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2021 Ratings: Cadillac

I was asked by Coach Thiebaut what he thought the rating might be, or how I might go about obtaining the right number.

Here’s a little snapshot of the method I’ve primarily been using this season.

On the left are the girls that ran at Cadillac today. Their times, their schools, but the main component is the seconds they ran in the race, in Column E. On the right are those same runners, with their overall rating for the season in Column L and that rating converted to seconds in Column M. In the middle, Column J is the difference between M and E.

This is a graph of that middle column, sorted from the lowest difference (between their rating and what they ran today) and the highest difference. The goal now is to find the straightest part of the line before you see much difference in verticality. By my eyes, that appears to be the part circled. Taking the average data points in the circled spot, girls tended to run 15 seconds faster than their rating so far this year. So the girls adjustment here is +15.

A common misconception (which is probably egged on by me stirring the pot, not that I’d ever do that), is that a positive number here means a course is short. I prefer the term “ran fast”. A course can run fast on a day, aided by a number of factors: great conditions, aggressive racing, good footing, etc. The distance itself plays a role, but this is cross country. Courses will be 2.9, 3.107, 3.15, 3.0001, 2.99, but all runners are running on the same course that day, and their times on that day will determine the adjustment needed. I’m just trying to compare across the state, across different days. Next week, it could be 80 deg., the following week, 32 and freezing rain. The ratings hope to make up for our volatile Michigan weather.

