	23.1
22	12	Tyler Roberts	Dryden	23.8
23	12	Walker Chapin	Marlette	23.9
24	9	Joel McDonald	Ubly	24.0
25	10	Lucas Volmering	Ubly	24.3
26	10	Kaeden Woodworth	Marlette	24.6
27	11	Nolen Gruehn	Owendale-Gagetown	25.9
28	11	Gabe Grymonprez	Mayville	26.7
29	10	Noah Gobie	Deckerville	29.1
30	10	Jesse Jacobi	Caseville	29.5

Girls

#17 Ubly

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Ubly	30	95+	95+	1st
2	Kingston	45		95+	2 to 3
3	Kinde North Huron	54		95+	2 to 3

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	10	Norah Kiley	Kingston	1.1
2	9	Sophia Messing	Deckerville	3.0
3	10	Isabella West	Mayville	4.8
4	11	Payton King	Kingston	4.8
5	11	Claire Wright	Dryden	5.0
6	11	Myah Peruski	Ubly	7.9
7	11	Abbygail Plester	Ubly	8.0
8	10	Ella Gustner	Dryden	8.2
9	11	Peyten Albertson	Marlette	8.7
10	12	Adela Chocholova	Caseville	12.8
11	10	Fiona Phillips	Kinde North Huron	13.3
12	9	Summer Franzel	Ubly	14.1
13	11	Kayle Talaski	Kinde North Huron	14.4
14	9	Rylee Rawlings	Ubly	15.5
15	11	Nele Boettner	Ubly	15.6
16	11	Allison Steeb	Deckerville	15.6
17	12	Aspen Jimkoski	Kinde North Huron	15.9
18	10	Emma Freeland	Kingston	17.0
19	9	Eva Klee	Ubly	18.3
20	9	Brooklon Prowse	Brown City	20.1
21	11	Brooklyn Morell	Ubly	20.7
22	11	Sophia Lawrence	Memphis	21.0
23	12	Paytyn Sweat	Vassar	22.5
24	9	Kaylee Byars	Marlette	22.5
25	9	Kynsleigh Roskey	Brown City	23.8
26	10	Caradee Seaman	Marlette	24.6
27	–	Shayla Messing	Owendale-Gagetown	25.8
28	12	Elizabeth Schultz	Peck	29.6
29	11	Grace Woodall	Brown City	30.0
30	11	Bella Eash	Memphis	30.1

REGION 36

Any Big Battles?

Two of ‘em, both on the boys side – Cardinal Mooney vs. Royal Oak Shrine for the win and the triumvirate of Allen Park Cabrini, Ivywood Classical Academy, and Auburn Hills Oakland Christian potentially in a battle for the third spot.

First, the title contenders. Since the mid-season mark, Shrine has made up serious ground. A major factor came just once, Liam Hatterman’s 18:33 at Columbus County Park. Hatterman has raced that single time, thus he’s listed in here. A more reliable factor would be the improvement of Owen Nagey, who just slipped under 20:00 for the first time in his career. From that meet at CCP, Cardinal Mooney was able to place ahead of Shrine in the standings, greatly aided by their forceful top-two, Liam Knuth and Micah Arlow. All year, these two have sped ahead of the pack, both boasting SB’s of 17:30 or faster.

Ivywood Classical Academy is a school I’m certain I’ve never mentioned on here. Definitely not this year, but the Eagles brought a full scoring squad to this past weekend’s Haunted Harvest. They’ve got a lead guy in Silas Carroll and a consistent younger sibling in Luke Carroll behind him. One race in the database leads to high ranges of outcomes, ICA projected to be anywhere from 3^rd to 6^th. But so too are Cabrini and Oakland Christian. Cabrini’s Joey Grant is fresh off a PR at the CHSL Cardinal Championship, a nice rebound from his Wayne County race. Jose Thomassen from Oakland Christian also has been shattering PR’s lately, dropping into the low-19’s when he was above 21:00 just meets prior. Which performances come from depth will determine the fate of these three teams.