Girls Adjustment: +15
Boys Adjustment: +19

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
10Mylie Kelly18:19.4Benzie Central148.5
10Aiden Harrand18:28.5Buckley145.5
11Hannah Pricco18:35.1Lansing Catholic143.3
12Whitney Farrell18:58.7Freeland135.4
12Mara Longenecker19:00.7Freeland134.8
11CC Jones19:05.5Lansing Catholic133.2
10Tessa Roe19:11.4Lansing Catholic131.2
12Leanne Krombeen19:49.5Grandville Calvin Christian118.5
9Allison Nobis19:58.3Clare115.6
9Landrey Kuhn19:59.6Freeland115.1
12Elise Johnson20:00.6Benzie Central114.8
11Ariel Warner20:12.1Shepherd111.0
12Carly Judge20:22.1Shepherd107.6
12Molly Harding20:23.5Manton107.2
11Regan Hill20:24.0Cadillac107.0
11Elle Himebaugh20:28.7Shepherd105.4
11Kaylee Locke20:37.2Beal City102.6
11Eleanor Cool20:40.1Cadillac101.6
12Hattie Veenkant20:48.9Clare98.7
10Bella Reed20:49.4Freeland98.5
11Jolie Fisher20:59.4Shepherd95.2
11Emmie West21:06.0Lansing Catholic93.0
10Avery Mickelson21:12.8Cadillac90.7
10Paige Kloha21:17.1Freeland89.3
12Emberlynn DeVries21:17.8Grandville Calvin Christian89.1
12Sofiah Coker21:23.1Clare87.3
11Chloe Colton21:23.4Manton87.2
10Madison Morris21:29.7Manton85.1
12Paige Walters21:31.2Shepherd84.6
12Allyson Harvey21:32.4Freeland84.2
9Gracie Warner21:33.6Shepherd83.8
9Kaleigh Swiger21:34.8Cadillac83.4
12Reese Ensing21:37.0McBain82.7
10Marisa Mazza21:40.1Cadillac81.6
12Morgan Howell21:44.8Manton80.1
12Rachal Weber21:48.3Beal City78.9
11Elizabeth Rigling21:53.1Leroy Pine River77.3
12Lilly Bailey21:57.0Shepherd76.0
12Hailey Prokop21:58.9Lansing Catholic75.4
12Hailey Wanstead22:00.9Leroy Pine River74.7
12Hayley VanWagoner22:01.6Benzie Central74.5
11Carley Lynch22:01.9Shepherd74.4
10Lauren Jousma22:05.0Grandville Calvin Christian73.3
11Ella Gaylord22:06.0Benzie Central73.0
10Madison Gimmey22:06.7Shepherd72.8
12Abby Leigh22:07.6Clare72.5
11Hadyn Armstrong22:11.9Beal City71.0
10Cali Quartz22:14.4Cadillac70.2
11Haven Vasold22:14.4Freeland70.2
12Lauren Staal22:15.7Grandville Calvin Christian69.8
10Madisyn Lundquist22:19.2Cadillac68.6
12Maya Musgrave22:22.0Benzie Central67.7
9Jenna Kowalski22:29.2Freeland65.3
10Tessa Wohlschlegel22:29.4Beaverton65.2
9Ava Iverson22:31.8Benzie Central64.4
12Haley Bendele22:37.0Shepherd62.7
9Reganne Stahl22:45.4Manton59.9
12Emma Seemann22:49.4Freeland58.5
10Andrea Feldpausch22:50.7White Cloud58.1
9Taylor Seibt22:53.8Clare57.1
11Amanda Sanchez22:56.4Freeland56.2
10Lilly Weesies22:57.7Grandville Calvin Christian55.8
10Hadley Hilt23:02.3Cadillac54.2
12Isabel Schroeder23:06.3Clare52.9
10Baylie Eisenga23:06.6McBain52.8
11Amanda Hill23:06.9Leroy Pine River52.7
10Amelia Schihl23:10.9McBain51.4
9Kennedi Wahmhoff23:11.5Manton51.2
12Grace Wolf23:12.1Shepherd51.0
11Mikehlah Gimmey23:21.3Shepherd47.9
11India Doerr23:23.2Lansing Catholic47.3
9Lola Bryce23:25.5Grandville Calvin Christian46.5
10Abbie Buteyn23:27.2Grandville Calvin Christian45.9
9Megan Schulte23:31.0Lansing Catholic44.7
9Nora Grossnickle23:32.7Benzie Central44.1
10Cambrie Lawrence23:32.8Benzie Central44.1
11Jersey Johnson23:39.6Leroy Pine River41.8
10Bailey Seibt23:40.8Clare41.4
12Allie Boyd23:45.6Clare39.8
9Chelsi Eisenga23:46.1McBain39.6
11Hadley Saylor23:48.4Manton38.9
12Nora Coffey23:50.8Lansing Catholic38.1
10Kara Forsberg23:52.0Clare37.7
11Ellie Sickles23:53.0Shepherd37.3
10Lily Ward23:53.7Clare37.1
12Lydia Sterly23:57.7Leroy Pine River35.8
9Catherine Taft23:59.9Clare35.0
9Ashley Alto24:00.3Cadillac34.9
10Rowan Ensing24:06.8McBain32.7
11Kiara Edwards24:20.2White Cloud28.3
12Grace Wahr24:22.8Manton27.4
10Hanah Johnson24:23.0Cadillac27.3
12Lindsey Dip24:24.0Grandville Calvin Christian27.0
10Haylee Groen24:24.5Cadillac26.8
11Elaine Kutas24:45.0Lansing Catholic20.0
11Lilly Backus24:45.4Beal City19.9
10Fiona Kline24:47.7McBain19.1
10Kiera Harsh24:49.1Beal City18.6
12Erin Collier24:49.3Freeland18.6
10Megan Veitengruber24:50.8Clare18.1
12Lily Nitz24:51.1Freeland18.0
9Hayden Swartz24:54.8Freeland16.7
11Simone Kaechele24:58.4Clare15.5
9Kaitlyn Pfeffer24:58.9Lansing Catholic15.4
9Alisia Pedrin25:03.3Cadillac13.9
9Genesis Wilson25:04.0McBain13.7
9Kendra Fouts25:08.8Clare12.1
9Leah Fisk25:19.8Cadillac8.4
10Genevieve Pappas25:26.5Beal City6.2
9Baylee Richardson25:34.0Cadillac3.7
12Courtney LaClair25:35.2White Cloud3.3
10Sasha Seegobin25:37.9Freeland2.4
11Kierstin Fouts25:43.0Clare0.7