Boys

#17 Cardinal Mooney Catholic
#18 Royal Oak Shrine

Proj. Place	Team	Avg. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Royal Oak Shrine	60	55	95+	1 to 2
2	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	60	45	95+	1 to 2
3	Allen Park Cabrini	111		49	3 to 6
4	Ivywood Classical Academy	114		29	3 to 6
5	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	117		22	3 to 6
6	Lutheran Westland	131			5 to 7
7	Austin Catholic	151			6 to 8
8	Southfield Christian	161			7 to 8
9	Detroit Frederick Douglass	226			9 to 10
10	Detroit Davis Aerospace	229			9 to 10

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Liam Knuth	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	2.0
2	12	Jacob Ferdubinski	Riverview Gabriel Richard	2.1
3	10	Gavin Bowers	Austin Catholic	2.8
4	12	Silas Carroll	Ivywood Classical Academy	4.5
5	12	Micah Arlow	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	4.9
6	11	Will Bernacki	Royal Oak Shrine	7.2
7	12	Christian Brash	Allen Park Cabrini	8.6
8	9	Luke Carroll	Ivywood Classical Academy	10.5
9	9	Liam Hatterman	Royal Oak Shrine	10.7
10	11	Nolan Mazur	Riverview Gabriel Richard	12.4
11	11	Dominic DeVeny	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	12.5
12	11	Ethan Wielgat	Royal Oak Shrine	12.6
13	12	Gabe Shaffer	Royal Oak Shrine	12.6
14	11	Barron Denham	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	13.0
15	12	Uzziel Thomassen	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	14.5
16	11	Joshua Brooks	Detroit Frederick Douglass	14.8
17	11	Emanuel Nava	Allen Park Cabrini	19.8
18	12	Ian Scott	Lutheran Westland	20.2
19	9	Luke Bowers	Austin Catholic	20.7
20	10	Maximilian Van de Vyver	Austin Catholic	21.0
21	12	Anthony Parker	Lutheran Westland	22.2
22	9	Jose Thomassen	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	22.8
23	11	Xavier Zammit	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	23.6
24		Lochlan Cole	Lutheran Westland	23.9
25	11	Declan O’Connell	Allen Park Cabrini	24.7
26	10	Owen Nagey	Royal Oak Shrine	25.2
27	9	Liam Guyor	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	25.6
28	12	Ethan Lentz	Sterling Heights Parkway Christian	29.0
29	10	Daniel Smith	Riverview Gabriel Richard	29.9
30	11	Matthew Johnson	Southfield Christian	31.7

Girls

#6 Royal Oak Shrine
#12 Lutheran Westland

Proj. Place	Team	Proj. Score	Win %	Top-3 %	Range
1	Royal Oak Shrine	33	93	95+	1 to 2
2	Lutheran Westland	42	7	95+	1 to 2
3	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	72		89	3 to 4
4	Southfield Christian	85		11	3 to 4
5	Riverview Gabriel Richard	120			5th

Proj. Place	Grade	Name	Team	Avg. Place
1	11	Cassidy Bowers	Austin Catholic	1.3
2	11	Ava Bates	Lutheran Westland	2.1
3	11	Ella Lamb	Royal Oak Shrine	3.6
4	9	Kara Unger	Lutheran Westland	5.5
5	12	Sydney Erickson	Lutheran Westland	7.2
6	10	Audrey Molnar	Lutheran Westland	7.9
7	12	Annie Wernet	Hope Christian Academy	7.9
8	9	Delilah Russ	Bellevue	8.1
9	9	Kennedy Geden	Royal Oak Shrine	8.2
10	12	Louisa Denks	Royal Oak Shrine	8.9
11	10	Lilianna Carroll	Ivywood Classical Academy	9.9
12	10	Paige Arlow	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	12.3
13	12	Josephine Malcolm	Royal Oak Shrine	14.4
14	10	Rose O’Connor	Austin Catholic	15.9
15	11	Ella Daly	Royal Oak Shrine	16.5
16	10	Katherine Riches	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	17.5
17	10	Abigail VanHooser	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	17.8
18	10	Yadhira Thomassen	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	19.1
19	9	Madelyn Robinson	Auburn Hills Oakland Christian	19.4
20	10	Cecila Bomberski	Royal Oak Shrine	20.3
21	12	Avery Trepod	Southfield Christian	20.3
22	10	Camille Behnan	Cardinal Mooney Catholic	21.0
23	12	Caramia DeGiulio	Southfield Christian	22.7
24	10	Josephine Wesley	Riverview Gabriel Richard	23.6
25	12	Ella Clarke	Southfield Christian	23.9
26	9	Abigail Salamon	Southfield Christian	25.2
27	10	Dania Wojdyla	Royal Oak Shrine	25.5
28	11	Violet Hill	Birmingham Roeper	28.0
29	10	Zoe Barrera	Riverview Gabriel Richard	28.2
30	9	Aurora Meagher	Ivywood Classical Academy	28.3