GradeNameTimeTeamRating
11Hunter Jones15:14.4Benzie Central208.9
11Braydon Honsinger15:51.4Freeland196.5
12Noah Morrow15:54.4Manton195.5
9TJ Hansen16:09.7Freeland190.4
12Jacob Wurtzel16:22.5Freeland186.2
12Josh Otten16:27.0Lansing Catholic184.7
11Nathan Jenkins16:28.3Grandville Calvin Christian184.2
10Brad White16:42.7Clare179.4
12Logan Manion16:46.0Grandville Calvin Christian178.3
12David Pruder16:50.4Lansing Catholic176.9
10Nolan Nixon17:08.1Cadillac171.0
11Braden Klein17:10.1Freeland170.3
12Cameron Haraburda17:12.3Lansing Catholic169.6
12Dan Kehoe17:16.1Grandville Calvin Christian168.3
11Ben Wertz17:17.4Grandville Calvin Christian167.9
12Josh Frary17:18.0Lansing Catholic167.7
10Nic Porter17:30.2Clare163.6
11Michael Musgrave17:30.9Benzie Central163.4
11Jackson Hilt17:41.1Cadillac160.0
11Nathan Ciolk17:43.6White Cloud159.1
12Landyn Cool17:44.8Leroy Pine River158.7
12Mason Cross17:45.3Shepherd158.6
12Haydin Sims17:46.4Harrison158.2
10Gabe Outman17:48.3Cadillac157.6
11Dade Allen17:48.6Benzie Central157.5
9Nolan Longuski17:52.2Shepherd156.3
10Matthew Stilson17:52.8Cadillac156.1
10Claydon Ingleright17:55.8McBain155.1
11Jackson Kulawiak17:56.3Buckley154.9
11Owen Gross17:56.9Beal City154.7
12Philip Rigling18:04.1Leroy Pine River152.3
10Stephen Fair18:04.6Lansing Catholic152.2
10Juan Marin18:09.3McBain150.6
11Nico Lopez18:10.7Shepherd150.1
11Logan Patrick18:11.3Manton149.9
12Kobe Canning18:11.8White Cloud149.7
9Coleson Cruzan18:16.1White Cloud148.3
10Bjorn Tracy18:18.0Cadillac147.7
12Ben DuCheny18:22.7Buckley146.1
12Johnathen Traxler18:25.1Manton145.3
9Andrew Elmore18:25.4Cadillac145.2
10Andrew Klaus18:25.7Clare145.1
9Ayden Barcia18:35.9Clare141.7
12Ted Bell18:39.1Clare140.6
10JJ Mahan18:47.8Cadillac137.7
9Grant Smith18:49.5Shepherd137.2
9Luke Pettengill18:53.1McBain Northern Michigan Christian136.0
9Drew Tolfree18:57.8Lansing Catholic134.4
9Miller Pomper18:58.2Benzie Central134.3
10Hudson Kiteley18:58.5Benzie Central134.2
11Carter Lewis18:58.8Leroy Pine River134.1
11Nolan Moffit18:59.4Manton133.9
12Cohen Young19:00.2Clare133.6
11Taj Spencer19:02.0Beaverton133.0
10Carson Foondle19:03.5White Cloud132.5
10Joseph Klopf19:05.8Freeland131.7
12Alex Deeter19:06.5Freeland131.5
11Braden Melville19:08.5Buckley130.8
10Nathan Koetje19:11.2McBain129.9
10Quinten Musgrave19:12.7Benzie Central129.4
11Dorian Olson19:13.9Benzie Central129.0
11Malachi Graves19:16.7White Cloud128.1
9Kaleb Canning19:19.8White Cloud127.1
11Michael Gottleber19:20.3Cadillac126.9
11Christian Ringler19:23.7White Cloud125.8
9Jack Seemann19:25.4Freeland125.2
9Sam Nemeth19:26.9Freeland124.7
10Elijah Nevins19:27.6Lansing Catholic124.5
10Trevor Dornbos19:27.7Grandville Calvin Christian124.4
12Cameron Salisbury19:32.1Leroy Pine River123.0
12Logan Mishler19:33.9Beal City122.4
9Jacob Bowermaster19:38.1Harrison121.0
10Dylan Traxler19:38.6Manton120.8
10Scott Slocum19:39.8Leroy Pine River120.4
10Victor Krueger19:41.3Harrison119.9
10Karem Turkmus19:42.9Harrison119.4
12Andrew Frary19:43.2Lansing Catholic119.3
10Gavin Kelso19:47.6Leroy Pine River117.8
11Peter Dudley19:48.9Lansing Catholic117.4
11Tomas Rampe19:53.3Lansing Catholic115.9
11Jacob Alexander19:54.7Freeland115.4
12Wyatt Underhill19:55.3Leroy Pine River115.2
12Andrew Booher19:58.3Evart114.2
11Frederic Moreau19:59.1Lansing Catholic114.0
9Ty Harding20:03.3Manton112.6
11Lucian Smith20:03.5Manton112.5
12Cole Ingleright20:03.8McBain112.4
12Trevor Joslin20:06.8Shepherd111.4
9Payton Corrigan20:14.1Beaverton109.0
12Ashton Byle20:15.3White Cloud108.6
10Kaden Abrahamson20:17.4McBain107.9
9Isaiah Mulheron20:22.3Clare106.2
11Landon Ochampaugh20:25.6McBain Northern Michigan Christian105.1
9Caidan Gaskill20:27.3Clare104.6
9Rylan Bachman20:28.9Cadillac104.0
9Owen Brickner20:30.7Shepherd103.5
12Keegan Jeane20:33.6Benzie Central102.5
11Greg Reed20:41.6Benzie Central99.8
11Steven Gascoinge20:44.2Evart98.9
11Cory Vader20:46.8Evart98.1
9Anderson Oberle20:55.9Freeland95.0
10Freddie Santangelo21:00.1Cadillac93.6
11Keagan Kailing21:01.4White Cloud93.2
11Christopher Benoit21:06.3Harrison91.6
9Dallas Chamberlain21:09.3McBain90.6
10Evan Chandler21:23.7Benzie Central85.8
9Xavier Hoppe21:34.1Shepherd82.3
12Nikolas Parks-Jose…21:35.7White Cloud81.8
11Charlie Hicks21:37.6Clare81.1
9Tim Pentecost21:42.0Evart79.7
11Eli Mulder21:47.0Grandville Calvin Christian78.0
10Noah Gola21:48.1Shepherd77.6
9Avery Bowman21:48.5White Cloud77.5
9Logan Means21:49.5Shepherd77.2
9Austin Gross21:49.6Beal City77.1
11Luke Kennard21:50.8Cadillac76.7
9Wyatt Karnes22:11.0White Cloud70.0
11Colin DeKam22:14.7McBain Northern Michigan Christian68.8
12Lorenzo Milazzo22:27.7McBain Northern Michigan Christian64.4
10Luke Piersma22:32.2Grandville Calvin Christian62.9
11Noah Murphy22:36.9Benzie Central61.4
10Braxton Keblbeck22:38.2Harrison60.9
9Nash Davidson22:42.7Freeland59.4
12Hugo Laforet22:53.9Benzie Central55.7
12John Riddering22:57.9Grandville Calvin Christian54.4
11Cadin Keysor23:06.2Evart51.6
9Eli Zeien23:08.8Beal City50.8
12Luke Thompson23:10.0Clare50.3
9Logan Hewitt23:10.9Benzie Central50.0
12Carlos Gomez23:26.1Cadillac45.0
10Oliver Zeien23:29.7Beal City43.8
9Joseph Wernette23:51.8Beal City36.4
12Tucker Vandervelde23:53.8McBain35.7
11Richard Duynslager23:56.6Beal City34.8
10Trenton Gladu24:07.7McBain Northern Michigan Christian31.1
9Zach Rizor24:15.5Leroy Pine River28.5
11Jacob Booher24:28.9McBain Northern Michigan Christian24.1
9Hogan Walter24:29.3Clare23.9
9Clayton Keysor24:34.9Evart22.0
12Garrett Smith24:50.6Cadillac16.8
12Jeremiah Niedzielski24:55.2Freeland15.3
12Cannan Morgan24:55.3Evart15.2
9Carter Peacock24:57.3Clare14.6
10Lance Helfer25:03.1Shepherd12.6
11Joseph Gandolfi25:13.1McBain9.3

16 thoughts on “2021 Ratings: Cadillac”

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